Situation Report

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR)

TIME: 201957Z JUN 25 CLASSIFICATION: SECRET // NOFORN REPORTING UNIT: G2 ANALYST, UAF HIGH COMMAND

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain:

• Northern Front (Sumy Oblast):
  • RUF tactical aviation launched KABs towards Sumy Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • UAV attack on Sumy city resulted in a wounded woman. Further reports confirm the strike on a multi-story building was by a "Lancet" loitering munition. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Eastern Front (Zaporizhzhia/Donetsk/Dnipropetrovsk Border): RUF tactical aviation launched KABs towards the border of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Eastern Front (Donetsk Oblast): RUF tactical aviation launched KABs towards Donetsk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Central Front (Poltava Oblast): Enemy strike UAVs detected moving towards Poltava from the northeast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Central Front (Kyiv Oblast): Enemy strike UAVs detected entering Kyiv Oblast, with Air Defense (AD) active. Later reports confirm multiple strike drones heading directly for Kyiv. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Southern Front (Kryvyi Rih): Obscure, highly aggressive RUF messaging ("Kryvyi Rih will be straight, or it will not be") indicates continued intent to target the city, likely with drones or missiles. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on intent; LOW CONFIDENCE on immediate kinetic action from this message alone).
• General UAV Threat: Widespread alerts for strike UAVs across multiple Oblasts (Sumy, Poltava, Kyiv) indicate RUF continues multi-directional air campaigns. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors:

• No new significant reports affecting battlefield conditions.

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures:

• Ukrainian Forces (UAF):
  • Air Defense (AD): Actively issuing real-time alerts for UAVs (Sumy, Poltava, Kyiv) and KABs (Sumy, Zaporizhzhia/Donetsk/Dnipropetrovsk border, Donetsk). AD is actively engaging RUF drones in Kyiv Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Ground Forces: UAF continues to hold defensive lines. The incident in Sumy (Lancet strike on civilian building, wounded woman) underscores the continued threat to urban centers.
• Russian Forces (RUF):
  • Air Operations: RUF is conducting multi-directional UAV attacks (Sumy, Poltava, Kyiv) and tactical aviation is launching KABs (Sumy, Zaporizhzhia/Donetsk/Dnipropetrovsk border, Donetsk). The specific use of "Lancet" loitering munitions on a multi-story building in Sumy is confirmed. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Ground Forces: RUF drone footage claims successful targeting of "human force/personnel" in a house near a small outbuilding using reconnaissance from the 5th Brigade and "Rubikon" assets, followed by a strike by "Molniya" from "Rubikon". This indicates continued tactical ISR and precision strike capabilities at the unit level. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF capability; MEDIUM CONFIDENCE on specific BDA).
  • Information Operations (CRITICAL ESCALATION CONTINUED):
    • Extreme Diversion (CRITICAL ESCALATION CONTINUED):
      • TASS continues to propagate statements attributed to Trump regarding "small progress" in Russia-Ukraine negotiations and his disinclination to discuss US ground troops in Iran, framing them to suit RUF's narrative of de-escalation while simultaneously maintaining the fabricated Middle East crisis.
      • RUF sources (TASS, РБК-Україна quoting Trump) continue to selectively quote foreign leaders (Trump discussing "two weeks max" for Iran nuclear deal, "not wishing to discuss US ground troops in Iran") to integrate real statements into the fabricated "Iran-Israel conflict" narrative, making it appear more legitimate. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Dehumanization & Extremism (CRITICAL):
      • Alex Parker Returns propagates a highly disturbing narrative of "good Russian people" rigging a scooter with a bomb to kill "two Khokhls from the 154th Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" who bought it on OLX. This is a claim of a deliberate, targeted act of terrorism against UAF personnel, accompanied by explicit dehumanizing language ("Khokhls") and glorification of violence ("May there be good!"). This represents a severe escalation in RUF's psychological warfare, promoting assassination and celebrating the death of Ukrainian soldiers through insidious means. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
      • "НгП раZVедка" uses an ominous, genocidal-sounding threat against Kryvyi Rih ("Kryvyi Rih will be straight, or it will not be"), signaling extreme intent. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
      • STERNENKO (Ukrainian source) shares a video of Putin stating "where the Russian soldier's foot is, there is Russia," an explicit statement of imperialistic intent. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Internal Control/Propaganda: TASS promotes the "import-substituted SJ-100" aircraft with domestic PD-8 engines, flying across Russia, as a symbol of Russian self-sufficiency and technological prowess despite sanctions. This is domestic propaganda aimed at boosting morale and confidence. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Anti-Western/Anti-Ukraine:
      • "Операция Z" quotes "Russian Spring War Correspondents" reporting that only Trump in the US will make decisions on Russia and Ukraine, and that Washington believes the conflict can only be overcome by agreement, attempting to drive wedges between US political factions and promote a narrative of US weakness or division. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
      • "Два майора" shares a graphic seemingly depicting the cost of an air defense system (604 million USD for one system, not a battery), likely aimed at highlighting the high cost of Western aid or the perceived financial strain on Ukraine/NATO. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
      • "Оперативний ЗСУ" reports on a "FAKE" warning from the Ministry of Internal Affairs that using hazard lights to say thank you could lead to losing one's license, indicating an active disinformation campaign within Ukraine aimed at undermining civic trust and spreading false information. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Fundraising/Sustainment Narrative: "Два майора" continues its fundraising campaign for the "Zaporizhzhia Front" and addresses the question "Why so many collections?", suggesting widespread reliance on public donations for military needs. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

1.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Immediate verification of the Alex Parker Returns claim regarding the booby-trapped scooter and the deaths of UAF personnel. This is a severe allegation of a war crime and an extreme escalation of terror tactics. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: HUMINT, OSINT, FORENSIC).
• HIGH: Assess the specific target and damage of KAB strikes on Sumy, Zaporizhzhia/Donetsk/Dnipropetrovsk border, and Donetsk Oblasts. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: IMINT, OSINT).
• HIGH: Determine the trajectory and potential targets of the current UAV waves targeting Poltava and Kyiv. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: SIGINT, IMINT).
• HIGH: Analyze the RUF channel "НгП раZVедка"'s threat against Kryvyi Rih to determine if it indicates immediate kinetic intent or is purely psychological warfare. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT).
• MEDIUM: Analyze the "Rubikon" video to identify the specific UAF unit supposedly targeted and verify the claimed BDA. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, IMINT).

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action:

• Air/Missile/UAV Capabilities: RUF continues to demonstrate robust UAV (including Lancet loitering munitions) and tactical aviation capabilities, launching KABs across multiple axes and multi-directional strike UAV attacks targeting urban centers (Sumy, Poltava, Kyiv). This indicates a sustained ability to conduct shaping operations, inflict damage, and stretch UAF AD. Their tactical ISR and precision strike capabilities are also evident from the "Rubikon" video. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Ground Capabilities: RUF ground forces continue to engage tactically, with evidence of drone-assisted targeting. Their continued reliance on fundraising for basic needs suggests ongoing logistical strain at the unit level, despite overall operational capacity. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Information Warfare Capabilities: RUF's IO remains highly sophisticated, aggressive, and adaptive.
  • They are effectively leveraging and recontextualizing real statements from foreign leaders (Trump) to bolster their fabricated narratives.
  • A significant escalation is observed in the direct promotion of terror tactics and assassinations against UAF personnel (booby-trapped scooter claim) and genocidal threats against Ukrainian cities.
  • They maintain strong domestic propaganda (SJ-100) and continue to attempt to sow discord within Ukraine and among allies. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Intentions: RUF intends to:
  • Sustain multi-axis kinetic pressure with UAVs and KABs to degrade UAF defenses, infrastructure, and morale, while attempting to attrit UAF military assets. The Lancet strike on a civilian building suggests a deliberate intent to terrorize.
  • CRITICAL: Escalate and diversify its global information warfare campaign by integrating legitimate foreign statements into fabricated crises, and most alarmingly, by promoting and celebrating acts of terrorism and assassination against UAF personnel. They will continue to use dehumanizing rhetoric and veiled threats of destruction.
  • Maintain domestic control and project an image of self-sufficiency (SJ-100) and strength despite internal challenges (fundraising efforts).
  • Undermine Ukrainian credibility and international support by spreading narratives of internal weakness (fake MVS warning) and highlighting the perceived high cost of Western aid. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations:

• RUF:
  • Kinetic Adaptation: Confirmed use of "Lancet" loitering munitions against multi-story civilian buildings in Sumy indicates adaptive targeting of urban environments for psychological impact and attrition.
  • IO Adaptation: The explicit celebration of an alleged assassination attempt (booby-trapped scooter) represents a significant, dangerous escalation in psychological warfare and a shift towards promoting terror as a legitimate tactic. The direct, genocidal-sounding threat against Kryvyi Rih is also a notable escalation in rhetoric.
  • IO Adaptation: The more refined integration of genuine foreign leader statements into manufactured narratives demonstrates a higher level of sophistication in information manipulation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• UAF: Continued real-time AD alerts and effective communication of threats demonstrate adaptive responsiveness to RUF air attacks. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status:

• RUF: Continued high-intensity air operations suggest sustained, though potentially strained, logistics. Unit-level fundraising (Dva Mayora) continues, indicating persistent gaps in official supply chains at the tactical level, necessitating civilian support. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• UAF: The continued report of civilian casualties and injuries (Sumy woman with multiple fractures, blood loss) underscores the human cost and medical sustainment needs. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness:

• RUF: RUF C2 shows continued coordination in its multi-directional air campaign and, more notably, in its highly synchronized and escalating global information warfare campaign, involving state media (TASS) and aggressive non-state actors (Alex Parker Returns, НгП раZVедка). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• UAF: UAF C2 demonstrates effective real-time threat detection and dissemination (Air Force alerts), enabling rapid public response. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

2.5. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Detailed analysis of the "Lancet" strike in Sumy to understand its impact and to inform AD/counter-drone strategies against this specific threat. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: BDA, TECHINT).
• HIGH: Monitor all channels promoting extremist or terror-inciting content (e.g., Alex Parker Returns) to identify key actors, networks, and potential for real-world execution of such tactics. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).

3. FRIENDLY FORCES

3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness:

• Defensive Posture: UAF maintains an active defensive posture against RUF UAVs and KABs across multiple regions, including Sumy, Poltava, Kyiv, and the eastern/southeastern axes. AD is actively engaging targets. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Vulnerability: Continued widespread UAV and KAB threats stretch AD resources and pose a significant risk of civilian casualties and infrastructure damage, as evidenced by the woman wounded in Sumy. The explicit promotion of terror tactics and assassination attempts by RUF IO creates new, complex challenges for force protection and counter-intelligence within UAF. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks:

• Successes: UAF Air Force continues real-time threat detection and public alerts, contributing to civilian safety. AD is actively engaging incoming threats to Kyiv.
• Setbacks: New KAB strikes on Sumy, Zaporizhzhia/Donetsk/Dnipropetrovsk border, and Donetsk. Continued widespread UAV attacks on multiple urban centers (Sumy, Poltava, Kyiv). Civilian casualties, specifically a woman with multiple fractures and blood loss in Sumy. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints:

• Air Defense/Counter-UAV: Continued and urgent requirement for AD systems and interceptors, particularly against loitering munitions like Lancet, to counter persistent and multi-directional UAV and KAB threats. The extension of UAV attacks to Kyiv highlights the critical need for robust AD.
• Counter-IO/Counter-Terrorism: Significant resources are required to develop and disseminate rapid, comprehensive counter-narratives to combat Russia's increasingly sophisticated and aggressive information warfare, especially its promotion of terrorism and dehumanizing rhetoric. New protocols may be needed to address threats of assassination.
• Medical Support: Urgent need for medical resources to treat civilian casualties resulting from RUF strikes.

3.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Develop a clear understanding of the specific capabilities and operational patterns of RUF "Lancet" loitering munitions to inform AD tactics and counter-drone measures. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: TECHINT, BDA).
• HIGH: Assess the psychological impact of RUF's explicit promotion of terror tactics (booby-trapped scooter, threats to Kryvyi Rih) on UAF personnel and civilian morale. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: HUMINT, OSINT).

4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT

4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns:

• Russian:
  • Extreme Diversion (CRITICAL ESCALATION CONTINUED): RUF continues to actively propagate the fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis," now integrating more sophisticated elements by selectively quoting and recontextualizing statements from foreign leaders (Trump on Iran, negotiations). (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Dehumanization & Extremism (CRITICAL):
    • The explicit claim and glorification of assassinating UAF personnel via a booby-trapped scooter (Alex Parker Returns) is an extreme escalation, promoting direct acts of terrorism and celebrating them with dehumanizing language. This sets a dangerous precedent. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • The ominous threat against Kryvyi Rih ("Kryvyi Rih will be straight, or it will not be" - НгП раZVедка) is a clear act of psychological warfare, threatening mass destruction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Putin's statement ("where the Russian soldier's foot is, there is Russia") shared by Ukrainian source STERNENKO, highlights RUF's imperialistic and expansionist ambitions, which is exploited by Ukrainian channels to underscore the threat. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Anti-Western/Anti-Ukraine Messaging: "Операция Z" attempts to create internal US division regarding Ukraine policy by claiming only Trump will decide future actions and that Washington seeks agreement. "Два майора" attempts to discredit Western aid by highlighting its perceived high cost. "Оперативний ЗСУ" exposes a fake MVS warning aimed at internal destabilization. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Domestic Control & War Justification: TASS promotes the SJ-100 as evidence of Russian resilience. "Два майора" continues its public fundraising, normalizing it for the "Zaporizhzhia Front" and addressing reasons for its prevalence, further embedding public support for the war. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Ukrainian:
  • Transparency & Call for Action: UAF leadership (Air Force) continues real-time reporting on RUF UAV and KAB threats, maintaining public awareness and trust.
  • Documentation of Atrocities: Reporting on civilian casualties (Sumy woman) highlights RUF war crimes.
  • Counter-Disinformation: "Оперативний ЗСУ" actively debunks fake news, indicating a proactive stance against internal destabilization. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors:

• Ukrainian: Public morale will be severely impacted by ongoing UAV and KAB attacks on urban centers, particularly Kyiv, and the confirmed civilian casualties in Sumy. The explicit threats and alleged terror tactics (booby-trapped scooter) will generate fear and outrage but also potentially harden resolve. Transparent communication from the Air Force remains critical for managing public response. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Russian: The consistent flow of propaganda (SJ-100, manipulated Trump statements) is aimed at maintaining public support and confidence. The public fundraising efforts, while addressing a logistical gap, also serve to engage the population in the war effort and normalize its costs. The promotion of terror tactics aims to demoralize the Ukrainian populace. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE).

4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments:

• Diversion Effectiveness (CRITICAL): RUF's continued and increasingly sophisticated fabrication of the "Iran-Israel crisis," now with selective use of legitimate foreign statements, further deepens its effectiveness in diverting international attention and resources from Ukraine. The strategic aim is to create an alternative geopolitical crisis that forces Western powers to shift focus and potentially resources. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Impact of Disinformation: RUF's attempts to portray "progress" in negotiations or to create internal US divisions are aimed at undermining international unity and support for Ukraine. The escalation to promoting terror tactics also risks alienating international actors, but the insidious nature of the "booby-trap" claim needs to be effectively countered to prevent its normalization. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

4.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Monitor international media and diplomatic responses to Russia's new, more detailed fabrications of the "Iran-Israel crisis" and its increasingly aggressive and terror-promoting narratives to assess their real-world impact on policy and public opinion. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).
• HIGH: Analyze the reach and impact of RUF's terror-inciting propaganda (Alex Parker Returns, НгП раZVедка) on target audiences in Ukraine and internationally. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT).

5. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS

5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA):

• Sustained Multi-Directional UAV and KAB Attacks: RUF will continue to launch UAVs (including Lancets) and KABs against multiple Ukrainian Oblasts (Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Kryvyi Rih, Sumy, Poltava, Kyiv), aiming to stretch UAF air defenses, degrade infrastructure, and conduct reconnaissance, while also attempting to attrit UAF military equipment and terrorize the civilian population.
• Intensified Ground Pressure (Eastern Front & Sumy): RUF will maintain severe ground pressure on Eastern axes (Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar) and continue probing assaults or limited offensives on the Sumy border areas, supported by continued air and missile strikes.
• Escalated and More Audacious Information Warfare: RUF will further escalate its information warfare by creating new, even more explicit and outrageous fabrications related to the "Iran-Israel crisis," providing increasingly "detailed" but false evidence and leveraging quotes from international figures. Concurrently, expect a ramp-up in highly dehumanizing rhetoric against Ukrainians and aggressive anti-Western narratives, including explicit threats of violence against cities and celebration of alleged terror acts.
• Internal Control with Continued Fundraising: The Kremlin will maintain tight internal control, while continuing to rely on and promote public fundraising efforts to cover tactical logistical gaps, framing it as a national effort.

5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA):

• Coordinated Northern Ground Offensive with Cyber-Enabled Terror & Global Deception: RUF initiates a large-scale ground offensive on the Sumy/Chernihiv axis towards Kyiv, aiming for a significant breakthrough, supported by simultaneous, overwhelming multi-domain attacks (ballistic missiles, KABs, mass UAVs, potential cyberattacks). This offensive would be accompanied by coordinated false-flag terror attacks within Ukraine or a neighboring state, falsely attributed to internal Ukrainian dissent or "terrorist groups," amplified by RUF IO channels with fabricated "evidence" (similar to the scooter claim). Concurrently, RUF will launch a massive, globally coordinated cyberattack against critical infrastructure in a NATO or EU member state, falsely attributing it to "Iranian" or "Israeli" actors within the manufactured Middle East crisis. This aims to paralyze key Western response mechanisms, divert all attention and resources to the fabricated "crisis" and terror events, and force a Western response that directly benefits Russia's geopolitical objectives in Ukraine, allowing for rapid gains on the battlefield. The intensified dehumanizing rhetoric and explicit comparisons to totalitarian propaganda would be used to justify extreme violence and atrocities during this offensive, particularly against civilians and POWs, while simultaneously discrediting any counter-narratives from Ukraine or its allies. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points:

• Immediate (Next 6-12 hours):
  • RUF: Expect continued, possibly increasing, UAV and KAB activity across all currently threatened Oblasts (Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Kryvyi Rih, Sumy, Poltava, Kyiv). Further amplification of the fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis" with new, more audacious fabricated "evidence." Continued dehumanizing rhetoric and explicit threats/claims of terror acts.
  • UAF Decision Point: Maintain highest AD readiness, especially in Kyiv, Poltava, Sumy, and other major urban centers under UAV/KAB threat. Intensify ISR on Northern (Sumy/Chernihiv) and Eastern (Zaporizhzhia) axes for early warning of any ground force buildup. Immediately and publicly debunk new RUF IO fabrications, particularly the "statistical evidence," the terror claims (scooter), and dehumanizing rhetoric, engaging international partners to amplify these counter-narratives. Prepare for potential mass casualty events due to civilian targeting and potential terror attacks.
• Short-term (Next 24-72 hours):
  • RUF: Potential for another large-scale missile strike. Continued high-intensity ground and air pressure. RUF IO will seek new "developments" in its fabricated Middle East narrative, potentially linked to false-flag events or further attempts to undermine Western unity. Intensified efforts to secure and publicize non-Western partnerships.
  • UAF Decision Point: Prioritize ISR on all RUF airfields and ground force concentrations for early warning of major offensive operations, especially in the north. Engage international partners to directly and unequivocally counter the extreme RUF IO, providing irrefutable evidence of the deception and its strategic implications. Reinforce defensive positions, particularly in Sumy and Zaporizhzhia, and prepare flexible reserves, especially for the Kyiv axis. Actively promote successful UAF actions and resilience stories to counter RUF propaganda. Enhance internal security and counter-intelligence efforts to identify and neutralize potential terror cells or saboteurs following RUF's public promotion of such tactics.

6. RECOMMENDATIONS

6.1. Intelligence & Special Operations:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Prioritize all-source ISR on Sumy, Chernihiv, and Belarus border areas for any indicators of RUF ground force buildup, logistics, or command post activity that could precede a major offensive. Focus on patterns of UAV use, especially Lancet, in these areas. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: All-source intelligence, GEOINT, IMINT, SIGINT).
2. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Establish a dedicated and expanded counter-disinformation cell focusing solely on real-time debunking of Russia's fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis" and its new, terror-promoting and dehumanizing rhetoric. This cell must be capable of rapid analysis of manipulated media (e.g., staged statistics, reframed legitimate news, alleged terror attacks) and linguistic analysis of extremist narratives to inform immediate counter-narratives. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).
3. URGENT/CRITICAL: Conduct rapid, thorough BDA of the claimed RUF terror attack via booby-trapped scooter and any other claimed RUF successes. Verification of these events is paramount for operational assessment and counter-IO. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: HUMINT, OSINT, FORENSIC).
4. HIGH: Intensify HUMINT and SIGINT collection regarding RUF's tactical drone operations (e.g., "Rubikon" assets, "Molniya" strikes) to understand their C2, capabilities, and vulnerabilities. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: HUMINT, SIGINT, TECHINT).

6.2. Air Defense & Force Protection:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain highest AD alert posture across all Oblasts, especially Kyiv, Poltava, Kryvyi Rih, Sumy, Chernihiv, Zaporizhzhia, and Kharkiv, against persistent multi-directional UAV (including Lancet) and KAB threats. Prioritize the deployment of mobile AD units to vulnerable areas and critical infrastructure.
2. URGENT/CRITICAL: Accelerate the integration and deployment of advanced counter-UAV and EW systems, particularly those effective against loitering munitions like Lancet, to frontline units and critical infrastructure defense.
3. URGENT: Reinforce passive air defense measures and provide updated force protection guidance for civilian populations and first responders in areas subject to frequent UAV/KAB attacks. Develop specific protocols for identifying and responding to potential terror tactics.

6.3. Ground Forces:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain a robust defensive posture and combat readiness across all Eastern Front axes, including Zaporizhzhia, and reinforce positions in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. Prepare for potential MDCOA ground offensive in the North towards Kyiv.
2. URGENT/CRITICAL: Prepare and position flexible strategic reserves for rapid deployment to the Sumy/Chernihiv axis in case of a major RUF ground offensive. Expedite engineering and fortification efforts in these northern border regions.
3. ONGOING: Continue to inflict maximum personnel and equipment losses on RUF through effective defensive operations, counter-battery fire, and precision strikes, leveraging intelligence from drone operations.

6.4. Information Operations & Diplomatic:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Launch an unprecedented, globally coordinated information campaign to expose and directly counter Russia's new, more audacious fabrications of the "Iran-Israel crisis," including the staged statistics and reframed legitimate news. Emphasize the direct link between this destabilization and Russia's military objectives in Ukraine.
2. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Develop and widely disseminate robust counter-narratives to Russia's escalating dehumanizing rhetoric (e.g., "Kryvyi Rih will not be," Goebbels comparisons, promotion of terror tactics), highlighting its genocidal implications and the hypocrisy of the accuser. Engage international human rights organizations and religious leaders to condemn such language and warn of potential atrocities. Specifically, demand international condemnation and investigation into the alleged booby-trapped scooter incident.
3. URGENT: Engage international partners to re-focus attention and aid specifically on the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, explicitly countering any narrative that shifts focus to fabricated crises. Proactively address and seek to mitigate the impact of internal RUF IO (e.g., fake MVS warnings, corruption claims against UAF).
4. ONGOING: Continue to document and disseminate evidence of RUF war crimes and internal issues (e.g., need for unit-level fundraising, elite discontent) to maintain international pressure and discredit RUF's narratives. Highlight UAF's successes in counter-drone innovation and effective defensive actions to project strength and resilience.

END OF REPORT.