Situation Report

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR)

TIME: 210800Z JUN 25 CLASSIFICATION: SECRET // NOFORN REPORTING UNIT: G2 ANALYST, UAF HIGH COMMAND

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain:

• Kremenchuk (Poltava Oblast): Reports from local media and RUF milbloggers indicate a massive RUF attack overnight, with "dozens of explosions" (local media) or "around 50 explosions" (RUF sources) over several hours using drones and missiles. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) This signifies a significant escalation of kinetic pressure on a central Ukrainian city.
• Polohy Direction (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): RUF 35th Army artillery conducting fire on "presumed enemy UAV calculations." (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim; LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity/effectiveness). This indicates RUF is actively targeting UAF drone operations in this sector.
• Kiev (Kyiv Oblast): ASTRA reports a cat found alive under the rubble of a missile-destroyed house. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) This is likely a delayed report from a previous RUF missile strike, serving as a humanitarian/morale note.
• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Nikopolshchyna): Continued RUF attacks using FPV drones and artillery (from previous report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Sumy Oblast: RUF "Lancet" strike on a multi-story residential building, injuring one civilian (from previous report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Kryvyi Rih (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Local authorities report the situation is "controlled" as of morning 21 JUN (from previous report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• RUF Territory (RF): Ministry of Defense (MoD) RF claims five Ukrainian UAVs intercepted overnight over Russian regions (from previous report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim; LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity/number). Tambov Oblast (RF) reports a man detained on suspicion of treason (from RUF milblogger). (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim).

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors:

• No significant changes impacting operations reported. Night operations confirmed by video evidence of Kremenchuk attacks.

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures:

• Ukrainian Forces (UAF):
  • General Staff: Issued daily operational information as of 08:00 21 JUN 2025. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) This includes map updates (DeepState) and summary briefings (Operational ZSU), indicating continued situational awareness and transparent reporting. UAF forces maintained defense against a massive overnight strike on Kremenchuk.
  • "Grouping of Forces of Unmanned Systems": Previously established, this new structure is crucial for UAF counter-drone operations and offensive drone capabilities, which are now being directly challenged by RUF artillery targeting (Polohy direction).
• Russian Forces (RUF):
  • Air/Missile/Drone Operations: Executed a massive combined drone and missile attack on Kremenchuk. Continued use of FPV drones in Dnipropetrovsk direction (Nikopolshchyna) and Lancet loitering munitions in Sumy (from previous report). RUF 35th Army artillery actively targeting UAF drone teams in Polohy direction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Information Operations (CRITICAL ESCALATION CONTINUED): RUF milbloggers (Colonelcassad, Воин DV, WarGonzo, Операция Z, Рыбарь) are publishing content focused on:
    • Exaggerated "Iran-Israel" Conflict: WarGonzo continues to disseminate fabricated "visual evidence" of an "Iranian combined strike on Israel," including video of night sky explosions and a building on fire, explicitly labeling it as an "Iranian attack." (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim; EXTREMELY LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity). Рыбарь continues to publish "Middle East Crisis" updates.
    • Soldier Resilience & Narrative Control: Colonelcassad publishes a video of a Russian serviceman "BatyR" describing drone attacks and his resilience, emphasizing mission accomplishment "at any cost" and highlighting "Narodny Front" involvement. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim/messaging).
    • Internal Security & Stability: TASS reports on interruptions to state exams due to Ukrainian threats, and financial fraud schemes, indicating a focus on domestic issues and managing public perception of security. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on a treason arrest in Tambov. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Justification for War & Annexation: Басурин о главном amplifies a Putin quote claiming "where the Russian soldier steps, that is our land," and "all of Ukraine is ours," justifying annexation and military action. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF messaging).
    • Propaganda Amplification: "Военкоры Русской Весны" (via Операция Z) widely disseminates claims of the Kremenchuk attack, using watermarked video/photo "evidence" with low informational value, typical of RUF propaganda.
  • Domestic Control: Focus on law and order, exam continuity despite "threats," and financial stability.

1.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Conduct immediate Battle Damage Assessment (BDA) for the Kremenchuk strike. Determine specific targets (military, industrial, civilian), munitions used (type of missile/drone, number), and resulting damage. Assess if this was a preparatory strike for ground operations or purely a terror/attrition attack. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: SIGINT, OSINT, GEOINT, IMINT).
• CRITICAL: Analyze the new fabricated visual evidence for the "Iran-Israel" conflict pushed by WarGonzo. Identify the source of the video, confirm its fabrication, and assess the speed and coordination of RUF's IO apparatus. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, FORENSIC ANALYSIS).
• HIGH: Verify the effectiveness of RUF artillery fire targeting UAF drone teams in the Polohy direction. Assess any impact on UAF drone operations. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: SIGINT, BDA, HUMINT).
• MEDIUM: Monitor Russian domestic media for any shifts in messaging regarding the war in Ukraine, especially related to the Putin quote on "all of Ukraine is ours." (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT).

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action:

• Air/Missile/Drone Capabilities: RUF has demonstrated the capability to conduct large-scale, multi-wave combined drone and missile attacks on central Ukrainian cities (Kremenchuk), overwhelming UAF air defenses through saturation. Continued use of FPV drones and Lancets confirms sustained capability in these areas. RUF artillery can actively target UAF drone teams. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Information Warfare Capabilities (CRITICAL ESCALATION CONTINUED): RUF's IO apparatus is highly sophisticated and audacious, capable of real-time generation of completely fabricated "visual evidence" for false-flag scenarios (e.g., new "Iran-Israel" content). They effectively combine military "success" narratives, soldier resilience stories, and domestic stability messaging, while actively pushing maximalist territorial claims ("all of Ukraine is ours"). (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Intentions: RUF intends to:
  • Degrade Ukrainian Industrial/Logistical Capacity and Civilian Morale: The Kremenchuk strike is a likely attempt to hit industrial targets, disrupt logistics (Kremenchuk is a significant transport hub), and terrorize the civilian population. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Counter UAF Drone Dominance: By actively targeting UAF drone teams with artillery (Polohy), RUF aims to degrade a key UAF advantage. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Sustain Kinetic Pressure Across All Axes: Maintain attritional pressure in the east, and continue targeted strikes across central and northern Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Completely Fabricate Global Crises to Divert Attention & Influence Policy: The intensified, visually-supported "Iran-Israel" fabrication is the primary strategic IO effort to draw global attention, resources, and policy away from Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Justify Prolonged War & Annexation: Putin's rhetoric (via Basurin) explicitly states maximalist territorial claims, setting conditions for indefinite conflict and justifying annexation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Maintain Internal Cohesion & Control: Manage domestic perception of security (exams, treason arrests, financial fraud) and promote soldier resilience. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations:

• RUF:
  • Expanded Target Set for Mass Strikes: The Kremenchuk attack, a large-scale, combined arms (missile/drone) strike on a major central Ukrainian city previously less targeted by such mass attacks, represents an expansion of RUF's high-volume kinetic pressure beyond the immediate frontlines and traditional targets (Odesa, Kharkiv). (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Direct Counter-Drone Artillery Tactics: Explicit RUF messaging on targeting "presumed enemy UAV calculations" indicates a direct tactical adaptation to UAF drone effectiveness. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • New Level of IO Fabrication: The "Iran-Israel" fabrication now includes new, highly specific, and seemingly "live" video "evidence," indicating a significant investment in and refinement of this strategic deception. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Explicit Maximalist Rhetoric: Putin's "all of Ukraine is ours" statement (via Basurin) shifts from ambiguous "demilitarization/denazification" to clear territorial claims. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• UAF: UAF General Staff provides consistent updates, including map changes (DeepState), indicating continuous battlefield monitoring and adjustment to RUF actions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status:

• RUF: The scale of the Kremenchuk attack (dozens of munitions) confirms robust supply chains for missiles and drones. Continued ground and artillery operations also point to sustained logistics. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• UAF: Sustained defensive operations imply adequate logistics for now.

2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness:

• RUF: RUF C2 effectively coordinated a significant combined arms strike on Kremenchuk, demonstrating operational reach and the ability to conduct complex, multi-asset attacks. Their IO C2 is also highly effective in generating and disseminating sophisticated disinformation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• UAF: UAF C2 maintains effective intelligence gathering and public reporting, demonstrating continued awareness and control. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.5. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Assess the long-term sustainability of RUF's missile and drone production/stockpiles to support sustained mass attacks like Kremenchuk. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: SIGINT, TECHINT, OSINT).
• CRITICAL: Determine if the Kremenchuk strike signifies a new strategic axis of attack or merely an opportunistic target of opportunity. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: SIGINT, GEOINT, BDA).
• HIGH: Analyze the specific technical capabilities and vulnerabilities of RUF's newly produced "visual evidence" for the fabricated Iran-Israel conflict to assist in rapid debunking. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: FORENSIC ANALYSIS).

3. FRIENDLY FORCES

3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness:

• Defensive Posture: UAF maintains an active defensive posture across all axes, evidenced by the response to the Kremenchuk attack and ongoing defense in the east. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Readiness: UAF appears to maintain a high state of readiness, with continuous engagements and active air defense responses to mass attacks. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks:

• Successes: UAF continues to provide regular updates via General Staff, indicating sustained control of information and battlefield awareness. The successful interception of a high percentage of UAVs (from previous report) showcases UAF AD capabilities despite saturation attacks.
• Setbacks: The massive strike on Kremenchuk, regardless of target, represents a tactical setback in terms of force protection for a critical city. Civilian casualties from previous attacks (Sumy, Nikopolshchyna) continue.

3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints:

• Air Defense (CRITICAL): Urgent requirement for even more robust and layered air defense systems to counter large-scale, combined missile and drone attacks that can overwhelm current AD capabilities, even in cities not on the immediate front lines (e.g., Kremenchuk). This includes anti-missile and anti-drone systems.
• Counter-Drone (CRITICAL): Increased need for counter-FPV and anti-loitering munition capabilities as RUF adapts by explicitly targeting UAF drone teams.
• Counter-IO (CRITICAL): Sustained and enhanced resources are required for developing and disseminating rapid, comprehensive counter-narratives to combat Russia's increasingly sophisticated information warfare, especially the real-time fabrication of "visual evidence" for false-flag scenarios and maximalist territorial claims.

3.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• HIGH: Assess the operational impact of the Kremenchuk attack on UAF logistics and civilian infrastructure. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: BDA, OSINT, HUMINT).
• MEDIUM: Evaluate the resilience of UAF drone teams against direct RUF artillery targeting in sectors like Polohy. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: HUMINT, SIGINT).

4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT

4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns:

• Russian:
  • Aggressive Iran-Israel Fabrication (CRITICAL - NEW VIDEO "EVIDENCE"): WarGonzo is now presenting fabricated "video evidence" of an "Iranian combined strike on Israel," explicitly stating "Iran carried out another combined strike on Israel last night." This represents a new and dangerous level of deception, attempting to make the fabrication appear real-time and kinetic. Рыбарь continues to push the narrative. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claims; EXTREMELY LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity).
  • Military Success Projection & Soldier Resilience: Colonelcassad's video of "BatyR" emphasizes the resilience of Russian soldiers against drone attacks and the completion of tasks "at any cost," aiming to boost internal morale and project strength. Воин DV claims successful artillery fire against UAF drone teams. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claims). "Военкоры Русской Весны" widely disseminates claims of the Kremenchuk attack to project RUF military capability.
  • Domestic Control & Stability: TASS reports on state exam interruptions due to "Ukrainian threats" and financial fraud schemes, aiming to portray the state as managing challenges and maintaining order. Tambov treason arrest report contributes to this. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Maximalist Territorial Claims & Justification: Басурин о главном pushes Putin's direct annexationist rhetoric, "where the Russian soldier steps — that is our land," and "all of Ukraine is ours," directly justifying the war and future territorial claims. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF messaging).
• Ukrainian:
  • Transparency & Battlefield Updates: UAF General Staff and Оперативний ЗСУ continue daily, transparent reports on military operations, including maps from DeepState. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on the Kremenchuk attack, confirming RUF aggression. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Resilience & Humanitarian: ASTRA's report on the cat found alive in Kyiv rubble subtly highlights the civilian toll but also resilience. STERNENKO's post about "Lancets" and "coffee" is a call for donations/support for counter-drone efforts, indicating active mobilization of public support. Оперативний ЗСУ shows Ukrainian symbolism at a concert despite a ban, demonstrating cultural resilience and defiance. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Counter-Propaganda: Proactive reporting helps expose Russian lies, though the sheer volume and increasing sophistication of RUF disinformation (especially new video fabrications) remains a significant challenge.

4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors:

• Ukrainian: Public morale will be severely tested by the large-scale attack on Kremenchuk, which hits a major city beyond the immediate front lines. The constant threat of attacks across the country (Sumy, Nikopolshchyna) continues to exert pressure. Resilience is observed through calls for support (STERNENKO) and cultural defiance (Imagine Dragons concert). (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Russian: RUF's internal messaging focuses on soldier resilience, "successes," and state control (exams, treason arrests), likely to counter potential fatigue and maintain support for the war. The direct annexationist rhetoric may also be aimed at rallying hardline support. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments:

• Diversion Effectiveness (CRITICAL): RUF's continued and now visually supported fabrication of the "Iran-Israel crisis" is designed to maximize international diversion and has already shown success (EU oil price cap delay from previous report). This new level of "evidence" will likely intensify the distraction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF diversion efforts).
• Legitimization of Annexation: Putin's direct claim that "all of Ukraine is ours" (via Basurin) aims to shift international discourse towards the permanent annexation of Ukrainian territory, undermining any peace efforts not aligned with Russian maximalist goals. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

4.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Monitor international media and diplomatic responses to Russia's new, more detailed and visually-backed fabrications related to the "Iran-Israel conflict." Assess if this new level of "evidence" is causing greater confusion or acceptance of the false narrative. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).
• HIGH: Analyze the impact of Putin's explicit annexationist statements on international diplomatic efforts and support for Ukraine. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).

5. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS

5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA):

• Sustained and Expanded Kinetic Attacks with High-Volume Combined Munitions: RUF will continue to launch mass missile and drone attacks, including large-scale combined operations (missile + drone) on urban centers across Ukraine, expanding the target set to cities like Kremenchuk that are critical logistical or industrial hubs beyond immediate front lines. Expect continued focus on attritional ground operations on the Eastern Front, supported by drone and artillery fire. RUF will continue to disseminate highly exaggerated claims of UAF losses via official channels. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Intensified & Globally Directed Information Warfare with Real-Time Fabricated "Evidence" and Maximalist Claims: RUF will further escalate its information warfare by creating new, increasingly sophisticated and seemingly "live" or "real-time" fabricated "visual evidence" for false-flag scenarios (e.g., the "Iran-Israel" conflict). This will include continued pre-emptive narratives designed to justify future kinetic actions or discredit Ukrainian economic/military viability. RUF will also continue to amplify narratives that sow discord and question the resolve or unity of Western alliances (e.g., NATO's role). RUF milbloggers will likely continue to normalize military logistics and operations through visual content and casual commentary, and promote direct annexationist claims. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA):

• Coordinated Multi-Domain Offensive with Global Deception, Cyberattacks, and False-Flag Operations: RUF initiates a large-scale ground offensive on a new axis (e.g., Sumy/Chernihiv towards Kyiv or a major thrust on Zaporizhzhia), aiming for a significant breakthrough, supported by simultaneous, overwhelming multi-domain attacks (ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, mass KAB and Shahed UAV attacks targeting strategic and economic infrastructure, cyberattacks targeting UAF C2 and critical infrastructure). This offensive would be accompanied by coordinated false-flag terror attacks within Ukraine or a neighboring state, falsely attributed to internal Ukrainian dissent or "terrorist groups," amplified by RUF IO channels with new, fabricated "visual evidence" (e.g., the "Tel Aviv" video repurposed or similar content generated). This will include intensified dissemination of fabricated POW abuse claims or claims of atrocities committed by UAF against civilians, with manipulated visual and testimonial evidence, likely supported by new milblogger narratives. Concurrently, RUF will launch a massive, globally coordinated cyberattack against critical infrastructure in a NATO or EU member state, falsely attributing it to "Iranian" or "Israeli" actors within the manufactured Middle East crisis (potentially leveraging new "visual evidence" like the "Tel Aviv" video), or falsely claiming these are attacks from Ukrainian "terrorist" elements. This aims to paralyze key Western response mechanisms, divert all attention and resources to the fabricated "crisis" and terror events, and force a Western response that directly benefits Russia's geopolitical objectives in Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points:

• Immediate (Next 6-12 hours):
  • RUF: Expect continued, high-volume KAB/UAV/FPV drone/Lancet activity in Eastern, Central, and Northern Oblasts, specifically focusing on Nikopolshchyna, Sumy, and now Kremenchuk as a target area. Further amplification of the fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis" with new, more audacious fabricated "evidence," including new "visuals." Continued efforts to sow discord within NATO via state media and proxy channels, combined with explicit annexationist rhetoric.
  • UAF Decision Point: Conduct rapid BDA on Kremenchuk strike to understand intent and impact. Maintain highest AD readiness, especially in Sumy, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Poltava Oblasts under KAB/UAV/FPV/Lancet/missile threat. Intensify ISR on Northern (Sumy/Chernihiv) and Eastern (Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk) axes for early warning of any ground force buildup. Immediately and publicly debunk new RUF IO fabrications, particularly new "visual evidence" for the Iran-Israel crisis and efforts to undermine NATO, and firmly reject annexationist claims.
• Short-term (Next 24-72 hours):
  • RUF: Potential for another large-scale missile strike or mass UAV attack, potentially targeting other critical logistical/industrial nodes in central Ukraine. Continued high-intensity ground and air pressure. RUF IO will seek new "developments" in its manufactured Middle East narrative and human rights accusations, potentially linked to false-flag events, and intensify efforts to exploit perceived weaknesses or divisions within NATO, while normalizing annexationist rhetoric.
  • UAF Decision Point: Prioritize ISR on all RUF airfields and ground force concentrations for early warning of major offensive operations. Engage international partners to directly and unequivocally counter the extreme RUF IO, providing irrefutable evidence of the deception and its strategic implications. Reinforce defensive positions, particularly in Sumy, and prepare flexible reserves. Enhance internal security and counter-intelligence efforts to identify and neutralize potential terror cells or saboteurs following RUF's public promotion of such tactics.

6. RECOMMENDATIONS

6.1. Intelligence & Special Operations:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Prioritize all-source ISR on RUF Air and Missile Capabilities targeting central Ukraine (e.g., Kremenchuk), to identify launch patterns, munition types, and targeting logic. Focus on identifying specific missile launch sites, drone assembly/launch zones, and logistics chains to enable interdiction. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: All-source intelligence, GEOINT, IMINT, SIGINT, BDA).
2. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Establish a dedicated, 24/7, multi-agency counter-disinformation task force to rapidly analyze and debunk Russia's new "visual evidence" for the fabricated Iran-Israel conflict (e.g., WarGonzo's latest video). This cell must provide immediate, evidence-based counter-narratives to international partners and media, specifically disproving the authenticity and origin of the "visuals." Simultaneously, actively counter and expose RUF's maximalist territorial claims and efforts to exploit or amplify narratives that sow discord within Western alliances. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, FORENSIC ANALYSIS of video/image evidence, LINGUISTIC ANALYSIS).
3. URGENT/CRITICAL: Intensify HUMINT and SIGINT collection regarding RUF's tactical aviation and drone operations to understand their capabilities, intentions, and vulnerabilities, especially concerning Lancet, KAB and FPV drone strikes impacting civilians and now the explicit targeting of UAF drone teams. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: HUMINT, SIGINT, TECHINT).

6.2. Air Defense & Force Protection:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain highest AD alert posture across all Oblasts, especially Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy, Kharkiv, and now Poltava (Kremenchuk), against persistent multi-directional KAB, UAV, FPV drone, and missile threats. Prioritize the deployment of mobile AD and counter-drone units to vulnerable areas and critical infrastructure.
2. URGENT/CRITICAL: Accelerate the integration and deployment of advanced counter-UAV and EW systems, particularly those effective against FPV drones and loitering munitions like Lancet and large "Shahed" waves, to frontline units and critical infrastructure defense, specifically for UAF drone teams targeted by RUF artillery.
3. URGENT: Reinforce passive air defense measures and provide updated force protection guidance for civilian populations and first responders in areas subject to frequent KAB/UAV/FPV/Lancet/missile attacks. Ensure emergency services have robust communication and protection protocols.

6.3. Ground Forces:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain a robust defensive posture and combat readiness across all Eastern Front axes, including Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk, and reinforce positions in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. Prepare for potential MDCOA ground offensive in the North or a major push in the South.
2. URGENT/CRITICAL: Prepare and position flexible strategic reserves for rapid deployment to any axis facing a major RUF ground offensive. Expedite engineering and fortification efforts in potential breakthrough areas.
3. ONGOING: Continue to inflict maximum personnel and equipment losses on RUF through effective defensive operations, counter-battery fire, and precision strikes, leveraging intelligence from drone operations and reported attrition rates. Ensure robust counter-battery capabilities to mitigate RUF targeting of UAF drone teams.

6.4. Information Operations & Diplomatic:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Launch an unprecedented, globally coordinated information campaign to expose and directly counter Russia's new, more audacious fabrications, particularly the "Iran-Israel crisis" and any new "visual evidence" for it. Emphasize the direct link between this destabilization and Russia's military objectives in Ukraine. Simultaneously, forcefully reject and expose Russia's maximalist territorial claims (e.g., "all of Ukraine is ours") as a direct violation of international law and a justification for continued aggression, not a basis for peace.
2. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Develop and widely disseminate robust counter-narratives to Russia's escalating dehumanizing rhetoric and war crime justifications. Specifically and immediately debunk new milblogger narratives that showcase "victories" or justify destruction, as well as official exaggerated combat claims. Engage international human rights organizations and religious leaders to condemn such language and warn of potential atrocities.
3. URGENT: Engage international partners to re-focus attention and aid specifically on the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, explicitly countering any narrative that shifts focus to fabricated crises or human rights accusations, or seeks to undermine the unity and purpose of international alliances like NATO. Proactively address and seek to mitigate the impact of internal RUF IO.
4. ONGOING: Continue to document and disseminate evidence of RUF war crimes and internal issues (e.g., economic challenges, internal military cohesion efforts) to maintain international pressure and discredit RUF's narratives. Highlight UAF's successes in counter-drone innovation and effective defensive actions to project strength and resilience, while actively supporting public engagement calls (e.g., STERNENKO's "coffee" campaign).

END OF REPORT.