POKROVSK URBAN COMBAT: UAF Operational-Strategic Group "East" confirms forces are currently blocking RF advances within the center of Pokrovsk, indicating the battle has transitioned to high-intensity urban warfare (RBC-UA, 1002Z, HIGH).
NEW INGRESS VECTORS: OWA-UAVs (Shahed-type) detected moving toward Lozova (Kharkiv/Donetsk border) and Vylkove (Odesa/Danube region) (ZSU AF, 0939Z, 0940Z, HIGH).
BOHUSLAVKA CLAIM: Pro-Russian sources claim the "liberation" of Bohuslavka (Kupyansk/Oskil sector) (Kotsnews, 0938Z, LOW/UNCONFIRMED).
UAF DEEP STRIKE ASSESSMENT: RF MoD claims to have intercepted 64 Ukrainian UAVs overnight across multiple regions (Colonelcassad, 1003Z, MEDIUM).
RDK COMMANDER STATUS: RF Ministry of Internal Affairs has re-added RDK founder Denis Kapustin to its wanted list. This corroborates the previous daily report indicating the failed liquidation attempt and confirms Kapustin remains an active high-value target (TASS, 1000Z, HIGH).
ORDNANCE ADAPTATION: UAF specialized sapper units are confirmed to be operating dedicated workshops to modify and improve munitions specifically for drone delivery (Biloshitskiy, 0943Z, HIGH).
Operational picture (by sector)
Northern Axis (Kharkiv/Kupyansk):
Kupyansk Sector: The reported capture of Bohuslavka (if verified) would indicate RF progress along the eastern bank of the Oskil River, potentially threatening UAF logistics nodes further south.
Force Disposition: The 82nd Motorized Rifle Regiment (Sever Group) was highlighted in recent awards ceremonies, confirming their continued presence in the northern operational area (MoD Russia, 0955Z).
Eastern Axis (Donetsk/Luhansk):
Pokrovsk: Tactical situation has degraded into urban fighting. UAF units are shifting from "engineering barriers" to "blocking actions" within the city limits. This is a critical transition; control of the city center is now actively contested (RBC-UA, 1002Z).
Southern Donetsk: The 36th Motorized Rifle Brigade (29th Army, Vostok Group) is active, focusing on the destruction of UAF armored vehicles and heavy drone platforms (Voin DV, 1000Z).
Southern Axis (Zaporizhzhia/Kherson):
Kherson: Local authorities have confirmed that strikes on heat generation facilities have created a risk of localized heating outages during sub-zero temperatures (ASTRA, 0952Z).
Odesa/Danube: The drone vector toward Vylkove suggests RF is targeting port infrastructure or grain transit routes near the Romanian border (ZSU AF, 0940Z).
Enemy activity / threat assessment
Tactical Adaptations: RF forces are increasingly using FPV drones to target UAF logistical "soft" targets (pickups/unarmored transport) to create "starvation" in frontline supplies (DNR Militia, 1002Z).
Logistics/Sustainment: The RF MoD is emphasizing "Sever" and "Vostok" group successes, likely to maintain domestic morale following the high SAR logistics scores reported at the 260th GRAU Arsenal.
Retaliation Narrative: RF channels continue to escalate the "Khorly/Tarasovka" narrative, specifically naming the 414th Strike UAV Regiment ("Magyar’s Birds") to justify ongoing kinetic strikes against civilian energy infrastructure (Colonelcassad, 0943Z).
Friendly activity (UAF)
Active Defense: UAF forces in Pokrovsk are successfully utilizing the built-up area to negate RF numerical superiority, focusing on blocking maneuvers.
Technical Innovation: Engagement in "munition workshops" (0943Z) indicates a formalized process for scaling domestic drone lethality, likely to compensate for gaps in traditional artillery shell supply.
Information environment / disinformation
Czech Aid Narrative: Pro-Russian channels are amplifying claims that the Czech Parliament Speaker has labeled the Ukrainian government a "green junta" and refused further aid (Operatsia Z, 0944Z). This is a likely distortion of Czech internal political debates aimed at demoralizing UAF personnel.
External Distraction: RF state media is increasing coverage of US-Venezuela tensions (0943Z), likely to project a narrative that US military resources are being diverted away from the Ukrainian theater.
Outlook (next 6-12h)
MLCOA: High-intensity urban combat will continue in Pokrovsk center. Shahed-type UAVs will likely strike targets in Lozova and Vylkove within the 3-6 hour window.
MDCOA: RF may leverage the Vylkove drone ingress to mask a larger missile strike against Danube port infrastructure, attempting to sever remaining Ukrainian maritime export routes.
Intelligence gaps & collection requirements
BOHUSLAVKA VERIFICATION: Urgent requirement for satellite imagery or geolocation of RF forces in Bohuslavka to confirm the breach of the Oskil defensive line.
POKROVSK CONTROL MAP: Determine the exact "Line of Contact" within Pokrovsk city center; identify which administrative buildings are currently held by UAF.
64 UAV CLAIMS: Identify the launch sites and intended targets of the 64 UAVs claimed downed by RF; assess if this was a coordinated UAF "pre-emptive" strike against RF staging areas.
