Sitrep 2025-05-17 16:42:36

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 17, 2025, 16:40 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment remains characterized by intense ground combat, particularly in eastern and southern Ukraine, a persistent and geographically widespread Russian aerial offensive employing strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs), and ongoing diplomatic efforts intertwined with conflicting military signals. The latest reporting confirms continued Russian drone activity across numerous Ukrainian oblasts, with specific trajectory details provided by the Ukrainian Air Force, including new groups from Belgorod Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast and movements west and south of Kharkiv moving south, and a group from Zhytomyr Oblast heading towards Khmelnytskyi Oblast. This highlights a dynamic and extensive aerial threat. Repeat launches of guided aerial bombs targeting Donetsk, Sumy, and Kharkiv Oblasts indicate sustained heavy bombardment in these key frontline and border regions. Intense ground fighting persists, notably in Donetsk Oblast and along the Kursk and Sumy border regions, with both sides claiming localized advances and inflicting casualties. A significant and tragic development is the Russian attack on a regular bus near Bilopillia in Sumy Oblast, initially reported with eight fatalities and five injuries, now updated to nine fatalities and four injuries, underscoring the continued impact of the conflict on civilians in border areas and prompting a day of mourning in the Sumy community. Russia claims to have destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs overnight over Kursk and Belgorod Oblasts, indicating ongoing Ukrainian drone activity targeting Russian territory and Russian efforts to counter it. Diplomatic discussions regarding potential negotiations in Istanbul continue, though the observed military actions, such as claimed Russian advances and ongoing heavy fighting, create a complex and potentially contradictory backdrop. Internal Russian issues, including military personnel support, legal proceedings, and information operations, remain relevant. Concerns have been raised about the conduct of Russian military personnel in occupied territories, with new reports of accusations of sexual offenses against minors in Luhansk and Donetsk Oblasts. The former US Ambassador to Ukraine has reportedly resigned due to disagreements with potential shifts in US policy towards Russia under a hypothetical Trump administration, highlighting potential future political dynamics. External developments, including the Middle East crisis and Russia's planned first Russian-Arab summit in October, are also noted.

Significant new updates from the latest messages include:

Divergent US and Russian Accounts of Rubio-Lavrov Call: ASTRA reports that the US State Department's readout of the phone conversation between Marco Rubio and Sergey Lavrov differs from the Russian Foreign Ministry's account. The US version explicitly states that Rubio emphasized President Trump's call for an immediate ceasefire in Ukraine and an end to the violence, and stated that the US has presented a "strong peace plan." This direct call for a ceasefire and the mention of a US peace plan were not included in the Russian Foreign Ministry's report, which focused on the discussion of the Istanbul negotiations and prisoner exchange. This divergence highlights the different narratives being presented by the US and Russia regarding diplomatic efforts and potential de-escalation. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна also report on Rubio's statement emphasizing the US peace plan and the time to end the war. Colonelcassad also reports on Rubio's statement. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны also reports on Rubio's statement. STERNENKO also reports on Rubio's statement.
Ukrainian Claim of Significant Russian Losses on Pokrovsk Direction: Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video from the "Bulava" UAV unit of the 72nd Separate Mechanized Brigade claiming that a strike on the Pokrovsk direction resulted in the death of 127 Russian soldiers at a landing site. This is a significant claim of Russian casualties in a key area of intense fighting, highlighting the effectiveness of Ukrainian drone operations and potentially indicating a failed Russian attempt at a landing or troop concentration.
Russian Showcase of Ground Reconnaissance Drones: Colonelcassad shares a video highlighting the use of new Russian ground reconnaissance drone complexes. These complexes consist of a transporter vehicle with a trailer that has a retractable mast equipped with a video camera and antenna. The camera can be raised up to five meters and transmits imagery to headquarters for up to eight hours. The video emphasizes that these systems provide intelligence without being visible in the air, potentially surprising Ukrainian forces. This highlights Russian efforts to adapt reconnaissance tactics and utilize ground-based robotic systems.
Internal Russian Societal Commentary/Propaganda: Alex Parker Returns shares a social media exchange where an individual expresses distress about their country becoming a "caricature monster," and a response from an account attributed to Russian Ambassador Mikhail Ulyanov suggests returning to Russia if the situation in "Australia" (or implicitly, the other country) does not improve. This appears to be an instance of Russian information operation aimed at leveraging discontent abroad and portraying Russia as a welcoming place, although the context and authenticity of the initial post are unclear. Alex Parker Returns also shares another post implying a sudden, negative development, but the content of that development is not provided.
Ukrainian Military Thought on Combined Arms: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video preview of an interview with the commander of the "Khartia" Corps, discussing the combination of infantry, UAVs, and ground robotic systems as a recipe for success for the Ukrainian military. This highlights Ukrainian military thinking and adaptation to the evolving nature of warfare, emphasizing the integration of various technologies and force elements for tactical effectiveness.
Claimed Russian Advance near Velyka Novosilka: Сливочный каприз reports on combat operations near Velyka Novosilka and Раздольное, claiming that Russian forces have advanced 3 km near Раздольное in the direction of Отрадное. This is a significant claim of territorial gain in a key area of the South Donetsk direction, indicating continued Russian offensive efforts and potential changes to the front line.
Russian Commemoration of Military Figures: Colonelcassad shares photos from the opening of a monument to participants of the "special military operation" in Shadrinsk, Russia. The monument depicts soldiers and includes emblems of different branches of service. The event included speeches by local officials and a military commander, emphasizing the importance of honoring fallen heroes and supporting those currently serving. This highlights ongoing Russian efforts to commemorate military actions, boost patriotic sentiment, and garner public support for the conflict. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 also reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of the birth of historical military leader A.V. Suvorov in 2030, which is another instance of leveraging historical figures to bolster national identity and military pride.
Continued Russian Strikes and Claims in Sumy Oblast: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims that Russian forces conducted strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast, including using a FAB-1500 guided aerial bomb on military infrastructure in Bilopillia district. He also claims combined strikes (MLRS, artillery, aviation bombs) destroyed four Ukrainian temporary deployment points in Myropillia, including a group of drone operators and a DRG gathering point, and that there were no civilian casualties. This report is presented as a counter-narrative to reports of the attack on the civilian bus in Bilopillia.
Ukrainian Air Force Reports New Drone Group Movements: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of Russian UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards northern Sumy Oblast, a group in northern Kharkiv Oblast heading south, a group in southern Kharkiv Oblast heading north, "Shaheds" in eastern Poltava Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast, "Shaheds" in eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast heading west, and "Shaheds" in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast heading towards Zaporizhzhia city. This indicates dynamic and widespread Russian drone activity across multiple regions.
Economic Losses in Kursk Oblast: ТАСС reports that over 160 agricultural enterprises have been affected in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks, with the damage estimated at 90 billion rubles. This highlights the economic impact of Ukrainian cross-border actions on Russia.
Ukrainian Claim of Russian Losses and Equipment Destruction in Kharkiv Oblast: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (presenting information that appears to be from a Ukrainian source or analysis) reports claimed Ukrainian successes on the Kharkiv direction over the past day, including the destruction of 2 mortars, 5 units of automotive equipment, an ammunition point, 5 UAV launchers, 2 reconnaissance UAVs ("Furia" and "Valkyria"), and 14 heavy copters. He also reports the destruction of several Ukrainian UAV control points and a combat group in the Lyptsi sector and continued fierce battles and claimed advances in the Vovchansk sector, with Russian forces clearing 22 houses and advancing over 160 meters. This report provides a Ukrainian perspective on claimed military successes and losses in the Kharkiv area.
Ukrainian Airborne Brigade Highlights FPV Drone Work: 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України shares a video highlighting the work of their FPV drone operators, claiming dozens of Russian soldiers will not return and emphasizing the accuracy of their strikes. They frame each FPV strike as a "signature under a sentence." The post also includes contact information for recruitment and fundraising, highlighting ongoing efforts to acquire personnel and resources.
Ukrainian Drone Unit Showcases Strikes: Привид Хортиці shares a video showcasing the work of the "Ghosts of Khortytsia" drone unit, claiming they are inflicting devastating strikes on enemy equipment and personnel quietly and maneuverably. The post also includes a link for fundraising for drones and a form for joining the unit, reflecting ongoing efforts to acquire resources and personnel.
Russian Military Blogger Shares FPV Drone Video: Басурин о главном shares a video with the caption "When they told you that you are Icarus, and you believe in it," which appears to be a video showcasing the downing of a drone, likely a Ukrainian one, with the caption likely a sarcastic remark about drone operators.
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's Diplomatic Engagements in Rome: РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has arrived in Rome and met with Canadian Prime Minister Marc Carney. This highlights continued high-level diplomatic engagements by Ukraine to garner international support.
German Military "Consultative Group" in Moldova: WarGonzo reports that Moldova and Germany have signed an agreement for the placement of a German military "consultative group" in Moldova. This is framed by WarGonzo as a step towards deepening partnership and modernizing Moldova's defense system, with a critical undertone referencing historical German military presence and the Moldovan President's past comments. This is a significant international strategic development in a country bordering Ukraine.
Increased Casualties in Orikhiv: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 and РБК-Україна report that the number of injured in Orikhiv from a Russian drone attack has increased to three women (ages 52, 72, and 25), all hospitalized in moderate condition. This updates previous reports and highlights the continued impact of Russian attacks on civilians in frontline areas.
Report of Child's Body Found in Berdyansk: Mash на Донбассе reports that the body of a seven-year-old girl with a head injury was found near a treeline in Berdyansk (occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast). The report states she had gone out to play and did not return. An investigation into the child's murder has been initiated. While not explicitly stated as military-related, this tragic incident highlights the dangerous environment in occupied territories.
Air Raid Alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 has announced an air raid alert across the entire Zaporizhzhia Oblast, urging residents to seek shelter. This indicates a potential threat of Russian aerial attack in the region.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovsk direction, Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Lyman, Bakhmutsky, Ugledarsky, Vremivsky direction, Volnoye Pole, Dzerzhinsk, Romanovka, Staraya Nikolaevka, Kolodezi, Bogatyr, Novoalexandrovka, Alexeevka, Kotlyarovka, Kolona-Mezhevaya, Muravka, Volkovo, Orekhovo, Dachnoye, Verkhnokamyanske, Poltavka, Rusyn Yar, Tarasivka, Mykolaivka, Часів Яр, Lysychansk direction, Mirolyubovka, Torskoye, Konstantinovka, Aleksandropol, Ekaterinovka, Velyka Novosilka, Раздольное, Отрадное): Remains the primary focus of intense ground combat. Ukrainian General Staff reports 83 combat engagements across the front line today, with 22 attempts by Russian forces on the Pokrovsk direction (20 repelled, two ongoing), 16 on the Lyman direction (two ongoing), two on the Siversk direction (repelled), seven on the Kramatorsk direction (two ongoing), 15 on the Toretsk direction (repelled), eight on the Novopavlivka direction (four ongoing), and two on the Orikhiv direction (repelled). Russian forces are reportedly gradually breaking through the defense line near Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk). Russian tactical aviation is launching KABs on Pokrovsk, Filiia, Zvirove, and Dachne, and unguided aerial rockets on Novopil and Vysokyy. An SBU agent assisting Russian advances on the Pokrovsk direction has been detained in the Pokrovsk district. Воин DV reports that units of the 29th Guards Combined Arms Army stopped a Ukrainian counterattack near Bogatyr on the Shakhtyorsk direction, destroying two armored vehicles and claiming the battle for Bogatyr continues with attempts to encircle the central part of the settlement. Воин DV also reports claimed Russian advances in the area of Otradnoye and south of Novopol, with an advance of up to 1.5 km along the front and over 500 meters in depth south of Novopol. Ukrainian losses are estimated at up to 15 personnel in that area. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the liberation of Mirolyubovka and Torskoye. Народная милиция ДНР highlights a Russian rehabilitation center in Amvrosiivka. Mash на Донбассе reports on a local conflict in Donetsk city. Russian military blogger claims the use of FABs near Kirovsk (Zarechnoye) on the Krasnolimansky direction. The forced evacuation zone for families with children has been expanded to include the Lyman and other communities near the front line. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a Russian assault on the Pokrovsk direction. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian PVD in Tarasivka. Poddubny reports continued fighting and Russian advances near Bogatyr. Сливочный каприз reports the destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle near Nikolaevka (Chasiv Yar direction) by FPV drones. Воин DV reports destroying a UAV control point and two "Baba Yaga" drones near Otradnoye. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares an account of a mobilized soldier from Bondarivske (Donetsk Oblast) and conditions in Donetsk city. Ukrainian military spokesperson states Russian summer offensive has begun, impacting this key area. ISW assesses that Ukrainian forces have advanced on the Pokrovsk direction, while Russian forces are pressing in Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Pokrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts, where Russian advances are noted. ISW maps indicate Russian advances and significant fighting in the Novopavlivka, Donetsk, and Toretsk directions. Remaining Russian drone activity reported near Starokon (Khmelnytskyi Oblast), likely related to Starokostiantyniv airfield. Two Russian military bloggers claim Russian forces are enveloping a large Ukrainian defensive pocket near Aleksandropol - Staraya Nikolaevka - Romanovka on the Konstantinovka direction. They also report battles for Mirolyubovka and surrounding areas on the Pokrovsk direction, pressure from Malinivka, encirclement near Ekaterinovka, and battles southwest of Pokrovsk aimed at reaching Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. They report Russian forces consolidating flanks near Bogatyr, clearing the central part of the settlement, and clearing the adjacent territory near the recently captured Volne Pole on the Southern Donetsk direction. Оперативний ЗСУ claims a strike on the Pokrovsk direction resulted in 127 Russian casualties. Сливочный каприз reports a Russian advance of 3 km near Раздольное towards Отрадное near Velyka Novosilka. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, ТАСС, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Воин DV, Народная милиция ДНР, Mash на Донбассе, Два майора, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Сливочный каприз, MoD Russia, ISW, Николаевский Ванёк, 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України, Привид Хортиці)
Sumy Oblast (Sumy, Porozok, Slavhorod, Степок, Dmytrivka, Khliborob, Yunakovka, suburbs of Sumy, Cherneve, Шостка, Недригайлів, Снагость, Білопілля, Bilovody, Velyka Chernetchynyna, Сумщина): Affected by Russian military activity. A Russian missile strike on an industrial infrastructure object in Sumy has resulted in two fatalities and nine casualties (two critical). Ukrainian General Staff reports communities in Sumy Oblast were affected by enemy artillery and mortar fire. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War held a meeting with families of border guards from the 5th Sumy Border Detachment who are in captivity or missing, particularly those who opposed the enemy on the Kursk direction in September 2024. Russian military blogger claims Russian forces are advancing in the direction of Yunakovka. РБК-Україна reports a drone strike on an energy worker's car in the suburbs of Sumy, with one fatality and injuries. Colonelcassad reports a missile strike in Sumy and drone/OTRK/RSZO attacks in various locations, including Yunakovka, Cherneve, and Nedryhailiv. Оперативний ЗСУ claims bridges were destroyed in Snagost, Kursk Oblast, by Ukrainian forces. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy UAVs in Sumy Oblast and that means are engaged to shoot them down. Ukrainian military spokesperson states Russian summer offensive has begun, impacting this key area. ISW maps indicate Russian advances and significant fighting in the Sumy Direction. Remaining Russian drone activity reported west, towards Pryluky. РБК-Україна reports Russia attacked a regular bus near Bilopillia, with casualties. Two Russian military bloggers claim Russian VDV units continue to advance into Ukrainian territory in Bilovody and surrounding areas. Two Russian military bloggers report Ukrainian drone and artillery strikes causing civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast, including a fatality from a drone attacking a cyclist near Arkhangelske (Shebekinsky district), bordering Sumy Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military targets in Bilopillia and Myropillia. (РБК-Україна, STERNENKO, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ASTRA, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими, Z комитет + карта СВО, Colonelcassad, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, ISW, Николаевский Ванёк, Два майора, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Kharkiv Oblast (Tymofiyivka, Vovchansk, Kupyansk direction, Kolisnykivka, Novoosinove, Kharkiv, Khatnye, Kreydyanka, Stroyivka, Kamyanka, Изюмский район, Изюм, Pisky-Radkivski, Rubtsi, Bohodukhiv, Kolodeznoye): Affected by Russian military activity. Ukrainian General Staff reports repelling a Russian attack near Vovchansk, with one battle ongoing. They also report a Russian assault near Glushkivka on the Kupiansk direction. Communities in Kharkiv Oblast were affected by Russian artillery and mortar fire. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА discusses continued Russian shelling and casualties in the oblast, particularly on the Kupiansk direction, reporting two killed and six injured in the past day on the Kupiansk direction. Ramzan Kadyrov reports on the operations of the "Akhmat" special forces on the Kharkiv direction, claiming successful FPV drone strikes. Colonelcassad reports drone/UMPK attacks in Iziumskyi district and Kupyansk district. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Ukrainian forces building defense lines in Izium and alleged looting in Pisky-Radkivski and Rubtsi. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video of the 16th Separate Motorized Infantry Battalion repelling a morning assault by Russian forces near Kharkiv. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast and that means are engaged to shoot them down. Ukrainian military spokesperson states Russian summer offensive has begun, impacting this key area. ISW maps indicate significant fighting in the Belgorod and Luhansk Directions, bordering Kharkiv. Remaining Russian drone activity reported near Lozova and west of Kharkiv, heading south. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian "Geran" drone strikes overnight on Kharkiv Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports new groups of Russian UAVs from Kharkiv Oblast heading towards Dnipropetrovsk/Poltava Oblasts and a group in northern Kharkiv Oblast heading south and a group in southern Kharkiv Oblast heading north. Two Russian military bloggers report civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast, bordering Kharkiv Oblast, from Ukrainian drone and artillery strikes. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports claimed Ukrainian successes and Russian advances in the Kharkiv area. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Kadyrov_95, Colonelcassad, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, ISW, Николаевский Ванёк, Два майора, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine]])
Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Kursk direction, Glushkovo village, Tetkino, Rylsk area, Снагость, Тишанка, Arkhangelske (Shebekinsky district - Belgorod, but border)): Affected by military activity. Ukrainian General Staff reports three combat engagements on the Kursk direction today, with two ongoing. Russian forces have conducted 4 aviation strikes, dropping three guided bombs, and carried out 140 artillery shellings. Communities in Kursk Oblast were affected by Russian artillery and mortar fire. A mass traffic accident occurred in Kursk Oblast, resulting in two fatalities and 17 injuries, unrelated to military operations. Два майора reports a Ukrainian FPV drone attacked Glushkovo village, destroying one house and setting another on fire. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War held a meeting with families of border guards from the 5th Sumy Border Detachment who are in captivity or missing, particularly those who opposed the enemy on the Kursk direction in September 2024. Оперативний ЗСУ claims bridges were destroyed in Snagost ( Kursk Oblast) and Tishanka (Belgorod Oblast) by Ukrainian forces. New Ukrainian drone model reported on Kursk direction. ISW maps indicate Russian advances and significant fighting in the Belgorod and Sumy Directions, bordering Kursk. Two Russian military bloggers report intense combat on the Tetkino direction, with three unsuccessful Ukrainian attempts to break through, ongoing battles, and Ukrainian drone and artillery fire isolating Russian units. They also report Ukrainian drone and artillery strikes targeting civilian infrastructure, including an FPV drone attack on an electrical substation in Rylsk. Two Russian military bloggers report civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast, including a fatality from a drone attacking a cyclist near Arkhangelske (Shebekinsky district). ТАСС reports over 160 agricultural enterprises in Kursk Oblast have been affected by Ukrainian attacks, with estimated damage of 90 billion rubles. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of Russian UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards northern Sumy Oblast. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, ТАСС, Два майора, Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими, Оперативний ЗСУ, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, ISW, Два майора, ТАСС, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Prydniprovsk direction, Synelnykivskyi district, Nikopol district, Novopavlivka community, Pervomaisk, Mala Tokmachka): Affected by Russian military activity. Ukrainian General Staff reports the enemy attempted to advance towards Ukrainian positions once on the Prydniprovsk direction but were repelled. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of aviation weapons in Synelnykivskyi district. Colonelcassad reports UMPK strikes in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Сергій Лисак reports Russian attacks on Nikopol district and Novopavlivka community using FPV drones, a kamikaze drone, and artillery. Two drones are reported heading towards/through Pervomaisk. Drones from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast are reported heading towards Donetsk Oblast. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian "Geran" drone strikes overnight on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Two Russian military bloggers report battles on the Dnipropetrovsk (Kotlyarivka) direction. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian forces advancing south and east of Mala Tokmachka, entering the settlement from the east, and capturing a brick factory on the southern side on the Zaporizhzhia front. The Ukrainian Air Force reports new groups of Russian UAVs from Kharkiv Oblast heading towards Dnipropetrovsk/Poltava Oblasts and "Shaheds" in eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast heading west. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Colonelcassad, Сергій Лисак, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Два майора, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Kherson Oblast (Kakhovka, Chelburda, Aleshkinsky district, Сальково, Чонгар, Новоалексеевка, Рыково, Темировка, Велика Лепетиха, Мала Лепетиха, Рыбальче, Забарино, Алешки, Нова Каховка, Днепряны, Кардашинка, Подстепное, Обрывки): Affected by military activity. A Ukrainian drone strike has reportedly damaged a Russian "Tor" air defense system near Kakhovka. Russian sources claim four civilian fatalities and two injured in Chelburda due to alleged Ukrainian drone strikes. Два майора reports, citing the Russian-appointed governor, that Ukrainian drone strikes overnight hit Sal'kovo, Chonhar, Novoalekseyevka, and Rykovo, with a medical outpatient clinic in Chonhar completely burned down. Воин DV reports Russian forces destroyed a T-72 tank near Temirovka. Mash на Донбассе highlights the alleged Ukrainian drone strike on a medical facility in Chonhar. ISW maps indicate significant fighting in the Kherson Direction. Two Russian military bloggers report four civilian fatalities in Velika Lepetikha, Mala Lepetikha, Rybalche, and Zabarino from alleged Ukrainian strikes, and shelling of various settlements. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Военкор Котенок, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Два майора, Воин DV, Mash на Донбассе, ISW, Два майора)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Huliaipole, Vysokyy, Orikhiv direction, Energodar, Zaporizhzhia city, Біленьке, Запасне, Магдалинівка, Лобкове, Кам'янське, Приморське, Щербаки, Новоданилівка, Чарівне, Новодарівка, Mala Tokmachka, Бердянськ): Affected by Russian military activity. Ukrainian General Staff reports Russian forces launched unguided aerial rockets on Huliaipole and Vysokyy. They also report Ukrainian forces repelled two Russian assaults on the Orikhiv direction. A Russian military blogger reports a massive artillery shelling of Energodar by Ukrainian forces. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports a 72-year-old man was injured and 457 strikes occurred on 14 settlements within the past day, including aviation, drone, MLRS, and artillery strikes, with damage to houses, apartments, and cars. РБК-Україна reports Russian air defense in occupied Tokmak struck civilian buildings instead of drones, causing fires. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KAB launches by tactical aviation in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports Russian artillery shelling destroyed private houses in Huliaipole. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 celebrates Vyshyvanka Day in Zaporizhzhia. ISW assesses that Russian forces are pressing and advancing in the Zaporizhzhia direction. ISW maps indicate significant fighting in the Zaporizhzhia direction. Delays reported for a train from Uzhhorod to Zaporizhzhia. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian forces advancing south and east of Mala Tokmachka, entering the settlement from the east, and capturing a brick factory on the southern side. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 434 Russian strikes on 15 settlements within the past day, including aviation, drone, MLRS, and artillery strikes, with damage but no civilian casualties. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 3 women injured in Orikhiv from a drone attack. Mash на Донбассе reports the body of a seven-year-old girl was found in Berdyansk. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 announces an air raid alert across the entire Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Shaheds" in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast heading towards Zaporizhzhia city. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, РБК-Україна, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], ISW, РБК-Україна, Два майора, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Mash на Донбассе, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Turkey (Istanbul, Ankara): Continues to be the location for diplomatic negotiations, which have concluded for now with a pause. Reports confirm the conclusion of initial talks, the Ukrainian delegation's departure, Russia's refusal of a temporary truce, and differing views on the outcome. Умєров, cited by РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ, stated that Zelenskyy was expecting high-level discussions and that the next step should be a meeting with Putin. ТАСС and ASTRA report that Rodion Miroshnik stated Ukraine hoped for a 30-day ceasefire but was refused. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники echoes the refusal of a 30-day truce. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ASTRA report that Мединский emphasized reminding Ukraine of the Gomel agreements and stated that war and negotiations occur simultaneously. РБК-Україна reports on a "1000 for 1000" prisoner exchange being prepared, citing Вадим Скібіцький of GUR. Басурин о главном reports on a large-scale body exchange. РБК-Україна reports that Георгій Тихий of the Ukrainian MFA stated the Russian delegation articulated "unacceptable things" and confirmed new demands were made. ASTRA reports the Ukrainian delegation will leave Istanbul on Friday. Fighterbomber posts a sarcastic message mocking Ukrainian negotiation expectations. Colonelcassad comments on the reactions of European leaders to the Istanbul talks, portraying them negatively. Reuters, cited by Оперативний ЗСУ, reports European leaders agreed with Zelenskyy that Russia's position is unacceptable and are coordinating with Trump. Два майора shares a video of Medinsky reiterating the Russian negotiation stance. РБК-Україна reports that Георгій Тихий confirmed new Russian demands. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Russian demands are unacceptable. STERNENKO alleges Russian demand to recognize Crimea as Russian (uncofirmed). ТАСС shares another statement from Medinsky reiterating his stance on simultaneous war and negotiations. UN has welcomed the direct talks and hopes they lead to sustainable peace. Operations Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares Medinsky's statement blaming the West for the breakdown of negotiations and stating Ukraine will not return to the "Istanbul project." CNN, citing a Turkish official, reports the negotiations were "more positive than expected" and Turkey proposed a prisoner exchange in three categories. Two Russian military bloggers highlight the ongoing negotiations in their morning summary. Басурин о главном summarizes world media reactions to the talks. Kotsnews provides commentary from Bloomberg, CNN, and Le Figaro on the Istanbul talks. (Умєров, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, ТАСС, ASTRA, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Басурин о главном, Fighterbomber, Colonelcassad, Reuters, Два майора, STERNENKO, UN, CNN, Басурин о главном, Kotsnews, Два майора)
Russia (Moscow, Kazan, Bashkortostan, St. Petersburg, Rostov Oblast, Stavropol Krai, Ufa, Obninsk, Kaluga Oblast, Tula, Belgorod Oblast, Gubkin, Bryansk, Yugra, Khabarovsk Krai, Tuva, Lipetsk Oblast, Астраханська область, Temirovka, Perevalne (Crimea), Sheremetyevo, Средне-Невский судостроительный завод, Шадринск): Various internal issues are reported, including political statements by the head of the SVR, a data breach affecting Steam users, a prominent military blogger attending an economic forum in Kazan, a regional acknowledgement of casualties in Bashkortostan (previous), the sentencing of individuals for arson and terrorism in St. Petersburg (previous), legislation regarding out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants, a domestic incident with a public transport controller in Moscow (previous), strict penalties for picking lilacs, discussion about paid university admissions regulation, information on financial regulations impacting volunteer collections, a traffic accident in Kursk Oblast, sentencing of a former traffic police head in Stavropol Krai (previous), reports of escaped former prisoners from a military training ground in Rostov Oblast (previous), a scammer incident in Ufa, an investigation into alleged desecration of military symbols in Obninsk, an incident at the Eternal Flame in Tula, an incorrect mobilization invitation in Gubkin, Belgorod Oblast, an international boxing tournament in Bryansk, and an Immortal Regiment event in Yugra, a legal case against a priest in St. Petersburg, legal action in Khabarovsk Krai, issues with housing for an orphan SVO participant in Tuva, efforts to support returning SVO participants in Lipetsk Oblast, and the death of a prominent businessman. FSB conducted raids and detentions in 81 regions, claiming links to "Ukrainian curators." A bas-relief of Joseph Stalin has been restored in the Moscow metro. A traffic accident involving a truck transporting captured NATO equipment occurred in Bashkortostan. MChS is testing automatic payouts for victims of emergencies through "Gosuslugi." News of Salmonella in poultry in Moscow is reported. Criminal case opened regarding embezzlement in state defense order. Delegation from "Taliban" arrived at Kazan forum. Russia claims repelling a drone attack in Rostov Oblast. Increase in Russian forest fire areas reported. Steam denies system breach. Arrest of former Georgian Minister of Defense in Georgia reported. Russian military expert claims Ukrainian temporary pontoon crossings near Kupyansk. Russian political figure proposes ban on selling sweets in alcohol markets. North Korean leader inspects tactical exercises. Detention of drug courier in Khabarovsk Krai. ISW maps indicate Russian advances in Russia (Belgorod Direction). Police in Khabarovsk Krai are seeking a moped driver in a hit-and-run incident. TASS reports that new suspects may emerge in a case of embezzlement involving special operation participants in Sheremetyevo. Colonelcassad reports on the laying down of a new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship at the Sredne-Nevsky Shipyard and shares photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants in Shadrinsk. Two Russian military bloggers provide a summary of the morning situation, highlighting the Istanbul negotiations, a claimed Ukrainian drone strike in Crimea, widespread Russian drone attacks, combat on the Kursk border, Russian advances in Sumy Oblast, civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast, Russian advances on the Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Southern Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions, and civilian casualties in Kherson Oblast from alleged Ukrainian strikes. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast using FAB-1500 and other means, claiming no civilian casualties. Alex Parker Returns shares an information operation piece related to Russia. (Басурин о главном, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, Fighterbomber, Новости Москвы, WarGonzo, Alex Parker Returns, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ASTRA, Оперативний ЗСУ, Два майора, Север.Реалии, Полиция Хабаровского края, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, Игорь Артамонов, Север.Реалии, Новости Москвы, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ISW, Полиция Хабаровского края, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Два майора, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Alex Parker Returns)
Libya (Tripoli): Continued armed clashes are reported, with Mitiga International Airport operations suspended. Intense fighting occurred overnight following the death of a faction leader. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Рыбарь)
Syria: Discussion regarding the potential lifting of US sanctions and a meeting between Donald Trump and Abu Muhammad al-Julani, leader of HTS. Qatar views US sanction removal as positive and intends to engage. (Рыбарь, РБК-Україна)
United States (Washington): Involved in discussions regarding potential sanctions against Russia and conflicting reports exist on Donald Trump's potential attendance in Istanbul. Steve Wittkoff and Marco Rubio will reportedly be in Istanbul on the 16th. A meeting between Donald Trump and Abu Muhammad al-Julani in Saudi Arabia is reported. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that the French Foreign Minister plans to meet with Senator Lindsey Graham to discuss a powerful sanctions package. The US Embassy in Moldova has offered a reward for information on Russian citizens. Trump stated Putin would not go to Turkey without him. CNBC reports Putin and Trump are leaving Zelenskyy "in the dust" by not attending Istanbul talks. Former US President Trump commented on Putin's absence from Istanbul talks. A report emerges of a potential US plan under the Trump administration to resettle Palestinians from Gaza to Libya. Donald Trump has publicly stated his view on Putin and Zelenskyy and negotiations. ASTRA reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call, highlighting Trump's call for an immediate ceasefire. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна also report on Rubio's statement emphasizing the US peace plan and the time to end the war. Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and STERNENKO also report on Rubio's statement. (РБК-Україна, ТАСС, Рыбарь, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, STERNENKO, ТАСС, ASTRA, CNBC, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ASTRA, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, STERNENKO)
European Union: Involved in discussions regarding potential sanctions against Russia and has supported the creation of a Special Tribunal for Russian crimes. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that the French Foreign Minister stated the US and Europe must act together to impose "devastating" sanctions. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the EU is exploring ways to bypass Hungary's blockade of Ukraine's membership negotiations. Colonelcassad comments on the EU's planned 18th package of sanctions. WarGonzo reports on planned EU sanctions targeting various sectors. (РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, WarGonzo)
Netherlands: Prime Minister believes a window for settlement is open for 14 days. (Colonelcassad)
Malaysia: Prime Minister is in Moscow for talks with President Putin, with discussions about potential direct flights and an invitation for Putin to attend the ASEAN summit. Lavrov commented on the timing of the MH17 report publication during the visit. (ТАСС, Басурин о главном)
Finland (Helsinki): Ukraine is adopting Finnish experience in air quality assessment using satellite data. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Odesa Oblast (Pivdennyi, Chornomorsk): Affected by Russian drone activity from the Black Sea, with several groups heading towards Pivdennyi and reports of attacks on Chornomorsk. Reports of Russian drones emerging from the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast continue. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show an "Iskander" OTRK strike on a Ukrainian BEC training site in Ilchevsk (Chernomorsk). Two Russian military bloggers report Russian "Geran" drone strikes overnight on Odesa Oblast. The Ukrainian Navy reports no Russian missile carriers in the Black and Azov Seas as of 06:00 on May 17, 2025, though a Kalibr carrier is noted in the Mediterranean. (23:11, 23:14, 23:19, Colonelcassad, Два майора, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Saudi Arabia: Location of a meeting between Donald Trump and Abu Muhammad al-Julani. (Рыбарь)
Brazil: President's plane is expected to stop in Moscow, with uncertainty regarding the purpose of the visit. Speculation exists about his travel plans. (ТАСС, Военкор Котенок, Alex Parker Returns)
Palestine: Ambassador in Moscow hopes Donald Trump will announce the creation of a Palestinian state. (ТАСС)
Germany: РБК-Україна reports that three Ukrainians have been arrested in Germany on suspicion of planning sabotage for Russia. Defense ministers from Italy, Germany, France, Poland, and the UK are scheduled to meet in Rome on May 16th. WarGonzo reports that Moldova and Germany have signed an agreement for the placement of a German military "consultative group" in Moldova. (РБК-Україна, WarGonzo)
Switzerland: РБК-Україна reports that three Ukrainians have been arrested in Switzerland on suspicion of planning sabotage for Russia. (РБК-Україна)
Moldova: Experiencing diplomatic tension with Russia over historical textbook content. The US Embassy in Moldova has offered a reward for information on Russian citizens. WarGonzo reports that Moldova and Germany have signed an agreement for the placement of a German military "consultative group" in Moldova. (Басурин о главном, ТАСС, WarGonzo)
Kirovohrad Oblast (Kropyvnytskyi): A new air alert has been issued due to the threat of enemy strike UAVs. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report a massive Russian drone attack on Kropyvnytskyi overnight, with a significant number of UAVs shot down by air defense. No casualties. Remaining Russian drone reported north of Kropyvnytskyi, course west. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Николаевский Ванёк)
Vinnytsia Oblast: Reports indicate that some of the drones targeting southern Ukraine are moving towards this oblast. Updated Ukrainian Air Force reports indicated drone movement towards and within Vinnytsia Oblast. New updates confirm a group of Shahed drones from southern Kyiv Oblast moving towards Vinnytsia Oblast, a group in northern Vinnytsia Oblast moving towards Zhytomyr Oblast, and a group in southern Vinnytsia Oblast moving west. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian "Geran" drone strikes overnight on Vinnytsia Oblast. Remaining drone reported in the north, course west. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Два майора)
Italy (Rome): Defense ministers from key European countries are scheduled to meet here on May 16th to discuss coordinating support for Ukraine. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has arrived in Rome and met with Canadian Prime Minister Marc Carney. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Luhansk Oblast (Kreminna, Антрацитівський район): ТАСС reports claims of Ukrainian forces using mines disguised as mushrooms near Kreminna. Mash на Донбассе reports on an alleged SBU attempted sabotage in Anthracite district in 2020. ISW maps indicate significant fighting in the Luhansk Direction. (ТАСС, Mash на Донбассе, ISW)
Belgorod Oblast (Russia) (Тишанка, Arkhangelske (Shebekinsky district)): Оперативний ЗСУ claims bridges were destroyed in Tishanka, Belgorod Oblast, by Ukrainian forces. ASTRA reports a traffic accident with NATO trophy equipment in Bashkortostan. ISW maps indicate Russian advances and significant fighting in the Belgorod Direction. Two Russian military bloggers report Ukrainian drone and artillery strikes causing civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast, including a fatality from a drone attacking a cyclist near Arkhangelske (Shebekinsky district), and injuries from a drone attacking a car in Borysovka. They also list several settlements under attack. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast heading towards southern Sumy and northern Kharkiv Oblasts. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ASTRA, ISW, Два майора, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Chechnya (Russia): ECHR orders Russia to pay compensation for 2016 attack on border with Ingushetia. (ASTRA)
Ingushetia (Russia): ECHR orders Russia to pay compensation for 2016 attack on border with Chechnya. (ASTRA)
Cultural and Historical Narratives (Russia): A bas-relief of Joseph Stalin has been restored in the Moscow metro. Alex Parker Returns comments on the restoration of Stalin bas-relief with highly provocative language. Colonelcassad shares photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants in Shadrinsk. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth. (Север.Реалии, Alex Parker Returns, Colonelcassad, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Judicial and Legal Developments (Russia): The State Duma Committee supported a bill on mandatory content labeling in video games. ASTRA reports that the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) has ordered Russia to pay compensation for a 2016 attack. TASS reports that the verdict in the case of large-scale bribes involving former General Shamarin has entered into legal force. TASS reports that new suspects may emerge in a case of embezzlement involving special operation participants in Sheremetyevo. (ТАСС, ASTRA, ТАСС, ТАСС)
Internal Security (Russia): FSB conducted raids and detentions in 81 regions, claiming links to "Ukrainian curators." Criminal case opened regarding embezzlement in state defense order. TASS reports that new suspects may emerge in a case of embezzlement involving special operation participants in Sheremetyevo. Police in Khabarovsk Krai are seeking the driver of a moped involved in a hit-and-run incident with a minor. (Север.Реalii, Два майора, ТАСС, Полиция Хабаровского края)
Human Rights (Russia): ASTRA reports that the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) has ordered Russia to pay compensation for a 2016 attack on journalists and human rights defenders. (ASTRA)
Afghanistan (Kazan): Delegation from "Taliban" arrived at Kazan forum. (ТАСС)
Black Sea: No Russian missile carriers are reported as of 06:00 on May 17, 2025. (03:05)
Azov Sea: No Russian missile carriers are reported as of 06:00 on May 17, 2025. (03:05)
Mediterranean Sea: 3 Russian warships and 1 Kalibr missile carrier with a total salvo of 8 missiles are reported as of 06:00 on May 17, 2025. (03:05)
Kerch Strait: Significant ship traffic reported as of 06:00 on May 17, 2025 (7 ships from Black Sea, 4 to Bosphorus; 8 ships from Azov Sea, 6 out of strait towards Bosphorus). Russia is reported to be violating the SOLAS convention by disabling automatic identification systems. (03:05)
North Korea: Kim Jong Un visited an aviation regiment and emphasized war preparedness. Kim Jong Un inspected large-scale tactical exercises, emphasizing military education and adaptation to modern warfare. (03:04, Colonelcassad)
Zhytomyr Oblast: Affected by Russian drone activity from Kyiv Oblast. Updated Ukrainian Air Force reports indicated drone movement towards and within Zhytomyr Oblast. New updates confirm a group of Shahed drones from northern Vinnytsia Oblast moving towards Zhytomyr Oblast and Shahed drones in Zhytomyr Oblast moving south. New updates confirm "shaheds" in Zhytomyr Oblast heading west and moving northwest. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian "Geran" drone strikes overnight on Zhytomyr Oblast. (01:02, 01:04, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Два майора)
Khmelnytsky Oblast (Starokostiantyniv, Krasyliv): Affected by Russian drone activity moving from Vinnytsia Oblast. Drones from Vinnytsia Oblast are reported to be entering Khmelnytskyi Oblast, with some heading towards Krasyliv. Four drones are reported heading towards Starokostiantyniv. New updates from the Ukrainian Air Force indicate a group of Shahed drones from southern Zhytomyr Oblast are moving towards Khmelnytskyi Oblast, a group already in northern Khmelnytskyi Oblast is moving west, and drones from Ivano-Frankivsk/Khmelnytskyi Oblasts are moving west. New updates confirm a "shahed" in southern Khmelnytskyi Oblast heading towards Ternopil Oblast. Remaining drone reported near Starokon. (01:40, 02:06, 02:33, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк)
Cherkasy Oblast (Kaniv): Drones are reported on the border of Cherkasy and Kyiv Oblasts heading towards Kaniv. Drones are reported moving past Kaniv on the Bilotserkivskyi district of Kyiv Oblast. One drone is reported near Kaniv. New updates from the Ukrainian Air Force indicate a group of Shahed drones in northern Cherkasy Oblast moving west. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian "Geran" drone strikes overnight on Cherkasy Oblast. (00:06, 00:11, 01:02, 01:04, 02:33, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Два майора)
Poltava Oblast (Pyriatyn, Hadiach, Kremenchuk): Drones from Sumy Oblast reportedly flew past Lebedyn into Poltava Oblast. Drone activity is reported in Poltava Oblast near Pyriatyn and Hadiach. One drone is reported northwest of Poltava. Drones are reported over Poltava Oblast heading towards Kremenchuk. New updates from the Ukrainian Air Force confirm a group of Shahed drones in northern Poltava Oblast moving west. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian "Geran" drone strikes overnight on Poltava Oblast. Remaining drone reported south of Lozova, Kharkiv Oblast, course southeast, likely heading towards Poltava Oblast/Dnipropetrovsk Oblast border. The Ukrainian Air Force reports new groups of Russian UAVs from Kharkiv Oblast heading towards Dnipropetrovsk/Poltava Oblasts and "Shaheds" on the east of Poltava Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast. (23:19, 02:06, 02:33, 03:02, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Два майора, Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine]])
Rivne Oblast: New updates from the Ukrainian Air Force indicate a group of Shahed drones in southern Rivne Oblast are moving northwest. New updates confirm a "shahed" on the border of Volyn and Rivne Oblasts heading west. Remaining drone reported in the north of Vinnytsia Oblast, course west, likely heading towards Khmelnytskyi/Rivne Oblast border. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк)
Ternopil Oblast: New updates from the Ukrainian Air Force indicate a group of Shahed drones in southern Ternopil Oblast are moving west. New updates confirm a "shahed" in southern Khmelnytskyi Oblast heading towards Ternopil Oblast. Remaining drone reported north of Kropyvnytskyi, Kirovohrad Oblast, course west, likely heading towards Vinnytsia/Ternopil Oblast border. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк)
Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast: New updates from the Ukrainian Air Force indicate Shahed drones from Ivano-Frankivsk/Khmelnytskyi Oblasts are moving west. New reports confirm explosions and air defense activity in Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна)
Volyn Oblast (Lutsk): New reports indicate explosions were heard in Lutsk. New updates confirm a "shahed" on the border of Volyn and Rivne Oblasts heading west. New updates confirm a "shahed" in Volyn Oblast moving north. Remaining drone reported in the north of Vinnytsia Oblast, course west, likely heading towards Khmelnytskyi/Rivne Oblast border. (РБК-Україна, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк)
Crimea (Perevalne): Two Russian military bloggers report a claimed Ukrainian drone strike on an ammunition depot in Perevalne. (Два майора)
Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast (Bilotserkivskyi district, towards Kyiv Oblast, near Pereyaslav, Kaniv, Pryluky): Affected by Russian drone activity. Drones are reported near Pereyaslav heading towards the Bilotserkivskyi district. A group of drones near Pryluky (Chernihiv Oblast) is heading towards Kyiv Oblast. Drones are reported on the border of Cherkasy and Kyiv Oblasts heading towards Kaniv. Drones are reported moving through Kyiv Oblast towards Vinnytsia and Zhytomyr Oblasts, and past Kaniv on the Bilotserkivskyi district. One drone is reported near Kaniv. Drones through Kyiv Oblast are reported heading in the direction of Vinnytsia Oblast. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian "Geran" drone strikes overnight on Kyiv Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports UAVs from near Pryluky heading towards Kyiv Oblast. (00:00, 00:06, 00:11, 00:51, 01:02, 01:04, 02:33, 03:02, Два майора, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Kirovohrad Oblast (Kropyvnytskyi): A new air alert has been issued due to the threat of enemy strike UAVs. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report a massive Russian drone attack on Kropyvnytskyi overnight, with a significant number of UAVs shot down by air defense. No casualties. Remaining drone reported north of Kropyvnytskyi, course west. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Николаевский Ванёк)
Rome (Italy): РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has arrived in Rome and met with Canadian Prime Minister Marc Carney. (РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Moldova: WarGonzo reports that Moldova and Germany have signed an agreement for the placement of a German military "consultative group" in Moldova. (WarGonzo)
Berdyansk (Occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast): Mash на Донбассе reports the body of a seven-year-old girl was found in Berdyansk. (Mash на Донбассе)

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Remains extremely high and widespread. Ukrainian air defense forces are actively tracking numerous drone groups across various oblasts. Russian forces are employing FPV drones and reportedly launching drones from Belgorod towards Ukrainian territory. Ukraine has previously reported the use of naval drones. Detailed tracking of numerous Russian drone groups across Odesa, Sumy, Poltava, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, Kyiv, Cherkasy, Vinnytsia, and Zhytomyr Oblasts is ongoing. Colonelcassad shares a video highlighting the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. The latest messages confirm the movement of multiple enemy UAV groups from Kharkiv Oblast towards Donetsk Oblast, kamikaze drones along the border of Cherkasy and Kyiv Oblasts towards Kaniv and on the Bilotserkivskyi district, and drones from Kyiv Oblast towards Vinnytsia and Zhytomyr Oblasts. Colonelcassad claims a "Geran" drone strike in Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian sniper pair destroyed a Ukrainian octocopter. The latest messages provide detailed tracking of numerous Russian drone groups across Vinnytsia, Khmelnytskyi, Sumy, Kharkiv, and Poltava Oblasts. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar using a UAV for detection and artillery for strike, highlighting the claimed combined use of drones and artillery. TASS shares video footage attributed to a UAV crew of the 205th Separate Motor Rifle Brigade showing training of Russian military assault units in Kherson Oblast using combat robotic platforms, implying the use of reconnaissance or support drones in this training. The latest messages provide further specific details on Russian drone movements across Khmelnytskyi, Cherkasy, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, and Kharkiv Oblasts. TASS reports Russian UAV operators claimed to have pressured Ukrainian forces from the flanks in the village of Volne Pole in southern Donetsk Oblast, indicating the offensive use of drones. The Ukrainian Air Force reports further specific Russian drone movements over Poltava, Sumy, Chernihiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Kyiv, and Vinnytsia Oblasts. Remaining Russian drone activity reported in Khmelnytskyi, Vinnytsia, Kirovohrad, Kharkiv, and Sumy Oblasts. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian "Geran" drone strikes overnight on Odesa, Kharkiv, Chernihiv, Cherkasy, Vinnytsia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Poltava Oblasts. They also report a claimed Ukrainian drone strike on an ammunition depot in Perevalne, Crimea. They report Ukrainian drone strikes causing civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast, including a fatality from a drone attacking a cyclist near Arkhangelske and injuries from a drone attacking a car in Borysovka. They report an FPV drone attack on an electrical substation in Rylsk, Kursk Oblast. They report Ukrainian drone and artillery fire isolating Russian units on the Tetkino direction, and Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment and infantry with FABs, artillery, and drones. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 224 Russian drone attacks on 15 settlements within the past day. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of Russian UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards northern Sumy Oblast, a group in northern Kharkiv Oblast heading south, a group in southern Kharkiv Oblast heading north, "Shaheds" in eastern Poltava Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast, "Shaheds" in eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast heading west, and "Shaheds" in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast heading towards Zaporizhzhia city and enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast heading towards southern Sumy and northern Kharkiv Oblasts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes in Bilopillia and Myropillia included the destruction of a group of drone operators. 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України shares a video highlighting their FPV drone work. Привид Хортиці shares a video showcasing their drone strikes. Басурин о главном shares a video likely showcasing a drone being downed. (23:11, 23:14, 23:19, 23:25, 23:27, 23:30, 00:00, 00:06, 00:11, 00:45, 00:51, 01:02, 01:04, 01:03, 01:40, 02:03, 02:06, 02:33, 02:34, 03:02, 03:33, Два майора, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України, Привид Хортиці, Басурин о главном)
Aviation Activity: Colonelcassad shares a video highlighting the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews of the "West" Group of Forces. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian sniper pair was covering assault troops, implying associated aviation support or activity. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment and infantry with FABs and artillery. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 6 Russian aviation strikes on 5 settlements within the past day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes in Bilopillia and Myropillia included a FAB-1500 and aviation bombs. (23:30, 01:03, Два майора, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Missile Activity: Reports of Russian drones emerging from the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast continue. The Ukrainian Navy reports no Russian warships or missile carriers in the Black or Azov Seas as of 06:00 on May 17, 2025, but notes the presence of a Kalibr carrier in the Mediterranean and significant ship traffic through the Kerch Strait. Two Russian military bloggers report Russian "Geran" drone strikes overnight on Odesa, Kharkiv, Chernihiv, Cherkasy, Vinnytsia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Poltava Oblasts. (23:11, 23:14, 23:19, 03:05, Два майора)
Naval Activity: Reports of Russian drones emerging from the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast continue. The Ukrainian Navy reports no Russian warships or missile carriers in the Black or Azov Seas as of 06:00 on May 17, 2025, but notes the presence of a Kalibr carrier in the Mediterranean and significant ship traffic through the Kerch Strait. Russia is reported to be violating the SOLAS convention by disabling automatic identification systems. Colonelcassad reports on the laying down of a new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship in Russia. (23:11, 23:14, 23:19, 03:05, Colonelcassad)
Air Defense Activity: Ukrainian air defense is actively tracking and engaging numerous Russian drone groups across various oblasts. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian sniper pair destroyed a Ukrainian octocopter, highlighting Russian counter-drone efforts. The Ukrainian Air Force reports tracking and engaging enemy UAVs over multiple oblasts. Two Russian military bloggers report three unsuccessful Ukrainian attempts to break through Russian territory on the Tetkino direction, ongoing battles, and Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment and infantry with FABs, artillery, and drones. They also report an FPV drone attack on an electrical substation in Rylsk, Kursk Oblast, and Ukrainian drone and artillery fire isolating Russian units on the Tetkino direction. Russia claims repelling a drone attack in Rostov Oblast. Russia claims all drones attacking Crimea were shot down. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 224 Russian drone attacks on 15 settlements within the past day. (Numerous reports on drone tracking and engagement, 01:03, 03:02, Два майора, ТАСС, Рыбарь, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Artillery Activity: Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar and mortar crew by artillery fire from a 2A36 "Giatsint-B" howitzer, highlighting claimed Russian artillery effectiveness. Two Russian military bloggers report ongoing intense battles on the Tetkino direction, with three unsuccessful Ukrainian attempts to break through, and Ukrainian drone and artillery fire isolating Russian units. They also report Ukrainian artillery strikes causing civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast and Kherson Oblast, and Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment and infantry with FABs, artillery, and drones. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 200 Russian artillery shellings on 9 settlements within the past day and 4 MLRS shellings on 3 settlements. (02:03, Два майора, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Discussions regarding potential negotiations in Istanbul are ongoing. Donald Trump has commented on his conversation with Zelenskyy and his potential role in future talks. A TASS report quotes a Russian official stating Trump's participation is essential for good negotiation results. TASS reports Konstantin Kosachev, Deputy Chairman of the Federation Council, expressing the opinion that forces in Kyiv and their "group of support" in Europe are not interested in ending the conflict and will prevent significant progress in negotiations in the near future. This reflects the Russian political stance on the likelihood of successful negotiations. Donald Trump has publicly stated his belief that Russian President Putin is "tired" of the war and looks "bad," while reiterating his belief that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy lacks "cards" in potential negotiations, referencing a "really tough meeting" he had with Zelenskyy. Two Russian military bloggers highlight the ongoing negotiations in their morning summary, mentioning Kyiv's demands for a 30-day ceasefire and Moscow's conditions (Ukrainian forces to leave "constitutional territories"). ASTRA reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call explicitly stated Trump's call for an immediate ceasefire and a US peace plan, which was not in the Russian account. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна also report on Rubio's statement emphasizing the US peace plan and the time to end the war. Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and STERNENKO also report on Rubio's statement. (23:11, 00:09, 01:00, 02:19, Два майора, ASTRA, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, STERNENKO)
International Support for Ukraine: Donald Trump's comments on potential sanctions against Russia are noted. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has arrived in Rome and met with Canadian Prime Minister Marc Carney, highlighting continued high-level diplomatic engagements to garner international support. WarGonzo reports that Moldova and Germany have signed an agreement for the placement of a German military "consultative group" in Moldova, framed with a critical undertone but still indicating Western military engagement. (23:11, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, WarGonzo)
Russia-US Relations: Donald Trump has commented on his conversation with Zelenskyy, expressed confidence in meeting with Putin, and discussed potential sanctions against Russia. A TASS report quotes Dmitriev stating Trump's participation is essential for good negotiation results. A report emerges of a potential US plan under the Trump administration to resettle Palestinians from Gaza to Libya, though it is officially denied by the US. Donald Trump has publicly stated his belief that Russian President Putin is "tired" of the war and looks "bad," while reiterating his belief that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy lacks "cards" in potential negotiations, referencing a "really tough meeting" he had with Zelenskyy. ASTRA reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call explicitly stated Trump's call for an immediate ceasefire and a US peace plan, which was not in the Russian account. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна also report on Rubio's statement emphasizing the US peace plan and the time to end the war. Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and STERNENKO also report on Rubio's statement. (23:11, 00:09, 01:09, 02:19, ASTRA, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, STERNENKO)
Russia-Germany Relations: The alleged detention of Ukrainian agents in Germany on suspicion of working for Russian special services could strain relations. (Earlier reports). WarGonzo reports that Moldova and Germany have signed an agreement for the placement of a German military "consultative group" in Moldova. (WarGonzo)
Russia-Switzerland Relations: A related suspect in the alleged German agent case is reportedly in Switzerland, potentially involving diplomatic and legal cooperation between these countries. (Earlier reports).
Armenia-Azerbaijan Peace Talks: Armenia's statement of readiness to sign and ratify a peace agreement is a significant diplomatic development in a separate regional conflict. (Earlier reports).
Internal Russian Politics: TASS reports that new detentions may occur in a case related to the Russian Ministry of Transport. TASS reports that the verdict in the case of large-scale bribes involving former General Shamarin has entered into legal force. TASS reporting Konstantin Kosachev's opinion on the lack of interest in ending the conflict from Kyiv and its "group of support" in Europe, serving as a Russian narrative. TASS reports on a political proposal by Sergey Mironov to reduce VAT and eliminate it on basic food products. TASS reports that new suspects may emerge in a case of embezzlement involving special operation participants in Sheremetyevo. Police in Khabarovsk Krai are seeking the driver of a moped involved in a hit-and-run incident with a minor. Two Russian military bloggers provide a summary of the morning situation, discussing negotiations and military activities. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth. Alex Parker Returns shares an information operation piece related to Russia. (00:01, 01:01, 01:00, 02:08, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Два майора, Полиция Хабаровского края, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Alex Parker Returns)
Russia's Strategic Messaging and Information Operations: Opera Z: Russian Spring War Correspondents is disseminating a video and commentary attributed to Donald Trump, potentially for propaganda purposes. Colonelcassad is sharing alleged testimony from a Russian POW claiming abuse by Ukrainian forces, likely as part of an information operation. Colonelcassad is also promoting a video showcasing the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. TASS reports Konstantin Kosachev's opinion on the lack of interest in ending the conflict from Kyiv and its European supporters, serving as a Russian narrative. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar and highlights the effectiveness of the involved Russian artillery brigade, likely for propaganda. TASS shares video footage of Russian military training with robotic platforms, likely for propaganda purposes. TASS shares a video and report claiming Russian UAV operators pressured Ukrainian forces in Volne Pole, likely for propaganda and to demonstrate military effectiveness and control the narrative. Colonelcassad highlights the achievement of a Russian documentary film about the conflict receiving a prestigious award, serving as a form of propaganda. A Russian military blogger shares a patriotic song, which is likely for propaganda purposes. Operation Z: Russian Spring War Correspondents shares a video promoting a Russian series framed as propaganda against abortion and about saving children's lives. Two Russian military bloggers provide a summary of the morning situation, highlighting claimed Ukrainian actions and Russian successes, which serves as an information operation. Colonelcassad shares photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants in Shadrinsk, used for commemoration and potentially propaganda. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth, used to bolster national identity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast, claiming no civilian casualties, which is presented as a counter-narrative to civilian casualties reported by Ukrainian sources. Alex Parker Returns shares an information operation piece related to Russia. Басурин о главном shares a video likely showcasing the downing of a drone, likely a Ukrainian one, with a sarcastic caption. (23:30, 00:03, 01:00, 02:03, 02:34, 03:29, Два майора, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Alex Parker Returns, Басурин о главном)
US Politics: Donald Trump has made comments on his conversation with Zelenskyy, potential negotiations with Putin, and sanctions against Russia. A TASS report quotes Dmitriev stating Trump's participation is essential for good negotiation results. A report emerges of a potential US plan under the Trump administration to resettle Palestinians from Gaza to Libya, though it is officially denied by the US. Donald Trump has publicly stated his belief that Russian President Putin is "tired" of the war and looks "bad," while reiterating his belief that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy lacks "cards" in potential negotiations, referencing a "really tough meeting" he had with Zelenskyy. ASTRA reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call explicitly stated Trump's call for an immediate ceasefire and a US peace plan, which was not in the Russian account. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна also report on Rubio's statement emphasizing the US peace plan and the time to end the war. Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and STERNENKO also report on Rubio's statement. (23:11, 00:09, 01:09, 02:19, ASTRA, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, STERNENKO)
Middle East Conflict: Israeli forces have commenced a new large-scale military operation in the Gaza Strip. A report emerges of a potential US plan under the Trump administration to resettle Palestinians from Gaza to Libya. (00:09, 01:09)
North Korea: Kim Jong Un's visit to an aviation regiment and emphasis on war preparedness is reported. Kim Jong Un inspected large-scale tactical exercises, emphasizing military education and adaptation to modern warfare. (03:04, Colonelcassad)

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

Internal Security: TASS reports that new detentions may occur in a case related to the Russian Ministry of Transport. TASS reports that the verdict in the case of large-scale bribes involving former General Shamarin has entered into legal force. FSB conducted raids and detentions in 81 regions, claiming links to "Ukrainian curators." Criminal case opened regarding embezzlement in state defense order. TASS reports that new suspects may emerge in a case of embezzlement involving special operation participants in Sheremetyevo. Police in Khabarovsk Krai are seeking the driver of a moped involved in a hit-and-run incident with a minor. (00:01, 01:01, Север.Реalii, Два майора, ТАСС, Полиция Хабаровского края)
Information Operations: Colonelcassad is sharing alleged testimony from a Russian POW claiming abuse by Ukrainian forces, likely as part of an information operation. Colonelcassad is also promoting a video showcasing the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. TASS reports Konstantin Kosachev's opinion on the lack of interest in ending the conflict from Kyiv and its European supporters, serving as a Russian narrative. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar and highlights the effectiveness of the involved Russian artillery brigade, likely for propaganda. TASS shares video footage of Russian military training with robotic platforms, likely for propaganda purposes. TASS shares a video and report claiming Russian UAV operators pressured Ukrainian forces in Volne Pole, likely for propaganda and to demonstrate military effectiveness and control the narrative. Colonelcassad highlights the achievement of a Russian documentary film about the conflict receiving a prestigious award, serving as a form of propaganda. A Russian military blogger shares a patriotic song, which is likely for propaganda purposes. Operation Z: Russian Spring War Correspondents shares a video promoting a Russian series framed as propaganda against abortion and about saving children's lives. Two Russian military bloggers provide a summary of the morning situation, highlighting claimed Ukrainian actions and Russian successes, which serves as an information operation. Colonelcassad shares photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants in Shadrinsk, used for commemoration and potentially propaganda. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth, used to bolster national identity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast, claiming no civilian casualties, which is presented as a counter-narrative to civilian casualties reported by Ukrainian sources. Alex Parker Returns shares an information operation piece related to Russia. Басурин о главном shares a video likely showcasing the downing of a drone, likely a Ukrainian one, with a sarcastic caption. (23:30, 00:03, 01:00, 02:03, 02:34, 03:29, Два майора, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Alex Parker Returns, Басурин о главном)
Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces claim advances and the liberation of Kotlyarovka in Donetsk Oblast. Russian artillery is actively engaged. Russian military bloggers claim Ukrainian forces are using new anti-personal mines on the Sumy direction. Russian sources are promoting the development of new domestic electric motors for drones. Russian Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu's contract has been extended for 5 years. Russian forces are conducting aviation strikes with guided aerial bombs towards Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. Activity of enemy tactical aviation is reported on the southeastern and northeastern directions. Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs to strike Russian territory (Kursk Oblast). Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast. New reports indicate Russian drone activity towards Mykolaiv and Odesa Oblasts. Russian military bloggers are claiming successes in eliminating Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk using FPV drones with fiber-optic control systems. Russian military media is highlighting the role of women in the conflict. Expanding drone activity to include Kirovohrad Oblast and with some drones moving towards Vinnytsia Oblast. Now facing a confirmed threat of enemy strike UAVs in Vinnytsia Oblast. Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. Ukrainian Air Force reports UAV activity in the southern part of Vinnytsia Oblast, moving northwest/west. WarGonzo reports on the development of a new Russian FPV drone-transformer called "Vobla" by soldiers of the 18th Army group. Воин DV reports ongoing fierce battles in the village of Bogatyri, with Russian forces pushing in the western and northern parts and using drone support. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 84 enemy attacks as of 16:00 across multiple directions. Воин DV also reports Russian forces repelled three Ukrainian counterattacks in the Southern Donetsk direction (Fedorovka, Volnoye Polye) and inflicted losses. Военкор Котенок provides detailed tactical reports on the Pokrovsk direction (Malinovka, Mirolyubovka, Yelyzavetivka, Hrodovka) and Alexandrovsk-Kalinovskoe direction (Leontovichi, Romanovka, Kalinovo, Zelenoye Pole, Gnatovka, Pravdovka, Novooleksiivka), claiming Russian advances and ongoing battles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS. MoD Russia shares a video claiming an FPV drone team neutralized a Ukrainian BTR-3DA armored personnel carrier in the Krasny Liman direction. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on the modernization of Ukrainian "Grad" MLRS. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report the liberation of Malinovka (Ulyanovka) in the Donetsk People's Republic and the capture of two Ukrainian prisoners of war. Сливочный каприз also reports on the liberation of Ulyanovka (Malinovka) in DPR, confirming the presence of Russian forces and claiming a Russian advance of over 2.5 km. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Donetsk Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video alleging Russian mistreatment of Russian soldiers in a cistern in the Kherson direction. The Russian Ministry of Defense has released a video showing EOD specialists clearing mines in the Kharkiv direction, claiming they were laid by enemy UAVs at night. Олег Синєгубов reports a Russian "Molniya" type UAV strike in the Kholodnohirskyi district of Kharkiv. Indian Prime Minister Modi's praise for Russian S-400 systems in confronting Pakistan is a notable endorsement of Russian military technology. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces are increasingly recruiting foreign gamers as drone operators, particularly from Western countries, citing dissatisfaction with Trump's policies as a driver. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian positions on the Southern Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on the Soledar direction. MoD Russia and Старше Эдды report the liberation of Myroliubivka in Donetsk People's Republic by the Center Group of Forces. Mash на Донбассе shares a video featuring a Russian serviceman from the Pokrovsk direction discussing the capture of Kotlyarovka, claiming it was achieved with 12 men on 6 motorcycles. Два майора shares a video discussing the effectiveness of Russian FAB bombs on the Krasnyi Lyman direction, claiming increased accuracy. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming successful destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment using drones in Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the work of "Rubikon" drone operators on the Donetsk Direction, with a list of alleged targets including various Ukrainian equipment and positions. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces used an FPV drone to hit a vehicle and then finish off a Russian soldier. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down three Russian Zala UAVs (including a Zala Z-20). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for equipment, including motorcycles and drone detectors. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming to show Russian air defense (Igla MANPADS) destroying targets on the Soledar direction. STERNENKO shares a video from the 1st Motorized Infantry Battalion of the 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade claiming to have destroyed a Russian Impuls-M ground robotic platform with a new combat module on the Donetsk direction. Сергій Лисак reports Russian attacks on Nikopol district and Novopavlivka community using FPV drones, a kamikaze drone, and artillery. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from the Third Assault Brigade claiming successful strikes and destruction of Russian vehicles and a ground robotic platform on the Donetsk direction, likely utilizing FPV drones. Colonelcassad shares a video and photo claiming the destruction of various Western vehicles by Russian "Rubikon" drone operators. TASS reports, citing "siloviki", that Ukrainian units are suffering colossal losses in the areas of Bilovody, Loknya, and Vodolagi in Sumy Oblast, and that Ukrainian reserves are regularly destroyed. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian assets in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russian military bloggers are reporting the Ukrainian Armed Forces are forming a new 16th Army Corps. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation. Олександр Вілкул reports on significant aid sent from Kryvyi Rih to the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade and the 21st Brigade of the National Guard, including pickups, charging stations, and equipment. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports a total of 128 combat engagements across all fronts over the past day, with significant Russian attacks on multiple directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports repelling Russian attacks on the Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports claimed Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction (324 personnel neutralized, 159 irrecoverably) and claimed destruction or damage of various Russian equipment. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video promoting a new tactical AK belt from "Moskit," highlighting ongoing production and availability of military equipment. Colonelcassad reports on the exhibition of new Russian RPL-7 and RPL-20 light machine guns by Kalashnikov Concern, stating they have been tested in the "special military operation" zone. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing Russian drone operators deflecting attacks by Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels ("bezэkipazhnykh katerov") belonging to the "Vosmerka" squad. РБК-Україна shares a video showcasing Ukrainian forces intercepting various Russian drones, including "Molniya-2", Zala Z-16, Supercam S350, and "Orlan-10". Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, highlighting the ongoing need for equipment. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares photos of an artillery piece firing. Russia claims advances in the DPR after the truce. Russian Ministry of Defense reports Russian Defense Minister Belousov is on a working visit to Belarus. Russian military bloggers report on ongoing fighting in the Kupyansk direction, with mutual artillery and drone activity. Russian military bloggers report that on the Zaporizhzhia direction, Russian forces have taken five enemy strongholds. They detail tactics used by both sides, including extensive use of FPV drones, "Baba Yaga" drones, and mine-laying by drones. Russian military bloggers report on the situation in the Novodanilivka and Mala Tokmachka areas, claiming Russian advances and control of a brick factory in Mala Tokmachka. Russian military bloggers provide a summary of Russian Air Force activity on the Zaporizhzhia direction, claiming strikes against Ukrainian positions, temporary deployment points, drone assembly sites, ammunition depots, command posts, and other targets. Russian military bloggers highlight losses of Russian soldiers in the Toretsk area, reporting that most are destroyed by drones and artillery before reaching Ukrainian positions. Russian military bloggers claim that units of the 36th Combined Arms Army used artillery to strike two UAV control points and a temporary deployment point, and FPV drones destroyed a retransmitter antenna, a "MAXX PRO" armored vehicle, and two pickup trucks, disrupting troop rotation. Russian military bloggers report on ongoing fighting in the Kupyansk direction, with mutual artillery and drone activity. Russian military bloggers report that on the Zaporizhzhia direction, daily works barrel artillery in two-sided order. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video claiming destruction of a Ukrainian mortar and mortar crew by artillery fire. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports mutual artillery work on the Kupyansk direction. ISW assesses that Russian forces are pressing and advancing in the Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Pokrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions. ISW maps indicate Russian advances and significant fighting in the Novopavlivka, Donetsk, Toretsk, Zaporizhzhia, Belgorod, Sumy, Luhansk, and Kherson directions. Colonelcassad reports on the laying down of a new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship in Russia and showcases new Russian ground reconnaissance drones. Two Russian military bloggers provide a summary of the morning situation, reporting Russian advances in Sumy Oblast (Bilovody and surrounding areas) and on the Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Southern Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions (Mala Tokmachka, brick factory). They also report Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk border, ongoing battles, and Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment and infantry with FABs, artillery, and drones. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 434 Russian strikes, including aviation, drone, MLRS, and artillery, on 15 settlements within the past day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast using FAB-1500 and other means. Сливочный каприз reports a Russian advance of 3 km near Раздольное towards Отрадное near Velyka Novosilka. (23:11, 23:14, 23:19, 23:24, 23:25, 23:27, 23:30, 00:00, 00:06, 00:11, 00:45, 00:51, 01:02, 01:04, 01:03, 01:40, 02:03, 02:06, 02:33, 02:34, 03:02, 03:26, 03:33, Colonelcassad, Два майора, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Сливочный каприз)
Russian Recruitment: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report on Russian President Putin's statements regarding voluntary military recruitment. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники's reporting on the Register of Summonses starting operation is directly related to military recruitment. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 outlining questions addressable at military enlistment offices is indirectly related to the recruitment process. Басурин о главном shares a video of Russian President Putin's statements, where he contrasts voluntary recruitment in Russia with forced mobilization in Ukraine. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces are increasingly recruiting foreign gamers as drone operators. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, which can be used in military recruitment propaganda by highlighting the role of technology and the need for operators. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports that each fourth deceased Russian soldier signed a contract after the start of the conflict. 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України includes recruitment information in their post. (Earlier reports, 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України)

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Military Support (Ukraine): Local governments are providing significant direct assistance to military units, including equipment like drones and vehicles. International partners continue to discuss and implement further sanctions against Russia. Poland is reportedly preparing to transfer MiG-29s. The Coordination Headquarters is working on POW and missing personnel issues, providing support to families. STERNENKO and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 are conducting fundraising for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS promotes a research channel focused on military technologies. Олександр Вілкул reports on direct assistance to military units in Kryvyi Rih. Старше Эдды reports on potential Polish MiG-29 transfer. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports on a call for children to participate in a summer camp in Uzbekistan. 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України includes fundraising information in their post. Привид Хортиці shares a video and includes a link for fundraising and joining the unit. (Олександр Вілкул, Старше Эдды, Координаційний штаб з питань по поводженню з військовополоненими, STERNENKO, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України, Привид Хортиці)
Veteran Support (Ukraine): Efforts are underway to provide free medical assistance, specialized care, psychological support, and rehabilitation facilities for veterans, including a new regional center and planned veteran care cabinets. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on veteran health and rehabilitation efforts. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Military Support (Russia): Reliance on public and potentially corporate support for equipment continues, with reports of pickup truck transfers and ongoing fundraising for armor steel and other supplies. Propaganda efforts are highlighting soldier motivations and military innovation to support morale and recruitment. Alex Parker Returns reports on the transfer of 50 pickup trucks to Russian forces, partly through civilian initiatives. Два майора's ongoing fundraising for steel for "Front-line armor" (2025-05-16 15:55 UTC) also highlights reliance on public support for equipment, and he is fundraising for vehicles, EW systems, thermal sights, radios, and drones. Воин DV shares a narrative on a soldier's motivation. Colonelcassad discusses the effectiveness of "Turtle Tanks." He is also conducting fundraising for anti-drone training supplies and shares photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants. Военкор Котенок is conducting a fundraising campaign for 6 units. (Alex Parker Returns, Два майора, Воин DV, Colonelcassad, Военкор Котенок)
Civilian Support (Ukraine): Humanitarian aid, such as the distribution of free food packages, is being provided to the civilian population in areas affected by the conflict. Reconstruction and medical support are being provided with international cooperation. The Coordination Headquarters is working on POW and missing personnel issues, providing support to families. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration is promoting a youth movement and addressing power outages in frontline areas. The tragic bus attack in Sumy Oblast highlights the humanitarian impact. Олександр Вілкул reports on humanitarian aid in Kryvyi Rih. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак reports on cooperation with the Czech Republic on reconstruction and medical support. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports on a call for children to participate in a summer camp in Uzbekistan. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 promotes the "Bayda" youth movement and reports on power outages. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 3 women injured in Orikhiv from a drone attack. Mash на Донбассе reports the body of a seven-year-old girl was found in Berdyansk, highlighting the impact on civilians in occupied territories. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), and РБК-Україна report on the fatalities and injuries from the bus attack. STERNENKO also reports on the bus attack. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 announces an air raid alert across the entire Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (Олександр Вілкул, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак, Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, ASTRA, Zelenskiy / Official, КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), РБК-Україна, STERNENKO, Mash на Донбассе)
Civilian Support (Russia): Alex Parker Returns reports on the transfer of 50 pickup trucks to Russian forces, partly through civilian initiatives, which can be seen as a form of civilian support for military efforts. Infrastructure projects are ongoing in some regions. A Russian cleric has proposed a tax on childless men over 40. A foreigner died at the Sakharovo migration center in Moscow due to overcrowding. Alex Parker Returns reports on the transfer of 50 pickup trucks to Russian forces, partly through civilian initiatives. Igor Artamonov reports on infrastructure projects in Lipetsk Oblast. Новости Москвы reports on a proposed tax on childless men over 40. ASTRA reports on the death at the Moscow migration center. Colonelcassad shares photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants in Shadrinsk. (Alex Parker Returns, Igor Artamonov, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, Colonelcassad)
Reconstruction and Recovery (Ukraine): Cooperation with international partners, such as the Czech Republic, is ongoing for reconstruction and recovery efforts, including support for critical infrastructure, education, and the medical sector. Addressing power outages in frontline areas is part of recovery efforts. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак reports on cooperation with the Czech Republic on reconstruction and medical support. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on power outages. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Prisoner of War Issues: A "1000 for 1000" prisoner exchange is being prepared. A large-scale body exchange has taken place, with Ukraine receiving 909 bodies and Russia 34. The Coordination Headquarters is looking for participants for a children's camp in Uzbekistan, potentially related to families of servicemembers or affected by the conflict. Turkey proposed a prisoner exchange in three categories during the Istanbul talks. Russia's confirmed priority is the 1000 for 1000 prisoner exchange. РБК-Україна reports on a "1000 for 1000" prisoner exchange being prepared, citing Вадим Скібіцький of GUR. Басурин о главном reports on a large-scale body exchange, stating Russia received 34 bodies and transferred 909 Ukrainian bodies. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports on a call for children to participate in a summer camp in Uzbekistan. Оперативний ЗСУ claims to have captured a Russian servicemember. CNN reports Turkey proposed a prisoner exchange in three categories. ТАСС reports Kremlin spokesperson Peskov confirmed the priority of the 1000 for 1000 prisoner exchange. ASTRA reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call welcomed the prisoner exchange agreement. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна also report on Rubio's statement welcoming the prisoner exchange agreement. Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and STERNENKO also report on Rubio's statement welcoming the prisoner exchange agreement. (РБК-Україна, Басурин о главном, Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими, Оперативний ЗСУ, CNN, ТАСС, ASTRA, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, STERNENKO)
Veteran Support (Russia): A scandal regarding the burial of Russian servicemembers in Volgodonsk highlights potential issues with supporting veterans and fallen soldiers' families. The "Time of Heroes" program aims to train veterans for leadership roles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on this scandal. (БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС)

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

Ukraine: Actively defending against intense Russian assaults, inflicting casualties, and claiming downing of Russian aerial assets, including a Ka-52 helicopter with an FPV drone, but also reportedly lost an F-16. Utilizing drones for various purposes, including targeting Russian equipment and personnel, and reportedly destroying Russian equipment in Belgorod Oblast and striking Russian personnel with FPV drones. Seeking diplomatic solutions but maintaining their stance on key issues and viewing Russian demands as unacceptable. Preparing for a prisoner exchange and participating in a large-scale body exchange. Experiencing civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from Russian attacks, including shelling, drone attacks, and guided aerial bombs, including the tragic bus attack in Sumy Oblast. Experiencing ongoing counterintelligence efforts (criminal cases against a blogger, detention of alleged FSB agents). Receiving direct assistance from local governments, including equipment. Receiving support from international partners for reconstruction and medical needs. Facing the continued threat of anti-personnel mines. Working on adapting the legal framework during martial law. Polish MiG-29s are potentially being transferred. Volunteer legions are involved in combat and capturing Russian soldiers. Countering Russian information operations regarding territorial gains and the nature of targets. Promoting patriotic youth movements. Marine operators are demonstrating counter-drone tactics. Airborne forces claim destruction of a Russian crossing. Ukrainian forces stopped a Russian advance and destroyed equipment near Kupyansk. Repelled numerous Russian assaults across multiple axes yesterday, including Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Sieversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, and in Kursk region. Addressing power outages in frontline areas. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 and ASTRA report a Russian drone attack (potentially "Lancet") on a civilian bus in Sumy Oblast, resulting in fatalities and injuries. Офіс Генерального прокурора confirms the drone attack on the bus and initiates war crimes investigation. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак reports Russian FPV drone and artillery attacks in Nikopol district. Олександр Вілкул, citing the Ukrainian General Staff, reports significant Russian personnel and equipment losses on the front. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming the downing of a Russian Ka-52 helicopter with an FPV drone and claims to have captured a Russian servicemember and that airborne forces destroyed a Russian crossing and claims a strike on the Pokrovsk direction resulted in 127 Russian casualties. РБК-Україна reports criminal cases against blogger Anna Alkhim and Ukraine lost an F-16. They also report on the bus attack in Sumy Oblast. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on veteran health and rehabilitation efforts and promotes the "Bayda" youth movement and reports on power outages and reports 3 women injured in Orikhiv from a drone attack and announces an air raid alert. Олександр Вілкул reports on direct assistance to military units and humanitarian aid. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇺🇦 reports damage to the railway station building in Kherson from shelling and expresses outrage over the bus attack and is fundraising. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on the criminal proceedings against the blogger. Oleg Syniehubov reports on attending a justice forum in Kharkiv Oblast. ASTRA reports Russian shelling and fire in Kherson and shares photos and information on the bus attack, identifying victims as evacuating elderly women. They also report accusations of sexual offenses against minors by Russian military personnel and reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call explicitly stated Trump's call for an immediate ceasefire. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces are destroying Russian equipment in Belgorod Oblast with drones and reports on the bus attack and is fundraising and reports on Rubio's statement. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports on the situation in Torske, citing the commander of the 63rd Brigade. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing a Ukrainian FPV drone strike on Russian personnel carrying ammunition on the Pokrovsk direction and highlights Russian vehicle losses to Ukrainian kamikaze drones and reports on a scandal regarding burial of Russian servicemembers and shares video preview discussing combination of infantry, UAVs, and robotic systems. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video showing Ukrainian Marine operators demonstrating counter-drone tactics and reports on the bus attack. He also reports Ukrainian forces stopped a Russian advance and destroyed equipment near Kupyansk and reports on Rubio's statement. Рыбарь reports civilian casualties in Kherson Oblast due to AFU strikes and Ukrainian drone terror in Belgorod Oblast. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on alleged soldier desertion and reports on Rubio's statement. Zelenskiy / Official and КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) and РБК-Україна report on the fatalities and injuries from the bus attack in Sumy Oblast, with Zelenskyy stating a family was killed and calling for pressure on Russia. STERNENKO also reports on the bus attack with photos and on Rubio's statement. Liveuamap Source reports extensively on frontline clashes yesterday and Russian aviation airstrikes. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports claimed Ukrainian successes and Russian advances in the Kharkiv area. 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України shares a video highlighting their FPV drone work and includes recruitment/fundraising info. Привид Хортиці shares a video showcasing their drone strikes and includes fundraising/joining info. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, ASTRA, Офіс Генерального прокурора, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак, Олександр Вілкул, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Олег Синєгубов, STERNENKO, ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Рыбарь, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Zelenskiy / Official, КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація), Liveuamap Source, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України, Привид Хортиці)
Russia: Conducting intense ground assaults across multiple fronts, claiming tactical successes and liberation of settlements. Employing extensive air strikes with guided bombs, artillery, and MLRS. Utilizing a high number of kamikaze and other types of drones, including Lancet loitering munitions, for various tactical engagements. Undergoing changes in high-level command structure. Relying in part on public donations for equipment. Engaging in extensive information operations and propaganda. Experiencing casualties from mines and potentially significant losses, with concerns raised about the handling of fallen soldiers' burials. Maintaining a stance in negotiations that emphasizes previous agreements and rejects a ceasefire as a precondition. Participating in a large-scale body exchange and preparing for a prisoner exchange. Claiming advancements in "Geran" drone technology. Conducting infrastructure projects in some regions. Maintaining close military ties with Belarus. Accusing British authorities of trying to derail negotiations. Conducting internal security operations. Recruiting for new drone units. Claiming liberation of Volnoye Pole and completion of clearing Bogatyr. Utilizing naval special forces with new drone capabilities. Claiming the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from a Ukrainian drone. Claiming destruction of Ukrainian drone launchers and strongpoints, and Ukrainian equipment (BMP-1, MaxxPro, SAU «Гвоздика», Gazel, pickup trucks, mortars, UAV control points, Baba Yaga drones). Capturing Ukrainian servicemembers. Experiencing overcrowding and reported death at a Moscow migration center. Facing allegations of sexual offenses against minors by military personnel in occupied territories. Russian forces conducted numerous assaults across multiple axes yesterday, including Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Sieversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, and in Kursk region. Colonelcassad reports on the laying down of a new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship in Russia and showcases new Russian ground reconnaissance drones and shares photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants. Two Russian military bloggers provide a summary of the morning situation, reporting Russian advances in Sumy Oblast (Bilovody and surrounding areas) and on the Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Southern Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions (Mala Tokmachka, brick factory). They also report Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk border, ongoing battles, and Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment and infantry with FABs, artillery, and drones. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 434 Russian strikes, including aviation, drone, MLRS, and artillery, on 15 settlements within the past day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports claimed Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast using FAB-1500 and other means, claiming no civilian casualties. Сливочный каприз reports a Russian advance of 3 km near Раздольное towards Отрадное near Velyka Novosilka and reports capture of Александрополь. Басурин о главном shares a video likely showcasing the downing of a Ukrainian drone. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of Russian UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards northern Sumy Oblast and enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast heading towards southern Sumy and northern Kharkiv Oblasts and reports various Russian drone movements across Ukrainian oblasts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports claimed Ukrainian successes and Russian advances in the Kharkiv area and reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth. Alex Parker Returns shares an information operation piece related to Russia. ТАСС reports over 160 agricultural enterprises in Kursk Oblast have been affected by Ukrainian attacks, with estimated damage of 90 billion rubles. Mash на Донбассе reports the body of a seven-year-old girl was found in Berdyansk. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Colonelcassad, MoD Russia, Воин DV, Alex Parker Returns, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Народная милиция ДНР, Басурин о главном, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, Военкор Котенок, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Рыбарь, Два майора, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, Liveuamap Source, Старше Эдды, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Сливочный каприз, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Mash на Донбассе)
Third-Party Involvement: Turkey is playing a facilitating role in potential negotiations and proposed a prisoner exchange in three categories. The US is engaging in diplomatic efforts, including the trilateral meeting and separate discussions with the Russian delegation. Speculation continues regarding former US President Trump's potential involvement. NATO members are providing military aid to Ukraine, including potentially Polish MiG-29s. The Czech Republic is cooperating with Ukraine on reconstruction and medical support. The UN is involved in welcoming talks and offering support for peace efforts. France is conducting a large-scale naval exercise, adapting to modern drone threats. Diplomatic interactions involving Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Turkey are noted. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has arrived in Rome and met with Canadian Prime Minister Marc Carney. WarGonzo reports that Moldova and Germany have signed an agreement for the placement of a German military "consultative group" in Moldova. ASTRA reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call explicitly stated Trump's call for an immediate ceasefire and a US peace plan. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна also report on Rubio's statement emphasizing the US peace plan and the time to end the war. Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and STERNENKO also report on Rubio's statement. (ТАСС, Reuters, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ, ASTRA, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Два майора, Воин DV, Старше Эдды, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак, UN, CNN, Басурин о главном, Alex Parker Returns, Kotsnews, РБК-Україна, WarGonzo, STERNENKO)
Equipment and Tactics: Continued extensive use of drones by both sides, including "Geran," FPV drones, and reportedly "Baba Yaga," aircraft-type, and quadcopters. Employment of guided aerial bombs (FAB-3000, KABs), artillery, MLRS, and MANPADS. Use of boats for sabotage and reconnaissance (previously). Potential use of ATVs by Ukrainian infantry (targeted by Russian drones, previously). Poddubny emphasizes the enemy's (likely Ukrainian) extensive use of heavy drones capable of carrying significant payloads on the Krasnoarmeysk direction and the priority of destroying them (previously). STERNENKO highlights the effectiveness and cost-efficiency of using FPV interceptors to down Russian Shahed drones (previously). TSAPLIЕNKO_UKRAINE FIGHTS highlights the effectiveness of Igla MANPADS (previously). Dva Mayora reports on Ukrainian SSO tactics and equipment in Kursk, mentioning they are trained by Western instructors (previously). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА highlights the use of FPV drones for targeting enemy personnel and demonstrates the features and capabilities of a captured American Mark 19 automatic grenade launcher and compares it to the Russian AGS-17 (previously). The Russian Ministry of Defense highlights the effectiveness of Msta-S self-propelled howitzers, and mentions the use of tube artillery and cluster ammunition by Russian forces and the destruction of "Baba Yaga" type heavy UAVs in the liberation of Kotlyarovka, and the use of FPV drones and reconnaissance quadcopters (previously). Dnevnik Desantnika reports that enemy positions in Bilovody are well-fortified (previously). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike. Оперативний ЗСУ showcasing a drone with a grenade launcher. Президентська бригада ЗСУ shares a video from the 4th Battalion claiming successful FPV drone strikes against enemy infantry (previously). Colonelcassad shares a video of a "Solntsepyok" system operating on the Pokrovsk direction (previously). Voin DV reports on Russian units destroying a mortar crew position and an ammunition depot (previously), and claims destruction of a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone and a pickup truck with personnel by FPV drones (previously). Народная милиция ДНР claims a Ukrainian armored vehicle was damaged by a mine before being destroyed by a FPV drone. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory. Fundraising efforts for drones and signal amplifiers are ongoing within Russia, with Colonelcassad reporting funds collected for 62 motorcycles and transmission of 30 vehicles. Russian military bloggers claim increasing reports of destroyed Ukrainian equipment in the Kharkiv direction due to drone use. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' tactics near Bogatyr, including swift assaults and drone use. WarGonzo shares an anecdotal story about using a spoon to start a tank. The Russian Ministry of Defense daily briefing claims liberation of Mirolyubovka and details alleged Ukrainian losses. Colonelcassad shares a video from a captured Ukrainian phone allegedly showing brutal treatment of a Ukrainian soldier by his comrades in Kursk Oblast, likely intended to portray disarray in Ukrainian ranks. Colonelcassad reports on finding weapon caches in DPR, claiming they are for Ukrainian sabotage groups and include NATO-style weapons. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and a strongpoint in the Sumy region, a strongpoint in the Chernihiv region, a 120-mm mortar in Progress, an enemy temporary deployment point in Bachevsk, personnel in Mkhy, personnel at MA PP "Krest," an armored fighting vehicle in Loknya, and a communication tower with EW in Kamenskaya Sloboda. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction. STERNENKO shares a video claiming to show the downing of four Russian reconnaissance drones (Zala and Supercam) in the Sumy border region. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," using the term "ludolov" (man-catcher) which is a derogatory term used by Russian sources for Ukrainian recruiters, implying resistance to mobilization. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, describing the use of artillery and drones by both sides. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of UAV interceptor operators from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups of forces, claiming they are effectively destroying heavy Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters with FPV drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two strikes in Kramatorsk and three strikes in Mykolaiv (one in the suburb), one in Odesa, and two in Vinnytsia (one on a military training center, the other under investigation), indicating Russian targeting of military and logistical assets. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy is using a large amount of equipment in assaults on the Novopavlivka direction. Воин DV reports that fierce battles continue in the village of Bogatyr, with the enemy (Ukrainian forces) using a large number of FPV drones to slow down Russian advances. Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area, with Russian forward positions coming under Ukrainian shelling and Russian claims of limited advances. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video and appeals for donations for the acquisition of drones for special forces units, showcasing footage of drones in use. MoD Russia shares a video showcasing the work of FPV drone teams of the "Rubikon" Center in eliminating Ukrainian assets. Басурин о главном provides commentary on the war, comparing US and Ukrainian military capabilities. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a report about the creation of a new center in Germany by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin for the production of precision missiles (GMLRS, ATACMS, Hellfire). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by FPV interceptors in the South. Rybar reports on Russian advances in the Andreevskoe direction, detailing tactical movements and contested areas. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a compilation of drone strikes by the "Svyatogor" battalion on Ukrainian equipment and shelters. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS, highlighting successful tactical operations. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 84 enemy attacks as of 16:00 across multiple directions. WarGonzo reports on the development of a new Russian FPV drone-transformer called "Vobla" by soldiers of the 18th Army group, capable of carrying up to 7 kg. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces using FPV interceptors. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and an Uragan-1 MLRS, likely involving drone reconnaissance or targeting. MoD Russia shares a video claiming an FPV drone team neutralized a Ukrainian BTR-3DA armored personnel carrier in the Krasny Liman direction. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on the modernization of Ukrainian "Grad" MLRS using Western chassis and components. Colonelcassad shares photos of an exhibition of captured Western military equipment in Ufa, showcasing a variety of NATO-supplied vehicles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video alleging Russian mistreatment of Russian soldiers in a cistern in the Kherson direction, potentially related to disciplinary issues or refusal to fight. The Russian Ministry of Defense has released a video showing EOD specialists clearing mines in the Kharkiv direction, claiming they were laid by enemy UAVs at night, highlighting the use of mines and counter-mine tactics. Олег Синєгубов reports a Russian "Molniya" type UAV strike in the Kholodnohirskyi district of Kharkiv, indicating the specific use of this type of UAV. Военкор Котенок claims that units of the "Vostok" Group of Forces have advanced southwest of Bogatyr towards Otradnoe in the Novopavlivka direction, suggesting a continued reliance on infantry and possibly armored assaults in this area. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces are increasingly recruiting foreign gamers as drone operators, particularly from Western countries, citing dissatisfaction with Trump's policies as a driver. A controversial mural in the Moscow Oblast, depicting a soldier, was painted over following local complaints that the image was also used by Ukrainian forces, including the Azov battalion, and was allegedly AI-generated, highlighting the complexities of symbolism, propaganda, and the use of AI in military messaging. Russian military bloggers are promoting t-shirts with nationalistic or potentially provocative slogans and symbols, indicating continued information operations and attempts to garner support. STERNENKO shares a video from the 71st Separate Jaeger Brigade claiming to have destroyed 10 Russian personnel on the Novopavlivka direction, likely using combined tactics. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukraine's HUR showcasing the launch of long-range drones and missiles, highlighting the use of standoff weapons. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian positions on the Southern Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on the Soledar direction. MoD Russia and Старше Эдды report the liberation of Myroliubivka in Donetsk People's Republic. Mash на Донбассе shares a video featuring a Russian serviceman from the Pokrovsk direction discussing the capture of Kotlyarovka, claiming it was achieved with 12 men on 6 motorcycles. Президентська бригада ЗСУ shares a video of the first combat use of a drone with a grenade launcher on the Novopavlivka direction, demonstrating the integration of drone and direct fire capabilities. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming successful destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment using drones in Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the work of "Rubikon" drone operators on the Donetsk Direction, with a list of alleged targets including various Ukrainian equipment and positions. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces used an FPV drone to hit a vehicle and then finish off a Russian soldier, illustrating a specific FPV drone engagement. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down three Russian Zala UAVs (including a Zala Z-20), showcasing successful air defense tactics. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for equipment, including motorcycles and drone detectors. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming to show Russian air defense (Igla MANPADS) destroying targets on the Soledar direction. STERNENKO shares a video from the 1st Motorized Infantry Battalion of the 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade claiming to have destroyed a Russian Impuls-M ground robotic platform with a new combat module on the Donetsk direction. Сергій Лисак reports Russian attacks on Nikopol district and Novopavlivka community using FPV drones, a kamikaze drone, and artillery. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from the Third Assault Brigade claiming successful strikes and destruction of Russian vehicles and a ground robotic platform on the Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video and photo claiming the destruction of various Western vehicles by Russian "Rubikon" drone operators. TASS reports, citing "siloviki", that Ukrainian units are suffering colossal losses in the areas of Bilovody, Loknya, and Vodolagi in Sumy Oblast, and that Ukrainian reserves are regularly destroyed. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian assets in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russian military bloggers are reporting the Ukrainian Armed Forces are forming a new 16th Army Corps. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation. Олександр Вілкул reports on significant aid sent from Kryvyi Rih to the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade and the 21st Brigade of the National Guard, including pickups, charging stations, and equipment. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports a total of 128 combat engagements across all fronts over the past day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russian offensive actions on the Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Prydniprovskyi, and Kursk directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports repelling Russian attacks on the Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports claimed Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction (324 personnel neutralized, 159 irrecoverably) and claimed destruction or damage of various Russian equipment. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video promoting a new tactical AK belt from "Moskit," highlighting ongoing production and availability of military equipment. Colonelcassad reports on the exhibition of new Russian RPL-7 and RPL-20 light machine guns by Kalashnikov Concern. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing Russian drone operators deflecting attacks by Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels ("bezэkipazhnykh katerov") belonging to the "Vosmerka" squad. РБК-Україна shares a video showcasing Ukrainian forces intercepting various Russian drones, including "Molniya-2", Zala Z-16, Supercam S350, and "Orlan-10". Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, highlighting the ongoing need for equipment. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares photos of an artillery piece firing. Russia claims advances in the DPR after the truce. Russian Ministry of Defense reports Russian Defense Minister Belousov is on a working visit to Belarus. Russian military bloggers report on ongoing fighting in the Kupyansk direction, with mutual artillery and drone activity. Russian military bloggers report that on the Zaporizhzhia direction, Russian forces have taken five enemy strongholds. They detail tactics used by both sides, including extensive use of FPV drones, "Baba Yaga" drones, and mine-laying by drones. Russian military bloggers report on the situation in the Novodanilivka and Mala Tokmachka areas, claiming Russian advances and control of a brick factory in Mala Tokmachka. Russian military bloggers provide a summary of Russian Air Force activity on the Zaporizhzhia direction, claiming strikes against Ukrainian positions, temporary deployment points, drone assembly sites, ammunition depots, command posts, and other targets. Russian military bloggers highlight losses of Russian soldiers in the Toretsk area, reporting that most are destroyed by drones and artillery before reaching Ukrainian positions. Russian military bloggers claim that units of the 36th Combined Arms Army used artillery to strike two UAV control points and a temporary deployment point, and FPV drones destroyed a retransmitter antenna, a "MAXX PRO" armored vehicle, and two pickup trucks, disrupting troop rotation. Russian military bloggers report on ongoing fighting in the Kupyansk direction, with mutual artillery and drone activity. Russian military bloggers report that on the Zaporizhzhia direction, daily works barrel artillery in two-sided order. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video claiming destruction of a Ukrainian mortar and mortar crew by artillery fire. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports mutual artillery work on the Kupyansk direction. ISW assesses that Russian forces are pressing and advancing in the Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Pokrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions. ISW maps indicate Russian advances and significant fighting in the Novopavlivka, Donetsk, Toretsk, Zaporizhzhia, Belgorod, Sumy, Luhansk, and Kherson directions. Colonelcassad reports on the laying down of a new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship in Russia and showcases new Russian ground reconnaissance drones. Two Russian military bloggers provide a summary of the morning situation, reporting Russian advances in Sumy Oblast (Bilovody and surrounding areas) and on the Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Southern Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions (Mala Tokmachka, brick factory). They also report Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk border, ongoing battles, and Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment and infantry with FABs, artillery, and drones. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 434 Russian strikes, including aviation, drone, MLRS, and artillery, on 15 settlements within the past day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast using FAB-1500 and other means. Сливочный каприз reports a Russian advance of 3 km near Раздольное towards Отрадное near Velyka Novosilka and reports capture of Александрополь. Басурин о главном shares a video likely showcasing the downing of a Ukrainian drone. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of Russian UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards northern Sumy Oblast, a group in northern Kharkiv Oblast heading south, a group in southern Kharkiv Oblast heading north, "Shaheds" in eastern Poltava Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast, "Shaheds" in eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast heading west, and "Shaheds" in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast heading towards Zaporizhzhia city and enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast heading towards southern Sumy and northern Kharkiv Oblasts and reports various Russian drone movements across Ukrainian oblasts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports claimed Ukrainian successes and Russian advances in the Kharkiv area and reports on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth. Alex Parker Returns shares an information operation piece related to Russia. ТАСС reports over 160 agricultural enterprises in Kursk Oblast have been affected by Ukrainian attacks, with estimated damage of 90 billion rubles. Mash на Донбассе reports the body of a seven-year-old girl was found in Berdyansk. (23:11, 23:14, 23:19, 23:24, 23:25, 23:27, 23:30, 00:00, 00:06, 00:11, 00:45, 00:51, 01:02, 01:04, 01:03, 01:40, 02:03, 02:06, 02:33, 02:34, 03:02, 03:26, 03:33, Colonelcassad, Два майора, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Сливочный каприз, Басурин о главном, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Alex Parker Returns, ТАСС, Mash на Донбассе)

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

The continued widespread and dynamic Russian drone activity across multiple Ukrainian oblasts, as detailed in the latest reports and confirmed by the Ukrainian Air Force, remains a significant strategic challenge for Ukraine. This persistent aerial threat necessitates the sustained operation and adaptation of air defense systems across the entire country and suggests Russian efforts to maintain pressure, gather intelligence, or target infrastructure beyond the immediate front lines. The constant course changes of drones highlight adaptive Russian tactics, requiring flexible countermeasures. The continued detailed tracking of numerous drone groups, with specific directions and potential targets like Starokostiantyniv (potentially an airfield), indicates a continued focus on degrading infrastructure and military assets across a broad area. The further reported movements and locations of remaining drones in various oblasts provide real-time intelligence on the ongoing aerial threat and necessitate continuous air defense posture. The reports of widespread Russian "Geran" drone strikes overnight on multiple Ukrainian oblasts, including Odesa, Kharkiv, Chernihiv, Cherkasy, Vinnytsia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Poltava, indicate a broad and coordinated Russian aerial campaign targeting various regions. The reports of new groups of Russian UAVs heading towards Dnipropetrovsk/Poltava and Kyiv Oblasts further emphasize the dynamic nature of the Russian aerial threat and the need for continuous air defense posture across central Ukraine.
The Russian claim of their UAV operators pressuring Ukrainian forces from the flanks in the village of Volne Pole in southern Donetsk Oblast, if accurate, suggests localized tactical gains and highlights the strategic importance of drones in shaping the ground combat situation. While the scale of this claim needs verification, it points to the continued Russian objective of making incremental advances in Donetsk. The ISW assessment of Ukrainian advances on the Pokrovsk direction is a significant strategic development, indicating Ukraine's capability to conduct offensive operations and potentially regain territory in a key area of intense combat. Conversely, the ISW assessment of Russian forces pressing and advancing in the Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Pokrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions highlights the continued strategic pressure applied by Russia on multiple fronts and indicates ongoing tactical successes that contribute to their broader strategic objectives. The maps provided by RBC-Ukraine offer crucial visual context for understanding the assessed front lines, areas of advances, fortifications, and locations of significant fighting. Two Russian military bloggers claiming Russian forces are enveloping a large Ukrainian defensive pocket near Aleksandropol - Staraya Nikolaevka - Romanovka on the Konstantinovka direction, and reporting battles for Mirolyubovka and surrounding areas on the Pokrovsk direction with encirclement near Ekaterinovka, and advances near Bogatyr and Volne Pole on the Southern Donetsk direction, and advances and capture of a brick factory near Mala Tokmachka on the Zaporizhzhia front, if verified, indicate significant strategic gains for Russia in multiple key areas of the front and a potential shift in momentum in their favor in these specific sectors. This information is crucial for understanding the evolving ground situation and allocating resources accordingly. Оперативний ЗСУ claiming a strike on the Pokrovsk direction resulted in 127 Russian casualties, if accurate, represents a significant strategic blow to Russian forces in this key area. Сливочный каприз reporting a Russian advance of 3 km near Раздольное towards Отрадное near Velyka Novosilka and capture of Александрополь, if verified, signifies strategic gains in the South Donetsk and Horlivka areas respectively.
The stated intention by German Chancellor Merz for the EU to adopt a new package of sanctions against Russia on May 20th, linked to the outcome of potential negotiations and Putin's actions, represents a clear strategic use of economic pressure as leverage in the diplomatic process. This puts additional pressure on Russia to engage in meaningful talks or face further economic consequences.
The detailed reporting of Russian strikes on civilian areas in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day highlights the strategic objective of degrading civilian infrastructure and impacting the population, potentially to undermine morale and support for the Ukrainian government. The scale and variety of attacks underscore the intensity of Russian efforts in this region. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reporting 434 Russian strikes on 15 settlements within the past day, including aviation, drone, MLRS, and artillery strikes, further emphasizes the intensity and scale of Russian efforts to degrade civilian infrastructure and impact the population in this region. While no civilian casualties are reported in this specific message, the damage to residential and other structures highlights the continued humanitarian impact and strategic objective of pressuring the civilian population. The report of 3 women injured in Orikhiv from a drone attack further highlights the ongoing impact on civilians in frontline areas. Mash на Донбассе reporting the body of a seven-year-old girl was found in Berdyansk is a tragic incident that highlights the dangerous environment in occupied territories.
The Ukrainian Naval Forces report of minimal Russian naval presence in the Black and Azov Seas as of 06:00 on May 17th is a significant strategic intelligence update. This could influence Ukrainian maritime strategy, including potential efforts to open shipping lanes or conduct operations in these areas, while still considering the threat from the Mediterranean and the consistent Kerch Strait activity. The Ukrainian Navy and General Staff confirming no Russian missile carriers in the Black and Azov Seas as of 06:00 on May 17, 2025, is a key strategic intelligence update, potentially impacting Ukrainian maritime operations and defensive posture in these areas. The continued presence of a Kalibr carrier in the Mediterranean poses a strategic threat from a different direction, and the ongoing transit of vessels through the Kerch Strait remains strategically relevant for monitoring Russian logistics.
The Russian military blogger's attempt to frame a strike on Sumy as a successful military action on a tank repair base is a strategic information operation aimed at controlling the narrative around Russian strikes and countering Ukrainian claims of targeting civilian objects. This highlights the importance of verifying information from all sources. The report of Russia attacking a regular bus near Bilopillia in Sumy Oblast, with casualties, is a significant incident with humanitarian implications and highlights the continued risk to civilians in border regions. This will likely be used in Ukrainian strategic messaging to highlight Russian aggression. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claiming Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast, including using a FAB-1500 and aviation bombs and destroying a group of drone operators and a DRG gathering point, and claiming no civilian casualties, is presented as a counter-narrative and information operation to deflect blame for the attack on the civilian bus.
The renewed air raid alert and ballistic missile threat in Zaporizhzhia Oblast underscored the continued strategic threat posed by Russian missile capabilities, requiring ongoing vigilance and readiness for air defense responses. The clearing of this alert is a temporary relief. The announcement of an air raid alert across the entire Zaporizhzhia Oblast indicates a potential widespread threat of Russian aerial attack in the region, necessitating prompt defensive measures.
The loss of a Ukrainian F-16 aircraft, while unfortunate, provides valuable operational data for strategic analysis of both Ukrainian air defense effectiveness and potential vulnerabilities of the aircraft or tactics employed. The successful recovery of the pilot is a positive outcome for training and future operational planning.
The intense Russian shelling and drone attacks on civilian areas in Nikopol and the Marhanets community in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast are a clear strategic effort to pressure and terrorize the civilian population and potentially disrupt vital infrastructure. This highlights the ongoing targeting of civilian areas as a Russian tactic.
Russian claims of destroying Ukrainian equipment and strongholds on the border and in the Southern Donetsk direction are part of their strategic narrative to demonstrate military effectiveness and territorial gains. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reporting claimed Ukrainian successes and Russian advances in the Kharkiv area, including the destruction of Ukrainian equipment and the claimed clearing of houses in Vovchansk, contributes to this narrative.
Russian commentary on the potential for negotiations in Istanbul and the legitimacy of the process, as reported by TASS, is a strategic effort to shape the diplomatic narrative and potentially influence international perceptions of the conflict and its potential resolution. Two Russian military bloggers highlighting the ongoing negotiations in Istanbul in their morning summary, emphasizing Kyiv's demands and Moscow's conditions, is part of the broader strategic information operation surrounding these talks. ASTRA reports the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call explicitly stated Trump's call for an immediate ceasefire and a US peace plan, which was not in the Russian account, highlighting the differing narratives and potential obstacles to negotiation. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна and Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and STERNENKO also reporting on Rubio's statement emphasizing the US peace plan and the time to end the war underscores the strategic importance of this diplomatic messaging.
The award given to a Russian documentary film about the conflict is a strategic information operation aimed at shaping narratives, bolstering domestic support, and potentially influencing international perceptions of the conflict and Russian military personnel.
The ISW assessment of both Ukrainian advances on the Pokrovsk direction and Russian advances on multiple directions (Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Pokrovsk, Zaporizhzhia) provides a critical and potentially more objective strategic overview of the current battlefield dynamics than the often-conflicting claims from the belligerents themselves. This comprehensive assessment is crucial for informed strategic decision-making.
The report of delays for several Ukrainian trains on the Uzhhorod - Kyiv and Uzhhorod - Zaporizhzhia routes, even due to technical work, can have minor strategic implications by potentially impacting the movement of personnel or supplies, although the scale of the impact depends on the duration and capacity of alternative routes.
The claim by two Russian military bloggers of a Ukrainian drone strike on an ammunition depot in Perevalne, Crimea, if confirmed, represents a strategic objective for Ukraine to target Russian military infrastructure in occupied territory. This would likely be used by Russia for strategic messaging to justify further actions and frame Ukraine as unwilling to de-escalate.
The report by two Russian military bloggers of intense combat and three unsuccessful Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Tetkino direction (Kursk border) highlights a significant strategic focus by Ukraine on challenging Russian control in border regions, potentially to divert resources or create pressure. The reported Ukrainian drone and artillery strikes targeting civilian infrastructure in this area also have strategic implications for impacting the Russian civilian population and potentially creating internal pressure. ТАСС reporting over 160 agricultural enterprises in Kursk Oblast have been affected by Ukrainian attacks, with estimated damage of 90 billion rubles, highlights the significant economic impact of Ukrainian cross-border actions.
Two Russian military bloggers claiming Russian advances in Sumy Oblast (Bilovody and surrounding areas), if verified, would represent a strategic gain for Russia in this northern border region, potentially expanding the conflict zone and putting pressure on new areas.
The report by two Russian military bloggers of civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast from Ukrainian drone and artillery strikes highlights the strategic targeting of Russian border regions and the resulting humanitarian impact. This will likely be used by Russia for strategic messaging to portray Ukraine as targeting civilians.
The reports by two Russian military bloggers of Russian advances on the Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Southern Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia directions, with claims of enveloping Ukrainian positions and capturing key locations, if verified, indicate strategic progress for Russia in multiple critical areas of the front. This suggests a renewed or sustained Russian offensive effort with potential for significant territorial gains. Оперативний ЗСУ claiming a strike on the Pokrovsk direction resulted in 127 Russian casualties, if accurate, represents a significant strategic blow to Russian forces in this key area.
The report by two Russian military bloggers of civilian fatalities and shelling of settlements in Kherson Oblast from alleged Ukrainian strikes has strategic implications for the information war and could be used by Russia to portray Ukraine negatively.
Colonelcassad reporting on the laying down of a new mine countermeasures ship in Russia has strategic implications for Russia's long-term naval capabilities and modernization efforts. Showcasing new Russian ground reconnaissance drones highlights adaptation and technological development in reconnaissance tactics.
Operation Z: Russian Spring War Correspondents sharing a video promoting a Russian series framed as propaganda against abortion and about saving children's lives indicates a strategic effort to address internal social issues and potentially bolster the Russian population, which is relevant in the context of a protracted conflict and potential demographic challenges.
The reports of accusations of sexual offenses against minors by Russian military personnel in occupied territories are strategically significant from a humanitarian and information warfare perspective. Such reports, regardless of verification, can severely damage the image of Russian forces and be used by Ukraine and its allies to highlight alleged human rights abuses, influencing international opinion and potentially impacting the legitimacy of Russian control over occupied areas.
The Israeli military operation in the Gaza Strip signifies a major geopolitical event that draws international attention and resources, potentially impacting the broader strategic landscape and the focus of international actors.
The reported strategic targeting of a Ukrainian air detection radar by an Iskander-M missile near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, if confirmed, aims to degrade Ukraine's air defense capabilities in that area.
The reported deployment of "Aidar" fighters by Ukrainian forces near the border with Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, as claimed by Russian sources, suggests a potential increase in Ukrainian military presence and activity in this region, which could lead to increased Russian military focus and potential engagements.
Alleged corruption in Ukrainian arms procurement, as highlighted by Russian sources citing Financial Times, is strategically significant as it attempts to undermine international confidence in Ukraine's ability to effectively utilize military aid, which could potentially impact the level and flow of future military assistance.
The movements of new groups of Russian drones towards Chernihiv and Khmelnytskyi Oblasts are strategically significant as they indicate Russia's continued and potentially expanding efforts to strike targets in different regions of Ukraine, requiring a broad and adaptable Ukrainian air defense posture.
The reported presence of a Turkish military ship and a cargo ship from Istanbul in the Odesa port, with military personnel and potentially significant military cargo being unloaded, is strategically significant as it suggests continued international support for Ukraine through military aid and logistical deliveries.
The announcement of the first Russian-Arab summit in Cairo is a significant diplomatic development indicating Russia's efforts to strengthen ties with the Arab world, which could have implications for its international standing and potential support on the global stage.
The commencement of direct negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul is a crucial strategic development, opening a potential path for de-escalation, although the maximalist Russian demands and Russia's refusal of a ceasefire as a precondition indicate significant challenges in reaching a settlement.
The claimed Russian advance near Velyka Novosilka and capture of Александрополь represents claimed strategic gains in the South Donetsk and Horlivka areas respectively.
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's diplomatic engagements in Rome, meeting with the Canadian Prime Minister, highlight continued high-level efforts to garner international support.
The agreement for a German military "consultative group" in Moldova is a significant international strategic development in a country bordering Ukraine, indicating increased Western military engagement and potential strengthening of Moldova's defense capabilities.
The reported increased casualties in Orikhiv from a Russian drone attack and the air raid alert across Zaporizhzhia Oblast highlight the continued impact of Russian attacks on civilians and the need for continued vigilance and air defense.
The report of a child's body found in Berdyansk is a tragic incident that underscores the dangerous environment in occupied territories.
Colonelcassad sharing photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants in Shadrinsk and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reporting on President Putin signing a decree to celebrate the 300th anniversary of A.V. Suvorov's birth are strategic efforts to commemorate military actions and bolster national identity and support for the conflict.
Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reporting claimed Ukrainian successes and Russian advances in the Kharkiv area provides a Ukrainian perspective on claimed military successes and losses in this key area.
46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України and Привид Хортиці highlighting their FPV drone work and including recruitment and fundraising information demonstrates Ukrainian adaptation of tactics and ongoing efforts to acquire personnel and resources, which are strategically important for sustaining the conflict.

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

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