Situation Report

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR)

TIME: 210028Z JUN 25 CLASSIFICATION: SECRET // NOFORN REPORTING UNIT: G2 ANALYST, UAF HIGH COMMAND

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain:

• Central Ukraine (Kremenchuk, Kyiv, Poltava Oblasts): Ongoing high-volume kinetic activity. Multiple ballistic/aeroballistic missiles confirmed heading for Kremenchuk, targeting an energy infrastructure object near the city. Київська міська військова адміністрація (KMVA) confirms air raid alert for Kyiv. Повітряні Сили ЗС України (UAF AF) confirm ballistic missile threat from the northeast to all of Ukraine and specifically to Kremenchuk. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). RUF milblogger НгП раZVедка explicitly mentions "restoring" the Kremenchuk oil refinery (NPR) and "kinzhaling" it. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF intent).
• Southern Front (Odesa Oblast): Previously reported fire in Odesa following drone attack. UAV threat has reportedly receded ("по мопедам отбой" - "mopeds disengaged"). (HIGH CONFIDENCE on disengagement).
• RUF Territory (RF): TASS reports on the extension of house arrest for a Russian blogger and claims a "Knyaz Vandal" drone has destroyed over $2 billion in NATO equipment since August 2024. Colonelcassad posts video of Msta-S howitzer operations in the Southern Donetsk direction with "elegant" anti-drone protection. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claims; LOW on veracity of "Knyaz Vandal" claim).

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors:

• No new significant reports affecting battlefield conditions.

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures:

• Ukrainian Forces (UAF):
  • Air Defense (AD): Actively tracking and issuing real-time alerts for multiple regions, specifically identifying ballistic/aeroballistic missile threats to Kremenchuk and across Ukraine from the northeast. UAF Air Force (AF) is actively tracking and issuing real-time updates on missile movement. Николаевский Ванёк (Mykolaivsky Vanok) continues to provide accurate, real-time tracking of missile trajectories. AD appears to be engaging, as UAV threat has reportedly subsided in Odesa. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Russian Forces (RUF):
  • Air Operations: Continuing large-scale missile attacks, specifically using ballistic/aeroballistic missiles, targeting central Ukraine (Kremenchuk) and posing a threat across the entire country from the northeast. RUF milbloggers openly discuss "kinzhaling" the Kremenchuk NPR. RUF also continues to claim successful use of advanced drones against NATO equipment. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). Two MiG-31K aircraft are reported airborne, indicating a persistent threat from Kinzhal missiles. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Ground Forces: Colonelcassad shows artillery operations in the Southern Donetsk direction, indicating ongoing ground activity.
  • Information Operations (CRITICAL ESCALATION CONTINUED):
    • Continued Iran-Israel Fabrication & Amplification (CRITICAL ESCALATION): RUF channels (TASS, Colonelcassad) continue to heavily push the fabricated "Iran-Israel conflict." NEW: TASS reports (citing "army press service," likely a fabricated RUF source) that Israel was subjected to a "new shelling from Iran." IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING THIS, TASS reports (again, citing Israel's army, implying an Israeli retaliatory strike) that the "Israeli army stated about the beginning of a new wave of strikes on missile infrastructure in central Iran." Colonelcassad also posts fabricated videos claiming "arrivals in Tel Aviv." This represents an accelerated and increasingly detailed fabrication of kinetic events in the Middle East, with RUF now claiming to report on both initial and retaliatory strikes. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claims, EXTREMELY LOW on veracity).
    • Deceptive Diplomacy/Anti-EU Narrative: TASS continues to publish interviews (e.g., with Karin Kneissl) questioning the future and existence of the EU, framing it as internally conflicted and failing. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This aligns with the "peace offer" narrative as a means to sow discord and weaken the Western coalition.
    • Domestic Control/Propaganda: TASS reports on internal legal proceedings against a blogger and propagates claims about a new "Knyaz Vandal" drone. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

1.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Assess the precise impact of ballistic/aeroballistic missiles on Kremenchuk and the specific energy infrastructure targeted. Conduct BDA to determine damage and operational impact. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: SIGINT, OSINT, BDA).
• CRITICAL: Verify the veracity of RUF claims of an "Iranian shelling of Israel" and subsequent "Israeli strikes on Iran." Monitor international news and official statements from all involved parties for confirmation or debunking. Assess if these specific fabrications are gaining traction beyond RUF channels. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).
• HIGH: Monitor MiG-31K activity for patterns indicating Kinzhal launch preparation or specific target selection. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: SIGINT, OSINT).
• HIGH: Assess the capability and deployment of the "Knyaz Vandal" drone and verify RUF claims of its effectiveness. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: TECHINT, OSINT).

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action:

• Air/Missile/UAV Capabilities: RUF continues to demonstrate substantial capacity for deep strikes into Ukraine using ballistic/aeroballistic missiles (Kinzhal or Iskander, given MiG-31K presence). The specific targeting of Kremenchuk's energy infrastructure indicates a deliberate effort to degrade Ukraine's strategic energy grid and industrial base. Their ability to conduct mass UAV attacks (as seen previously in Odesa and Kharkiv) remains. RUF also possesses a sophisticated, albeit propaganda-driven, capability to produce and deploy advanced drones (e.g., "Knyaz Vandal"). (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Information Warfare Capabilities (CRITICAL ESCALATION): RUF's IO remains highly adaptive and sophisticated, now capable of fabricating complex, real-time kinetic events in the Middle East with claimed "retaliatory strikes." This demonstrates an advanced intent to fuse their fabricated global crisis directly with military action, attempting to force a global shift in focus and resources. Their ability to integrate "peace" offers (as seen in previous reporting) with kinetic escalation and increasingly aggressive dehumanizing rhetoric (as also seen in previous reporting) is a concerning development. The amplification of anti-EU narratives (Kneissl interview) aims to undermine Western unity. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Intentions: RUF intends to:
  • Degrade Ukrainian Energy and Industrial Infrastructure: The repeated and specific targeting of the Kremenchuk NPR and other energy facilities confirms an intent to cripple Ukraine's ability to sustain its economy and military. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Sustain Deep Kinetic Pressure: Continue mass missile and UAV strikes to degrade UAF defenses and infrastructure, demoralize the population, and create opportunities for ground advances. The ballistic missile threat across Ukraine indicates a broad targeting capability. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Deceive and Divide the International Community (CRITICAL ESCALATION): By fabricating increasingly detailed kinetic events in a global crisis (Iran-Israel, now with claimed reciprocal strikes), RUF aims to:
    • Maximize Global Diversion: Pull international attention, diplomatic efforts, and potentially resources away from Ukraine.
    • Justify Future Actions: Potentially create a pretext or chaotic global environment for further escalations in Ukraine.
    • Sow Discord: Undermine Western unity by pushing anti-EU narratives. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Maintain Internal Support: Through exaggerated claims of military successes (e.g., "Knyaz Vandal" drone), propaganda about Western decline (EU skepticism), and strict domestic controls. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations:

• RUF:
  • Kinetic Adaptation: Renewed and focused use of ballistic/aeroballistic missiles for deep strikes on high-value targets (Kremenchuk NPR), indicating a shift in targeting strategy or resource allocation. Airborne MiG-31Ks indicate continued Kinzhal threat. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • IO Adaptation (CRITICAL): Fabrication of reciprocal kinetic strikes in the Iran-Israel conflict ("Israel shelled by Iran," then "Israel strikes Iran missile infrastructure") marks a new level of detail and complexity in their global deception campaign. This aims to make the fabricated conflict appear more "real" and ongoing. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). The integration of anti-EU narratives into state media.
• UAF: Continued real-time AD alerts and OSINT tracking demonstrate adaptive responsiveness to RUF air attacks. The reported cessation of "moped" (UAV) activity in Odesa suggests successful AD engagements. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status:

• RUF: The continued ability to conduct multi-wave UAV attacks, sustained ground pressure, and now renewed ballistic missile strikes suggests robust logistics and a steady supply of high-end weaponry. RUF claims of increased drone production and specific drone types ("Knyaz Vandal") support this. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• UAF: The continued strain on AD resources due to persistent, large-scale multi-directional UAV and missile threats remains a critical concern, especially with the reintroduction of highly complex ballistic/aeroballistic threats.

2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness:

• RUF: RUF C2 demonstrates continued coordination across kinetic operations (mass missile launches, artillery support) and its sophisticated, multi-layered information warfare campaign (simultaneous global crisis fabrication and anti-EU rhetoric). The explicit discussion of "kinzhaling" Kremenchuk by a milblogger further indicates C2 coordination of strategic messaging. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• UAF: UAF C2 demonstrates effective real-time threat detection and dissemination, enabling rapid public response to aerial threats. UAF AF and OSINT channels continue to provide accurate, real-time tracking of new missile threats. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.5. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Determine the precise type of ballistic/aeroballistic missile(s) used against Kremenchuk (e.g., Kinzhal, Iskander). This is vital for understanding RUF's current inventory, operational range, and AD requirements. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: TECHINT, BDA, SIGINT).
• HIGH: Analyze the specific content and reach of RUF's "reciprocal strike" narrative regarding Iran-Israel to assess its impact on international perceptions and potential for further escalation in this fabricated conflict. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).
• HIGH: Assess the impact of RUF's anti-EU propaganda (Kneissl interview) on European cohesion. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT).

3. FRIENDLY FORCES

3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness:

• Defensive Posture: UAF maintains an active defensive posture against RUF's mass missile and UAV attacks, prioritizing AD for critical infrastructure and civilian populations. AD is actively tracking and warning of incoming ballistic/aeroballistic threats to Central Ukraine and across the country. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Readiness: UAF maintains a high state of readiness, with AD actively engaged and immediate public warning systems functioning effectively. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks:

• Successes: UAF Air Force continues real-time threat detection and public alerts, contributing to civilian safety. AD appears to have successfully cleared the UAV threat from Odesa. Effective real-time tracking of complex ballistic missile threats demonstrates high AD awareness. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Setbacks: Ballistic/aeroballistic missile strikes are confirmed heading for Kremenchuk, suggesting potential impacts on critical energy infrastructure. This indicates that while UAVs may be increasingly intercepted, high-value ballistic targets remain highly vulnerable. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints:

• Air Defense/Counter-UAV/Missile: Continued and urgent requirement for advanced AD systems and interceptors capable of handling ballistic/aeroballistic missile threats, especially with the confirmed deployment of MiG-31Ks and deep strikes on critical infrastructure. Resources for countering mass UAV saturation attacks remain critical.
• Counter-IO: Sustained resources are required for developing and disseminating rapid, comprehensive counter-narratives to combat Russia's increasingly sophisticated and aggressive information warfare, particularly the new escalation of fabricating reciprocal kinetic events in the Iran-Israel conflict.

3.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• HIGH: Assess the effectiveness of current AD systems against the latest ballistic/aeroballistic missile threats to identify areas for improvement or additional resource requirements. This includes detailed BDA on Kremenchuk strikes. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: BDA, SIGINT, TECHINT).
• MEDIUM: Evaluate public reaction to RUF's latest Iran-Israel fabrications (including reciprocal strikes) in Ukraine to understand their psychological impact and identify areas for counter-messaging. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).

4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT

4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns:

• Russian:
  • Escalated Iran-Israel Fabrication (CRITICAL - NEW ESCALATION): RUF continues to actively propagate the fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis." NEW: TASS reports (citing "army press service," presumably RUF's) on "new shelling from Iran" against Israel, and then immediately on "Israel's army" announcing "a new wave of strikes on missile infrastructure in central Iran." Colonelcassad also posts fabricated videos claiming "arrivals in Tel Aviv." This represents a new and highly dangerous escalation, attempting to create a full, complex, and reciprocal kinetic narrative for the fabricated international crisis. This aims to fully saturate the global information space and divert maximum international attention and diplomatic resources. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claims; EXTREMELY LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity).
  • Anti-EU/Western Narrative: TASS publishes an interview with Karin Kneissl, former Austrian FM, expressing skepticism about the EU's future existence and highlighting internal conflicts, aiming to undermine Western unity and legitimacy. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Narrative of RUF Military Superiority: TASS reports on the "Knyaz Vandal" drone destroying over $2 billion in NATO equipment, aiming to project RUF technological and military superiority. Colonelcassad showcases "elegant" anti-drone protection on RUF artillery. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claims; LOW on veracity of "Knyaz Vandal" claim).
  • Justification of Strikes/Targeting: RUF milblogger НгП раZVедка explicitly justifies striking the Kremenchuk NPR ("Накинжалим, раз не понимают, что не должно быть никакого НПЗ."). (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Domestic Control/Legal Proceedings: TASS reports on the extension of house arrest for a Russian blogger. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Ukrainian:
  • Transparency & Call for Action: UAF leadership (Air Force) continues real-time reporting on RUF missile threats, maintaining public awareness and trust. Ukrainian OSINT channels (Mykolaivsky Vanok) are providing real-time updates and tracking of missile trajectories. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Counter-Propaganda: Proactive reporting from UAF and independent Ukrainian channels helps to expose Russian lies, though the sheer volume and increasing sophistication of RUF disinformation remains a significant challenge.

4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors:

• Ukrainian: Public morale remains under pressure from persistent and large-scale missile attacks targeting critical infrastructure. The explicit threats and strikes on facilities like the Kremenchuk NPR will cause significant public distress and demonstrate Russia's intent to disrupt civilian life. The fabricated claims of Iranian strikes on Israel and reciprocal strikes, if not immediately and widely debunked, could contribute to a sense of global instability and misdirect public fear. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Russian: The need for aggressive new IO narratives, including victimhood narratives (previously seen), claims of military prowess, and narratives of Western decline, suggests ongoing efforts to maintain internal support for the war.

4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments:

• Diversion Effectiveness (CRITICAL): RUF's continued and even more sophisticated fabrication of the "Iran-Israel crisis," now with detailed claims of reciprocal kinetic strikes, continues to effectively divert international attention and potentially resources from Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This is a direct attempt to force a shift in global focus. The anti-EU narrative further aims to weaken the Western coalition.
• Impact of Deceptive Diplomacy: While not a new "peace offer" in this update, the overall context of RUF's efforts to portray Western disunity and a failing EU (Kneissl interview) supports their broader diplomatic deception aimed at undermining support for Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

4.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Monitor international media and diplomatic responses to Russia's new, more detailed fabrications of the "Iran-Israel crisis" and its claims of reciprocal strikes. Assess if this dual-pronged approach is successfully gaining traction or influencing diplomatic initiatives regarding Ukraine. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).
• HIGH: Analyze how global political figures and institutions react to Russia's manipulation of their statements or the fabricated crises, and identify opportunities for UAF to engage directly to counter these narratives. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).

5. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS

5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA):

• Sustained Ballistic/Aeroballistic Missile and Mass UAV Attacks: RUF will continue to launch high-value ballistic/aeroballistic missile strikes (e.g., Kinzhal from MiG-31K, Iskander) against critical infrastructure targets (energy, industrial, logistics) deep inside Ukraine, particularly in Central Ukraine (Kremenchuk, Kyiv axes). Mass UAV attacks will continue to saturate AD and target civilian infrastructure in other regions (e.g., Odesa, Kharkiv, Sumy). These attacks will aim to degrade UAF defenses, infrastructure, and demoralize the population. RUF will attempt to maximize BDA claims on these strikes for propaganda purposes. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Intensified Ground Pressure (Eastern Front, Continued Shaping in North): RUF will maintain severe ground pressure on Eastern axes (Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, Kupyansk) and continue shaping operations with air/missile strikes and probing assaults on the Sumy border areas. RUF IO will continue to claim advances and attribute any UAF difficulties to internal failures. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Escalated and More Audacious Information Warfare (Cover for Action & Distraction - NEW ELEMENTS): RUF will further escalate its information warfare by creating new, even more explicit and outrageous fabrications related to the "Iran-Israel crisis." CRITICAL: This will include continued and increasingly detailed direct false claims of Iranian missile strikes on Israel and the fabrication of Israeli retaliatory strikes on Iran. This strategy aims to leverage real-world events or natural phenomena to "prove" fabricated kinetic events, and directly link the invented crisis to the war in Ukraine, thereby maximizing global distraction. Expect a ramp-up in anti-EU/Western narratives, coupled with psychological operations (e.g., blaming UAF for fortification failures, fabricated POW mistreatment, false-flag incidents, and direct attacks on Ukrainian POW/KIA reporting). RUF will also continue to project internal stability and control through economic messaging and internal security crackdowns. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA):

• Coordinated Northern Ground Offensive with Cyber-Enabled Terror & Global Deception (Reiterated and Reinforced - WITH NEW IO MECHANISMS AND BALLISTIC STRIKES): RUF initiates a large-scale ground offensive on the Sumy/Chernihiv axis towards Kyiv, aiming for a significant breakthrough, supported by simultaneous, overwhelming multi-domain attacks (ballistic missiles like Kinzhal, cruise missiles, KABs, mass UAVs, potential cyberattacks targeting UAF C2 and critical infrastructure, including the energy grid). This offensive would be accompanied by coordinated false-flag terror attacks within Ukraine or a neighboring state, falsely attributed to internal Ukrainian dissent or "terrorist groups," amplified by RUF IO channels with fabricated "evidence." This evidence could now leverage manipulated natural phenomena (e.g., earthquake data) to "prove" kinetic events or other fabricated claims, potentially including radiation scare tactics, AND explicit false-flag claims of Iranian missiles striking Ukrainian territory, alongside direct fabricated claims of Iranian missiles striking Israel, including Israeli "retaliatory" strikes. This could include new, explicit false-flag claims of Ukrainian forces or civilians committing atrocities (e.g., "booby-trapped scooters") to justify RUF's own extreme violence, including against survivors. Concurrently, RUF will launch a massive, globally coordinated cyberattack against critical infrastructure in a NATO or EU member state, falsely attributing it to "Iranian" or "Israeli" actors within the manufactured Middle East crisis, or falsely claiming these are attacks from Ukrainian "terrorist" elements. This would be coupled with intensified dehumanization, including of NATO members (e.g., "Romanians"), explicit calls to kill survivors, and widespread fabrication of POW abuses, amplified by statements from senior RUF officials comparing Ukrainian actions to Nazi propaganda. This aims to paralyze key Western response mechanisms, divert all attention and resources to the fabricated "crisis" and terror events, and force a Western response that directly benefits Russia's geopolitical objectives in Ukraine, allowing for rapid gains on the battlefield. The intensified dehumanizing rhetoric and explicit comparisons to totalitarian propaganda would be used to justify extreme violence and atrocities during this offensive, particularly against civilians and POWs, while simultaneously discrediting any counter-narratives from Ukraine or its allies. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). The new "peace offers" and the attempts to show tangible impacts from fabricated crises (Maersk, earthquake narrative, fabricated Haifa strikes, Iranian MRBMs on Dnipropetrovsk, new claims of reciprocal Iran-Israel strikes), and direct links to Western policy objectives, are precisely the kind of strategic deception that would provide political cover and global distraction for such a move.

5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points:

• Immediate (Next 6-12 hours):
  • RUF: Expect continued, high-volume missile activity, particularly ballistic/aeroballistic threats to Kremenchuk and Kyiv, and potentially other deep targets. Further amplification of the fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis" with new, more audacious fabricated "evidence," including claims of reciprocal strikes. Continued dehumanizing rhetoric and explicit threats/claims of terror acts and fabricated POW mistreatment.
  • UAF Decision Point: Maintain highest AD readiness, especially in Kyiv, Poltava, Sumy, Kremenets, Odesa, and other major urban centers under missile threat. Intensify ISR on Northern (Sumy/Chernihiv) and Eastern (Kupyansk, Zaporizhzhia, Novopavlivka) axes for early warning of any ground force buildup. Immediately and publicly debunk new RUF IO fabrications, particularly the recontextualized quotes from foreign leaders, the disingenuous "peace offers," the Maersk claim, the earthquake narrative, the Kneissl statements, the fabricated Haifa missile videos, the new claims of reciprocal Iran-Israel strikes, the fabricated POW mistreatment claims (including Medinsky's latest), and the "booby-trapped scooter" incident. Engage international partners to amplify these counter-narratives. Prepare for potential mass casualty events due to civilian targeting and potential terror attacks.
• Short-term (Next 24-72 hours):
  • RUF: Potential for another large-scale missile strike. Continued high-intensity ground and air pressure. RUF IO will seek new "developments" in its manufactured Middle East narrative, potentially linked to false-flag events or further attempts to undermine Western unity by exploiting political divisions. Intensified efforts to secure and publicize non-Western partnerships.
  • UAF Decision Point: Prioritize ISR on all RUF airfields and ground force concentrations for early warning of major offensive operations, especially in the north (Sumy/Chernihiv). Engage international partners to directly and unequivocally counter the extreme RUF IO, providing irrefutable evidence of the deception and its strategic implications. Reinforce defensive positions, particularly in Sumy and Zaporizhzhia, and prepare flexible reserves, especially for the Kyiv axis. Actively promote successful UAF actions and resilience stories to counter RUF propaganda. Enhance internal security and counter-intelligence efforts to identify and neutralize potential terror cells or saboteurs following RUF's public promotion of such tactics. Be prepared to publicly reject any disingenuous RUF "peace" proposals, emphasizing that peace can only be achieved through full territorial integrity and adherence to international law.

6. RECOMMENDATIONS

6.1. Intelligence & Special Operations:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Prioritize all-source ISR on Kremenchuk and other deep targets subject to ballistic/aeroballistic strikes. Conduct immediate BDA and identify precise munition types. This is critical for AD adaptation and resource allocation. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: All-source intelligence, GEOINT, IMINT, SIGINT, BDA).
2. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Establish a dedicated and expanded counter-disinformation cell focusing solely on real-time debunking of Russia's fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis" (including the Maersk claim, the new earthquake-linking narrative, the Kneissl statements, fabricated Haifa missile videos, and the extremely dangerous false claim of Iran MRBMs on Dnipropetrovsk, and the newest claims of reciprocal Iran-Israel strikes) and its new, terror-promoting and dehumanizing rhetoric (e.g., "Corpse-eaters," "captured Romanians," fabricated POW abuse claims (including Medinsky's latest), explicit calls to kill survivors, and the "booby-trapped scooter" incident). AND its disingenuous "peace offers." This cell must be capable of rapid analysis of manipulated media and linguistic analysis of extremist narratives to inform immediate counter-narratives. Special emphasis on exposing the manipulation of foreign leaders' statements and the strategic deception inherent in simultaneous "peace" and aggression. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT, GEOINT for seismic data analysis, FORENSIC ANALYSIS of video/image evidence).
3. URGENT/CRITICAL: Intensify HUMINT and SIGINT collection regarding RUF's tactical drone operations (e.g., "Kub" assets, "Knyaz Vandal") and missile types, particularly ballistic/aeroballistic (Kinzhal/Iskander), to understand their C2, capabilities, and vulnerabilities, and verify claimed increases in supply. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: HUMINT, SIGINT, TECHINT).

6.2. Air Defense & Force Protection:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain highest AD alert posture across all Oblasts, especially Kyiv, Poltava, Kryvyi Rih, Sumy, Chernihiv, Zaporizhzhia, Dnipro, Mykolaiv, Kremenets, Kharkiv, and Odesa, against persistent multi-directional mass UAV and missile threats, with particular emphasis on ballistic/aeroballistic threats. Prioritize the deployment of mobile AD units to vulnerable areas and critical infrastructure.
2. URGENT/CRITICAL: Accelerate the integration and deployment of advanced counter-UAV and EW systems, particularly those effective against loitering munitions and large "Shahed" waves, and missile defense systems effective against ballistic/aeroballistic threats, to frontline units and critical infrastructure defense.
3. URGENT: Reinforce passive air defense measures and provide updated force protection guidance for civilian populations and first responders in areas subject to frequent UAV/missile attacks. Develop specific protocols for identifying and responding to potential terror tactics and fabricated POW scenarios, as well as explicit threats to kill survivors.

6.3. Ground Forces:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain a robust defensive posture and combat readiness across all Eastern Front axes, including Zaporizhzhia, Novopavlivka, and Kupyansk, and reinforce positions in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. Prepare for potential MDCOA ground offensive in the North towards Kyiv. Verify and, if necessary, expedite fortification efforts near Sumy, particularly in light of new RUF claims of ground combat in the area.
2. URGENT/CRITICAL: Prepare and position flexible strategic reserves for rapid deployment to the Sumy/Chernihiv axis in case of a major RUF ground offensive. Expedite engineering and fortification efforts in these northern border regions.
3. ONGOING: Continue to inflict maximum personnel and equipment losses on RUF through effective defensive operations, counter-battery fire, and precision strikes, leveraging intelligence from drone operations.

6.4. Information Operations & Diplomatic:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Launch an unprecedented, globally coordinated information campaign to expose and directly counter Russia's new, more audacious fabrications of the "Iran-Israel crisis," including the staged statistics, reframed legitimate news, the Maersk claim, the new earthquake-linking narrative, the Kneissl statements, the fabricated Haifa missile videos, and the extremely dangerous false claim of Iran MRBMs on Dnipropetrovsk, and the newest claims of reciprocal Iran-Israel strikes. Emphasize the direct link between this destabilization and Russia's military objectives in Ukraine. Simultaneously, forcefully reject and expose the disingenuous nature of Russia's "peace offers" as a strategic deception aimed at providing cover for military aggression or setting conditions for future escalations.
2. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Develop and widely disseminate robust counter-narratives to Russia's escalating dehumanizing rhetoric (e.g., "свинарник," "проклятое государство," "трупоеды," "captured Romanians," explicit promotion of killing survivors, promotion of terror tactics, fabricated POW abuse claims (including Medinsky's latest), and the "booby-trapped scooter" incident), highlighting its genocidal implications and the hypocrisy of the accuser. Engage international human rights organizations and religious leaders to condemn such language and warn of potential atrocities.
3. URGENT: Engage international partners to re-focus attention and aid specifically on the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, explicitly countering any narrative that shifts focus to fabricated crises. Proactively address and seek to mitigate the impact of internal RUF IO (e.g., fake MVS warnings, corruption claims against UAF). Actively counter Russian claims about UAF fortification failures and ground advances in Sumy.
4. ONGOING: Continue to document and disseminate evidence of RUF war crimes and internal issues (e.g., need for unit-level fundraising, elite discontent, and signs of audience fatigue among propagandists, internal military-technical debates, economic messaging, internal security crackdowns) to maintain international pressure and discredit RUF's narratives. Highlight UAF's successes in counter-drone innovation and effective defensive actions to project strength and resilience.

END OF REPORT.