Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 10, 2025, 02:10 UTC)
Updated Situation
The operational environment remains defined by ongoing ground combat and persistent Russian aerial activity. New reports confirm renewed launches of guided aerial bombs (KABs) targeting Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts, contradicting any notion of a widespread ceasefire. Russian information operations surrounding Victory Day are extensive, and diplomatic exchanges continue to highlight differing perspectives on conflict resolution. The significant escalation between India and Pakistan, with Pakistan's announcement of a large-scale military operation and continued airspace closures, remains a major regional development. Reports of a captured Ukrainian servicewoman and alleged mistreatment of Russian prisoners of war continue to be used for propaganda. A new report highlights an internal Russian issue concerning scamming activities. Recent messages reiterate Russian positions on negotiations and the role of the US in potential mediation. A new report details a completed corruption case against a former senior official in the Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations.
New information further details Russian aerial activity, reinforces Russian negotiation stances, and adds information on an internal Russian legal matter.
Launches of KABs Towards Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts:Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs (KABs) towards Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts. This indicates continued Russian aerial operations and the use of precision-guided munitions against targets in these regions. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)
Completed Corruption Case Against Former Russian Official:TASS reports that the criminal case regarding a particularly large bribe against the former head of the Samara Main Directorate of the Ministry of Emergency Situations, General Oleg Boyko, has been completed and is being sent to court. This indicates ongoing efforts within Russia to address corruption, even at senior levels of government structures. (ТАСС)
Russian Reinforcement of Negotiation Stances:РБК-Україна, citing ABC News, reports that Dmitry Peskov reiterated that for a ceasefire, the West must stop supplying weapons to Ukraine.He also repeated the claims that Kyiv is allegedly trying to avoid negotiations and expressed hope that mediation, including from the US and Trump, will help bring "a little more flexibility, political will, and wisdom to the Kyiv regime." These messages reinforce Russia's consistent position on the conditions for a truce and their view on the obstacles to negotiations and the potential role of external actors. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна)
Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)
Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovsk Direction, Dzerzhinsk/Toretsk, Romanivka, Oleksandropil, Nova Poltavka, Makeyevka, Orikhiv Direction, LPR/DPR Occupied Territories): Russian forces continue reporting advances. Launches of KABs are detected towards Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad shares videos and photos related to alleged atrocities and ongoing operations. Operatsiya Z: Voenkory Russkoy Vesny reports claims about Ukrainian psychological operations. Colonelcassad shares videos related to alleged mistreatment of Russian POWs and monument restoration. Launches of KABs towards Donetsk are reported.(DeepState, DeepState, DeepState, DeepState, DeepState, DeepState, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Sumy Oblast (Bunyakino, Sukhodol, Novovasilievka, Bachevsk): Civilian casualties reported due to Russian shelling. Rocket danger announced. Russian forces claim destruction of Ukrainian assets. New launches of KABs towards Sumy Oblast are reported. Launches of KABs towards Sumy are reported.(Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Chernihiv Oblast (Klyusy, Gorsk): Russian forces claim destruction of Ukrainian assets, including UAV control points. (Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)
Kursk Border Region (including Tetkino): Continued active engagement and reported Ukrainian attempts at incursions. Russian military bloggers report engagements and fundraising. (Previous reporting, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Odesa Oblast (Reni): Firework display reported, attributed to "partisans" by Russian sources. (Два майора, Два майора)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Missile danger announced and cleared. Military personnel of the Russian "Vostok" grouping conducted an auto rally to congratulate civilians. Colonelcassad shares a video about monument restoration. (Previous reporting, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)
Kapustin Yar Test Site (Astrakhan and Volgograd/Saratov Oblasts, Russia): Airspace closure suggests planned missile testing or activity. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Alex Parker Returns, Alex Parker Returns, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Rawalpindi, Pakistan: Powerful explosion reported, believed to be an Indian strike. Fire reported. Conflicting claims of interceptions. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ТАСС)
Islamabad, Pakistan: Air defense systems actively working. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна)
Amritsar, India: Four explosions reported. Pakistan claims five ballistic missiles hit. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Adampur, India: Pakistan claims one ballistic missile hit. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Rafiki Airbase (near Shorkot, Jang district, Pakistan): Pakistan claims interception of Indian cruise missiles. India claims strikes. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ТАСС)
Murid Airbase, Pakistan: Pakistan claims India launched "air-to-ground" missiles. India claims strikes. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ТАСС)
Shorkot Airbase, Pakistan: Pakistan claims India launched "air-to-ground" missiles and intercepted cruise missiles. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна)
Kyiv: High-level European leaders are in Kyiv. (ТАСС, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна)
Moscow: Reports indicate the presence of foreign leaders for Victory Day. Commemorative events. Putin's meetings. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС)
New York (UN Headquarters): Russian Permanent Mission organized a commemorative event. (ТАСС, ТАСС)
India-Pakistan Border Region: Pakistan initiated a large-scale military operation and temporarily closed its airspace. Pakistan claims striking Indian airbases and a BrahMos missile storage depot. (ТАСС, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ASTRA)
Pathankot Airfield, India: Pakistan claims to have struck this airfield. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ASTRA)
Udhampur Air Force Base, India: Pakistan claims to have struck this airbase. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ASTRA)
Beas, India: Pakistan claims to have struck a BrahMos missile storage depot here. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ASTRA)
Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):
Drone Activity: Russian and Ukrainian drone activity continues. Claims of drone attacks and interceptions on both sides. Fundraising efforts for drones. (Previous reporting, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Alex Parker Returns, Alex Parker Returns, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна)
Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Repeated launches of KABs towards Sumy Oblast and Donetsk Oblast are reported. Launches of KABs towards Donetsk and Sumy are reported.(Previous reporting, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Missile Activity: Missile danger announced in southern Ukraine. Airspace closed over Kapustin Yar test site. Reports of potential Iranian supply of missiles to Russia. India and Pakistan report exchanges involving ballistic and cruise missiles. (Previous reporting, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Alex Parker Returns, Alex Parker Returns, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ТАСС, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ASTRA)
Aviation Activity: Activity of enemy tactical aviation reported on southeastern and northeastern directions. Potential Indian air strike on a Pakistani Air Force Base. Pakistan claims India launched "air-to-ground" missiles. India claims strikes on Pakistani airbases. Pakistan has announced the temporary closure of its airspace. (Previous reporting, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ТАСС, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, ТАСС, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ASTRA)
Naval Activity: No new specific naval engagements reported. Ukrainian maritime drone operations suggested. (Previous reporting, Previous reporting)
Air Defense Activity: Air defense systems active over Islamabad, Pakistan. Pakistan claims interceptions. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна)
Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):
Victory Day Narratives: Extensive Russian information operations around Victory Day continue, emphasizing historical narratives and linking them to the ongoing conflict. Celebratory events are reported. Foreign leaders are in Moscow for celebrations. Russian officials are making statements related to the holiday. (Previous reporting, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, Kadyrov_95, Kadyrov_95, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Alex Parker Returns, Alex Parker Returns, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ТАСС, ТАСС, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ТАСС, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ТАСС, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)
International Efforts for Peace: Discussions regarding a 30-day ceasefire proposal continue. Different perspectives on negotiations and the role of mediators are highlighted. TASS reports Peskov stated that Ukraine wants to avoid negotiations.TASS reports Peskov stated that a temporary truce must include a cessation of arms supplies to Ukraine.TASS reports Peskov stated Russia hopes US mediation will help convince Kyiv to be more flexible.Colonelcassad reports European Parliamentarians are calling for dialogue with Russia due to the risk of nuclear war.РБК-Україна, citing ABC News, reports Peskov reiterated that for a ceasefire, the West must stop supplying weapons to Ukraine and repeated claims of Kyiv avoiding negotiations and the potential role of US/Trump mediation.(Previous reporting, Previous reporting, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ТАСС, ТАСС, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна)
Russia-Brazil Relations: The topic of Ukraine was raised during Putin's meeting with Brazilian President Lula da Silva. (Previous reporting)
Russia-Slovakia Relations: Putin valued Slovak Prime Minister Fico's attendance at Victory Day celebrations, and Fico's stance on sanctions and energy supplies were highlighted. (Previous reporting, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна)
Internal Ukrainian Politics: Bail posted for a former official. Discussion of EU accession timeline. Concerns raised about Hungarian intelligence activities. Alleged forced mobilization claimed by Russian sources. Captured Ukrainian servicewoman used for propaganda. (Previous reporting, Previous reporting, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)
Internal Russian Politics: Comments on a ceasefire. Daily figures on claimed Ukrainian losses. Victory Day celebrations are a major focus. Meeting with foreign leaders. Statements on international relations. Corruption case reported. TASS reports the completion of a criminal case against a former senior Ministry of Emergency Situations official.(Previous reporting, Previous reporting, Previous reporting, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, Kadyrov_95, Kadyrov_95, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ТАСС, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, ТАСС)
Iran-Russia Relations: Reuters sources report Iran is preparing to supply launch systems for Fath-360 short-range ballistic missiles to Russia. (Оперативный ЗСУ, Оперативный ЗСУ)
Russia-Uzbekistan Relations: Putin met with the President of Uzbekistan. (ТАСС, ТАСС)
US-China Relations: Donald Trump comments on potential for a fair trade deal. (ТАСС)
India-Pakistan Conflict: Escalation reported with alleged strikes and explosions. Pakistan announced a large-scale military operation and temporary airspace closure. Pakistan claims striking Indian airbases and a BrahMos missile storage depot. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ASTRA)
European Leaders Visit to Kyiv: High-level European leaders are in Kyiv. (ТАСС, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна)
Russia-US Relations: Russian Ambassador's statement on restoring relations. Former US President Trump's call for an end to the war. EU joined the US in calling for a ceasefire. TASS reports Peskov stated Russia hopes US mediation will help convince Kyiv to be more flexible.(ТАСС, ТАСС, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ТАСС)
Poland-Ukraine Relations: Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk is in Kyiv. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна)
Hungary-EU Relations: Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade Péter Szijjártó's statement on delaying peace talks. (ТАСС, ТАСС)
European Parliament:Colonelcassad reports that a number of moderate European Parliamentarians are calling for dialogue with Russia due to the risk of nuclear war.(Colonelcassad)
Internal Russian Issues (Updated):
Internal Security: Continued reports of security incidents. Firework display attributed to "partisans." Destruction of Ukrainian UAV control points claimed. Airspace closure. Scammer activity reported. TASS reports on scammers using the theme of polyclinics to steal money through remote access applications.(Previous reporting, Два майора, Два майора, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Alex Parker Returns, Alex Parker Returns, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ТАСС)
Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian claims of successful offensive operations and drone effectiveness. Military blogger reporting and fundraising. Use of tactical aviation and KABs. Potential Iranian missile supply. Military commemoration events and imagery. TASS reports the completion of a criminal case against a former senior Ministry of Emergency Situations official, which could have implications for the perception of internal processes within related structures.Launches of KABs towards Donetsk and Sumy are reported, indicating continued operational capability.(Previous reporting, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Previous reporting, Previous reporting, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Alex Parker Returns, Alex Parker Returns, Оперативный ЗСУ, Оперативный ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Civilian Casualties: Civilian casualties reported in Sumy Oblast due to Russian shelling. Alleged forced mobilization claimed by Russian sources. Alleged mistreatment of Russian POWs claimed by Russian sources. (Previous reporting, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)
Information Control and Censorship: Extensive information campaigning around Victory Day. Use of historical narratives and events for propaganda. Alleged negative information about Ukraine disseminated. Use of AI-generated content for propaganda. (Previous reporting, Alex Parker Returns, Alex Parker Returns, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ТАСС, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, ТАСС)
Military Commemoration and Information Operations: Victory Day celebrations and associated events are a major focus, including parades, memorials, and historical narratives. Use of military personnel in commemorative events. (Previous reporting, Previous reporting, Previous reporting, Previous reporting, Previous reporting, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ТАСС, ТАСС, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ТАСС, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)
Public Support for the Military: Fundraising efforts and cultural events indicate continued public support. (Previous reporting, Previous reporting, Previous reporting, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Kadyrov_95, Kadyrov_95, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Corruption:TASS reports the completion of a criminal case regarding a large bribe against the former head of the Samara Main Directorate of the Ministry of Emergency Situations, General Oleg Boyko. This indicates ongoing efforts to address corruption within Russia. (ТАСС)
Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)
Humanitarian Situation: Civilian casualties and damage reported. Alleged forced mobilization and mistreatment of POWs claimed by Russian sources. (Previous reporting, Previous reporting, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)
Cultural Support: Cultural events for military personnel. Monument restoration claimed. (Previous reporting, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)
Russia: Continuing offensive operations with artillery, guided bombs, and drones. Engaging in border regions. Utilizing extensive information operations. Conducting shellings resulting in civilian casualties. Reports of advances. Airspace closure over test site suggests planned missile activity. Potential Iranian missile supply. Military commemoration and imagery. Engaged in military exchanges with India as reported by Pakistan. Launches of KABs towards Donetsk and Sumy are reported, indicating continued use of these munitions.(Previous reporting, DeepState, DeepState, DeepState, DeepState, DeepState, DeepState, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Alex Parker Returns, Alex Parker Returns, Оперативный ЗСУ, Оперативный ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Ukraine: Continuing defensive and limited offensive operations. Utilizing drones. Seeking international support and aid. Countering Russian information operations. Experiencing shelling and civilian casualties. Concerns about Hungarian intelligence. Engaged in potential military exchanges with Pakistan as reported by India. Hosting European leaders. Alleged forced mobilization claimed by Russian sources. Calling for a ceasefire. (Previous reporting, Previous reporting, Previous reporting, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна)
Pakistan: Engaged in escalating conflict with India. Announced a large-scale military operation and temporary airspace closure. Claims striking Indian airbases and a BrahMos missile storage depot. (ТАСС, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ASTRA)
India: Engaged in escalating conflict with Pakistan. Previously halted flights at numerous airports. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна)
Strategic Considerations (Updated)
The continued launches of KABs towards Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts underscore that Russian military operations, particularly aerial strikes, are ongoing despite any public messaging around a ceasefire. This indicates a disconnect between rhetorical claims and battlefield reality.
Peskov's reiterated statements on the conditions for a ceasefire and his framing of Ukraine as unwilling to negotiate, along with expressing hope for US influence, reinforce Russia's consistent diplomatic stance and their likely approach to any future peace discussions. This suggests that Russia's terms for a truce remain the cessation of Western military aid to Ukraine.
The reported completion of the criminal case against a former senior official in the Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations, while not directly related to the conflict, indicates that internal legal processes and efforts to address corruption are ongoing within Russia. This contributes to the broader picture of the internal Russian environment.
Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.
