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Daily Intelligence Report

2025-01-28 15:52:01
Report #152Intelligence Summary & Geospatial Analysis

Intelligence Summary

Military Situation in Ukraine: Daily Operational Report

Date: January 28, 2025

Time: 08:08 UTC

Executive Summary

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical for Ukrainian forces. Russian troops are achieving substantial progress, especially in the Donetsk region. The encirclement and capture of Velyka Novosilka represent a major strategic and symbolic setback for Ukraine. Intense fighting continues in Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, and Kurakhove, with Russian forces advancing and consolidating their positions. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory and inflicting heavy losses.

Drone warfare is a dominant factor, with extensive activity reported across multiple regions. The use of drones by both sides has intensified, with a reported 100 drones launched by Russia overnight, targeting multiple Ukrainian oblasts. Ukrainian forces are actively using drones for reconnaissance and targeted strikes, while also employing them to counter Russian advances.

Key Developments by Region

Donetsk Region

Velyka Novosilka

  • Complete Russian Control: Confirmed to be under complete Russian control. The Russian Ministry of Defense has officially confirmed the liberation of Velyka Novosilka.
  • Strategic Implications: The capture of Velyka Novosilka, a major logistics hub, represents a significant strategic loss for Ukraine. It opens avenues for Russian forces to advance towards Bohatyr and the remaining part of the Donetsk People's Republic south of the Vovcha River.
  • Ukrainian Resistance: Despite the loss, Ukrainian forces continue to use "Vampire" and "Baba Yaga" drones to target Russian troops and attempt to slow the advance.

Pokrovsk

  • Russian Advance: Russian forces are within 10 kilometers of Pokrovsk and continuing their advance, having severed the penultimate railway line to the city.
  • Intense Fighting: The most intense fighting is near Yelyzavetivka and Vodyane Druhe, with 48 assault actions reported, indicating a major Russian offensive.
  • Strategic Importance: Russian forces are advancing on both sides of Pokrovsk to cut off supply routes and encircle the city.
  • Casualties: Ukrainian losses in the Pokrovsk direction are estimated to be over 94,000 killed.
  • Civilian Impact: One woman was killed due to a Russian attack on the city.

Chasiv Yar

  • Refractory Plant: Russian forces control approximately 20% of the refractory plant.
  • Urban Area: They have captured about half of the city's urban area, including the Novyi district.
  • Ongoing Battles: Fighting continues in the Sievernyi district.
  • Russian Approach: Russian forces are approaching the western outskirts from the north side of the railway and have launched an offensive south of the railway station.
  • Deployment: The press service of the 24th Mechanized Brigade reports the deployment of "Akhmat" and former "Wagner" fighters to reinforce Russian assault groups.
  • Demining Operations: The 38th Separate Engineer-Sapper Battalion is reportedly demining roads in the Chasiv Yar direction.

Kurakhove

  • Majority Captured: Most of Kurakhove has been captured by Russian forces.
  • Ongoing Fighting: Fighting ongoing near Hryshyno.
  • Russian Advance: Russian forces are advancing from Kurakhove towards Dnipropetrovsk, liberating extensive territories.
  • Strategic Importance: Heavy fighting is reported in the eastern part of Andriivka, with Russian forces advancing from Shevchenko and Petropavlivka. The capture of Andriivka is strategically important for the defense of Ukrainian forces.

Toretsk

  • Defense Collapse: Ukrainian defenses have nearly collapsed, with less than 15% of the city remaining under their control.
  • Intense Fighting: Intense fighting is ongoing on the outskirts of Toretsk.
  • Russian Advances: Russian forces have reportedly advanced 300 meters, taking control of the Toretska mine. In Petrivka, they advanced 600 meters. In the Krymske area, Russian forces advanced 400 meters.

Other Locations

  • Kramatorsk: The Ukrainian General Staff reports an increase in Russian assault activities. A powerful explosion was reported in the industrial zone.
  • Zverevo: Fighting continues, with Russian forces gradually pushing Ukrainian forces.
  • Solone: Reportedly liberated by Russian forces.
  • Uspenivka: Russian forces are engaged in battles, advancing towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
  • Dachne: Russian forces have advanced near Dachne.
  • Kotlyne: Russian forces are making advances near Kotlyne.
  • Andriivka: Russian forces are clearing the settlement after a breakthrough.
  • Nadezhdenka: Reports indicate no enemy presence, but some roaming groups are still active.
  • Seversk: Russian forces report the destruction of a Ukrainian UAV control point and ammunition depot.

Luhansk Region

  • Russian Advances: Russian forces are making advances near Nadiivka and Petropavlivka. They have captured Zakhidne and Ivanivka, advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.
  • Borova Direction: Ukrainian forces have established positions northeast and east of Zelenyi Hai.
  • Operational Cauldron: Russian forces are forming an "operational cauldron" around Ukrainian forces near Novoyehorivka.

Kursk Region

  • Stalled Counteroffensive: The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory.
  • Settlements Captured: Russian forces report the capture of several settlements, including Nikolaevo-Daryino, Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, and Malaya Loknya.
  • Intense Fighting: Heavy fighting continues near the village of Nikolsky.
  • Casualties: Reports indicate that over 360 Ukrainian troops were killed in the region in the past 24 hours, with five surrendering.
  • Foreign Involvement: Western officials and South Korean intelligence report significant North Korean casualties. There are reports of North Korean soldiers killing Russian marines and fleeing. An American mercenary known as "Doctor Death" has reportedly been captured.
  • Military Losses: Since the beginning of hostilities, Ukrainian forces have suffered significant losses in the region, including over 52,870 troops, 304 tanks, and numerous other military vehicles and equipment.
  • Russian Operations: Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian assault force during an attempted landing near Tetkino. Russian air forces are actively targeting Ukrainian soldiers in the region.
  • Ukrainian Actions: Ukrainian forces from the 1st Battalion of the 22nd Mechanized Brigade reportedly repelled a North Korean assault near Malaya Loknya.

Kharkiv Region

  • Drone Attacks: The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of Russian drone attacks in Kharkiv Oblast.
  • Russian Advance: Russian forces have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorichna.
  • Explosions: Reported in Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts.
  • Kupiansk: Under renewed heavy shelling. Russian forces report that they are beginning to storm Kupyansk.
  • Drone Strikes: A Russian drone attack caused a large fire and damage in the Novobavarskyi district.

Other Regions

  • Drone Activity: Extensive drone activity is reported across multiple regions, with new alerts for Mykolaiv, Vinnytsia, Zhytomyr, Kirovohrad, Cherkasy, Boryspil, and Vasylkiv areas. Explosions were reported in several regions due to drone attacks.
  • Sevastopol: An air raid alert was reported, with maritime transport halted.
  • Dnipropetrovsk: Ukrainian forces report destroying over 500 enemy aerial targets in the past week.
  • Kherson: A civilian was killed by a drone attack between Veletenske and Rozlyv.
  • Ryazan: Reports of a new attack on the oil refinery.
  • Odesa: Residential buildings damaged due to a Russian drone attack, with four cars catching fire.
  • Sumy: Ukrainian Air Force reports the launch of guided aerial bombs.
  • Uman: A Russian drone attack damaged an energy infrastructure facility.
  • Chernihiv: Two drones are reported to be in the east of Chernihiv Oblast. A new explosion has been reported in the city.

Military Equipment

  • "Орешник" System: Lukashenko announced the deployment of the hypersonic missile complex in Belarus.
  • FPV Drones: Extensively used by both sides for targeting enemy positions and vehicles.
  • UAVs: Both sides continue to use various types of UAVs for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks.
  • Mirage 2000-5 Fighter Jets: France is set to deliver these jets to Ukraine by the end of the first quarter of 2025.
  • Clarity AI Platform: A new Ukrainian AI platform for UAVs, capable of detecting camouflaged military equipment, is being developed.

Geopolitical Developments

  • US Aid Suspension: The US has halted most foreign aid for 90 days, including aid to Ukraine, causing significant concern.
  • Trump's Proposals: Former US President Trump has proposed various plans, including using frozen Russian assets to aid Ukraine, deploying US peacekeepers, and meeting with Putin.
  • EU Concerns: European officials fear exclusion from peace talks and are considering a UN-mandated peacekeeping mission.
  • NATO: Plans to share classified data on military production with the EU and defense industry representatives.
  • China: Reiterated its position in favor of dialogue on Ukraine.
  • Sanctions: The EU is discussing the 16th package of sanctions against Russia.
  • Peace Negotiations: Preparation for direct negotiations between "Putin" and Trump is reportedly the only topic of discussion within the Politburo.

Information Warfare

  • Both sides are actively engaged in information warfare, using various channels to shape the narrative and influence public perception.
  • Automated bot activity and the spread of disinformation are prevalent.
  • Propaganda videos are being used to boost morale and demonize the enemy.

Recommendations for Ukraine

  1. Prioritize Air Defense: Enhance and deploy additional air defense systems to protect cities and critical infrastructure from drone and missile attacks.
  2. Strengthen Drone Countermeasures: Deploy advanced counter-drone systems and electronic warfare capabilities to neutralize Russian drones.
  3. Reinforce Defenses: Deploy reinforcements, including anti-tank weapons, air defense systems, and manpower, to Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, and Toretsk to counter Russian advances.
  4. Secure Supply Lines: Address logistical challenges by securing supply lines and establishing alternative routes.
  5. International Support: Continue to engage with international partners to secure military, financial, and diplomatic support.
  6. Counter Information Warfare: Develop and implement strategies to counter Russian disinformation and propaganda.
  7. Prepare for Protracted Conflict: Focus on building a sustainable defense industry, securing long-term aid, and developing strategies to maintain resilience.
  8. Monitor and Respond to Drone Movements: Continuously monitor drone movements and deploy rapid response units to intercept drones.
  9. Geopolitical Strategy: Develop a diplomatic strategy to address the shift in US policy and engage with other international partners.
  10. Intelligence Gathering: Utilize all available intelligence assets to gather information about Russian troop movements, concentrations, and intentions.
  11. Adapt to Asymmetric Warfare: Develop and implement tactics to counter asymmetric threats, such as improvised drones and 3D-printed mines.
  12. Leverage Technological Advantages: Continue to invest in and develop advanced military technologies, particularly in drone warfare, electronic warfare, and cyber warfare.
  13. Train and Equip Troops: Ensure troops are adequately trained and equipped to deal with evolving threats.
  14. Maintain Situational Awareness: Continuously monitor the situation on the ground and adjust strategies accordingly.
  15. Prepare for Potential Escalation: Develop contingency plans for potential escalation scenarios.
  16. Protect Critical Infrastructure: Enhance the protection of key facilities.
  17. Address the Humanitarian Situation: Provide assistance to affected populations, particularly in areas experiencing intense fighting.
  18. Plan for Post-Conflict Recovery: Begin planning for post-conflict recovery and reconstruction efforts.
  19. Maintain International Solidarity: Work with international partners to maintain solidarity and support for Ukraine.
  20. Seek a Negotiated Solution: Explore opportunities for a negotiated solution while maintaining a strong military posture.
  21. Exploit Russian Weaknesses: Identify and exploit vulnerabilities in Russian defenses.
  22. Develop Counter-Mine Measures: Invest in research and development of advanced mine detection technologies.
  23. Assess Impact of EW Deployment: Monitor the impact of newly deployed electronic warfare equipment.
  24. Monitor and Respond to Drone Shootdowns: Continuously monitor reports of Ukrainian drones being shot down.
  25. Assess the Naval Situation: Enhance naval surveillance and intelligence gathering.
  26. Exploit Intelligence from Robotyne Video: Develop counter-drone tactics and improve defenses.
  27. Address the Morale of Russian Troops: Implement measures to maintain and boost morale among troops.
  28. Counter the Messaging in the Image of Patches: Analyze the messaging conveyed by the image of patches ("WITH US" and "DO GOOD") to understand the intended narrative and potential propaganda efforts. Develop counter-messaging to maintain morale and influence public opinion.
  29. Analyze the Image of a Soldier in a Muddy Environment: Study the image of a soldier in a muddy environment to assess the challenges posed by the terrain and weather conditions. Adapt operational plans and logistical support accordingly.
  30. Counter the Narrative Presented by "Операция Z": Address the claims made by "Операция Z" regarding the situation in Velyka Novosilka. Provide accurate information about the ongoing fighting and counter any false narratives being spread.
  31. Analyze the Implications of the "Сводка" from "Два майора": Study the "Сводка" (summary) provided by "Два майора" to understand the Russian perspective on the situation. Identify any potential discrepancies or biases and adjust Ukrainian strategies accordingly.
  32. Address the Reported Russian Advances: Deploy additional troops and resources to areas where Russian forces are reportedly advancing, such as Toretsk, Chasiv Yar, and the Pokrovsk direction. Reinforce defenses and prepare for potential counterattacks.
  33. Monitor the Situation in Starokostiantyniv and the Ternopil-Lviv Border: Deploy air defense systems and early warning radars to these areas to detect and intercept incoming drones. Prepare for potential attacks and ensure that civilian populations are aware of safety protocols.
  34. Analyze the Images Shared by Colonelcassad: Study the images shared by Colonelcassad to gather intelligence on Russian troop movements, equipment, and morale. Use this information to inform Ukrainian strategies and counter any potential propaganda efforts.
  35. Counter the Narrative Presented by "НгП раZVедка": Address the claims made by "НгП раZVедка" regarding the image of a muddy soldier. Provide accurate information about the situation on the ground and counter any false narratives being spread.
  36. Respond to the Killing of a Civilian in Kherson: Investigate the killing of a civilian in the Kherson region and provide support to the affected community. Enhance security measures in the area to protect civilians from drone attacks.
  37. Analyze the Implications of the Occupation of Velyka Novosilka: Study the information from "РБК-Україна" regarding the potential implications of the occupation of Velyka Novosilka for future Russian offensives. Adjust defensive strategies accordingly and prepare for potential attacks in the spring and summer.
  38. Monitor Russian Naval Activity: Continuously monitor Russian naval activity in the Black Sea, Sea of Azov, and the Mediterranean Sea. Pay particular attention to the movement of "Kalibr" missile carriers and adjust defensive strategies accordingly.
  39. Address the Lifting of the Drone Threat: Acknowledge the lifting of the drone threat and use this opportunity to regroup and resupply. Continue to monitor the situation and maintain a high level of readiness for potential future attacks.
  40. Respond to the Surrender of Ukrainian Soldiers in Velyka Novosilka: Investigate the reports of Ukrainian soldiers surrendering in Velyka Novosilka. Assess the impact on morale and address any underlying issues that may have contributed to the surrender.
  41. Analyze the Video of the Soldier Saved by His Dog Tag: Study the video of the Russian soldier saved by his military identification tag. Analyze the effectiveness of personal protective equipment and consider improvements to increase soldier survivability.
  42. Analyze the Video of the Wounded Soldier with an Injured Heart: Study the video of the wounded soldier with an injury to his heart. Analyze the effectiveness of medical care provided in the field and identify areas for improvement in trauma care.
  43. Analyze the Video of the Russian Airman: Study the video of the Russian airman to gather intelligence on Russian air force operations and pilot training. Assess the morale and readiness of Russian aircrews.
  44. Analyze the Image from "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА": Study the image from "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА" to gather intelligence on the equipment and tactics used by this unit. Assess their morale and readiness for combat.
  45. Analyze Estimated Russian Losses: Continue to monitor and analyze the daily updates on estimated Russian losses provided by the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Use this information to assess the effectiveness of Ukrainian tactics and identify any potential weaknesses in Russian forces.
  46. Counter the Narrative in the Image of the Siege of Leningrad: Analyze the historical context and messaging conveyed by the image commemorating the Siege of Leningrad. Develop counter-messaging to address any potential propaganda or psychological warfare efforts that may arise from the use of such imagery.
  47. Address the Call for Support in the Image from "НгП раZVедка": Analyze the messaging and imagery used in the call for support from "НгП раZVедка." Develop counter-messaging to address any potential recruitment or morale-boosting efforts by Russian forces.
  48. Analyze the Image from "Оперативний ЗСУ": Study the image from "Оперативний ЗСУ" to gather intelligence on Ukrainian military operations and assess the morale and readiness of Ukrainian troops.
  49. Respond to the Fire in the Rostov Pre-Trial Detention Center: Investigate the fire in the Rostov pre-trial detention center and assess any potential security implications. Monitor the situation for any signs of unrest or instability.
  50. Analyze the Implications of Lukashenko's Claimed Victory: Study the implications of Lukashenko's claimed victory in the Belarusian presidential election. Assess the potential impact on the situation in Ukraine and develop strategies to address any potential challenges or opportunities that may arise.
  51. Analyze the Video of the Destruction of Ukrainian Artillery: Study the video of the destruction of Ukrainian artillery by Russian FPV drones. Analyze the effectiveness of these tactics and develop countermeasures to protect Ukrainian artillery units.
  52. Counter the Messaging in the Image from "Два майора": Analyze the messaging conveyed by the image from "Два майора" depicting a Ukrainian commander with a US flag. Develop counter-messaging to address any potential propaganda or disinformation efforts.
  53. Fundraising for Ukrainian Troops: Continue to support fundraising efforts for Ukrainian troops, such as the initiative mentioned by "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦." Encourage donations and promote the cause to secure necessary equipment for the soldiers.
  54. Maintain Control in Kryvyi Rih: Ensure that all essential services, public transport, hospitals, and social institutions in Kryvyi Rih continue to operate smoothly. Address any potential threats or disruptions promptly.
  55. Monitor the Implementation of Electronic Referrals: Oversee the implementation of electronic referrals to the military medical commission for conscripts. Ensure the system is efficient, transparent, and accessible to all eligible individuals.
  56. Address the Dismissal of Dmytro Klimenkov: Investigate the reasons behind the dismissal of Dmytro Klimenkov from the post of Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine. Address any potential issues within the Ministry of Defense and ensure a smooth transition to new leadership.
  57. Investigate the Fine Imposed on the Mayor of Drohobych: Investigate the circumstances surrounding the fine imposed on the mayor of Drohobych for failing to fulfill the mobilization plan. Clarify the responsibilities of mayors in the mobilization process and address any potential conflicts or misunderstandings.
  58. Engage with Relatives of Servicemen: Continue to engage with relatives of servicemen, particularly those from the 57th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade, to address their concerns and provide support. Ensure proper procedures for identifying and repatriating fallen defenders.
  59. Monitor the Situation in the Gaza Strip: Keep track of developments in the Gaza Strip, particularly regarding the agreement related to the Israeli prisoner Arbil Yehuda. Assess the potential impact of this situation on regional stability and international relations.
  60. Address the Issue of Unsold Goods: Consider the proposal to transfer unsold goods to charities, as discussed by marketplaces. Evaluate the potential benefits and challenges of such a move, and explore ways to facilitate this process while ensuring compliance with relevant regulations.
  61. Monitor Legal Developments: Keep track of legal developments in Russia, such as the lawsuit to liquidate the "Transgender" fund and the proposed bill to protect citizens from forced additional paid services. Assess the potential impact of these developments on human rights and civil liberties.
  62. Analyze Economic Trends: Monitor economic indicators in Russia, such as the increase in the number of bars in the center of Moscow and the demand for magical attributes. Assess the potential implications of these trends for the Russian economy and society.
  63. Address Pension Concerns: Provide clear and accurate information to citizens about the pension system and any proposed changes. Address any concerns about the lump sum withdrawal option and ensure that citizens are aware of their rights and options.
  64. Monitor Chemical Production: Keep track of developments in the chemical industry in Russia, particularly in light of the estimated production volume of 11.1 trillion rubles by 2030. Assess the potential environmental and security implications of this industry's growth.
  65. Counter Disinformation: Address and debunk any false or misleading information spread through social media or other channels. Provide accurate and timely information to the public to counter disinformation campaigns.
  66. Monitor Geopolitical Developments: Keep track of geopolitical developments, such as the US Senate confirmation of Scott Bessent as the new Treasury Secretary, the resignation of the Serbian Prime Minister, and the meeting between Zelensky and Macron. Assess the potential impact of these developments on the situation in Ukraine and adjust strategies accordingly.
  67. Assess Military Capabilities: Analyze the capabilities of military equipment mentioned in the reports, such as the "Орешник" hypersonic missile complex, the TOS-1A "Solntsepek" heavy flamethrower system, and the "Lancet" loitering munition. Develop countermeasures and strategies to address the threats posed by these weapons.
  68. Enhance Drone Warfare Capabilities: Continue to invest in and develop drone warfare capabilities, including the use of FPV drones, long-range attack UAVs, and AI platforms like Clarity. Train personnel in the effective use of these technologies and develop tactics to counter enemy drones.
  69. Strengthen Air Defense: Enhance air defense measures in regions threatened by drone and missile attacks. Deploy additional air defense systems and early warning radars to these areas to detect and intercept incoming threats.
  70. Address Internal Issues: Investigate and address any internal issues within the Ukrainian military, such as corruption, inadequate training, and low morale. Implement measures to improve discipline, accountability, and the well-being of soldiers.
  71. Secure Critical Infrastructure: Enhance the protection of key facilities, such as power plants, oil refineries, and transportation hubs. Deploy additional security forces and increase vigilance against potential threats.
  72. Monitor and Respond to Drone Activity: Continuously monitor drone activity and movements, particularly near strategic locations and critical infrastructure. Deploy rapid response units to intercept and neutralize enemy drones.
  73. Engage in Diplomatic Efforts: Continue to engage with international partners to secure military, financial, and diplomatic support. Advocate for increased pressure on Russia and seek a peaceful resolution to the conflict.
  74. Prepare for Potential Escalation: Develop contingency plans to address potential escalation scenarios, particularly with the increased use of drones and the potential deployment of new weapons systems.
  75. Address Humanitarian Concerns: Provide humanitarian assistance to affected populations, particularly in areas experiencing intense fighting. Coordinate with humanitarian organizations to ensure the delivery of aid and the protection of civilians.
  76. Plan for Post-Conflict Recovery: Begin planning for post-conflict recovery and reconstruction efforts, particularly in areas affected by recent attacks. Assess the damage to infrastructure and develop strategies for rebuilding and economic recovery.
  77. Exploit Russian Weaknesses: Identify and exploit any vulnerabilities in Russian defenses, particularly in areas where they have recently gained territory. Conduct counterattacks where feasible to regain lost ground and disrupt Russian operations.
  78. Counter Russian Propaganda: Develop and implement strategies to counter Russian disinformation and propaganda, particularly in the Kursk region, where both sides are engaged in intense information warfare.
  79. Enhance Intelligence Capabilities: Improve intelligence gathering and analysis to better understand Russian troop movements, equipment deployments, and strategic intentions.
  80. Strengthen International Partnerships: Continue to engage with international partners, particularly the US and EU, to secure military, financial, and diplomatic support.
  81. Secure Supply Lines: Given the importance of logistics in the conflict, ensure the security of key supply lines, particularly in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions.
  82. Address Equipment Shortages: Given the reported losses of armored vehicles and artillery systems, prioritize the procurement and deployment of new equipment, potentially through increased domestic production and international assistance.
  83. Adapt to Evolving Tactics: The increasing use of drones by both sides, as well as the reported involvement of North Korean soldiers in the Kursk region, highlights the need for Ukrainian forces to adapt to evolving tactics and strategies employed by the enemy.
  84. Monitor Belarus: Keep a close watch on developments in Belarus, particularly in light of President Lukashenko's claims of a landslide victory in the recent elections and the potential deployment of the "Орешник" system. Any changes in Belarus's posture could have significant implications for Ukraine's security.
  85. Address Corruption: The investigation into the Defense Procurement Agency and the suspension of its head, Marina Bezrukova, demonstrate a commitment to addressing corruption. Continue these efforts to ensure that resources are used efficiently and effectively.
  86. Prepare for Long-Term Conflict: Given the assessment from The Times outlining four potential scenarios for the end of the war, including a protracted conflict, Ukraine must prepare for a potentially long-term struggle. This includes ensuring sustainable military production, maintaining international support, and addressing the social and economic impacts of a prolonged war.
  87. Monitor Geopolitical Developments: Keep a close watch on geopolitical developments, such as the potential shift in US policy under a new administration, as mentioned in the reports about Europe preparing for a "Trump-Putin 2.0" alliance. Any changes in the international landscape could have significant implications for Ukraine's security and the course of the conflict.
  88. Address Social Issues: The concerns raised about the treatment of returning veterans in Russia and the potential for social instability highlight the need to address social issues related to the conflict. Ensure that Ukrainian veterans receive adequate support and reintegration assistance upon their return.
  89. Counter Disinformation: Given the prevalence of disinformation and propaganda, as evidenced by the "photoshop attack" reported by "Operatsiya Z: Voenkor" and the conflicting reports about the situation in various regions, continue to counter false narratives and provide accurate information to the public.
  90. Engage in Diplomatic Efforts: The meeting between Presidents Zelensky and Macron underscores the importance of continued diplomatic engagement. Maintain open channels of communication with allies and seek opportunities for dialogue to address the conflict and its broader implications.
  91. Enhance Cyber Security: Given the reported cyberattacks attributed to Russian citizens, continue to enhance cyber security measures to protect critical infrastructure, government institutions, and military networks from potential attacks.
  92. Monitor Population Movements: The report of Russians returning to Russia from Israel, as mentioned by the Israeli ambassador, highlights the need to monitor population movements and assess their potential impact on the conflict and regional stability.
  93. Address Economic Challenges: The rising inflation and economic difficulties in Russia, as well as the potential impact of sanctions, underscore the need for Ukraine to address its own economic challenges. Implement measures to stabilize the economy, support key industries, and mitigate the economic fallout of the conflict.
  94. Maintain Transparency: The directive from the Kyiv City Military Administration to develop transparent algorithms for moving abandoned and damaged vehicles demonstrates a commitment to transparency and accountability. Continue these efforts to maintain public trust and ensure the efficient use of resources.
  95. Monitor Sanctions Impact: Given the reported impact of sanctions on Russia and the discussions within the EU about potentially easing sanctions on Syria, closely monitor the effectiveness of sanctions and their impact on the conflict. Adapt sanctions strategies as needed to maximize their impact on Russia's ability to wage war.
  96. Prepare for Potential Negotiations: While maintaining a strong military posture, remain open to potential negotiations to end the conflict. The concerns expressed by European officials about being excluded from peace talks highlight the need for Ukraine to actively engage in diplomatic efforts and shape the parameters of any future negotiations.
  97. Address Regional Security: The new dimension added to the conflict by the reported fighting between Ukrainian forces and North Korean soldiers in the Kursk region, as evidenced by the video of residents of Makhnovka, necessitates a reassessment of regional security. Strengthen defenses in the Kursk region and enhance intelligence gathering to monitor and counter the North Korean presence.
  98. Protect Critical Infrastructure: The Russian strike on a power substation in Dnipropetrovsk underscores the vulnerability of critical infrastructure. Prioritize the protection of such facilities and develop contingency plans for maintaining essential services in the event of further attacks.
  99. Expand Counter-Drone Operations: The reported drone movements in Kirovohrad Oblast and towards Mykolaiv indicate a potential expansion of the drone conflict. Enhance counter-drone capabilities in these regions and develop strategies to intercept and neutralize enemy drones.
  100. Address Mobilization Challenges: The video suggesting forced mobilization in Ukraine highlights potential challenges with recruitment and public support. Address these issues by implementing transparent and fair mobilization policies, providing adequate training and equipment to new recruits, and addressing public concerns about the conduct of the war.
  101. Monitor Russian Military Developments: The footage of the Orlan-10 UAV in operation underscores the continued importance of reconnaissance in Russian military operations. The new video evidence of a Russian FPV drone destroying a Ukrainian tank in the Kursk region demonstrates the ongoing threat to Ukrainian armor. The reports of Russian paratroopers using BM-21 Grad multiple rocket launchers and UAV units using FPV drones in Chasiv Yar indicate the continued intensity of the fighting in that area.
  102. Exploit Russian Weaknesses: Identify and exploit weaknesses in Russian tactics and operations. Utilize intelligence gathered from drones and other sources to identify vulnerabilities in Russian defenses.
  103. Develop Counter-Mine Measures: Invest in research and development of advanced mine detection technologies. Train troops in counter-mine operations and equip them with the necessary tools to detect and neutralize mines.
  104. Assess Impact of EW Deployment: Monitor the impact of the newly deployed electronic warfare equipment on the northeastern front. Analyze its effectiveness in disrupting Russian communications and drone operations.
  105. Monitor and Respond to Drone Shootdowns: Continuously monitor reports of Ukrainian drones being shot down over Russian territory. Analyze the data to identify potential vulnerabilities in Ukrainian drone operations and develop countermeasures.
  106. Assess the Naval Situation: Enhance naval surveillance and intelligence gathering to monitor Russian naval movements and intentions. Pay particular attention to the movement of "Kalibr" missile carriers and adjust defensive strategies accordingly.
  107. Analyze the Video from Robotyne: Study the video detailing the withdrawal of Russian troops from Robotyne to develop counter-strategies and improve troop training. Utilize the intelligence gathered from the video to develop counter-drone tactics and improve defenses.
  108. Exploit Intelligence from Robotyne Video: Utilize the intelligence gathered from the Robotyne video to develop counter-drone tactics and improve defenses. Analyze the video to identify potential weaknesses in Russian tactics and operations.
  109. Address the Morale of Russian Troops: Implement measures to maintain and boost morale among troops. Address any concerns or issues promptly to prevent demoralization. Highlight Ukrainian successes and celebrate the bravery and resilience of Ukrainian soldiers.
  110. Counter Propaganda: Counter Russian propaganda by providing accurate information about the situation on the ground. Utilize social media and other communication channels to disseminate information and counter false narratives.
  111. Monitor and Counter Insurgency Efforts: Monitor efforts to incite insurgency and take measures to prevent the recruitment of individuals within Ukraine. Conduct background checks on personnel and monitor for any suspicious activities.
  112. Address Potential for Urban Warfare: Prepare for potential urban combat scenarios by training troops in urban warfare tactics. Equip troops with the necessary weapons and protective gear for urban combat.
  113. Counter Russian Information Operations: Counter Russian information operations by providing accurate and timely information. Utilize social media and other communication channels to disseminate information and counter false narratives.
  114. Secure Communication Channels: Monitor Russian communication channels and develop strategies to counter their influence. Secure and reliable communication between all levels of command and frontline units to facilitate effective coordination and response to enemy actions.
  115. Analyze Russian Military Advances: Analyze Russian military advances and adjust defensive strategies accordingly. Utilize intelligence gathered from drones and other sources to identify weaknesses in Russian tactics and operations.
  116. Address Potential War Crimes: Document any potential war crimes and share information with international organizations. Pursue accountability for those responsible for war crimes.
  117. Exploit Russian Weaknesses: Identify and exploit weaknesses in Russian tactics and operations. Utilize intelligence gathered from drones and other sources to identify vulnerabilities in Russian defenses.
  118. Analyze the New Video of Drone Strike: Study the new video of a drone strike on a Ukrainian soldier to develop counter-drone tactics. Analyze the video to identify potential weaknesses in Ukrainian defenses and develop countermeasures.
  119. Assess the Impact of Drone Attacks: Enhance air defense measures in regions threatened by drone attacks. Deploy additional air defense systems and early warning radars to these areas to detect and intercept incoming drones.
  120. Address the Reported Losses in Luhansk: Investigate the report of significant Ukrainian losses in Luhansk and adjust defensive strategies. Deploy additional troops and resources to reinforce defenses and counter any potential Russian advances.
  121. Respond to the Situation in Kursk: Enhance security measures in the Kursk region and monitor for further incursions. Deploy additional troops and resources to reinforce defenses and counter any potential Russian advances.
  122. Respond to the New Attack on Ryazan: Investigate the reports of a new Ukrainian drone attack on Ryazan. Assess the damage and deploy emergency response teams if necessary. Enhance air defense measures in the region to counter future attacks.
  123. Address the Confirmed Loss of Velyka Novosilka: Acknowledge the loss of Velyka Novosilka and focus on regrouping and establishing new defensive lines. Analyze the factors that led to the loss and adapt strategies accordingly.
  124. Counter the Visual Confirmation of Russian Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Disseminate accurate information to counter any Russian propaganda that may arise from their visual confirmation in the settlement. Highlight Ukrainian resistance in other areas and emphasize the ongoing nature of the conflict.
  125. Exploit the Intelligence from the Video Showing Russian Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Analyze the video footage of Russian forces in Velyka Novosilka to gather intelligence on their numbers, equipment, and tactics. Use this information to plan counterattacks or disrupt their operations.
  126. Address the Claims of Russian Advances in Toretsk and Kupyansk: Deploy additional troops and resources to these areas to reinforce defenses and counter the reported Russian advances. Prioritize the protection of these strategically important locations.
  127. Monitor the Situation in Starokostiantyniv and the Ternopil-Lviv Border: Deploy air defense systems and early warning radars to these areas to detect and intercept incoming drones. Prepare for potential attacks and ensure that civilian populations are aware of safety protocols.
  128. Analyze the "Орешник" System Threat: Assess the potential threat posed by the deployment of the "Орешник" hypersonic missile complex in Belarus. Develop countermeasures and engage with international partners to address this new threat.
  129. Counter the Geopolitical Implications of the "100-day Plan": Analyze the potential implications of the reported "10

Geospatial Analysis

51 locations identified