Sitrep 2025-05-09 17:11:22

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 9, 2025, 17:10 UTC)

Updated Situation

The key shifts in the operational environment since the last update include further details on diplomatic efforts towards a ceasefire, reports on ongoing hostilities despite a declared "festive ceasefire," and additional information regarding internal Russian issues and military actions.

The potential for a 30-day ceasefire is being actively discussed by the US and European countries, with Ukraine indicating readiness and discussions centering on potential additional pressure, including significant sanctions, if Russia refuses the proposal. The conflicting reports around a "festive ceasefire" demonstrate the continued reality of active combat despite such declarations.

Intense ground combat persists across multiple sectors, including continued claims of Russian advancements on the Southern Donetsk and Krasnolimansky directions, while Ukraine highlights its defense efforts and tactical successes, such as the liberation of a forest area near Lyptsi in Kharkiv Oblast.

Drone warfare remains a prominent feature, with both sides utilizing UAVs for attacks and reconnaissance. Ukraine continues to target Russian communication systems and infrastructure, while Russia reports significant numbers of intercepted Ukrainian drones and highlights the use of FPV drones in various directions.

Diplomatically, the expulsion of Hungarian diplomats by Ukraine in response to alleged Hungarian espionage highlights bilateral tensions. Efforts towards establishing a special tribunal for the crime of aggression are being further solidified with reported US unofficial support for evidence collection and Ukraine highlighting the coalition of 40 countries working towards this.

Internal Russian issues continue to surface, including the suspension of a criminal case against a deputy police chief who joined the military, raising questions about the prioritization of military service over accountability. Preparations and celebrations for Victory Day are heavily emphasized in Russian information operations, linking the current conflict to historical narratives and showcasing military capabilities.

Key updates and analysis from the latest messages:

US and Europe Finalizing 30-Day Ceasefire Proposal: Reuters, cited by RBC-Ukraine and Operational ZSU, reports that the US and European countries are finalizing a proposal for a 30-day ceasefire. The proposal is still being worked out, and refusal could lead to new sanctions against Russia. Andriy Yermak stated that if Russia doesn't accept the terms, the process of additional pressure, particularly strong sanctions, will begin. This is a significant diplomatic effort aimed at de-escalation, though its success is contingent on Russian acceptance. Ukraine has signaled its readiness for such a ceasefire.
Ukrainian Expulsion of Hungarian Diplomats: RBC-Ukraine and Operational ZSU report that Ukraine is expelling two Hungarian diplomats within 48 hours in response to actions by Hungary, based on the principle of reciprocity and national interests. ASTRA reports that Hungary also expelled two Ukrainian embassy employees, accusing them of espionage, and the Hungarian Foreign Minister dismissed Ukraine's statement about detaining Hungarian agents as "Ukrainian propaganda." This indicates a diplomatic escalation between Ukraine and Hungary, likely stemming from underlying tensions related to the conflict and regional dynamics.
Russian Military Blogger Reports on Southern Donetsk Direction Fire Violations: Colonelcassad, citing Voin DV, reports that despite a declared ceasefire, the Ukrainian side continues to actively violate the ceasefire on the Southern Donetsk direction, with a high number of artillery and mortar shellings, FPV drone usage, and munition drops from quadcopters. They claim the Russian "Vostok" grouping is reacting to the violations without yielding to provocations. This highlights the continued intensity of fighting despite official statements of a "festive ceasefire" by both sides.
Russian Victory Day Celebrations and Salutes: Operational Z: Russian Spring Military Correspondents reports on festive salutes taking place across Russia for Victory Day, listing cities where these events are occurring according to the order of the Minister of Defense. This underscores the importance of Victory Day in Russian national identity and its commemoration even amidst the ongoing conflict.
Russian AI Used for Victory Day SVO Summary in "Levitan's Voice": Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition reports that a summary of the "Special Military Operation" was broadcast on RT using a Russian neural network to recreate the voice of the legendary Soviet announcer Yuri Levitan. The summary reportedly mentioned Ukrainian ceasefire violations and Russian successes. This is a notable example of Russian information operations leveraging historical symbols and modern technology to frame the current conflict within the narrative of past victories.
Monument on Poklonnaya Hill for Victory Day: Moscow News reports on a monument installed on Poklonnaya Hill for the 80th anniversary of Victory, made from 5 million coins, shell casings, and orders. This is another example of symbolic commemoration of Victory Day in Russia.
Archangel Spetsnaz Shares Victory Day Greeting Video: Archangel Spetsnaz shares a video with a simple greeting "Happy Great Victory Day!" This is a direct message of celebration and patriotism.
DeepState Analysis on Russian Approach to Dnipropetrovsk Border (Continued): DeepState provides a continuation of their analysis regarding discussions about Russian forces approaching the administrative borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. They reiterate that the primary Russian objective in Donetsk is the full occupation of the oblast, and while they might exploit opportunities to advance towards the border, the focus should remain on defending the administrative borders of Donetsk Oblast itself (Udachne, Novopil, Troitske, Preobrazhenka, Kotlyarivka). They emphasize the media's role in potentially creating panic by focusing on the proximity to the Dnipropetrovsk border and the need for responsible information dissemination. This analysis provides a critical and nuanced perspective on Russian strategic objectives and the importance of defending key areas within Donetsk Oblast.
Russian Military Blogger Shares WWII Partisan Story: Two Mayors shares a story about a Soviet partisan and railway saboteur from WWII. This is another piece of Russian information operation leveraging historical narratives and personal stories to connect to the current conflict and evoke patriotic sentiment.
Russian Military Blogger Shares Video from Southern Donetsk Direction: Two Mayors shares a video from the Southern Donetsk direction with commentary. This likely provides a localized perspective on the ongoing fighting in that area.
Kryvyi Rih Defense Council Head Briefing: Oleksandr Vilkul, Head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council, provides a briefing on the situation in the city and surrounding areas. He mentions Day of Europe, the general front line situation and reported Russian losses, shelling in Nikopol district (with casualties and damage), absence of shelling in Kryvyi Rih district, ongoing city services, support programs for residents affected by shelling, modernization of municipal transport, and sports achievements. This provides a localized operational overview and highlights efforts to support the civilian population and maintain essential services.
Kharkiv OTU Awards Infantryman "Cross of Combat Merit": Operational-Tactical Group "Kharkiv" reports on an infantryman receiving the "Cross of Combat Merit" award for bravery in battles on the Pokrovsk, Vovchansk, and Kupiansk directions. This highlights the ongoing role of infantry in the conflict and recognition of individual heroism.
Alex Parker Returns Comments on Alleged Ukrainian Breakthrough near Toretsk: Alex Parker Returns shares a comment claiming that Ukrainian forces almost captured Toretsk with a "fierce attack," achieving a deep breakthrough due to a unilateral ceasefire. They claim heavy Ukrainian equipment reached the city center before the attack was repelled with difficulty. This is a Russian military blogger's perspective on a claimed Ukrainian action, framing it within the context of a ceasefire violation.
Return of Children from Occupied Territories: Tsaplienko_Ukraine FIGHTS reports that 9 more Ukrainian children have been returned from temporarily occupied territories under the "Bring Kids Back UA" initiative, providing brief stories about the circumstances of some of these children. This highlights the ongoing efforts to return Ukrainian children and the impact of the occupation on families.
Presentation of Naval Drone Carrier by Ukrainian GUR: Archangel Spetsnaz reports that Ukraine has officially presented a naval drone carrier, a Magura-type unmanned boat equipped with FPV drones or other UAVs like the RAM-2X. They comment on the funding for Ukrainian UAV units and suggest this indicates the war is not ending. This highlights Ukrainian innovation in naval warfare and the continued development of asymmetric capabilities.
Mexico Sues Google: TASS reports that Mexico has sued Google for renaming the Gulf of Mexico to the "American Gulf" in Google Maps. This is an unrelated international political/geographic issue.
National Guard Officer's Story of Escaping Occupation: Operational-Tactical Group "Kharkiv" shares the story of a National Guard officer who escaped occupation in Kharkiv Oblast by bribing a Russian soldier and is now commanding a platoon. This highlights the experiences of individuals under occupation and their subsequent involvement in the conflict.
RBC-Ukraine Article on Special Tribunal: RBC-Ukraine provides an article detailing how the special military tribunal against Russian aggression will work, noting that it may not be able to prosecute the top Russian leadership ("Russian troika"). This provides more in-depth information on the ongoing efforts to establish legal accountability.
Alexander Kots Commentary on Victory Parade Participants: Older Edda shares a video of military correspondent Alexander Kots commenting on the participation of "special military operation" participants in the Victory Parade in Moscow. This is another element of Russian information operation linking the current conflict to historical victories and showcasing current military personnel.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Donetsk Oblast (Kharkiv, Lyman, Kramatorsk, Toretsk/Dzerzhinsk, Pokrovsk/Krasnoarmiysk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Kurakhove, Donetsk-Yasynuvata, Mariupol, Bogatyr, Grygorivka, Dubovo-Vasylivka, Orekhovo-Vasylivka, Chasiv Yar, Stupochky, Pisky, Krasnolimansky, Torsky, Verkhnekamensky, Kotlyarivka, Troitskoye, Preobrazhenka, Novoalexandrovka, Удачне, Новопіль, Konstantinovka, Sloviansk): Intense ground combat continues across numerous sectors. Russian MoD claims the liberation of Troitskoye and continued advancements. Ukrainian General Staff reports 117 total combat engagements across all fronts today, with the most on the Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, and Lyman directions. Russian military bloggers claim Russian forces raised the flag in Novoolexandrivka. Fighting reported near Dzerzhinsk/Toretsk. Civilian casualties reported in Horlivka and Kurakhove. Russian forces are reportedly active on the Pokrovsk direction using BBM. Russian media disseminating information about Russian sappers conducting demining operations in "liberated territories." Воин DV reports claimed Russian successes in suppressing Ukrainian forces and destroying equipment and personnel. Military personnel of the Russian "Vostok" grouping conducted an auto rally to congratulate civilians in the DPR on Victory Day. Ceremonies were held in Mariupol at the monument to fallen marines. Russian forces have reportedly advanced over 1 km in residential areas on the eastern street of Bogatyr (Kurakhovo direction). Russian units are claiming advances near Grygorivka, Dubovo-Vasylivka, and Orekhovo-Vasylivka. Russian strikes with guided aerial bombs on residential buildings in Kostyantynivka have been confirmed. Russian paratroopers reportedly used a drone with banners over Ukrainian positions in Chasiv Yar. Russian forces are claiming advancement near Chasiv Yar and Stupochky. Colonelcassad claims significant Russian successes on the Pokrovsk direction, including the liberation of Pisky and expanding control around Novooleksandrivka. Russian claims of changes in the situation in Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk) and Leonidivka. Russian sources claim significant advances on the Southern Donetsk direction, including areas around Богатырь, Отрадное, Комар, Зеленое Поле, and Новополь, with over 2.5 km covered in some areas. Electricity has been cut off in Sloviansk following night strikes, likely due to a substation hit. Ukrainian SOF reportedly captured 6 Russian soldiers from the 34th Brigade. Colonelcassad shares Russian claims of advances on the Krasnolimansky, Torsky, Verkhnekamensky, and Grigorievka directions. DeepState discusses Russian approaches to the administrative borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and the contested areas in Donetsk Oblast, noting the focus on proximity to the Donetsk border rather than the Dnipropetrovsk border, specifically mentioning Удачне, Новопіль, Троїцьке, Преображенка, and Котлярівка as areas of current or past Russian approaches. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video of FPV drone strikes on Russian communication systems near the front lines. Alex Parker Returns comments on alleged Ukrainian breakthrough attempt near Toretsk, which he claims was repelled. Russian military blogger reports continued violations of ceasefire on the Southern Donetsk direction. Russian military blogger shares video from the Southern Donetsk direction. Two Mayors shares a video from a UAV laboratory on the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiysk) direction. Russian military bloggers claim advancement on the Konstantinovka direction, including #Новооленовка, #Александрополь, and #Романовка. Head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council mentions the front line situation in the Kryvyi Rih direction and reported general Russian losses. Kharkiv OTU reports on an infantryman receiving an award for actions on the Pokrovsk direction.
Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Tetkino, Novy Put', Glushkovo, Sudzha, Ryzhivka, Boyaro-Lezhachi, Popovo-Lezhachi): Renewed reports of intense fighting. Russian military bloggers claim Ukrainian forces continue attempts to break through near Tetkino and Novy Put', facing heavy fire and suffering equipment losses. WarGonzo reports Russian fighters near Tetkino are in a near-encirclement situation. Military Correspondent Kotenok reports a Ukrainian missile strike on Glushkovo overnight, resulting in a civilian fatality. Ukrainian forces reportedly targeted a temple near Tetkino. Ukrainian award of "Hero of Ukraine" to Colonel Pavlo Rozlach linked to successful offensive actions here. The Ukrainian General Staff reports repelling 7 Russian attacks on the Kursk direction today (previous). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a brief message alleging significant North Korean military losses here. Russian sources promoting claims of planning streets and monuments in honor of North Korean military personnel. Russian military bloggers claim continued destruction of Ukrainian forces in Tetkino using FAB aviation bombs.
Sumy Oblast (Ryzhivka, Boyaro-Lezhachi, Starikove, Maryine, Myropilske, Novodmytrivka, Petrushivka, Середина Буда, Нововасильевка, Хутор Михайловский, Толстодубово, Василевское, Nova Sloboda, Brusky, Konotop): Border settlements are suffering from cynical shelling. Russian tactical aviation is launching guided aerial bombs towards areas of Nova Sloboda, Brusky, and Boyaro-Lezhachi. The Ukrainian Air Force reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs towards the region. Russian sources claim Ukrainian aviation operated over Sumy Oblast during a missile strike on Glushkovo, Kursk Oblast. Colonelcassad claims the destruction of Ukrainian strongholds here. Ukrainian forces reportedly used mortar shelling from the direction of Ryzhivka and Boyaro-Lezhachi during an attack near Tetkino. The Ukrainian Air Force has reported the lifting of a missile threat alert for Sumy Oblast. Russian strikes using Iskander-M reported in Konotop.
Kharkiv Oblast (Velykyi Burluk, Kupiansk, Synelnykove, Zapsillya, Редкодуб, Паламаревка, Lozova, Зарічне, Старосалтівська громада, Bereznyky, Lyptsi): The Ukrainian General Staff reports repelling two Russian attacks here. Russian MoD claims losses inflicted on Ukrainian forces here. Russian sources claim a strike on a Ukrainian UAV command point and the destruction of equipment. A Ukrainian source reports a Russian FPV drone attack on a communal service vehicle. An 11-year-old boy was injured by an explosive device. Reports of corruption within the Lozivskyi TCC highlight internal issues. The 120th Separate Territorial Defense Battalion and volunteers are training with ZU-23-2 anti-aircraft guns. Colonelcassad shares video claiming to show Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian assault group attempting to break through into Belgorod Oblast from Bereznyky. Ukrainian forces have liberated a forest area near Lyptsi, inflicting over 1500 enemy casualties and destroying equipment. Kharkiv OTU reports on an infantryman receiving an award for actions on the Vovchansk and Kupiansk directions.
Kyiv Oblast (Sofiivska Borshchahivka): Reports of a shooting incident with multiple fatalities. The individual responsible has been apprehended. Russian sources provide further details confirming the death of a Ukrainian serviceman and his mother-in-law in Sofiivska Borshchahivka, stating the incident stemmed from a dispute over payment for a weapon.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Темировка, Новоданиловка, Павловка, Каменское, Stepove, Shcherbaky, Gulyaipole, Malaya Tokmachka, Temirovka, Olgovskoye, Pokrovsk community of the Synelnykivskyi district): Russian MoD claims losses inflicted on Ukrainian forces here. The Ukrainian General Staff reports repelling three Russian assaults on the Orikhiv direction and no active Russian offensive actions on the Huliaipole direction. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration provides clarifications on mobilization and reports on a meeting focused on preparing communities for the return of veterans and their support. Confirmed civilian fatality and 8 injured due to a Russian KAB strike in the Pokrovsk community of the Synelnykivskyi district. Russian forces conducting strikes and drone activity. Russian claims of destroying enemy equipment and personnel and striking energy infrastructure in Zaporizhzhia city. Ukrainian forces continue counterattacks in the areas of Stepove and Shcherbaky. Intense drone and artillery activity. Russian claims of successfully striking enemy targets and using drones. A substation was damaged by a recent drone attack, affecting over 20,000 customers, but power was restored quickly. Energy resilience efforts are underway, including building new generation capacity. Military personnel of the Russian "Vostok" grouping conducted an auto rally to congratulate civilians here on Victory Day. Occupied Melitopol saw the opening of a statue of Stalin.
Bryansk Oblast (Russia) (including Sluchevsk): Russian claims of 66 strikes by Ukrainian forces on border settlements over the past day. Russian claims of Ukrainian drone attack resulting in a civilian fatality in Sluchevsk.
Saransk (Mordovia, Russia): Ukrainian strike on the fiber optic systems plant, reportedly causing serious damage. Ukrainian sources highlight the strategic significance.
Moscow (Russia) (including Kubinka airbase, Novy Gorodok, Poklonnaya Hill): Major explosion and fire in a residential building with casualties. Ukrainian drone attack on Kubinka airbase nearby reported. Military aviation activity over Moscow as part of Victory Parade preparations. Russian Ministry of Defense claims destroying two Ukrainian UAVs over the Moscow region. ASTRA reports detention of a picketer with an anti-war poster. Arrival of Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico and Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić for Victory Day celebrations. TASS is broadcasting live coverage of the Victory Day parade and fireworks. President Putin's meeting with Slovak Prime Minister Fico is highlighted. Monument on Poklonnaya Hill installed for Victory Day.
Crimea: Heightened security and military activity due to perceived threats. Russian naval special forces deployed to coastal positions. Ukrainian source mocks a Russian Black Sea Fleet parade.
Kleban-Byk: Russian claims of destroying a Ukrainian M113 BTR with a Lancet drone.
Shaikovka Airbase (Kaluga Oblast, Russia): Satellite imagery reportedly shows two fires on the airbase after a Ukrainian strike. Russian Ministry of Defense claims destroying seven Ukrainian UAVs over Kaluga Oblast.
Tula Oblast: Russian Ministry of Defense claims destroying four Ukrainian UAVs over this region.
Minsk (Belarus): General rehearsal for the military parade commemorating Victory in the Great Patriotic War.
St. Petersburg (Russia): Temporary suspension of shopping center operations on May 9th for security.
Chuvashia (Russia): Transport restrictions and potential mobile internet restrictions on May 9th for security.
Cherkasy and Smela (Cherkasy Oblast): Russian strikes using Geran/Gerbera drones reported. Ukrainian Air Force reports on the movement of enemy UAVs.
Chernihiv and Chernihiv Oblast: Russian strikes using Geran/Gerbera drones reported.
Zhytomyr and Zhytomyr Oblast: Russian strikes using Geran/Gerbera drones reported.
Donbas (including Konstantinovka, Kramatorsk, Dobropillya, Slovyansk): Russian strikes using UMPK and Geran/Gerbera drones reported. Electricity has been cut off in Sloviansk following night strikes, likely due to a substation hit.
Uman area: Ukrainian Air Force reports on the movement of enemy UAVs.
Kremenchuk area: Ukrainian Air Force reports on the movement of enemy UAVs.
Pereyaslav area: Ukrainian Air Force reports on the movement of enemy UAVs.
Yemen (Sana'a): Israeli strikes reported, damaging the airport. Reports about Houthis ceasing attacks (not independently confirmed). Военкор Котенок reports a Houthi missile launched at Israel was shot down near Jerusalem. Resources related to the "Ansar Allah" movement claim their strike was on Ben-Gurion airport and that the THAAD system failed.
Lviv (Ukraine): 35 countries signed a declaration on the creation of a special tribunal for the crime of aggression against Ukraine here.
Kaliningrad (Russia): A military parade took place here.
Warsaw (Poland): Public display of a statue of Putin as a phallic organ occurred here.
Rivne Oblast: State ownership of Rivne Automobile Repair Plant returned.
Zakarpattia Oblast (Khustskyi Raion, Mizhhir'ya village): Police detained a UOC (MP) priest and another individual for displaying Soviet symbols.
Spain: Spanish activists are reportedly finding and restoring monuments to Soviet soldiers and Spanish anti-fascists.
Krasnodar Krai (Russia): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of a Victory Day car rally here.
Biysk (Altai Krai, Russia): ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, citing Reuters, reports on the near completion of a large explosives production plant at the "Biysk Oleum Plant" here.
Novorossiysk (Russia): Ukraine claims to have blocked the Russian Black Sea Fleet in the waters near this port using naval drones.
Grygorivka (Donetsk Oblast): Russian units are claiming advances near here. Colonelcassad shares Russian claims of advances near Grigorievka.
Dubovo-Vasylivka (Donetsk Oblast): Russian units are claiming advances near here.
Orekhovo-Vasylivka (Donetsk Oblast): Russian units are claiming advances near here.
Left Bank of Dnipro River (Kherson Oblast): Ukrainian Defense Forces removed a Russian tricolor flag here.
Ogre (Latvia): Exhibit featuring alleged uniforms of killed Russian soldiers reported.
Ukhata (Komi Republic, Russia): Location where a criminal case against a police deputy chief was suspended due to his military service.
Moldova: Ministry of Internal Affairs reportedly stated that wearing symbols that "promote war," such as the St. George ribbon, is an administrative offense punishable by fines.
Kazakhstan (Astana): Military parade for Victory Day held here for the first first time in 8 years.
Hungary: Ukraine is expelling two Hungarian diplomats in response to actions by Hungary.
Uzbekistan (Moscow): Liquidation of the "Uzbek National-Cultural Autonomy" of Moscow by court.
Southern Donetsk Direction: Russian military blogger reports continued violations of ceasefire by Ukraine on this direction. Russian military blogger shares video from this direction.
Kryvyi Rih District: Head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council reports absence of shelling in this district.
Nikopol District: Head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council reports shelling and drone attacks in this district, with civilian casualties and damage.
Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiysk) Direction: Two Mayors shares a video from a UAV laboratory here.
Konstantinovka Direction: Russian military bloggers claim advancement here.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Increased and widespread Russian drone activity reported across multiple oblasts (Poltava, Cherkasy, Kyiv, Zaporizhzhia, Bryansk, Kursk, Sumy, Moscow, Kaluga, Tula, Dnipropetrovsk). Ukrainian General Staff reports 145 kamikaze drones used by Russian forces in the Kharkiv direction alone. Continued Russian drone activity observed over Kyiv. Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of Ukrainian artillery and vehicles using Molniya UAVs and FPV drones. Ukrainian drone attack confirmed on a fiber optic systems plant in Saransk. Ukrainian unit requesting a ground drone for operations near Dvorichna. Potential cellular and internet restrictions in Tver and Chuvashia Oblasts due to drone threat. Temporary airport restrictions in Tambov due to a "Kovyor" plan. Ukrainian drone attack on Kubinka airbase near Moscow reported. Russian claims of destroying Ukrainian mortar crew and M113 BTR with Lancet drones. Russian claims of destroying 13 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Kaluga, Tula, and Moscow regions. Russian claims of Ukrainian drone attack resulting in a civilian fatality in Bryansk Oblast. Oleh Vilkul reports three Russian UAVs shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Ukrainian Air Force reports on the movement of enemy UAVs over various locations. Russian Ministry of Defense reports destroying a Ukrainian Baba Yaga drone in the Orekhov direction and an AFU field artillery gun near Gulyaipole using FPV drones. Ukrainian video from the 3rd Assault Brigade showcases successful drone strikes against Russian vehicles and personnel. Ukrainian source reports a Russian soldier self-denazified (committed suicide) to avoid a second drone drop. "Підрозділ Shadow," STERNENKO (citing "Apachi" FPV pilots of the 4th Mechanized Battalion), and Президентська бригада ЗСУ (citing the 4th Mechanized Battalion) share videos highlighting the work of strike drone operators. A substation was damaged by a recent drone attack. Russian forces attacked Nikopol district with FPV drones. Ukrainian drone successfully targeted a Russian vehicle transporting ammunition near the front lines. Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces used a drone to destroy a Russian dugout and house where enemy FPV operators were located. Russian paratroopers reportedly used a drone with banners over Ukrainian positions in Chasiv Yar. Ukrainian drone attack reportedly targeted a Russian tank rushing to the parade. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video of FPV drone strikes on Russian communication systems, relay stations, and an "Orlan" UAV launch site. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА shares a video showing an FPV drone attack, linked to Victory Day messaging. Ukrainian GUR has officially presented a naval drone carrier, a Magura-type unmanned boat equipped with FPV drones or other UAVs. Head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council mentions drone attacks in Nikopol district. Operational ZSU shares video of Ukrainian Naval Forces drone unit burning masked Russian positions and boats. Two Mayors shares a video from a UAV laboratory on the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiysk) direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Russian paratrooper drone operations.
Ballistic Missile Activity: Ballistic missile strike on the suburbs of Sumy resulting in multiple fatalities and injuries, including children. Russian strikes using Iskander-M reported in Kyiv, Konotop, Dnipropetrovsk, and Synelnykove area. Военкор Котенок reports a Houthi missile launched at Israel was shot down near Jerusalem. North Korea has launched tactical missiles from its KN-23 MLRS systems. Resources related to the "Ansar Allah" movement claim their strike was on Ben-Gurion airport and that the THAAD system failed.
Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Russian forces utilized 7 KABs in 3 aerial strikes in the Kharkiv direction. Confirmed civilian fatality and 8 injured due to a Russian KAB strike in the Pokrovsk community of the Synelnykivskyi district. Russian strikes using UMPK (likely KABs) reported in Sumy, Donbas, Kharkiv, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. Russian tactical aviation is launching guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast. Russian strikes with guided aerial bombs on residential buildings in Kostyantynivka have been confirmed. Russian military bloggers claim continued destruction of Ukrainian forces in Tetkino using FAB aviation bombs.
Tactical Aviation: Active in the Kharkiv direction, conducting aerial strikes. Russian military aviation activity over Moscow as part of Victory Parade preparations. Russian aviation reportedly involved in strikes across Ukraine. Russian tactical aviation remains active on the northeastern direction, launching guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast. Fighterbomber shares a video with aviation footage. Russian military bloggers claim continued destruction of Ukrainian forces in Tetkino using FAB aviation bombs.
Naval Situation: Trump's statement regarding the US ceasing strikes on Houthis is a significant development in the Red Sea, although not independently confirmed. Israeli strikes on Sana'a airport in Yemen suggest continued regional military activity. Russian naval special forces deployed to coastal positions in Crimea. Ukrainian source mocks a Russian Black Sea Fleet parade. Russian military blogger reports NATO reconnaissance active over the Black Sea. Ukraine claims to have blocked the Russian Black Sea Fleet in the waters near Novorossiysk using naval drones. NATO is conducting the "Mediterranean Strike - 2025" exercise in the Mediterranean Sea, including combating unmanned surface vessels. Resources related to the "Ansar Allah" movement claim their missile strike was on Ben-Gurion airport. Ukrainian GUR has officially presented a naval drone carrier, a Magura-type unmanned boat equipped with FPV drones or other UAVs. Operational ZSU shares video of Ukrainian Naval Forces drone unit burning masked Russian positions and boats.
Artillery: Ukrainian General Staff reports 715 shelling incidents by Russian forces in the Kharkiv direction. Russian forces reportedly engaged a Ukrainian vehicle near Predtechino with artillery before FPV drone destruction. Russian claims of 66 strikes by Ukrainian forces on border settlements in Bryansk Oblast. Intense artillery fire reported on the Zaporizhzhia direction. Russian claims of destroying Ukrainian mortar crew with Lancet drone. Russian MoD claims Ukrainian forces conducted 1455 artillery and mortar shellings from May 3rd to 8th. Russian forces attacked Nikopol district with heavy artillery. Colonelcassad shares Russian claims of advances on the Krasnolimansky, Torsky, Verkhnekamensky, and Grigorievka directions, likely involving artillery support. Head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council mentions artillery shelling in Nikopol district. Colonelcassad reports a high number of Ukrainian artillery shellings on the Southern Donetsk direction despite a ceasefire.
MLRS: Apparent first combat deployment and operation of North Korean 240-mm MLRS M1991 by Russian forces reported. Russian MoD claims Ukrainian forces conducted 23 MLRS attacks from May 3rd to 8th.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Germany: Friedrich Merz has been officially elected as the new Federal Chancellor. Merz hopes for a 30-day ceasefire agreement to be reached this weekend, based on a joint proposal from Germany, US, UK, France, and Poland; however, a clarification indicates he meant the "ball is in Moscow's court" regarding the potential for a longer ceasefire.
Russia: Preparations for Victory Day continue, with military parades and symbolic events being highlighted. Russian state media is promoting narratives around being "deceived" by the West and highlighting claimed Russian achievements. Russian state media is also leveraging cultural events like the "Turetsky Choir" performance at the UN to promote their narrative. Ramzan Kadyrov addressed resignation rumors. Russian officials conducted a photo op in damaged areas and faced criticism. Russian authorities engaging in commemorative activities at a regional level. Regional procurement of military medals highlighted. Heightened security measures in major cities and regions for May 9th. Russia confirmed negotiations with the US on the resumption of gas supplies to Europe. Maria Zakharova claims the West is "furious" because "facts and history are on Russia's side" and claims the West is using Russophobia to falsify WWII results. Russian AI is being used to recreate WWII announcer voices and images for propaganda. "Immortal Regiment" action took place in Mariupol. Youth perspective on Victory Day is being showcased. ТАСС reports the Prime Minister of Slovakia arrived in Moscow for Victory Day. Kotsnews shares photos of foreign leaders at the Moscow parade. Washington Post, as cited by Russian sources, suggests the presence of foreign leaders at the parade signals a failure of Western isolation efforts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of a Victory Day car rally. ТАСС reports Patriarch Kirill congratulated the new Pope. Military parades took place in Kaliningrad. Ceremonies were held in Mariupol at the monument to fallen marines. Russian state media highlights President Putin's meeting with Slovak Prime Minister Fico. Russian state media is promoting "Letters of Victory" action. Russian AI is being used for propaganda related to Victory Day. President of Egypt thanked Putin for warm reception and congratulated Russia on Victory Day. Russian MFA Spokesperson Maria Zakharova explained why a journalist was blurred. Russian military personnel congratulated on Victory Day from the "Special Military Operation zone." WarGonzo shares an article on a 1941 Soviet calendar. Exhibit in Ogre, Latvia, featuring alleged uniforms of killed Russian soldiers reported. Russian claims of changes in the situation in Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk) and Leonidivka. A criminal case against a deputy police chief accused of torture was suspended due to him joining the military. WarGonzo shares an anecdote about Semen Pegov's grandfather wanting to join the Donetsk militia. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Russian military personnel from the Kherson direction congratulating on Victory Day. Два майора promotes a "Songs of Victory" concert in Volgograd. AV БогомаZ shares a video of the "Immortal Regiment" online action. Kotsnews shares historical commentary on Ilya Ehrenburg. Russian State Media reports on festive salutes for Victory Day. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition reports on Russian AI using "Levitan's voice" for an SVO summary. Moscow News reports on a monument on Poklonnaya Hill for Victory Day. Archangel Spetsnaz shares a Victory Day greeting video. Russian military blogger shares a WWII partisan story. Alexander Kots comments on Victory Parade participants. TASS reports Mexico sued Google.
Ukraine: Large-scale prisoner exchange resulted in the return of 205 Ukrainian service members. Donetsk Regional Prosecutor's Office and the Ombudsman are investigating alleged execution of Ukrainian POWs. Ukrainian Foreign Ministry calls on countries not to participate in the Moscow Victory Day parade. Ukrainian parliamentary committee supported ratification of a subsoil agreement. New rules for driving exams are being prepared. Increase in the number of millionaires reported. Polish carriers are preparing for a new border blockade. Ukrainian Hryvnia appreciated against the dollar. Regional authorities are providing support for military and civilians. Ukrainian critiques of military leadership raised by a military blogger. Ukrainian commentary on the implications of US envoy's peace proposal. Biden criticizes Trump's strategy on Ukraine. Ukrainian diaspora is conducting counter-propaganda actions in Europe and America titled "Mortal Regiment". Zelenskiy announced meetings with leaders of the "coalition of the resolute". Police in Zakarpattia detained individuals with Soviet symbols. Return of state ownership of Rivne Automobile Repair Plant. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими held a meeting with families of missing and captured servicemen. Ukraine takes action against individuals under sanctions by blocking their YouTube channels. Nine more children were returned from occupied territories. 35 countries signed a declaration in Lviv on the creation of a special tribunal for the crime of aggression against Ukraine. Public display of a statue of Putin as a phallic organ in Warsaw highlights continued public opposition to Russia in some European countries. Ukrainian military units, such as the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade, are actively promoting contract military service. Ukraine is highlighting its successful use of naval drones in blocking the Russian Black Sea Fleet near Novorossiysk. Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces used a drone to destroy a Russian dugout and house where enemy FPV operators were located. Ukrainian expert comments on potential threats from Romanian elections. Ukrainian Defense Forces removed a Russian tricolor flag on the left bank of the Dnipro River in Kherson Oblast. Updated regulations for pension payments to IDPs and Ukrainian citizens abroad. Macron has confirmed participation in a hybrid meeting of the "coalition of the resolute" on May 10th in Ukraine. Ukraine is expelling two Hungarian diplomats in response to actions by Hungary. A Russian source reports that Ukrainian authorities will require Russian prisoners of war to pay personal income tax and military tax as non-residents. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video of FPV drone strikes on Russian communication systems. Ukrainian Prime Minister stated that 40 countries have united to create a special tribunal within the framework of the Council of Europe. DeepState discusses Russian approaches to the administrative borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. RBC-Ukraine reports that Ukraine is expelling two Hungarian diplomats. Operational ZSU reports that Ukraine is expelling two Hungarian diplomats. Tsaplienko_Ukraine FIGHTS reports on the return of 9 children from occupied territories. Ukrainian GUR has officially presented a naval drone carrier. Operational-Tactical Group "Kharkiv" shares the story of a National Guard officer escaping occupation. RBC-Ukraine provides an article on how the special tribunal against Russian aggression will work. Head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council provides a briefing on the local situation. Kharkiv OTU reports on an infantryman receiving an award.
International Relations: Donald Trump made a statement about the US ceasing strikes on Houthis, claiming their capitulation (not independently confirmed). Reports of halting US military aid to Ukraine without Trump's knowledge. The UK is reportedly preparing for a Russian attack. Petition for Alberta's secession from Canada registered. Israeli strikes on Sana'a, Yemen, damaging the airport. Kotsnews discusses the "Obman" narrative and Russia's achievements in international relations. Kotsnews highlights the "Turetsky Choir" performance at the UN as a diplomatic and information operation. US envoy reportedly states Putin is the main obstacle to a ceasefire. Colonelcassad and Alex Parker Returns comment on the Indo-Pakistan conflict and its potential links to arms supplies to Ukraine. Leaders of 20 out of 27 EU countries support the creation of a tribunal for Russia, and 35 countries signed a declaration to that effect. Russia confirmed negotiations with the US on the resumption of gas supplies to Europe. German Chancellor Merz hopes for a 30-day ceasefire agreement based on a joint proposal from Germany, US, UK, France, and Poland; however, a clarification indicates he meant the "ball is in Moscow's court" regarding the potential for a longer ceasefire. Russian Ambassador claims EU threats to Serbia are an attack on sovereignty and that Serbia-Russia cooperation grows due to sanctions refusal. Spanish activists are reportedly finding and restoring monuments to Soviet soldiers and Spanish anti-fasciststs. ТАСС reports the Prime Minister of Slovakia arrived in Moscow for Victory Day. Washington Post, as cited by Russian sources, suggests the presence of foreign leaders at the parade signals a failure of Western isolation efforts. ТАСС reports Patriarch Kirill congratulated the new Pope. Public display of a statue of Putin as a phallic organ in Warsaw highlights continued public opposition to Russia in some European countries and serves as an information operation. NATO is conducting the "Mediterranean Strike - 2025" exercise in the Mediterranean Sea, including combating unmanned surface vessels. President of Egypt congratulated Russia on Victory Day. US Special Representative Steve Witkoff discussed his direct contact with Putin. Expert comments on potential threats from Romanian elections. Resources related to the "Ansar Allah" movement claim their missile strike was on Ben-Gurion airport and that the THAAD system failed. Macron has confirmed participation in a hybrid meeting of the "coalition of the resolute" on May 10th in Ukraine. The US and Europeans are reportedly finalizing a proposal for a 30-day ceasefire, with refusal potentially leading to new sanctions against Russia. Washington has unofficially indicated no objection to collecting evidence for a special tribunal. Ukraine is expelling two Hungarian diplomats in response to actions by Hungary. Russian military bloggers discuss Moldova's approach to historical memory and the "Immortal Regiment" marches in France. RBC-Ukraine reports that the US and Europe are finalizing a 30-day ceasefire proposal. Operational ZSU reports that the US and Europe are finalizing a 30-day ceasefire proposal. Andriy Yermak discusses the stage of negotiations regarding the ceasefire proposal and potential sanctions. RBC-Ukraine reports that Ukraine is expelling two Hungarian diplomats. Operational ZSU reports that Ukraine is expelling two Hungarian diplomats. ASTRA reports that Hungary also expelled Ukrainian diplomats and accused them of espionage. TASS reports Mexico sued Google.
Moldova: Ministry of Internal Affairs reportedly stated that wearing symbols that "promote war," such as the St. George ribbon, is an administrative offense punishable by fines. Russian military bloggers discuss Moldova's approach to historical memory.

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

Internal Security Incident: The recent shooting attack in Makhachkala, Dagestan, with confirmed police fatalities, remains a significant internal security concern. Major explosion and fire in a residential building in Moscow with casualties. Ukrainian drone attack on Kubinka airbase nearby reported. Heightened security measures in major cities and regions for May 9th. ASTRA reports detention of a picketer with an anti-war poster in Moscow. Russian sources are highlighting the heroism of a police officer injured in the recent Makhachkala shooting incident. Reported suspension of a criminal case against a deputy police chief accused of torture who signed a contract with the Ministry of Defense and went to the front. Liquidation of the "Uzbek National-Cultural Autonomy" of Moscow by court.
Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian claims of successful offensive operations, drone effectiveness (Lancet, FPV), and repelling Ukrainian attacks. Military blogger commentary on strategies, equipment, and perceived shortcomings. Reports of units conducting training. Alleged logistical challenges hinted at through anecdotes. Actively showcasing claimed successes. Utilizing army aviation for strikes. Employing unconventional tactics such as using divers for infiltration (detected and destroyed by Ukraine). Introducing a new qualification badge for assault troops. Threatening "Oreshnik" missile strike on Kyiv if Ukraine stages provocations on May 9th. Highlighting the role of volunteer units and showcasing the awarding of servicemen. Discussing military capabilities and modernization. Engaging in military diplomacy. Reportedly improvising anti-drone defenses on vehicles. Claiming destruction of a Ukrainian vehicle during unloading. Claiming destruction of a Ukrainian quadricycle column in the Kursk border region. Russian military blogger reports on the pace of advance. Satellite imagery reportedly shows fires at Shaikovka airbase. Russian AI is being used for propaganda. Russian state media is highlighting "Immortal Regiment" actions in occupied territories. Russian military bloggers are showcasing youth perspectives on Victory Day. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, citing Reuters, reports on the near completion of a large explosives production plant in Russia. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports a Russian soldier committed suicide to avoid a drone attack. Military parades took place in Kaliningrad. Ceremonies in occupied Mariupol involved military personnel. Russian military display of MLRS. Discussion on historical interpretations and the conflict by Colonelcassad reflects military-aligned perspectives. North Korea has launched tactical missiles from its KN-23 MLRS systems. Russian forces have reportedly advanced over 1 km in residential areas on the eastern street of Bogatyr (Kurakhovo direction). Russian units are claiming advances near Grygorivka, Dubovo-Vasylivka, and Orekhovo-Vasylivka. Russian paratroopers reportedly used a drone with banners over Ukrainian positions in Chasiv Yar. WarGonzo shares a video of singer Mara performing for Russian artillerymen. Russian military bloggers claim continued destruction of Ukrainian forces in Tetkino using FAB aviation bombs. Colonelcassad shares Russian claims of advances on the Krasnolimansky, Torsky, Verkhnekamensky, and Grigorievka directions. DeepState discusses Russian approaches to the administrative borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and the contested areas in Donetsk Oblast. Reported suspension of a criminal case against a deputy police chief accused of torture who joined the military, raising questions about personnel quality. WarGonzo shares an anecdote about Semen Pegov's grandfather wanting to join the Donetsk militia, potentially a propaganda effort. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Russian military personnel from the Kherson direction congratulating on Victory Day, aiming to boost morale. Два майора promotes a "Songs of Victory" concert in Volgograd, part of the Victory Day celebrations. AV БогомаZ shares a video of the "Immortal Regiment" online action. Kotsnews shares historical commentary on Ilya Ehrenburg. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА shares a video showing an FPV drone attack, linked to Victory Day messaging. Воин DV shares OSINT analysis linked to historical study of WWII. Colonelcassad reports on continued violations of ceasefire by Ukraine on the Southern Donetsk direction. Russian State Media reports on festive salutes for Victory Day. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition reports on Russian AI using "Levitan's voice" for an SVO summary, framing the narrative of the conflict. Moscow News reports on a monument on Poklonnaya Hill, a symbol of Victory Day commemoration. Archangel Spetsnaz shares a Victory Day greeting video, reinforcing patriotic messaging. Russian military blogger shares a WWII partisan story, linking current events to historical narratives. Alex Parker Returns comments on alleged Ukrainian breakthrough attempt near Toretsk. Two Mayors shares a video from a UAV laboratory, showcasing Russian drone capabilities. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Russian paratrooper drone operations. Russian military bloggers claim advancement on the Konstantinovka direction. Alexander Kots comments on Victory Parade participants, connecting current military actions to historical victory.
Security Measures: Continued interception of Ukrainian drones over Russian territory indicates ongoing security efforts. Heightened security measures in major cities and regions for May 9th, including temporary suspension of shopping centers and potential internet restrictions. Russian naval special forces deployed to coastal positions in Crimea. Russia has officially launched its digital conscription system (Reestr povestok) nationwide.
Political Dynamics: Ramzan Kadyrov's statement addressing resignation rumors is relevant to internal political dynamics. Russian officials conducting a photo op in damaged areas and facing criticism highlights internal political issues and potential disconnects. Russia confirmed negotiations with the US on the resumption of gas supplies to Europe. Maria Zakharova claims the West is "furious" because facts and history are with Russia and claims the West is using Russophobia to falsify WWII results. ТАСС reports Patriarch Kirill congratulated the new Pope. Russian state media emphasizes the presence of foreign leaders at the Moscow parade as a failure of Western isolation efforts. Russian state media highlights President Putin's meeting with Slovak Prime Minister Fico. Ramzan Kadyrov shares video of opening a mosque in Grozny. Russian MFA Spokesperson Maria Zakharova explained why a journalist was blurred. Liquidation of the "Uzbek National-Cultural Autonomy" of Moscow by court, reflecting government action on internal social dynamics. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition reports on Russian AI using "Levitan's voice" for an SVO summary, highlighting the use of technology in political messaging. Alex Parker Returns comments on alleged Ukrainian breakthrough attempt near Toretsk, framing the incident within a critical view of Russian leadership.
Economy: Russian Ministry of Finance has commented on preferential mortgage programs (previous reporting). Russia confirmed negotiations with the US on the resumption of gas supplies to Europe.
Justice System: A human rights activist was sentenced for "fakes" about the army (previous reporting). Investigation into corruption within the Ministry of Defense. Reported suspension of a criminal case against a deputy police chief accused of torture due to him joining the military.
Military Welfare: Report on Russian contract soldier Viktor Ovchinnikov (previous report). Russian military blogger fundraising for veteran (previous report). Regional procurement of military medals highlighted. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports a Russian soldier committed suicide to avoid a drone attack, highlighting the extreme psychological pressure. Colonelcassad shares information about fundraising for motorcycles for Russian military units.
Fire Safety Regulations: Concerns about fire safety regulations hindering drone defense measures for businesses (previous report).
Preparation for Victory Day: Showcasing preparations, awarding of badges, and military parades in Russia and Belarus. Heightened security measures implemented. Russian AI is being used for propaganda. "Immortal Regiment" action took place in Mariupol. Youth perspective on Victory Day is being showcased. Spanish activists restoring monuments are highlighted as a "soft power" initiative by Russia. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Мужской хор «Русский Формат» share a music video as a propaganda effort. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of a Victory Day car rally. Military parades took place in Kaliningrad. Ceremonies in occupied Mariupol linked to Victory Day. Russian military display of MLRS with patriotic messaging. Continued promotion of Victory Day narratives through various media. Discussion on historical interpretations and the conflict by Colonelcassad is a significant ideological information operation. Radio broadcast with "epic" Victory Day greetings is likely a Ukrainian information operation. Russian state media emphasizes the presence of foreign leaders at the Moscow parade. Russian state media is promoting "Letters of Victory" action. President of Egypt congratulated Russia on Victory Day. Russian military personnel congratulated on Victory Day from the "Special Military Operation zone." WarGonzo shares an article on a 1941 Soviet calendar. Basurin o Glavnom shares a propaganda film about the "Lebensborn" program. Occupied Melitopol saw the opening of a statue of Stalin. Exhibit in Ogre, Latvia, featuring alleged uniforms of killed Russian soldiers reported. WarGonzo shares an anecdote about Semen Pegov's grandfather wanting to join the Donetsk militia. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Russian military personnel from the Kherson direction congratulating on Victory Day. Два майора promotes a "Songs of Victory" concert in Volgograd. AV БогомаZ shares a video of the "Immortal Regiment" online action. Kotsnews shares historical commentary on Ilya Ehrenburg. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА shares a video showing an FPV drone attack, linked to Victory Day messaging. Воин DV shares OSINT analysis linked to historical study of WWII. Russian State Media reports on festive salutes for Victory Day. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition reports on Russian AI using "Levitan's voice" for an SVO summary, highlighting the use of technology in commemoration. Moscow News reports on a monument on Poklonnaya Hill for Victory Day, a symbol of the commemoration. Archangel Spetsnaz shares a Victory Day greeting video, reinforcing patriotic messaging. Russian military blogger shares a WWII partisan story, linking current events to historical narratives. Alexander Kots comments on Victory Parade participants, connecting current military actions to historical victory.
Infrastructure and Services: Power fluctuations reported in Voroshylovsky and Kuybyshevsky districts of Donetsk.
Digital Conscription System: Russia has officially launched its digital conscription system (Reestr povestok) nationwide.

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Prisoner Exchange: A large-scale prisoner exchange resulted in the return of 205 Ukrainian service members. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими held a meeting with families of missing and captured servicemen to address their concerns. Nine more children were returned from occupied territories. A Russian source reports that Ukrainian authorities will require Russian prisoners of war to pay personal income tax and military tax as non-residents. Tsaplienko_Ukraine FIGHTS reports on the return of 9 children from occupied territories.
Military Support: Ukrainian regional authorities are addressing requests from defenders and providing support. Fundraising efforts for military units continue actively on both sides, with specific campaigns for drones and other equipment. Russian units are conducting training exercises. Ukrainian forces are highlighting fallen heroes to maintain morale and remembrance. Apparent first combat deployment of North Korean MLRS by Russian forces. The EU is allocating almost 1.9 billion euros from frozen Russian asset profits for Ukraine's defense, including funds for Ukrainian arms manufacturers, artillery, ammunition, and air defense. Ukrainian Air Assault Forces are conducting recruitment campaigns highlighting patriotic motivation. Николаевский Ванёк and 79 окрема десантно-штурмова Таврійська бригада| Офіційний канал showcase the delivery of 11 highly mobile dune buggies to the 79th Air Assault Brigade. Ukrainian military units, such as the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade, are actively promoting contract military service. Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces used a drone to destroy a Russian dugout and house where enemy FPV operators were located. WarGonzo shares a video of singer Mara performing for Russian artillerymen. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video of FPV drone strikes on Russian communication systems, highlighting the effectiveness of drone units. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА shares a video showing an FPV drone attack, linked to Victory Day messaging. Ukrainian GUR has officially presented a naval drone carrier, a Magura-type unmanned boat equipped with FPV drones or other UAVs. Colonelcassad shares information about fundraising for motorcycles for Russian military units. Operational ZSU shares video of Ukrainian Naval Forces drone unit burning masked Russian positions and boats. Two Mayors shares a video from a UAV laboratory on the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiysk) direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Russian paratrooper drone operations. Kharkiv OTU reports on an infantryman receiving an award. Operational-Tactical Group "Kharkiv" shares the story of a National Guard officer escaping occupation.
Social Support: Ukrainian regional authorities are providing free food packages to residents and IDPs. Ukrainian government is addressing social support for IDPs, particularly housing (previous reporting). Координаційний штаб з питань по поводження з військовополоненими held a meeting with families of missing and captured servicemen. Nine more children were returned from occupied territories, highlighting the impact on families. Updated regulations for pension payments to IDPs and Ukrainian citizens abroad. Tsaplienko_Ukraine FIGHTS reports on the return of 9 children from occupied territories. Head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council reports on support programs for residents affected by shelling. Oleksandr Vilkul, Head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council, reports on city support programs for affected residents.
Medical Support: Returned Ukrainian POWs will receive medical aid and rehabilitation. Discussions on tactical medicine are ongoing (previous reporting).
Post-Conflict Recovery: Efforts to strengthen energy resilience in Zaporizhzhia, including repairing damaged substations and building new generation capacity. Return of state ownership of Rivne Automobile Repair Plant. Ceremonies in occupied Mariupol highlight Russian efforts to integrate and 'rebuild' occupied territories. Occupied Melitopol saw the opening of a statue of Stalin. Significant demining efforts are underway in Kharkiv Oblast, with almost 185 hectares cleared in the past week. Electricity has been cut off in Sloviansk following night strikes, likely due to a substation hit. Head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council reports on the status of repairs to a damaged residential building. Oleksandr Vilkul, Head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council, reports on the status of repairs to a damaged residential building and city support programs.

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

Russia: Utilizing ballistic missiles (Iskander-M), Guided Aerial Bombs (UMPK, FAB), FPV drones, Lancet drones, artillery, tanks, and potentially North Korean 240-mm MLRS M1991. Employing specific tactics for offensive operations on the Southern Donetsk direction. Conducting training exercises for tank units. Claiming successful use of FPV drones and Lancet drones to target Ukrainian equipment. Implementing increased security measures in response to drone threats. Deploying naval special forces for coastal control in Crimea. Russian military blogger provides data on the pace of advance. Russian AI is being used for propaganda. Russian forces attempted an offensive near Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk) with a propaganda objective. Russian forces are reportedly using tanks in shelling positions in Kherson Oblast. Russian forces claimed to have destroyed a Ukrainian BMP with troops near Tetkino. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS alleges significant North Korean military losses in Kursk Oblast, suggesting their deployment alongside Russian forces. Military parades in Kaliningrad showcased various military equipment. Russian military display of MLRS with patriotic messaging. Discussion on historical interpretations and the conflict by Colonelcassad reflects military-aligned perspectives. North Korea has launched tactical missiles from its KN-23 MLRS systems. Russian forces have reportedly advanced over 1 km in residential areas on the eastern street of Bogatyr (Kurakhovo direction). Russian units are claiming advances near Grygorivka, Dubovo-Vasylivka, and Orekhovo-Vasylivka. Russian paratroopers reportedly used a drone with banners over Ukrainian positions in Chasiv Yar. Russian forces are claiming advancement near Chasiv Yar and Stupochky. Colonelcassad claims significant Russian successes on the Pokrovsk direction, including the liberation of Pisky. Russian claims of changes in the situation in Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk) and Leonidivka. Russian military personnel congratulated on Victory Day from the "Special Military Operation zone." WarGonzo shares a video of singer Mara performing for Russian artillerymen. Russian military bloggers claim continued destruction of Ukrainian forces in Tetkino using FAB aviation bombs. Colonelcassad shares Russian claims of advances on the Krasnolimansky, Torsky, Verkhnekamensky, and Grigorievka directions. DeepState discusses Russian approaches to the administrative borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and the contested areas in Donetsk Oblast. Reported suspension of a criminal case against a deputy police chief accused of torture who joined the military, raising questions about personnel quality. WarGonzo shares an anecdote about Semen Pegov's grandfather wanting to join the Donetsk militia, potentially a propaganda effort. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Russian military personnel from the Kherson direction congratulating on Victory Day, aiming to boost morale. Два майора promotes a "Songs of Victory" concert in Volgograd. AV БогомаZ shares a video of the "Immortal Regiment" online action. Kotsnews shares historical commentary on Ilya Ehrenburg. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА shares a video showing an FPV drone attack, linked to Victory Day messaging. Воин DV shares OSINT analysis linked to historical study of WWII. Colonelcassad reports on continued violations of ceasefire by Ukraine on the Southern Donetsk direction, highlighting Ukrainian use of artillery, mortars, FPV drones, and munition drops. Russian State Media reports on festive salutes, likely involving artillery. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition reports on Russian AI using "Levitan's voice" for an SVO summary, showcasing a propaganda tactic. Two Mayors shares a video from a UAV laboratory, highlighting the use of drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Russian paratrooper drone operations, showcasing drone tactics. Russian military bloggers claim advancement on the Konstantinovka direction, indicating ongoing ground offensive tactics. Alexander Kots comments on Victory Parade participants, showcasing military personnel.
Ukraine: Employing air defense systems, F-16s with air-to-air missiles against drones, various military units in defensive and offensive actions. Conducting prisoner exchanges. Implementing administrative changes related to mobilization and social support. Utilizing drones for deep strikes into Russian territory targeting industrial and military facilities, and reportedly military airfields. Investigating alleged war crimes. Using various military units in counterattacks on the Zaporizhzhia direction. Ukrainian Air Force reports on the movement of enemy UAVs. Ukrainian 3rd Assault Brigade's drone unit showcases successful strikes against Russian logistics and personnel. Ukrainian source reports a Russian soldier committed suicide after a drone attack. Ukrainian diaspora is conducting "Mortal Regiment" counter-propaganda actions. Ukrainian Air Assault Forces are conducting recruitment campaigns. Ukrainian forces are reportedly conducting assault actions on the islands of Kherson Oblast. "Підрозділ Shadow," STERNENKO (citing "Apachi" FPV pilots of the 4th Mechanized Battalion), and Президентська бригада ЗСУ (citing the 4th Mechanized Battalion) showcase successful strike drone operations. Ukrainian forces of the 79th Air Assault Brigade are now utilizing dune buggies for enhanced mobility. Ukraine is blocking YouTube channels of sanctioned individuals as an information warfare tactic. 35 countries signed a declaration in Lviv on the creation of a special tribunal for the crime of aggression against Ukraine. Ukrainian military units, such as the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade, are actively promoting contract military service. Ukraine is highlighting its successful use of naval drones in blocking the Russian Black Sea Fleet near Novorossiysk. Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces used a drone to destroy a Russian dugout and house where enemy FPV operators were located. Ukrainian Defense Forces removed a Russian tricolor flag on the left bank of the Dnipro River in Kherson Oblast. Ukrainian drone attack reportedly targeted a Russian tank rushing to the parade. Ukrainian forces have liberated a forest area near Lyptsi, inflicting over 1500 enemy casualties and destroying equipment. Ukrainian SOF reportedly captured 6 Russian soldiers from the 34th Brigade. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video of FPV drone strikes on Russian communication systems, relay stations, and an "Orlan" UAV launch site, highlighting a tactical focus. DeepState discusses Russian approaches to the administrative borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and the contested areas in Donetsk Oblast. Ukrainian GUR has officially presented a naval drone carrier, a Magura-type unmanned boat equipped with FPV drones or other UAVs. Operational ZSU shares video of Ukrainian Naval Forces drone unit burning masked Russian positions and boats, showcasing naval drone tactics. Two Mayors shares a video from a UAV laboratory on the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiysk) direction, indicating Ukrainian drone development and use. Kharkiv OTU reports on an infantryman receiving an award for actions on multiple directions, highlighting infantry engagement. Operational-Tactical Group "Kharkiv" shares the story of a National Guard officer escaping occupation and now commanding a platoon, illustrating force generation from occupied territories.
North Korea: Has launched tactical missiles from its KN-23 MLRS systems. Russian sources promoting claims of North Korean participation in operations in Kursk Oblast.

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

The continued intense Russian ground offensive on the Pokrovsk, Lyman, and Novopavlivka directions, with Russian military bloggers claiming tactical advances and the liberation of settlements (including Troitskoye by the Russian MoD), indicates that Russia views these axes as critical for achieving strategic objectives in eastern and southern Ukraine. The high number of attacks reported by the Ukrainian General Staff on these axes (most attacks today on these directions) underscores the significant pressure on Ukrainian forces. The ability of Ukrainian forces to hold these lines despite sustained pressure is strategically important for preventing further Russian advances and protecting key urban centers. Russian claims of capturing strongholds covering the Krasnoarmiysk-Kostiantynivka highway highlight efforts to disrupt key logistical routes. Russian claims of advances near Velyka Novosilka towards Novopil and in other areas on the Southern Donetsk front indicate continued efforts to gain ground in the southern Donetsk region. Colonelcassad shares Russian claims of advances on the Krasnolimansky, Torsky, Verkhnekamensky, and Grigorievka directions. DeepState's analysis on Russian approaches focusing on the Donetsk border rather than the Dnipropetrovsk border provides a nuanced strategic perspective on Russian objectives in these areas. Alex Parker Returns' comment on alleged Ukrainian breakthrough near Toretsk, even if contested, highlights the strategic importance of urban centers. Russian military bloggers claiming advancement on the Konstantinovka direction indicates a continued strategic push towards key urban areas.
The renewed Ukrainian ground offensive in Kursk Oblast continues to be a notable development. Conflicting Russian reports on the situation in Tetkino and Novy Put' highlight the uncertainty and intensity of the fighting in this border area. Russian claims of repelling the assault and destroying Ukrainian equipment are aimed at demonstrating defensive success and deterring further attempts. Ukrainian persistence in this area suggests a strategic objective potentially aimed at diverting Russian resources from other fronts or creating a new point of pressure. The reported Ukrainian drone attacks causing civilian casualties in Glushkovsky and Sudzhansky districts of Kursk Oblast also contribute to the pressure on Russia in this border region. Russian military bloggers claim continued destruction of Ukrainian forces in Tetkino using FAB aviation bombs.
The widespread and persistent Russian aerial and drone attacks across Ukraine, targeting both military and civilian infrastructure, remain a key element of their strategy to degrade Ukraine's capabilities, exert psychological pressure, and disrupt daily life. Ukraine's continued drone attacks deep within Russia, targeting industrial and military facilities and potentially military airfields, serve a similar purpose and aim to impose costs on Russia domestically and degrade their war effort. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video of FPV drone strikes on Russian communication systems, highlighting a key tactical effort to disrupt Russian command and control. Ukrainian GUR has officially presented a naval drone carrier, showcasing Ukraine's strategic adaptation in asymmetric warfare and naval capabilities. Head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council mentions drone attacks in Nikopol district, highlighting the continued impact on civilian areas. Operational ZSU shares video of Ukrainian Naval Forces drone unit burning masked Russian positions and boats, indicating a strategic focus on disrupting Russian naval presence and infrastructure. Two Mayors shares a video from a UAV laboratory, demonstrating the strategic importance of drone technology for both sides. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Russian paratrooper drone operations, highlighting the integration of drones into various branches.
The ongoing information operations surrounding Victory Day are strategically important for both sides. Russia uses it to legitimize the conflict, mobilize domestic support, and project an image of strength and historical continuity. Ukraine and its allies counter this by highlighting Russian war crimes and challenging Russian narratives, aiming to maintain international support and expose alleged Russian hypocrisy. The opening of a statue of Stalin in occupied Melitopol is a clear attempt by Russia to impose its historical narrative and symbols on occupied territory. Два майора promotes a "Songs of Victory" concert in Volgograd, part of the Victory Day celebrations. AV БогомаZ shares a video of the "Immortal Regiment" online action. Kotsnews shares historical commentary on Ilya Ehrenburg. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА shares a video showing an FPV drone attack, linked to Victory Day messaging. Russian military personnel from the Kherson direction congratulated on Victory Day, aiming to boost morale. Moldova's stance on symbols associated with the conflict, as indicated by the threat of fines for wearing the St. George ribbon, reflects their political alignment and efforts to distance themselves from Russian narratives. Russian State Media reports on festive salutes for Victory Day, a national display of power and commemoration. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition reports on Russian AI using "Levitan's voice" for an SVO summary, demonstrating a strategic use of technology in propaganda. Moscow News reports on a monument on Poklonnaya Hill, a symbolic act reinforcing the official narrative. Archangel Spetsnaz shares a Victory Day greeting video, contributing to the overall patriotic messaging. Russian military blogger shares a WWII partisan story, connecting the current conflict to historical narratives of resistance and victory. Alexander Kots comments on Victory Parade participants, linking current military actions to historical victory and national pride.
The progress towards establishing a special tribunal for the crime of aggression is a significant legal and diplomatic strategic effort by Ukraine and its partners to ensure accountability for alleged Russian actions and reinforce international law. Washington's unofficial indication of no objection to collecting evidence is a positive step for this initiative. Ukraine's Prime Minister's statement about 40 countries uniting for this tribunal reinforces the international support. RBC-Ukraine provides an article on how the special military tribunal will work, highlighting the complexities and limitations of this strategic legal effort.
The continued diplomatic engagements, including foreign leaders attending the Moscow Victory Day parade and discussions between US and Russian envoys, indicate that diplomatic channels remain open, even if direct progress towards peace is limited. Different perspectives on the conditions for a ceasefire, as highlighted by the US envoy's statement about Putin being an obstacle, underscore the challenges in achieving a diplomatic resolution. Macron's confirmation of participation in the "coalition of the resolute" meeting on May 10th signifies continued high-level strategic coordination among Ukraine's partners. The reported US/EU finalization of a 30-day ceasefire proposal, with potential sanctions for refusal, indicates a coordinated effort to exert diplomatic and economic pressure. Ukraine's expulsion of Hungarian diplomats highlights diplomatic tensions with certain neighboring countries. RBC-Ukraine and Operational ZSU reporting on the US and Europe finalizing a 30-day ceasefire proposal and potential sanctions indicates a focused diplomatic push. Andriy Yermak's comments on the negotiation stage further emphasize the strategic considerations around this proposal. The expulsion of Hungarian diplomats, reported by multiple sources, highlights a specific instance of diplomatic tension and its potential strategic implications for regional alliances.
The updated regulations for pension payments to IDPs and those abroad reflect the Ukrainian government's strategic need to adapt administrative processes to the realities of displacement and ensure the continued well-being of its citizens affected by the conflict.
Ukraine's assertion of successfully blocking the Russian Black Sea Fleet near Novorossiysk using naval drones is a claim of a significant strategic victory in asymmetric naval warfare, potentially limiting Russia's ability to project power in the Black Sea. Ukrainian GUR has officially presented a naval drone carrier, further highlighting this strategic focus on naval drone capabilities. Operational ZSU shares video of Ukrainian Naval Forces drone unit burning masked Russian positions and boats, providing visual evidence of this strategic effort.
The nationwide launch of Russia's digital conscription system is a strategic move to potentially enhance their ability to mobilize personnel, with long-term implications for force generation.
NATO's "Mediterranean Strike - 2025" exercise, including training for countering unmanned surface vessels, demonstrates a strategic adaptation to emerging naval threats and highlights allied cooperation in maintaining maritime security.
The liberation of a forest area near Lyptsi, Kharkiv Oblast, is a significant tactical success for Ukraine, improving the defensive posture around Kharkiv and inflicting substantial losses on Russian forces. This demonstrates successful offensive action by Ukrainian forces and is strategically important for the defense of the region.
The reported suspension of a criminal case against a deputy police chief who joined the military highlights potential internal Russian strategic decisions regarding personnel and the prioritizing of military service over accountability for alleged crimes.
The reported requirement for Russian POWs to pay taxes in Ukraine is an administrative and potentially legal development that reflects Ukraine's approach to managing the consequences of the conflict.
DeepState's continued analysis on Russian approaches focusing on the Donetsk border provides a crucial strategic perspective on the most likely Russian objectives and areas of focus, counteracting potentially misleading narratives about advances towards other oblasts.

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

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