(10:16, MoD Russia, HIGH): RF Ministry of Defense confirms a second "massive strike" this morning using long-range ground and air-based precision weapons, including Kinzhal air-ballistic hypersonic missiles, targeting Ukrainian defense industry and energy infrastructure.
(10:11, 10:29, MoD Russia/Colonelcassad, HIGH): RF Ministry of Defense and Minister of Defense have officially confirmed the capture of Andreyevka (Dnepropetrovsk region) by the "Vostok" Group of Forces.
(10:08, 10:25, 10:35, PS ZSU, HIGH): Active UAV threats persist; groups of loitering munitions detected over eastern Zhytomyr (heading to Korosten), Cherkasy (from the east), and Sumy (from the north).
(10:22, GSZSU/Liveuamap, HIGH): General Staff reports intense combat across all sectors, specifically noting 8 repelled assaults in the Kursk and North Slobozhansky directions.
(10:13, Southern Defense Forces, MEDIUM): UAF South claims significant attrition of enemy assets over 24 hours: ~400 personnel, 50+ units of equipment, and 110 personnel shelters destroyed.
(10:26, ASTRA/Aksyonov, HIGH): Occupation authorities in Crimea have announced that mobile internet restrictions will remain in place "until the end of the SMO" for security reasons.
(10:22, Colonelcassad, MEDIUM): Claims of the destruction of a UAF Electronic Warfare (EW) station in Novopavlovka by the Russian 944th Regiment.
Operational picture (by sector)
Northern Axis (Kursk/Sumy/Kharkiv)
The situation remains volatile following the loss of Prilipka. The GSZSU reports 8 Russian assaults repelled in the Kursk and North Slobozhansky directions (10:22). Combat continues near Sotnytskyy Kozachok and Vovchansk, with RF forces pushing toward Vilcha and Kolodyazne.
Eastern Axis (Donbas/Pokrovsk)
Combat intensity is at a peak.
Pokrovsk/Oleksandrivka: Heavy clashes reported near Myrnohrad, Pokrovsk, and Pershe Travnya, with RF forces attempting to advance toward Iskra and Vyshneve.
Kramatorsk/Kostiantynivka: Significant pressure near Stupochky and a broad front of engagement involving Pleschiyivka, Rusyn Yar, and Scherbynivka.
Lyman/Kupyansk: RF efforts are focused on Zahryzove and the approach to Kupyansk and Novoplatonivka.
Southern Axis (Zaporizhzhia/Dnepropetrovsk)
Dnepropetrovsk Breakthrough: The confirmed capture of Andreyevka (10:11) by the Vostok Group marks a significant tactical penetration into the Dnepropetrovsk administrative region. This bypasses previous defensive lines on the Donetsk border.
Zaporizhzhia: RF aviation conducted strikes across a wide arc including Stepnohirsk, Malokaterynivka, and Zaliznychne (10:22). Ground clashes persist in the Orikhiv and Huliaipole sectors.
Enemy activity / threat assessment
Strategic Strike Profile: The transition from overnight Shahed-heavy saturation to morning Kinzhal-led precision strikes indicates a multi-phased operation. The RF is prioritizing the destruction of the defense-industrial base (10:16) while the energy grid is already compromised (per 09:55 report).
Tactical Momentum: The "Vostok" Group's success in Andreyevka suggests a high degree of mechanized coordination. The capture of this node likely aims to unhinge UAF defenses in the Vremivka salient.
Electronic Warfare/C4ISR: The extension of Crimea's internet blackout (10:26) suggests RF fear of Ukrainian maritime drone coordination or partisan-led strike spotting during these high-intensity phases.
Friendly activity (UAF)
Defensive Manoeuvre: The 95th Separate Air Assault Brigade continues active recruitment and operational mobility (10:06).
Precision Fires: UAF Rocket Forces and Artillery are emphasizing the use of ATACMS and Bohdana self-propelled howitzers (10:19) to offset Russian mechanized advantages.
Attrition Operations: Southern Defense Forces report high efficiency in "soft" target destruction (shelters/warehouses), indicating effective counter-battery and drone reconnaissance (10:13).
Information environment / disinformation
Satire and Cognitive Shaping: RF state media (RT) is circulating satirical "Christmas" content blaming President Putin for European hardships (10:31) to foster fatigue among Western audiences.
Internal Financial Scrutiny: Domestic reports regarding an additional 109m UAH allocation to the "United News" telethon (10:20) are being used by both internal critics and external RF propaganda to highlight potential resource misallocation or political bias.
Outlook (next 6-12h)
MLCOA: Continued UAV penetration into Central and Northern Ukraine (Zhytomyr/Sumy/Cherkasy) to fix air defenses while RF ground forces consolidate the Andreyevka foothold.
MDCOA: A follow-on wave of Kinzhal or Iskander strikes targeting the Dnipro River crossings to isolate the newly contested Dnepropetrovsk border region.
Intelligence gaps & collection requirements
Andreyevka BDA: Urgent requirement for high-resolution imagery to determine the size of the RF force in Andreyevka and if they have established a sustainable bridgehead.
Kinzhal Impact: Confirm specific energy or industrial sites successfully hit in the 10:16 "massive strike" to assess the duration of potential power/production outages.
Novopavlovka EW Loss: Verify the status of UAF Electronic Warfare assets in the Novopavlovka sector; loss of these assets would leave the Pokrovsk flank vulnerable to RF drone swarms.
