Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 7, 2025, 14:03 UTC)
Updated Situation
The operational environment is characterized by continued intense ground combat on key axes, large-scale Russian aerial and drone attacks impacting civilian infrastructure and resulting in casualties, and ongoing Ukrainian deep strikes into Russian territory. The situation in Dagestan following the shooting incident remains a notable internal security event in Russia. Information operations are heavily focused on the upcoming Victory Day, with competing narratives regarding the conflict and alleged actions of both sides. Recent developments highlight continued Russian claims of tactical advances, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, persistent Russian aerial and artillery strikes across wide areas of Ukraine, confirmed Ukrainian drone attacks targeting industrial and potentially military-related facilities deep within Russia, and reports of the human cost of the conflict on civilian populations. The confirmed prisoner exchange is a significant humanitarian development. The latest reports underscore the continued dynamic nature of drone warfare and counter-drone efforts, ongoing internal security concerns in Russia, and the use of propaganda surrounding historical events. New information also provides further details on civilian casualties in Kyiv from recent Russian attacks and the use of North Korean-supplied MLRS by Russia. Ukrainian forces continue to deny any Russian proposed "ceasefire" and report ongoing combat activity.
Significant new developments and analysis from the latest messages (past hour and slightly older):
Air Raid Alert in Lipetsk Oblast:Igor Artamonov, Governor of Lipetsk Oblast, issued a "Threat of UAV Attack" alert. Residents were advised to stay indoors if possible and avoid windows, or seek shelter in buildings, parking garages, or underpasses if outdoors. This indicates anticipated or ongoing Ukrainian drone activity targeting Lipetsk Oblast. The alert was later reduced to a "Yellow" level of "Aerial Danger." (Igor Artamonov, Igor Artamonov, Igor Artamonov)
International Restrictions on Flights to Moscow for Victory Day:Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports that Lithuania and Poland are not allowing the leaders of Serbia and Slovakia to fly over their territories to attend the May 9th parade in Moscow. This highlights a form of diplomatic pressure and non-cooperation from some European countries regarding Russia's Victory Day commemorations. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Confirmed Damage to Industrial Enterprise in Zaporizhzhia:Colonelcassad reports that the State Enterprise "Ivchenko-Progress" in Zaporizhzhia, specializing in aviation and industrial gas turbine engines and part of Ukroboronprom, was one of the targets hit. The report notes the damage was significant "even without missiles." This confirms a successful Russian strike on a key Ukrainian defense-related industrial facility. (Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)
Ukrainian Stance on Returning Kursk Residents:TASS reports that Tatiana Moskalkova, the Russian Commissioner for Human Rights, stated that Kyiv is not refusing to return residents of Kursk Oblast but wants Russia to release Ukrainian citizens detained for aiding terrorism in return. This indicates a potential point of negotiation or exchange related to civilians and individuals involved in conflict-related activities in border regions. (ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС)
Continued Russian Air and Drone Strikes:TASS reports that Russian Armed Forces struck ammunition depots near Andriivka and Dobropillia using "Geran-2" drones. This confirms continued Russian targeting of Ukrainian logistics and military infrastructure with drones. (ТАСС, ТАСС)
Russian Justification for Mobile Internet Restrictions in Moscow:Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Peskov's statement that temporary internet restrictions in Moscow in the coming days are due to "obvious reasons," referencing the "dangerous neighborhood" (Ukrainian drone capabilities). He reiterated that this should be understood, and mobile internet speed was reduced overnight and this morning to hinder Ukrainian drones using mobile SIM cards for guidance. Restrictions are expected to continue on May 8th and 9th. This provides the official Russian explanation for the previously reported internet disruptions. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Russian Military Blogger's Analysis of Ukrainian Drone Attack on Moscow:Kotsnews analyzes the Ukrainian drone attack on Moscow, stating over 10 drones were shot down on approaches, including those over neighboring oblasts. He believes the primary goal is to disrupt the May 9th parade and deter foreign leaders from attending, citing the confirmation of attendance from over three dozen countries representing more than half the world's population as a sign of a changing world order no longer dominated by the West. A secondary goal is to disrupt the aerial part of the parade, and a third is to intimidate civilians. He also claims the attacks are aimed at provoking a Russian response to then accuse Russia of violating its ceasefire. He notes that Asian destinations were delayed partly due to the India-Pakistan situation, in addition to the drone attacks. This provides a Russian military blogger's interpretation of the motives and perceived impact of the Ukrainian drone attacks targeting Moscow. (Kotsnews, Kotsnews)
Claimed Ukrainian Use of New FP-1 Kamikaze Drone:Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that Ukraine has begun using a new "FP-1" kamikaze drone, with a claimed range of up to 1600 km and a warhead of 60-120 kg, largely composed of foreign components, specifically mentioning German engines. This, if confirmed, indicates Ukraine is developing or acquiring new long-range strike capabilities. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Confirmation of Large-Scale Russian Drone Attack Details:РБК-Україна reports that Yuriy Ihnat, head of communications for the Ukrainian Air Force Command, stated that Russia launched 187 drones against Ukraine since the evening of May 6th. He reported that 81 drones were destroyed by air defense, and another 64 drones were "locationally lost." This provides more precise figures on the scale and outcome of the recent large Russian drone attack. (РБК-Україна)
Russian Claim of Tactical Advance near Pokrovsk:Сливочный каприз claims that Russian forces have advanced up to 2 km on the southern approach to Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) and occupied new positions in the eastern part of Troitske. He includes a geotagged video showing a Russian forward position in the residential area of Troitske under Ukrainian drone fire. This indicates continued Russian offensive efforts and claimed tactical gains on the Pokrovsk axis. (Сливочный каприз, Сливочный каприз)
Russian Stance on Demilitarized Zone and Ceasefire:Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Peskov's statement that Moscow has not heard any proposals from Kyiv about establishing a demilitarized zone along the front line. He reiterated that Putin's initiative for a ceasefire for Victory Day remains in force, and no new orders contradicting this have been given, despite Ukrainian drone attacks. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Russian Military Blogger Fundraiser for Thermal Imaging Ponchos:Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is conducting a fundraiser for a workshop sewing thermal imaging ponchos for Russian paratroopers to make them "invisible to enemy drones." They are seeking 205,000 rubles for fabric, insulation, and materials. This highlights the continued need for equipment and reliance on public donations for specific items, particularly those addressing the threat of Ukrainian drones. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Council Allocates Funds for Defense and Shelters:🇺🇦 Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports that the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Council held its 25th session, approving a budget with priority funding for defense support. 300 million UAH was allocated for the Program of Public Order and Security, including previous allocations. Over 73 million UAH was allocated for vocational education projects. Importantly, approximately 300 million UAH was additionally allocated for the repair and equipping of shelters. This indicates regional efforts in Ukraine to allocate resources for military support, infrastructure development (vocational training), and civilian protection (shelters). (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))
Russian Interest in G8 Format:TASS reports that Peskov stated Russia is no longer interested in the G8 format. This indicates a shift in Russia's diplomatic priorities and engagement with international groupings. (ТАСС, ТАСС)
Russian Claims of Destroying Ukrainian Strongpoints on Siversk Direction:БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show drone operators of the K-2 Battalion of the 54th Separate Mechanized Brigade "smoking out" Russian occupiers from houses, basements, and cellars on the Siversk direction. This indicates ongoing Ukrainian defensive actions and targeting of Russian personnel in built-up areas using drones. (БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС)
Information Operation - Victory Day and Film Promotion:WarGonzo promotes a film titled "Blood Group" about the creation of fascist camps for orphans during the Great Patriotic War, set to be released in cinemas on May 8th. The film is described as "heavy but important" for preserving the memory of the victims and highlighting the "invincibility of the Russian people." This is a clear information operation leveraging historical narratives and emotional appeals in the lead-up to Victory Day. (WarGonzo, WarGonzo)
Russian Military Blogger Fundraiser for "Victory Knife":Два майора is promoting a project called "Victory Knife," where the proceeds from selling knives will go to support Russian soldiers. They have received pre-orders for 269 knives and are seeking orders for 31 more. This highlights another example of public fundraising for Russian military support and the use of symbolic items. (Два майора, Два майора)
Kazakhstan Using Drones for Public Safety Warnings:Colonelcassad shares a video claiming that drones with speakers are warning citizens in Astana, Kazakhstan, not to approach windows during festive events and not to film the central avenue where a parade will take place. This demonstrates the use of drone technology for public safety and security purposes in the context of potential threats or security concerns. (Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)
Detention of Journalist in Moscow:ASTRA reports that journalist Veronika Orlova of SOTAvision was arrested for 13 days in Moscow for "disobeying police," reportedly due to a social media post with a photo of Alexei Navalny. She was detained on her way to cover a court hearing related to the "Baimak case." The court reportedly dismissed defense requests, including accessing police body camera footage. This indicates continued suppression of independent journalism and perceived opposition in Russia. (ASTRA, ASTRA)
Russian State Media Reporting on Bio-Weapons Labs:Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja Kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) reports on a Finnish media outlet ("MV-Lehti") claiming to have documented US-led bio-weapons development in Ukraine, including COVID-19, and that Trump has ordered the closure of these labs as demanded by Russia and China. This is an example of Russian state-aligned media promoting a conspiracy theory and a narrative that aligns with Russian foreign policy objectives. (Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia))
Reported Return of Captured Russian Soldiers to Combat:МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports that Russian soldiers who returned from captivity are being sent back to the front, with at least four men convicted for desertion after refusing to fight immediately after release. The report notes that this contradicts Article 117 of the Geneva Convention, which states that returned prisoners of war should be immediately released from service. This highlights potential violations of international law and issues regarding the treatment and redeployment of returned prisoners within the Russian military. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники)
Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)
Across Ukraine:Massive overnight Russian drone and "simulator" attack involving 187 UAVs since the evening of May 6th. 81 strike UAVs shot down, 64 simulators locationally lost.Impacts reported in Kharkiv, Odesa, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. Threat of ballistic missile use from the northeastern direction reported and subsequently cleared. (РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Оперативний ЗСУ, previous reports, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Kharkiv Oblast:Impacted by the overnight Russian drone attack. Ongoing intense combat in the Kharkiv operational zone, including 4 attacks near Vovchansk. Russian forces conducted 3 airstrikes with 7 KABs, used 114 kamikaze drones, and shelled 671 times. Ukrainian forces claim significant Russian personnel and equipment losses. Clashes near Zolochiv, Kozacha Lopan, Pidlyman. Russian forces reportedly advanced on the Kupyansk direction west of Kyslivka. Ukrainian forces report repelling assaults near Zahryzove and towards Novoosynove and Hlushkivka.(РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Оперативний ЗСУ, previous reports, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Liveuamap Source, General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Odesa Oblast:Impacted by the overnight Russian drone attack.(РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Оперативний ЗСУ, previous reports, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast:Impacted by the overnight Russian drone attack.Fatal Russian KAB strike in the Novopavlivka community, Synelnykove district.Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Council allocated funds for defense support, vocational training, and shelters.(РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Оперативний ЗСУ, previous reports, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, RBC-Ukraine, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))
Kursk Oblast (RU) / Sumy Oblast (Ukraine):Threat of UAV Attack alert issued and later reduced in Lipetsk Oblast. Ukrainian military blogger claims a failed Ukrainian attempt to break through towards Novy Put using quad bikes reportedly repelled. Claims of Ukrainian force concentration near Otruby to cut off Tetkino. Cargo columns reported moving through Konotop towards Shostka. Goncharovka village reportedly "liberated 1.5 months ago," showing significant destruction. Ukrainian forces reportedly repelled 18 Russian army assaults in the Kursk region, with Russian forces conducting 330 artillery bombardments and 12 air strikes with 27 KABs. Russian claims of destroying Ukrainian strongpoints and a UAV control point in Sumy Oblast areas of Sorokino, Korenek, Novovasilievka, and Baranovka.Kyiv not refusing to return Kursk residents but seeks exchange for Ukrainian citizens detained for aiding terrorism.(Igor Artamonov, Igor Artamonov, Igor Artamonov, Сливочный каприз, Kotsnews, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Liveuamap Source, General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС) Clashes near Vorozhba, Iskryskivschyna, Myropillya, Bilopillya of Sumy region. (Liveuamap Source, General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine)
Donetsk Oblast (Kupyansk, Borova, Krasny Lyman, Seversk, Gorlovka, Dyleevka, Staraya Nikolaevka, Sherbinovka, Krasnoarmeysk/Pokrovsk, Staraya Poltavka, Ulyanovka/Malinovka, Mirolyubovka, Novoolenovka, Tarasovka, Kotlyarovka, Kurakhovo, Bogatyr, Razdolnoe, Velikaya Novoselka, Volnoye Pole, Rovnopol, Kamensky, Chasiv Yar, Kurdumivka, Bila Hora, Toretsk, Ozaryanivka, Sukha Balka, Vodyane Druhe, Novotoretske, Shevchenko, Udachne, Uspenivka, Troyitske, Bohdanivka, Andriyivka, Novopil, Novosilka, Pryvilne, Komar, Odradne, Orikhiv, Stepove, Mali Scherbaky, Kamyanske, Novoandriyivka, Novodanylivka, Huliaipole, Vysoke, Andriivka, Dobropillia, Troitske):Continued intense ground fighting and Russian claims of expanded control zones near Zapadnoe (Kupyansk), new positions south of Makiyivka (Borova), combat in Torskoye (Krasny Lyman), reaching the center of Grigorovka (Seversk), new positions near Dyleevka and reaching Staraya Nikolaevka (Gorlovka), significantly increased offensive actions and claims of advances in Staraya Poltavka, Ulyanovka/Malinovka, and Mirolyubovka, reaching Kotlyarovka (Pokrovsk/Krasnoarmeysk), assaulting Bogatyr and reaching the highway north of Razdolnoe (Kurakhovo), and resuming offensive actions near Velikaya Novoselka along the Volnoye Pole-Rovnopol line.Russian MoD claims liberation of fortified areas in the South Donetsk direction.Massive overnight Russian drone attack impacted Donetsk Oblast.Clashes near Zahryzove and towards Novoosynove and Hlushkivka (Kupyansk axis), with Ukrainian forces repelling assaults.Enemy attacking 31 times near Hrekivka, Novomykhaylivka, Nove, Kolodyazi, Myrne, Torske and towards Zelena Dolyna (Lyman axis).No enemy offensive actions reported near Siversk.Clashes near Chasiv Yar, Kurdumivka and towards Bila Hora (Kramatorsk axis), with Ukrainian forces repelling four attacks.Enemy conducting six attacks near Toretsk and Ozaryanivka (Toretsk axis).Ukrainian defenders stopping 78 attacks near Sukha Balka, Stara Mykolayivka, Vodyane Druhe, Novotoretske, Shevchenko, Udachne, Uspenivka, Troyitske, Kotlyarivka, Bohdanivka and Andriyivka (Pokrovsk axis).Ukrainian forces repelling 24 enemy assaults near Novopil, Novosilka, Pryvilne, Komar and towards Odradne (Novopavlivka axis).Enemy forces conducting 14 attacks near Stepove, Mali Scherbaky, Kamyanske and towards Novoandriyivka and Novodanylivka (Orikhiv axis).Enemy attacking seven times near Vysoke (Huliaipole axis). Russian claim of a 2S4 Tyulpan strike on a Ukrainian command post near Bogatyr in the South Donetsk direction. Clashes near Shevchenko Pershe, Niv Poltavka, Sukhyy Yar, Pokrovsk, Kotlyne, Udachne, Oleksandrohrad, Novopil, Zelene Pole.Russian Armed Forces struck ammunition depots near Andriivka and Dobropillia with "Geran-2" drones.Russian claims of advancing up to 2 km and occupying new positions in the eastern part of Troitske (Pokrovsk/Krasnoarmeysk direction).Ukrainian forces reportedly "smoking out" Russian occupiers in houses, basements, and cellars on the Siversk direction using drones.(Сливочный каприз, MoD Russia, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, previous reports, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Liveuamap Source, General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine, MoD Russia, ТАСС, ТАСС, Сливочный каприз, Сливочный каприз, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС)
Kherson Oblast (Brylivka):Russian claims of a Ukrainian strike on a monument to fallen heroes in Brylivka. Reported incident with Russian snipers injured by a mine on the Kherson direction, with one fatality. (Военкор Котенок, Басурин о главном) Denial of Russian assault preparations on the Kherson right bank.(ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Crimea (Sovetsky village):Detention of a resident for publicly calling for the destruction of the Crimean bridge.(Два майора)
Vsevolozhsk, Leningrad Oblast (Russia):Incident involving a break-in by the "Russian Community" resulting in fatalities and injuries.(БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС)
Tallinn (Estonia):Location of the upcoming NATO Innovation Challenge hackathon focused on counter-drone technology.(Оперативний ЗСУ, previous reports)
New York (USA):Location of a concert by "Turetsky Choir" and Soprano for the 80th anniversary of Victory.(ТАСС, previous reports)
Turkey: Hosting the "YILDIRIM-2025/2" military exercise from May 5th to June 4th, focusing on Air Force reservist mobilization. (Рыбарь, previous reports)
Moldova: Authorities reportedly attempting to discourage the wearing of Victory Day symbols and planning a "Day of Europe" event on the main square on May 9th. (Два майора, previous reports)
Scotland (Edinburgh): Location of a charity concert for victims of conflict in Ukraine and Gaza. (Alex Parker Returns, previous reports)
Bryansk Oblast (RU), Voronezh Oblast (RU), Moscow Oblast (RU), Penza Oblast (RU), Kaluga Oblast (RU), Belgorod Oblast (RU), Lipetsk Oblast (RU), Samara Oblast (RU), Vladimir Oblast (RU), Kursk Oblast (RU), Rostov Oblast (RU): Russian MoD claims the destruction and interception of 105 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over these regions overnight (previous report). (Colonelcassad, previous reports)
Magnitogorsk (RU): Location of a legal case where families of deceased servicemen sued the Ministry of Defense for back wages (previous report). (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, previous reports)
Russia (General): Wholesale potato prices reportedly at a historical record high (previous report). (Север.Реалии, previous reports)
Lithuania and Poland: Reportedly not allowing Serbian and Slovakian leaders to fly over their territories to attend the Victory Day parade in Moscow. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Moscow (RU): Temporary mobile internet restrictions in place and expected to continue due to security concerns related to Ukrainian drone capabilities in the lead-up to Victory Day. Detention of journalist Veronika Orlova reported. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ASTRA, ASTRA)
Astana (Kazakhstan): Drones reportedly being used for public safety warnings during a parade. (Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)
Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):
Drone Activity:Massive overnight Russian drone and "simulator" attack involving 187 UAVs launched since the evening of May 6th. 81 strike UAVs shot down, 64 simulators locationally lost.Impacts reported in Kharkiv, Odesa, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts.Ukrainian Air Force reports one drone still airborne.Russian military blogger claims a failed Ukrainian attempt to break through near Novy Put using quad bikes.Russian claims of destroying Ukrainian drones in the air near Donetsk and in Sumy Oblast.NATO Innovation Challenge focused on counter-drone technology based on modern conflict experience. Russian MoD claims the destruction and interception of 105 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over 11 Russian regions overnight. Russian claims of destroying Ukrainian strongpoints and a UAV control point in Sumy Oblast. Ukrainian forces in the Kharkiv zone report Russian forces used 114 kamikaze drones.Threat of UAV Attack alert issued and later reduced in Lipetsk Oblast.Russian Armed Forces struck ammunition depots near Andriivka and Dobropillia with "Geran-2" drones.Russian military blogger's analysis of Ukrainian drone attack on Moscow, including claimed downing of over 10 drones on approaches.Claimed Ukrainian use of new "FP-1" kamikaze drone with a range of up to 1600 km.Ukrainian forces reportedly "smoking out" Russian occupiers in houses, basements, and cellars on the Siversk direction using drones.Drones reportedly being used for public safety warnings during a parade in Astana, Kazakhstan.(РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Оперативний ЗСУ, previous reports, Kotsnews, Народная милиция ДНР, Оперативний ЗСУ, Рыбарь, Северяночка, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Colonelcassad, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Igor Artamonov, Igor Artamonov, Igor Artamonov, ТАСС, ТАСС, Kotsnews, Kotsnews, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)
Ballistic Missile Activity:Threat of ballistic missile use from the northeastern direction reported and subsequently cleared.(Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Naval Activity: Prominent Russian military figure predicts potential for a practical naval blockade of Russia and increased vulnerability of Crimea to amphibious operations due to Western support for Ukraine gaining superiority "at sea and over the sea" in the Black Sea. (Стрелков Игорь Иванович, previous reports) Denial of Russian assault preparations on the Kherson right bank by the Southern Defense Forces. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, previous reports)
Air Defense Activity:Ukrainian Air Force reports the successful downing of 81 strike UAVs and the handling of 64 simulator drones out of 187 launched since evening of May 6th.Russian military blogger claims Russian air defense successfully repelled a Ukrainian drone attack on Moscow, shooting down over 10 drones on approaches. Russian MoD claims the destruction and interception of 105 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over 11 Russian regions overnight. Ukrainian forces in the Kharkiv zone claim the destruction or damage of 72 Russian UAVs and 2 EW systems.(РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Оперативний ЗСУ, previous reports, Kotsnews, Kotsnews, Colonelcassad, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Russian Tactical Aviation: Clashes near Zolochiv, Kozacha Lopan, Pidlyman of Kharkiv region, Shevchenko Pershe, Niv Poltavka, Sukhyy Yar, Pokrovsk, Kotlyne, Udachne, Oleksandrohrad, Novopil, Zelene Pole of Donetsk region, Malynivka, Temyrivka, Zaliznychne, Mala Tokmachka, Stepove, Kamyanske of Zaporizhzhia region, Vorozhba, Iskryskivschyna, Myropillya, Bilopillya of Sumy region. (Liveuamap Source, General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine, previous reports) Russian forces in the Kharkiv zone conducted 3 airstrikes with 7 KABs.(ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, previous reports)Fatal Russian KAB strike in the Novopavlivka community, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.(RBC-Ukraine, previous reports)
Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):
Romanian Presidential Election: Winner of the first round, George Simion, expresses opposition to providing weapons to Ukraine and advocates for de-escalation and a ceasefire. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Старше Эдды, previous reports)
NATO Cooperation and Technology Development: Ukraine is cooperating with NATO to seek technological solutions for countering drone threats through an Innovation Challenge hackathon. (Оперативний ЗСУ, previous reports)
Information Operations: Russian information operations highlighting dissenting voices in Europe (Romanian presidential candidate), leveraging historical narratives (Victory Day concert in New York, alleged Ukrainian strike on monument, Russian state-sponsored historical messaging, film promotion), promoting claimed military successes (repelling Ukrainian incursion in Kursk, advances in Donetsk, successful counter-drone operations, destruction of a Ukrainian command post), portraying Ukraine negatively (alleged "crimes" in Goncharovka, accusations of targeting monuments, framing Ukrainian leaders as "Ukro-Nazis"), and showcasing domestic achievements (Yandex Travel promotion, potato prices). Ukrainian official messaging recognizing Infantry Day, showcasing military action, and highlighting international public support. Reporting on former US President Trump's comments on historical narratives. Moldovan authorities reportedly discouraging the wearing of Victory Day symbols and planning a "Day of Europe" event. Russian military blogger's analysis of Ukrainian drone attack motives on Moscow, linking it to disrupting Victory Day and influencing international attendance.Russian state-aligned media promoting conspiracy theory about US bio-weapons labs in Ukraine.(Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ТАСС, Военкор Котенок, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Alex Parker Returns, Новости Москвы, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Два майора, Полиция Хабаровского края, Оперативний ЗСУ, Басурин о главном, MoD Russia, previous reports, Kotsnews, Kotsnews, Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia))
Internal Russian Political Commentary: Igor Strelkov offers a critical analysis of Russia's strategic position, leadership, and predicts negative future developments. (Стрелков Игорь Иванович, previous reports)
Counter-Terrorism/Security Measures: Detention in Crimea for calls to destroy the Crimean bridge. (Два майора, previous reports)Temporary mobile internet restrictions in Moscow related to security concerns.Detention of journalist in Moscow.(Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ASTRA, ASTRA)
US Political Commentary (Reported): Former US President Trump's comments on historical narratives are being reported. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, previous reports)
Turkish Military Exercise: "YILDIRIM-2025/2" focusing on Air Force reservist mobilization. (Рыбарь, previous reports)
German Political Developments: Friedrich Merz failed to secure a majority in the first round of voting for Chancellor. Coalition agreement supports Ukraine's EU/NATO aspirations and aid but not Taurus missiles. (РБК-Україна, Военкор Котенок, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Оперативний ЗСУ, previous reports)
Moldovan Political Actions: Discouraging Victory Day symbols and planning a "Day of Europe" event. (Два майора, previous reports)
International Public Support: Charity concert in Scotland for Ukraine and Gaza victims. (Alex Parker Returns, previous reports)
International Restrictions:Lithuania and Poland reportedly not allowing Serbian and Slovakian leaders to fly over their territories to attend the Victory Day parade in Moscow.(Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Russian Diplomatic Stance:Peskov states Russia is no longer interested in the G8 format.(ТАСС, ТАСС)
Internal Russian Issues (Updated):
Military Personnel Welfare and Recruitment: Igor Strelkov's analysis touches on perceived problems with the "non-fighting economy in a fighting country." Reported incident with Russian snipers on the Kherson direction, with challenges in medical evacuation. Uralvagonzavod sending new tanks to the troops, emphasizing continuous improvements and adaptations. Legal case where families of deceased servicemen sued the Ministry of Defense for back wages. Reported return of captured soldiers to combat and legal action against those who refuse, potentially violating the Geneva Convention.Russian military blogger fundraiser for thermal imaging ponchos.(Стрелков Игорь Иванович, previous reports, Басурин о главном, previous reports, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, previous reports, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, previous reports, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Internal Security and Ultraright Groups: Incident in Vsevolozhsk involving the "Russian Community" resulting in fatalities and injuries, linked by Ukrainian sources to avoidance of military service and targeting of migrants. (БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, previous reports)Temporary mobile internet restrictions in Moscow related to security concerns.Detention of journalist in Moscow.(Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ASTRA, ASTRA)
Military Development and Adaptation: Russian military blogger's analysis of NATO's focus on counter-drone technology based on lessons from Ukraine, suggesting a need for Russia to accelerate its own development. Presentation of claimed Russian successes in countering Ukrainian drones and adapting tank designs. Analysis of NATO's adoption of battlefield experience in robotic warfare. Claimed Ukrainian use of a new long-range kamikaze drone "FP-1" with foreign components.Russian military blogger fundraiser for thermal imaging ponchos.(Рыбарь, Северяночка, previous reports, Народная милиция ДНР, previous reports, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, previous reports, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Law Enforcement and Judicial Activity: Detention in Crimea for calls to destroy the Crimean bridge. Legal case where families of deceased servicemen sued the Ministry of Defense for back wages. Detention of journalist Veronika Orlova in Moscow and her subsequent 13-day arrest for "disobeying police," with the court reportedly dismissing defense requests.(Два майора, previous reports, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, previous reports, ASTRA, ASTRA)
Economic Situation: Wholesale potato prices reportedly at a historical record high. (Север.Реалии, previous reports)
Government Messaging: Russian state-sponsored historical messaging related to Victory Day. (Полиция Хабаровского края, previous reports)
Infrastructure Damage: Fires confirmed in industrial zones of Tula and Saransk following Ukrainian drone attacks (previous report). State Enterprise "Ivchenko-Progress" in Zaporizhzhia reportedly hit.(Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Два майора, Два майора, previous reports, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)
Airspace Restrictions: Temporary restrictions on air travel at multiple Russian airports due to Ukrainian drone attacks (previous report). Temporary mobile internet restrictions in Moscow and other regions during the attack and upcoming Victory Day.Threat of UAV Attack alert issued and later reduced in Lipetsk Oblast.(Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Два майора, Два майора, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, previous reports, Igor Artamonov, Igor Artamonov, Igor Artamonov)
Russian Military Blogger Criticism: Russian military bloggers assess the insufficiency of measures to protect industrial facilities from drone attacks due to bureaucracy (previous report). (Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Два майора, Два майора, previous reports)
Other Information:
Humanitarian Situation: Impacts from the overnight Russian drone and simulator attack reported in Kharkiv, Odesa, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. Civilian casualties confirmed from a drone attack in Kherson (previous reports). Damage to apartments in Novorossiysk confirmed (previous reports). Reports of destruction in the village of Goncharovka, Kursk Oblast. Allegations of Ukrainian "crimes" in Goncharovka. Fatal Russian KAB strike in the Novopavlivka community, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Reported incident with Russian snipers on the Kherson direction, with one fatality and challenges in medical evacuation. Kyiv not refusing to return Kursk residents but seeks exchange for Ukrainian citizens detained for aiding terrorism.Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Council allocated approximately 300 million UAH for the repair and equipping of shelters.(РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Оперативний ЗСУ, previous reports, previous reports, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, previous reports, RBC-Ukraine, previous reports, Басурин о главном, previous reports, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, previous reports, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))
Military Technology Development: NATO Innovation Challenge focused on developing counter-drone technology based on modern conflict experience. Russian claims of successful counter-drone operations and adaptations to tank designs. Analysis of NATO's adoption of battlefield experience in robotic warfare. Claimed Ukrainian use of a new long-range kamikaze drone "FP-1" with foreign components.Russian military blogger fundraiser for thermal imaging ponchos.(Оперативний ЗСУ, previous reports, Народная милиция ДНР, previous reports, Рыбарь, Северяночка, previous reports, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, previous reports, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Historical Narratives: Information operations surrounding Victory Day and differing interpretations of historical events. Alleged Ukrainian strike on a Victory Day monument. Russian state-sponsored historical messaging related to Victory Day. Moldovan authorities reportedly discouraging the wearing of Victory Day symbols and planning a "Day of Europe" event on May 9th. Promotion of a film about fascist camps for orphans during the Great Patriotic War.Russian military blogger fundraiser for "Victory Knife."(ТАСС, previous reports, Военкор Котенок, previous reports, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, previous reports, Полиция Хабаровского края, previous reports, Два майора, previous reports, WarGonzo, WarGonzo, Два майора, Два майора)
Regional Conflicts: Russian military blogger's perspective on asymmetric warfare and economic impact, referencing Houthi strikes on Israel. (Colonelcassad, previous reports)
Public Safety:Drones reportedly being used for public safety warnings during a parade in Astana, Kazakhstan.(Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)
Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations.
