Sitrep 2025-05-20 08:00:47

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 20, 2025, 07:58 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment continues to be characterized by intense ground combat across multiple directions, particularly in Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and now also with reported activity in Sumy Oblasts and border regions of Kursk Oblast. A persistent and geographically extensive Russian aerial offensive employing strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs) continues to impact numerous Ukrainian oblasts, with casualties and damage to civilian infrastructure reported. Diplomatic maneuvering remains intertwined with conflicting military signals, notably concerning potential negotiations and the role of international actors, with recent commentary on the implications of the Trump-Putin conversation. Ukraine continues to report significant losses inflicted on Russian forces and highlight their defensive capabilities and the effective use of drone technology, including successful interceptions of Russian UAVs. Russia persists in asserting tactical gains, reporting successful engagements and equipment destruction, including the claimed destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles and drones, and engaging in comprehensive information operations to shape narratives. Internal Russian issues, encompassing military personnel support, legal proceedings, infrastructure concerns, and social initiatives, are also reported, alongside continued international events and developments.

Significant new updates from the latest messages include:

Continued Intense Ground Combat and Tactical Claims: Russian sources continue to report significant tactical advances and claimed successes. Mash на Донбассе reports a Russian assault soldier survived a head wound sustained on the Artemivsk direction, highlighting the intensity of fighting there. Военкор Котенок reports that Ukrainian reconnaissance and sabotage groups, supported by artillery, attempted to enter Kursk Oblast near Krasnooktyabrsky and Volfino overnight but reportedly withdrew with losses. Сливочный каприз reports active combat in the Borova area and the successful targeting of a Ukrainian armored vehicle near Nova Kruhliakivka, and further claims Russian advances near Chasiv Yar, securing new positions along the Siverskyi Donets-Donbas canal near Kalinina. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides a Ukrainian operational update for the Kharkiv axis, reporting clashes near Vovchansk and towards Kutkivka and detailing Russian aviation strikes, drone attacks, and shelling, along with claimed Russian personnel and equipment losses. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian fire on Ukrainian reserves near the Sumy border, resulting in the destruction of communication nodes, equipment concentrations, a refueling point, mobile reserves, and logistical nodes, as well as the suppression of enemy strongholds and elimination of a sabotage group through drone operations. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming to show three Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border in the Belgorod Oblast area were engaged by Ukrainian FPV drones, resulting in one fatality and two injuries. Воин DV reports Russian units disrupting Ukrainian logistics and personnel rotation near Hulyaipole and Yablokovo in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, claiming the destruction of two pickup trucks, two temporary deployment points, a UAV launcher, and a communication antenna through artillery and drone strikes, and the destruction of two "Baba Yaga" drones through drone attacks and ramming near Otradnoye and Razdolnoye, as well as the destruction of a MaxxPro and a pickup truck east of Poddubnoye and attacks on Ukrainian personnel west of Otradnoye with drone drops. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment (communication, control, and relay antennas) near Bogatyr in Donetsk Oblast by Russian FPV drones. These reports indicate continued ground engagements across multiple sectors and attempts at cross-border actions, with both sides claiming success and inflicting losses.
Widespread and Persistent Russian Drone Attacks with Civilian Impact: The Ukrainian Air Force and ASTRA confirmed a massive overnight Russian drone attack involving 108 UAVs, with 93 neutralized (35 by fire, 58 by EW), impacting Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy, and Zhytomyr Oblasts. Further reports detail Russian drone attacks in the Bilopillia and Yunakivka communities in Sumy Oblast and KAB strikes on the Yunakivka community, causing damage, including the destruction of two residential buildings, but reportedly no casualties in these specific overnight incidents. ASTRA also reports two people injured in a Russian drone attack on a passenger bus in Kherson city, with the Kherson Military Administration confirming the attack and the injuries and noting route changes due to high drone activity. STERNENKO also reports on this bus attack. The number of injured in the Kherson bus attack has increased to 5, according to РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ, with the Office of the Prosecutor General initiating a criminal proceeding covering both the drone attack on the bus and subsequent artillery shelling which injured another five people in the Korabelnyi district, resulting in a total of 10 injured civilians in Kherson today. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report over 500 kamikaze drone strikes and around 200 drone drops in the South over the past day, highlighting the sheer volume of loitering munition and small drone activity. Russian sources claim the destruction of Ukrainian UAVs by Russian "Rubikon" FPV drones in the special operation zone and showcase claimed FPV drone combat work. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video showing Russian soldiers encountering Ukrainian FPV drones during a movement, highlighting the pervasive threat of these systems. WarGonzo advises soldiers to update their drone detectors, emphasizing the ongoing electronic warfare environment. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down a Lancet drone. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports the use of 158 kamikaze drones by Russian forces on the Kharkiv axis over the past day, with Ukrainian forces claiming the destruction of 81 enemy UAVs in this sector. Воин DV claims the destruction of two "Baba Yaga" drones by Russian units in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian "Yolka" drone-air defense system kinetically intercepted and damaged a Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV in the SVO zone.
Diplomatic Commentary and International Perceptions: ТАСС, citing the Financial Times, reports that European officials view the recent Putin-Trump conversation as a major victory for the Russian leader, stating that Trump is "stepping aside" and that the burden of supporting Ukraine and pressuring Russia is now on Europe. This suggests a perception among some European officials that the conversation weakened the united front against Russia. ТАСС also reports on Konstantin Kosachev's statement that Trump has recognized Russia as an equal subject of international relations, while Kyiv has been turned into an "object" and "instrument" for achieving foreign geopolitical goals. These statements highlight Russian efforts to interpret and leverage high-level diplomatic contacts to portray a shift in international dynamics in their favor. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of Trump with commentary, potentially for informational or propaganda purposes. Alex Parker Returns shares a message from Arestovich indicating a shift away from military fundraising towards humanitarian collections, which could be interpreted in various ways regarding the focus of Ukrainian support efforts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 urges followers to pay attention to a key statement by Putin at the end of a recent address, implying its significance. Два майора links the strength of Russia's negotiating position to the successes of their army, reinforcing the military-diplomatic connection. ТАСС reports that Hungary's parliament has finally approved a bill to withdraw from the International Criminal Court (ICC), which has implications for international legal frameworks and potential war crimes accountability.
Internal Russian Military and Social Issues: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ASTRA, and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА report on a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a district head allegedly threatening to send people to the "SVO", highlighting potential public perception issues and the impact of the conflict on domestic society and potentially abuses of power related to mobilization. Два майора also shares a video on this scandal and promotes fundraising for Russian forces, linking military success to diplomatic strength. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the "Day of Veterans of the Armed Forces" in Russia, emphasizing service and duty, which is a form of military commemoration and morale-building. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on a spate of distant fraud cases in Komsomolsk-on-Amur, including schemes using "safe accounts" and targeting minors, resulting in significant financial losses, highlighting internal law enforcement issues and the impact of cybercrime, potentially exacerbated by the conflict environment. AV БогомаZ shares a report from "Russia 24" highlighting the work of Russian farmers in difficult conditions, framed as contributing to the country's development, which is a form of internal propaganda aimed at bolstering national unity and resilience. Север.Реалии shares commentary critical of the construction of a school in a park in Saratov, linking it to perceived corruption and lack of public consultation, reflecting internal social and governance issues. Новости Москвы reports on a case of a rat falling from ventilation in a Moscow cafe and being killed by a waiter, an unusual domestic incident. Два майора shares a video and text about a deputy in Transbaikalia who has been participating in council meetings remotely from Ukraine since the start of the "SVO", highlighting bureaucratic inertia and potential security concerns regarding information sharing. Филолог в засаде shares a report from 2019 titled "How Russia is losing the war in Donbas," suggesting internal criticism of Russian military strategy and performance predating the full-scale invasion. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники confirms the dismissal of the official in Vologda Oblast after the scandal and the potential appointment of a military member to the position, highlighting the consequences of the scandal. ТАСС reports on a measles outbreak at Moscow State University, leading to distance learning for a faculty, highlighting public health issues. ТАСС reports 67 people were detained in Makhachkala, Dagestan, after mass conflicts between teenagers, highlighting internal security and social issues. ТАСС reports a state of emergency was introduced in Rostov Oblast due to the condition of crops damaged by spring frosts, indicating agricultural and potentially economic issues. Рыбарь provides an analysis of migration issues in Perm Krai, highlighting concerns about public order and social infrastructure, which are internal social challenges.
Ukrainian Military Training and Fundraising: Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України share a video of night assault training by soldiers of the 79th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade, emphasizing the use of night vision devices, thermal drones, communication, interaction with UAVs and EW, fire support, and tactical medicine, highlighting ongoing efforts to enhance combat capabilities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares photos and text about infantry training exercises for the 21st Separate Mechanized Brigade, focusing on assaulting trenches, teamwork, and maintaining life, further emphasizing Ukrainian training efforts. ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» is fundraising for the repair, restoration, maintenance, and purchase of new FPV and Mavic drones, emphasizing their importance for reconnaissance, targeting, and saving lives. They also hint at something brewing internally within the brigade, potentially related to operational plans or unit developments. РБК-Україна reports that a unit of the "Rubizh" brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine is fundraising for the restoration of destroyed property and equipment, highlighting the material costs of the conflict and the need for support for units on the front lines. Два майора is fundraising for transport and equipment (REB complexes, thermal sights, signal amplifiers, drone detectors) for fighters of the 3rd Motor Rifle Division on the Krasnolimanskoye direction, highlighting the needs of Russian units. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video and photos of a modernized pickup truck for sappers of the 118th brigade in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, crowdfunded and adapted for combat, highlighting successful public support and adaptation efforts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares photos and text highlighting the training of cadets of the Air Assault Forces and Naval Infantry in mountainous terrain, demonstrating specialized training. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of Ukrainian drone operators in the 30th brigade, highlighting unit activity. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a poetry festival with a charitable collection for reconnaissance units.
Civilian Impact and War Crimes Investigation: The Office of the Prosecutor General's initiation of a pre-trial investigation into the previous day's bus attack near Bilopillia in Sumy Oblast as a war crime, now confirmed to have resulted in 9 fatalities and 4 injuries, remains a significant humanitarian and legal development. New reports confirm two people injured in a Russian drone attack on a passenger bus in Kherson city, with the Kherson Military Administration confirming the attack and noting route changes due to high drone activity. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian artillery shelling of the Korabelnyi district of Kherson, hitting a multi-story building and injuring two civilians. РБК-Україна reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack has increased to 5. The Office of the Prosecutor General reports a total of 10 injured civilians in Kherson today from the drone attack on the bus and subsequent artillery shelling and has initiated a criminal proceeding for violation of the laws and customs of war. РБК-Україна and Сумська ОВА report on the Russian drone and KAB attacks on the Bilopillia and Yunakivka communities in Sumy Oblast, causing damage to a civilian object (large fire) and destroying two residential buildings. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a wounded Russian soldier attempting suicide, which, while graphic, highlights the psychological toll of the war. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that Russian forces attacked Stepnohirsk with at least nine guided aerial bombs (KABs), causing damage to residential buildings, but fortunately no casualties, demonstrating continued targeting of civilian areas.
Russian Military Equipment Development and Use: Russian sources highlight the claimed destruction of Ukrainian UAVs by Russian "Rubikon" FPV drones and showcase claimed FPV drone combat work. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report the destruction of a variety of Russian equipment including artillery systems, vehicles, UAVs, EW stations, a motorcycle, quad bikes, a ground drone, boats, a buggy, a generator, and antennas. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down a Lancet drone. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming Ukrainian border guard drone operations on the Kursk direction destroyed a Russian artillery piece, communication antenna, and two quad bikes. MoD Russia shares a video of a mortar crew targeting Ukrainian positions on the Orekhov direction, claiming to have hit a Ukrainian UAV control point after receiving targeting data from reconnaissance, highlighting the combined use of reconnaissance and artillery. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports the destruction of 3 artillery systems, 14 vehicles, 81 UAVs, 1 EW station, and 7 units of special equipment by Ukrainian forces on the Kharkiv axis. Воин DV claims the destruction of two Ukrainian pickup trucks and a MaxxPro in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, a UAV launcher, and two "Baba Yaga" drones. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment by Russian FPV drones. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian "Yolka" drone-air defense system kinetically intercepted and damaged a Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming a Ukrainian sniper disabled a Russian MT-LB armored personnel carrier at a distance of 1.7 km with a Barrett M82A1 rifle.
Ukrainian Civilian Resistance and Support: The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration shares a video message commemorating the daily minute of silence for those who died in the war. The Kyiv City Military Administration commemorates the death of Senior Soldier Andrii Kalchenko, who died near Bakhmut in May 2023, highlighting his service in the Territorial Defense and his character. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on the work of a "Transparency and Accountability" group that has saved 106 million UAH through monitoring public procurement, highlighting efforts towards efficient use of resources, potentially for supporting the war effort or civilian needs. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ highlights the "National Week of Barrier-Free Living," promoting inclusivity and equal opportunities, which is a social initiative with potential implications for supporting veterans and people with disabilities caused by the war.
International Financial Support: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission has started its work in Kyiv to discuss the eighth review of the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) program. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that the European Union is expected to adopt the 17th package of sanctions against Russia today, targeting the "shadow fleet" and energy trade revenues, which is a significant development in international economic pressure on Russia.
Information Warfare and Propaganda: Both Ukrainian and Russian sources continue to utilize information operations. Ukrainian sources are commemorating fallen soldiers and key battles (Mariupol), highlighting training efforts, and fundraising. Russian sources are promoting claimed military successes and advancements (drone destruction, tactical gains, use of thermobaric systems), attempting to influence narratives around negotiations and European political shifts, and reporting on domestic incidents and scandals. ASTRA is promoting its VPN service as a way to bypass censorship in Russia. A Russian military blogger uses a historical quote to promote their channel. TASS reports on a domestic incident in the US involving a Russian hockey player. TASS reports on a scam targeting graduates using "Gosuslugi" accounts. A Russian military blogger comments on the rise of right-wing parties in Europe and links it to dissatisfaction with the war in Ukraine. Alex Parker Returns shares a headline from Ukrainian media about Russia allegedly recruiting "pirates and jungle dwellers," which is likely a piece of Ukrainian information operations. ТАСС shares commentary from European officials and Konstantin Kosachev on the Trump-Putin conversation, framing it as a victory for Russia. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Ukrainian soldiers are evading capture in Kursk Oblast by disguising themselves as civilians, which is a Russian information operation. Два майора criticizes the mobilization process in Ukraine and promotes fundraising for Russian forces. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video of Russian soldiers encountering Ukrainian FPV drones and promotes his channel. Mash на Донбассе reports on a Russian soldier surviving a head wound and shares photos. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video from the GUR unit "Bratstvo" showcasing combat work, likely for morale and public relations, and shares a video claiming Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates "Veterans Day" in Russia, highlights Russian military actions near Sumy, and implies the significance of a recent Putin statement. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on claimed desertions and scandals within a Ukrainian brigade ("French miracle"), which is a Russian information operation, and shares a video highlighting Zelenskyy's past promises. Два майора promotes fundraising for Russian forces and shares a satirical video related to Zelenskyy and a video about a deputy participating in meetings from Ukraine. Alex Parker Returns shares a message from Arestovich related to fundraising, which could be interpreted as a shift in Ukrainian support strategy. Сливочный каприз reports on combat in the Borova area and targeting of Ukrainian vehicles, claims Russian advances near Chasiv Yar, and reports on combat near Sudzha and Loknya, likely for a Russian audience. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian artillery shelling in Kherson and Ukrainian border guard actions in Kursk Oblast, and reports on the US B61-13 guided nuclear bomb and a Ukrainian sniper disabling a Russian MT-LB. РБК-Україна reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack and the IMF mission started work in Kyiv and reports on Russian drone and KAB attacks in Sumy. Воин DV claims that Russian units are striking Ukrainian positions with Grad MLRS and reports on the destruction of Ukrainian UAV control points and "Baba Yaga" drones and showcases claimed Russian military actions in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Военкор Котенок reports on the Siversk direction and on Ukrainian attempts to enter Kursk Oblast and Russian defense actions. ТАСС reports, citing Russian sources, that several Ukrainian units suffered colossal losses in battles for Belovody (Sumy Oblast), and reports on the expected EU sanctions. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a wounded Russian soldier attempting suicide, which, while graphic, could be used to highlight the psychological toll of the war. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides a Ukrainian operational update and casualty figures for the Kharkiv sector. Филолог в засаде shares a report from 2019 critical of Russian military strategy, highlighting internal commentary. Север.Реалии shares commentary critical of local governance in Saratov. Новости Москвы reports on a domestic incident in a Moscow cafe. Рыбарь provides an analysis of migration issues in Perm Krai and the conflict in Sudan.
US Nuclear Modernization: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the US has assembled the first of a series of new B61-13 guided nuclear bombs, noting it as the first tactical nuclear KAB designed to hit hardened underground targets. This is a significant development in US nuclear capabilities.
Regional Conflicts: РБК-Україна reports that Canada, France, and Great Britain have threatened Israel with sanctions over its offensive in Gaza, highlighting ongoing tensions in the Middle East and international diplomatic pressure. Рыбарь provides an analysis of the conflict in Sudan, highlighting its humanitarian impact and regional instability, demonstrating the broader global context of conflicts.
Hungary Exits ICC: ТАСС reports that Hungary's parliament has finally approved a bill to withdraw from the International Criminal Court (ICC), which has implications for international legal frameworks and potential war crimes accountability.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Donetsk Oblast (Bakhmutskyi district, Chasiv Yar, Ivanivske, Pokrovsk direction, South-Donetsk direction, Bogatyr, Otradnoye, Novoukrainka, Zelenyy Kut, Novodanylivka, Robotyne, Siversk direction, Verkhnokamyenske, Chubarovsky Pond, Dzerzhinsk, Konstantinovka, Myroliubivka, Stara Mykolaivka, Romanivka, Krasnoarmeysk agglomeration, Novoekonomicheskoe, Mirnograd, Lysychansk direction, Artemivsk direction, Kalinina, Kramatorsk, Sloviansk): Remains a primary focus of intense ground combat. The death of Senior Soldier Andrii Kalchenko near Ivanivske (Bakhmutskyi district) in May 2023 is commemorated. Russian sources are reporting significant tactical advances on the South-Donetsk and Konstantinovka directions, including the liberation of Bogatyr, advances near Otradnoye, Novoukrainka, Zelenyy Kut, Novodanylivka, and the use of TOS-1A thermobaric systems against a fortified stronghold. They also claim the elimination of foreign mercenaries and capture of British and Canadian prisoners in Novodanylivka, destruction of ammunition depots and a refueling point in Kushugum, and repelling a counterattack near Robotyne with destruction of Bradley IFVs. Artillery strikes have reportedly destroyed Leopard tanks and a fortified shelter. Russian military bloggers highlight claimed advances and the difficulties for Ukrainian forces on the South-Donetsk direction and report on the Siversk direction, claiming advances towards Siversk and near Verkhnekamyenske, and destruction of Ukrainian EW stations, communication nodes, and UAV control points. Intense fighting continues across multiple directions as reported in previous updates. Affected by the overnight Russian aerial assault with 108 UAVs. ASTRA reports the overnight Russian drone attack impacted Donetsk Oblast. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports night hunting on enemy transport with drones on the South-Donetsk direction near Otradnoye, Novoukrainka, and Zelenyy Kut, destroying over 10 vehicles. Colonelcassad reports on the liberation of Bogatyr in the DNR on Sunday and continued Russian advances on the South-Donetsk direction and shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment near Bogatyr by Russian FPV drones. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the use of TOS-1A "Solntsepyok" thermobaric systems against a fortified Ukrainian stronghold on the South-Donetsk direction and mentions the loss of Bogatyr for Ukraine. Рыбарь's morning summary mentions ongoing intense fighting in Donetsk Oblast, particularly on the Konstantinovka direction (encircling a large pocket near Aleksandropol - Stara Mykolaivka - Romanivka), the Pokrovsk direction (battling for Myroliubivka, pressure from Malynivka, encompassing the area near Katerynivka), and southwest of Pokrovsk (battling for access to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast). Военкор Котенок reports on the Siversk direction, claiming Russian advances towards Siversk on heights north of Verkhnekamyenske and in the forest belt towards Chubarovsky Pond, and destruction of Ukrainian EW stations, communication nodes, and UAV control points near Serebryanka. Сливочный каприз reports active combat in the Borova area and the successful targeting of a Ukrainian armored vehicle near Nova Kruhliakivka, which is near the border of Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts, and claims Russian advances near Chasiv Yar, securing new positions along the Siverskyi Donets-Donbas canal near Kalinina, and reports active combat north of Verkhnokamyenske with a claimed Russian advance of up to 600 meters on the Hryhorivka-Verkhnokamyanske line. Mash на Донбассе reports a Russian assault soldier survived a head wound on the Artemivsk direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of КАБs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports Russian drone groups heading towards Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, and Konstantinovka. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the death of a Russian reconnaissance sniper in the Chasiv Yar area. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація), ASTRA, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Рыбарь, Военкор Котенок, Сливочный каприз, Mash на Донбассе, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Николаевский Ванёк, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Sumy Oblast (Bilopillia, Yunakivka communities, Velyka Chernechyna, Belovody, Yudnakovka, Krasnooktyabrsky, Volfino, Loknya, Sumy, Okhtyrka): Affected by Russian aerial attacks and ground activity. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 and ASTRA report a Russian drone attack on a civilian bus near Bilopillia resulting in 9 fatalities and 4 injuries yesterday. Офіс Генерального прокурора confirms 9 fatalities and 4 injuries from the bus attack yesterday and initiated war crimes investigation. Оперативний ЗСУ reports overnight enemy drone attacks on the Bilopillia and Yunakivka communities and KAB strikes on the Yunakivka community, causing damage but no reported casualties in these specific overnight incidents. ASTRA reports the overnight Russian drone attack impacted Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of КАБs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. РБК-Україна reports on Russian drone and KAB attacks on the Bilopillia and Yunakivka communities, with damage to a civilian object (fire) and destruction of two residential buildings. Сливочный каприз reports positional battles near Sudzha and claimed Russian advances in Loknya towards Yunakovka, and Ukrainian shelling of Russian positions in Loknya. Военкор Котенок reports Ukrainian attempts to enter Kursk Oblast near Volfino (which has a namesake in Sumy Oblast) and Krasnooktyabrsky, with Russian defense. ТАСС reports, citing Russian sources, that several Ukrainian units suffered colossal losses in battles for Belovody (Sumy Oblast). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian fire on Ukrainian reserves near the Sumy border, resulting in the destruction of communication nodes, equipment concentrations, a refueling point, mobile reserves, and logistical nodes, as well as the suppression of enemy strongholds and elimination of a sabotage group through drone operations. Николаевский Ванёк reports Russian drone groups in the area of Okhtyrka. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, ASTRA, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Оперативний ЗСУ, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, РБК-Україна, Сумська ОВА, Сливочный каприз, Военкор Котенок, ТАСС, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Николаевский Ванёк)
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Pavlohrad district, Synelnykivskyi district, Nikopol district, Nikopol): Affected by Russian aerial attacks and potentially ground operations near the border. ASTRA reports the overnight Russian drone attack impacted Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Север.Реалии reports a Russian drone attack impacted Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, with damage to a farming enterprise in Pavlohrad district and an enterprise in Synelnykivskyi district, and damage to a power line and private house in Nikopol district. Рыбарь's morning summary reports Russian "Geran" strikes in Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts and states the Russian army is approaching Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (ASTRA, Север.Реалии, Рыбарь)
Zhytomyr Oblast: Affected by the overnight Russian aerial attack. ASTRA reports the overnight Russian drone attack impacted Zhytomyr Oblast. Север.Реалии reports a Russian drone attack impacted Zhytomyr Oblast. (ASTRA, Север.Реалии)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Novodanylivka, Robotyne, Kushugum, Chervone, Borova area, Nova Kruhliakivka, Mala Tokmachka, Hulyaipole, Scherbaki, Mali Scherbaki, Kamenka-Dneprovskaya, Tokmak, Polohy, Zaporizhzhia district, Orekhov direction, Yablokovo, Poddubnoye, Razdolnoye): Russian sources are reporting significant tactical advances, claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian command post (65th Separate Mechanized Brigade), elimination of foreign mercenaries (claiming a company of "Mozart" PMC in Novodanylivka), capture of British and Canadian prisoners, destruction of ammunition depots and a refueling point in Kushugum, repelling a counterattack near Robotyne with destruction of Bradley IFVs, and the destruction of Leopard tanks and a fortified shelter through artillery strikes. A Russian military blogger claims Russian units of the 38th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade are striking Ukrainian positions with Grad MLRS near Chervone. The 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade "Magura" is fundraising for drones, operating in this area. Previous reports (within 6hr window) mentioned Russian artillery strikes and claimed casualties inflicted on Ukrainian forces and warned of rocket/bomb danger in Tokmak and Polohy. Previous reports mentioned Russian advances in the Zaporizhzhia direction, specifically near Mala Tokmachka. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the Zaporizhzhia direction, claiming destruction of a Ukrainian command post (65th Separate Mechanized Brigade) near Medichne, elimination of foreign mercenaries (Mozart PMC) and capture of British and Canadian prisoners in Novodanylivka, destruction of ammunition depots and a refueling point in Kushugum, repelling a counterattack near Robotyne with destruction of 2 Bradley IFVs, and destruction of 3 Leopard tanks and a fortified shelter through artillery strikes. Сили оборони Півдня України report that 77 Russian personnel, 9 artillery systems, 18 vehicles, 2 UAVs, 2 EW stations, 1 motorcycle, 5 quad bikes, 1 ground drone, 3 boats, 1 buggy, 1 generator, 2 UAV control antennas, 2 communication antennas, and 2 ammunition storage locations were destroyed in the South over the past day. Рыбарь's morning summary reports Russian advances in the Zaporizhzhia direction, specifically near Mala Tokmachka (advancing from the south and east, entering the settlement from the east, and taking full control of a brick factory from the south). Воин DV claims that Russian units of the 38th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade are striking Ukrainian positions with Grad MLRS near Chervone and reports Russian units disrupting Ukrainian logistics and personnel rotation near Hulyaipole and Yablokovo, claiming the destruction of two pickup trucks, two temporary deployment points, a UAV launcher, and a communication antenna through artillery and drone strikes, and the destruction of two "Baba Yaga" drones through drone attacks and ramming near Otradnoye and Razdolnoye, as well as the destruction of a MaxxPro and a pickup truck east of Poddubnoye and attacks on Ukrainian personnel west of Otradnoye with drone drops. MoD Russia shares a video of a mortar crew targeting Ukrainian positions on the Orekhov direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video and photos of a modernized pickup truck for sappers of the 118th brigade in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, crowdfunded and adapted for combat. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that Russian forces attacked Stepnohirsk with at least nine guided aerial bombs (KABs), causing damage to residential buildings, but fortunately no casualties. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура», Сили оборони Півдня України, Рыбарь, Воин DV, MoD Russia, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Kherson Oblast (Kherson city, Korabelnyi district): Affected by Russian attacks. ASTRA reports two people injured in a Russian drone attack on a passenger bus in Kherson, with the Kherson MVA confirming the attack and route changes due to high drone activity. STERNENKO reports on this bus attack. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian artillery shelling of the Korabelnyi district of Kherson, hitting a multi-story building and injuring two civilians. РБК-Україна reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack has increased to 5. Сили оборони Півдня України report that 5 people were injured in Kherson Oblast over the past day and report over 500 kamikaze drone strikes and around 200 drone drops in the South over the past day. Басурин о главном shares a video and text about a combat incident on the Dnipro islands. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a total of 10 injured civilians in Kherson today from the drone attack on the bus and subsequent artillery shelling and has initiated a criminal proceeding for violation of the laws and customs of war. Оперативний ЗСУ reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack has increased to 5 and reports artillery shelling in the Korabelnyi district with 2 injured civilians. (ASTRA, STERNENKO, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, Сили оборони Півдня України, Басурин о главном, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Krasnooktyabrsky, Volfino): Affected by Ukrainian drone attacks and ground activity. Рыбарь's morning summary mentions ongoing intense fighting and unsuccessful Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk direction (Tetkino). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on the Kursk direction, claiming border guards of the "Steel Border" brigade destroyed an enemy shelter with personnel, a communication antenna, and two quad bikes over the past day. Военкор Котенок reports Ukrainian attempts to enter Kursk Oblast near Krasnooktyabrsky and Volfino overnight with Russian defense. Colonelcassad shares a claim about Ukrainian soldiers attempting to escape in the Kursk border area by disguising themselves as civilians. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming the Rylsk-Korenevsk highway in Kursk Oblast is under Ukrainian fire control. Сливочный каприз reports positional fighting in the area of Sudzha. (Рыбарь, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Военкор Котенок, Colonelcassad, Сливочный каприз)
Crimea (Perevalnoye): Previously reported Ukrainian drone attack on an ammunition depot. Рыбарь's morning summary mentions a Ukrainian drone attack on an ammunition depot in Perevalnoye, Crimea. (Рыбарь)
Odesa Oblast: Previously reported Russian "Geran" strikes. Рыбарь's morning summary reports Russian "Geran" strikes in Odesa Oblasts. (Рыбарь)
Chernihiv Oblast: Previously reported Russian "Geran" strikes. Рыбарь's morning summary reports Russian "Geran" strikes in Chernihiv Oblasts. (Рыбарь)
Cherkasy Oblast: Previously reported Russian "Geran" strikes. Рыбарь's morning summary reports Russian "Geran" strikes in Cherkasy Oblasts. (Рыбарь)
Vinnytsia Oblast: Previously reported Russian "Geran" strikes. Рыбарь's morning summary reports Russian "Geran" strikes in Vinnytsia Oblasts. (Рыбарь)
Poltava Oblast: Previously reported Russian "Geran" strikes. Рыбарь's morning summary reports Russian "Geran" strikes in Poltava Oblasts. (Рыбарь)
Belgorod Oblast (Russia): Previously reported Ukrainian drone and artillery terror and civilian casualties. Рыбарь's morning summary reports ongoing Ukrainian drone and artillery terror in Belgorod Oblast, with civilian casualties reported (Arkhangelskoe, Borisovka). Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border in the Belgorod Oblast (BNR) area, resulting in one fatality and two injuries. (Рыбарь, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Chasiv Yar (Donetsk Oblast): Previously reported fighting. Рыбарь's morning summary mentions ongoing fighting in Chasov Yar and surroundings. Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances near Chasiv Yar, securing new positions along the Siverskyi Donets-Donbas canal near Kalinina. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the death of a Russian reconnaissance sniper in the Chasiv Yar area. (Рыбарь, Сливочный каприз, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Kommersant (Russia): Reporting on the Vologda Oblast scandal. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on the scandal in Vologda Oblast, citing Kommersant. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники)
Vologda Oblast (Russia): МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ASTRA, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, and Два майора report on a scandal involving the daughter of a district head allegedly threatening to send people to the "SVO". МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники confirms the dismissal of the official in Vologda Oblast after the scandal. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ASTRA, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Два майора, Colonelcassad)
Komsomolsk-on-Amur (Russia): Полиция Хабаровского края reports on a spate of fraud cases here. (Полиция Хабаровского края)
Kharkiv Oblast (Borova area, Nova Kruhliakivka, Vovchansk, Kutkivka): Сливочный каприз reports active combat in the Borova area and the successful targeting of a Ukrainian armored vehicle near Nova Kruhliakivka, which is near the border of Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides a Ukrainian operational update for the Kharkiv axis, reporting clashes near Vovchansk and towards Kutkivka and detailing Russian aviation strikes, drone attacks, and shelling, along with claimed Russian personnel and equipment losses. (Сливочный каприз, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦)
Kherson city: Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a criminal proceeding initiated regarding a drone attack on a bus and artillery shelling in the Korabelnyi district. (Офіс Генерального прокурора)
Korabelnyi district (Kherson city): ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian artillery shelling here. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports artillery shelling here resulting in injuries. Оперативний ЗСУ reports artillery shelling here with 2 injured civilians. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Orekhov direction (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): MoD Russia shares a video of a mortar crew targeting Ukrainian positions here. (MoD Russia)
Kupiansk direction (Kharkiv Oblast): Два майора is fundraising for equipment for fighters here. (Два майора)
Kalinina (Donetsk Oblast): Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances near Chasiv Yar, securing new positions along the Siverskyi Donets-Donbas canal near Kalinina. (Сливочный каприз)
Kramatorsk (Donetsk Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports Russian drone groups heading towards Kramatorsk. (Николаевский Ванёк)
Sloviansk (Donetsk Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports Russian drone groups heading towards Sloviansk. (Николаевский Ванёк)
Sudan: Рыбарь provides an analysis of the conflict in Sudan. (Рыбарь)
Rylsk-Korenevsk highway (Kursk Oblast, Russia): ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming this highway is under Ukrainian fire control. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Makhachkala (Dagestan, Russia): ТАСС reports 67 people were detained after mass conflicts between teenagers. (ТАСС)
Transbaikalia (Russia): Два майора shares a video and text about a deputy participating in council meetings remotely from Ukraine. (Два майора)
Rostov Oblast (Russia): МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on the ongoing search for escaped convicts from a military training ground. ТАСС reports a state of emergency due to damaged crops. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ТАСС)
Perm Krai (Russia) (Perm): Рыбарь provides an analysis of migration issues in Perm Krai. (Рыбарь)

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Remains extremely high and widespread. A massive overnight Russian drone attack involved 108 UAVs, with 93 neutralized (35 by fire, 58 by EW), impacting Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy, and Zhytomyr Oblasts. Russian forces are utilizing a high volume of kamikaze drones (over 500 strikes) and conducting drone drops (around 200) in the South. Russian drone attacks occurred overnight in the Bilopillia and Yunakivka communities in Sumy Oblast and on a passenger bus in Kherson city, injuring two (now updated to 5). The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report the destruction of 2 Ukrainian UAVs, 2 EW stations, 1 ground drone, and 2 UAV control antennas over the past day, indicating Russian efforts to counter Ukrainian aerial assets. Russian sources claim the destruction of Ukrainian UAVs by Russian "Rubikon" FPV drones in the special operation zone and showcase claimed FPV drone combat work. Ukrainian border guards claimed the destruction of two quad bikes and a communication antenna on the Kursk direction over the past day, likely involving drones. The 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade "Magura" is fundraising for FPV and Mavic drones, highlighting their importance. ASTRA reports the overnight Russian drone attack involved 108 UAVs, with 93 neutralized (35 by fire, 58 by EW). Оперативний ЗСУ reports overnight enemy drone attacks on the Bilopillia and Yunakivka communities. ASTRA reports two people injured in a Russian drone attack on a passenger bus in Kherson. STERNENKO reports on the Kherson bus attack. Сили оборони Півдня України report over 500 kamikaze drone strikes and around 200 drone drops in the South over the past day, and the destruction of 2 Ukrainian UAVs, 2 EW stations, 1 ground drone, and 2 UAV control antennas. ТАСС shares a video claiming FPV drones "Rubikon" destroy Ukrainian UAVs. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming "Rubikon" conquers air superiority by destroying enemy reconnaissance UAVs and showcases claimed FPV drone combat work. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on the Kursk direction, claiming border guards destroyed two quad bikes and a communication antenna, likely with drones. ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» is fundraising for FPV and Mavic drones. Басурин о главном shares a video and text about a combat incident on the Dnipro islands where a Russian soldier survived a drone attack and captured a Ukrainian soldier, using an anti-drone blanket for evacuation. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video showing Russian soldiers encountering Ukrainian FPV drones. WarGonzo advises soldiers to update their drone detectors. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down a Lancet drone. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a drone attack on a bus in Kherson. РБК-Україна reports on Russian drone and KAB attacks in Sumy Oblast. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports the use of 158 kamikaze drones by Russian forces on the Kharkiv axis over the past day, with Ukrainian forces claiming the destruction of 81 enemy UAVs in this sector. Воин DV claims the destruction of two "Baba Yaga" drones by Russian units in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian "Yolka" drone-air defense system kinetically intercepted and damaged a Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV in the SVO zone. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border in the Belgorod Oblast area, resulting in one fatality and two injuries. Воин DV reports the destruction of a UAV launcher by Russian units in Zaporizhzhia Oblast and attacks on Ukrainian personnel with drone drops. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment by Russian FPV drones. MoD Russia shares a video claiming to have hit a Ukrainian UAV control point. (ASTRA, Оперативний ЗСУ, STERNENKO, Сили оборони Півдня України, ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура», Басурин о главном, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, WarGonzo, STERNENKO, Офіс Генерального прокурора, РБК-Україна, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Воин DV, Colonelcassad, MoD Russia)
Air Defense Activity: Ukrainian air defense neutralized 93 out of 108 Russian UAVs (35 by fire, 58 by EW) overnight. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report the destruction of 2 Ukrainian UAVs, 2 EW stations, 1 ground drone, and 2 UAV control antennas over the past day, indicating Russian efforts to counter Ukrainian aerial assets. Russian sources claim the destruction of Ukrainian UAVs by Russian "Rubikon" FPV drones and the destruction of Ukrainian UAV control points. ASTRA reports 93 UAVs were neutralized (35 by fire, 58 by EW) out of 108 targeted means of air attack. Сили оборони Півдня України report the destruction of 2 Ukrainian UAVs and 2 EW stations. ТАСС shares a video claiming FPV drones "Rubikon" destroy Ukrainian UAVs. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming "Rubikon" conquers air superiority by destroying enemy reconnaissance UAVs. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down a Lancet drone. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports the destruction of 81 enemy UAVs and 1 EW station on the Kharkiv axis. Воин DV claims the destruction of two "Baba Yaga" drones through drone attacks and ramming. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian "Yolka" drone-air defense system kinetically intercepted and damaged a Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment (communication, control, and relay antennas) by Russian FPV drones. MoD Russia shares a video claiming to have hit a Ukrainian UAV control point. (ASTRA, Сили оборони Півдня України, ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, STERNENKO, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Воин DV, Colonelcassad, MoD Russia)
Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Russian forces used KABs on the Yunakivka community in Sumy Oblast overnight, destroying two residential buildings. The Ukrainian Air Force reports launches of КАБs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast and on frontline oblasts. The Ukrainian Air Force reports threat of aviation weapons (likely including KABs) for frontline oblasts due to tactical aviation activity on the northern and northeastern directions. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the US has assembled the first of a series of new B61-13 guided nuclear bombs, noting it as the first tactical nuclear KAB designed to hit hardened underground targets. Оперативний ЗСУ reports KAB strikes on the Yunakivka community. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of КАБs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast and threat of aviation weapons for frontline oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on the US B61-13 guided nuclear bomb. РБК-Україна reports on Russian drone and KAB attacks in Sumy Oblast. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Russian forces conducted 4 aviation strikes using 7 KABs on the Kharkiv axis. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that Russian forces attacked Stepnohirsk with at least nine guided aerial bombs (KABs), causing damage to residential buildings, but fortunately no casualties. (Оперативний ЗСУ, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, Сумська ОВА, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Aviation Activity: Russian tactical aviation is active on the northern and northeastern directions, with a threat of aviation weapons for frontline oblasts. Russian tactical aviation launched КАБs on Sumy Oblast overnight. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report 9 aviation strikes in the South over the past day. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of КАБs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast and threat of aviation weapons for frontline oblasts and issues a warning about the activity of Russian tactical aviation on the eastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline oblasts. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming an air strike by the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the lens of a drone of the 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade. Сили оборони Півдня України report 9 aviation strikes in the South over the past day. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Russian forces conducted 4 aviation strikes on the Kharkiv axis. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Оперативний ЗСУ, Сили оборони Півдня України, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦)
Electronic Warfare (EW): 58 Russian UAVs were locationally lost or suppressed by EW overnight. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report the destruction of 2 EW stations and 2 communication antennas over the past day, indicating Russian efforts to counter Ukrainian capabilities. Russian sources claim the destruction of Ukrainian UAVs by Russian "Rubikon" FPV drones and destruction of Ukrainian EW stations and communication nodes. ASTRA reports 58 UAVs were locationally lost or suppressed by EW. Сили оборони Півдня України report the destruction of 2 EW stations and 2 communication antennas. Военкор Котенок reports the destruction of two EW stations and three communication nodes near Serebryanka. Два майора is fundraising for REB complexes for Russian forces. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports the destruction of 1 EW station on the Kharkiv axis. Воин DV reports the destruction of a communication antenna by Russian units. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment (communication, control, and relay antennas) by Russian FPV drones. (ASTRA, Сили оборони Півдня України, Военкор Котенок, Два майора, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Воин DV, Colonelcassad)
Artillery and MLRS Activity: Russian forces are reportedly using Grad MLRS near Chervone and artillery strikes have reportedly destroyed Leopard tanks and a fortified shelter on the Zaporizhzhia direction. Russian artillery shelling of the Korabelnyi district of Kherson injured two civilians. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report 9 artillery systems destroyed over the past day. Ukrainian border guards claimed the destruction of a shelter with personnel on the Kursk direction over the past day, likely involving artillery. Воин DV claims that Russian units of the 38th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade are striking Ukrainian positions with Grad MLRS near Chervone and reports Russian units disrupting Ukrainian logistics and personnel rotation near Hulyaipole and Yablokovo through artillery strikes. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian artillery shelling of the Korabelnyi district of Kherson, injuring two civilians. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on the Kursk direction, claiming border guards destroyed an enemy shelter with personnel, likely with artillery, and a Russian artillery piece. Сили оборони Півдня України report 9 artillery systems destroyed over the past day. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports artillery shelling in the Korabelnyi district of Kherson resulting in injuries. Оперативний ЗСУ reports artillery shelling in the Korabelnyi district of Kherson with 2 injured civilians. MoD Russia shares a video of a mortar crew targeting Ukrainian positions on the Orekhov direction. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Russian forces conducted 534 shellings on the Kharkiv axis, with Ukrainian forces destroying 3 artillery systems. Военкор Котенок reports Ukrainian attempts to enter Kursk Oblast near Krasnooktyabrsky and Volfino supported by artillery. (Воин DV, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Сили оборони Півдня України, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Оперативний ЗСУ, MoD Russia, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Военкор Котенок)

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Donald Trump continues to make statements about potential negotiations and Ukraine's readiness to end the war. Reports suggest he might step back if progress isn't made and could yield the settlement role to Europe. Russian commentary interprets these statements. The IMF mission starting in Kyiv is a diplomatic development related to financial support. РБК-Україна reports Trump's statement that he thinks Zelenskyy wants to stop the war and he will assess in two weeks if Ukraine is doing enough, and his comments about needing time to make conclusions. РБК-Україна reports Trump admitting the possibility of US withdrawal from negotiations if they can't help, citing "very big egos." Два майора reports that American journalists believe Trump will abandon support for Ukraine. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Bild and Financial Times on the Trump-Putin conversation, with differing interpretations of the outcomes and challenges. РБК-Україна reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack increased to 5, which impacts the humanitarian context of any negotiations. ТАСС, citing the Financial Times, reports that European officials view the recent Putin-Trump conversation as a major victory for the Russian leader, suggesting Trump is "stepping aside" and leaving the burden on Europe. ТАСС reports on Konstantin Kosachev's statement that Trump has recognized Russia as an equal subject of international relations, while Kyiv has been turned into an "object" and "instrument." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 highlights a key statement by Putin at the end of a recent address. Два майора links the strength of Russia's negotiating position to the successes of their army. ТАСС reports that Hungary's parliament has finally approved a bill to withdraw from the International Criminal Court (ICC). РБК-Україна reports that Canada, France, and Great Britain have threatened Israel with sanctions over its offensive in Gaza, highlighting international diplomatic pressure. Рыбарь provides an analysis of the conflict in Sudan, highlighting its humanitarian impact and regional instability, demonstrating the broader global context of conflicts. (РБК-Україна, Два майора, Басурин о главном, ТАСС, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Рыбарь)
Russia-United States Relations: Donald Trump is making statements regarding the conflict and potential US involvement in negotiations, including possibly stepping back or yielding the settlement role to Europe. РБК-Україна reports Trump's statement that he thinks Zelenskyy wants to stop the war and he will assess in two weeks if Ukraine is doing enough. РБК-Україна reports Trump admitting the possibility of US withdrawal from negotiations if they can't help. Два майора reports that American journalists believe Trump will abandon support for Ukraine. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Bild and Financial Times on the Trump-Putin conversation, with differing interpretations of the outcomes. ТАСС, citing the Financial Times, reports that European officials view the recent Putin-Trump conversation as a major victory for the Russian leader, suggesting Trump is "stepping aside" and leaving the burden on Europe. ТАСС reports on Konstantin Kosachev's statement that Trump has recognized Russia as an equal subject of international relations. (РБК-Україна, Два майора, Басурин о главном, ТАСС)
Internal Russian Politics: ASTRA promotes its VPN service to bypass censorship. A Russian military blogger comments on the rise of right-wing parties in Europe and links it to dissatisfaction with the war in Ukraine. TASS reports on a domestic incident in the US involving a Russian hockey player. TASS reports on a scam targeting graduates using "Gosuslugi" accounts. TASS reports former Roscosmos head Borisov was appointed senator from Arkhangelsk Oblast. ASTRA promotes its VPN service. «Зона СВО» shares a photo message. ТАСС reports on the detention of Russian hockey player Alexander Alekseev in the US. ASTRA promotes its VPN service. Два майора reports that American journalists believe Trump will abandon support for Ukraine. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА comments on the growth of right-wing approval in Europe. Север.Реалии reports on the overnight Russian drone attack impacting various oblasts. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming "Rubikon" conquers air superiority. ТАСС reports former Roscosmos head Borisov was appointed senator from Arkhangelsk Oblast. РБК-Україна reports the IMF mission started work in Kyiv. ТАСС reports on a scam targeting graduates. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a district head allegedly threatening to send people to the "SVO". ASTRA reports on the scandal in Vologda Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video related to the scandal in Vologda Oblast. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on a spate of fraud cases in Komsomolsk-on-Amur. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on the scandal in Vologda Oblast. Два майора shares a video on the scandal in Vologda Oblast and shares a video about a deputy participating in meetings from Ukraine. AV БогомаZ shares a report from "Russia 24" on Russian farmers. Север.Реалии shares commentary critical of local governance in Saratov. Новости Москвы reports on a domestic incident in a Moscow cafe. Филолог в засаде shares a report from 2019 critical of Russian military strategy. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники confirms the dismissal of the official in Vologda Oblast. ТАСС reports on a measles outbreak at Moscow State University. ТАСС reports 67 people were detained in Makhachkala, Dagestan, after mass conflicts between teenagers. ТАСС reports a state of emergency in Rostov Oblast due to damaged crops. Рыбарь provides an analysis of migration issues in Perm Krai. (ASTRA, «Зона СВО», ТАСС, Два майора, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Север.Реалии, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, Colonelcassad, Полиция Хабаровского края, AV БогомаZ, Новости Москвы, Филолог в засаде, Рыбарь)
European Political Shifts: A Russian military blogger highlights the rise of right-wing parties in Europe, citing election results in Portugal, and attributes this trend to public dissatisfaction with populism, migration, and the war in Ukraine. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА comments on the growth of right-wing approval in Europe. ТАСС, citing the Financial Times, reports that European officials view the recent Putin-Trump conversation as a major victory for the Russian leader and are concerned about the burden on Europe. ТАСС reports that Hungary's parliament has finally approved a bill to withdraw from the International Criminal Court (ICC). РБК-Україна reports that Canada, France, and Great Britain have threatened Israel with sanctions over its offensive in Gaza. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, ТАСС, РБК-Україна)
International Financial Support: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission has started its work in Kyiv to discuss the eighth review of the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) program. РБК-Україна reports the IMF mission started work in Kyiv. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that the European Union is expected to adopt the 17th package of sanctions against Russia today, targeting the "shadow fleet" and energy trade revenues. (РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Information Warfare and Propaganda: Both Ukrainian and Russian sources continue to utilize information operations. Ukrainian sources are commemorating fallen soldiers and key battles (Mariupol), highlighting training efforts, and fundraising. Russian sources are promoting claimed military successes and advancements (drone destruction, tactical gains, use of thermobaric systems), attempting to influence narratives around negotiations and European political shifts, and reporting on domestic incidents and scandals. ASTRA is promoting its VPN service as a way to bypass censorship in Russia. A Russian military blogger uses a historical quote to promote their channel. A Russian military blogger comments on the rise of right-wing parties in Europe and links it to dissatisfaction with the war in Ukraine. TASS reports on a domestic incident in the US involving a Russian hockey player. TASS reports on a scam targeting graduates using "Gosuslugi" accounts. TASS reports former Roscosmos head Borisov was appointed senator from Arkhangelsk Oblast. ASTRA promotes its VPN service. «Зона СВО» shares a photo message and a video. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for Starlink stations and reports on claimed military successes and personnel losses on the Zaporizhzhia direction and commemorates "Veterans Day" in Russia and highlights Russian military actions near Sumy and implies the significance of a recent Putin statement. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports night hunting on enemy transport with drones and shares a video claiming "Rubikon" conquers air superiority and showcases claimed FPV drone combat work and reports on claimed scandals/desertions in a Ukrainian brigade and shares a video highlighting Zelenskyy's past promises. Colonelcassad reports on the liberation of Bogatyr and shares a video related to the Vologda scandal and a claim about Ukrainian soldiers evading capture in Kursk and shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment and a video claiming a Russian "Yolka" drone-air defense system kinetically intercepted and damaged a Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the use of TOS-1A and shares a video claiming "Geran" strikes on a Ukrainian staging area. РБК-Україна reports Trump's statement that he thinks Zelenskyy wants to stop the war and his comments about needing time to make conclusions, and reports on the IMF mission and expected EU sanctions and reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack and reports on Russian drone and KAB attacks in Sumy and reports that Canada, France, and Great Britain have threatened Israel with sanctions over its offensive in Gaza. Новости Москвы reports on changes in soft drink production and a domestic incident in a Moscow cafe. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Bild and Financial Times on the Trump-Putin conversation and shares a video and text about a combat incident on the Dnipro islands. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 comments on FPV drone reach in Kherson. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming an air strike and commemorates the defense of Mariupol and captivity of the Azov garrison and shares a video of Trump's statement and reports on the expected EU sanctions and shares a satirical video related to Zelenskyy and shares a video claiming Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border. Сили оборони Півдня України report Russian losses. ASTRA promotes its VPN service and reports two people injured in the Kherson bus attack and reports on the Vologda scandal and fraud cases. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА comments on the growth of right-wing approval in Europe and reports on the Vologda scandal and shares a video of Russian soldiers encountering Ukrainian FPV drones and promotes his channel. Север.Реалии reports on the overnight Russian drone attack impacting various oblasts and shares commentary critical of local governance in Saratov. ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» is fundraising for drones and hints at internal developments. Сливочный каприз reports active combat in the Borova area and the successful targeting of a Ukrainian armored vehicle and reports on combat near Sudzha and Loknya and claims Russian advances near Chasiv Yar. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian artillery shelling in Kherson and on the Kursk direction, and reports on the US B61-13 guided nuclear bomb and shares a video claiming Ukrainian border guard actions in Kursk and shares a video claiming the Rylsk-Korenevsk highway in Kursk Oblast is under Ukrainian fire control and shares a video claiming a Ukrainian sniper disabled a Russian MT-LB. РБК-Україна reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack increased to 5 and the IMF mission started work in Kyiv and reports on Russian drone and KAB attacks in Sumy. Воин DV claims that Russian units are striking Ukrainian positions with Grad MLRS and reports on the destruction of Ukrainian UAV control points and "Baba Yaga" drones and showcases claimed Russian military actions in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Военкор Котенок reports on the Siversk direction and reports on Ukrainian attempts to enter Kursk Oblast and Russian defense actions. Alex Parker Returns shares a headline about Russia allegedly recruiting "pirates and jungle dwellers" and a message from Arestovich. ТАСС, citing the Financial Times, reports European officials view the Putin-Trump conversation as a victory for Russia and reports on Konstantin Kosachev's statement on Trump's view of Russia and Ukraine and reports on Ukrainian losses in Sumy Oblast and reports that Hungary's parliament has finally approved a bill to withdraw from the International Criminal Court (ICC) and reports on a measles outbreak at Moscow State University and reports 67 people were detained in Makhachkala, Dagestan, after mass conflicts between teenagers and reports a state of emergency in Rostov Oblast due to damaged crops. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on fraud cases in Komsomolsk-on-Amur. AV БогомаZ shares a report from "Russia 24" on Russian farmers. Mash на Донбассе reports a Russian assault soldier survived a head wound and shares photos related to the soldier and reports a boxing tournament organized by the military in Shakhtersk. WarGonzo advises soldiers to update their drone detectors and commemorates the liberation of Mariupol. MoD Russia shares a video of a mortar crew targeting Ukrainian positions. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a wounded Russian soldier attempting suicide. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides a Ukrainian operational update and casualty figures for the Kharkiv sector. Филолог в засаде shares a report from 2019 critical of Russian military strategy. Два майора shares a video about a deputy participating in meetings from Ukraine. Рыбарь provides an analysis of migration issues in Perm Krai and the conflict in Sudan. (ASTRA, «Зона СВО», Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, РБК-Україна, Новости Москвы, Басурин о главном, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Оперативний ЗСУ, Сили оборони Півдня України, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Север.Реалии, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура», Сливочный каприз, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Воин DV, Военкор Котенок, Alex Parker Returns, ТАСС, Полиция Хабаровского края, AV БогомаZ, Mash на Донбассе, WarGonzo, MoD Russia, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Филолог в засаде, Рыбарь)
US Nuclear Modernization: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the US has assembled the first of a series of new B61-13 guided nuclear bombs, noting it as the first tactical nuclear KAB designed to hit hardened underground targets. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on the US B61-13 guided nuclear bomb. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Romanian Presidential Election: РБК-Україна reports that Simion has conceded defeat in the Romanian presidential election. (РБК-Україна)
Israel-Gaza Conflict: РБК-Україна reports that Canada, France, and Great Britain have threatened Israel with sanctions over its offensive in Gaza, highlighting ongoing tensions in the Middle East and international diplomatic pressure. (РБК-Україна)
Sudan Conflict: Рыбарь provides an analysis of the conflict in Sudan, highlighting its humanitarian impact and regional instability, demonstrating the broader global context of conflicts. (Рыбарь)

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

Internal Security: ASTRA promotes its VPN service to bypass censorship. TASS reports on a scam targeting graduates using "Gosuslugi" accounts. ASTRA promotes its VPN service. ТАСС reports on a scam targeting graduates. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on a spate of fraud cases in Komsomolsk-on-Amur. Север.Реалии shares commentary critical of local governance in Saratov. Новости Москвы reports on a domestic incident in a Moscow cafe. ТАСС reports on a measles outbreak at Moscow State University. ТАСС reports 67 people were detained in Makhachkala, Dagestan, after mass conflicts between teenagers. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on the ongoing search for escaped convicts from a military training ground under Rostov. Рыбарь provides an analysis of migration issues in Perm Krai, highlighting concerns about public order. (ASTRA, ТАСС, Полиция Хабаровского края, Север.Реалии, Новости Москвы, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, Рыбарь)
Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces are actively engaged in ground combat and utilizing aviation, artillery, and drones, indicating ongoing military support for their operations. Russia claims to have stabilized the frontline and created conditions for further advances in Kharkiv Oblast. Tactical operations involving artillery support and strike UAVs are being highlighted. Russia also claims the destruction of Ukrainian drone control points and a Starlink station. Russian sources are reporting significant tactical advances on the Zaporizhzhia and South-Donetsk directions, claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian command post, elimination and capture of foreign mercenaries, destruction of ammunition depots and a refueling point, repelling a counterattack, and destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles and Leopard tanks. They also claim the destruction of Ukrainian UAVs by Russian "Rubikon" FPV drones and the destruction of Ukrainian UAV control points and "Baba Yaga" drones. Russian forces are reportedly using Grad MLRS and TOS-1A thermobaric systems. Russian military bloggers highlight claimed successes and advancements. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report the destruction of a significant amount of Russian equipment, including artillery systems, vehicles, UAVs, and EW stations. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the Zaporizhzhia direction, claiming destruction of a Ukrainian command post, elimination of foreign mercenaries and capture of British and Canadian prisoners, destruction of ammunition depots and a refueling point, repelling a counterattack with destruction of 2 Bradley IFVs, and destruction of 3 Leopard tanks and a fortified shelter through artillery strikes and highlights Russian military actions near Sumy. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports night hunting on enemy transport with drones on the South-Donetsk direction near Otradnoye, Novoukrainka, and Zelenyy Kut, destroying over 10 vehicles and showcases claimed FPV drone combat work. Colonelcassad reports on the liberation of Bogatyr in the DNR on Sunday and continued Russian advances on the South-Donetsk direction and claims about Ukrainian soldiers evading capture in Kursk and shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment and a video claiming a Russian "Yolka" drone-air defense system kinetically intercepted and damaged a Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the use of TOS-1A "Solntsepyok" thermobaric systems against a fortified Ukrainian stronghold on the South-Donetsk direction and mentions the loss of Bogatyr for Ukraine and shares a video claiming "Geran" strikes on a Ukrainian staging area. ТАСС shares a video claiming FPV drones "Rubikon" destroy Ukrainian UAVs. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming "Rubikon" conquers air superiority by destroying enemy reconnaissance UAVs. Рыбарь's morning summary reports Russian advances in Sumy, Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts and ongoing intense fighting on the Kursk direction, and that the Russian army is approaching Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Воин DV claims that Russian units of the 38th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade are striking Ukrainian positions with Grad MLRS near Chervone and reports Russian units disrupting Ukrainian logistics and personnel rotation near Hulyaipole and Yablokovo, claiming the destruction of two pickup trucks, two temporary deployment points, a UAV launcher, and a communication antenna through artillery and drone strikes, and the destruction of two "Baba Yaga" drones through drone attacks and ramming near Otradnoye and Razdolnoye, as well as the destruction of a MaxxPro and a pickup truck east of Poddubnoye and attacks on Ukrainian personnel west of Otradnoye with drone drops. Военкор Котенок reports on the Siversk direction, claiming Russian advances towards Siversk and near Verkhnekamyenske, and destruction of Ukrainian EW stations, communication nodes, and UAV control points near Serebryanka and reports on Ukrainian attempts to enter Kursk Oblast and Russian defense actions. Сили оборони Півдня України report that 77 Russian personnel, 9 artillery systems, 18 vehicles, 2 UAVs, 2 EW stations, 1 motorcycle, 5 quad bikes, 1 ground drone, 3 boats, 1 buggy, 1 generator, 2 UAV control antennas, 2 communication antennas, and 2 ammunition storage locations were destroyed in the South over the past day. Сливочный каприз reports active combat in the Borova area and the successful targeting of a Ukrainian armored vehicle near Nova Kruhliakivka and reports on combat near Sudzha and Loknya and claims Russian advances near Chasiv Yar. Басурин о главном shares a video and text about a combat incident on the Dnipro islands where a Russian soldier survived a drone attack and captured a Ukrainian soldier, using an anti-drone blanket for evacuation. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video showing Russian soldiers encountering Ukrainian FPV drones. Mash на Донбассе reports a Russian assault soldier survived a head wound on the Artemivsk direction. Два майора promotes fundraising for Russian forces and links military successes to diplomatic strength. MoD Russia shares a video of a mortar crew targeting Ukrainian positions on the Orekhov direction, claiming to have hit a Ukrainian UAV control point. ТАСС reports, citing Russian sources, that several Ukrainian units suffered colossal losses in battles for Belovody (Sumy Oblast). БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a wounded Russian soldier attempting suicide. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides a Ukrainian operational update and casualty figures for the Kharkiv sector, highlighting Russian losses. Филолог в засаде shares a report from 2019 critical of Russian military strategy. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Рыбарь, Воин DV, Военкор Котенок, Сили оборони Півдня України, Сливочный каприз, Басурин о главном, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Mash на Донбассе, Два майора, MoD Russia, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Филолог в засаде)
Casualties: Russian sources are reporting significant claimed Ukrainian personnel losses on the Zaporizhzhia direction, including the elimination and capture of foreign mercenaries. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report 77 Russian personnel losses over the past day. The Kyiv City Military Administration commemorates the death of Senior Soldier Andrii Kalchenko. The Ukrainian General Staff shares photos of soldiers training. The Air Assault Forces of Ukraine share a video of soldiers training. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the Zaporizhzhia direction, claiming elimination of foreign mercenaries (Mozart PMC) and capture of British and Canadian prisoners in Novodanylivka. Сили оборони Півдня України report that 77 Russian personnel were destroyed over the past day and report 5 people were injured in Kherson Oblast over the past day. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) commemorates the death of Senior Soldier Andrii Kalchenko. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares photos and text about infantry training exercises for the 21st Separate Mechanized Brigade. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України shares a video of night assault training by soldiers of the 79th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade. Басурин о главном shares a video and text about a combat incident on the Dnipro islands where a Russian soldier survived a drone attack and captured a Ukrainian soldier. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian artillery shelling in Kherson, injuring two civilians. РБК-Україна reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack increased to 5. Воин DV claims that three AFU servicemen were killed during a disrupted rotation on the Zaporizhzhia direction, and reports on the destruction of Ukrainian UAV control points and "Baba Yaga" drones near Zelenyy Kut and Bogatyr, resulting in 7 Ukrainian servicemen killed. Mash на Донбассе reports a Russian assault soldier survived a head wound on the Artemivsk direction. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a total of 10 injured civilians in Kherson today. Оперативний ЗСУ reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack increased to 5 and reports artillery shelling in the Korabelnyi district with 2 injured civilians and shares a video claiming Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border in the Belgorod Oblast area, resulting in one fatality and two injuries. ТАСС reports, citing Russian sources, that several Ukrainian units suffered colossal losses in battles for Belovody (Sumy Oblast). БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a wounded Russian soldier attempting suicide. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides a Ukrainian operational update and casualty figures for the Kharkiv sector, highlighting Russian personnel losses (57 personnel, including 18 irretrievable). Colonelcassad shares a claim about Ukrainian soldiers attempting to escape in the Kursk border area by disguising themselves as civilians. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the death of a Russian reconnaissance sniper in the Chasiv Yar area. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Сили оборони Півдня України, КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація), Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України, Басурин о главном, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, Воин DV, Mash на Донбассе, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Оперативний ЗСУ, ТАСС, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Colonelcassad)
Information Operations and Propaganda: Russian sources continue to engage in information operations, promoting claimed military successes and advancements and attempting to influence narratives around negotiations and European political shifts. They are utilizing videos and commentary from military bloggers. ASTRA is promoting its VPN service as a way to bypass censorship in Russia. A Russian military blogger uses a historical quote to promote their channel. A Russian military blogger comments on the rise of right-wing parties in Europe and links it to dissatisfaction with the war in Ukraine. TASS reports on a domestic incident in the US involving a Russian hockey player. TASS reports on a scam targeting graduates using "Gosuslugi" accounts. TASS reports former Roscosmos head Borisov was appointed senator from Arkhangelsk Oblast. ASTRA promotes its VPN service. «Зона СВО» shares a photo message and a video. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for Starlink stations and reports on claimed military successes and personnel losses on the Zaporizhzhia direction and commemorates "Veterans Day" in Russia and highlights Russian military actions near Sumy and implies the significance of a recent Putin statement. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports night hunting on enemy transport with drones and shares a video claiming "Rubikon" conquers air superiority and showcases claimed FPV drone combat work and reports on claimed scandals/desertions in a Ukrainian brigade and shares a video highlighting Zelenskyy's past promises. Colonelcassad reports on the liberation of Bogatyr and shares a video related to the Vologda scandal and a claim about Ukrainian soldiers evading capture in Kursk and shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment and a video claiming a Russian "Yolka" drone-air defense system kinetically intercepted and damaged a Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the use of TOS-1A and shares a video claiming "Geran" strikes on a Ukrainian staging area. РБК-Україна reports Trump's statement that he thinks Zelenskyy wants to stop the war and his comments about needing time to make conclusions, and reports on the IMF mission and expected EU sanctions and reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack and reports on Russian drone and KAB attacks in Sumy and reports that Canada, France, and Great Britain have threatened Israel with sanctions over its offensive in Gaza. Новости Москвы reports on changes in soft drink production and a domestic incident in a Moscow cafe. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Bild and Financial Times on the Trump-Putin conversation and shares a video and text about a combat incident on the Dnipro islands. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 comments on FPV drone reach in Kherson. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming an air strike and commemorates the defense of Mariupol and captivity of the Azov garrison and shares a video of Trump's statement and reports on the expected EU sanctions and shares a satirical video related to Zelenskyy and shares a video claiming Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border. Сили оборони Півдня України report Russian losses. ASTRA promotes its VPN service and reports two people injured in the Kherson bus attack and reports on the Vologda scandal and fraud cases. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА comments on the growth of right-wing approval in Europe and reports on the Vologda scandal and shares a video of Russian soldiers encountering Ukrainian FPV drones and promotes his channel. Север.Реалии reports on the overnight Russian drone attack impacting various oblasts and shares commentary critical of local governance in Saratov. ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» is fundraising for drones and hints at internal developments. Сливочный каприз reports active combat in the Borova area and the successful targeting of a Ukrainian armored vehicle and reports on combat near Sudzha and Loknya and claims Russian advances near Chasiv Yar. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian artillery shelling in Kherson and on the Kursk direction, and reports on the US B61-13 guided nuclear bomb and shares a video claiming Ukrainian border guard actions in Kursk and shares a video claiming the Rylsk-Korenevsk highway in Kursk Oblast is under Ukrainian fire control and shares a video claiming a Ukrainian sniper disabled a Russian MT-LB. РБК-Україна reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack increased to 5 and the IMF mission started work in Kyiv and reports on Russian drone and KAB attacks in Sumy. Воин DV claims that Russian units are striking Ukrainian positions with Grad MLRS and reports on the destruction of Ukrainian UAV control points and "Baba Yaga" drones and showcases claimed Russian military actions in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Военкор Котенок reports on the Siversk direction and reports on Ukrainian attempts to enter Kursk Oblast and Russian defense actions. Alex Parker Returns shares a headline about Russia allegedly recruiting "pirates and jungle dwellers" and a message from Arestovich. ТАСС, citing the Financial Times, reports European officials view the Putin-Trump conversation as a victory for Russia and reports on Konstantin Kosachev's statement on Trump's view of Russia and Ukraine and reports on Ukrainian losses in Sumy Oblast and reports that Hungary's parliament has finally approved a bill to withdraw from the International Criminal Court (ICC) and reports on a measles outbreak at Moscow State University and reports 67 people were detained in Makhachkala, Dagestan, after mass conflicts between teenagers and reports a state of emergency in Rostov Oblast due to damaged crops. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on fraud cases in Komsomolsk-on-Amur. AV БогомаZ shares a report from "Russia 24" on Russian farmers. Mash на Донбассе reports a Russian assault soldier survived a head wound and shares photos related to the soldier and reports a boxing tournament organized by the military in Shakhtersk. WarGonzo advises soldiers to update their drone detectors and commemorates the liberation of Mariupol. MoD Russia shares a video of a mortar crew targeting Ukrainian positions. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a wounded Russian soldier attempting suicide. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides a Ukrainian operational update and casualty figures for the Kharkiv sector. Филолог в засаде shares a report from 2019 critical of Russian military strategy. Два майора shares a video about a deputy participating in meetings from Ukraine. Рыбарь provides an analysis of migration issues in Perm Krai and the conflict in Sudan. (ASTRA, «Зона СВО», Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, РБК-Україна, Новости Москвы, Басурин о главном, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Оперативний ЗСУ, Сили оборони Півдня України, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Север.Реалии, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура», Сливочный каприз, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Воин DV, Военкор Котенок, Alex Parker Returns, ТАСС, Полиция Хабаровского края, AV БогомаZ, Mash на Донбассе, WarGonzo, MoD Russia, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Филолог в засаде, Рыбарь)
Judicial System: Legal proceedings against individuals are reported. TASS reports prosecution requests 19-year sentence for former Deputy Head of the Russian General Staff Khalil Arslanov. ТАСС reports that Rosfinmonitoring is requesting access to data from the "Mir" payment system to combat money laundering and financing of terrorism. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on a spate of fraud cases. ТАСС reports that Hungary's parliament has finally approved a bill to withdraw from the International Criminal Court (ICC). (ТАСС, Полиция Хабаровского края, ASTRA, Николаевский Ванёк)
Political Appointments: Former Roscosmos head Borisov was appointed senator from Arkhangelsk Oblast. ТАСС reports former Roscosmos head Borisov was appointed senator from Arkhangelsk Oblast. (ТАСС)
Economic Issues (Indirect): Новости Москвы reports on changes in soft drink production due to increased excise tax, an internal economic issue. Новости Москвы reports on changes in soft drink production. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that the European Union is expected to adopt the 17th package of sanctions against Russia today, targeting the "shadow fleet" and energy trade revenues. ТАСС reports a state of emergency in Rostov Oblast due to damaged crops, indicating agricultural and potentially economic issues. (Новости Москвы, Оперативний ЗСУ, ТАСС)
Social Issues: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ASTRA, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, and Два майора report on a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a district head allegedly threatening to send people to the "SVO". Полиция Хабаровского края reports on a spate of fraud cases in Komsomolsk-on-Amur, including targeting minors. Север.Реалии shares commentary critical of local governance in Saratov, including lack of public consultation on construction projects. Новости Москвы reports on a domestic incident in a Moscow cafe. ТАСС reports on a measles outbreak at Moscow State University. ТАСС reports 67 people were detained in Makhachkala, Dagestan, after mass conflicts between teenagers. Рыбарь provides an analysis of migration issues in Perm Krai, highlighting concerns about public order and social infrastructure. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ASTRA, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Два майора, Полиция Хабаровского края, Север.Реалии, Новости Москвы, ТАСС, Рыбарь)
Historical Context: Филолог в засаде shares a report from 2019 titled "How Russia is losing the war in Donbas," providing historical context for the current conflict and suggesting internal awareness of challenges within the Russian military prior to the full-scale invasion. (Филолог в засаде)

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Military Support (Ukraine): The 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade "Magura" is fundraising for FPV and Mavic drones. Ukrainian military bloggers are highlighting training efforts. ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» is fundraising for FPV and Mavic drones. РБК-Україна reports that a unit of the "Rubizh" brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine is fundraising for the restoration of destroyed property and equipment. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video and photos of a modernized pickup truck for sappers of the 118th brigade in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, crowdfunded and adapted for combat. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares photos and text highlighting the training of cadets of the Air Assault Forces and Naval Infantry in mountainous terrain. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of Ukrainian drone operators in the 30th brigade. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a poetry festival with a charitable collection for reconnaissance units. (‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура», РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Civilian Support (Ukraine): Civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure reported due to Russian strikes. Commemoration of fallen defenders and historical events. Support from regional administrations. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares a video message commemorating those who died in the war and reports that a "Transparency and Accountability" group has saved 106 million UAH through monitoring public procurement. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) commemorates the death of Senior Soldier Andrii Kalchenko. ASTRA reports two people injured in a Russian drone attack on a passenger bus in Kherson. STERNENKO reports on the Kherson bus attack. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian artillery shelling in Kherson, injuring two civilians. РБК-Україна reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack increased to 5. Сили оборони Півдня України report 5 people were injured in Kherson Oblast over the past day. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a total of 10 injured civilians in Kherson today from a drone attack and artillery shelling and initiated a criminal proceeding. Оперативний ЗСУ reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack increased to 5 and reports artillery shelling in the Korabelnyi district with 2 injured civilians. РБК-Україна reports on Russian drone and KAB attacks in Sumy Oblast causing damage and destruction of residential buildings. Сумська ОВА reports on Russian drone and KAB attacks in Sumy Oblast causing damage and destruction of residential buildings. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a wounded Russian soldier attempting suicide, which, while graphic, could be used to highlight the psychological toll of the war and the need for support. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that Russian forces attacked Stepnohirsk with at least nine guided aerial bombs (KABs), causing damage to residential buildings, but fortunately no casualties. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ highlights the "National Week of Barrier-Free Living," promoting inclusivity and equal opportunities, with potential implications for supporting veterans and people with disabilities. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація), ASTRA, STERNENKO, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, Сили оборони Півдня України, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Оперативний ЗСУ, Сумська ОВА, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Military Support (Russia): Russian forces are actively engaged in ground combat and utilizing extensive aerial assets, artillery, and potentially MLRS, indicating ongoing military support for their operations. Proposed law to confiscate income of "foreign agent" artists for military support. Fundraising for equipment is ongoing. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes. Russian military bloggers are fundraising for "Frontline Armor" to protect military vehicles with steel and for Starlink stations. Russia claims the liberation of Maryino and the creation of a "buffer zone" in Belgorod Oblast near Popovka and Demidovka. Russia claims the liberation of Novoolenovka. Russian sources highlight Akatsiya self-propelled artillery systems, a Grad MLRS crew, and attack drones in action. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 156 combat engagements over the past day across multiple fronts and reports preliminary Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction (128 personnel, including 74 irretrievable, plus equipment losses). Russian military bloggers are highlighting advances and complicating the situation for Ukrainian forces on the South-Donetsk and Konstantinovka directions. Russia claims capturing a key Ukrainian stronghold near Novoye. Russian military bloggers are highlighting the use of RSZO "Uragan" systems and Grad MLRS. Ukrainian sources are highlighting the effectiveness of their drone units and report successful drone strikes. Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian drone teams and a UAV command post on the right bank of the Dnipro river using Grad MLRS and the burning of a Russian T-72B3 tank on the Lyman direction. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles. Colonelcassad claims the use of a North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" in the SVO, likely in Kursk Oblast. New and detailed reports specify the movements of numerous Russian strike UAVs across Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Chernihiv, Poltava, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, with various updated trajectories. A hostile reconnaissance UAV is active in the northeastern direction. Воин DV claims that Russian drone operators of the "Vostok" group shot down another Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" bomber drone on the South-Donetsk direction. Два майора reports on the "Victory Knife" project, stating they transferred the last funds from serial knives to the "Two Majors" fund and continue to accept orders with profits also going to the fund, which is a fundraising effort, and is fundraising for transport and equipment for Russian forces on the Krasnolimanskoye direction. Mash на Донбассе reports a boxing tournament organized by the military in Shakhtersk, dedicated to the 80th anniversary of Victory in the Great Patriotic War, highlighting support for military personnel and events in occupied territories. Colonelcassad shares a video and text regarding a kit for protecting military personnel, linking it to support, and shares a video and text about a fundraising effort for the "Vostok" group of forces. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА is recommending a channel of a drone operator and selling patches, linking it to support. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for Starlink stations. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ASTRA, ТАСС, Военкор Котенок, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Два майора, Kotsnews, Воин DV, Народная милиция ДНР, Colonelcassad, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, MoD Russia, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Mash на Донбассе, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Veterans Support (Russia): Proposed law on increasing pensions for dependents. Proposed law to confiscate income of "foreign agent" artists for military support. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates "Veterans Day" in Russia, emphasizing service and duty. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a wounded Russian soldier attempting suicide, which, while graphic, could be used to highlight the psychological toll of the war and the need for support for veterans. (ТАСС, ASTRA, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС)
Psychological Support: Cultural diplomacy and commemoration events in Ukraine can provide psychological support. A tragic domestic incident in Russia potentially linked to a returning soldier highlights potential psychological challenges. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares a video diary of a Russian soldier under continuous drone attacks, which could provide psychological support to other soldiers or families by sharing a relatable experience. Mash на Донбассе reports a boxing tournament organized by the military in Shakhtersk, dedicated to the 80th anniversary of Victory in the Great Patriotic War, highlighting social events and potentially providing psychological benefits for participants and spectators. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a wounded Russian soldier attempting suicide, highlighting the psychological toll of the conflict. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ highlights the "National Week of Barrier-Free Living," promoting inclusivity and equal opportunities, with potential implications for supporting veterans and people with disabilities. (РБК-Україна, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація), МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, Mash на Донбассе, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Fundraising: STERNENKO and БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС are appealing for donations for the Ukrainian military. ASTRA is appealing for donations. Russian military bloggers are fundraising for "Frontline Armor" to protect military vehicles with steel and for Starlink stations. Два майора reports on the "Victory Knife" project, stating they transferred the last funds from serial knives to the "Two Majors" fund and continue to accept orders with profits also going to the fund, and is fundraising for transport and equipment for Russian forces. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a photo of a fundraising jar indicating a fundraising effort is nearing its goal. Colonelcassad shares a video and text about a fundraising effort for the "Vostok" group of forces. ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» is fundraising for drones. РБК-Україна reports that a unit of the "Rubizh" brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine is fundraising. (STERNENKO, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, ASTRA, Два майора, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Colonelcassad, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура», РБК-Україна)
Reconstruction and Recovery (Ukraine): Reports of damaged civilian infrastructure in Sumy and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts due to Russian drone and KAB strikes highlight the need for reconstruction efforts. Оперативний ЗСУ reports damage to a civilian object and two residential buildings in Sumy Oblast. Север.Реалии reports damage to farming and other enterprises and a power line and private house in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. РБК-Україна reports on Russian drone and KAB attacks in Sumy Oblast causing damage and destruction of residential buildings. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that Russian forces attacked Stepnohirsk with at least nine guided aerial bombs (KABs), causing damage to residential buildings, but fortunately no casualties. (Оперативний ЗСУ, Север.Реалии, РБК-Україна, Сумська ОВА, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

Ukrainian Forces: Actively defending against intense Russian assaults and widespread aerial attacks, inflicting casualties and claiming destruction of Russian equipment. Conducting training exercises focused on night assaults, trench warfare, teamwork, and incorporating drones and EW. The 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade "Magura" is fundraising for drones. Ukrainian border guards claimed the destruction of a shelter with personnel, a communication antenna, and two quad bikes on the Kursk direction over the past day, likely involving drone and artillery tactics. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report the destruction of a significant amount of Russian equipment, including artillery systems, vehicles, UAVs, and EW stations, and repelling attacks in the South. They also report the destruction of 2 Ukrainian UAVs, 2 EW stations, 1 ground drone, and 2 UAV control antennas over the past day, indicating Russian efforts to counter Ukrainian aerial assets. The Ukrainian General Staff shares photos of infantry training. The Air Assault Forces of Ukraine share a video of night assault training. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares a video message commemorating those who died in the war and reports on a poetry festival with a charitable collection for reconnaissance units. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) commemorates the death of Senior Soldier Andrii Kalchenko. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming an air strike by the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and shares a video claiming Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border in the Belgorod Oblast area, resulting in one fatality and two injuries. Сили оборони Півдня України report that 77 Russian personnel, 9 artillery systems, 18 vehicles, 2 UAVs, 2 EW stations, 1 motorcycle, 5 quad bikes, 1 ground drone, 3 boats, 1 buggy, 1 generator, 2 UAV control antennas, 2 communication antennas, and 2 ammunition storage locations were destroyed in the South over the past day. ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» is fundraising for FPV and Mavic drones and hints at internal developments. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on the Kursk direction, claiming border guards destroyed an enemy shelter with personnel, a communication antenna, and two quad bikes over the past day and a Russian artillery piece and shares a video claiming the Rylsk-Korenevsk highway in Kursk Oblast is under Ukrainian fire control and shares a video claiming a Ukrainian sniper disabled a Russian MT-LB armored personnel carrier. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares photos and text about infantry training exercises for the 21st Separate Mechanized Brigade and highlights the training of cadets of the Air Assault Forces and Naval Infantry in mountainous terrain. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України shares a video of night assault training by soldiers of the 79th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down a Lancet drone. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides a Ukrainian operational update and casualty figures for the Kharkiv sector, highlighting Russian losses (57 personnel, including 18 irretrievable, and equipment losses including 3 artillery systems, 14 vehicles, 81 UAVs, 1 EW station, and 7 units of special equipment). ТАСС reports, citing Russian sources, that several Ukrainian units suffered colossal losses in battles for Belovody (Sumy Oblast). Военкор Котенок reports Ukrainian attempts to enter Kursk Oblast near Krasnooktyabrsky and Volfino, with Russian defense. РБК-Україна reports that a unit of the "Rubizh" brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine is fundraising. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of Ukrainian drone operators in the 30th brigade. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація), Оперативний ЗСУ, Сили оборони Півдня України, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура», ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Десантно-штурмові військові ЗС України, STERNENKO, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, ТАСС, Военкор Котенок, РБК-Україна, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС)
Russia: Conducting intense ground assaults, claiming tactical successes, and utilizing extensive aerial assets, particularly a large number of strike drones and guided aerial bombs across numerous Ukrainian oblasts. Utilizing artillery and potentially MLRS and aviation in border regions. Engaging in extensive information operations and propaganda. Claiming downing a large number of Ukrainian drones and guided bombs. Actively engaged in ground combat across multiple fronts, including making claimed advances. Utilizing and developing drone technology. Russian soldier claims to have repelled a Ukrainian drone with hand. Discovery of foreign-made mines in Kursk Oblast. Utilizing motorcycles and light armored vehicles in assaults. Russian sources are highlighting the use of various military assets, including RSZO "Uragan" systems and Grad MLRS. Russian military bloggers are highlighting the destruction of Ukrainian equipment. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes. Colonelcassad claims the use of a North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" in the SVO, likely in Kursk Oblast. Russian military bloggers are fundraising for "Frontline Armor" to protect military vehicles with steel and for Starlink stations. Russia claims the liberation of Maryino and the creation of a "buffer zone" in Belgorod Oblast near Popovka and Demidovka. Russia claims the liberation of Novoolenovka. Russian sources highlight Akatsiya self-propelled artillery systems, a Grad MLRS crew, and attack drones in action. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 156 combat engagements over the past day across multiple fronts and reports preliminary Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction (128 personnel, including 74 irretrievable, plus equipment losses). Russian military bloggers are highlighting advances and complicating the situation for Ukrainian forces on the South-Donetsk and Konstantinovka directions. Russia claims capturing a key Ukrainian stronghold near Novoye. Russian military bloggers are highlighting the use of RSZO "Uragan" systems and Grad MLRS. Ukrainian sources are highlighting the effectiveness of their drone units and report successful drone strikes. Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian drone teams and a UAV command post on the right bank of the Dnipro river using Grad MLRS and the burning of a Russian T-72B3 tank on the Lyman direction. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles. Colonelcassad claims the use of a North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" in the SVO, likely in Kursk Oblast. New and detailed reports specify the movements of numerous Russian strike UAVs across Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Chernihiv, Poltava, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, with various updated trajectories. A hostile reconnaissance UAV is active in the northeastern direction. Воин DV claims that Russian drone operators of the "Vostok" group shot down another Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" bomber drone on the South-Donetsk direction. Z комитет + карта СВО reports Russian forces are advancing near Otradnoye and in Bogatyr. Colonelcassad shares a video and text stating that during clearing operations in the central part of Bogatyr, Russian forces found and eliminated enemy personnel and shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment and a video claiming a Russian "Yolka" drone-air defense system kinetically intercepted and damaged a Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV. Сливочный каприз reports active combat in the Borova area and the successful targeting of a Ukrainian armored vehicle near Nova Kruhliakivka and reports on combat near Sudzha and Loknya and claims Russian advances near Chasiv Yar. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on the Soledar direction, claiming Ukrainian forces attempted to flee across water. Воин DV reports Russian units disrupting Ukrainian logistics and personnel rotation near Hulyaipole and Yablokovo, claiming the destruction of two pickup trucks, two temporary deployment points, a UAV launcher, and a communication antenna through artillery and drone strikes, and the destruction of two "Baba Yaga" drones through drone attacks and ramming near Otradnoye and Razdolnoye, as well as the destruction of a MaxxPro and a pickup truck east of Poddubnoye and attacks on Ukrainian personnel west of Otradnoye with drone drops. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 highlights Russian military actions near Sumy. Басурин о главном shares a video and text about a combat incident on the Dnipro islands where a Russian soldier survived a drone attack and captured a Ukrainian soldier, using an anti-drone blanket for evacuation. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video showing Russian soldiers encountering Ukrainian FPV drones. Mash на Донбассе reports a Russian assault soldier survived a head wound on the Artemivsk direction. Два майора promotes fundraising for Russian forces and links military successes to diplomatic strength. MoD Russia shares a video of a mortar crew targeting Ukrainian positions on the Orekhov direction, claiming to have hit a Ukrainian UAV control point. ТАСС reports, citing Russian sources, that several Ukrainian units suffered colossal losses in battles for Belovody (Sumy Oblast). БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a wounded Russian soldier attempting suicide. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides a Ukrainian operational update and casualty figures for the Kharkiv sector, highlighting Russian activity including aviation strikes, drone attacks, and shelling. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Рыбарь, Воин DV, Военкор Котенок, Сили оборони Півдня України, Сливочный каприз, Басурин о главном, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Mash на Донбассе, Два майора, MoD Russia, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Филолог в засаде)
Third-Party Involvement: Donald Trump is making statements regarding the conflict and potential US involvement in negotiations. Foreign mercenaries are reported to be fighting in Ukraine. The IMF mission has started its work in Kyiv. Right-wing parties in Europe are gaining support. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the elimination and capture of foreign mercenaries (Mozart PMC) in Novodanylivka, including British and Canadian prisoners. РБК-Україна reports Trump's statement that he thinks Zelenskyy wants to stop the war and his comments about needing time to make conclusions. РБК-Україна reports Trump admitting the possibility of US withdrawal from negotiations if they can't help. Два майора reports that American journalists believe Trump will abandon support for Ukraine. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Bild and Financial Times on the Trump-Putin conversation. РБК-Україна reports the IMF mission started work in Kyiv. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА comments on the growth of right-wing approval in Europe. Alex Parker Returns shares a headline about Russia allegedly recruiting "pirates and jungle dwellers," which implies third-party recruitment. ТАСС, citing the Financial Times, reports that European officials view the recent Putin-Trump conversation as a major victory for the Russian leader and are concerned about the burden on Europe. ТАСС reports on Konstantin Kosachev's statement on Trump's view of Russia and Ukraine. ТАСС reports that Hungary's parliament has finally approved a bill to withdraw from the International Criminal Court (ICC). РБК-Україна reports that Canada, France, and Great Britain have threatened Israel with sanctions over its offensive in Gaza. Рыбарь provides an analysis of the conflict in Sudan, highlighting its humanitarian impact and regional instability, demonstrating the broader global context of conflicts. Два майора shares a video and text about a deputy in Transbaikalia who has been participating in council meetings remotely from Ukraine. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, РБК-Україна, Два майора, Басурин о главном, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Alex Parker Returns, ТАСС, Рыбарь)
Equipment and Tactics: Continued extensive use of various types of drones by both sides (strike UAVs, FPV drones, reconnaissance drones, ground drones, "Baba Yaga" types). Employment of guided aerial bombs and artillery/MLRS. Potential threat of USVs. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles. Claimed Russian destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles using drones. Ukrainian forces are using drones against Russian quad bikes and a motorcycle. Claimed destruction of a Russian T-72B3 tank on the Lyman direction, potentially involving drone targeting. Russian military bloggers are fundraising for "Frontline Armor" to protect military vehicles with steel and for Starlink stations. Deputy Commander of 3rd Assault Brigade urges installation of anti-drone netting. MoD Russia reports engaging 142 concentration areas of Ukrainian manpower and military hardware using operational-tactical aviation, strike drones, and missile troops and artillery. Russian sources highlight Akatsiya self-propelled artillery systems, a Grad MLRS crew, and attack drones in action. Russian military bloggers are highlighting the use of RSZO "Uragan" systems and Grad MLRS. Russian military bloggers are highlighting the destruction of Ukrainian equipment. Ukrainian forces are highlighting their capabilities, including a modified RSZV BM-21 "Berest". Ukrainian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes. Colonelcassad claims the use of a North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" in the SVO, likely in Kursk Oblast. New and detailed reports specify the movements of numerous Russian strike UAVs across Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Chernihiv, Poltava, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, with various updated trajectories. A hostile reconnaissance UAV is active in the northeastern direction. Воин DV claims that Russian drone operators of the "Vostok" group shot down another Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" bomber drone on the South-Donetsk direction. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming the "First video of a 'Shahed' downed by a STING interceptor drone from 'Wild Hornets'." Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming that WU Samurai units successfully shot down a Russian "Zala" reconnaissance UAV using a zenith FPV drone and shares a video claiming Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border in the Belgorod Oblast area, resulting in one fatality and two injuries. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming Ukrainian drone operators of the WORMBUSTERS unit destroyed Russian armored vehicles and personnel in a Ukrainian village in Donbas using FPV drones and shares a video of Ukrainian drone operators in the 30th brigade. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video and photos of a modernized pickup truck for sappers of the 118th brigade in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, crowdfunded and adapted for combat and shares a video claiming a Ukrainian sniper disabled a Russian MT-LB armored personnel carrier. Воин DV reports Russian units disrupting Ukrainian logistics and personnel rotation near Hulyaipole and Yablokovo, claiming the destruction of two pickup trucks, two temporary deployment points, a UAV launcher, and a communication antenna through artillery and drone strikes, and the destruction of two "Baba Yaga" drones through drone attacks and ramming near Otradnoye and Razdolnoye, as well as the destruction of a MaxxPro and a pickup truck east of Poddubnoye and attacks on Ukrainian personnel west of Otradnoye with drone drops and claims that Russian units are striking Ukrainian positions with Grad MLRS near Chervone. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment and a video claiming a Russian "Yolka" drone-air defense system kinetically intercepted and damaged a Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV. MoD Russia shares a video of a mortar crew targeting Ukrainian positions on the Orekhov direction, claiming to have hit a Ukrainian UAV control point. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides a Ukrainian operational update and casualty figures for the Kharkiv sector, highlighting Russian aviation strikes, drone attacks, and shelling, and claimed Russian equipment losses. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ASTRA, ТАСС, Воин DV, Kotsnews, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Два майора, Народная милиция ДНР, Colonelcassad, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, STERNENKO, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, MoD Russia, Оперативний ЗСУ, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Николаевский Ванёк, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, Kadyrov_95, Dnevnik Desantnika, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦)
Personnel: Both sides reporting significant personnel losses. Russian forces deploying personnel from various units. Ukrainian forces facing mobilization challenges. Internal military review of the 47th Brigade allegations and investigation into the 155th Brigade. Attempt to evade military service. Commemorations of fallen soldiers. Discussion of prisoner exchanges. Commander of OSUV "Khortytsia" and Commander of the Ground Forces of Ukraine commented on the scandal with the 155th Separate Motorized Brigade regarding alleged business on combat payments. Reported incident in Prokopyevsk involving a Russian servicemember hitting schoolgirls. TASS reports prosecution requests 19-year sentence for former Deputy Head of the Russian General Staff Khalil Arslanov. Ukrainian General Staff reports preliminary Russian personnel losses on the Pokrovsk direction (128 personnel, including 74 irretrievable) over the past day. Russian military bloggers are highlighting the bravery and actions of Russian soldiers. Colonelcassad shares a video and text stating that during clearing operations in the central part of Bogatyr, Russian forces found and eliminated enemy personnel. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a satirical video claiming local residents buried burnt bodies of Russian paratroopers in Kursk Oblast, highlighting potential Russian casualties and shares a video of a wounded Russian soldier attempting suicide. Воин DV reports Russian units disrupting Ukrainian logistics and personnel rotation near Hulyaipole and Yablokovo, claiming the destruction of two pickup trucks, two temporary deployment points, a UAV launcher, and a communication antenna through artillery and drone strikes, and the destruction of two "Baba Yaga" drones through drone attacks and ramming near Otradnoye and Razdolnoye, as well as the destruction of a MaxxPro and a pickup truck east of Poddubnoye and attacks on Ukrainian personnel west of Otradnoye with drone drops. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares a video diary of a Russian soldier, mentioning the deaths of his comrades and confirms the dismissal of the official in Vologda Oblast and the potential appointment of a military member to the position. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on changes in command within the Ukrainian 59th Brigade, located on the Krasnoarmeysk direction, and claims the former commander was removed for ordering a retreat. MoD Russia shares a video of a Ukrainian POW speaking negatively about Ukrainian commanders and unevacuated personnel. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides a Ukrainian operational update and casualty figures for the Kharkiv sector, highlighting Russian personnel losses (57 personnel, including 18 irretrievable). Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border in the Belgorod Oblast area, resulting in one fatality and two injuries. ТАСС reports, citing Russian sources, that several Ukrainian units suffered colossal losses in battles for Belovody (Sumy Oblast). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the death of a Russian reconnaissance sniper in the Chasiv Yar area. (ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦, Alex Parker Returns, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Военкор Котенок, Mash на Донbasse, Басурин о главном, WarGonzo, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition, STERNENKO, Два майора, Narodnaya militsiya DNR, Воин DV, ASTRA, ТАСС, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Counterintelligence: Reported detention of a Ukrainian citizen in occupied Rubizhne for alleged espionage. Reported detention of a 17-year-old FSB agent in Kyiv. Два майора shares a video and text about a deputy in Transbaikalia who has been participating in council meetings remotely from Ukraine since the start of the "SVO", highlighting potential security concerns regarding information sharing. (Colonelcassad, Оперативний ЗСУ, Два майора)

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

The massive overnight Russian drone offensive involving 108 UAVs across multiple Ukrainian oblasts, with 93 neutralized, and reported impacts in Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy, and Zhytomyr Oblasts, including civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure, is a significant strategic event. It demonstrates Russia's continued capacity to launch large-scale aerial assaults aimed at overwhelming Ukrainian air defenses and striking targets across a wide geographical area. The use of EW to neutralize a large number of these drones highlights the effectiveness of Ukrainian countermeasures and the evolving nature of aerial warfare. The reported impacts across multiple oblasts highlight the widespread nature of the threat and the strategic objective of pressuring Ukraine across various regions. The scale of kamikaze drone strikes and drone drops in the South further emphasizes this strategic objective. The Russian use of 158 kamikaze drones on the Kharkiv axis in a single day, as reported by Ukrainian sources, underscores the intensity of the aerial campaign in this sector. ASTRA reports the overnight Russian drone attack involved 108 UAVs, with 93 neutralized (35 by fire, 58 by EW), impacting Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy, and Zhytomyr Oblasts. Оперативний ЗСУ reports overnight enemy drone attacks on the Bilopillia and Yunakivka communities and KAB strikes on the Yunakivka community. Сили оборони Півдня України report over 500 kamikaze drone strikes and around 200 drone drops in the South over the past day, and the destruction of 2 Ukrainian UAVs, 2 EW stations, 1 ground drone, and 2 UAV control antennas. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of КАБs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast and threat of aviation weapons for frontline oblasts. Север.Реалии reports on the overnight Russian drone attack impacting various oblasts with damage. РБК-Україна reports on Russian drone and KAB attacks in Sumy Oblast causing damage and destruction of residential buildings. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a drone attack on a bus in Kherson resulting in injuries. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on a bus in Kherson resulting in injuries. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports the use of 158 kamikaze drones by Russian forces on the Kharkiv axis over the past day. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that Russian forces attacked Stepnohirsk with at least nine guided aerial bombs (KABs), causing damage to residential buildings, but fortunately no casualties. (ASTRA, Оперативний ЗСУ, Сили оборони Півдня України, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Север.Реалии, РБК-Україна, Сумська ОВА, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Оперативний ЗСУ, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Russian sources reporting significant tactical advances on the Zaporizhzhia and South-Donetsk directions, including claims of destroying a Ukrainian command post, eliminating and capturing foreign mercenaries, destroying equipment (Bradley, Leopard tanks), and capturing prisoners, are strategically significant as they aim to portray a narrative of Russian military success and momentum. If these claims are verified, they could impact the strategic situation on these key fronts, potentially leading to shifts in the front line and requiring adjustments in Ukrainian defensive strategies. The claimed use of TOS-1A thermobaric systems highlights a tactic employed by Russia for engaging fortified positions, which has strategic implications for urban and defensive warfare. The claimed liberation of Bogatyr is a key territorial gain for Russia on the South-Donetsk direction. Russian claims of advances near Chasiv Yar are strategically significant given the importance of the town as a Ukrainian defensive stronghold. Russian military bloggers highlighting disruption of Ukrainian logistics near Hulyaipole points to a strategic objective of isolating or weakening Ukrainian forces in that area. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the Zaporizhzhia direction, claiming destruction of a Ukrainian command post, elimination of foreign mercenaries and capture of British and Canadian prisoners, destruction of ammunition depots and a refueling point, repelling a counterattack with destruction of 2 Bradley IFVs, and destruction of 3 Leopard tanks and a fortified shelter through artillery strikes. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports night hunting on enemy transport with drones on the South-Donetsk direction, destroying over 10 vehicles. Colonelcassad reports on the liberation of Bogatyr in the DNR on Sunday and continued Russian advances on the South-Donetsk direction and shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment near Bogatyr. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the use of TOS-1A "Solntsepyok" thermobaric systems against a fortified Ukrainian stronghold on the South-Donetsk direction and mentions the loss of Bogatyr for Ukraine. Рыбарь's morning summary reports Russian advances in Sumy, Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts and ongoing intense fighting on the Kursk direction, and that the Russian army is approaching Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Воин DV claims that Russian units of the 38th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade are striking Ukrainian positions with Grad MLRS near Chervone and reports Russian units disrupting Ukrainian logistics and personnel rotation near Hulyaipole and Yablokovo, claiming the destruction of equipment and personnel. Военкор Котенок reports on the Siversk direction, claiming Russian advances towards Siversk and near Verkhnekamyenske, and destruction of Ukrainian EW stations, communication nodes, and UAV control points near Serebryanka. Сили оборони Півдня України report that 77 Russian personnel, 9 artillery systems, 18 vehicles, 2 UAVs, 2 EW stations, 1 motorcycle, 5 quad bikes, 1 ground drone, 3 boats, 1 buggy, 1 generator, 2 UAV control antennas, 2 communication antennas, and 2 ammunition storage locations were destroyed in the South over the past day, presenting a Ukrainian perspective on Russian losses. Сливочный каприз reports active combat in the Borova area and the successful targeting of a Ukrainian armored vehicle near Nova Kruhliakivka and reports on combat near Sudzha and Loknya and claims Russian advances near Chasiv Yar. Басурин о главном shares a video and text about a combat incident on the Dnipro islands where a Russian soldier survived a drone attack and captured a Ukrainian soldier. Mash на Донбассе reports a Russian assault soldier survived a head wound on the Artemivsk direction. MoD Russia shares a video of a mortar crew targeting Ukrainian positions on the Orekhov direction. ТАСС reports, citing Russian sources, that several Ukrainian units suffered colossal losses in battles for Belovody (Sumy Oblast). Военкор Котенок reports on Ukrainian attempts to enter Kursk Oblast near Krasnooktyabrsky and Volfino, with Russian defense. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides a Ukrainian operational update for the Kharkiv axis, reporting clashes near Vovchansk and towards Kutkivka. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian fire on Ukrainian reserves near the Sumy border. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border in the Belgorod Oblast area. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Рыбарь, Воин DV, Военкор Котенок, Сили оборони Півдня України, Сливочный каприз, Басурин о главном, Mash на Донбассе, MoD Russia, ТАСС, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Donald Trump's statements on the conflict and potential US involvement in negotiations, particularly his comments about Ukraine's readiness to end the war, assessing Kyiv's actions, the involvement of "very big egos," and the possibility of stepping back or yielding the settlement role to Europe, are strategically significant. These statements from a former US President with potential future political influence can impact international perceptions of the conflict, influence the dynamics of potential negotiations, and potentially create divisions among Ukraine's international partners. Russian commentary on these statements reflects ongoing information operations aimed at exploiting any perceived shifts in US policy. РБК-Україна reports Trump's statement that he thinks Zelenskyy wants to stop the war and he will assess in two weeks if Ukraine is doing enough, and his comments about needing time to make conclusions. РБК-Україна reports Trump admitting the possibility of US withdrawal from negotiations if they can't help. Два майора reports that American journalists believe Trump will abandon support for Ukraine. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Bild and Financial Times on the Trump-Putin conversation, with differing interpretations of the outcomes. ТАСС, citing the Financial Times, reports that European officials view the recent Putin-Trump conversation as a major victory for the Russian leader, suggesting Trump is "stepping aside" and leaving the burden on Europe. ТАСС reports on Konstantin Kosachev's statement that Trump has recognized Russia as an equal subject of international relations, while Kyiv has been turned into an "object" and "instrument." (РБК-Україна, Два майора, Басурин о главном, ТАСС)
The commemoration of the defense of Mariupol and the captivity of the Azov garrison is a significant strategic communication effort by Ukraine. It serves to honor the sacrifice of Ukrainian defenders, maintain public awareness of the ongoing issue of prisoners of war, and reinforce the narrative of Ukrainian resilience and resistance in the face of overwhelming force. This act of remembrance is crucial for national morale and identity. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС commemorates the 86 days of defense and 1096 days of captivity of the Mariupol garrison. (БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС)
The IMF mission starting its work in Kyiv is strategically significant as it highlights the continuation of international financial support for Ukraine. This support is crucial for maintaining Ukraine's economic stability during the conflict and for potential post-war recovery. РБК-Україна reports the IMF mission started work in Kyiv. (РБК-Україна)
The tragic human cost of the conflict, as highlighted by the confirmation of 9 fatalities and 4 injuries from yesterday's bus attack in Sumy Oblast, and the new reports of injured civilians in Kherson due to drone and artillery attacks (including an increase to 5 injured in the bus attack, and 10 total injured in Kherson today from drone and artillery), and the destruction of residential buildings in Sumy Oblast, and damage to residential buildings in Stepnohirsk, continues to be a major strategic consideration. These incidents underscore the impact of the conflict on civilians, raise concerns about potential war crimes, and fuel international condemnation of Russian actions. They also influence humanitarian efforts and potentially evacuation strategies. ASTRA reports two people injured in a Russian drone attack on a passenger bus in Kherson. STERNENKO reports on the Kherson bus attack. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian artillery shelling in the Korabelnyi district of Kherson, injuring two civilians. РБК-Україна reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack has increased to 5. Сили оборони Півдня України report 5 people were injured in Kherson Oblast over the past day. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a total of 10 injured civilians in Kherson today from a drone attack on a bus and subsequent artillery shelling and initiated a criminal proceeding for violation of the laws and customs of war. Оперативний ЗСУ reports the number of injured in the Kherson bus attack increased to 5 and reports artillery shelling in the Korabelnyi district with 2 injured civilians. РБК-Україна reports on Russian drone and KAB attacks on the Bilopillia and Yunakivka communities in Sumy Oblast causing damage and destruction of residential buildings. Сумська ОВА reports on Russian drone and KAB attacks on the Bilopillia and Yunakivka communities in Sumy Oblast causing damage and destruction of residential buildings. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a wounded Russian soldier attempting suicide, highlighting the psychological toll. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that Russian forces attacked Stepnohirsk with at least nine guided aerial bombs (KABs), causing damage to residential buildings, but fortunately no casualties. (ASTRA, STERNENKO, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, Сили оборони Півдня України, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Оперативний ЗСУ, Сумська ОВА, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
The US assembling the first of a series of new B61-13 guided nuclear bombs, described as the first tactical nuclear KAB designed to hit hardened underground targets, is a significant strategic development in the realm of nuclear deterrence. This action signals a modernization of the US nuclear arsenal with capabilities specifically aimed at hard and underground targets, which could influence strategic calculations of potential adversaries and raise concerns about escalation. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on the US B61-13 guided nuclear bomb. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Russian military bloggers highlighting the rise of right-wing parties in Europe and attributing it to public dissatisfaction with issues including the war in Ukraine is a form of strategic information operation. This narrative aims to portray a growing anti-war sentiment in Europe and suggest that public opinion is shifting against support for Ukraine, potentially influencing international policy debates and creating divisions within European societies. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА comments on the growth of right-wing approval in Europe. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Ukrainian military training exercises focused on night assaults, trench warfare, teamwork, and incorporating drones and EW, as highlighted by the General Staff and Air Assault Forces, are strategically important for enhancing the capabilities of Ukrainian forces. These efforts demonstrate a commitment to adapting to the demands of modern warfare and improving combat effectiveness, which is crucial for sustaining defense and potentially conducting offensive operations. The training of cadets in mountainous terrain demonstrates a focus on specialized environments. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares photos and text about infantry training exercises for the 21st Separate Mechanized Brigade and highlights the training of cadets of the Air Assault Forces and Naval Infantry in mountainous terrain. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України shares a video of night assault training by soldiers of the 79th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України)
The 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade "Magura" fundraising for FPV and Mavic drones highlights the continued reliance on non-governmental support for acquiring crucial military equipment and the strategic importance of these systems for Ukrainian units. This fundraising effort also indicates the ongoing needs and resource constraints faced by some Ukrainian brigades. The hint at something brewing internally within the brigade adds a layer of potential strategic relevance, suggesting possible upcoming operational changes or internal developments. ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» is fundraising for FPV and Mavic drones and hints at internal developments. (‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура»)
Reports of Russian attempts to enter Kursk Oblast and Ukrainian defense actions in border regions highlight the strategic importance of maintaining control over border areas and the potential for cross-border incursions. Ukrainian claims of having the Rylsk-Korenevsk highway under fire control are strategically significant if verified, indicating the ability to disrupt Russian logistics in border areas. Военкор Котенок reports Ukrainian attempts to enter Kursk Oblast near Krasnooktyabrsky and Volfino overnight with Russian defense. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming Ukrainian border guard drone operations on the Kursk direction, including destruction of Russian assets and shares a video claiming the Rylsk-Korenevsk highway in Kursk Oblast is under Ukrainian fire control. Colonelcassad shares a claim about Ukrainian soldiers attempting to escape in the Kursk border area by disguising themselves as civilians, which could be a Russian information operation related to the situation in border areas. ТАСС reports, citing Russian sources, that several Ukrainian units suffered colossal losses in battles for Belovody (Sumy Oblast), which relates to fighting in a border region. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border in the Belgorod Oblast area. Сливочный каприз reports positional fighting near Sudzha and claimed Russian advances in Loknya. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian fire on Ukrainian reserves near the Sumy border. (Военкор Котенок, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, Оперативний ЗСУ, Сливочный каприз, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
The scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a district head allegedly threatening to send people to the "SVO" and the subsequent dismissal of the official, with the potential appointment of a military member, is strategically significant as it highlights potential negative public perception of the conflict within Russia, concerns about fairness in the mobilization process, and potential abuses of power. This incident could be used by both Ukrainian and Russian information operations to influence domestic and international audiences regarding the state of Russian society and the impact of the war. The potential appointment of a military member to a civilian leadership position could also be a strategic effort to integrate veterans into society and government. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ASTRA, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, and Два майора reporting on this incident further amplify its strategic significance. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники confirms the dismissal of the official in Vologda Oblast. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ASTRA, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Два майора, Colonelcassad)
The expected adoption of the 17th package of EU sanctions against Russia, targeting the "shadow fleet" and energy trade revenues, is a significant strategic development aimed at increasing economic pressure on Russia and limiting its ability to finance the war. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on this expected development. (Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна)
The increase in the number of injured civilians in Kherson today (total of 10 reported from a drone attack on a bus and artillery shelling) and the initiation of a criminal proceeding by the Office of the Prosecutor General underscore the continued strategic impact of the conflict on civilians and the focus on documenting potential war crimes. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a total of 10 injured civilians in Kherson today and initiated a criminal proceeding. Оперативний ЗСУ reports the increased number of injured in the bus attack and artillery shelling. (Офіс Генерального прокурора, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ASTRA, STERNENKO, Сили оборони Півдня України)
Russian military bloggers promoting fundraising for units on specific directions, such as the Krasnolimanskoye direction, highlights the ongoing needs of Russian forces for equipment and resources and the role of non-governmental support in sustaining their operations. Два майора is fundraising for transport and equipment for fighters of the 3rd Motor Rifle Division on the Krasnolimanskoye direction and reports on the "Victory Knife" project which is also fundraising for Russian forces. (Два майора)
The Ukrainian operational update for the Kharkiv axis, detailing Russian military activity and claimed Ukrainian successes and Russian losses, is strategically important for assessing the situation in this key sector and informing defensive strategies. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides this update. (ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦)
The withdrawal of Hungary from the International Criminal Court (ICC) is a strategically significant development related to international legal frameworks and accountability for war crimes. ТАСС reports on this decision. (ТАСС)
The reported critical analysis of Russian military strategy in Donbas from 2019 by "Филолог в засаде" is strategically significant as it suggests that internal critiques of Russian military planning existed even before the full-scale invasion. This could indicate potential long-standing systemic issues within the Russian military. (Филолог в засаде)
The reported incident of a deputy in Transbaikalia participating in council meetings remotely from Ukraine is strategically significant from a counterintelligence and information security perspective. It highlights potential vulnerabilities in Russian administrative processes and raises concerns about the possibility of sensitive information being compromised. Два майора reports on this incident. (Два майора)
The reported measles outbreak at Moscow State University is a public health issue, but in the context of a conflict, it could have indirect strategic implications related to civilian health and potentially the readiness of personnel if outbreaks occur in military contexts. ТАСС reports on this. (ТАСС)
The reported mass detention after conflicts between teenagers in Makhachkala, Dagestan, and the analysis of migration issues in Perm Krai, are internal social and security issues within Russia. While not directly military, such incidents can indicate underlying social tensions and challenges that could have broader strategic implications for internal stability and resource allocation. ТАСС reports on the Makhachkala incident. Рыбарь provides the analysis of migration issues. (ТАСС, Рыбарь)

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

Situation Report