Situation Report

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (April 29, 2025, 21:23 UTC)

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Updated Situation

The intensity of ground combat remains exceptionally high across multiple axes. Russian forces continue to claim advances on the Pokrovsk, Toretsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Sumi fronts, and also assert new gains on the Lyman direction towards Ridkodub, Kolodezi, and Zelyonaya Dolina. Russian sources claim to have consolidated positions on the outskirts and are fighting directly in Stupochky on the Chasiv Yar direction. Unconfirmed Russian claims of amphibious crossings on the Kherson direction persist. Ukraine reports inflicting significant losses and repelling numerous assaults across various sectors. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 125 combat engagements today, with one attack stopped on the Kharkiv direction. On the Kupiansk direction, nine assaults were conducted, with six stopped and three ongoing. On the Lyman direction, Russian forces attacked 21 times with five ongoing engagements. On the Siversk direction, the enemy conducted three assaults. On the Kramatorsk direction, 13 combat engagements are recorded. On the Toretsk direction, Russia attacked six times with one ongoing battle. On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian units attempted to break through defenses 51 times with nine ongoing engagements. All 12 enemy attacks on the Novopavlivsk direction were stopped. On the Prydniprovskyi direction, one unsuccessful offensive action was conducted. On the Kursk direction, Ukrainian units repelled 15 attacks with six ongoing combat engagements. On the Huliaipole direction, the situation has not changed significantly. On the Volyn and Polissia directions, no enemy offensive groups are forming.

A major ongoing development is the official confirmation and extensive reporting by North Korea and Russia regarding the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in "operations to liberate areas of Kursk Oblast" within a defense agreement framework. Russian sources explicitly link this to Ukraine's actions and promote it as a model military alliance, suggesting North Korean labor and drawing historical parallels. Russian sources are further elevating the significance of this operation, suggesting inclusion in historical textbooks and standardized exams. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has reportedly called this a "sacred mission" and announced a monument in Pyongyang to honor the soldiers. Russian military bloggers suggest North Korean military personnel may be deployed to other areas of the "special military operation" after the "liberation" of Kursk Oblast.

Ukraine continues combat operations in Belgorod Oblast, claiming control of a border strip and inflicting significant Russian losses. Reports of a Ukrainian drone attack on civilian workers in Grayvoron district with killed and wounded remain unconfirmed by official sources. The Russian Ministry of Defense has released a video of a captured Ukrainian POW claiming their unit failed to break through defenses and was eliminated.

Aerial bombardment persists with "Shahed" drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs) targeting multiple Ukrainian oblasts. Air raid alerts are active in several areas including Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Ukrainian Air Force reports strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast heading into Sumy and north Kharkiv Oblasts, and a new group from the south heading towards Zaporizhzhia. New groups of "Shaheds" are reported heading towards Kharkiv from the north and west, and also from the east and west. Explosions are reported in Kharkiv. The Ukrainian General Staff reports today the enemy inflicted 70 air strikes, using 129 KABs, 1112 kamikaze drones, and conducted almost 4,500 shellings. On the Kursk direction, the enemy inflicted seven air strikes, using 18 guided bombs, and conducted 220 artillery shellings (including 2 MLRS). Ukrainian Air Force reports KABs on Kharkiv, Sumy, and Donetsk Oblasts. ASTRA reports a Ukrainian drone damaged a Russian air defense radar station near Dmytrivka in Crimea on April 28th. Massive drone attacks on Kharkiv and Dnipro are reported, with significant civilian casualties in Kharkiv. A massive UAV attack on Dnipro has resulted in multiple fires, damage to private houses, and one fatality.

Discussions regarding potential peace settlements continue. Russian statements about readiness for negotiations and Donald Trump's reported claims are circulating. Donald Trump has explicitly called on Putin to "stop shooting, sit down and sign a deal," stating conditions exist. The UN responded to Putin's unilateral ceasefire announcement by stating their position remains ending the war based on the UN Charter and international law. Ukraine proposes a new economic mechanism for reparations. The US House has reportedly received articles of impeachment against President Trump. Yermak states Putin could stop the fire but does not, and says Russia must stop and not block Trump's peace efforts, which Ukraine supports. Russian sources disseminate opinions suggesting Europe should accept Trump's deal. TASS reports Patrushev claims most Odesa residents have nothing in common with the Kyiv regime. RBC-Ukraine reports a drone attack in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with a child's death and rescue. TASS reports the US has stated it will cease mediation efforts in the Ukrainian settlement without progress. Zelenskyy suggests Russia may be preparing something in Belarus this summer under the guise of exercises, potentially a new attack towards Ukraine, Lithuania, or Poland.

Domestic Russian news includes reports on a fatal ambulance accident in Belgorod, military blogger discussions, recruitment for internal affairs organs in occupied territories, МВД reports on Telegram scams, and increased fines for children operating electric scooters. Reports circulate on a potential cyber threat targeting military users of the Alpine Quest offline map application via a fake "Pro-version." Russian military bloggers highlight the financial impact of "foreign agent" status on individuals. Russian state media publishes historical FSB documents related to alleged collaboration during WWII in Donbas. Direct flights between Tunisia and Russia are reportedly increasing. Basurin highlights Vasily Tatishchev. Archangel Spetsnaz shares a video of a light installation in Volgograd. A preliminary model of the MS-21 aircraft with new Russian systems has completed its first flight. Fighterbomber shares videos of the MC-21 flight. Kotsnews emphasizes the imported-substituted MS-21's first flight. Police in Khabarovsk Territory report scam victims and potential damage at a cemetery. Russian military bloggers disseminate Russian Ministry of Defense claims that NATO is practicing scenarios for capturing Kaliningrad Oblast and blocking shipping in the Baltic and Black Seas during exercises near Russia's borders. TASS reports Fortum is not planning to return to Russia and is pursuing arbitration. ASTRA reports a student of the Baltic Naval Institute in Kaliningrad is accused of rape. Russian military bloggers highlight NATO aircraft near Kaliningrad. TASS reports Putin stated it is necessary to repel those who justify Nazi crimes. TASS reports on the cost of river electric transport in Moscow. Mash on Donbas shares a video of Vitaly Gura. Alex Parker Returns comments on burning a computer and an incident on the Pakistan border. TASS reports plans for new monuments to Soviet military sailors. TASS reports the body of a deputy head of the Federal Penitentiary Service in Krasnoyarsk Territory was found, suspected suicide. ASTRA reports the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs proposed new grounds for granting asylum, including facing "rusophobia" or inability to "observe traditional values." Colonelcassad reports on the alleged liquidation of a Ukrainian champion in Muay Thai. Russian sources promote fundraising for quadcopters for an assault battalion of the 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade. The Office of the Prosecutor General in Ukraine is investigating individuals for allegedly producing fake military documents for border crossing for $20,000. News from Moscow indicates city services will continue working as usual during May holidays. Astra reports on the removal of a children's playground in Novosibirsk controlled by a United Russia deputy. TASS reports on the need for doctors in Russia. Police in Khabarovsk Territory are conducting raids to prevent fires. Russian military bloggers share content highlighting the daily life of soldiers. Medvedev characterized inviting "Bandera-Nazis" to Berlin as "beyond cynicism." Medvedev stated Russia's response to "peace through strength" should be "peace through fear." Medvedev claimed Trump acknowledged US, Europe, and Kyiv are responsible for the conflict. Medvedev stated the "special operation" must end with Russia's victory and the destruction of the "Kyiv regime," and foreign mercenaries are legitimate targets. He also claims Washington and London planned an attack on the Red Army in 1945. China called on Ukraine and Russia to clarify the roots of the "conflict" and supports steps towards a peaceful resolution. Russian sources report the Kremlin rejected Ukraine's 30-day ceasefire proposal, with Peskov stating it's impossible without addressing "nuances" and accusing Ukraine of not striving for peace. RBC-Ukraine reports Putin's negotiator's sister secretly visited Ukraine using a US passport. Операция Z shares a video citing a Trump advisor calling Ukraine corrupt. RBC-Ukraine reports Donald Trump admits certain actions by Putin can make him more favorable to Ukraine. He mentioned intervening with "sanctions," "banking mechanisms," and "many other types of weapons." TASS reports BRICS foreign ministers expressed a desire for a speedy end to the conflict. Trump, cited by Операция Z and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, states Ukraine will be "crushed very soon" because Russia is a "big military machine." Trump reportedly called Amazon's actions hostile. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Trump's special representative Kellogg is advocating for a 30-day comprehensive truce, stating they are close, while noting Russia does not share this view. ASTRA reports Montenegro will review all decisions on granting honorary citizenship. RBC-Ukraine reports Trump's special envoy Keith Kellogg sharply responded to Putin's ceasefire idea, calling it "absurd." Kellogg stated President Trump wants a permanent comprehensive ceasefire. Alex Parker Returns cites Lavrov stating Russia advocates for direct negotiations without preconditions and views Putin's proposal as the start. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS cites Lavrov stating Russia advocates for direct negotiations without preconditions and views Putin's ceasefire proposal as the beginning. Дневник Десантника summarizes Lavrov's statements. РБК-Україна reports on several news items. Рыбарь reports on Lavrov's statements. Bloomberg, cited by Оперативний ЗСУ and Два майора, reports negotiations are at an impasse. Putin insists on controlling the four Ukrainian regions in any peace deal. TASS cites Lavrov claiming Trump's proposed ceasefire has not affected the "aggressive actions of the Kyiv regime." ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS cites Bloomberg reporting the impasse. TASS reports the US will cease mediation efforts without progress. Alex Parker Returns quotes a statement implying the US may step away. The US exit from mediation efforts is a new development.

Latest Updates: Massive drone attacks targeting Kharkiv and Dnipro are underway. In Kharkiv, the number of injured civilians has risen dramatically, now reported at 39 people, including a 16-year-old child among the 30 civilians receiving medical assistance, with two hospitals damaged. The Mayor of Kharkiv reports 16 strikes with damage to residential buildings, a medical institution, and civilian infrastructure. The Head of the Kharkiv Oblast Military Administration reports 27 injured initially, with three hospitalized and others receiving first aid. The number has continued to climb according to the mayor and other sources. In Dnipro, a massive UAV attack has resulted in multiple fires, damage to private houses, and one fatality. Video shows fires in Dnipro. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports no more drones detected. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims units of the Zapad Group of Forces liberated Doroshovka (Kharkov region). Putin signed a decree renaming Volgograd airport to "Stalingrad." TASS reports the US is concerned about North Korean military participation in the Ukrainian crisis. Colonelcassad shares a video report on North Korean fighters in Kursk Oblast, highlighting their training and stating that "with them I would go into battle," emphasizing the benefit of allies. TASS publishes declassified testimonies of Hitler's valet from the FSB archive, detailing events in the bunker and the fate of Hitler and others, as part of historical dissemination. Ukrainian sources report a powerful explosion in Rylsk, Kursk Oblast, with Russian sources claiming a Ukrainian UAV strike on civilian objects resulting in casualties. DeepState map is updated, indicating Russian occupation of Sukha Balka and advances near Konstantynopol, Dachne, and in Toretsk. The Minister of Information of Pakistan stated they have information India will begin military actions against Pakistan within 24-36 hours and Pakistan intends to respond militarily. Operations Z and WarGonzo also report the Pakistani minister's statement. НгП раZVедка claims Ukrainian military criminals struck civilian objects in Rylsk, resulting in civilian casualties.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

• Pokrovsk Direction: Exceptionally intense ground combat continues with Russian forces attempting breakthroughs (51 reported assaults, 9 ongoing). Ukraine reports inflicting significant losses. DeepState map update indicates Russian advances near Dachne.
• Toretsk Direction: Russian forces attacked six times with one ongoing battle. Russian forces claim consolidation of positions in the northern part of Shcherbinivka and advances towards Dyliivka. DeepState map update indicates Russian advances in Toretsk.
• Lyman Direction: Significant Russian assaults reported by Ukraine (21 reported assaults, 5 ongoing). Russian forces claim advances on the Lyman direction towards Ridkodub, Kolodyazi, and Zelyonaya Dolina.
• Kursk Oblast: Ongoing combat operations with Ukrainian units repelling 15 Russian assaults (6 ongoing). Enemy inflicted seven air strikes, using 18 guided bombs, and conducted 220 artillery shellings (including 2 MLRS). Official confirmation and extensive reporting by Russia and North Korea on the deployment and participation of North Korean troops. Russian military bloggers suggest North Korean military personnel may be deployed to other areas. Dissemination of Russian-Korean military phrasebook. The US Department of State has expressed concern. Ukrainian sources report a powerful explosion in Rylsk, with Russian sources claiming a Ukrainian UAV strike on civilian objects resulting in casualties.
• Kharkiv Oblast: Ukrainian Air Force reports strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast heading north, and new groups of "Shaheds" from the north, west, east, and west heading towards Kharkiv. Explosions reported in Kharkiv. Massive drone attacks reported, with civilian casualties rapidly rising to 39 injured, including a child, and damage to two hospitals. Attacks reported on Slobidskyi, Saltivskyi, Shevchenkivskyi, Kyivskyi, and Nemyshlianskyi districts. Private house caught fire. Unusual high speed of drones noted. Ukraine stopped one attack on the Kharkiv direction. Ukrainian Air Force reports KAB on Kharkiv Oblast. ASTRA reports a "Shahed" falling near a medical institution in Saltivskyi district. Russian Ministry of Defense claims liberation of Doroshovka.
• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Dnipro): Multiple groups of Shahed drones are reported heading towards Dnipro from multiple directions. Air raid alerts active. Massive UAV attack is underway, resulting in multiple fires, damage to private houses, and one fatality. Explosions reported. Anti-drone work is reported. A child died and another was rescued from rubble in a previous drone attack in the oblast.
• Donetsk Oblast: Ukrainian Air Force reports KAB on Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad shares videos claiming Russian artillery strikes on Ukrainian temporary deployment points. Shelling and civilian casualties reported in Gorlivka. DeepState map update indicates Russian occupation of Sukha Balka and advances near Konstantynopol.
• Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Air raid alerts are active. Ukrainian Air Force reports a new group of strike UAVs from the south heading towards Zaporizhzhia. Fundraising efforts for paratroopers on the Zaporizhzhia front are ongoing.
• Chasiv Yar Direction: Russian sources claim consolidation of positions on the outskirts of Stupochky and fighting directly in Stupochky.
• Kherson Direction: Unconfirmed Russian claims of amphibious crossings persist. Russian airborne forces claim to have destroyed temporary deployment points on the right bank of the Dnieper. A new group of strike UAVs from the south is heading to Kherson Oblast, with a course towards Kryvyi Rih.
• Crimea: ASTRA reports a Ukrainian drone damaged a Russian air defense radar station near Dmytrivka in the Soviet district on April 28th.
• Volgograd: Putin signed a decree renaming the international airport to "Stalingrad."
• Belarus: Zelenskyy suggests Russia may be preparing something this summer under the guise of exercises.
• United States: TASS reports the US will cease mediation efforts in the Ukrainian settlement without progress. The US Department of State has expressed concern regarding the participation of North Korean military personnel.
• Pakistan and India: The Minister of Information of Pakistan stated they have information India will begin military actions against Pakistan within 24-36 hours.
• Ukraine (Defense Industry Enterprises): Ukrainian defense industry enterprises report significant material losses due to targeted Russian strikes and seek government assistance.

Potential Future Developments

• Continued high-intensity ground combat on current axes, with a focus on Russian attempts to achieve tactical breakthroughs, particularly on the Pokrovsk, Southern Donetsk, Krasnolimansky, and Siversk directions, and now in the Chasiv Yar area around Stupochky and on the Toretsk direction and near Grygorivka and Orikhovo-Vasylivka. DeepState map updates suggest ongoing Russian pressure and localized gains.
• Further Russian offensive efforts on the Sumy direction and potentially towards eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Continued Russian "rolling" attacks and attempts to push on the Kupiansk direction.
• Increased Russian reliance on and effectiveness of new loitering munitions.
• Continued combat and potential shifts in control in the Kursk border region, with the involvement of North Korean forces remaining a key factor, and potential deployment to other fronts. Russian expert claiming encountering Western mercenaries adds a new dimension. Continued clearing of explosive objects. Further reporting on the alleged Ukrainian UAV strike on Rylsk, Kursk Oblast, including independent verification of casualties.
• Escalation or sustained activity in the Belgorod border region. Further reports and verification of the alleged Ukrainian drone attack on civilian workers in Grayvoron district. Continued Russian efforts to repel cross-border incursions.
• Further aerial attacks by both sides, with continued civilian impact and targeting of infrastructure. Potential threats to new areas like Kyiv and Lipetsk Oblasts. Continued movement of attack UAVs towards Odesa, Kherson Oblast (Kryvyi Rih), and towards Dnipro and Kharkiv. Ukrainian efforts to counter these attacks. Continued Russian air strikes using guided aerial bombs. Continued massive Russian drone attacks on Kharkiv and Dnipro, and potential expansion to other urban centers. Continued increase in civilian casualties in Kharkiv. Further reporting on the outcome of the massive UAV attack on Dnipro, including confirmation of casualties and extent of damage.
• Independent investigation and clarification of the corruption case in Ukraine's defense industry and its impact on military capabilities.
• The outcomes of ongoing rescue efforts in Gorlivka and further reporting on casualties. Continued shelling and civilian casualties in Gorlivka.
• The success of fundraising efforts for Ukrainian units and their impact on operational capabilities. Continued fundraising efforts by Russian military bloggers for Russian units.
• The potential impact of Trump's statements and Russia's reaction. The reported impasse in negotiations and Putin's territorial demands highlight challenges. The US statement on ceasing mediation efforts without progress indicates a potential shift in the diplomatic landscape. The US stepping away from mediation could significantly alter the diplomatic landscape.
• Any observable impact of reported Chinese business strategies to circumvent US tariffs.
• Further information disseminated by Russia regarding military personnel or internal affairs. Continued propaganda efforts by the Russian Ministry of Defense. Continued attempts by the US to signal intentions regarding potential peace settlements.
• Continued or intensified Russian propaganda efforts regarding the West and the conflict, including leveraging claims of destroyed NATO equipment and humanitarian impacts, and amplifying negative portrayals of Ukraine and its leadership. Utilization of events like the funeral of General Moskalik and statements by Trump's advisor for propaganda. Efforts to portray Ukraine as aggressive and targeting civilian infrastructure. Claims about NATO aggression. Sharing personal stories of military personnel. Continued use of propaganda leaflets. Continued reporting on the detention of Ukrainians in the US for illegal voting. Linking historical military successes with current operations. Propaganda regarding the failure of Zelenskyy's May 9th "anti-parade." Dissemination of Russian-Korean military phrasebook. Further dissemination of reports and videos by Russian military bloggers regarding North Korean forces in Kursk Oblast.
• Any changes in the stance or actions of European nations based on recent events and diplomatic engagements. Ukraine's efforts to unblock its path to the EU. Reports of European leaders declining Zelenskyy's May 9th invitation.
• Further legal actions and investigations related to alleged war crimes and internal security threats. Continued sentencing for terrorism-related charges in Russia. Continued reporting on the sentencing of Ukrainians in Russia.
• Any observable changes in the tactics or frequency of railway sabotage attempts.
• Impact of the Ukrainian General Staff's decision to rotate TCC personnel on recruitment and combat effectiveness.
• Further information on the incident involving the Rosgvardiya orchestra in Moscow.
• The impact of Latvia's drone supplies on Ukrainian capabilities.
• Continued effectiveness of Ukrainian Naval Forces in targeting Russian logistics. Ukrainian efforts to bolster river defenses.
• Continued effectiveness of Ukrainian artillery units and specialized units.
• Developments regarding regional energy security cooperation.
• Further war crimes prosecutions by Ukraine. Continued reporting on shelling and civilian casualties in Gorlivka could contribute.
• Continued social and political tensions in Moldova regarding Victory Day.
• Any observable impacts of reported military-style drills involving children in Russia/occupied territories.
• Outcomes of psychological support efforts for returning Russian soldiers.
• Further developments in the Coordination Headquarters' work on prisoner of war issues. Continued efforts to evacuate Ukrainian citizens from abroad.
• Continued Russian use of historical narratives for political purposes.
• Continued reports of civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure in Horlivka.
• Further legal proceedings in Russia related to alleged acts of terrorism.
• Impact of the corruption case on the supply of ammunition and equipment. SBU detention of defense plant leadership confirms this is ongoing.
• Continued showcase of drone operations by both sides.
• Potential for increased Western scrutiny of Russian oil supply chains.
• Potential for destabilization efforts in Central Asia and Russia's response. Further reports and developments regarding the alleged impending military actions between India and Pakistan.
• Further details on the damage to the Russian air defense radar station in Crimea and any impact on Russian air defense capabilities.
• Any observable impact of the funeral of General Moskalik.
• Continued amplification of negative narratives about Ukraine and its leadership by Russian sources.
• Reports on the implementation and impact of the new tax on online sales in Ukraine.
• Further reports on the testing and potential deployment of US microwave anti-drone systems.
• Continued efforts by Russia to rebuild infrastructure and normalize life in areas under their control in Kursk Oblast.
• Further reports on the police investigation in Lviv regarding the deaths of the teenagers.
• Any observable signs of Russian military activity in Belarus this summer.
• Ukrainian and international responses to Zelenskyy's concerns about potential Russian activity from Belarus.
• Further reports and investigation into the drone attack on a school bus in Mykhailivka district, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
• Further information or legal proceedings regarding the SBU detention of defense plant leadership.
• Continued reporting and investigation into the shelling and civilian casualties in Gorlivka.
• Any observable impact of the alleged friendly fire incident involving a Ukrainian Su-27 and F-16.
• Verification of Russian claims of striking a military unit in Chornomorsk.
• Verification of Russian claims of advances near Grygorivka and Orikhovo-Vasylivka.
• Specific details and requests from Ukrainian defense industry enterprises regarding required government assistance.
• Continued increases or changes in the number and location of civilian casualties in Kharkiv due to drone attacks.
• Official statements or reports from Ukrainian authorities detailing the impact of targeted Russian attacks on defense industry enterprises.
• Further statements or actions from the US regarding their concern over North Korean military involvement.
• Further official reporting on the details and impact of the massive UAV attack on Dnipro.
• Any observable reaction from the Kremlin or other Russian officials to the Finnish President's statement.

Potential Indicators

• Independent reporting or satellite imagery confirming or contradicting claimed territorial changes on various axes, particularly Pokrovsk, Lyman, Toretsk, Sumy, Southern Donetsk, and in the Bryansk border region, and the contested areas in Belgorod. DeepState map updates can provide some indication.
• Further evidence or independent confirmation of the extent and effectiveness of North Korean personnel involvement in the Kursk region. Reports or visual evidence of North Korean forces in areas beyond Kursk Oblast.
• Observable shifts in Ukrainian offensive actions or troop concentrations in southern regions.
• Changes in the intensity, targeting, or trajectory of Russian tactical aviation sorties and KAB strikes. Continued or increased KAB strikes on Donetsk Oblast.
• Public statements or actions from the US following Rubio's comments. Further statements or actions from the US government regarding their concern over North Korean military involvement.
• Any observed impact of the proposed Ukrainian reparations mechanism.
• Any observable changes in the rate or nature of Russian military desertions.
• Any observed impact on the battlefield from Russia's efforts to recover and repurpose captured Ukrainian equipment.
• Further information regarding the recruitment and deployment of Russia's "African Corps."
• Independent investigation and verification of the alleged killing and looting by Ukrainian servicemen in Plehovo, Kursk Oblast, and the alleged torture of Russian POWs by Ukrainian forces.
• Analysis of the composition and training levels of Ukrainian reserves reportedly accumulated in southern regions.
• The degree to which narratives about alleged war crimes and the involvement of external actors are amplified by either side.
• Observable battlefield implications of the potential integration of motorcycles into Russian offensive tactics.
• Further details regarding the new US-Ukraine agreement on subsoil resources.
• Any observed impact on the battlefield from the increased number of reported Russian strikes on Ukrainian manpower and military hardware.
• Independent verification or refutation of the alleged Ukrainian Su-27 friendly fire incident.
• Observation of any impact of the increased fines for children operating electric scooters on traffic or public behavior in Russia.
• Any confirmed instances of malware targeting military map applications used by either side.
• Any observable impact of Russian measures targeting "foreign agents."
• Continued increases or changes in the number and location of civilian casualties in Kharkiv due to drone attacks.
• Official statements or reports from Ukrainian authorities detailing the impact of targeted Russian attacks on defense industry enterprises.
• Official confirmation of the number of fatalities and injuries, and details of the damage, resulting from the massive UAV attack on Dnipro.
• Any observable reaction from the Kremlin or other Russian officials to the Finnish President's statement.
• Any observable military movements or preparations by India or Pakistan along their border in the next 24-36 hours.
• Independent verification of alleged Ukrainian UAV strike on Rylsk, Kursk Oblast, and any civilian casualties.