INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR)
TIME: 221330Z JUN 25
1. SITUATION OVERVIEW
1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain:
- Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Levaadne-Molochansk): Ukrainian GUR reports successful interdiction, destroying a RUF logistics train carrying diesel fuel and lubricants between Levaadne and Molochansk at 221328Z JUN 25. This is a significant kinetic strike in occupied territory, impacting RUF sustainment. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
- Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Air alarm in Zaporizhzhia Oblast has been lifted as of 221314Z JUN 25. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
- Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovsk Direction/Shevchenko to Karla Marksa/Mirne): UAF channel STERNENKO reports successful engagement against RUF personnel on the Pokrovsk direction at 221301Z JUN 25, implying continued UAF defensive actions. RUF channel Воин DV claims elements of the 5th and 36th Armies of the Vostok Group of Forces are "methodically breaking through" UAF fortifications from Shevchenko to Karla Marksa (Mirne) at 221308Z JUN 25. MoD Russia claims liberation of Perebudova in Donetsk People's Republic in less than 3 days at 221329Z JUN 25. This indicates continued high-intensity RUF pressure and claimed advances in Donetsk. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on reports, MEDIUM CONFIDENCE on UAF effectiveness, LOW CONFIDENCE on RUF claims of breakthrough/liberation without independent verification)
- Kharkiv Oblast: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims a "point of dislocation of foreign mercenaries" was covered (likely struck) in Kharkiv at 221327Z JUN 25. (LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity)
- RUF Territory (Unspecified): TASS reports that Peskov stated "news agencies correctly and literally conveyed Putin's words from the June 18 meeting" but "analysts began standard excesses at the interpretation stage" at 221301Z JUN 25. This indicates RUF efforts to control the narrative around Putin's statements. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
- International (Fabricated - Fordow Nuclear Facility, Iran): НгП раZVедка (221309Z JUN 25) continues to disseminate "another picture of the object in Fordow, taken before the attack," further building the fabricated narrative of an attack on Iran. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF fabrication, LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity)
- International (Fabricated - Strait of Hormuz): TASS (221302Z JUN 25), РБК-Україна (Ukrainian channel, 221314Z JUN 25), and Alex Parker Returns (221315Z JUN 25) continue to report that "Iran's parliament deemed it necessary to close the Strait of Hormuz," with the final decision resting with the Security Council or Ayatollah Khamenei. This reinforces the fabricated economic threat. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF fabrication, LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity)
- International (Fabricated - US/Pentagon Statements): Операция Z (221304Z JUN 25) quotes "Pentagon Chief" as claiming "US 'destroyed Iran's nuclear program'." WarGonzo (221310Z JUN 25) falsely quotes "Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth" as stating the "operation to strike Iran was prepared for weeks with high precision and secrecy." Рыбарь (221324Z JUN 25) provides an "analysis" of how foreign media and politicians reacted to the alleged US strike. Janus Putkonen (221326Z JUN 25) quotes a fabricated Ursula von der Leyen statement about Iran not acquiring a bomb and respecting international law. This shows a continued, sophisticated RUF campaign to fabricate US/international reactions to a non-existent conflict. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF fabrication, LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity)
- RUF Domestic: Mash на Донбассе (221303Z JUN 25) reports on a court case where a lawsuit against the head of a military-legal center was partially satisfied after he promised to help an SVO fighter and disappeared. This highlights potential issues with domestic support for SVO personnel. TASS reports on new unified history textbooks for grades 9-11 from September 2026 (221313Z JUN 25) and a new section on the "special operation" in history textbooks for the next academic year (221320Z JUN 25, 221322Z JUN 25), reinforcing state control over historical narrative. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
- UAF Domestic: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (221315Z JUN 25) publishes an operational update for 16:00, 22.06.2025. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that the Ukrainian Air Force received its first "SHARK" light-engine two-seater aircraft equipped with an EW complex for anti-drone operations (221316Z JUN 25). Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (221317Z JUN 25) promotes a film "Heavenly Guardians" to be broadcast tonight. РБК-Україна (221318Z JUN 25) posts a photo without a caption. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors:
- Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Air alarm lifted, suggesting immediate air threat has passed, likely improving conditions for ground and UAV operations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
- Other areas: No significant changes to previous assessment. Conditions remain conducive to UAV and air operations generally. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures:
- Ukrainian Forces (UAF):
- Air Defense (AD): Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports air alarm lifted (221314Z JUN 25), indicating AD vigilance and timely alert systems.
- Ground Forces/Special Operations: GUR reports a successful interdiction operation in occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast (221328Z JUN 25) resulting in the destruction of a RUF logistics train. This demonstrates continued offensive capabilities against RUF logistics. STERNENKO (221301Z JUN 25) footage implies successful engagement of RUF personnel in Pokrovsk direction.
- Air Force (AF): Acquisition of "SHARK" aircraft with anti-drone EW complex (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS 221316Z JUN 25) indicates adaptive capabilities and modernization efforts.
- Information Operations (IO): Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (221315Z JUN 25) provides official operational updates. However, Ukrainian channels like РБК-Україна (221314Z JUN 25) continue to amplify RUF-fabricated narratives regarding the Strait of Hormuz, demonstrating ongoing vulnerability to RUF IO.
- Russian Forces (RUF):
- Kinetic Operations: Claims of methodical breakthrough in Donetsk Oblast (Воин DV 221308Z JUN 25) and liberation of Perebudova (MoD Russia 221329Z JUN 25) suggest continued ground pressure on the Donetsk axis. Claimed strike on a "foreign mercenary" point in Kharkiv (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 221327Z JUN 25) indicates continued targeting of UAF assets and personnel.
- Information Operations (IO):
- Extreme Escalation of "Iran-Israel/US War" fabrication (CONTINUED): RUF channels are still pushing highly detailed fabrications about the US destroying Iran's nuclear program (Операция Z 221304Z JUN 25, WarGonzo 221310Z JUN 25), Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz (TASS 221302Z JUN 25, Alex Parker Returns 221315Z JUN 25), and fabricated international reactions (Рыбарь 221324Z JUN 25, Janus Putkonen 221326Z JUN 25). This is a top-tier diversionary effort.
- Domestic Propaganda and Control of Narrative: Peskov's statement (TASS 221301Z JUN 25) highlights RUF's sensitivity to and efforts to control interpretation of Putin's words. The announcements regarding new unified history textbooks (TASS 221313Z JUN 25, 221320Z JUN 25, 221322Z JUN 25) demonstrate long-term strategic IO aiming to shape national identity and justify the "special military operation."
- Targeting and Exploiting Ukrainian Media: Continued alarming trend of Ukrainian media (РБК-Україна 221314Z JUN 25) amplifying RUF-fabricated narratives, lending them false credibility.
- Morale/Recruitment/Internal Issues: Mash на Донбассе (221303Z JUN 25) report on a legal dispute involving an SVO fighter indicates domestic issues with military support and welfare. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (221323Z JUN 25) posts a photo from "Dzerzhynske direction" likely intended as a morale boost.
1.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:
- CRITICAL: Verify RUF claims of breakthrough on the Pokrovsk direction (Shevchenko to Karla Marksa/Mirne) and liberation of Perebudova. This requires immediate IMINT/GEOINT and HUMINT. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: BDA, IMINT, GEOINT, HUMINT)
- HIGH: Assess the full operational impact of the UAF GUR strike on the RUF logistics train in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Levaadne-Molochansk). This includes BDA and assessment of RUF alternative supply routes. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: BDA, IMINT, GEOINT)
- HIGH: Evaluate the capabilities and operational readiness of the newly acquired SHARK aircraft with anti-drone EW complex. This is critical for assessing its potential impact on counter-UAV operations. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: IMINT, OSINT, HUMINT)
- CRITICAL: Continue to monitor for any real-world escalation or international policy shifts due to the extreme RUF fabrication of the Iran-Israel/US conflict. This includes closely observing reactions to the claims about US strikes on Iran, crater formation at Fordow, "Midnight Hammer" operation, and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, SIGINT, HUMINT)
2. ENEMY ANALYSIS
2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action:
- Ground Capabilities: RUF continues to demonstrate capability for sustained ground assaults, particularly on the Donetsk axis, aiming for localized breakthroughs and territorial gains. The claims of "methodical breakthrough" and "liberation" indicate continued offensive pressure, likely supported by artillery and air assets.
- Air/Missile Capabilities: While no direct strikes in this update, RUF's previous activities indicate persistent UAV reconnaissance and threat of aviation weapon use, as observed in Zaporizhzhia. Claims of covering (striking) a foreign mercenary point in Kharkiv indicate RUF intent to target high-value UAF and allied personnel.
- Information Warfare Capabilities: RUF IO remains highly sophisticated and adaptive.
- Global Diversion: The "Iran-Israel/US War" fabrication is the cornerstone of RUF's global diversion strategy, now enhanced with fabricated "expert analysis" (Рыбарь), and direct targeting of global economic stability via the Strait of Hormuz narrative. The sheer volume and detail are designed to overwhelm and confuse.
- Domestic Narrative Control: The public statements by Peskov and the announcement of new history textbooks demonstrate a systemic effort to control the domestic information space, shaping public opinion and justifying the ongoing conflict by linking it to historical narratives (e.g., WWII).
- Intentions: RUF intends to:
- Maintain Offensive Pressure: Continue ground assaults, especially on the Donetsk axis, to achieve incremental territorial gains and exhaust UAF defenses.
- Maximize Global Diversion: Use the fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" to an extreme degree to monopolize international attention and resources, drawing focus away from Ukraine. The inclusion of fabricated international reactions aims to make the narrative more believable.
- Justify Domestic Actions & Shape Future Generations: The emphasis on new history textbooks and control of Putin's narrative aims to solidify domestic support for the war, portraying it as a necessary defense of national interests and values for future generations.
- Degrade UAF Capabilities: Target UAF personnel and logistics, as evidenced by claims of striking mercenary points and the real UAF strike on a RUF logistics train.
2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations:
- RUF: Intensification of ground claims in Donetsk (Pokrovsk direction). The further sophistication of the "Iran-Israel/US War" narrative, including fabricated "reactions" from international figures and media analyses, marks an adaptation in their IO strategy to make the false narrative more complex and harder to unravel.
- UAF: Demonstrated effective kinetic interdiction against RUF logistics (train strike). Acquisition of EW-equipped aircraft (SHARK) shows a critical adaptation to counter RUF's prolific UAV use.
2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status:
- RUF: The UAF GUR strike on a RUF logistics train carrying diesel and lubricants (221328Z JUN 25) is a significant blow to RUF sustainment in occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast. This highlights RUF reliance on rail for bulk transport and the vulnerability of these supply lines.
- UAF: Demonstrated ability to disrupt RUF logistics.
2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness:
- RUF: Highly effective C2 for kinetic operations (claimed ground assaults) and exceptionally sophisticated and coordinated control over the information environment. The rapid and consistent propagation of complex fabricated narratives, including mock Pentagon briefings and detailed battle reports, indicates a centralized and adaptive IO structure. Their ability to influence even Ukrainian media outlets (РБК-Україна) demonstrates alarming reach. Their domestic C2 is focused on narrative control and long-term ideological shaping.
- UAF: Effective AD C2 for issuing timely alerts. Effective C2 for special operations (GUR train strike). Continued vulnerability in the information domain needs urgent C2 intervention to prevent self-inflicted damage through amplification of RUF narratives.
2.5. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:
- CRITICAL: Assess the actual impact of RUF's claimed "liberation" of Perebudova and breakthrough towards Mirnohrad.
- CRITICAL: Determine if the RUF claims of Iran suppressing navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and threatening its closure are having any real-world impact on shipping or international economic activity.
- HIGH: Evaluate the capabilities and deployment of the newly acquired SHARK aircraft with anti-drone EW complex.
3. FRIENDLY FORCES
3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness:
- Defensive Posture: UAF AD maintains vigilance, with air alarms being managed. Continued defensive actions on the Pokrovsk direction.
- Offensive Capabilities: UAF GUR demonstrates effective offensive capabilities against RUF logistics in occupied territories, signaling continued reach and precision.
- Readiness: Acquisition of the SHARK aircraft with EW capabilities shows proactive adaptation to evolving battlefield needs, enhancing readiness against UAV threats. Official operational updates by the General Staff and promotion of commemorative content aim to maintain public morale and national unity.
3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks:
- Successes:
- Logistics Interdiction (CRITICAL): Successful UAF GUR strike on a RUF logistics train in occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast (221328Z JUN 25) is a significant operational success, disrupting RUF supply lines.
- Counter-UAV Capability: Acquisition of the SHARK aircraft with EW complex (221316Z JUN 25) is a vital improvement in UAF counter-drone capabilities.
- Setbacks:
- Persistent Ground Pressure: Continued RUF claims of breakthroughs and territorial gains in Donetsk Oblast indicate sustained pressure on UAF defensive lines. These claims require urgent verification.
- Information Warfare Penetration (CRITICAL): Alarmingly, prominent Ukrainian media outlets (e.g., РБК-Україна) continue to amplify RUF's extreme and fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" narrative, lending it significant credibility and undermining Ukrainian IO efforts. This remains a critical vulnerability.
3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints:
- Counter-IO Capabilities: Urgent need for robust and proactive counter-disinformation capabilities to inoculate Ukrainian public and media from sophisticated RUF fabrications, especially those amplified by local outlets.
- ISR Assets: Continued demand for ISR assets to verify RUF ground claims and assess the impact of UAF strikes.
- Air Defense/EW: Need for continued and accelerated deployment of EW systems, particularly counter-drone capabilities, to mitigate RUF's persistent UAV threat.
3.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:
4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT
4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns:
- Russian:
- CRITICAL AND EXTREME ESCALATION: "Iran-Israel/US War" Fabrication continues at unprecedented levels of detail and aggression:
- Fabricated "Proof": New "satellite images" and continued dissemination of existing ones over Fordow (НгП раZVедка 221309Z JUN 25).
- Fabricated US/Israeli Actions & Statements: Claims of US Pentagon statements about "destroying Iran's nuclear program" (Операция Z 221304Z JUN 25, WarGonzo 221310Z JUN 25), and fabricated quotes from Ursula von der Leyen (Janus Putkonen 221326Z JUN 25).
- Economic Threat: Widespread claims of Iran's parliament deciding to "block the Strait of Hormuz" (TASS 221302Z JUN 25, Alex Parker Returns 221315Z JUN 25), directly targeting global economic stability.
- "Analysis" of Reactions: Рыбарь's "analysis" of how foreign media and politicians reacted to the alleged US strike (221324Z JUN 25) is a new layer designed to give the fabrication a veneer of analytical depth.
- Historical Revisionism/Justification (Long-term Strategy): Putin's messaging and the announcement of new unified history textbooks for grades 9-11 from 2026, explicitly including a section on the "special operation" (TASS 221313Z JUN 25, 221320Z JUN 25, 221322Z JUN 25), demonstrate a deliberate, long-term strategy to indoctrinate future generations and legitimize the war in Ukraine within a revised historical context.
- Domestic Issues & Morale: Report on legal dispute with a military-legal center (Mash на Донбассе 221303Z JUN 25) indicates some domestic issues for SVO personnel, which RUF channels may try to manage. Morale boosting via photos from "Dzerzhynske direction" (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 221323Z JUN 25).
- Ukrainian:
- Tactical Successes: GUR's report of a successful strike on a RUF logistics train (БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС 221328Z JUN 25) provides positive battlefield news and boosts morale. STERNENKO's (221301Z JUN 25) video showing engagement with RUF on Pokrovsk direction.
- Force Modernization: News of the "SHARK" aircraft acquisition (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS 221316Z JUN 25) promotes a narrative of technological advancement and adaptation.
- CRITICAL VULNERABILITY: The continued, widespread amplification of RUF's fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" narrative by prominent Ukrainian media channels (РБК-Україна 221314Z JUN 25) is highly problematic. This directly undermines UAF IO and lends credibility to dangerous RUF disinformation. This is a severe threat to the Ukrainian information space.
4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors:
- Ukrainian: Morale boosted by reported GUR success against RUF logistics. The acquisition of new EW-equipped aircraft is positive. However, persistent RUF ground pressure and the pervasive nature of RUF disinformation, particularly its amplification by Ukrainian media, could create confusion and undermine trust.
- Russian: Putin's continued focus on historical narratives aims to solidify public support, instill a sense of patriotic duty, and prepare the population for continued conflict. The extreme "Iran-Israel/US War" fabrication, if widely believed, could foster a sense of global crisis and justify RUF's actions domestically, while distracting from the war in Ukraine. The report on issues with a military legal center could potentially negatively impact morale among SVO personnel if it gains wider traction.
4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments:
- Global Diversion at Extreme Level: The RUF fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" continues to be the dominant, manufactured global event, with increasingly aggressive claims about US/Israeli strikes and Iranian retaliation (Strait of Hormuz closure). The explicit targeting of global economic stability via the Strait of Hormuz narrative is a direct attempt to force a global reaction. The false claims of US/EU statements and Russian MFA's hypocritical condemnations aim to further confuse international perception and divide alliances.
- Ukrainian Diplomacy: The focus remains on defending against RUF aggression and internal governance. The continued amplification of RUF narratives by Ukrainian media poses a risk to Ukraine's international image as a victim of aggression and a reliable source of information.
4.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:
5. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS
5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA):
- Sustained Kinetic Operations and Extreme IO with Internal Messaging: RUF will continue high-intensity ground assaults on the Donetsk axis (Pokrovsk direction), seeking to exploit any perceived UAF weaknesses and claim further territorial gains. Air and UAV activity will persist across key operational areas. In the information environment, RUF will maintain the extreme "Iran-Israel/US War" fabrication, introducing new "evidence," fabricated "official statements," and "economic impacts" (e.g., Strait of Hormuz) to further divert global attention. Concurrently, RUF will increase domestic messaging focused on historical revisionism and justification of the "special operation" for long-term societal control and mobilization. RUF will continue to exploit Ukrainian media channels as conduits for their disinformation, potentially targeting other Ukrainian social or political figures with fabricated statements. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA):
- Accelerated Offensive with Fabricated Global Pretext and Cyber Warfare: RUF launches a coordinated, large-scale ground offensive on a strategic axis (e.g., Sumy, Kharkiv, or a concentrated breakthrough in Donetsk) under the direct cover of a staged, high-impact false-flag event linked to the fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War." This false flag could involve an attack on RUF territory or an incident in Ukraine attributed to a "third party" (e.g., "Iranian retaliation," "US-sponsored terrorism") to justify a full-scale RUF escalation. This would be accompanied by simultaneous, widespread cyber-attacks targeting critical Ukrainian infrastructure (energy, communications, financial) to sow chaos and disrupt UAF C2 and public services, leveraging the global confusion created by the fabricated conflict. The timing would likely be chosen to maximize impact on international decision-making and capitalize on domestic historical narratives. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points:
- Immediate (Next 0-6 hours, starting from 221330Z JUN 25):
- RUF: Expect continued high volume of fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" narratives including new "satellite images," "official statements," and "economic impacts." Expect continued claims of advances on the Donetsk axis. RUF domestic propaganda will continue to reinforce WWII analogies and patriotic themes, especially with the 22 June historical focus.
- UAF Decision Point: Rapidly assess and respond to RUF claims of ground advances in Donetsk, confirming or denying them with immediate ISR. Immediately and aggressively counter RUF's latest fabrications regarding the "Iran-Israel/US War," paying special attention to the alarming amplification by Ukrainian media. Publicly address the infiltration of disinformation into Ukrainian information space. Leverage verified Ukrainian successes (GUR train strike, SHARK acquisition) as counter-narratives.
- Short-term (Next 24-72 hours):
- RUF: Expect a potential increase in ground activity and claimed territorial gains on one or more axes, potentially under the cover of continued, highly complex, fabricated global events. The focus on Strait of Hormuz could indicate a new phase of economic warfare. The long-term plan to embed "special operation" narratives into school textbooks will likely be further highlighted.
- UAF Decision Point: Prepare for and respond to potential shifts in RUF ground operations, particularly if they attempt to capitalize on the fabricated global crisis. Intensify counter-IO efforts, potentially engaging with Ukrainian media outlets directly to address the spread of RUF disinformation. Continue to rapidly integrate and deploy new counter-UAV capabilities. Intensify diplomatic efforts to ensure international focus remains on the war in Ukraine and to expose the dangerous nature of RUF's disinformation and its long-term societal control objectives.
6. RECOMMENDATIONS
6.1. Intelligence & Special Operations:
- IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Prioritize all-source ISR to verify RUF claims of breakthrough on the Pokrovsk direction (Shevchenko to Karla Marksa/Mirne) and liberation of Perebudova. This requires rapid tasking of IMINT/GEOINT assets.
- IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Conduct immediate, in-depth BDA for the UAF GUR strike on the RUF logistics train in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Assess the full impact on RUF fuel and lubricant supply for the Southern front and identify any alternative RUF logistics strategies.
- IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Launch a dedicated, multi-agency effort to forensically analyze and publicly debunk RUF's escalating "Iran-Israel/US War" fabrications, especially those involving "satellite images" and "official statements." This must include direct engagement with and correction of Ukrainian media outlets (e.g., РБК-Україна) that are amplifying these dangerous narratives. Develop and disseminate clear guidelines for identifying and countering RUF disinformation for Ukrainian media and public.
- HIGH: Evaluate the full operational capabilities and planned deployment of the newly acquired SHARK aircraft with anti-drone EW complex. Provide intelligence to support its optimal integration into UAF operations.
- ONGOING: Continue to monitor RUF domestic propaganda, particularly the long-term strategy of historical revisionism in textbooks, to anticipate and counter their implications for the war and domestic mobilization.
6.2. Air Defense & Force Protection:
- IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain maximum AD readiness across all oblasts, especially those under persistent RUF ground pressure or with strategic infrastructure.
- URGENT: Prioritize rapid deployment and integration of the SHARK aircraft to areas with high UAV activity to enhance counter-drone capabilities.
- ONGOING: Enhance civilian defense measures and public warnings in areas under persistent air threat, especially regarding UAVs and potential artillery/KAB strikes supporting RUF ground advances.
6.3. Ground Forces:
- IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Reinforce defensive lines on the Pokrovsk direction to repel RUF assaults and prevent any actual breakthroughs. Prepare for counter-attacks once RUF momentum wanes.
- IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Capitalize on the successful strike against RUF logistics in the Southern direction. Explore opportunities for further interdiction operations against RUF supply lines.
- URGENT: Continue to leverage asymmetric advantages against RUF, including drone operations and intelligence-driven kinetic strikes, to disrupt RUF concentrations and logistics.
6.4. Information Operations & Diplomatic:
- IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Launch an aggressive, globally coordinated IO campaign to expose Russia's "Iran-Israel/US War" fabrication, emphasizing the extreme danger of manufacturing international conflicts and attempting to target global trade. Explicitly name and shame Ukrainian media outlets that are inadvertently or directly amplifying RUF disinformation, and work with them to correct their reporting. Propose joint counter-disinformation efforts with international partners.
- URGENT: Leverage verified Ukrainian successes (e.g., GUR train strike, SHARK acquisition) and demonstrations of governance to counter RUF's narrative of dominance and to maintain international support.
- ONGOING: Intensify diplomatic efforts to ensure international focus remains on the war in Ukraine and to expose the dangerous nature of RUF's disinformation, including its long-term strategic objectives demonstrated by the new history textbooks. Continue to communicate the human cost of the conflict and the need for continued international assistance.