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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-04-22 06:42:21Z
10 months ago
Previous (2025-04-22 06:12:49Z)

Military Situation Update: Ukraine

As of Tue Apr 22 06:41:23 2025 (Incorporating intelligence up to approx. 06:40 UTC)

I. Strategic & Air Warfare Overview

  • Overall Combat Intensity (UA GSh, Past 24h): High intensity maintained. 165 combat clashes recorded across the front.
  • Russian Strikes (UA GSh, Past 24h): Significant aerial and artillery bombardment continues.
    • Missile: 1 strike (using 3 missiles).
    • Aviation: 137 strikes, dropping 253 Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs).
      • Key Locations Hit (UA GSh/Regional Authorities): Sumy Oblast, Donetsk Oblast (Oleksandropil, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Muravka, Novodarivka, Dachne), Zaporizhzhia Oblast, Kharkiv Oblast (Horokhovatka - civilian injured; Petropavlivka - 2 civilians killed).
    • Drones: 2,651 kamikaze drones employed (GSh). SDF South reports over 600 kamikaze drone strikes and 330 UAV drops (>500 munitions) in their zone alone.
    • Artillery/MLRS: 5,832 shelling incidents (122 involving MLRS) (GSh). SDF South notes ~25% increase post-ceasefire, with 416 incidents (~2000 munitions) yesterday.
  • Overnight & Ongoing Air/Missile Activity (Night Apr 21/22 & Morning Apr 22):
    • Large-Scale Russian Drone Attack (Ongoing):
      • Initial Attack (Night): Launched 54 UAVs (Shahed-type and imitators) from multiple directions (Millerovo, Kursk, Bryansk, Primorsko-Akhtarsk - RU; Chauda - Crimea).
      • Ukrainian Air Defence Successes (UA AF, 09:00 UTC): Confirmed 38 Shahed-type UAVs shot down. 16 imitator UAVs "locationally lost" (EW/malfunction, no negative consequences reported). (Note: Supersedes earlier lower GSh/Navy/SDF figures).
      • Impacts (Confirmed):
        • Odesa: Damage to civilian infrastructure, residential buildings, educational institution. 3 civilians confirmed injured. RU sources claim strike targeted industrial zone ("Shtorm" NII).
        • Kyiv Oblast (Bucha District): Damage to 6 private houses, 4 vehicles, 3 outbuildings, 3 garages. Fire at construction site (extinguished). Damage to resort complex building. (RBC-Ukraina, 06:40).
        • Sumy Oblast (Bilopillia/Vorozhba communities): Airstrikes caused damage to 9 private homes. 1 civilian injured. Dog rescued from rubble. (ASTRA, 06:22).
      • NEW WAVE (Ongoing since ~08:00 UTC): Groups of Russian strike UAVs entering from North via Sumy Oblast, moving towards Chernihiv, Poltava, Kyiv, and Черкаси Oblasts. Air raid alerts active. (UA AF, 05:49, 06:22; Operativnyi ZSU, 06:33).
    • Russian Air Defense Claims (Over Russia/Crimea - MoD RU via ASTRA/Voenkor Kotenok): Claim 10 Ukrainian UAVs destroyed (Night Apr 21/22 - Morning Apr 22): 5 over Crimea, 3 over Belgorod Oblast, 2 over Oryol Oblast.
    • Ongoing Russian Attacks (Dnipropetrovsk/Kharkiv Oblasts): Continued kamikaze drone and artillery attacks on Nikopol district (damage to buildings, infrastructure; 2 civilians wounded, 1 severely injured by mine). Drone strike in Synelnykove district. Multiple FPV/KAB/Shelling attacks in Kharkiv Oblast (2 civilians killed in Petropavlivka KAB strike, 1 civilian killed in Ivashky FPV strike, 2 civilians injured in Kupyansk/Horokhovatka).
  • Ukrainian Strikes (UA GSh / SDF South, Past 24h): Air Force, Missile Troops, Artillery struck 10 RU concentration areas, 2 CPs, 6 Arty Systems. SDF South claims destruction of 54 RU Shelters, 2 Ammo Depots, 1 Fuel Storage, 1 OP, 1 SP.

II. Naval Activity

  • Black Sea (UA GSh): One Russian Kalibr missile carrier active (potential salvo up to 6 missiles).
  • Sea of Azov (UA GSh): No Russian warships detected.
  • Mediterranean Sea (UA GSh): Three Russian warships active, including two Kalibr missile carriers (total potential salvo up to 12 missiles).

III. Frontline Developments

  • Overall: Extremely high combat intensity persists, particularly on the Pokrovsk axis. Russian forces maintain offensive pressure, claiming tactical advances, including settlement captures. Ukrainian forces conduct defensive operations and counter-attacks.
  • Kupyansk Axis: 2 Russian attacks repelled near Petropavlivka, Zahryzove (UA GSh). OTU Kharkiv confirms repulsions. RU sources claim UA UAV CP destroyed in Radkivka (Apr 19 report). RU forces (1st GTA) active (Dva Mayora, 06:25).
  • Lyman Axis: 25 Russian attacks repelled near multiple settlements (UA GSh). RU sources claim advances towards Lyman, near Hrekivka, full liberation of Katerynivka, fighting for Nove/Novomykhailivka, advance along Zherebets River towards Myrne/Torske, pushing UA from Yampolivka (Rybar/Dva Mayora).
  • Siversk Axis: 2 Russian attacks repelled near Verkhnokamyanske, Pereizne (UA GSh).
  • Kramatorsk Axis (Chasiv Yar): 4 clashes recorded near Vasyukivka, Chasiv Yar, Markove, Stupochky (UA GSh). TACTICAL IMPACT: Traffic temporarily restricted on Dobropillia – Kramatorsk highway due to RU drone attacks on Andriivka village (Shef Hayabusa, 05:52).
  • Toretsk Axis: 23 Russian attacks near Toretsk, Dyliivka, Shcherbynivka (UA GSh). RU attacking near Dachne (Rybar). RU claim tactical successes, pushing UA from northern outskirts of Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk) and advancing on flanks (WarGonzo, 05:55).
  • Pokrovsk Axis (Highest Intensity):
    • UA GSh (Past 24h): 61 Russian attacks stopped near numerous settlements including towards Oleksandropil, Novopavlivka, Berezivka.
    • RU Claims (Rybar/WarGonzo/Arkhangel Spetsnaza/Dva Mayora, Apr 22): Renewed offensive S of Pokrovsk. Fierce battles continue; RU attacking Udachne and Kotlyno. Meeting engagements in Shevchenko. Claim capture of Tarasovka (33rd MSP, 20th MSD - Dva Mayora, 06:30). Claim successful offensive actions near Myroliubivka, cutting off some UA supply, repelling counter-attack (Arkhangel Spetsnaza, 06:30). Claim UA reinforcing from Dnipro. RU forces reportedly used sound signals instead of radios during Preobrazhenka liberation (TASS, 06:38).
    • UA Troop Movement Claim (RU Source - Arkhangel Spetsnaza, 06:30): Reports UA transferring brigades (incl. 25th) from Pokrovsk axis to Sumy Oblast, replacing them with TDF units, citing critical situation in Sumy. (Requires verification).
  • Novopavlivsk Axis: 19 Russian attacks near Kostyantynopil, Vilne Pole, Pryvilne, Novosilka, Rozlyv, towards Odradne (UA GSh). SDF South repelled 14 RU attacks. RU air strikes on Novodarivka, Dachne. RU sources claim repelled UA counter-attack E of Bohatyr, destroying M-113 (Rybar). RU CLAIM: RU forces destroy UA M113 & personnel near Bohatyr with FPV/mines (Poddubny, 06:18).
  • Orikhiv Axis: 3 Russian assaults repelled towards Stepove, Novodanylivka (UA GSh). SDF South repelled 1 RU attack near Stepove. RU air strikes hit Shcherbaky, Novoyakovlivka, Stepnohirsk. Positional battles near Mala Tokmachka. No serious LBS changes reported (WarGonzo, 05:55).
  • Prydniprovskyi Axis (Kherson): 2 unsuccessful Russian offensive actions conducted (UA GSh / SDF South).
  • Kharkiv Axis: No active RU offensive actions recorded (UA GSh). RU claims resumed fighting for Liptsy/Vovchansk post-ceasefire (Marochko).
    • OTU Kharkiv Update (09:00 UTC Apr 22): Situation complex, no significant changes. RU used 96 kamikaze drones and conducted 692 shelling incidents in past 24h.

IV. Cross-Border Engagements (Kursk/Sumy/Belgorod Oblasts)

  • Kursk Direction (UA GSh, Past 24h): 21 combat clashes recorded. High RU strike volume (27 air strikes, 45 KABs, 336 arty shellings).
  • Kursk Oblast / Sumy Border:
    • RU Claims (Multiple RU Sources including TASS/Dnevnik Desantnika/Dva Mayora/WarGonzo/RVvoenkor, Apr 22 05:44-06:24): Claim full liberation of Hornal Monastery area (Sever Group). Claim VSU used monastery complex as military object. Claim RU forces destroying UA elements near Hornal and advancing into Sumy border areas. RU CLAIM (Dnevnik Desantnika, 06:28): RU aviation used FAB-3000 bomb to destroy UA position within Hornal monastery complex, alleging UA occupied it during ceasefire. Fighting ongoing for Hornal settlement.
  • Belgorod Oblast: RU MoD claims 3 UA UAVs destroyed overnight. RU sources claim continued UA attempts to break through defenses near Popovka/Demidovka repelled (WarGonzo, 05:55).

V. Losses, Capabilities & Logistics

  • Ukrainian Capabilities & Successes:
    • Air Defense: Confirmed 38 Shahed-type UAVs destroyed overnight Apr 21/22. 16 imitator drones neutralized/lost (UA AF).
    • Ground Forces: Repelled 61 RU attacks on Pokrovsk axis, 25 on Lyman, 14 on Novopavlivsk (Past 24h, GSh/SDF South). OTU Kharkiv reports holding ground.
    • Strikes: Hit 10 RU concentration areas, 2 CPs, 6 Arty Systems (GSh). SDF South claims destruction of 54 RU Shelters, 2 Ammo Depots, 1 Fuel Storage, 1 OP, 1 SP.
    • Logistics: Ongoing need for basic items like field cots highlighted by fundraising (RBC-Ukraina, 06:06). Training focus on Marine recon units emphasizes autonomous operations, physical fitness, multi-domain skills (GSh ZSU, 06:12).
  • Ukrainian Losses:
    • Civilian Casualties (Past 24h): 3 injured (Odesa - Shahed); 1 injured (Sumy Oblast - airstrike); 2 killed, 3 injured (Kharkiv Oblast - KAB/FPV/drone); 2 wounded, 1 severely injured (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast - shelling/mine).
    • Infrastructure Damage (Past 24h): Widespread damage to homes, infrastructure in Odesa, Kyiv Oblast (Bucha dist.), Sumy Oblast (Bilopillia/Vorozhba), Nikopol district, multiple locations in Kharkiv Oblast. Highway traffic restricted near Andriivka (Kramatorsk axis) due to RU drone attacks.
  • Russian Losses (Claimed by UA GSh, Past 24h):
    • Personnel: 1130 KIA/WIA.
    • Tanks: 4
    • AFVs: 19
    • Artillery Systems: 26
    • UAVs (Op-Tac): 118
    • Vehicles & Fuel Tanks: 134
  • Russian Losses (Claimed by OTU Kharkiv, Past 24h):
    • Personnel: 72 (32 KIA).
    • Equipment: 116 units (1 Tank, 1 AFV, 2 Arty, 13 Vehicles, 14 Spec Eq, 85 UAVs).
    • Facilities: 98 Shelters, 3 Ammo Depots, 1 Fuel Storage.
  • Russian Losses (Claimed by SDF South, Past 24h):
    • Personnel: 113
    • Equipment: 9 Arty, 1 AA, 40 Veh/Armored, 8 Recon UAVs, 3 EW, 2 Boats, etc.
    • Facilities: 54 Shelters, 2 Ammo Depots, 1 Fuel Storage, 1 OP, 1 SP.
  • Russian Losses (Specific Claims):
    • Liquidation of RU propagandist "Leshiy" confirmed (Butusov Plus, 05:48).
    • UA Claim (Poddubny via RU MoD, 06:18 / 06:28): RU destroyed UA M113 APC near Bohatyr (Novopavlivsk axis) and Kozak APC (Krasnoarmeysk/Pokrovsk direction).
  • Russian Capabilities & Issues:
    • High Volume Strikes: Continued heavy use of KABs, Kamikaze Drones, Artillery. Launched 54 UAVs (Shaheds/imitators) overnight. Initiated new wave of drone attacks from 08:00 UTC.
    • Advanced Munitions: Claimed use of FAB-3000 bomb on Hornal monastery complex (Kursk Oblast).
    • Logistics Needs: Ongoing fundraising appeals for various units indicate needs for drones (incl. night vision Mavic for VDV on Zaporizhzhia front - Dnevnik Desantnika, 06:01), drone detectors, EW equipment, power supplies, vehicles (Colonelcassad, Dnevnik Desantnika).
    • Tactical Adaptation: RU forces reportedly used sound signals instead of radios during urban assault in Preobrazhenka (TASS).

VI. Political & Information Operations Context

  • Potential Peace Plan Speculation (NYP/Operativnyi ZSU/Tsaplienko): Renewed reports (originating NY Post) suggest Trump plans to unveil peace plan involving de-facto RU control over ~20% Ukraine territory, ceasefire, EU peacekeepers, possible Crimea recognition. Plan allegedly includes ceasefire monitoring commission (RU/UA/non-NATO 3rd party).
  • Russian Information Operations:
    • Continued narrative blaming UA for ceasefire violations (Voin DV video).
    • Heavy promotion of claimed tactical successes (e.g., Hornal Monastery capture, Tarasovka capture, FAB-3000 use).
    • Framing RU actions as liberation/sacred duty (Hornal Monastery).
    • Highlighting alleged UA atrocities/forced mobilization (Basurin video on Vuhledar).
    • Fundraising appeals doubling as morale/support campaigns.
    • Video interviews challenging UA units (Butusov Plus reports on Kadyrovite challenge to 225th Regt).
    • Claims UA used Hornal Monastery as military base (TASS, 05:59).
  • Ukrainian Information Operations:
    • Highlighting civilian casualties/damage from RU attacks (Odesa, Kyiv Oblast, Sumy, Kharkiv, Nikopol).
    • Reporting successful AD results against drone attacks (UA AF).
    • Reporting destruction of RU assets/personnel, including propagandists (Butusov Plus).
    • Historical narratives (e.g., 1918 liberation of Crimea - Shef Hayabusa).
    • Recruitment messaging (DShV 95th Bde video).
    • Showcasing troop training/capabilities (GSh ZSU Marine Recon photos).
  • Other: Death of prominent Russian sculptor Zurab Tsereteli reported (TASS, 05:43). Roskomnadzor reports temporary disruptions to foreign messengers overnight, now resolved (TASS, 05:56). RU MoD claims Tsentr Group forces destroyed UA Kozak APC (06:28).
Previous (2025-04-22 06:12:49Z)

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