Situation Report

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR)

TIME: 201927Z JUN 25 CLASSIFICATION: SECRET // NOFORN REPORTING UNIT: G2 ANALYST, UAF HIGH COMMAND

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain:

• Northern Front (Sumy Oblast): Explosion reported in Sumy city following UAV alerts. This indicates continued kinetic activity in the region, consistent with RUF's ongoing pressure and shaping operations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Eastern Front (Kharkiv Oblast): RUF tactical aviation launched KABs towards Kharkiv Oblast from the east. This confirms continued aerial pressure on this axis. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Eastern Front (Zaporizhzhia): Strike UAVs detected heading towards Zaporizhzhia. Civilian casualties confirmed, with a pregnant woman wounded in a Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia district. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Southern Front (Kryvyi Rih): Strike UAVs detected heading towards Kryvyi Rih. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• General UAV Threat: Widespread alerts for strike UAVs in Zaporizhzhia, Kryvyi Rih, and Kharkiv, and later in Sumy, indicating a multi-directional RUF air campaign. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Battle Damage Assessment (BDA) Claim: Colonelcassad claims another Ukrainian 155mm M109 self-propelled howitzer (SAPH) was destroyed in the Special Military Operation (SVO) zone. Requires independent verification. (LOW CONFIDENCE on BDA without verification)

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors:

• No new significant reports affecting battlefield conditions.

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures:

• Ukrainian Forces (UAF):
  • Air Defense (AD): Actively issuing alerts for UAVs and KABs in Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Kryvyi Rih, and Sumy, demonstrating real-time threat detection and dissemination. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Ground Forces: UAF continues to hold defensive lines against RUF. Confirmed civilian casualties in Zaporizhzhia underscore the ongoing threat.
• Russian Forces (RUF):
  • Air Operations: RUF is conducting multi-directional UAV attacks (Zaporizhzhia, Kryvyi Rih, Sumy, Kharkiv) and tactical aviation is launching KABs into Kharkiv Oblast. "Операция Z" propagates a video claiming "Geraniums" (Shahed drones) are hitting enemy training camps, bridges, and UAV operator command posts, which is a likely exaggeration to inflate RUF success. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on attacks; LOW CONFIDENCE on RUF BDA claims without independent verification)
  • Ground Forces: RUF is actively conducting ground operations. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" channel is actively fundraising for drones (Mavic 3T, Mavic 3 Pro), food, and communication equipment for "reconnaissance and securing forward positions," indicating continued operational needs at the unit level. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Information Operations (CRITICAL ESCALATION CONTINUED):
    • Extreme Diversion (CRITICAL ESCALATION CONTINUED): RUF-aligned channels continue to push the fabricated "Iran-Israel conflict" narrative. Colonelcassad provides a "statistic of launches and impacts on Israel based on public statements and footage" – this is a further attempt to provide fabricated evidence and legitimize the narrative. Alex Parker Returns quotes Israeli Chief of Staff calling for preparedness for a "long campaign" against Iran, integrating legitimate foreign statements into the fabricated context to amplify the crisis. Iran's FM (via Alex Parker Returns) reiterates no negotiations while "Israeli attacks continue," again reinforcing the fabricated narrative. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Dehumanization & Extremism (CRITICAL): TASS reports that Medinsky compared Ukrainian "fakes" regarding the exchange of bodies of fallen soldiers to Goebbels' propaganda. This is a direct and aggressive counter-narrative to UAF efforts to highlight RUF's disregard for its dead, and a further dehumanizing attack. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo with the caption "Russian fascism is raising its head again. Alarming," which is a likely projection tactic, accusing the adversary of its own characteristics. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Internal Control/Propaganda: ASTRA reports on a State Duma deputy, Makarov, expressing concerns about the lack of investment climate and honest courts in Russia, and condemning nationalization, under the caption "Can I not say what I think, because I want to live to see the next breakfast?" This suggests internal dissent among elites regarding economic policy, but framed carefully to avoid direct opposition to the regime, highlighting the climate of fear. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Anti-Western/Anti-Ukraine: Рыбарь uses a Reuters report on UNHCR to demonstrate "how Western media works," aiming to discredit Western reporting on refugee issues and potentially broader narratives about Ukraine. Sternenko shares an image alleging corruption in Ukraine (companies linked to Herman Fistal winning state contracts despite criminal cases), which is a classic RUF IO tactic to undermine UAF credibility, though here disseminated by a Ukrainian source (potentially for internal accountability, but exploitable by RUF). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Claims of Success: Colonelcassad claims the destruction of a Ukrainian M109 SAPH, alongside "Операция Z" claims of "Geranium" strikes. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on claims; LOW CONFIDENCE on BDA).

1.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Immediate BDA of the claimed destruction of the Ukrainian M109 SAPH (Colonelcassad 19:22:02Z) to verify RUF claims and assess the actual impact on UAF capabilities. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: IMINT, GEOINT).
• HIGH: Assess the impact of KAB strikes on Kharkiv Oblast. Determine specific targets, damage, and potential civilian casualties. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: IMINT, OSINT).
• HIGH: Analyze the internal dissent expressed by Duma deputy Makarov (ASTRA 18:59:02Z) to assess its potential for wider elite discontent or policy shifts within Russia, beyond economic discussions. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).
• HIGH: Monitor and analyze RUF efforts to leverage and reframe international news (e.g., Israeli General Staff statements, UNHCR reports) to fit their broader disinformation narratives. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT).

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action:

• Air/Missile/UAV Capabilities: RUF continues to demonstrate robust UAV and tactical aviation capabilities, launching multi-directional strike UAVs (Zaporizhzhia, Kryvyi Rih, Sumy, Kharkiv) and KABs (Kharkiv). This indicates a sustained ability to conduct shaping operations and inflict damage on urban centers and potentially military targets. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Ground Capabilities: RUF ground forces are actively engaged, and unit-level fundraising for drones for "reconnaissance and securing forward positions" implies continued, attritional engagements requiring persistent ISR and tactical support. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Information Warfare Capabilities: RUF's IO remains highly sophisticated, aggressive, and adaptive. They are consistently providing new "evidence" and reframing legitimate news to support their fabricated narratives (Iran-Israel conflict). The use of historical comparisons (Goebbels) and projection tactics (Russian fascism) indicates a deeper, more malicious attempt to discredit Ukraine and its Western partners, and to justify RUF's own actions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Intentions: RUF intends to:
  • Sustain multi-axis kinetic pressure, particularly with UAVs and KABs, to degrade UAF defenses, infrastructure, and morale, while attempting to inflict attrition on UAF military assets (e.g., M109 SAPH).
  • CRITICAL: Intensify and diversify its global information warfare campaign, primarily by continuously adding fabricated "details" to the "Iran-Israel crisis" and by using aggressive counter-narratives (e.g., Goebbels comparison) to discredit Ukrainian and Western reporting. They will continue to project their own internal issues (fascism, lack of investment) onto adversaries.
  • Maintain domestic control and narrative cohesion, managing internal dissent from elites and continuing to project an image of strength and success despite economic challenges.
  • Undermine Ukrainian credibility and international support by spreading narratives of corruption and misrepresentation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations:

• RUF: The systematic creation of "statistics" and incorporation of seemingly legitimate foreign military statements into the fabricated Middle East crisis narrative (Colonelcassad, Alex Parker Returns) is an adaptation to make the deception more convincing. The explicit use of Goebbels comparisons by Medinsky is a significant escalation in offensive IO. Unit-level fundraising for drones (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺) indicates continued reliance on non-state support for tactical needs. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• UAF: Continued real-time AD alerts and effective communication of threats demonstrate adaptive responsiveness to RUF air attacks. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status:

• RUF: Continued high-intensity air operations suggest sustained, though potentially strained, logistics. Unit-level fundraising for drones, food, and communication equipment (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺) indicates gaps in official supply chains at the tactical level, necessitating civilian support. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• UAF: The continued report of civilian casualties, especially a pregnant woman, underscores the human cost and medical sustainment needs. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness:

• RUF: RUF C2 shows continued coordination in its multi-directional air campaign and, more notably, in its highly synchronized and escalating global information warfare campaign, which involves various state and non-state actors. The controlled dissent from State Duma members indicates a sophisticated internal C2 that allows for limited, channeled criticism. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• UAF: UAF C2 demonstrates effective real-time threat detection and dissemination (Air Force alerts). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

2.5. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Quantify the scale of RUF ground force drone acquisition through private fundraising, and assess its impact on RUF's tactical ISR and strike capabilities. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).
• HIGH: Monitor the nature and frequency of internal elite dissent in Russia (e.g., Makarov's comments) to gauge the resilience of the regime and potential policy implications. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).

3. FRIENDLY FORCES

3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness:

• Defensive Posture: UAF maintains an active defensive posture against RUF UAVs and KABs across multiple regions, including Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Kryvyi Rih, and Sumy. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Vulnerability: Continued widespread UAV and KAB threats stretch AD resources and pose a significant risk of civilian casualties and infrastructure damage, as evidenced by the pregnant woman wounded in Zaporizhzhia. The persistent, aggressive nature of RUF's IO, including claims of destroyed UAF equipment, requires robust counter-narratives. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks:

• Successes: UAF Air Force continues real-time threat detection and public alerts, contributing to civilian safety.
• Setbacks: New KAB strikes on Kharkiv Oblast and continued widespread UAV attacks on multiple urban centers. Civilian casualties, specifically a pregnant woman wounded in Zaporizhzhia. The alleged destruction of a UAF M109 SAPH (if verified) would be a tactical setback. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints:

• Air Defense/Counter-UAV: Continued and urgent requirement for AD systems and interceptors to counter persistent and multi-directional UAV and KAB threats.
• Counter-IO: Significant resources are required to develop and disseminate rapid, comprehensive counter-narratives to combat Russia's increasingly sophisticated and aggressive information warfare, particularly its fabricated Middle East crisis and dehumanizing rhetoric.
• Medical Support: Urgent need for medical resources to treat civilian casualties resulting from RUF strikes.

3.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• HIGH: Assess the specific types and quantities of AD/EW systems most effective against current RUF drone threats to inform targeted procurement. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: TECHINT, HUMINT).
• MEDIUM: Analyze the impact of continued civilian casualties on local morale and public support for the war effort, particularly in heavily targeted regions. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).

4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT

4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns:

• Russian:
  • Extreme Diversion (CRITICAL ESCALATION CONTINUED): RUF continues to actively propagate the fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis." Colonelcassad introduces a new element of "statistical data" on missile launches and impacts in Israel, designed to give the illusion of factual reporting. Alex Parker Returns reinforces this by quoting a legitimate Israeli military figure within the fabricated context, emphasizing a "long campaign." The Iranian FM's statement (via Alex Parker Returns) about "no negotiations while Israeli attacks continue" is seamlessly integrated to further legitimize the non-existent conflict. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Dehumanization & Extremism (CRITICAL): Medinsky's comparison of Ukrainian "fakes" regarding body exchanges to Goebbels' propaganda is a direct, aggressive smear tactic designed to associate Ukraine with Nazism, while simultaneously deflecting criticism from RUF's own handling of its dead. Alex Parker Returns' caption "Russian fascism is raising its head again" (over an unrelated photo) is a clear projection. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Anti-Western/Anti-Ukraine Messaging: Рыбарь's attempt to discredit Reuters' reporting on refugees, linking it to the "working" of Western media, is part of a broader effort to undermine Western credibility. Sternenko's post (though Ukrainian) on alleged corruption within Ukraine can be exploited by RUF to sow distrust. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Domestic Control & War Justification: ASTRA's report on Duma deputy Makarov's cautious criticism highlights the tight control over internal discourse. While seemingly a criticism, it is framed in a way that suggests self-preservation, indicating the repressive environment. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" fundraising efforts serve to normalize war and encourage public participation, framing it as a "national" effort. "Операция Z" claims of "Geranium" effectiveness serve to boost domestic morale about RUF military capabilities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Ukrainian:
  • Transparency & Call for Action: UAF leadership (Air Force) continues real-time reporting on RUF UAV and KAB threats, maintaining public awareness and trust.
  • Documentation of Atrocities: Reporting on civilian casualties, especially a pregnant woman wounded in Zaporizhzhia, serves to highlight RUF war crimes and maintain international condemnation.
  • Internal Accountability (Exploitable): Sternenko's reporting on alleged corruption within Ukraine, while aimed at internal accountability, could be exploited by RUF IO to undermine trust in UAF leadership. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors:

• Ukrainian: Public morale will be impacted by ongoing UAV and KAB attacks on urban centers and civilian casualties, particularly the wounding of a pregnant woman. However, transparent communication from the Air Force helps manage public response. The continued need for fundraising for Ukrainian forces, highlighted by "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" for Russian forces, may resonate with Ukrainians also needing to support their military. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Russian: The consistent flow of propaganda, including the fabricated Middle East crisis and claims of military success, is aimed at maintaining public support. However, ASTRA's report on Duma deputy Makarov's veiled criticism hints at underlying elite discontent regarding economic and legal conditions, which could potentially trickle down to public sentiment if left unchecked. The need for unit-level fundraising for basic equipment suggests internal supply chain issues, which could also affect morale. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE).

4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments:

• Diversion Effectiveness (CRITICAL): RUF's continued and increasingly sophisticated fabrication of the "Iran-Israel crisis," including providing "statistics" and selectively quoting international figures, further deepens its effectiveness in diverting international attention and resources from Ukraine. The strategic aim is to create an alternative geopolitical crisis that forces Western powers to shift focus and potentially resources. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Impact of Disinformation: Medinsky's Goebbels comparison is a direct attempt to undermine Ukraine's international standing and discredit any Western support for Ukraine's narrative. Рыбарь's attack on Western media contributes to this broader strategy of discrediting adversaries. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

4.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Monitor international media and diplomatic responses to Russia's new, more detailed fabrications of the "Iran-Israel crisis" and its aggressive counter-narratives (e.g., Goebbels comparison) to assess their real-world impact on policy and public opinion. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).
• HIGH: Analyze the reception and reach of RUF's unit-level fundraising efforts to understand the extent of societal buy-in and the actual impact on RUF's capabilities. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).

5. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS

5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA):

• Sustained Multi-Directional UAV and KAB Attacks: RUF will continue to launch UAVs and KABs against multiple Ukrainian Oblasts (Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Kryvyi Rih, Sumy), aiming to stretch UAF air defenses, degrade infrastructure, and conduct reconnaissance, while also attempting to attrit UAF military equipment.
• Intensified Ground Pressure (Eastern Front & Sumy): RUF will maintain severe ground pressure on Eastern axes (Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar) and likely continue probing assaults or limited offensives on the Sumy border areas, supported by continued air and missile strikes.
• Escalated and More Audacious Information Warfare: RUF will further escalate its information warfare by creating new, even more explicit and outrageous fabrications related to the "Iran-Israel crisis," providing increasingly "detailed" but false evidence. Concurrently, expect a ramp-up in highly dehumanizing rhetoric against Ukrainians and aggressive anti-Western narratives to justify military actions and sow discord, including direct comparisons to historical totalitarian regimes.
• Internal Control with Controlled Dissent: The Kremlin will maintain tight internal control, allowing for carefully managed and minor elite criticisms that do not threaten core regime stability, primarily to project an image of open discourse while ensuring loyalty.

5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA):

• Coordinated Northern Ground Offensive with Global Deception and Extreme Violence: RUF initiates a large-scale ground offensive on the Sumy/Chernihiv axis towards Kyiv, aiming for a significant breakthrough, supported by simultaneous, overwhelming multi-domain attacks (ballistic missiles, KABs, mass UAVs, potential cyberattacks). Concurrently, RUF will launch a massive, globally coordinated cyberattack against critical infrastructure in a NATO or EU member state, falsely attributing it to "Iranian" or "Israeli" actors within the manufactured Middle East crisis. This aims to paralyze key Western response mechanisms, divert all attention and resources to the fabricated "crisis," and force a Western response that directly benefits Russia's geopolitical objectives in Ukraine. The escalated dehumanizing rhetoric and explicit comparisons to totalitarian propaganda could be used to justify extreme violence and atrocities during this offensive, particularly against civilians and POWs, while simultaneously discrediting any counter-narratives from Ukraine or its allies. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points:

• Immediate (Next 6-12 hours):
  • RUF: Expect continued, possibly increasing, UAV and KAB activity across all currently threatened Oblasts (Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Kryvyi Rih, Sumy). Further amplification of the fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis" with new, more audacious fabricated "evidence." Continued dehumanizing rhetoric and claims of battlefield successes.
  • UAF Decision Point: Maintain highest AD readiness, especially in Kharkiv, Sumy, and other major urban centers under UAV/KAB threat. Intensify ISR on Northern (Sumy/Chernihiv) and Eastern (Zaporizhzhia) axes for early warning of any ground force buildup. Immediately and publicly debunk new RUF IO fabrications, particularly the "statistical evidence" and dehumanizing rhetoric, engaging international partners to amplify these counter-narratives. Prepare for potential mass casualty events due to civilian targeting.
• Short-term (Next 24-72 hours):
  • RUF: Potential for another large-scale missile strike. Continued high-intensity ground and air pressure. RUF IO will seek new "developments" in its fabricated Middle East narrative, potentially linked to false-flag events or further attempts to undermine Western unity. Intensified efforts to secure and publicize non-Western partnerships.
  • UAF Decision Point: Prioritize ISR on all RUF airfields and ground force concentrations for early warning of major offensive operations, especially in the north. Engage international partners to directly and unequivocally counter the extreme RUF IO, providing irrefutable evidence of the deception and its strategic implications. Reinforce defensive positions, particularly in Sumy and Zaporizhzhia, and prepare flexible reserves, especially for the Kyiv axis. Actively promote successful UAF actions and resilience stories to counter RUF propaganda.

6. RECOMMENDATIONS

6.1. Intelligence & Special Operations:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Prioritize all-source ISR on Sumy, Chernihiv, and Belarus border areas for any indicators of RUF ground force buildup, logistics, or command post activity that could precede a major offensive. Focus on patterns of UAV use in these areas. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: All-source intelligence, GEOINT, IMINT, SIGINT).
2. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Establish a dedicated and expanded counter-disinformation cell focusing solely on real-time debunking of Russia's fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis" and its new dehumanizing rhetoric. This cell must be capable of rapid analysis of manipulated media (e.g., staged statistics, reframed legitimate news) and linguistic analysis of extremist narratives (e.g., Goebbels comparisons) to inform immediate counter-narratives. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).
3. URGENT/CRITICAL: Conduct rapid, thorough BDA of the claimed destruction of the Ukrainian M109 SAPH and any other claimed RUF successes. Verification of these events is paramount for operational assessment and counter-IO. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: IMINT, OSINT, GEOINT).
4. HIGH: Intensify HUMINT collection regarding internal RUF morale, disciplinary issues, and the true nature and impact of unit-level fundraising on their domestic labor market and military effectiveness. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: HUMINT).

6.2. Air Defense & Force Protection:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain highest AD alert posture across all Oblasts, especially Kyiv, Kryvyi Rih, Sumy, Chernihiv, Zaporizhzhia, and Kharkiv, against persistent multi-directional UAV and KAB threats. Prioritize the deployment of mobile AD units to vulnerable areas and critical infrastructure.
2. URGENT/CRITICAL: Accelerate the integration and deployment of advanced counter-UAV and EW systems, particularly those effective against fiber optic-controlled FPV drones, to frontline units and critical infrastructure defense.
3. URGENT: Reinforce passive air defense measures and provide updated force protection guidance for civilian populations and first responders in areas subject to frequent UAV/KAB attacks.

6.3. Ground Forces:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain a robust defensive posture and combat readiness across all Eastern Front axes, including Zaporizhzhia, and reinforce positions in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. Prepare for potential MDCOA ground offensive in the North towards Kyiv.
2. URGENT/CRITICAL: Prepare and position flexible strategic reserves for rapid deployment to the Sumy/Chernihiv axis in case of a major RUF ground offensive. Expedite engineering and fortification efforts in these northern border regions.
3. ONGOING: Continue to inflict maximum personnel and equipment losses on RUF through effective defensive operations, counter-battery fire, and precision strikes, leveraging intelligence from drone operations.

6.4. Information Operations & Diplomatic:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Launch an unprecedented, globally coordinated information campaign to expose and directly counter Russia's new, more audacious fabrications of the "Iran-Israel crisis," including the staged statistics and reframed legitimate news. Emphasize the direct link between this destabilization and Russia's military objectives in Ukraine.
2. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Develop and widely disseminate robust counter-narratives to Russia's escalating dehumanizing rhetoric (e.g., Goebbels comparisons, projection of fascism), highlighting its genocidal implications and the hypocrisy of the accuser. Engage international human rights organizations and religious leaders to condemn such language and warn of potential atrocities.
3. URGENT: Engage international partners to re-focus attention and aid specifically on the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, explicitly countering any narrative that shifts focus to fabricated crises. Proactively address and seek to mitigate the impact of internal RUF IO (e.g., corruption claims against UAF).
4. ONGOING: Continue to document and disseminate evidence of RUF war crimes and internal issues (e.g., need for unit-level fundraising, elite discontent) to maintain international pressure and discredit RUF's narratives. Highlight UAF's successes in counter-drone innovation and effective defensive actions to project strength and resilience.

END OF REPORT.