Sitrep 2025-05-08 05:46:16

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 8, 2025, 05:45 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational landscape remains intensely contested, characterized by heavy ground combat, persistent aerial and drone activity, and Ukrainian deep strikes. The focus continues on eastern and southern Ukraine, with notable activity in border regions as well. Information operations surrounding the approaching May 9th Victory Day remain prevalent. Recent reports detail ongoing Russian offensive efforts across multiple axes, including claimed advances by Russian forces and fierce Ukrainian defensive actions, updated casualty figures, continued Russian aerial and drone strikes, Ukrainian deep strikes targeting Russian military production facilities and logistical hubs, and international diplomatic activity related to the conflict and other regional tensions (specifically the escalation between India and Pakistan). New information highlights continued civilian casualties and damage from Russian strikes, claims of Russian territorial gains, Ukrainian reports of repelling numerous assaults, ongoing Russian drone and air activity with specific weapon types mentioned, updated estimates of Russian losses, continued Ukrainian deep strikes, the significant impact of Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian infrastructure and internal security concerns in Russia, information operations surrounding Victory Day and historical narratives, Russian internal security issues, Ukrainian discussions on military service for women, increased membership in a Russian youth military-patriotic movement, and successful Ukrainian infrastructure restoration efforts. The escalation in the India-Pakistan conflict continues to be reported, including claims of a large-scale aerial engagement.

Significant updates from the latest messages include:

Intense Ground Combat Continues with Claimed Russian Advances and Ukrainian Defense: WarGonzo reports on the Donetsk Front, stating that battles are ongoing in the area of Bohodyr, and while no significant Russian advances were reported in the last 24 hours, Ukrainian forces are committing fresh forces and equipment to halt Russian progress. He also reports tactical successes by Russian forces in Novooleksiivka and Oleksandropil on the Donetsk Front. On the Sumy direction, WarGonzo reports that Ukrainian forces have been attempting to break through Russian defenses near Tyotkino for three consecutive days, involving "serious forces," but have not achieved a significant breakthrough, although a partial presence in Tyotkino may be maintained. Ukrainian General Staff's morning report details 196 combat engagements across the front line in the past day, with the highest intensity on the Pokrovsk direction (61 engagements), followed by Novopavlivka (32), Lyman (24), Kursk (19), Toretsk (13), Kharkiv (11), Kramatorsk (10), Orikhiv (7), Siversk (6), Kupiansk (6), Huliaipole (1 unsuccessful attempt), and Pridniprovskyi (1 unsuccessful attempt). Рыбарь provides a detailed analysis of fighting on the Dzerzhinsk direction, claiming Russian forces increased pressure on the flanks, breached Ukrainian defenses, and are forming "pincers" south of Kostiantynivka. He claims Russian forces cleared the western part of Druzhba and expanded control in Dachne by May 1st, and by May 5th were fighting for remaining positions in Dachne and the southern part of Dyliyivka. On the western flank, he claims a massive assault north of Tarasivka on May 2nd led to Russian forces taking most of Oleksandropil and fighting on the eastern outskirts of Novooleksiivka. He claims this destabilized Ukrainian defenses, allowing Russian forces to advance towards Nova Poltavka by May 5th and secure positions on its southern outskirts. He also claims Russian units suppressed Ukrainian positions with artillery and UAVs, crossed a river, and took several strongpoints, liberating Berezivka. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces have begun the liberation of Troitske and control half of the village. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 also claims that on the Kostiantynivka direction, Ukrainian forces are withdrawing and taking up less favorable positions behind the T 0504 highway. He claims Russian forces have taken a Ukrainian strongpoint and are fighting near the western part of Novooleksiivka, and that fighting is also ongoing in Nova Poltavka. STERNENKO reports that Russians are conducting assault operations in small groups on the Zaporizhzhia direction since the morning and are shelling the Kursk direction with artillery.
Continued Russian Aerial and Drone Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports that in the past day, the enemy launched 2 missile strikes (2 missiles), 89 air strikes (including 1157 guided bombs), over 6000 shellings (151 from MLRS), and used 2891 kamikaze drones. Air strikes were reported in the areas of Boyaro-Lezhachi (Sumy), Volodymyrivka, Kostiantynivka, Novopil (Donetsk), Malynivka, Huliaipole, Temirivka, Novodarivka, Vysokye, Kamyanske (Zaporizhzhia), and Kozatske (Kherson). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Air Force detected Russian tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (KABs) towards Sumy Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that enemy struck Novopavlivska community in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with KABs in the evening, injuring a woman. Олександр Вілкул reports that Russians used a kamikaze drone in attacks on Nikopol district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Олександр Вілкул also reports that a Russian UAV was shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by Air Command "East" forces. Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports missile activity in northern Sumy Oblast heading west and warns of activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction with threat of aviation weapons for frontline oblasts. Олег Синєгубов, Head of Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reports that over the past day, the enemy used 1 Lancet UAV, 24 Shahed-type UAVs, and 1 Iskander missile on Kharkiv Oblast, damaging civilian infrastructure.
Updated Estimated Russian Losses: Ukrainian General Staff reports estimated Russian losses for the past day as 1200 personnel, 2 tanks, 10 armored fighting vehicles, 50 artillery systems, 1 MLRS, 1 air defense system, 141 operational-tactical UAVs, 120 vehicles/fuel tanks, and 2 units of special equipment. The total estimated Russian personnel losses since February 24, 2022, are now 961,970. Colonelcassad reports that the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) plenum honored the memory of 134 party members who died in the "SMO."
Ukrainian Deep Strikes and Counter-UAV Efforts: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming that Russian FPV drone crews destroyed two enemy transports with personnel and an enemy UAV control antenna. STERNENKO reports that from the very morning, Russians are conducting assault operations in small groups on the Zaporizhzhia direction and are shelling the Kursk direction with artillery.
Impact of Ukrainian Drone Attacks on Russian Infrastructure and Internal Commentary: ASTRA reports, citing sources, that not only mobile internet but also cellular service (calls) may be disconnected in Moscow on May 9th from 9 am to 12-13 pm for security reasons. The source claims Moscow hasn't been "covered" like this before, suggesting training happened in the regions. This indicates the significant perceived threat of Ukrainian drone attacks and the level of disruption expected or implemented for security during Victory Day. ТАСС reports that Novokuznetsk airport is temporarily closed due to technical reasons. While not explicitly linked to Ukrainian attacks, this could be a consequence of, or a precautionary measure related to, drone activity as seen in other Russian airports. WarGonzo claims that due to drone attacks, airlines are forced to delay or cancel flights across Russia, impacting ordinary people. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video reporting a powerful smoke in Naberezhnye Chelny, Tatarstan, with locals claiming the KamAZ plant is on fire. If confirmed as a result of a Ukrainian strike, this would represent a significant hit on Russian military-industrial capacity. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports that mobile internet and cellular communication will be disconnected in Moscow on May 9th from 9 am to 13 pm.
Information Operations and Narratives surrounding Victory Day: WarGonzo claims the Ukrainian regime acts like a terrorist organization, with drone attacks proving it, and frames the record number of drones shot down as proof. He attributes the attacks to "banal envy" and an attempt to disrupt the Victory Parade, asserting Russia's successful resistance and the sacred nature of the holiday. Басурин о главном shares commentary criticizing European politicians for allegedly being "offended" by Russia's victory in WWII and accusing them of creating the EU and hindering those who seek historical truth. He praises thinking politicians in the EU like Robert Fico for speaking out and not fearing threats from Brussels. He also suggests alternative routes to travel to Moscow for Victory Day, like through Turkey. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares information from the Ukrainian Institute of National Memory about informational and educational videos debunking Soviet and Russian myths around WWII, particularly the myth that Russia could have won without Ukrainians, framing it as Russia monopolizing the victory. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" shares a photo with a poppy and the dates of WWII, stating that Ukraine commemorates Remembrance Day and Victory Day and draws parallels between the two totalitarian regimes that started WWII and the current Russian regime attempting to destroy Ukraine, emphasizing the memory of Ukrainian heroes. ТАСС reports that Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova stated that the Czech Foreign Minister's words about Russia not having rights to the dismantled monument of Marshal Ivan Konev are a "beautiful example of subservience to vileness." This highlights ongoing information confrontation related to historical symbols and interpretations of the past. Олександр Вілкул shares a video commemorating Victory Day, stating that Ukraine remembers the heroism of those who saved the world from Nazism and that today, a new aggressor has come to Ukraine, but as descendants of victors, Ukrainians will destroy the evil and rebuild their cities, emphasizing the power of memory, unity, and faith in their Victory.
Russian Internal Security Concerns: ASTRA reports, citing sources, the potential disconnection of mobile internet and cellular service in Moscow on May 9th for security reasons due to perceived "dangerous proximity." Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 also reports on the disconnection of mobile internet and cellular communication in Moscow on May 9th. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video reporting a powerful smoke in Naberezhnye Chelny, Tatarstan, with locals claiming the KamAZ plant is on fire. If confirmed to be an attack, this would raise significant internal security questions.
Ukrainian Military Leadership Discussions: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА reports on discussions about introducing military service for women in Ukraine. He speculates this is due to manpower shortages. This is a potential significant policy development regarding future Ukrainian mobilization and force structure.
Increased "Yunarmia" Membership: ТАСС reports that the membership of "Yunarmia," a Russian youth military-patriotic movement, has exceeded 1.8 million people. This indicates continued efforts to engage Russian youth in military-related activities and promote patriotic values.
Recovery Efforts: РБК-Україна reports that power supply has been restored to all subscribers in Poltava Oblast after yesterday's Russian shelling. This highlights successful Ukrainian efforts in restoring critical infrastructure.
Airport Restrictions Lifted: ТАСС reports that restrictions on the reception and departure of aircraft at airports in Ivanovo and Yaroslavl have been lifted. This indicates a return to normal operations after previous disruptions, likely related to security concerns or drone activity. ТАСС reports that Novokuznetsk airport is temporarily closed due to technical reasons.
International Events: ТАСС reports that the President of Ethiopia has arrived in Moscow. РБК-Україна and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report on a major aerial battle between Pakistan and India involving 125 aircraft, which CNN calls one of the largest and longest in modern aviation history. РБК-Україна reports that the US Deputy Secretary of the Treasury called Putin a war criminal, explosions were heard near Amritsar airport in India, and North Korea launched several ballistic missiles towards the East Sea.
Military Aid: Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports that Germany has transferred a new military aid package to Ukraine, including armored vehicles, howitzers, air defense missiles, tank ammunition, artillery shells, drones, recovery vehicles, mine clearance vehicles, surveillance radars, laser rangefinders, binoculars, diving scooters, equipment for border guards, anti-tank guns, assault rifles, medical tourniquets, and sleeping bags.
Economic and Political Developments (Ukraine): РБК-Україна reports that the Verkhovna Rada will vote today on the ratification of a "minerals agreement" with the US, outlining details of contributions to an investment fund, profit distribution, and management of mineral extraction licenses. This highlights ongoing efforts to attract foreign investment and manage natural resources.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Pokrovsk Direction: Remains the most intense area of combat with 61 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Novopavlivka Direction: Experienced the second-highest intensity with 32 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. WarGonzo reports on the Donetsk Front (which can overlap with this direction), with battles ongoing around Bohodyr. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, WarGonzo)
Sumy Direction (Border Area): Experienced 19 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. Russian forces conducted 7 air strikes (19 guided bombs) and 325 artillery/MLRS shellings here. WarGonzo reports intense fighting near Tyotkino and Novy Put, with Ukrainian forces attempting breakthroughs for three days. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian tactical aviation launched KABs towards Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports missile activity in northern Sumy Oblast heading west and warns of tactical aviation activity on the northeastern direction. STERNENKO reports Russians are shelling the Kursk direction (adjacent to Sumy) with artillery. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, WarGonzo, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], STERNENKO)
Lyman Direction: Experienced 24 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Toretsk Direction: Experienced 13 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. Рыбарь reports intense fighting and claimed Russian advances here, forming "pincers" south of Kostiantynivka. Оперативний ЗСУ reports an aviation strike on a multi-story building in Kostiantynivka, resulting in 12 civilian injuries and potential entrapment. ASTRA confirms the strike on Kostiantynivka with a FAB-250 guided bomb with a UMPK module, injuring 12 civilians and potentially one woman under rubble, also damaging 3 multi-story buildings and a shop. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Рыбарь, Оперативний ЗСУ, ASTRA)
Kharkiv Direction: Experienced 11 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. Олег Синєгубов reports enemy used 1 Lancet UAV, 24 Shahed-type UAVs, and 1 Iskander missile on Kharkiv Oblast over the past day, damaging civilian infrastructure in Izium and Kupiansk districts. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА)
Kramatorsk Direction: Experienced 10 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Orikhiv Direction: Experienced 7 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. STERNENKO reports that Russians are conducting assault operations in small groups here since the morning. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, STERNENKO)
Siversk Direction: Experienced 6 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. ТАСС reports alleged Ukrainian preparations for provocations here to discredit Russian authorities. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, ТАСС)
Kupiansk Direction: Experienced 6 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. Олег Синєгубов reports civilian infrastructure damage in Kupiansk district from Russian attacks. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА)
Huliaipole Direction: Experienced 1 unsuccessful Russian attempt to advance reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Pridniprovskyi Direction: Experienced 1 unsuccessful Russian attempt to advance reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Dzerzhinsk Direction: Рыбарь provides detailed analysis of intense fighting and claimed Russian advances here, forming "pincers" south of Kostiantynivka. (Рыбарь)
Kostiantynivka (Donetsk Oblast): Hit by a Russian aviation strike using a FAB-250 guided bomb with a UMPK module, resulting in 12 civilian injuries and potentially one person under the rubble, and damage to 3 multi-story buildings and a shop. Ukrainian General Staff reports an air strike here. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports the strike and casualties. Офіс Генерального прокурора has initiated an investigation into the strike as a war crime. (ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Офіс Генерального прокурора)
Novopavlivska community (Synelnykove district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Hit by Russian KAB strikes, injuring a 72-year-old woman and damaging 4 private houses and a shop. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), Оперативний ЗСУ)
Velykomykhailivska community (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Hit by a Russian drone attack, damaging a house but causing no casualties. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), Оперативний ЗСУ)
Nikopol and Marhanets communities (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Attacked by Russian artillery and a kamikaze drone, damaging an enterprise and a car, with no casualties. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), Олександр Вілкул, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Kryvyi Rih district (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Situation reported as controlled with no overnight shelling. (Олександр Вілкул)
Tyotkino (Kursk Oblast, Russia): WarGonzo reports intense fighting with Ukrainian forces attempting breakthroughs for three days, claiming no significant success but possible partial presence. (WarGonzo)
Novy Put (Kursk Oblast, Russia): WarGonzo reports that Ukrainian attacks in this direction were repelled. (WarGonzo)
Bohodyr (Donetsk Front): WarGonzo reports ongoing battles here. (WarGonzo)
Novooleksiivka (Donetsk Front/Dzerzhinsk direction): WarGonzo reports claimed liberation by Russian forces. Рыбарь reports Russian forces fighting on the eastern outskirts by May 2nd and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims fighting near the western part. (WarGonzo, Рыбарь, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Oleksandropil (Donetsk Front/Dzerzhinsk direction): WarGonzo reports claimed tactical successes by Russian forces. Рыбарь claims Russian forces took most of the settlement on May 2nd. (WarGonzo, Рыбарь)
Druzhba (Donetsk Oblast): Рыбарь claims Russian forces cleared the western part of this settlement by May 1st. (Рыбарь)
Dachne (Donetsk Oblast): Рыбарь claims Russian forces expanded control here by May 1st and by May 5th were fighting for remaining positions. (Рыбарь)
Dyliyivka (Donetsk Oblast): Рыбарь claims Russian forces were fighting for the southern part of this settlement by May 5th. (Рыбарь)
Tarasivka (Donetsk Oblast): Рыбарь claims a massive Russian assault north of here on May 2nd. (Рыбарь)
Nova Poltavka (Donetsk Oblast): Рыбарь claims Russian forces advanced towards and secured positions on the southern outskirts of this settlement by May 5th. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims fighting is ongoing here. (Рыбарь, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Berezivka (Donetsk Oblast): Рыбарь claims Russian units liberated this settlement. (Рыбарь)
Troitske (Donetsk Oblast): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces have begun the liberation of this village and control half of it. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Otradne (Donetsk Oblast): Ukrainian General Staff reports repelling attacks in this direction. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Volodymyrivka (Donetsk Oblast): Ukrainian General Staff reports an air strike here. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Novopil (Donetsk Oblast): Ukrainian General Staff reports an air strike here and repelling attacks in this direction. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Malynivka (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): Ukrainian General Staff reports an air strike here. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Temirivka (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): Ukrainian General Staff reports an air strike here. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Novodarivka (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): Ukrainian General Staff reports an air strike here. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Vysokye (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): Ukrainian General Staff reports an air strike here and 1 unsuccessful Russian attempt to advance in this direction. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Kamyanske (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): Ukrainian General Staff reports an air strike here and that Ukrainian defenders successfully repelled 7 enemy attacks in this area. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Kozatske (Kherson Oblast): Ukrainian General Staff reports an air strike here. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Boyaro-Lezhachi (Sumy Oblast): Ukrainian General Staff reports an air strike here. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Izium District (Kharkiv Oblast): Олег Синєгубов reports damage to 5 private houses from enemy attacks. (Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА)
Kupiansk District (Kharkiv Oblast): Олег Синєгубов reports damage to 5 multi-story buildings, 2 private houses, a pharmacy, a kindergarten, and 2 administrative buildings from enemy attacks. (Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА)
Vasylyvka village (Kharkiv Oblast): Олег Синєгубов reports a man was injured by an explosive device here. (Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА)
Naberezhnye Chelny (Tatarstan, Russia): Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video reporting a powerful smoke and locals claiming the KamAZ plant is on fire. (Оперативний ЗСУ)
Moscow (Russia): Potential disconnection of mobile internet and cellular service on May 9th for security reasons. (ASTRA, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Novokuznetsk (Russia): Airport temporarily closed due to technical reasons. (ТАСС)
Ivanovo and Yaroslavl (Russia): Airport restrictions have been lifted. (ТАСС)
India/Pakistan Border: Reported large-scale aerial battle involving 125 aircraft. (РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Amritsar Airport (India): Explosions heard nearby. (РБК-Україна)
East Sea: North Korea launched several ballistic missiles towards this area. (РБК-Україна)

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports Russia used 2891 kamikaze drones in the past day and 141 operational-tactical UAVs were destroyed. A Russian UAV was shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Russian forces used a kamikaze drone in attacks on Nikopol district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming Russian FPV drone crews destroyed two enemy transports with personnel and an enemy UAV control antenna. ASTRA reports potential disconnection of mobile internet and cellular service in Moscow on May 9th for security reasons due to perceived "dangerous proximity" of drones. WarGonzo claims drone attacks are causing airline delays and cancellations across Russia and reports a record 524 drones shot down over Russia in the past day. Олег Синєгубов reports enemy used 1 Lancet UAV and 24 Shahed-type UAVs on Kharkiv Oblast over the past day. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video reporting a powerful smoke in Naberezhnye Chelny, Tatarstan, with locals claiming the KamAZ plant is on fire, potentially due to a drone attack. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on the mobile internet and cellular communication disconnection in Moscow on May 9th due to perceived drone threats. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), Олександр Вілкул, Оперативний ЗСУ, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, ASTRA, WarGonzo, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Оперативний ЗСУ, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Ukrainian General Staff reports Russia launched 1157 guided bombs in the past day. Russian tactical aviation launched guided aerial bombs (KABs) targeting Sumy Oblast. Russian forces used KABs in strikes on Novopavlivska community in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, injuring a woman. Russian forces also launched 19 guided bombs on the Kursk direction in the past day. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Missile Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports Russia launched 2 missile strikes using 2 missiles in the past day. Олег Синєгубов reports enemy used 1 Iskander missile on Kharkiv Oblast over the past day. Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports missile activity in northern Sumy Oblast heading west. North Korea launched several ballistic missiles towards the East Sea. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна)
Aviation: Ukrainian General Staff reports Russia conducted 89 air strikes in the past day. Russian tactical aviation launched guided aerial bombs (KABs) targeting Sumy Oblast. Russian forces conducted air strikes in the areas of Boyaro-Lezhachi (Sumy), Volodymyrivka, Kostiantynivka, Novopil (Donetsk), Malynivka, Huliaipole, Temirivka, Novodarivka, Vysokye, Kamyanske (Zaporizhzhia), and Kozatske (Kherson). Повітряні Сили ЗС України warns of activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction. Reported large-scale aerial battle between Pakistan and India involving 125 aircraft. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Artillery and MLRS Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports Russia conducted over 6000 shellings, including 151 from MLRS, in the past day. Russian forces conducted artillery and MLRS shellings on the Kursk direction (325 shellings, 1 MLRS) and used artillery in attacks on Nikopol and Marhanets communities. Ukrainian General Staff reports 50 artillery systems and 1 MLRS were destroyed in the past day. STERNENKO reports Russians are shelling the Kursk direction with artillery. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), Олександр Вілкул, Оперативний ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, STERNENKO)
Naval Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports a radar station was hit in the past day.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Victory Day Narratives: Russian sources are heavily promoting the historical significance of Victory Day, linking it to the current conflict and criticizing European politicians. State support for WWII veterans is highlighted. WarGonzo frames Ukrainian actions as terrorism aimed at disrupting the parade. Ukrainian sources are actively countering Russian narratives by highlighting Ukrainian contributions to WWII victory and drawing parallels between the current Russian regime and the totalitarian regimes of WWII. A representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry commented on the Czech Republic's stance on a WWII monument. (Басурин о главном, Басурин о главном, ТАСС, WarGonzo, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц", ТАСС, Олександр Вілкул)
US Politics: The US Deputy Secretary of the Treasury called Putin a war criminal. (РБК-Україна)
Ukraine-US Relations: The Verkhovna Rada will vote on ratifying a "minerals agreement" with the US. (РБК-Україна)
International Relations: The President of Ethiopia arrived in Moscow. (ТАСС)
India-Pakistan Conflict: Escalation with a reported large-scale aerial battle. Explosions near Amritsar airport. (РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна)
North Korea: Launched several ballistic missiles. (РБК-Україна)

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

Internal Security Concerns: Potential disconnection of mobile internet and cellular service in Moscow on May 9th for security reasons. WarGonzo claims a record number of drones were shot down over Russia. Possible fire at the KamAZ plant in Naberezhnye Chelny. (ASTRA, WarGonzo, Оперативний ЗСУ, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Impact of Ukrainian Attacks: WarGonzo claims widespread airline delays and cancellations due to drone attacks. Temporary airport closure in Novokuznetsk. Possible fire at the KamAZ plant in Naberezhnye Chelny. (WarGonzo, ТАСС, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Youth Engagement: Increased membership in "Yunarmia." (ТАСС)
Casualties: Colonelcassad reports that 134 CPRF members have died in the "SMO." (Colonelcassad)

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Humanitarian Situation: Civilian injuries and damage to residential and commercial infrastructure in Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, and Donetsk Oblasts due to Russian strikes. Potential for further casualties under rubble in Kostiantynivka. A man injured by an explosive device in Kharkiv Oblast. Damage to civilian infrastructure in Izium and Kupiansk districts of Kharkiv Oblast. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Оперативний ЗСУ, Офіс Генерального прокурора)
Infrastructure Restoration: Power restored in Poltava Oblast after shelling. (РБК-Україна)
Veteran Support: Completion of payments to WWII veterans by May 9th. (ТАСС)
Military Aid to Ukraine: Germany has provided a new military aid package to Ukraine. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)

Other Information (Updated):

Casualty Reports: Ukrainian General Staff reports estimated Russian losses for the past day as 1200 personnel. Colonelcassad reports that 134 CPRF members have died in the "SMO." (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad)
Russian Military Capabilities Showcase: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming Russian FPV drone crews destroyed two enemy transports with personnel and an enemy UAV control antenna. WarGonzo shares a front report from the Donetsk and Sumy directions. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, WarGonzo)
Information Operations: Both sides continue extensive information operations, particularly focused on the narrative around Victory Day and the ongoing conflict. (WarGonzo, Басурин о главном, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц", ТАСС, Олександр Вілкул)

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

Situation Report