Sitrep 2025-05-17 17:12:14

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 17, 2025, 17:10 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment remains characterized by intense ground combat, particularly in eastern and southern Ukraine, a persistent and geographically widespread Russian aerial offensive employing strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs), and ongoing diplomatic efforts intertwined with conflicting military signals. The latest reporting confirms continued Russian drone activity across numerous Ukrainian oblasts, with specific trajectory details provided by the Ukrainian Air Force, including new groups from Belgorod Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast and movements west and south of Kharkiv moving south, and a group from Zhytomyr Oblast heading towards Khmelnytskyi Oblast. This highlights a dynamic and extensive aerial threat. Repeat launches of guided aerial bombs targeting Donetsk, Sumy, and Kharkiv Oblasts indicate sustained heavy bombardment in these key frontline and border regions. Intense ground fighting persists, notably in Donetsk Oblast and along the Kursk and Sumy border regions, with both sides claiming localized advances and inflicting casualties. A significant and tragic development is the Russian attack on a regular bus near Bilopillia in Sumy Oblast, initially reported with eight fatalities and five injuries, now updated to nine fatalities and four injuries, underscoring the continued impact of the conflict on civilians in border areas and prompting a day of mourning in the Sumy community. Russia claims to have destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs overnight over Kursk and Belgorod Oblasts, indicating ongoing Ukrainian drone activity targeting Russian territory and Russian efforts to counter it. Diplomatic discussions regarding potential negotiations in Istanbul continue, though the observed military actions, such as claimed Russian advances and ongoing heavy fighting, create a complex and potentially contradictory backdrop. Internal Russian issues, including military personnel support, legal proceedings, and information operations, remain relevant. Concerns have been raised about the conduct of Russian military personnel in occupied territories, with new reports of accusations of sexual offenses against minors in Luhansk and Donetsk Oblasts. The former US Ambassador to Ukraine has reportedly resigned due to disagreements with potential shifts in US policy towards Russia under a hypothetical Trump administration, highlighting potential future political dynamics. External developments, including the Middle East crisis and Russia's planned first Russian-Arab summit in October, are also noted.

Significant new updates from the latest messages include:

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's Continued Diplomatic Engagements in Rome: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS confirms Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney in Rome. This reiterates Ukraine's high-level diplomatic efforts to maintain international support.
Russian Military Mobilization and Training: Colonelcassad shares a video reporting on a group of volunteers from various Russian regions departing from Grozny airport for the "special military operation" zone after undergoing special training at the Russian University of Special Forces named after President Putin. This highlights ongoing Russian efforts to recruit and train personnel for the conflict and emphasizes their multi-regional nature and the role of Chechen-based training facilities.
Sarcastic Ukrainian Commentary on Russian Losses: Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video with a sarcastic caption implying that Russian actions in Ukraine are futile and lead to significant losses, underscoring the human cost of the conflict from a Ukrainian perspective. The video itself is not described, but the caption conveys a strong sentiment.
North Korean Leader's Call for War Preparedness: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports, citing Reuters, that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un called on the army to better "prepare for war" during an inspection of military exercises. The caption also includes a critical remark towards South Korea for not providing 155-mm shells to Ukraine. This highlights potential geopolitical shifts and the interconnectedness of global conflicts, as well as Ukrainian perspectives on international military aid.
Confirmation of Upcoming Putin-Trump Phone Conversation: РБК-Україна and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 and Новости Москвы confirm, citing Peskov, that a phone conversation between Russian President Putin and Donald Trump is being prepared and is expected to take place on May 19th. Alex Parker Returns also reports on this, adding commentary about negotiations happening without Ukraine's direct involvement, which is likely an information operation piece. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS also reports on this, adding that Trump intends to call Zelenskyy and NATO allies after speaking with Putin. This indicates continued high-level contact between the US and Russia and potential discussions related to the conflict.
Russian Claims of Modified Aircraft for Counter-Drone Operations: Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations. The report describes the aircraft's claimed capabilities, including a radar and a 12-gauge shotgun as armament, and includes images showing the modified aircraft and cockpit display with a tank icon. While presented with some humor and skepticism by the author regarding the effectiveness of the shotgun, it highlights Russian efforts to adapt existing platforms and develop new tactics to counter Ukrainian drone activity. This is presented as an experimental model.
Russian Military Blogger Highlights Russian Casualties in "Suicidal" Assault: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a photo and video with commentary from a small Russian Z-channel author expressing outrage and describing a "suicidal" assault by a group of Russian assault troops on motorcycles with flags. The commentary claims that Ukrainian defenders targeted them with mortars, cluster munitions, and drones, and that none survived. This report from a Russian source provides a candid and critical view of claimed ineffective Russian tactics and significant casualties.
Satirical Russian Commentary on Ukrainian Delegation's Appearance: Kotsnews shares a post with satirical commentary about the appearance of the Ukrainian delegation's clothing during negotiations, referencing historical figures and suggesting it reflects a lack of seriousness or a hidden meaning. This is a form of information operation aimed at mocking and undermining the Ukrainian delegation and the negotiation process.
Russian Claims of Extensive Strikes on Ukrainian Military Infrastructure: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims that Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS) conducted 24 strikes on military objects across Ukraine, including logistics hubs, ammunition depots, airbases, and energy facilities supporting the Ukrainian military-industrial complex. He specifically claims the destruction of a transport hub and damaged armored vehicles in Kramatorsk, the destruction of a long-range missile launcher and warehouses near Kramatorsk, strikes on airfields and air defense warehouses in Kyiv Oblast, strikes on infrastructure related to Western arms supplies, training camps, port infrastructure in Odesa Oblast, air defense objects, reconnaissance centers, and foreign mercenary locations. He also claims strikes on railway hubs and ammunition depots in Izium, Balakliia, and Bohodukhiv in Kharkiv Oblast, the destruction of a fuel depot in Balakliia, strikes on military objects, command posts, and a tank range near the Russian border in Chernihiv Oblast, and a strike on a crossing over the Desna River. He claims a strike on a key airfield in Starokostiantyniv and strikes on drone production and assembly facilities and railway infrastructure. This report provides a detailed, albeit unverified, account of claimed widespread Russian strikes targeting Ukrainian military and logistical capabilities.
Russian Military Blogger Reports Desecration of War Memorial in Voronezh: Старше Эдды reports the detention of a 45-year-old migrant from Azerbaijan in Voronezh for allegedly burning flowers and extinguishing the Eternal Flame at a mass grave. Criminal cases for rehabilitation of Nazism and desecration of burial sites have been initiated. He frames this as a trend and a sign of anti-Russian sentiment among migrants, advocating for criminal prosecution and deportation. This highlights internal Russian social tensions and the political sensitivity surrounding war memorials and migration.
Russian Military Blogger Highlights Combined Arms Tactics and Ukrainian Losses on Konstantinovka Direction: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video and commentary from a Russian source detailing combat operations on the Konstantinovka direction, emphasizing the coordinated use of assault groups, UAVs, and artillery by the Russian 33rd Motor Rifle Regiment. The commentary highlights claimed high intensity of fire, destruction of Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters by Russian sniper-reconnaissance teams, and claimed significant and ineffective Ukrainian counterattacks resulting in the loss of several Ukrainian brigades and regiments. This report provides a tactical overview from a Russian perspective, emphasizing their claimed successful combined arms tactics and Ukrainian losses.
Ukrainian Infantry on Positions in Toretsk: Олексій Білошицький shares photos of Ukrainian infantry of the "Khizhak" brigade on positions in Toretsk at night. This provides a visual confirmation of Ukrainian military presence and activity in this key area of the front.
Russian Military Blogger Fundraising for Counter-Drone Training: Colonelcassad shares a video outlining a fundraising effort for consumables needed for training in countering enemy drones, including targets (plates) and other materials. He explains the purpose of the training is to increase the effectiveness of Russian soldiers against drones and mentions practicing with 12-gauge shotguns and from different vehicles. He thanks contributors and highlights the claimed success of previous training sessions in improving drone interdiction. This highlights ongoing efforts within Russia to adapt to the tactical challenges posed by Ukrainian drones and the role of private initiatives in supporting military training.
Sarcastic Ukrainian Commentary on Russian Losses and Motivation: Alex Parker Returns shares a social media post with sarcastic commentary attributed to a Ukrainian perspective, expressing disbelief and disdain for Russian actions and implied losses. This is a form of information operation and commentary from the Ukrainian side.
Ukrainian Commander Claims Significant Russian Equipment Losses Since Start of Year: РБК-Україна reports, citing Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi, that Ukrainian forces have destroyed over 1,000 Russian tanks (1,159) and over 2,500 armored combat vehicles (2,510) since the beginning of the year. This is a significant claim of Russian equipment losses and highlights the intensity of the fighting and the effectiveness of Ukrainian forces in destroying Russian armor.
German-American Cooperation on Missile Production for Ukraine/Europe: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by the German company Rheinmetall and the American Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS missiles (for HIMARS and MLRS) and Patriot PAC-3 missiles in Europe through a joint venture where Rheinmetall would hold 60% of the shares. This indicates a significant strategic effort by Western partners to increase production of key missile systems for Ukraine and European defense, underscoring long-term military support and adaptation to the conflict's demands. The commentary expresses respect for the Rheinmetall CEO despite alleged Russian targeting.
Russian Military Blogger Shares Video Framing Ukrainian Appeal to Putin: Басурин о главном shares a video with the caption "Plea from Ukraine. Vladimir Vladimirovich, people are asking.... and waiting." The video is not described, but the caption suggests it contains content portraying Ukrainians appealing to Putin, likely for an end to the conflict or other assistance, which is a form of Russian information operation to portray themselves as potential saviors or that there is internal dissent in Ukraine.
French Military Exercises Focusing on Amphibious Operations and Drones: Два майора reports on two large-scale French military exercises, "Polaris-2025" in the English Channel and Atlantic Ocean involving multiple NATO and partner countries, and "Kraken-2025" in Normandy and Brittany focusing on amphibious assault operations with the involvement of naval and special forces, helicopters, and various types of drones, including "Drak," "Copter," and "Skylark." This highlights French military modernization and adaptation to modern warfare, including the increasing role of drones in amphibious operations, and their cooperation with international partners. The author expresses interest in whether France will incorporate marine drones based on the experience of the conflict in Ukraine.
Ukrainian Official Comments on Damage to Kursk Oblast Agriculture: Оперативний ЗСУ shares information attributed to Russian acting governor Khinshtein claiming over 160 agricultural enterprises in Kursk Oblast have been affected by Ukrainian attacks, with damages estimated at 90 billion rubles. The caption sarcastically attributes the damage to "Putin," likely referencing the initiation of the conflict. This highlights the economic impact of Ukrainian cross-border actions and a Ukrainian narrative attributing responsibility for the conflict's consequences to the Russian leadership.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Donetsk Oblast (Toretsk, Konstantinovka direction, Kramatorsk): Remains a primary focus of intense ground combat. Олексій Білошицький shares photos of Ukrainian infantry on positions in Toretsk. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА details claimed Russian advances and Ukrainian losses on the Konstantinovka direction, highlighting combined arms tactics. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on Kramatorsk destroying a transport hub, damaging armored vehicles, and destroying a long-range missile launcher and warehouses.
Sumy Oblast (Bilopillia): Affected by Russian military activity. РБК-Україна reports Russia attacked a regular bus near Bilopillia, with casualties, now updated to nine fatalities and four injuries. The Sumy community has declared a day of mourning. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast, including using a FAB-1500 and other means, claiming no civilian casualties, presented as a counter-narrative. Оперативний ЗСУ shares information on claimed economic damage to Kursk Oblast agriculture from Ukrainian attacks, originating from a region bordering Sumy Oblast.
Kharkiv Oblast (Izium, Balakliia, Bohodukhiv): Affected by Russian military activity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on railway hubs and ammunition depots in Izium, Balakliia, and Bohodukhiv, and destruction of a fuel depot in Balakliia. He also claims strikes on a unit in Izium that arrived as reinforcement and was trained in Britain.
Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Voronezh): Affected by military activity. Старше Эдды reports the detention of a migrant in Voronezh for allegedly desecrating a war memorial. Оперативний ЗСУ shares information on claimed economic damage to Kursk Oblast agriculture from Ukrainian attacks, originating from a region bordering Sumy Oblast, citing a Russian source.
Russia (Grozny, Voronezh, Shadrinsk): Various internal issues are reported. Colonelcassad reports on a group of volunteers departing from Grozny airport for the conflict zone. Старше Эдды reports the detention of a migrant in Voronezh for allegedly desecrating a war memorial. Colonelcassad shares photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants in Shadrinsk. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth.
Odesa Oblast: Affected by Russian military activity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on port infrastructure in Odesa Oblast used for NATO arms supplies.
Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast: Affected by Russian military activity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on airfields and air defense warehouses in Kyiv Oblast that were allegedly used for strikes on Russian territory.
Chernihiv Oblast: Affected by Russian military activity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military objects near the border with Russia and Belarus, command posts, a tank range, and a crossing over the Desna River, which is claimed to be important for transferring forces to the Sumy direction.
Khmelnytsky Oblast (Starokostiantyniv): Affected by Russian military activity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims a Russian strike on a key airfield in Starokostiantyniv.
Crimea (Perevalne): Two Russian military bloggers report a claimed Ukrainian drone strike on an ammunition depot in Perevalne.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Remains extremely high and widespread. Ukrainian air defense forces are actively tracking numerous drone groups across various oblasts. Russian forces are employing FPV drones and reportedly launching drones from Belgorod towards Ukrainian territory. Ukraine has previously reported the use of naval drones. Detailed tracking of numerous Russian drone groups across Odesa, Sumy, Poltava, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, Kyiv, Cherkasy, Vinnytsia, and Zhytomyr Oblasts is ongoing. Colonelcassad shares a video highlighting the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. The latest messages confirm the movement of multiple enemy UAV groups from Kharkiv Oblast towards Donetsk Oblast, kamikaze drones along the border of Cherkasy and Kyiv Oblasts towards Kaniv and on the Bilotserkivskyi district, and drones from Kyiv Oblast towards Vinnytsia and Zhytomyr Oblasts. Colonelcassad claims a "Geran" drone strike in Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian sniper pair destroyed a Ukrainian octocopter. The latest messages provide detailed tracking of numerous Russian drone groups across Vinnytsia, Khmelnytskyi, Sumy, Kharkiv, and Poltava Oblasts. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar using a UAV for detection and artillery for strike, highlighting the claimed combined use of drones and artillery. TASS shares video footage attributed to a UAV crew of the 205th Separate Motor Rifle Brigade showing training of Russian military assault units in Kherson Oblast using combat robotic platforms, implying the use of reconnaissance or support drones in this training. The latest messages provide further specific details on Russian drone movements across Khmelnytskyi, Cherkasy, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, and Kharkiv Oblasts. TASS reports Russian UAV operators claimed to have pressured Ukrainian forces from the flanks in the village of Volne Pole in southern Donetsk Oblast, indicating the offensive use of drones. The Ukrainian Air Force reports further specific Russian drone movements over Poltava, Sumy, Chernihiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Kyiv, and Vinnytsia Oblasts. Remaining Russian drone activity reported in Khmelnytskyi, Vinnytsia, Kirovohrad, Kharkiv, and Sumy Oblasts. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian "Geran" drone strikes overnight on Odesa, Kharkiv, Chernihiv, Cherkasy, Vinnytsia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Poltava Oblasts. They also report a claimed Ukrainian drone strike on an ammunition depot in Perevalne, Crimea. They report Ukrainian drone strikes causing civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast, including a fatality from a drone attacking a cyclist near Arkhangelske and injuries from a drone attacking a car in Borysovka. They report an FPV drone attack on an electrical substation in Rylsk, Kursk Oblast. They report Ukrainian drone and artillery fire isolating Russian units on the Tetkino direction, and Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment and infantry with FABs, artillery, and drones. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 224 Russian drone attacks on 15 settlements within the past day. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of Russian UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards northern Sumy Oblast, a group in northern Kharkiv Oblast heading south, a group in southern Kharkiv Oblast heading north, "Shaheds" in eastern Poltava Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast, "Shaheds" in eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast heading west, and "Shaheds" in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast heading towards Zaporizhzhia city and enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast heading towards southern Sumy and northern Kharkiv Oblasts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes in Bilopillia and Myropillia included the destruction of a group of drone operators. 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України shares a video highlighting their FPV drone work. Привид Хортиці shares a video showcasing their drone strikes. Басурин о главном shares a video likely showcasing a drone being downed. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations, including a radar and a 12-gauge shotgun as armament, and includes images showing the modified aircraft and cockpit display with a tank icon. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА highlights claimed Russian sniper-reconnaissance teams destroying Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters. (23:11, 23:14, 23:19, 23:25, 23:27, 23:30, 00:00, 00:06, 00:11, 00:45, 00:51, 01:02, 01:04, 01:03, 01:40, 02:03, 02:06, 02:33, 02:34, 03:02, 03:33, Два майора, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України, Привид Хортиці, Басурин о главном, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Aviation Activity: Colonelcassad shares a video highlighting the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews of the "West" Group of Forces. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian sniper pair was covering assault troops, implying associated aviation support or activity. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment and infantry with FABs and artillery. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 6 Russian aviation strikes on 5 settlements within the past day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes in Bilopillia and Myropillia included a FAB-1500 and aviation bombs. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian Aerospace Forces conducted 24 strikes on military objects across Ukraine, including airbases. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations. (23:30, 01:03, Два майора, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Missile Activity: Reports of Russian drones emerging from the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast continue. The Ukrainian Navy reports no Russian warships or missile carriers in the Black or Azov Seas as of 06:00 on May 17, 2025, but notes the presence of a Kalibr carrier in the Mediterranean and significant ship traffic through the Kerch Strait. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian "Geran" drone strikes overnight on Odesa, Kharkiv, Chernihiv, Cherkasy, Vinnytsia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Poltava Oblasts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes included the destruction of a long-range missile launcher in Kramatorsk. (23:11, 23:14, 23:19, 03:05, Два майора, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Naval Activity: Reports of Russian drones emerging from the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast continue. The Ukrainian Navy reports no Russian warships or missile carriers in the Black or Azov Seas as of 06:00 on May 17, 2025, but notes the presence of a Kalibr carrier in the Mediterranean and significant ship traffic through the Kerch Strait. Russia is reported to be violating the SOLAS convention by disabling automatic identification systems. Colonelcassad reports on the laying down of a new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship in Russia. Два майора reports on French military exercises focusing on amphibious operations with multiple international participants. (23:11, 23:14, 23:19, 03:05, Colonelcassad, Два майора)
Air Defense Activity: Ukrainian air defense is actively tracking and engaging numerous Russian drone groups across various oblasts. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian sniper pair destroyed a Ukrainian octocopter, highlighting Russian counter-drone efforts. The Ukrainian Air Force reports tracking and engaging enemy UAVs over multiple oblasts. Two Russian military bloggers report three unsuccessful Ukrainian attempts to break through Russian territory on the Tetkino direction, ongoing battles, and Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment and infantry with FABs, artillery, and drones. They also report an FPV drone attack on an electrical substation in Rylsk, Kursk Oblast, and Ukrainian drone and artillery fire isolating Russian units on the Tetkino direction. Russia claims repelling a drone attack in Rostov Oblast. Russia claims all drones attacking Crimea were shot down. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 224 Russian drone attacks on 15 settlements within the past day. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations with a 12-gauge shotgun as armament, highlighting Russian efforts to counter drones. Colonelcassad is fundraising for consumables needed for training in countering enemy drones. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА highlights claimed Russian sniper-reconnaissance teams destroying Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters. (Numerous reports on drone tracking and engagement, 01:03, 03:02, Два майора, ТАСС, Рыбарь, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Colonelcassad, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Artillery Activity: Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar and mortar crew by artillery fire from a 2A36 "Giatsint-B" howitzer, highlighting claimed Russian artillery effectiveness. Two Russian military bloggers report ongoing intense battles on the Tetkino direction, with three unsuccessful Ukrainian attempts to break through, and Ukrainian drone and artillery fire isolating Russian units. They also report Ukrainian artillery strikes causing civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast and Kherson Oblast, and Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment and infantry with FABs, artillery, and drones. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 200 Russian artillery shellings on 9 settlements within the past day and 4 MLRS shellings on 3 settlements. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports Ukrainian defenders targeting Russian assault troops on motorcycles with mortars and cluster munitions. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА highlights the coordinated use of artillery by the Russian 33rd Motor Rifle Regiment. (02:03, Два майора, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Discussions regarding potential negotiations in Istanbul are ongoing. Donald Trump has commented on his conversation with Zelenskyy and his potential role in future talks. A TASS report quotes a Russian official stating Trump's participation is essential for good negotiation results. TASS reports Konstantin Kosachev, Deputy Chairman of the Federation Council, expressing the opinion that forces in Kyiv and their "group of support" in Europe are not interested in ending the conflict and will prevent significant progress in negotiations in the near future. This reflects the Russian political stance on the likelihood of successful negotiations. Donald Trump has publicly stated his belief that Russian President Putin is "tired" of the war and looks "bad," while reiterating his belief that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy lacks "cards" in potential negotiations, referencing a "really tough meeting" he had with Zelenskyy. Two Russian military bloggers highlight the ongoing negotiations in their morning summary, mentioning Kyiv's demands for a 30-day ceasefire and Moscow's conditions (Ukrainian forces to leave "constitutional territories"). ASTRA reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call explicitly stated Trump's call for an immediate ceasefire and a US peace plan, which was not in the Russian account. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна also report on Rubio's statement emphasizing the US peace plan and the time to end the war. Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and STERNENKO also report on Rubio's statement. Alex Parker Returns reports on the upcoming Putin-Trump phone conversation, adding commentary about negotiations without Ukraine, which is likely an information operation piece. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on the upcoming Putin-Trump phone conversation and Trump's intention to call Zelenskyy and NATO allies afterwards. (23:11, 00:09, 01:00, 02:19, Два майора, ASTRA, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, STERNENKO, Alex Parker Returns, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
International Support for Ukraine: Donald Trump's comments on potential sanctions against Russia are noted. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has arrived in Rome and met with Canadian Prime Minister Marc Carney, highlighting continued high-level diplomatic engagements to garner international support. WarGonzo reports that Moldova and Germany have signed an agreement for the placement of a German military "consultative group" in Moldova, framed with a critical undertone but still indicating Western military engagement. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS and Patriot missiles in Europe, indicating significant long-term military support from Western partners. (23:11, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, WarGonzo, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Russia-US Relations: Donald Trump has commented on his conversation with Zelenskyy, expressed confidence in meeting with Putin, and discussed potential sanctions against Russia. A TASS report quotes Dmitriev stating Trump's participation is essential for good negotiation results. A report emerges of a potential US plan under the Trump administration to resettle Palestinians from Gaza to Libya, though it is officially denied by the US. Donald Trump has publicly stated his belief that Russian President Putin is "tired" of the war and looks "bad," while reiterating his belief that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy lacks "cards" in potential negotiations, referencing a "really tough meeting" he had with Zelenskyy. ASTRA reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call explicitly stated Trump's call for an immediate ceasefire and a US peace plan, which was not in the Russian account. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна also report on Rubio's statement emphasizing the US peace plan and the time to end the war. Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and STERNENKO also report on Rubio's statement. РБК-Україна and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 and Новости Москвы and Alex Parker Returns and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS confirm the upcoming Putin-Trump phone conversation on May 19th. (23:11, 00:09, 01:09, 02:19, ASTRA, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, STERNENKO, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Новости Москвы, Alex Parker Returns, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Russia-Germany Relations: The alleged detention of Ukrainian agents in Germany on suspicion of working for Russian special services could strain relations. (Earlier reports). WarGonzo reports that Moldova and Germany have signed an agreement for the placement of a German military "consultative group" in Moldova. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by German company Rheinmetall and American Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS and Patriot missiles in Europe. (WarGonzo, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Russia-Switzerland Relations: A related suspect in the alleged German agent case is reportedly in Switzerland, potentially involving diplomatic and legal cooperation between these countries. (Earlier reports).
Armenia-Azerbaijan Peace Talks: Armenia's statement of readiness to sign and ratify a peace agreement is a significant diplomatic development in a separate regional conflict. (Earlier reports).
Internal Russian Politics: TASS reports that new detentions may occur in a case related to the Russian Ministry of Transport. TASS reports that the verdict in the case of large-scale bribes involving former General Shamarin has entered into legal force. TASS reporting Konstantin Kosachev's opinion on the lack of interest in ending the conflict from Kyiv and its "group of support" in Europe, serving as a Russian narrative. TASS reports on a political proposal by Sergey Mironov to reduce VAT and eliminate it on basic food products. TASS reports that new suspects may emerge in a case of embezzlement involving special operation participants in Sheremetyevo. Police in Khabarovsk Krai are seeking the driver of a moped involved in a hit-and-run incident with a minor. Two Russian military bloggers provide a summary of the morning situation, discussing negotiations and military activities. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth. Alex Parker Returns shares an information operation piece related to Russia. Новости Москвы confirms the upcoming Putin-Trump phone conversation. Colonelcassad confirms the upcoming Putin-Trump phone conversation. Старше Эдды reports the detention of a migrant in Voronezh for allegedly desecrating a war memorial. (00:01, 01:01, 01:00, 02:08, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Два майора, Полиция Хабаровского края, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Alex Parker Returns, Новости Москвы, Старше Эдды)
Russia's Strategic Messaging and Information Operations: Opera Z: Russian Spring War Correspondents is disseminating a video and commentary attributed to Donald Trump, potentially for propaganda purposes. Colonelcassad is sharing alleged testimony from a Russian POW claiming abuse by Ukrainian forces, likely as part of an information operation. Colonelcassad is also promoting a video showcasing the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. TASS reports Konstantin Kosachev's opinion on the lack of interest in ending the conflict from Kyiv and its European supporters, serving as a Russian narrative. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar and highlights the effectiveness of the involved Russian artillery brigade, likely for propaganda. TASS shares video footage of Russian military training with robotic platforms, likely for propaganda purposes. TASS shares a video and report claiming Russian UAV operators pressured Ukrainian forces in Volne Pole, likely for propaganda and to demonstrate military effectiveness and control the narrative. Colonelcassad highlights the achievement of a Russian documentary film about the conflict receiving a prestigious award, serving as a form of propaganda. A Russian military blogger shares a patriotic song, which is likely for propaganda purposes. Operation Z: Russian Spring War Correspondents shares a video promoting a Russian series framed as propaganda against abortion and about saving children's lives. Two Russian military bloggers provide a summary of the morning situation, highlighting claimed Ukrainian actions and Russian successes, which serves as an information operation. Colonelcassad shares photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants in Shadrinsk, used for commemoration and potentially propaganda. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth, used to bolster national identity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast, claiming no civilian casualties, which is presented as a counter-narrative to civilian casualties reported by Ukrainian sources. Alex Parker Returns shares an information operation piece related to Russia. Басурин о главном shares a video likely showcasing the downing of a drone, likely a Ukrainian one, with a sarcastic caption. Kotsnews shares satirical commentary about the appearance of the Ukrainian delegation, aiming to mock and undermine them. (23:30, 00:03, 01:00, 02:03, 02:34, 03:29, Два майора, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Alex Parker Returns, Басурин о главном, Kotsnews)
US Politics: Donald Trump has made comments on his conversation with Zelenskyy, potential negotiations with Putin, and sanctions against Russia. A TASS report quotes Dmitriev stating Trump's participation is essential for good negotiation results. A report emerges of a potential US plan under the Trump administration to resettle Palestinians from Gaza to Libya, though it is officially denied by the US. Donald Trump has publicly stated his belief that Russian President Putin is "tired" of the war and looks "bad," while reiterating his belief that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy lacks "cards" in potential negotiations, referencing a "really tough meeting" he had with Zelenskyy. ASTRA reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call explicitly stated Trump's call for an immediate ceasefire and a US peace plan, which was not in the Russian account. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна also report on Rubio's statement emphasizing the US peace plan and the time to end the war. Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and STERNENKO also report on Rubio's statement. РБК-Україна and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 and Новости Москвы and Alex Parker Returns and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS confirm the upcoming Putin-Trump phone conversation on May 19th. (23:11, 00:09, 01:09, 02:19, ASTRA, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, STERNENKO, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Новости Москвы, Alex Parker Returns, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Middle East Conflict: Israeli forces have commenced a new large-scale military operation in the Gaza Strip. A report emerges of a potential US plan under the Trump administration to resettle Palestinians from Gaza to Libya. (00:09, 01:09)
North Korea: Kim Jong Un's visit to an aviation regiment and emphasis on war preparedness is reported. Kim Jong Un inspected large-scale tactical exercises, emphasizing military education and adaptation to modern warfare. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports, citing Reuters, that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un called on the army to better "prepare for war". (03:04, Colonelcassad, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

Internal Security: TASS reports that new detentions may occur in a case related to the Russian Ministry of Transport. TASS reports that the verdict in the case of large-scale bribes involving former General Shamarin has entered into legal force. FSB conducted raids and detentions in 81 regions, claiming links to "Ukrainian curators." Criminal case opened regarding embezzlement in state defense order. TASS reports that new suspects may emerge in a case of embezzlement involving special operation participants in Sheremetyevo. Police in Khabarovsk Krai are seeking the driver of a moped involved in a hit-and-run incident with a minor. Старше Эдды reports the detention of a migrant in Voronezh for allegedly desecrating a war memorial. (00:01, 01:01, Север.Реalii, Два майора, ТАСС, Полиция Хабаровского края, Старше Эдды)
Information Operations: Colonelcassad is sharing alleged testimony from a Russian POW claiming abuse by Ukrainian forces, likely as part of an information operation. Colonelcassad is also promoting a video showcasing the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. TASS reports Konstantin Kosachev's opinion on the lack of interest in ending the conflict from Kyiv and its European supporters, serving as a Russian narrative. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar and highlights the effectiveness of the involved Russian artillery brigade, likely for propaganda. TASS shares video footage of Russian military training with robotic platforms, likely for propaganda purposes. TASS shares a video and report claiming Russian UAV operators pressured Ukrainian forces in Volne Pole, likely for propaganda and to demonstrate military effectiveness and control the narrative. Colonelcassad highlights the achievement of a Russian documentary film about the conflict receiving a prestigious award, serving as a form of propaganda. A Russian military blogger shares a patriotic song, which is likely for propaganda purposes. Operation Z: Russian Spring War Correspondents shares a video promoting a Russian series framed as propaganda against abortion and about saving children's lives. Two Russian military bloggers provide a summary of the morning situation, highlighting claimed Ukrainian actions and Russian successes, which serves as an information operation. Colonelcassad shares photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants in Shadrinsk, used for commemoration and potentially propaganda. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth, used to bolster national identity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast, claiming no civilian casualties, which is presented as a counter-narrative to civilian casualties reported by Ukrainian sources. Alex Parker Returns shares an information operation piece related to Russia. Басурин о главном shares a video likely showcasing the downing of a drone, likely a Ukrainian one, with a sarcastic caption. Kotsnews shares satirical commentary about the appearance of the Ukrainian delegation, aiming to mock and undermine them. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА provides a tactical overview from a Russian perspective, emphasizing claimed Russian successes and Ukrainian losses. (23:30, 00:03, 01:00, 02:03, 02:34, 03:29, Два майора, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Alex Parker Returns, Басурин о главном, Kotsnews, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces claim advances and the liberation of Kotlyarovka in Donetsk Oblast. Russian artillery is actively engaged. Russian military bloggers claim Ukrainian forces are using new anti-personal mines on the Sumy direction. Russian sources are promoting the development of new domestic electric motors for drones. Russian Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu's contract has been extended for 5 years. Russian forces are conducting aviation strikes with guided aerial bombs towards Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. Activity of enemy tactical aviation is reported on the southeastern and northeastern directions. Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs to strike Russian territory (Kursk Oblast). Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast. New reports indicate Russian drone activity towards Mykolaiv and Odesa Oblasts. Russian military bloggers are claiming successes in eliminating Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk using FPV drones with fiber-optic control systems. Russian military media is highlighting the role of women in the conflict. Expanding drone activity to include Kirovohrad Oblast and with some drones moving towards Vinnytsia Oblast. Now facing a confirmed threat of enemy strike UAVs in Vinnytsia Oblast. Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. Ukrainian Air Force reports UAV activity in the southern part of Vinnytsia Oblast, moving northwest/west. WarGonzo reports on the development of a new Russian FPV drone-transformer called "Vobla" by soldiers of the 18th Army group. Воин DV reports ongoing fierce battles in the village of Bogatyri, with Russian forces pushing in the western and northern parts and using drone support. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 84 enemy attacks as of 16:00 across multiple directions. Воин DV also reports Russian forces repelled three Ukrainian counterattacks in the Southern Donetsk direction (Fedorovka, Volnoye Polye) and inflicted losses. Военкор Котенок provides detailed tactical reports on the Pokrovsk direction (Malinovka, Mirolyubovka, Yelyzavetivka, Hrodovka) and Alexandrovsk-Kalinovskoe direction (Leontovichi, Romanovka, Kalinovo, Zelenoye Pole, Gnatovka, Pravdovka, Novooleksiivka), claiming Russian advances and ongoing battles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS. MoD Russia shares a video claiming an FPV drone team neutralized a Ukrainian BTR-3DA armored personnel carrier in the Krasny Liman direction. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on the modernization of Ukrainian "Grad" MLRS. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report the liberation of Malinovka (Ulyanovka) in the Donetsk People's Republic and the capture of two Ukrainian prisoners of war. Сливочный каприз also reports on the liberation of Ulyanovka (Malinovka) in DPR, confirming the presence of Russian forces and claiming a Russian advance of over 2.5 km. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Donetsk Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video alleging Russian mistreatment of Russian soldiers in a cistern in the Kherson direction. The Russian Ministry of Defense has released a video showing EOD specialists clearing mines in the Kharkiv direction, claiming they were laid by enemy UAVs at night. Олег Синєгубов reports a Russian "Molniya" type UAV strike in the Kholodnohirskyi district of Kharkiv. Indian Prime Minister Modi's praise for Russian S-400 systems in confronting Pakistan is a notable endorsement of Russian military technology. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces are increasingly recruiting foreign gamers as drone operators, particularly from Western countries, citing dissatisfaction with Trump's policies as a driver. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian positions on the Southern Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on the Soledar direction. MoD Russia and Старше Эдды report the liberation of Myroliubivka in Donetsk People's Republic by the Center Group of Forces. Mash на Донбассе shares a video featuring a Russian serviceman from the Pokrovsk direction discussing the capture of Kotlyarovka, claiming it was achieved with 12 men on 6 motorcycles. Два майора shares a video discussing the effectiveness of Russian FAB bombs on the Krasnyi Lyman direction, claiming increased accuracy. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming successful destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment using drones in Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the work of "Rubikon" drone operators on the Donetsk Direction, with a list of alleged targets including various Ukrainian equipment and positions. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces used an FPV drone to hit a vehicle and then finish off a Russian soldier. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down three Russian Zala UAVs (including a Zala Z-20). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for equipment, including motorcycles and drone detectors. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming to show Russian air defense (Igla MANPADS) destroying targets on the Soledar direction. STERNENKO shares a video from the 1st Motorized Infantry Battalion of the 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade claiming to have destroyed a Russian Impuls-M ground robotic platform with a new combat module on the Donetsk direction. Сергій Лисак reports Russian attacks on Nikopol district and Novopavlivka community using FPV drones, a kamikaze drone, and artillery. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from the Third Assault Brigade claiming successful strikes and destruction of Russian vehicles and a ground robotic platform on the Donetsk direction, likely utilizing FPV drones. Colonelcassad shares a video and photo claiming the destruction of various Western vehicles by Russian "Rubikon" drone operators. TASS reports, citing "siloviki", that Ukrainian units are suffering colossal losses in the areas of Bilovody, Loknya, and Vodolagi in Sumy Oblast, and that Ukrainian reserves are regularly destroyed. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian assets in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russian military bloggers are reporting the Ukrainian Armed Forces are forming a new 16th Army Corps. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation. Олександр Вілкул reports on significant aid sent from Kryvyi Rih to the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade and the 21st Brigade of the National Guard, including pickups, charging stations, and equipment. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports a total of 128 combat engagements across all fronts over the past day, with significant Russian attacks on multiple directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports repelling Russian attacks on the Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports claimed Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction (324 personnel neutralized, 159 irrecoverably) and claimed destruction or damage of various Russian equipment. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video promoting a new tactical AK belt from "Moskit," highlighting ongoing production and availability of military equipment. Colonelcassad reports on the exhibition of new Russian RPL-7 and RPL-20 light machine guns by Kalashnikov Concern, stating they have been tested in the "special military operation" zone. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing Russian drone operators deflecting attacks by Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels ("bezэkipazhnykh katerov") belonging to the "Vosmerka" squad. РБК-Україна shares a video showcasing Ukrainian forces intercepting various Russian drones, including "Molniya-2", Zala Z-16, Supercam S350, and "Orlan-10". Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, highlighting the ongoing need for equipment. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares photos of an artillery piece firing. Russia claims advances in the DPR after the truce. Russian Ministry of Defense reports Russian Defense Minister Belousov is on a working visit to Belarus. Russian military bloggers report on ongoing fighting in the Kupyansk direction, with mutual artillery and drone activity. Russian military bloggers report that on the Zaporizhzhia direction, Russian forces have taken five enemy strongholds. They detail tactics used by both sides, including extensive use of FPV drones, "Baba Yaga" drones, and mine-laying by drones. Russian military bloggers report on the situation in the Novodanilivka and Mala Tokmachka areas, claiming Russian advances and control of a brick factory in Mala Tokmachka. Russian military bloggers provide a summary of Russian Air Force activity on the Zaporizhzhia direction, claiming strikes against Ukrainian positions, temporary deployment points, drone assembly sites, ammunition depots, command posts, and other targets. Russian military bloggers highlight losses of Russian soldiers in the Toretsk area, reporting that most are destroyed by drones and artillery before reaching Ukrainian positions. Russian military bloggers claim that units of the 36th Combined Arms Army used artillery to strike two UAV control points and a temporary deployment point, and FPV drones destroyed a retransmitter antenna, a "MAXX PRO" armored vehicle, and two pickup trucks, disrupting troop rotation. Russian military bloggers report on ongoing fighting in the Kupyansk direction, with mutual artillery and drone activity. Russian military bloggers report that on the Zaporizhzhia direction, daily works barrel artillery in two-sided order. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video claiming destruction of a Ukrainian mortar and mortar crew by artillery fire. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports mutual artillery work on the Kupyansk direction. ISW assesses that Russian forces are pressing and advancing in the Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Pokrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions. ISW maps indicate Russian advances and significant fighting in the Novopavlivka, Donetsk, Toretsk, Zaporizhzhia, Belgorod, Sumy, Luhansk, and Kherson directions. Colonelcassad reports on the laying down of a new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship in Russia and showcases new Russian ground reconnaissance drones. Two Russian military bloggers provide a summary of the morning situation, reporting Russian advances in Sumy Oblast (Bilovody and surrounding areas) and on the Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Southern Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions (Mala Tokmachka, brick factory). They also report Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk border, ongoing battles, and Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment and infantry with FABs, artillery, and drones. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 434 Russian strikes, including aviation, drone, MLRS, and artillery, on 15 settlements within the past day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast using FAB-1500 and other means. Сливочный каприз reports a Russian advance of 3 km near Раздольное towards Отрадное near Velyka Novosilka and reports capture of Александрополь. Басурин о главном shares a video likely showcasing the downing of a Ukrainian drone. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of Russian UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards northern Sumy Oblast, a group in northern Kharkiv Oblast heading south, a group in southern Kharkiv Oblast heading north, "Shaheds" in eastern Poltava Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast, "Shaheds" in eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast heading west, and "Shaheds" in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast heading towards Zaporizhzhia city and enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast heading towards southern Sumy and northern Kharkiv Oblasts and reports various Russian drone movements across Ukrainian oblasts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports claimed Ukrainian successes and Russian advances in the Kharkiv area and reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth. Alex Parker Returns shares an information operation piece related to Russia. ТАСС reports over 160 agricultural enterprises in Kursk Oblast have been affected by Ukrainian attacks, with estimated damage of 90 billion rubles. Mash на Донбассе reports the body of a seven-year-old girl was found in Berdyansk. Colonelcassad reports on a group of volunteers departing from Grozny airport for the conflict zone. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on a "suicidal" Russian assault with significant casualties. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi's claim of significant Russian equipment losses since the start of the year. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА details claimed Russian advances and Ukrainian losses on the Konstantinovka direction. Олексій Білошицький shares photos of Ukrainian infantry on positions in Toretsk. Colonelcassad is fundraising for consumables needed for training in countering enemy drones. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS and Patriot missiles in Europe. (23:11, 23:14, 23:19, 23:24, 23:25, 23:27, 23:30, 00:00, 00:06, 00:11, 00:45, 00:51, 01:02, 01:04, 01:03, 01:40, 02:03, 02:06, 02:33, 02:34, 03:02, 03:26, 03:33, Colonelcassad, Два майора, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Сливочный каприз, Басурин о главном, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Alex Parker Returns, ТАСС, Mash на Донбассе, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, РБК-Україна, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Олексій Білошицький, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Russian Recruitment: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report on Russian President Putin's statements regarding voluntary military recruitment. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники's reporting on the Register of Summonses starting operation is directly related to military recruitment. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 outlining questions addressable at military enlistment offices is indirectly related to the recruitment process. Басурин о главном shares a video of Russian President Putin's statements, where he contrasts voluntary recruitment in Russia with forced mobilization in Ukraine. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces are increasingly recruiting foreign gamers as drone operators. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, which can be used in military recruitment propaganda by highlighting the role of technology and the need for operators. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports that each fourth deceased Russian soldier signed a contract after the start of the conflict. 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України includes recruitment information in their post. Привид Хортиці includes joining information in their post. Colonelcassad reports on a group of volunteers departing from Grozny airport for the conflict zone after special training. (Earlier reports, 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України, Привид Хортиці, Colonelcassad)

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Military Support (Ukraine): Local governments are providing significant direct assistance to military units, including equipment like drones and vehicles. International partners continue to discuss and implement further sanctions against Russia. Poland is reportedly preparing to transfer MiG-29s. The Coordination Headquarters is working on POW and missing personnel issues, providing support to families. STERNENKO and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 are conducting fundraising for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS promotes a research channel focused on military technologies. Олександр Вілкул reports on direct assistance to military units in Kryvyi Rih. Старше Эдды reports on potential Polish MiG-29 transfer. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports on a call for children to participate in a summer camp in Uzbekistan. 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України includes fundraising information in their post. Привид Хортиці shares a video and includes a link for fundraising and joining the unit. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS and Patriot missiles in Europe, indicating long-term military support from Western partners. (Олександр Вілкул, Старше Эдды, Координаційний штаб з питань по поводженню з військовополоненими, STERNENKO, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України, Привид Хортиці)
Veteran Support (Ukraine): Efforts are underway to provide free medical assistance, specialized care, psychological support, and rehabilitation facilities for veterans, including a new regional center and planned veteran care cabinets. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on veteran health and rehabilitation efforts. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Military Support (Russia): Reliance on public and potentially corporate support for equipment continues, with reports of pickup truck transfers and ongoing fundraising for armor steel and other supplies. Propaganda efforts are highlighting soldier motivations and military innovation to support morale and recruitment. Alex Parker Returns reports on the transfer of 50 pickup trucks to Russian forces, partly through civilian initiatives. Два майора's ongoing fundraising for steel for "Front-line armor" (2025-05-16 15:55 UTC) also highlights reliance on public support for equipment, and he is fundraising for vehicles, EW systems, thermal sights, radios, and drones. Воин DV shares a narrative on a soldier's motivation. Colonelcassad discusses the effectiveness of "Turtle Tanks." He is also conducting fundraising for anti-drone training supplies and shares photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants. Военкор Котенок is conducting a fundraising campaign for 6 units. (Alex Parker Returns, Два майора, Воин DV, Colonelcassad, Военкор Котенок)
Civilian Support (Ukraine): Humanitarian aid, such as the distribution of free food packages, is being provided to the civilian population in areas affected by the conflict. Reconstruction and medical support are being provided with international cooperation. The Coordination Headquarters is working on POW and missing personnel issues, providing support to families. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration is promoting a youth movement and addressing power outages in frontline areas. The tragic bus attack in Sumy Oblast highlights the humanitarian impact. Олександр Вілкул reports on humanitarian aid in Kryvyi Rih. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак reports on cooperation with the Czech Republic on reconstruction and medical support. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports on a call for children to participate in a summer camp in Uzbekistan. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 promotes the "Bayda" youth movement and reports on power outages. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 3 women injured in Orikhiv from a drone attack. Mash на Донбассе reports the body of a seven-year-old girl was found in Berdyansk, highlighting the impact on civilians in occupied territories. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), and РБК-Україна report on the fatalities and injuries from the bus attack. STERNENKO also reports on the bus attack. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 announces an air raid alert across the entire Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 expresses outrage over the bus attack and is fundraising. (Олександр Вілкул, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак, Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, ASTRA, Zelenskiy / Official, КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), РБК-Україна, STERNENKO, Mash на Донбассе)
Civilian Support (Russia): Alex Parker Returns reports on the transfer of 50 pickup trucks to Russian forces, partly through civilian initiatives, which can be seen as a form of civilian support for military efforts. Infrastructure projects are ongoing in some regions. A Russian cleric has proposed a tax on childless men over 40. A foreigner died at the Sakharovo migration center in Moscow due to overcrowding. Alex Parker Returns reports on the transfer of 50 pickup trucks to Russian forces, partly through civilian initiatives. Igor Artamonov reports on infrastructure projects in Lipetsk Oblast. Новости Москвы reports on a proposed tax on childless men over 40. ASTRA reports on the death at the Moscow migration center. Colonelcassad shares photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants in Shadrinsk. Старше Эдды reports the detention of a migrant in Voronezh for allegedly desecrating a war memorial. (Alex Parker Returns, Igor Artamonov, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, Colonelcassad, Старше Эдды)
Reconstruction and Recovery (Ukraine): Cooperation with international partners, such as the Czech Republic, is ongoing for reconstruction and recovery efforts, including support for critical infrastructure, education, and the medical sector. Addressing power outages in frontline areas is part of recovery efforts. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак reports on cooperation with the Czech Republic on reconstruction and medical support. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on power outages. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Prisoner of War Issues: A "1000 for 1000" prisoner exchange is being prepared. A large-scale body exchange has taken place, with Ukraine receiving 909 bodies and Russia 34. The Coordination Headquarters is looking for participants for a children's camp in Uzbekistan, potentially related to families of servicemembers or affected by the conflict. Turkey proposed a prisoner exchange in three categories during the Istanbul talks. Russia's confirmed priority is the 1000 for 1000 prisoner exchange. РБК-Україна reports on a "1000 for 1000" prisoner exchange being prepared, citing Вадим Скібіцький of GUR. Басурин о главном reports on a large-scale body exchange, stating Russia received 34 bodies and transferred 909 Ukrainian bodies. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports on a call for children to participate in a summer camp in Uzbekistan. Оперативний ЗСУ claims to have captured a Russian servicemember. CNN reports Turkey proposed a prisoner exchange in three categories. ТАСС reports Kremlin spokesperson Peskov confirmed the priority of the 1000 for 1000 prisoner exchange. ASTRA reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call welcomed the prisoner exchange agreement. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна also report on Rubio's statement welcoming the prisoner exchange agreement. Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and STERNENKO also report on Rubio's statement welcoming the prisoner exchange agreement. (РБК-Україна, Басурин о главном, Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими, Оперативний ЗСУ, CNN, ТАСС, ASTRA, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, STERNENKO)
Veteran Support (Russia): A scandal regarding the burial of Russian servicemembers in Volgodonsk highlights potential issues with supporting veterans and fallen soldiers' families. The "Time of Heroes" program aims to train veterans for leadership roles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on this scandal. (БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС)

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

Ukraine: Actively defending against intense Russian assaults, inflicting casualties, and claiming downing of Russian aerial assets, including a Ka-52 helicopter with an FPV drone, but also reportedly lost an F-16. Utilizing drones for various purposes, including targeting Russian equipment and personnel, and reportedly destroying Russian equipment in Belgorod Oblast and striking Russian personnel with FPV drones. Seeking diplomatic solutions but maintaining their stance on key issues and viewing Russian demands as unacceptable. Preparing for a prisoner exchange and participating in a large-scale body exchange. Experiencing civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from Russian attacks, including shelling, drone attacks, and guided aerial bombs, including the tragic bus attack in Sumy Oblast. Experiencing ongoing counterintelligence efforts (criminal cases against a blogger, detention of alleged FSB agents). Receiving direct assistance from local governments, including equipment. Receiving support from international partners for reconstruction and medical needs. Facing the continued threat of anti-personnel mines. Working on adapting the legal framework during martial law. Polish MiG-29s are potentially being transferred. Volunteer legions are involved in combat and capturing Russian soldiers. Countering Russian information operations regarding territorial gains and the nature of targets. Promoting patriotic youth movements. Marine operators are demonstrating counter-drone tactics. Airborne forces claim destruction of a Russian crossing. Ukrainian forces stopped a Russian advance and destroyed equipment near Kupyansk. Repelled numerous Russian assaults across multiple axes yesterday, including Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Sieversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, and in Kursk region. Addressing power outages in frontline areas. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 and ASTRA report a Russian drone attack (potentially "Lancet") on a civilian bus in Sumy Oblast, resulting in fatalities and injuries, now updated to nine fatalities and four injuries. Офіс Генерального прокурора confirms the drone attack on the bus and initiates war crimes investigation. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак reports Russian FPV drone and artillery attacks in Nikopol district. Олександр Вілкул, citing the Ukrainian General Staff, reports significant Russian personnel and equipment losses on the front. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming the downing of a Russian Ka-52 helicopter with an FPV drone and claims to have captured a Russian servicemember and that airborne forces destroyed a Russian crossing and claims a strike on the Pokrovsk direction resulted in 127 Russian casualties. РБК-Україна reports criminal cases against blogger Anna Alkhim and Ukraine lost an F-16. They also report on the bus attack in Sumy Oblast. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on veteran health and rehabilitation efforts and promotes the "Bayda" youth movement and reports on power outages and reports 3 women injured in Orikhiv from a drone attack and announces an air raid alert. Олександр Вілкул reports on direct assistance to military units and humanitarian aid. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇺🇦 reports damage to the railway station building in Kherson from shelling and expresses outrage over the bus attack and is fundraising. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on the criminal proceedings against the blogger. Oleg Syniehubov reports on attending a justice forum in Kharkiv Oblast. ASTRA reports Russian shelling and fire in Kherson and shares photos and information on the bus attack, identifying victims as evacuating elderly women. They also report accusations of sexual offenses against minors by Russian military personnel and reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call explicitly stated Trump's call for an immediate ceasefire. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces are destroying Russian equipment in Belgorod Oblast with drones and reports on the bus attack and is fundraising and reports on Rubio's statement. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports on the situation in Torske, citing the commander of the 63rd Brigade. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing a Ukrainian FPV drone strike on Russian personnel carrying ammunition on the Pokrovsk direction and highlights Russian vehicle losses to Ukrainian kamikaze drones and reports on a scandal regarding burial of Russian servicemembers and shares video preview discussing combination of infantry, UAVs, and robotic systems. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video showing Ukrainian Marine operators demonstrating counter-drone tactics and reports on the bus attack. He also reports Ukrainian forces stopped a Russian advance and destroyed equipment near Kupyansk and reports on Rubio's statement. Рыбарь reports civilian casualties in Kherson Oblast due to AFU strikes and Ukrainian drone terror in Belgorod Oblast. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on alleged soldier desertion and reports on Rubio's statement. Zelenskiy / Official and КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) and РБК-Україна report on the fatalities and injuries from the bus attack in Sumy Oblast, with Zelenskyy stating a family was killed and calling for pressure on Russia. STERNENKO also reports on the bus attack with photos and on Rubio's statement. Liveuamap Source reports extensively on frontline clashes yesterday and Russian aviation airstrikes. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports claimed Ukrainian successes and Russian advances in the Kharkiv area. 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України shares a video highlighting their FPV drone work and includes recruitment/fundraising info. Привид Хортиці shares a video showcasing their drone strikes and includes fundraising/joining info. Олексій Білошицький shares photos of Ukrainian infantry on positions in Toretsk. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi's claim of significant Russian equipment losses since the start of the year. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video with sarcastic commentary on Russian losses. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, ASTRA, Офіс Генерального прокурора, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак, Олександр Вілкул, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Олег Синєгубов, STERNENKO, ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Рыбарь, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Zelenskiy / Official, КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація), Liveuamap Source, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України, Привид Хортиці, Олексій Білошицький, РБК-Україна)
Russia: Conducting intense ground assaults across multiple fronts, claiming tactical successes and liberation of settlements. Employing extensive air strikes with guided bombs, artillery, and MLRS. Utilizing a high number of kamikaze and other types of drones, including Lancet loitering munitions, for various tactical engagements. Undergoing changes in high-level command structure. Relying in part on public donations for equipment. Engaging in extensive information operations and propaganda. Experiencing casualties from mines and potentially significant losses, with concerns raised about the handling of fallen soldiers' burials. Maintaining a stance in negotiations that emphasizes previous agreements and rejects a ceasefire as a precondition. Participating in a large-scale body exchange and preparing for a prisoner exchange. Claiming advancements in "Geran" drone technology. Conducting infrastructure projects in some regions. Maintaining close military ties with Belarus. Accusing British authorities of trying to derail negotiations. Conducting internal security operations. Recruiting for new drone units. Claiming liberation of Volnoye Pole and completion of clearing Bogatyr. Utilizing naval special forces with new drone capabilities. Claiming the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from a Ukrainian drone. Claiming destruction of Ukrainian drone launchers and strongpoints, and Ukrainian equipment (BMP-1, MaxxPro, SAU «Гвоздика», Gazel, pickup trucks, mortars, UAV control points, Baba Yaga drones). Capturing Ukrainian servicemembers. Experiencing overcrowding and reported death at a Moscow migration center. Facing allegations of sexual offenses against minors by military personnel in occupied territories. Russian forces conducted numerous assaults across multiple axes yesterday, including Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Sieversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, and in Kursk region. Colonelcassad reports on the laying down of a new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship in Russia and showcases new Russian ground reconnaissance drones and shares photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants in Shadrinsk. Two Russian military bloggers provide a summary of the morning situation, reporting Russian advances in Sumy Oblast (Bilovody and surrounding areas) and on the Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Southern Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions (Mala Tokmachka, brick factory). They also report Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk border, ongoing battles, and Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment and infantry with FABs, artillery, and drones. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 434 Russian strikes, including aviation, drone, MLRS, and artillery, on 15 settlements within the past day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast using FAB-1500 and other means, claiming no civilian casualties. Сливочный каприз reports a Russian advance of 3 km near Раздольное towards Отрадное near Velyka Novosilka and reports capture of Александрополь. Басурин о главном shares a video likely showcasing the downing of a Ukrainian drone. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of Russian UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards northern Sumy Oblast and enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast heading towards southern Sumy and northern Kharkiv Oblasts and reports various Russian drone movements across Ukrainian oblasts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports claimed Ukrainian successes and Russian advances in the Kharkiv area and reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth. Alex Parker Returns shares an information operation piece related to Russia. ТАСС reports over 160 agricultural enterprises in Kursk Oblast have been affected by Ukrainian attacks, with estimated damage of 90 billion rubles. Mash на Донбассе reports the body of a seven-year-old girl was found in Berdyansk. Colonelcassad reports on a group of volunteers departing from Grozny airport for the conflict zone after special training. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on a "suicidal" Russian assault with significant casualties. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА details claimed Russian advances and Ukrainian losses on the Konstantinovka direction, emphasizing combined arms tactics and claiming destruction of Ukrainian hexacopters by Russian sniper-reconnaissance teams. Старше Эдды reports the detention of a migrant in Voronezh for allegedly desecrating a war memorial. Colonelcassad is fundraising for consumables needed for training in countering enemy drones. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Colonelcassad, MoD Russia, Воин DV, Alex Parker Returns, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Народная милиция ДНР, Басурин о главном, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, Военкор Котенок, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Рыбарь, Два майора, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, Liveuamap Source, Старше Эдды, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Сливочный каприз, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Mash на Донбассе)
Third-Party Involvement: Turkey is playing a facilitating role in potential negotiations and proposed a prisoner exchange in three categories. The US is engaging in diplomatic efforts, including the trilateral meeting and separate discussions with the Russian delegation. Speculation continues regarding former US President Trump's potential involvement. NATO members are providing military aid to Ukraine, including potentially Polish MiG-29s. The Czech Republic is cooperating with Ukraine on reconstruction and medical support. The UN is involved in welcoming talks and offering support for peace efforts. France is conducting a large-scale naval exercise, adapting to modern drone threats. Diplomatic interactions involving Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Turkey are noted. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has arrived in Rome and met with Canadian Prime Minister Marc Carney. WarGonzo reports that Moldova and Germany have signed an agreement for the placement of a German military "consultative group" in Moldova. ASTRA reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call explicitly stated Trump's call for an immediate ceasefire and a US peace plan. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна also report on Rubio's statement emphasizing the US peace plan and the time to end the war. Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and STERNENKO also report on Rubio's statement. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS and Patriot missiles in Europe. Два майора reports on French military exercises focusing on amphibious operations with multiple international participants. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports, citing Reuters, that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un called on the army to better "prepare for war," and includes a critical remark towards South Korea for not providing 155-mm shells to Ukraine. (ТАСС, Reuters, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ, ASTRA, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Два майора, Воин DV, Старше Эдды, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак, UN, CNN, Басурин о главном, Alex Parker Returns, Kotsnews, РБК-Україна, WarGonzo, STERNENKO, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Equipment and Tactics: Continued extensive use of drones by both sides, including "Geran," FPV drones, and reportedly "Baba Yaga," aircraft-type, and quadcopters. Employment of guided aerial bombs (FAB-3000, KABs), artillery, MLRS, and MANPADS. Use of boats for sabotage and reconnaissance (previously). Potential use of ATVs by Ukrainian infantry (targeted by Russian drones, previously). Poddubny emphasizes the enemy's (likely Ukrainian) extensive use of heavy drones capable of carrying significant payloads on the Krasnoarmeysk direction and the priority of destroying them (previously). STERNENKO highlights the effectiveness and cost-efficiency of using FPV interceptors to down Russian Shahed drones (previously). TSAPLIЕNKO_UKRAINE FIGHTS highlights the effectiveness of Igla MANPADS (previously). Dva Mayora reports on Ukrainian SSO tactics and equipment in Kursk, mentioning they are trained by Western instructors (previously). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА highlights the use of FPV drones for targeting enemy personnel and demonstrates the features and capabilities of a captured American Mark 19 automatic grenade launcher and compares it to the Russian AGS-17 (previously). The Russian Ministry of Defense highlights the effectiveness of Msta-S self-propelled howitzers, and mentions the use of tube artillery and cluster ammunition by Russian forces and the destruction of "Baba Yaga" type heavy UAVs in the liberation of Kotlyarovka, and the use of FPV drones and reconnaissance quadcopters (previously). Dnevnik Desantnika reports that enemy positions in Bilovody are well-fortified (previously). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike. Оперативний ЗСУ showcasing a drone with a grenade launcher. Президентська бригада ЗСУ shares a video from the 4th Battalion claiming successful FPV drone strikes against enemy infantry (previously). Colonelcassad shares a video of a "Solntsepyok" system operating on the Pokrovsk direction (previously). Voin DV reports on Russian units destroying a mortar crew position and an ammunition depot (previously), and claims destruction of a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone and a pickup truck with personnel by FPV drones (previously). Народная милиция ДНР claims a Ukrainian armored vehicle was damaged by a mine before being destroyed by a FPV drone. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory. Fundraising efforts for drones and signal amplifiers are ongoing within Russia, with Colonelcassad reporting funds collected for 62 motorcycles and transmission of 30 vehicles. Russian military bloggers claim increasing reports of destroyed Ukrainian equipment in the Kharkiv direction due to drone use. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' tactics near Bogatyr, including swift assaults and drone use. WarGonzo shares an anecdotal story about using a spoon to start a tank. The Russian Ministry of Defense daily briefing claims liberation of Mirolyubovka and details alleged Ukrainian losses. Colonelcassad shares a video from a captured Ukrainian phone allegedly showing brutal treatment of a Ukrainian soldier by his comrades in Kursk Oblast, likely intended to portray disarray in Ukrainian ranks. Colonelcassad reports on finding weapon caches in DPR, claiming they are for Ukrainian sabotage groups and include NATO-style weapons. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and a strongpoint in the Sumy region, a strongpoint in the Chernihiv region, a 120-mm mortar in Progress, an enemy temporary deployment point in Bachevsk, personnel in Mkhy, personnel at MA PP "Krest," an armored fighting vehicle in Loknya, and a communication tower with EW in Kamenskaya Sloboda. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction. STERNENKO shares a video claiming to show the downing of four Russian reconnaissance drones (Zala and Supercam) in the Sumy border region. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," using the term "ludolov" (man-catcher) which is a derogatory term used by Russian sources for Ukrainian recruiters, implying resistance to mobilization. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, describing the use of artillery and drones by both sides. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of UAV interceptor operators from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups of forces, claiming they are effectively destroying heavy Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters with FPV drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two strikes in Kramatorsk and three strikes in Mykolaiv (one in the suburb), one in Odesa, and two in Vinnytsia (one on a military training center, the other under investigation), indicating Russian targeting of military and logistical assets. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy is using a large amount of equipment in assaults on the Novopavlivka direction. Воин DV reports that fierce battles continue in the village of Bogatyr, with the enemy (Ukrainian forces) using a large number of FPV drones to slow down Russian advances. Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area, with Russian forward positions coming under Ukrainian shelling and Russian claims of limited advances. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video and appeals for donations for the acquisition of drones for special forces units, showcasing footage of drones in use. MoD Russia shares a video showcasing the work of FPV drone teams of the "Rubikon" Center in eliminating Ukrainian assets. Басурин о главном provides commentary on the war, comparing US and Ukrainian military capabilities. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a report about the creation of a new center in Germany by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin for the production of precision missiles (GMLRS, ATACMS, Hellfire). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by FPV interceptors in the South. Rybar reports on Russian advances in the Andreevskoe direction, detailing tactical movements and contested areas. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a compilation of drone strikes by the "Svyatogor" battalion on Ukrainian equipment and shelters. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS, highlighting successful tactical operations. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 84 enemy attacks as of 16:00 across multiple directions. WarGonzo reports on the development of a new Russian FPV drone-transformer called "Vobla" by soldiers of the 18th Army group, capable of carrying up to 7 kg. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces using FPV interceptors. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and an Uragan-1 MLRS, likely involving drone reconnaissance or targeting. MoD Russia shares a video claiming an FPV drone team neutralized a Ukrainian BTR-3DA armored personnel carrier in the Krasny Liman direction. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on the modernization of Ukrainian "Grad" MLRS using Western chassis and components. Colonelcassad shares photos of an exhibition of captured Western military equipment in Ufa, showcasing a variety of NATO-supplied vehicles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video alleging Russian mistreatment of Russian soldiers in a cistern in the Kherson direction, potentially related to disciplinary issues or refusal to fight. The Russian Ministry of Defense has released a video showing EOD specialists clearing mines in the Kharkiv direction, claiming they were laid by enemy UAVs at night, highlighting the use of mines and counter-mine tactics. Олег Синєгубов reports a Russian "Molniya" type UAV strike in the Kholodnohirskyi district of Kharkiv, indicating the specific use of this type of UAV. Военкор Котенок claims that units of the "Vostok" Group of Forces have advanced southwest of Bogatyr towards Otradnoe in the Novopavlivka direction, suggesting a continued reliance on infantry and possibly armored assaults in this area. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces are increasingly recruiting foreign gamers as drone operators, particularly from Western countries, citing dissatisfaction with Trump's policies as a driver. A controversial mural in the Moscow Oblast, depicting a soldier, was painted over following local complaints that the image was also used by Ukrainian forces, including the Azov battalion, and was allegedly AI-generated, highlighting the complexities of symbolism, propaganda, and the use of AI in military messaging. Russian military bloggers are promoting t-shirts with nationalistic or potentially provocative slogans and symbols, indicating continued information operations and attempts to garner support. STERNENKO shares a video from the 71st Separate Jaeger Brigade claiming to have destroyed 10 Russian personnel on the Novopavlivka direction, likely using combined tactics. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukraine's HUR showcasing the launch of long-range drones and missiles, highlighting the use of standoff weapons. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian positions on the Southern Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on the Soledar direction. MoD Russia and Старше Эдды report the liberation of Myroliubivka in Donetsk People's Republic. Mash на Донбассе shares a video featuring a Russian serviceman from the Pokrovsk direction discussing the capture of Kotlyarovka, claiming it was achieved with 12 men on 6 motorcycles. Президентська бригада ЗСУ shares a video of the first combat use of a drone with a grenade launcher on the Novopavlivka direction, demonstrating the integration of drone and direct fire capabilities. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming successful destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment using drones in Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the work of "Rubikon" drone operators on the Donetsk Direction, with a list of alleged targets including various Ukrainian equipment and positions. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces used an FPV drone to hit a vehicle and then finish off a Russian soldier, illustrating a specific FPV drone engagement. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down three Russian Zala UAVs (including a Zala Z-20), showcasing successful air defense tactics. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for equipment, including motorcycles and drone detectors. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming to show Russian air defense (Igla MANPADS) destroying targets on the Soledar direction. STERNENKO shares a video from the 1st Motorized Infantry Battalion of the 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade claiming to have destroyed a Russian Impuls-M ground robotic platform with a new combat module on the Donetsk direction. Сергій Лисак reports Russian attacks on Nikopol district and Novopavlivka community using FPV drones, a kamikaze drone, and artillery. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from the Third Assault Brigade claiming successful strikes and destruction of Russian vehicles and a ground robotic platform on the Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video and photo claiming the destruction of various Western vehicles by Russian "Rubikon" drone operators. TASS reports, citing "siloviki", that Ukrainian units are suffering colossal losses in the areas of Bilovody, Loknya, and Vodolagi in Sumy Oblast, and that Ukrainian reserves are regularly destroyed. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian assets in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russian military bloggers are reporting the Ukrainian Armed Forces are forming a new 16th Army Corps. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation. Олександр Вілкул reports on significant aid sent from Kryvyi Rih to the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade and the 21st Brigade of the National Guard, including pickups, charging stations, and equipment. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports a total of 128 combat engagements across all fronts over the past day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russian offensive actions on the Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Prydniprovskyi, and Kursk directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports repelling Russian attacks on the Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports claimed Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction (324 personnel neutralized, 159 irrecoverably) and claimed destruction or damage of various Russian equipment. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video promoting a new tactical AK belt from "Moskit," highlighting ongoing production and availability of military equipment. Colonelcassad reports on the exhibition of new Russian RPL-7 and RPL-20 light machine guns by Kalashnikov Concern. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing Russian drone operators deflecting attacks by Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels ("bezэkipazhnykh katerov") belonging to the "Vosmerka" squad. РБК-Україна shares a video showcasing Ukrainian forces intercepting various Russian drones, including "Molniya-2", Zala Z-16, Supercam S350, and "Orlan-10". Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, highlighting the ongoing need for equipment. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares photos of an artillery piece firing. Russia claims advances in the DPR after the truce. Russian Ministry of Defense reports Russian Defense Minister Belousov is on a working visit to Belarus. Russian military bloggers report on ongoing fighting in the Kupyansk direction, with mutual artillery and drone activity. Russian military bloggers report that on the Zaporizhzhia direction, Russian forces have taken five enemy strongholds. They detail tactics used by both sides, including extensive use of FPV drones, "Baba Yaga" drones, and mine-laying by drones. Russian military bloggers report on the situation in the Novodanilivka and Mala Tokmachka areas, claiming Russian advances and control of a brick factory in Mala Tokmachka. Russian military bloggers provide a summary of Russian Air Force activity on the Zaporizhzhia direction, claiming strikes against Ukrainian positions, temporary deployment points, drone assembly sites, ammunition depots, command posts, and other targets. Russian military bloggers highlight losses of Russian soldiers in the Toretsk area, reporting that most are destroyed by drones and artillery before reaching Ukrainian positions. Russian military bloggers claim that units of the 36th Combined Arms Army used artillery to strike two UAV control points and a temporary deployment point, and FPV drones destroyed a retransmitter antenna, a "MAXX PRO" armored vehicle, and two pickup trucks, disrupting troop rotation. Russian military bloggers report on ongoing fighting in the Kupyansk direction, with mutual artillery and drone activity. Russian military bloggers report that on the Zaporizhzhia direction, daily works barrel artillery in two-sided order. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video claiming destruction of a Ukrainian mortar and mortar crew by artillery fire. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports mutual artillery work on the Kupyansk direction. ISW assesses that Russian forces are pressing and advancing in the Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Pokrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions. ISW maps indicate Russian advances and significant fighting in the Novopavlivka, Donetsk, Toretsk, Zaporizhzhia, Belgorod, Sumy, Luhansk, and Kherson directions. Colonelcassad reports on the laying down of a new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship in Russia and showcases new Russian ground reconnaissance drones. Two Russian military bloggers provide a summary of the morning situation, reporting Russian advances in Sumy Oblast (Bilovody and surrounding areas) and on the Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Southern Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions (Mala Tokmachka, brick factory). They also report Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk border, ongoing battles, and Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment and infantry with FABs, artillery, and drones. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 434 Russian strikes, including aviation, drone, MLRS, and artillery, on 15 settlements within the past day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast using FAB-1500 and other means. Сливочный каприз reports a Russian advance of 3 km near Раздольное towards Отрадное near Velyka Novosilka and reports capture of Александрополь. Басурин о главном shares a video likely showcasing the downing of a Ukrainian drone. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of Russian UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards northern Sumy Oblast, a group in northern Kharkiv Oblast heading south, a group in southern Kharkiv Oblast heading north, "Shaheds" in eastern Poltava Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast, "Shaheds" in eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast heading west, and "Shaheds" in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast heading towards Zaporizhzhia city and enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast heading towards southern Sumy and northern Kharkiv Oblasts and reports various Russian drone movements across Ukrainian oblasts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports claimed Ukrainian successes and Russian advances in the Kharkiv area and reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth. Alex Parker Returns shares an information operation piece related to Russia. ТАСС reports over 160 agricultural enterprises in Kursk Oblast have been affected by Ukrainian attacks, with estimated damage of 90 billion rubles. Mash на Донбассе reports the body of a seven-year-old girl was found in Berdyansk. Colonelcassad reports on a group of volunteers departing from Grozny airport for the conflict zone after special training. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on a "suicidal" Russian assault with significant casualties. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi's claim of significant Russian equipment losses since the start of the year. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА details claimed Russian advances and Ukrainian losses on the Konstantinovka direction, emphasizing combined arms tactics and claiming destruction of Ukrainian hexacopters by Russian sniper-reconnaissance teams. Олексій Білошицький shares photos of Ukrainian infantry on positions in Toretsk. Colonelcassad is fundraising for consumables needed for training in countering enemy drones. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS and Patriot missiles in Europe. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video with sarcastic commentary on Russian losses. (23:11, 23:14, 23:19, 23:24, 23:25, 23:27, 23:30, 00:00, 00:06, 00:11, 00:45, 00:51, 01:02, 01:04, 01:03, 01:40, 02:03, 02:06, 02:33, 02:34, 03:02, 03:26, 03:33, Colonelcassad, Два майора, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Сливочный каприз, Басурин о главном, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Alex Parker Returns, ТАСС, Mash на Донбассе, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, РБК-Україна, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Олексій Білошицький, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

The continued widespread and dynamic Russian drone activity across multiple Ukrainian oblasts, as detailed in the latest reports and confirmed by the Ukrainian Air Force, remains a significant strategic challenge for Ukraine. This persistent aerial threat necessitates the sustained operation and adaptation of air defense systems across the entire country and suggests Russian efforts to maintain pressure, gather intelligence, or target infrastructure beyond the immediate front lines. The constant course changes of drones highlight adaptive Russian tactics, requiring flexible countermeasures. The continued detailed tracking of numerous drone groups, with specific directions and potential targets like Starokostiantyniv (potentially an airfield), indicates a continued focus on degrading infrastructure and military assets across a broad area. The further reported movements and locations of remaining drones in various oblasts provide real-time intelligence on the ongoing aerial threat and necessitate continuous air defense posture. The reports of widespread Russian "Geran" drone strikes overnight on multiple Ukrainian oblasts, including Odesa, Kharkiv, Chernihiv, Cherkasy, Vinnytsia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Poltava, indicate a broad and coordinated Russian aerial campaign targeting various regions. The reports of new groups of Russian UAVs heading towards Dnipropetrovsk/Poltava and Kyiv Oblasts further emphasize the dynamic nature of the Russian aerial threat and the need for continuous air defense posture across central Ukraine. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations, highlighting Russian strategic efforts to counter Ukrainian drone superiority.
The Russian claim of their UAV operators pressuring Ukrainian forces from the flanks in the village of Volne Pole in southern Donetsk Oblast, if accurate, suggests localized tactical gains and highlights the strategic importance of drones in shaping the ground combat situation. While the scale of this claim needs verification, it points to the continued Russian objective of making incremental advances in Donetsk. The ISW assessment of Ukrainian advances on the Pokrovsk direction is a significant strategic development, indicating Ukraine's capability to conduct offensive operations and potentially regain territory in a key area of intense combat. Conversely, the ISW assessment of Russian forces pressing and advancing in the Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Pokrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions highlights the continued strategic pressure applied by Russia on multiple fronts and indicates ongoing tactical successes that contribute to their broader strategic objectives. The maps provided by RBC-Ukraine offer crucial visual context for understanding the assessed front lines, areas of advances, fortifications, and locations of significant fighting. Two Russian military bloggers claiming Russian forces are enveloping a large Ukrainian defensive pocket near Aleksandropol - Staraya Nikolaevka - Romanovka on the Konstantinovka direction, and reporting battles for Mirolyubovka and surrounding areas on the Pokrovsk direction with encirclement near Ekaterinovka, and advances near Bogatyr and Volne Pole on the Southern Donetsk direction, and advances and capture of a brick factory near Mala Tokmachka on the Zaporizhzhia front, if verified, indicate significant strategic gains for Russia in multiple key areas of the front and a potential shift in momentum in their favor in these specific sectors. This information is crucial for understanding the evolving ground situation and allocating resources accordingly. Оперативний ЗСУ claiming a strike on the Pokrovsk direction resulted in 127 Russian casualties, if accurate, represents a significant strategic blow to Russian forces in this key area. Сливочный каприз reporting a Russian advance of 3 km near Раздольное towards Отрадное near Velyka Novosilka and capture of Александрополь, if verified, signifies strategic gains in the South Donetsk and Horlivka areas respectively. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА details claimed Russian advances and Ukrainian losses on the Konstantinovka direction, emphasizing combined arms tactics, which supports the Russian strategic narrative of making gains.
The stated intention by German Chancellor Merz for the EU to adopt a new package of sanctions against Russia on May 20th, linked to the outcome of potential negotiations and Putin's actions, represents a clear strategic use of economic pressure as leverage in the diplomatic process. This puts additional pressure on Russia to engage in meaningful talks or face further economic consequences. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by German company Rheinmetall and American Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS and Patriot missiles in Europe, which has significant strategic implications for Ukraine's long-term military capabilities and European defense.
The detailed reporting of Russian strikes on civilian areas in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day highlights the strategic objective of degrading civilian infrastructure and impacting the population, potentially to undermine morale and support for the Ukrainian government. The scale and variety of attacks underscore the intensity of Russian efforts in this region. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reporting 434 Russian strikes on 15 settlements within the past day, including aviation, drone, MLRS, and artillery strikes, further emphasizes the intensity and scale of Russian efforts to degrade civilian infrastructure and impact the population in this region. While no civilian casualties are reported in this specific message, the damage to residential and other structures highlights the continued humanitarian impact and strategic objective of pressuring the civilian population. The report of 3 women injured in Orikhiv from a drone attack further highlights the ongoing impact on civilians in frontline areas. Mash на Донбассе reporting the body of a seven-year-old girl was found in Berdyansk is a tragic incident that highlights the dangerous environment in occupied territories.
The Ukrainian Naval Forces report of minimal Russian naval presence in the Black and Azov Seas as of 06:00 on May 17th is a significant strategic intelligence update. This could influence Ukrainian maritime strategy, including potential efforts to open shipping lanes or conduct operations in these areas, while still considering the threat from the Mediterranean and the consistent Kerch Strait activity. The Ukrainian Navy and General Staff confirming no Russian missile carriers in the Black and Azov Seas as of 06:00 on May 17, 2025, is a key strategic intelligence update, potentially impacting Ukrainian maritime operations and defensive posture in these areas. The continued presence of a Kalibr carrier in the Mediterranean poses a strategic threat from a different direction, and the ongoing transit of vessels through the Kerch Strait remains strategically relevant for monitoring Russian logistics. Два майора reports on French military exercises focusing on amphibious operations with multiple international participants, indicating that NATO is adapting to modern naval warfare tactics.
The Russian military blogger's attempt to frame a strike on Sumy as a successful military action on a tank repair base is a strategic information operation aimed at controlling the narrative around Russian strikes and countering Ukrainian claims of targeting civilian objects. This highlights the importance of verifying information from all sources. The report of Russia attacking a regular bus near Bilopillia in Sumy Oblast, with casualties, is a significant incident with humanitarian implications and highlights the continued risk to civilians in border regions. This will likely be used in Ukrainian strategic messaging to highlight Russian aggression. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claiming Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast, including using a FAB-1500 and aviation bombs and destroying a group of drone operators and a DRG gathering point, and claiming no civilian casualties, is presented as a counter-narrative and information operation to deflect blame for the attack on the civilian bus.
The renewed air raid alert and ballistic missile threat in Zaporizhzhia Oblast underscored the continued strategic threat posed by Russian missile capabilities, requiring ongoing vigilance and readiness for air defense responses. The clearing of this alert is a temporary relief. The announcement of an air raid alert across the entire Zaporizhzhia Oblast indicates a potential widespread threat of Russian aerial attack in the region, necessitating prompt defensive measures.
The loss of a Ukrainian F-16 aircraft, while unfortunate, provides valuable operational data for strategic analysis of both Ukrainian air defense effectiveness and potential vulnerabilities of the aircraft or tactics employed. The successful recovery of the pilot is a positive outcome for training and future operational planning. РБК-Україна reports Ukraine lost an F-16.
The intense Russian shelling and drone attacks on civilian areas in Nikopol and the Marhanets community in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast are a clear strategic effort to pressure and terrorize the civilian population and potentially disrupt vital infrastructure. This highlights the ongoing targeting of civilian areas as a Russian tactic.
Russian claims of destroying Ukrainian equipment and strongholds on the border and in the Southern Donetsk direction are part of their strategic narrative to demonstrate military effectiveness and territorial gains. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reporting claimed Ukrainian successes and Russian advances in the Kharkiv area, including the destruction of Ukrainian equipment and the claimed clearing of houses in Vovchansk, contributes to this narrative.
Russian commentary on the potential for negotiations in Istanbul and the legitimacy of the process, as reported by TASS, is a strategic effort to shape the diplomatic narrative and potentially influence international perceptions of the conflict and its potential resolution. Two Russian military bloggers highlighting the ongoing negotiations in Istanbul in their morning summary, emphasizing Kyiv's demands and Moscow's conditions, is part of the broader strategic information operation surrounding these talks. ASTRA reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call explicitly stated Trump's call for an immediate ceasefire and a US peace plan, which was not in the Russian account, highlighting the differing narratives and potential obstacles to negotiation. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна and Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and STERNENKO also reporting on Rubio's statement emphasizing the US peace plan and the time to end the war underscores the strategic importance of this diplomatic messaging. Kotsnews shares satirical commentary about the appearance of the Ukrainian delegation, aiming to mock and undermine them.
The award given to a Russian documentary film about the conflict is a strategic information operation aimed at shaping narratives, bolstering domestic support, and potentially influencing international perceptions of the conflict and Russian military personnel.
The ISW assessment of both Ukrainian advances on the Pokrovsk direction and Russian advances on multiple directions (Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Pokrovsk, Zaporizhzhia) provides a critical and potentially more objective strategic overview of the current battlefield dynamics than the often-conflicting claims from the belligerents themselves. This comprehensive assessment is crucial for informed strategic decision-making.
The report of delays for several Ukrainian trains on the Uzhhorod - Kyiv and Uzhhorod - Zaporizhzhia routes, even due to technical work, can have minor strategic implications by potentially impacting the movement of personnel or supplies, although the scale of the impact depends on the duration and capacity of alternative routes.
The claim by two Russian military bloggers of a Ukrainian drone strike on an ammunition depot in Perevalne, Crimea, if confirmed, represents a strategic objective for Ukraine to target Russian military infrastructure in occupied territory. This would likely be used by Russia for strategic messaging to justify further actions and frame Ukraine as unwilling to de-escalate.
The report by two Russian military bloggers of intense combat and three unsuccessful Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Tetkino direction (Kursk border) highlights a significant strategic focus by Ukraine on challenging Russian control in border regions, potentially to divert resources or create pressure. The reported Ukrainian drone and artillery strikes targeting civilian infrastructure in this area also have strategic implications for impacting the Russian civilian population and potentially creating internal pressure. ТАСС reporting over 160 agricultural enterprises in Kursk Oblast have been affected by Ukrainian attacks, with estimated damage of 90 billion rubles, highlights the significant economic impact of Ukrainian cross-border actions. Оперативний ЗСУ shares information on claimed economic damage to Kursk Oblast agriculture from Ukrainian attacks, originating from a region bordering Sumy Oblast, which aligns with this strategic consideration.
Two Russian military bloggers claiming Russian advances in Sumy Oblast (Bilovody and surrounding areas), if verified, would represent a strategic gain for Russia in this northern border region, potentially expanding the conflict zone and putting pressure on new areas.
The report by two Russian military bloggers of civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast from Ukrainian drone and artillery strikes highlights the strategic targeting of Russian border regions and the resulting humanitarian impact. This will likely be used by Russia for strategic messaging to portray Ukraine as targeting civilians.
The reports by two Russian military bloggers of Russian advances on the Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Southern Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions, with claims of enveloping Ukrainian positions and capturing key locations, if verified, indicate strategic progress for Russia in multiple critical areas of the front. This suggests a renewed or sustained Russian offensive effort with potential for significant territorial gains. Оперативний ЗСУ claiming a strike on the Pokrovsk direction resulted in 127 Russian casualties, if accurate, represents a significant strategic blow to Russian forces in this key area. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА details claimed Russian advances and Ukrainian losses on the Konstantinovka direction, supporting this strategic point.
The report by two Russian military bloggers of civilian fatalities and shelling of settlements in Kherson Oblast from alleged Ukrainian strikes has strategic implications for the information war and could be used by Russia to portray Ukraine negatively.
Colonelcassad reporting on the laying down of a new mine countermeasures ship in Russia has strategic implications for Russia's long-term naval capabilities and modernization efforts. Showcasing new Russian ground reconnaissance drones highlights adaptation and technological development in reconnaissance tactics. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations, which is strategically relevant to Russia's efforts to counter Ukrainian drone superiority.
Operation Z: Russian Spring War Correspondents sharing a video promoting a Russian series framed as propaganda against abortion and about saving children's lives indicates a strategic effort to address internal social issues and potentially bolster the Russian population, which is relevant in the context of a protracted conflict and potential demographic challenges.
The reports of accusations of sexual offenses against minors by Russian military personnel in occupied territories are strategically significant from a humanitarian and information warfare perspective. Such reports, regardless of verification, can severely damage the image of Russian forces and be used by Ukraine and its allies to highlight alleged human rights abuses, influencing international opinion and potentially impacting the legitimacy of Russian control over occupied areas.
The Israeli military operation in the Gaza Strip signifies a major geopolitical event that draws international attention and resources, potentially impacting the broader strategic landscape and the focus of international actors.
The reported strategic targeting of a Ukrainian air detection radar by an Iskander-M missile near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, if confirmed, aims to degrade Ukraine's air defense capabilities in that area.
The reported deployment of "Aidar" fighters by Ukrainian forces near the border with Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, as claimed by Russian sources, suggests a potential increase in Ukrainian military presence and activity in this region, which could lead to increased Russian military focus and potential engagements.
Alleged corruption in Ukrainian arms procurement, as highlighted by Russian sources citing Financial Times, is strategically significant as it attempts to undermine international confidence in Ukraine's ability to effectively utilize military aid, which could potentially impact the level and flow of future military assistance.
The movements of new groups of Russian drones towards Chernihiv and Khmelnytskyi Oblasts are strategically significant as they indicate Russia's continued and potentially expanding efforts to strike targets in different regions of Ukraine, requiring a broad and adaptable Ukrainian air defense posture.
The reported presence of a Turkish military ship and a cargo ship from Istanbul in the Odesa port, with military personnel and potentially significant military cargo being unloaded, is strategically significant as it suggests continued international support for Ukraine through military aid and logistical deliveries.
The announcement of the first Russian-Arab summit in Cairo is a significant diplomatic development indicating Russia's efforts to strengthen ties with the Arab world, which could have implications for its international standing and potential support on the global stage.
The commencement of direct negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul is a crucial strategic development, opening a potential path for de-escalation, although the maximalist Russian demands and Russia's refusal of a ceasefire as a precondition indicate significant challenges in reaching a settlement.
The claimed Russian advance near Velyka Novosilka and capture of Александрополь represents claimed strategic gains in the South Donetsk and Horlivka areas respectively. Сливочный каприз reports a Russian advance of 3 km near Раздольное towards Отрадное near Velyka Novosilka, which supports this.
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's diplomatic engagements in Rome, meeting with the Canadian Prime Minister, highlight continued high-level efforts to garner international support. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS confirms this meeting.
The agreement for a German military "consultative group" in Moldova is a significant international strategic development in a country bordering Ukraine, indicating increased Western military engagement and potential strengthening of Moldova's defense capabilities. WarGonzo reports on this agreement.
The reported increased casualties in Orikhiv from a Russian drone attack and the air raid alert across Zaporizhzhia Oblast highlight the continued impact of Russian attacks on civilians and the need for continued vigilance and air defense. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports increased casualties and an air raid alert.
The report of a child's body found in Berdyansk is a tragic incident that underscores the dangerous environment in occupied territories. Mash на Донбассе reports on this.
Colonelcassad sharing photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants in Shadrinsk and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reporting on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth are strategic efforts to commemorate military actions and bolster national identity and support for the conflict.
Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reporting claimed Ukrainian successes and Russian advances in the Kharkiv area provides a Ukrainian perspective on claimed military successes and losses in this key area.
46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України and Привид Хортиці highlighting their FPV drone work and including recruitment and fundraising information demonstrates Ukrainian adaptation of tactics and ongoing efforts to acquire personnel and resources, which are strategically important for sustaining the conflict.
The confirmation of the upcoming Putin-Trump phone conversation on May 19th is a significant strategic development as it involves a direct conversation between the leaders of two major global powers and will likely touch upon the conflict in Ukraine. РБК-Україна, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Новости Москвы, Alex Parker Returns, and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS confirm this.
БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reporting on a "suicidal" Russian assault with significant casualties highlights claimed ineffective Russian tactics and substantial losses, which is strategically relevant for understanding the cost and potential effectiveness of Russian ground operations.
РБК-Україна reporting Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi's claim of significant Russian equipment losses since the start of the year is a strategic message aimed at highlighting the effectiveness of Ukrainian forces and the attrition of Russian capabilities.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS and Patriot missiles in Europe, which is a significant strategic development for increasing the supply of key missile systems to Ukraine and bolstering European defense.
Два майора reports on French military exercises focusing on amphibious operations with multiple international participants, highlighting NATO's adaptation of tactics and multinational cooperation.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports, citing Reuters, that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un called on the army to better "prepare for war," which is a significant geopolitical development that could have indirect strategic implications for the global security landscape.
Старше Эдды reports the detention of a migrant in Voronezh for allegedly desecrating a war memorial, highlighting internal Russian social tensions and the political sensitivity surrounding war memorials and migration, which are relevant to domestic stability during the conflict.
Colonelcassad is fundraising for consumables needed for training in countering enemy drones, highlighting the ongoing adaptation to tactical challenges and the role of private initiatives in supporting military training.
Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video with sarcastic commentary on Russian losses and motivation, which is a form of information operation from the Ukrainian side aimed at undermining Russian morale and presenting a narrative of Russian futility.

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

Situation Report