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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-06-22 12:30:34Z
8 months ago
Previous (2025-06-22 12:03:20Z)

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR)

TIME: 221230Z JUN 25


1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain:

  • Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Pavlohradskyi district): New aviation weapon threat declared for Pavlohradskyi district at 221204Z JUN 25. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Donetsk Oblast (Fordow Nuclear Facility, Iran - Fabricated): ASTRA reports satellite images showing consequences of an attack on the underground Fordow nuclear facility in Iran at 221204Z JUN 25. This is part of the ongoing RUF fabricated conflict narrative. TASS reports three craters formed by US strikes on the Fordow nuclear facility, citing Al Jazeera's analysis of satellite images (221205Z JUN 25). (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF fabrication, LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity)
  • Kharkiv Oblast: New threat of enemy attack UAVs declared for Kharkiv Oblast at 221213Z JUN 25. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Sumy Oblast (Andriyivka): STERNENKO reports liberation of Andriyivka in Sumy Oblast, citing DeepState, at 221221Z JUN 25. This appears to be a confirmation of previous claims. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Persian Gulf (Strait of Hormuz - Fabricated): Военкор Котенок claims Iran is massively suppressing navigation systems in the Strait of Hormuz via EW at 221206Z JUN 25. Два майора reports Iran is going to close the Strait of Hormuz, citing IRGC Navy Commander Alireza Tangsiri (221211Z JUN 25). WarGonzo reiterates that Iran began suppressing navigation in the Strait of Hormuz at 221213Z JUN 25. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF fabrication, LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity)
  • RUF Territory (Unspecified): Воин DV posts video claiming joint operations by 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade and 30th Separate Spetsnaz Company, 36th Army, claiming destruction of UAF assets including vehicles, via aerial observation and targeting (221212Z JUN 25). Fighterbomber posts a message "Trysta!", which is a Ukrainian term (three hundred), implying a high number of something (likely casualties) at 221215Z JUN 25. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claims)
  • International (Unspecified): WarGonzo posts photos related to a graduation ceremony (221205Z JUN 25), with the caption "Today the waltz should have sounded." This is civilian content. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts recruitment information for the military training department of "Kyiv Aviation Institute" (221216Z JUN 25), indicating Ukrainian force generation efforts. TASS posts video of Putin meeting history textbook editors, discussing truth (221221Z JUN 25, 221224Z JUN 25). TASS posts video of Putin discussing traditional values and faith in the Great Patriotic War (WWII) as the basis of victory (221226Z JUN 25). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors:

  • No significant changes to previous assessment. Conditions remain conducive to UAV and air operations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures:

  • Ukrainian Forces (UAF):
    • Air Defense (AD): Issued new aviation weapon threat for Pavlohradskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (221204Z JUN 25) and new threat of enemy attack UAVs for Kharkiv Oblast (221213Z JUN 25), indicating continued vigilance.
    • Ground Forces: STERNENKO reports liberation of Andriyivka in Sumy Oblast, citing DeepState (221221Z JUN 25), indicating successful tactical counter-offensives.
    • Force Generation: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts recruitment information for the military training department of "Kyiv Aviation Institute" (221216Z JUN 25), demonstrating ongoing efforts to expand and train personnel.
    • Diplomatic/IO: Zelenskiy / Official posts video welcoming Norway's Defense Minister Tore Onshuus Sandvik to Ukraine (221212Z JUN 25, also posted by Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration 221222Z JUN 25), indicating continued international cooperation. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 signed a decree on new sanctions against those collaborating with the occupation on Ukrainian land, including Crimea (221205Z JUN 25), indicating measures against collaborators and for territorial integrity. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Ukraine received the first light-engine two-seat SHARK aircraft equipped with an anti-drone EW complex (221224Z JUN 25), highlighting advancements in counter-UAV capabilities.
  • Russian Forces (RUF):
    • Kinetic Operations: Воин DV posts video claiming destruction of Ukrainian Armed Forces assets, including vehicles, by special forces of the 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade and 30th Separate Spetsnaz Company, 36th Army, at 221212Z JUN 25.
    • Information Operations (IO): Continued extreme escalation of the fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" narrative. ASTRA (221204Z JUN 25) reports satellite images of alleged attack consequences on Fordow nuclear facility. RBK-Україна (221205Z JUN 25) amplifies the WSJ claim that Trump assured Iran the strikes were one-time. TASS (221205Z JUN 25) reports three craters formed by US strikes on Fordow, citing Al Jazeera. RBK-Україна (221206Z JUN 25) amplifies the claim that "Hegset: Iran's nuclear ambitions destroyed." Военкор Котенок (221206Z JUN 25) claims Iran is massively suppressing navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. RBK-Україна (221207Z JUN 25) propagates the narrative that "Trump seeks peace. Iran must accept this, - Pentagon." TASS (221209Z JUN 25) claims "Pentagon chief asserts Iran's nuclear ambitions destroyed by US strikes." Рыбарь (221209Z JUN 25) posts a map titled "Threat to US Bases?", indicating continued focus on the fabricated conflict. РБК-Україна (221211Z JUN 25) reports "Hegset: the first use of massive penetrating munitions in the US operation "Midnight Hammer"." Два майора (221211Z JUN 25) reports Iran is going to close the Strait of Hormuz, citing IRGC Navy Commander. Alex Parker Returns (221212Z JUN 25) claims China condemned US strikes on Iran and called for a ceasefire. WarGonzo (221213Z JUN 25) reiterates Iran suppressing navigation in Strait of Hormuz. Операция Z (221214Z JUN 25) amplifies China's condemnation. TASS (221215Z JUN 25) states US used seven B-2 bombers for strikes on Iran. РБК-Україна (221215Z JUN 25) reports "Bombardiers deployed over the Pacific were "bait," part of a deception known only to a small number of planners, - Head of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Dan Kane," trying to add an element of "truth" to the fabricated narrative. TASS (221216Z JUN 25) claims US used 75 precision munitions for strikes on Iran. РБК-Україна (221216Z JUN 25) publishes "Oil will rise to $100? What to expect after the US strike on Iran," attempting to link the fabricated event to economic consequences. РБК-Україна (221217Z JUN 25) reports US used 7 B-2 bombers that dropped 14 bunker-buster bombs. РБК-Україна (221218Z JUN 25) states "Any Iranian response will be a 'bad choice', - Kane." РБК-Україна (221219Z JUN 25) clarifies "This mission was not and is not about regime change. It was a precision strike, - Hegset." TASS (221220Z JUN 25) reiterates the "no regime change" claim. Alex Parker Returns (221225Z JUN 25) posts a summary of the Pentagon briefing, including US destroying Iran's nuclear program, the "Midnight Hammer" operation, and US readiness to respond to Iranian reaction with overwhelming force. Colonelcassad (221226Z JUN 25) posts a diagram of the claimed US aggression against Iran, titled "Midnight Hammer." ASTRA (221227Z JUN 25) reports Pentagon statement on destroying Iran's nuclear program. РБК-Україна (221228Z JUN 25) quotes Hegset stating the mission was against nuclear potential and calls for negotiations.
    • Domestic/Propaganda: WarGonzo (221205Z JUN 25) posts photos of a graduation ceremony, focusing on domestic life. TASS (221203Z JUN 25) posts a video about Telegram use for businesses, general news. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (221221Z JUN 25) posts a video for "Collection for Paratroopers," indicating continued fundraising for military personnel. TASS (221221Z JUN 25, 221224Z JUN 25, 221226Z JUN 25) shows Putin meeting history textbook editors, discussing historical "truth" and traditional values as the basis for victory in the Great Patriotic War, reinforcing the historical narrative.

1.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

  • CRITICAL: Verify the tactical implications and actual damage claimed by Воин DV (221212Z JUN 25) regarding destruction of UAF assets. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: BDA, IMINT, GEOINT)
  • CRITICAL: Continue to monitor for any real-world escalation or international policy shifts due to the extreme RUF fabrication of the Iran-Israel/US conflict. This includes closely observing reactions to the claims about US strikes on Iran, crater formation at Fordow, "Midnight Hammer" operation, and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, SIGINT, HUMINT)
  • HIGH: Assess the significance of the STERNENKO (221221Z JUN 25) claim of UAF liberation of Andriyivka in Sumy Oblast. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: GEOINT, IMINT)
  • HIGH: Assess the impact and capabilities of the newly received SHARK aircraft with anti-drone EW complex. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT)

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action:

  • Air/Missile Capabilities: RUF continues to pose a significant air and missile threat, demonstrated by new aviation weapon threats in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and attack UAV threats in Kharkiv Oblast. The claims of destroying UAF vehicles via aerial observation and targeting (Воин DV 221212Z JUN 25) indicate continued effective reconnaissance and strike capabilities.
  • Information Warfare Capabilities: RUF IO capabilities are extremely robust and adaptive, continuing to escalate the fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" narrative. New elements include:
    • Detailed satellite imagery (fabricated) of Fordow (ASTRA 221204Z JUN 25, TASS 221205Z JUN 25).
    • Fabricated claims from Pentagon officials (Hegset, Kane) regarding US strikes, "Midnight Hammer" operation, destruction of Iran's nuclear program, and the use of B-2 bombers and bunker-buster bombs (РБК-Україна 221206Z JUN 25, 221211Z JUN 25, 221217Z JUN 25, 221218Z JUN 25, 221219Z JUN 25, 221228Z JUN 25, TASS 221209Z JUN 25, 221215Z JUN 25, 221216Z JUN 25, 221220Z JUN 25, Alex Parker Returns 221225Z JUN 25, ASTRA 221227Z JUN 25).
    • Claims of Iran suppressing navigation in Strait of Hormuz and threatening to close it (Военкор Котенок 221206Z JUN 25, Два майора 221211Z JUN 25, WarGonzo 221213Z JUN 25).
    • Attempts to draw other international actors, such as China, into condemning the fabricated US strikes (Alex Parker Returns 221212Z JUN 25, Операция Z 221214Z JUN 25).
    • Linking the fabricated conflict to economic impacts, like rising oil prices (РБК-Україна 221216Z JUN 25).
    • Continued use of domestic narratives emphasizing historical triumph and national unity (Putin's statements on history textbooks and Great Patriotic War (TASS 221221Z JUN 25, 221224Z JUN 25, 221226Z JUN 25).
  • Intentions: RUF intends to:
    • Maintain Kinetic Pressure: Continue air/missile/UAV strikes across various oblasts and claim ground force successes, particularly through propaganda videos.
    • Maximize Global Diversion: Intensify the fabricated Iran-Israel/US conflict to unprecedented levels, drawing in more actors and "evidence," to distract international attention and resources from Ukraine. The focus on US strikes on Iran and threats to the Strait of Hormuz aims to create maximum global instability.
    • Legitimize Aggression: Use the fabricated conflict and historical narratives (WWII) to justify its own actions in Ukraine and prepare the domestic population for further military action.
    • Demonstrate Anti-Corruption (Internal): The reporting of the Belgorod Vice-Governor's arrest on fraud charges (from previous ISR) could be used to project an image of internal clean-up.

2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations:

  • RUF: Marked increase in the detail and scope of the fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" narrative, including specific military operational names ("Midnight Hammer"), alleged munitions used (B-2 bombers, bunker busters), and fabricated diplomatic responses (China's condemnation). The focus on disrupting navigation in the Strait of Hormuz indicates a new, economically impactful layer to the fabricated conflict. Continued efforts to collect funds for military personnel (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 221221Z JUN 25).
  • UAF: Successful counter-offensive resulting in the liberation of Andriyivka in Sumy Oblast. Acquisition of new anti-drone EW equipped aircraft (SHARK) demonstrates adaptive procurement for modern warfare. Active diplomatic engagement via high-level meetings. Imposition of new sanctions against collaborators, showing proactive internal measures.

2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status:

  • RUF: Continued reliance on public fundraising for military equipment (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 221221Z JUN 25) suggests ongoing, though perhaps localized, logistical requirements for frontline units.
  • UAF: Continued efforts for force generation through recruitment campaigns.

2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness:

  • RUF: Highly effective C2 for kinetic operations and exceptionally sophisticated and coordinated control over the information environment. The rapid and consistent propagation of complex fabricated narratives, including mock Pentagon briefings and detailed battle reports, indicates a centralized and adaptive IO structure.
  • UAF: Effective tactical C2 leading to local counter-offensive successes. Continued effective AD C2 for issuing timely alerts. Effective strategic communication and diplomatic engagement at the highest levels.

2.5. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

  • CRITICAL: Assess the actual impact of RUF's claimed destruction of UAF assets as per Воин DV's video (221212Z JUN 25).
  • CRITICAL: Determine if the RUF claims of Iran suppressing navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and threatening its closure are having any real-world impact on shipping or international economic activity.
  • HIGH: Evaluate the capabilities and deployment of the newly acquired SHARK aircraft with anti-drone EW complex.

3. FRIENDLY FORCES

3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness:

  • Defensive Posture: UAF AD maintains vigilance, issuing timely aviation weapon and UAV threats.
  • Offensive Capabilities: Demonstrated by the reported liberation of Andriyivka in Sumy Oblast. New anti-drone EW equipped aircraft (SHARK) enhance counter-UAV capabilities, providing a tactical advantage.
  • Readiness: General Staff actively recruits for military training, showing commitment to long-term readiness. High-level diplomatic engagements (Defense Minister of Norway visit) indicate international support and efforts to bolster defense capabilities. Active sanctions against collaborators demonstrate internal readiness to consolidate control over Ukrainian territory.

3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks:

  • Successes:
    • Ground Counter-Offensive: Liberation of Andriyivka in Sumy Oblast (STERNENKO 221221Z JUN 25).
    • Force Modernization: Acquisition of the first SHARK aircraft with anti-drone EW complex (Оперативний ЗСУ 221224Z JUN 25).
    • Diplomatic Engagement: Successful visit by Norwegian Defense Minister (Zelenskiy / Official 221212Z JUN 25).
    • Internal Security: Implementation of new sanctions against collaborators (Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 221205Z JUN 25).
  • Setbacks:
    • Continued Air Threats: New aviation weapon and attack UAV threats indicate persistent RUF aerial activity, requiring constant AD readiness.
    • Information Warfare Penetration: RUF's sophisticated fabricated narratives, particularly regarding the "Iran-Israel/US War" continue to be amplified by seemingly neutral or Ukrainian sources (e.g., РБК-Україна), creating a significant vulnerability.

3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints:

  • Air Defense & Counter-UAV Assets: Continued need for advanced AD systems and counter-drone capabilities, particularly for large-scale combined-arms attacks and ubiquitous reconnaissance UAV activity. The SHARK acquisition is a positive step but requires further integration and scaling.
  • Logistics & Personnel: Recruitment efforts for Kyiv Aviation Institute indicate ongoing personnel needs for specialized roles.

3.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

  • NONE.

4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT

4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns:

  • Russian:
    • CRITICAL ESCALATION: "Iran-Israel/US War" Fabrication continues at an extreme level, with new detailed elements:
      • Fabricated "Proof": Satellite images of alleged attack consequences on Fordow (ASTRA 221204Z JUN 25, TASS 221205Z JUN 25), including specific crater counts.
      • Fabricated US Statements: Extensive false quotes from "Pentagon chief Hegset" and "Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Dan Kane" about US strikes, "Operation Midnight Hammer," destruction of Iran's nuclear program, use of B-2 bombers and bunker-buster bombs, US resolve, and "no regime change" (РБК-Україна 221206Z JUN 25, 221211Z JUN 25, 221217Z JUN 25, 221218Z JUN 25, 221219Z JUN 25, 221228Z JUN 25, TASS 221209Z JUN 25, 221215Z JUN 25, 221216Z JUN 25, 221220Z JUN 25, Alex Parker Returns 221225Z JUN 25, ASTRA 221227Z JUN 25).
      • Economic Disruption: Claims of Iran suppressing navigation in Strait of Hormuz and threatening to close it, and discussions of rising oil prices (Военкор Котенок 221206Z JUN 25, Два майора 221211Z JUN 25, WarGonzo 221213Z JUN 25, РБК-Україна 221216Z JUN 25).
      • International Reactions (Fabricated): False claims of China condemning US strikes (Alex Parker Returns 221212Z JUN 25, Операция Z 221214Z JUN 25).
      • Deceptive Nuance: РБК-Україна (221215Z JUN 25) propagating the claim that B-2 bombers were "bait" known only to few planners, indicates an attempt to make the narrative more complex and harder to disprove.
    • Historical Revisionism/Justification: Putin's meeting with history textbook editors, discussing "truth" and the Great Patriotic War's foundation in "traditional values and faith in the Fatherland" (TASS 221221Z JUN 25, 221224Z JUN 25, 221226Z JUN 25), reinforces the narrative that the current conflict is a continuation of Russia's historical struggle against existential threats, aligning with the June 22, 1941, theme.
    • Morale Boosting/Justification: Воин DV's video claiming destruction of UAF assets serves to boost morale and justify RUF actions.
  • Ukrainian:
    • Counter-Offensive Success: Reports on the liberation of Andriyivka (STERNENKO 221221Z JUN 25) provide positive tactical updates.
    • International Partnership: Video of Zelenskiy meeting Norwegian Defense Minister (Zelenskiy / Official 221212Z JUN 25, Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 221222Z JUN 25) highlights strong international support.
    • Force Modernization: News of the SHARK aircraft acquisition (Оперативний ЗСУ 221224Z JUN 25) promotes military innovation and readiness.
    • Internal Consolidation: Announcement of sanctions against collaborators (Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 221205Z JUN 25) aims to strengthen resolve and counter internal threats.
    • Vulnerability to RUF IO: РБК-Україна continues to be a conduit for RUF's fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" narrative, amplifying false claims and "expert" opinions without sufficient critical analysis, which is a significant concern.

4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors:

  • Ukrainian: The liberation of Andriyivka will boost morale. Continued high-level international visits reinforce a sense of sustained support. New sanctions against collaborators aim to consolidate public support against internal threats. The acquisition of advanced anti-drone capabilities can alleviate some anxiety about UAV threats. However, persistent aviation threats (Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv) remain a source of concern.
  • Russian: Putin's public discourse on history and traditional values aims to rally patriotic sentiment and justify the war. Fundraising efforts (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 221221Z JUN 25) attempt to engage the public in supporting the military. The extreme "Iran-Israel/US War" fabrication, if widely believed, could foster a sense of global crisis and justify RUF's actions domestically, while distracting from the war in Ukraine.

4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments:

  • Global Diversion Intensified: The RUF fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" continues to be the dominant, manufactured global event, with increasing complexity and "evidence." The explicit claims of US strikes, involvement of B-2 bombers, bunker busters, and "Midnight Hammer" operation aim to force international actors to react to a non-existent crisis. Threats to the Strait of Hormuz directly target global commerce. The false claims of China's condemnation of US strikes attempt to fracture international alliances.
  • Ukrainian Diplomacy: The visit of the Norwegian Defense Minister signifies continued bilateral cooperation and support. Ukraine's proactive sanctions against collaborators highlight its commitment to territorial integrity and rule of law for the international community.

4.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

  • NONE.

5. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS

5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA):

  • Sustained Kinetic Operations and Extreme IO: RUF will continue high-intensity air and missile threats across various Ukrainian oblasts, including further aviation weapon threats and attack UAVs (Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv). Ground operations will likely involve continued localized assaults and claimed successes (e.g., as per Воин DV's video). In the information environment, RUF will continue to escalate and refine the fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War," introducing new layers of "evidence," "official statements" (fabricated Pentagon briefings, Chinese condemnations), and strategic consequences (Strait of Hormuz closure, oil prices) to further divert global attention. Expect continued domestic propaganda leveraging WWII analogies and nationalistic themes to justify further actions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA):

  • Major Offensive with Global Catalyst: RUF launches a major, multi-pronged ground offensive on one or more axes (e.g., Sumy, Kharkiv) under the direct cover of a staged, high-impact false-flag event linked to the fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War." This false flag could be an attack on Russian territory or a significant incident in Ukraine attributed to a "third party" (e.g., "Iranian retaliation," "US-sponsored terrorism") to justify a full-scale RUF escalation. The timing would likely align with the ongoing June 22nd historical narrative. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points:

  • Immediate (Next 0-6 hours, starting from 221230Z JUN 25):
    • RUF: Expect continued high volume of fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War" narratives including new "satellite images," "official statements," and "economic impacts." New aviation weapon threats (Dnipropetrovsk) and attack UAV threats (Kharkiv) indicate ongoing air activity. Expect continued domestic propaganda reinforcing WWII analogies and patriotic themes.
    • UAF Decision Point: Maintain heightened AD readiness for all threatened oblasts. Immediately and aggressively counter RUF's latest fabrications regarding the "Iran-Israel/US War," specifically the detailed claims of US strikes, Pentagon briefings, and the Strait of Hormuz situation. Leverage the liberation of Andriyivka and the acquisition of the SHARK aircraft as counter-narratives to demonstrate Ukrainian strength and resilience. Continue high-level diplomatic engagements.
  • Short-term (Next 24-72 hours):
    • RUF: Expect a potential increase in ground activity and claimed territorial gains on one or more axes, potentially under the cover of continued, highly complex, fabricated global events. The focus on Strait of Hormuz could indicate a new phase of economic warfare.
    • UAF Decision Point: Prepare for and respond to potential shifts in RUF ground operations, particularly if they attempt to capitalize on the fabricated global crisis. Continue to rapidly integrate and deploy new counter-UAV capabilities. Intensify diplomatic efforts to ensure international focus remains on the war in Ukraine and to expose the dangerous nature of RUF's disinformation.

6. RECOMMENDATIONS

6.1. Intelligence & Special Operations:

  1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain continuous, real-time all-source ISR on Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkiv Oblasts for early warning of aviation weapon and attack UAV launches.
  2. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Launch a dedicated, multi-agency effort to forensically analyze and publicly debunk RUF's escalating "Iran-Israel/US War" fabrications. Focus on the fabricated Pentagon briefings, US strike claims, Strait of Hormuz narrative, and the use of satellite imagery. Actively monitor the content of "neutral" or Ukrainian sources (e.g., РБК-Україна) to identify and counter amplification of RUF disinformation.
  3. HIGH: Confirm the reported liberation of Andriyivka in Sumy Oblast via GEOINT/IMINT. If confirmed, exploit this success for morale and informational purposes.
  4. HIGH: Assess the operational capabilities and deployment timeline of the newly received SHARK aircraft with anti-drone EW complex. Provide recommendations for its optimal use.
  5. ONGOING: Continue to monitor RUF domestic propaganda, particularly Putin's historical narratives, to anticipate and counter their implications for the war.

6.2. Air Defense & Force Protection:

  1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain maximum AD readiness in Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkiv Oblasts against aviation weapons and attack UAVs.
  2. URGENT: Prioritize integration and rapid deployment of the SHARK aircraft to areas with high UAV activity.
  3. ONGOING: Enhance civilian defense measures and public warnings in areas under persistent air threat.

6.3. Ground Forces:

  1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Capitalize on the liberation of Andriyivka to consolidate positions and prepare for further localized counter-offensives.
  2. URGENT: Continue to leverage asymmetric advantages against RUF, including drone operations and intelligence-driven kinetic strikes.
  3. ONGOING: Monitor RUF ground force activity and claims (e.g., Воин DV's video) to verify and respond appropriately.

6.4. Information Operations & Diplomatic:

  1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Launch an aggressive, globally coordinated IO campaign to expose Russia's "Iran-Israel/US War" fabrication, emphasizing the extreme danger of manufacturing international conflicts. Highlight the use of fabricated US statements, Pentagon briefings, and the threat to global trade (Strait of Hormuz).
  2. URGENT: Leverage verified Ukrainian successes (e.g., Andriyivka liberation, SHARK acquisition) and international partnerships (Norway visit) to counter RUF's narrative of dominance and to maintain international support.
  3. ONGOING: Continue to implement and publicize sanctions against collaborators to demonstrate resolve and consolidate territorial control.
Previous (2025-06-22 12:03:20Z)

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