The war is going dark—digitally, at least. Ukraine's new "White List" for Starlink effectively bricked the captured terminals Russian frontline units were using. It’s a massive disruption at -27°C, forcing Russian assault groups back onto unsecured radios just as General Syrskyi confirms there are now 712,000 Russian troops deployed against Ukraine.

On the ground, that blackout is hitting the Russian "Rubicon" drone units hard. They relied on captured SpaceX tech for spotting; now they're scrambling for connectivity. Things are getting ugly around Zaporizhzhia, too. Russian aviation is surging with guided bombs (KABs) on the city and Zaliznychne. I've seen claims that they took Stepanovka and Staroukrainka, but honestly, without visual proof, I'm skeptical. Be careful with reports from the south—Russian groups are apparently using captured M113 APCs to confuse defenders.

Inside Russia, the assassination attempt on GRU General Alekseev is tearing open a public rift between the FSB and the MoD. He's in critical condition, and it looks like an inside job—maybe a cleaner or courier. While they fight each other, the air war continues. Ukraine sent 95 drones deep into the Russian rear, hitting the Kapustin Yar missile test site, while Russian drones are currently swarming Sumy and vectoring toward Dnipro.

My eyes are on the satellite data, though. The GRAU Missile Arsenal (Site 105) showed a massive activity spike that is now dropping off. In SAR terms, that usually means the "loading phase" is finished—the munitions have moved from storage to transport. If the historical patterns hold, we're likely 24 to 48 hours away from a major missile wave.

Moscow is trying to freeze Kyiv into submission—TPP-4 is already down—but the Starlink move has blinded their tactical eyes. Watch the skies over Sumy and Kharkiv tonight. When the depot goes quiet, the noise usually comes to Ukraine.