INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR)
TIME: 221300Z JUN 25
1. SITUATION OVERVIEW
1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain:
- Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Active reconnaissance UAVs (RUF) reported at 221243Z JUN 25, followed by threat of aviation weapon use (RUF) at 221251Z JUN 25. This indicates continued RUF aerial surveillance and potential for kinetic strikes. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
- Kherson Oblast (Kakhovka): Ukrainian channel Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts video depicting damage and dilapidation in Kakhovka, attributing it to RUF occupation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on observation, ANALYTICAL JUDGEMENT on attribution)
- RUF Territory (Unspecified): Fighterbomber posts a photo of a "new helicopter in a new shelter" at 221232Z JUN 25. This may be a propaganda image to demonstrate RUF air asset protection or new acquisitions, or a deliberate misdirection. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim, LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity/implications)
- International (Fabricated - Fordow Nuclear Facility, Iran): Continued extreme RUF fabrication. Alex Parker Returns posts "more satellite images" of "holes clearly visible" at 221232Z JUN 25. Colonelcassad posts satellite images of "traces of bomb hits on the rock mass above the Fordow object" at 221245Z JUN 25. НгП раZVедка further disseminates these "satellite images" at 221254Z JUN 25. Рыбарь provides "Military Intelligence Analysis: Operation MIDNIGHT HAMMER," stating it was a "Kansas City Shuffle" maneuver where "real action is happening elsewhere." (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF fabrication, LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity)
- International (Fabricated - Strait of Hormuz): Colonelcassad (221254Z JUN 25) and НгП раZVедка (221257Z JUN 25) claim "Iran's parliament unanimously decided to block the Strait of Hormuz." TASS (221255Z JUN 25) quotes Iranian Foreign Minister as not excluding the option of closing the Strait. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF fabrication, LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity)
- International (Fabricated - US/Pentagon Statements): Kotsnews claims "Pentagon: No return fire" at 221231Z JUN 25. Оперативний ЗСУ (Ukrainian channel) posts a fabricated Pentagon statement that the "operation to strike Iran was prepared for weeks with high precision and secrecy" at 221236Z JUN 25. РБК-Україна (Ukrainian channel) quotes "Pentagon chief showered Trump with compliments" at 221235Z JUN 25, and provides a "Chronology of Operation 'Midnight Hammer' against Iran" at 221258Z JUN 25. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (Ukrainian channel) quotes Russian MFA claiming "US has no right to irresponsibly shell a sovereign state" at 221250Z JUN 25. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF fabrication, LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity)
- International (Fabricated - Israel/Iran): Операция Z claims "Israel struck Bushehr airport and a number of military facilities in Iran" at 221239Z JUN 25, accompanied by images of explosions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF fabrication, LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity)
- RUF Domestic: TASS continues to publish content regarding Putin's meetings with history textbook authors, emphasizing "national memory and generational continuity" (221231Z JUN 25, 221233Z JUN 25, 221238Z JUN 25, 221245Z JUN 25, 221246Z JUN 25, 221248Z JUN 25). TASS also shows a memorial ceremony for "Day of Memory and Sorrow" at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier (221253Z JUN 25). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a photo of VDV merchandise (221257Z JUN 25). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
- UAF Domestic: Zelenskiy / Official posts photos from a report by the Minister of Internal Affairs (221234Z JUN 25). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a photo with a humorous caption (221235Z JUN 25). Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими posts a memorial message for 22 June (221236Z JUN 25). РБК-Україна reports on a fraud case reaching Zelensky (221239Z JUN 25). РБК-Україна also posts a weather alert for Kyiv (221245Z JUN 25). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors:
- Kyiv Oblast: Thunderstorms expected in the next hour and until the end of the day (РБК-Україна 221245Z JUN 25). This may impact UAV operations and ground visibility. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
- Other areas: No significant changes to previous assessment. Conditions remain conducive to UAV and air operations generally. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures:
- Ukrainian Forces (UAF):
- Air Defense (AD): Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues an alert for reconnaissance UAV activity and threat of aviation weapon use in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (221243Z JUN 25, 221251Z JUN 25), demonstrating continued vigilance and early warning capabilities.
- Ground Forces: Сили оборони Півдня України posts a video claiming successful "complex fire damage" against RUF targets, including a burning train (221253Z JUN 25), indicating successful kinetic engagements in the Southern operational zone.
- Internal Affairs/Governance: Zelenskiy meeting with Minister of Internal Affairs (221234Z JUN 25) indicates ongoing focus on internal security and civil administration. РБК-Україна reporting on fraud case reaching Zelensky (221239Z JUN 25) suggests efforts to address internal issues.
- Information Operations (IO): Ukrainian channels continue to be vulnerable to RUF IO, as evidenced by РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ amplifying fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" narratives.
- Russian Forces (RUF):
- Kinetic Operations: Continued reconnaissance UAV activity and aviation weapon threat in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Claims of successes on the South Donetsk direction by Два майора (221240Z JUN 25), though lacking direct evidence in the provided messages.
- Information Operations (IO):
- Extreme Escalation of "Iran-Israel/US War" fabrication: Multiple RUF channels continue to disseminate highly detailed and increasingly aggressive fabrications. This includes "satellite images" of "bomb hits" on Fordow nuclear facility (Alex Parker Returns 221232Z JUN 25, Colonelcassad 221245Z JUN 25, НгП раZVедка 221254Z JUN 25), claims of "Israel striking Bushehr airport" (Операция Z 221239Z JUN 25), claims of US Pentagon statements about "no return fire" (Kotsnews 221231Z JUN 25), claims of Iranian parliament decision to close Strait of Hormuz (Colonelcassad 221254Z JUN 25, НгП раZVедка 221257Z JUN 25) and Iranian MFA not excluding this (TASS 221255Z JUN 25). The narrative is further complicated by Рыбарь's "Kansas City Shuffle" analogy, suggesting a deeper, hidden RUF agenda.
- Exploitation of Ukrainian Media: Continued alarming trend of Ukrainian media (РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS) amplifying RUF-fabricated narratives, lending them false credibility.
- Domestic Propaganda: Putin's continued focus on "national memory," "generational continuity," and "new history textbooks" (TASS messages) on June 22nd (the anniversary of Nazi Germany's invasion of the USSR) reinforces the historical narrative for domestic audiences, attempting to draw parallels with the current conflict. Russian MOD and veterans lay wreaths at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier (TASS 221253Z JUN 25), a clear commemorative event.
- Morale/Recruitment: Fighterbomber's helicopter photo and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺's VDV merchandise serve as morale boosters and possibly recruitment material.
1.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:
- CRITICAL: Verify the nature and extent of the reported "complex fire damage" by UAF (Сили оборони Півдня України 221253Z JUN 25) against RUF targets, specifically the burning train. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: BDA, IMINT, GEOINT)
- CRITICAL: Assess the operational status and implications of the helicopter shown by Fighterbomber (221232Z JUN 25) – is it a new asset, a repaired one, or purely propaganda? (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: IMINT, OSINT)
- CRITICAL: Continue to monitor for any real-world escalation or international policy shifts due to the extreme RUF fabrication of the Iran-Israel/US conflict. This includes closely observing reactions to the claims about US strikes on Iran, crater formation at Fordow, "Midnight Hammer" operation, and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, SIGINT, HUMINT)
- HIGH: Assess the significance of the damage depicted in Kakhovka (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 221254Z JUN 25) and its implications for civilian life and potential for future operations. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: GEOINT, HUMINT)
2. ENEMY ANALYSIS
2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action:
- Air/Missile Capabilities: RUF continues to demonstrate persistent reconnaissance and strike capabilities, as indicated by active UAVs and threat of aviation weapons in Zaporizhzhia. The claim of a "new helicopter in a new shelter" (Fighterbomber) suggests efforts to protect valuable air assets.
- Information Warfare Capabilities: RUF IO capabilities are operating at an unprecedented, extreme level. New elements include:
- Hyper-realistic Fabrications: Presentation of seemingly authentic "satellite images" (Alex Parker Returns, Colonelcassad, НгП раZVедка) and "official statements" (Kotsnews, Operativny ZSU, РБК-Україна) to lend credibility to the fabricated Iran-Israel/US conflict.
- Direct Attribution to Israel: Claims that Israel, not just the US, is striking Iran (Операция Z) further complicates the narrative and expands the list of actors.
- Exploiting International Law: Russian MFA's statement (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS) condemning "irresponsible shelling of a sovereign state" by the US is hypocritical but serves to project an image of adherence to international law while accusing others, likely a veiled attempt to legitimize its own aggression in Ukraine.
- Economic Threat Extension: Intensification of claims about Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz, directly threatening global oil supply chains and intending to generate economic panic.
- Propagandist Complexity: Рыбарь's "Kansas City Shuffle" analogy hints at a layered deception, suggesting to RUF audiences that there is a deeper, concealed plan behind the public narrative.
- Intentions: RUF intends to:
- Maximize Global Diversion: Continue to escalate and refine the fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" to an extreme degree, aiming to completely monopolize international attention and divert resources from Ukraine. The intricate details and alleged "evidence" are designed to overwhelm and confuse international media and decision-makers.
- Justify Domestic Actions: Reinforce the narrative of a historic struggle and national unity on "Day of Memory and Sorrow" (June 22nd), aligning domestic sentiment with the ongoing war in Ukraine. The emphasis on "new history textbooks" further solidifies this narrative.
- Maintain Kinetic Pressure: Continue air/UAV reconnaissance and potential strikes in key operational areas like Zaporizhzhia.
2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations:
- RUF: Marked increase in the detail and scope of the fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" narrative, including specific military operational names ("Midnight Hammer"), alleged munitions used (B-2 bombers, bunker busters), and fabricated diplomatic responses (China's condemnation). The focus on disrupting navigation in the Strait of Hormuz indicates a new, economically impactful layer to the fabricated conflict. Continued efforts to collect funds for military personnel (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 221221Z JUN 25).
- UAF: Successful counter-offensive resulting in the liberation of Andriyivka in Sumy Oblast. Acquisition of new anti-drone EW equipped aircraft (SHARK) demonstrates adaptive procurement for modern warfare. Active diplomatic engagement via high-level meetings. Imposition of new sanctions against collaborators, showing proactive internal measures.
2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status:
- RUF: Continued reliance on public fundraising for military equipment (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 221257Z JUN 25) suggests ongoing, though perhaps localized, logistical requirements for frontline units. Fighterbomber's "new helicopter in a new shelter" suggests investment in protecting high-value air assets.
- UAF: Successful UAF strike on a RUF train (Сили оборони Півдня України 221253Z JUN 25) indicates disruption to RUF logistics, potentially affecting fuel or materiel supply to the Southern front.
2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness:
- RUF: Highly effective C2 for kinetic operations and exceptionally sophisticated and coordinated control over the information environment. The rapid and consistent propagation of complex fabricated narratives, including mock Pentagon briefings and detailed battle reports, indicates a centralized and adaptive IO structure. The explicit targeting of Ukrainian media channels for amplification demonstrates C2 over their dissemination networks.
- UAF: Effective AD C2 for issuing timely alerts. Effective strategic communication and diplomatic engagement at the highest levels. Internal governance and law enforcement functions appear active (Zelensky meeting with Minister of Internal Affairs, fraud investigation).
2.5. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:
- CRITICAL: Assess the actual impact of RUF's claimed destruction of UAF assets as per Воин DV's video (221212Z JUN 25).
- CRITICAL: Determine if the RUF claims of Iran suppressing navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and threatening its closure are having any real-world impact on shipping or international economic activity.
- HIGH: Evaluate the capabilities and deployment of the newly acquired SHARK aircraft with anti-drone EW complex.
3. FRIENDLY FORCES
3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness:
- Defensive Posture: UAF AD maintains vigilance, issuing timely aviation weapon and UAV threats, particularly in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
- Offensive Capabilities: Demonstrated by successful "complex fire damage" on RUF targets, including a train, by Southern Defense Forces.
- Readiness: Zelenskiy's engagement with the Minister of Internal Affairs indicates ongoing focus on internal stability and governance, crucial for overall national readiness. Ukrainian channels actively participate in memorializing historical events (June 22nd), reinforcing national identity and resilience.
3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks:
- Successes:
- Logistics Interdiction: Successful UAF strike on a RUF train in the Southern direction (Сили оборони Півдня України 221253Z JUN 25).
- Internal Governance: High-level meetings addressing internal issues (Zelensky with Minister of Internal Affairs, fraud case investigation) demonstrate governmental functionality and responsiveness.
- Setbacks:
- Persistent Air Threats: Continued reconnaissance UAV activity and aviation weapon threats in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
- Information Warfare Penetration: Alarmingly, several prominent Ukrainian media outlets (РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS) are actively amplifying RUF's extreme and fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" narrative, lending it significant credibility and undermining Ukrainian IO efforts. This is a critical vulnerability.
- Occupied Territory Conditions: The video from Kakhovka (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 221254Z JUN 25) visually depicts the dilapidation and damage under RUF occupation, a setback for civilian life and a challenge for future liberation and reconstruction.
3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints:
- Counter-IO Capabilities: Urgent need for robust and proactive counter-disinformation capabilities to inoculate Ukrainian public and media from sophisticated RUF fabrications, especially those amplified by local outlets.
- Air Defense: Continued demand for AD assets to counter RUF aviation and UAV threats.
3.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:
4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT
4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns:
- Russian:
- CRITICAL AND EXTREME ESCALATION: "Iran-Israel/US War" Fabrication continues at unprecedented levels of detail and aggression:
- Fabricated "Proof": New "satellite images" with "clear holes" over Fordow (Alex Parker Returns 221232Z JUN 25, Colonelcassad 221245Z JUN 25, НгП раZVедка 221254Z JUN 25).
- Fabricated US/Israeli Actions: Claims of US Pentagon statements about "no return fire" (Kotsnews 221231Z JUN 25), and "Israel struck Bushehr airport" (Операция Z 221239Z JUN 25).
- Economic Threat: Widespread claims of Iran's parliament deciding to "block the Strait of Hormuz" (Colonelcassad 221254Z JUN 25, НгП раZVедка 221257Z JUN 25) and Iranian FM "not excluding" it (TASS 221255Z JUN 25). This directly targets global economic stability.
- Hypocritical Condemnation: Russian MFA statement, amplified by ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, condemning US strikes as "gross violation of international law" (221250Z JUN 25) – a blatant projection given Russia's own actions in Ukraine.
- Complex Deception: Рыбарь's "Kansas City Shuffle" analogy (221232Z JUN 25) suggests a deeper, hidden RUF strategic intent behind the overt Iran narrative.
- Historical Revisionism/Justification: Putin's continued emphasis on "national memory," "generational continuity," and "new history textbooks" on the 22nd of June (anniversary of Operation Barbarossa) serves to connect the current conflict to the "Great Patriotic War," portraying it as an existential struggle for Russia. This is further reinforced by the Ministry of Defense memorial ceremony.
- Morale Boosting: Fighterbomber's photo of a helicopter in a new shelter and VDV merchandise serve to boost morale and present an image of RUF strength and resilience.
- Ukrainian:
- Tactical Successes: Southern Defense Forces reporting a successful strike on a RUF train (221253Z JUN 25) provides positive battlefield news.
- Government Functionality: Zelenskiy's public meeting with the Minister of Internal Affairs (221234Z JUN 25) and reporting on internal fraud investigations (РБК-Україна 221239Z JUN 25) demonstrate transparent governance.
- Commemorative Messaging: The Coordination Staff for POWs' memorial message for June 22nd (221236Z JUN 25) acknowledges a solemn historical date, promoting national unity and memory.
- CRITICAL VULNERABILITY: The continued, widespread amplification of RUF's fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" narrative by prominent Ukrainian media channels (РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS) is highly problematic. This directly undermines UAF IO and lends credibility to dangerous RUF disinformation. This is a severe threat to the Ukrainian information space.
4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors:
- Ukrainian: Positive impact from reported successful strike against RUF logistics. However, persistent air threats (Zaporizhzhia) and the visual evidence of damage in occupied territories (Kakhovka) remain sources of concern. The infiltration of RUF disinformation into Ukrainian media could cause confusion and undermine trust.
- Russian: Putin's continued focus on historical narratives and ceremonies surrounding June 22nd aims to solidify public support, instill a sense of patriotic duty, and prepare the population for continued conflict. The extreme "Iran-Israel/US War" fabrication, if widely believed, could foster a sense of global crisis and justify RUF's actions domestically, while distracting from the war in Ukraine.
4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments:
- Global Diversion at Extreme Level: The RUF fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" is now the dominant, manufactured global event, with increasingly aggressive claims about US/Israeli strikes and Iranian retaliation (Strait of Hormuz closure). The explicit targeting of global economic stability via the Strait of Hormuz narrative is a direct attempt to force a global reaction. The false claims of US statements and Russian MFA's hypocritical condemnations aim to further confuse international perception and divide alliances.
- Ukrainian Diplomacy: The focus remains on addressing internal security and defending against RUF aggression. The continued amplification of RUF narratives by Ukrainian media poses a risk to Ukraine's international image as a victim of aggression and a reliable source of information.
4.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:
5. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS
5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA):
- Sustained Kinetic Operations and Extreme IO: RUF will continue high-intensity air and missile threats across various Ukrainian oblasts, including further aviation weapon threats and attack UAVs (Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv). Ground operations will likely involve continued localized assaults and claimed successes (e.g., as per Два майора's claims). In the information environment, RUF will continue to escalate and refine the fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War," introducing new layers of "evidence," "official statements" (fabricated Pentagon briefings, Chinese condemnations), and strategic consequences (Strait of Hormuz closure, oil prices) to further divert global attention. Expect continued domestic propaganda leveraging WWII analogies and nationalistic themes to justify further actions, especially around historical dates. RUF will continue to exploit Ukrainian media channels as conduits for their disinformation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA):
- Major Offensive with Global Catalyst & Internal Destabilization: RUF launches a major, multi-pronged ground offensive on one or more axes (e.g., Sumy, Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia) under the direct cover of a staged, high-impact false-flag event linked to the fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War." This false flag could be an attack on Russian territory or a significant incident in Ukraine attributed to a "third party" (e.g., "Iranian retaliation," "US-sponsored terrorism") to justify a full-scale RUF escalation. Concurrently, RUF will launch a coordinated cyber-attack or information operation designed to severely disrupt Ukrainian communication infrastructure and internal governance, potentially using the fabricated "global crisis" as a distraction for these internal destabilization efforts. The timing would likely align with the ongoing June 22nd historical narrative. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points:
- Immediate (Next 0-6 hours, starting from 221300Z JUN 25):
- RUF: Expect continued high volume of fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" narratives including new "satellite images," "official statements," and "economic impacts." New aviation weapon threats (Zaporizhzhia) indicate ongoing air activity. Expect continued domestic propaganda reinforcing WWII analogies and patriotic themes.
- UAF Decision Point: Maintain heightened AD readiness for all threatened oblasts, particularly Zaporizhzhia. Immediately and aggressively counter RUF's latest fabrications regarding the "Iran-Israel/US War," paying special attention to the alarming amplification by Ukrainian media. Publicly address the infiltration of disinformation into Ukrainian information space. Leverage verified Ukrainian successes (Southern Defense Forces train strike) as counter-narratives.
- Short-term (Next 24-72 hours):
- RUF: Expect a potential increase in ground activity and claimed territorial gains on one or more axes, potentially under the cover of continued, highly complex, fabricated global events. The focus on Strait of Hormuz could indicate a new phase of economic warfare.
- UAF Decision Point: Prepare for and respond to potential shifts in RUF ground operations, particularly if they attempt to capitalize on the fabricated global crisis. Intensify counter-IO efforts, potentially engaging with Ukrainian media outlets directly to address the spread of RUF disinformation. Continue to rapidly integrate and deploy new counter-UAV capabilities. Intensify diplomatic efforts to ensure international focus remains on the war in Ukraine and to expose the dangerous nature of RUF's disinformation.
6. RECOMMENDATIONS
6.1. Intelligence & Special Operations:
- IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain continuous, real-time all-source ISR on Zaporizhzhia Oblast for early warning of aviation weapon and reconnaissance UAV launches. Prioritize BDA for the reported UAF strike on the RUF train.
- IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Launch a dedicated, multi-agency effort to forensically analyze and publicly debunk RUF's escalating "Iran-Israel/US War" fabrications. This must include direct engagement with and correction of Ukrainian media outlets (e.g., РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS) that are amplifying these dangerous narratives. Develop and disseminate clear guidelines for identifying and countering RUF disinformation for Ukrainian media and public.
- HIGH: Verify the nature and operational status of the helicopter presented by Fighterbomber. This requires IMINT/OSINT analysis of the image and associated metadata.
- HIGH: Assess the significance of the damage depicted in Kakhovka via IMINT/GEOINT to understand the long-term impact of occupation.
- ONGOING: Continue to monitor RUF domestic propaganda, particularly Putin's historical narratives, to anticipate and counter their implications for the war and domestic mobilization.
6.2. Air Defense & Force Protection:
- IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain maximum AD readiness in Zaporizhzhia Oblast against aviation weapons and reconnaissance UAVs.
- URGENT: Prioritize integration and rapid deployment of the SHARK aircraft to areas with high UAV activity.
- ONGOING: Enhance civilian defense measures and public warnings in areas under persistent air threat, especially regarding UAVs.
6.3. Ground Forces:
- IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Capitalize on the successful strike against RUF logistics in the Southern direction. Explore opportunities for further interdiction operations.
- URGENT: Continue to leverage asymmetric advantages against RUF, including drone operations and intelligence-driven kinetic strikes.
- ONGOING: Monitor RUF ground force activity and claims (e.g., Два майора's claims on South Donetsk direction) to verify and respond appropriately.
6.4. Information Operations & Diplomatic:
- IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Launch an aggressive, globally coordinated IO campaign to expose Russia's "Iran-Israel/US War" fabrication, emphasizing the extreme danger of manufacturing international conflicts and attempting to target global trade. Explicitly name and shame Ukrainian media outlets that are inadvertently or directly amplifying RUF disinformation, and work with them to correct their reporting.
- URGENT: Leverage verified Ukrainian successes (e.g., Southern Defense Forces train strike) and demonstrations of governance (Zelensky meeting with Minister of Internal Affairs) to counter RUF's narrative of dominance and to maintain international support.
- ONGOING: Continue to implement and publicize sanctions against collaborators to demonstrate resolve and consolidate territorial control. Develop and disseminate clear public service announcements on how to identify and resist RUF disinformation.