Strategic Overview The operational environment over the past 24 hours is characterized by severe strains on Ukrainian critical infrastructure and an escalation in rear-area hybrid threats. Most significantly, Slovakia has terminated emergency electricity supplies to Ukraine, reportedly conditioning resumption on the "Druzhba" oil pipeline transit. Consequently, "Ukrenergo" has announced the implementation of nationwide rolling blackouts beginning February 24.

Simultaneously, a confirmed terrorist bombing at a Mykolaiv gas station injured seven Ukrainian police officers, signaling a potential Russian operational shift toward targeted internal destabilization. In the deep rear, reciprocal long-range strikes continue; Ukrainian UAVs targeted the "Metafrax" chemical plant in the Perm region and engaged targets in Sochi, while Russian forces maintained widespread loitering munition and guided aerial bomb (KAB) pressure across the frontline.

Operational Updates

• Northern Sector (Kharkiv/Sumy): Weather conditions (-3.4°C, 100% cloud cover, 2.8 m/s wind) continue to favor low-altitude UAV operations over high-altitude optical ISR. Russian tactical aviation executed KAB strikes on Novosylnove and Husynka, alongside strikes on critical infrastructure in Kharkiv. Russian Shahed-type UAVs persist in transiting through the Zolochiv/Vilshany corridors.
• Eastern Sector (Donetsk/Luhansk): Combat is active on the Siversk axis near Reznikivka and on the southern approaches to Kostiantynivka (specifically Ivanopillya and Stepanivka). In the Pokrovsk sector (0.3°C, overcast), the UAF 414th Brigade and 3rd BOP "Svoboda" are successfully utilizing FPV drones to attrit Russian infantry and mobile electronic warfare (EW) arrays. UAF units are actively sourcing fiber-optic wire-guided FPVs to bypass Russian EW.
• Southern Sector (Zaporizhzhia/Kherson): GUR "Group 10" units stalled a Russian advance in Stepnohirsk, capturing an enemy prisoner. Russian forces struck transport infrastructure in Zaporizhzhia and are utilizing a deeply buried underground command post near Tokmak for C2 and drone operations. Weather in Kherson (3.0°C) is projected to shift, with a 93% probability of rain within 12 hours, which will significantly degrade unpaved supply routes.

Equipment & Losses

• Confirmed: 7 Ukrainian police officers injured in an explosive detonation (terrorist act) in Mykolaiv.
• Confirmed: 1 Russian MT-LB and dual EW antenna arrays neutralized by UAF 3rd BOP in the Pokrovsk sector.
• Confirmed: 1 Russian prisoner of war captured by GUR units in Stepnohirsk.
• Unconfirmed: Destruction of the methanol rectification column at the "Metafrax" plant in the Perm region by UAF "Lyutyi" UAVs.
• Unconfirmed: Violent civilian-police altercation involving mobilization officers and a firearm in Koziatyn, Vinnytsia.

Confidence Check

• HIGH: Slovakian emergency power suspension; implementation of Ukrenergo rolling blackouts; Mykolaiv terrorist bombing; imminent rain/Rasputitsa conditions in Kherson.
• MEDIUM: Extent of battle damage to the Metafrax chemical plant; integration of UPK-23-250 cannon pods onto Russian Ka-29 helicopters for littoral operations.
• LOW: Total stall of the EU's 20th sanctions package (heavily promoted by Russian information operations); specific battle damage from the UAF rocket strike on Belgorod.

The Bottom Line The immediate operational threat has shifted from purely kinetic frontline assaults to structural grid vulnerability following the Slovakian power termination. Ukrenergo's rolling blackouts will inevitably strain both civilian logistics and rear-area military C2 redundancies. Furthermore, the formalized terrorist attack in Mykolaiv indicates Russian intelligence is likely activating sleeper cells to exploit domestic friction. Over the next 24-48 hours, monitor the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia axes, as incoming rain systems will initiate "Rasputitsa" (mud) conditions, severely restricting heavy mechanized off-road maneuver and funneling engagements to paved tactical arteries.