Drones:2,651 kamikaze drones employed (GSh). SDF South reports over 600 kamikaze drone strikes and 330 UAV drops (>500 munitions) in their operational zone alone.
Artillery/MLRS:5,832 shelling incidents (122 involving MLRS) (GSh). SDF South reports ~25% increase in RU arty/drone use post-ceasefire, with 416 shelling incidents (~2000 munitions) in their zone yesterday.
Overnight & Recent Air/Missile Activity:
Ukrainian Successes:
UA Navy/GSh confirmed destruction of 3 Shahed-type UAVs overnight.
Air Command "East" (PvK Skhid) confirmed destruction of 2 Russian UAVs over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight (Lysak/Vilkul).
NEW (SDF South): Claim destruction of 27 Shahed-136 UAVs by their air defense units (Past 24h). (Note: Discrepancy with GSh/Navy figure of 3).
Russian Shahed Attack (Odesa - Night Apr 21/22):
UA Reports (Confirmed): Damage to civilian infrastructure, residential buildings (multiple apartments), educational institution, vehicles confirmed. Fires extinguished. 3 civilians confirmed injured (DSNS, Sternenko, Tsaplienko, RBC-Ukraina). Update: Over 90 windows blown out in 3 schools; two schools shifting to remote learning (Odesa Mayor via RBC-Ukraina). Attack targeted a densely populated residential area. Photos confirm major fire at impact site.
Russian Claim (Rybar/Dva Mayora/Operatsiya Z): Massive strike (up to 30 "Geran"/Shahed) targeting industrial zone ("Shtorm" NII) allegedly used for AFU electronics/equipment production/storage. (Discrepancy in drone numbers and targeting claims noted).
Russian Air Defense Claims (Over Russia/Crimea - MoD RU via Dnevnik Desantnika/ASTRA): Claim 10 Ukrainian UAVs destroyed between 20:00 Apr 21 and 06:00 Apr 22 Moscow Time. Breakdown: 5 UAVs over Crimea, 3 UAVs over Belgorod Oblast, 2 UAVs over Oryol Oblast. RU sources also claim interception of Neptune missiles targeting Crimea overnight. (Colonelcassad notes potential UA accumulation of drones for future mass attack).
Russian Drone Attacks (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast - Ongoing):
Nikopol District (Nikopol, Marhanets community): Ongoing RU kamikaze drone attacks and artillery. Damage confirmed: Administrative building, 7 private houses, farm, outbuildings, playground, gas/power lines. 2 civilians wounded (66M, 63F) from shelling.1 civilian (62F) severely injured by RU mine in Nikopol city (Lysak/Vilkul).
Synelnykove District (Mezhivska community): RU drone strike reported. Car fire; damage to private house, outbuilding (Lysak/RBC-Ukraina).
Russian Drone/Shelling Attacks (Kharkiv Oblast - Past 24h - Syniehubov): Widespread attacks targeting civilians and infrastructure.
Kupyansk City: Drone drop damaged gas pipe, 58F injured.
Staryi Saltiv area (Chuhuiv Dist): Munition hit excavator in forest strip.
Decoy UAV found near Starovirivka.
Ukrainian Air Force Threat Warning (Ongoing as of 06:10 UTC): Threat of Russian strike UAVs moving via Sumy Oblast towards Chernihiv and Poltava Oblasts. Initial warnings for Sumy, Kharkiv, Chernihiv, Poltava. Air raid alerts active in relevant Oblasts.
Ukrainian Strikes (UA GSh, Past 24h): Air Force, Missile Troops, and Artillery successfully struck:
10 RU Concentration Areas (Personnel, Weapons, Military Equipment).
2 RU Command Posts.
6 RU Artillery Systems.
Ukrainian Strikes (SDF South, Past 24h): Claimed strikes resulting in destruction of:
54 RU Shelters.
2 RU Ammo Depots.
1 RU Fuel Storage Point.
1 RU Observation Post, 1 RU Strongpoint.
II. Naval Activity
Black Sea (UA GSh / RBC-Ukraina):One Russian Kalibr missile carrier active (potential salvo up to 6 missiles). Missile threat remains.
Sea of Azov (UA GSh / RBC-Ukraina): No Russian warships detected.
Mediterranean Sea (UA GSh):Three Russian warships active, including two Kalibr missile carriers (total potential salvo up to 12 missiles).
III. Frontline Developments (Based on UA GSh 08:00 Report, ISW, Milbloggers, Regional Updates, WarGonzo 05:55 Update)
Overall: Extremely high combat intensity persists, particularly on the Pokrovsk axis. Russian forces maintain offensive pressure across multiple directions, claiming tactical advances. Ukrainian forces conduct defensive operations and documented counter-attacks.
Kupyansk Axis (Luhansk/Kharkiv Oblasts):
UA GSh (Past 24h): 2 Russian attacks repelled near Petropavlivka and Zahryzove. Confirmed by Syniehubov.
Lyman Axis (Donetsk/Luhansk Oblasts):
UA GSh (Past 24h): 25 Russian attacks repelled near Nove, Nadiia, Novomykhailivka, Hrekivka, Myrne, Kolodyazi, Torske and in the direction of Novyi Myr, Zelena Dolyna.
RU Claims (Rybar Analysis / Dva Mayora, Apr 22 05:37): Continued RU advances on southern flank, expanding control S towards Lyman and N towards Kharkiv border. Fierce fighting near Hrekivka. Claim full liberation of Katerynivka, ongoing battles for Nove and Novomykhailivka (claim UA reinforcements being destroyed by RU UAVs). Claim advance along Zherebets River, approaching Myrne (Dzerzhynske), pushing UA from Yampolivka, fighting on northern edge of Torske. Claim meeting engagements near Nadiia, claiming UA pushed out in April and RU flag raised. Claim accelerating tempo after taking key points near Katerynivka.
Siversk Axis (Donetsk Oblast):
UA GSh (Past 24h): 2 Russian attacks repelled near Verkhnokamyanske and Pereizne.
Kramatorsk Axis (Chasiv Yar / Bakhmut Area):
UA GSh (Past 24h): 4 clashes recorded near Vasyukivka, Chasiv Yar, Markove, and Stupochky.
Bakhmut Visuals: Recent video confirms extensive destruction, RU occupation symbols, and Victory Day preparations amidst ruins (Operatyvnyi ZSU).
NEW TACTICAL IMPACT: Traffic temporarily restricted on Dobropillia – Kramatorsk highway due to RU drone attacks on Andriivka village (Shef Hayabusa, 05:52).
Toretsk Axis (Donetsk Oblast):
UA GSh (Past 24h): 23 Russian attacks conducted near Toretsk, Dyliivka, and Shcherbynivka.
RU Claim (Rybar): RU attacking near Dachne.
RU Claim (WarGonzo, 05:55): Claim tactical successes. RU forces continue pushing UA forces from northern outskirts of Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk) and are advancing on the flanks.
Pokrovsk Axis (Donetsk Oblast): HIGHEST INTENSITY
UA GSh (Past 24h): Ukrainian defenders stopped 61 Russian assault and offensive actions near Sukha Balka, Myrolyubivka, Yelyzavetivka, Sukhyi Yar, Vodyane Druhe, Kotlyne, Uspenivka, Novooleksandrivka, Nadiivka, Troitske, Tarasivka, Promin, Lysivka, Udachne, Preobrazhenka, Kotlyarivka, Andriivka and in the direction of Oleksandropil, Novopavlivka, Berezivka.
RU Claim (Rybar/WarGonzo, Apr 22 05:32/05:55): Renewed offensive S of Pokrovsk towards Dnipropetrovsk border near Kotlyarivka and S of Serebryane (likely Serebryanka/Sribne). Fighting reported near Tarasivka. Fierce battles continue; RU attacking Udachne and Kotlyno. Claim VSU conducting counterattacks. Meeting engagements reported in Shevchenko.
Novopavlivsk Axis (South Donetsk):
UA GSh (Past 24h): 19 Russian attacks on Ukrainian positions near Kostyantynopil, Vilne Pole, Pryvilne, Novosilka, Rozlyv and towards Odradne.
SDF South (Past 24h): Repelled 14 RU attacks in similar areas (Kostyantynopil, Vilne Pole, Pryvilne, Novosilka, Rozlyv). RU air strikes hit Novodarivka and Dachne.
RU Claim (Rybar, Apr 22 05:32): Repelled UA counter-attack E of Bohatyr (10 personnel, 1x M-113), destroying M-113, vehicle, killing/wounding personnel with FPV/mines.
RU Claim/Video (Voin DV): 200th Brigade (29th CAA) artillery destroyed UA PVD in Bohatyr.
Orikhiv Axis (Zaporizhzhia):
UA GSh (Past 24h): Ukrainian defenders repelled 3 Russian assaults towards Stepove and Novodanylivka.
SDF South (Past 24h): Repelled 1 RU attack near Stepove. RU air strikes hit Shcherbaky, Novoyakovlivka, and Stepnohirsk.
RU Claim (Rybar/WarGonzo, Apr 22 05:32/05:55): Positional battles near Mala Tokmachka (claim RU hold SE part/brick factory). Situation static near Shcherbaky, Maly Shcherbaky, Stepove, Lobkove. Claim increased UA drone activity (newly arrived national battalions). No serious LBS changes reported.
Huliaipole Axis (Zaporizhzhia):
UA GSh (Past 24h): No active RU offensive actions recorded.
SDF South (Past 24h): RU aviation struck Malynivka and Zaliznychne with unguided rockets (NAR).
Prydniprovskyi Axis (Kherson):
UA GSh / SDF South (Past 24h): 2 Russian offensive actions conducted, unsuccessful.
Kharkiv Axis:
UA GSh (Past 24h): No active RU offensive actions recorded.
RU Claim (Marochko via TASS): RU forces resumed active fighting for Liptsy and Vovchansk after the ceasefire period.
IV. Cross-Border Engagements (Kursk/Sumy Oblasts)
Kursk Direction (UA GSh, Past 24h):
21 combat clashes recorded.
Russian forces conducted 27 air strikes, dropped 45 KABs, and carried out 336 artillery shellings (including 8 MLRS strikes).
Sumy Oblast (UA GSh): Russian air strikes targeted multiple border settlements (see Section I).
Belgorod Oblast: RU MoD claims interception of 3 UA UAVs overnight. RU sources (Rybar/WarGonzo) report damage/injury from UA FPV drone near Tomarovka and UAV drops in Dolgoye (Valuysky district). Continued reports of shelling/strikes on border settlements (Nikolskoye, Leonovka, Kazinka, Kukuyevka, Dvuluchnoye, Barilov). RU claims continued UA attempts to break through defenses near Popovka and Demidovka (Krasnoyaruzhsky dist) are being repelled, with UA forces destroyed on approach (WarGonzo).
Kursk Oblast:
RU Claim (Rybar/WarGonzo/TASS/Dnevnik Desantnika/Dva Mayora, Apr 22 05:32/05:55/05:38/05:44/06:00): RU forces advanced near Nikolsky Monastery and Hornal. Claim liberation of Hornal Monastery area (confirmed by multiple RU sources incl. TASS, "Sever" Group). Claim VSU used monastery complex as military object (arty, UAV LPs, personnel housing). Claim RU forces continue destroying UA elements near Hornal. RU forces continue advancing on Sumy Oblast territory, taking UA positions in border areas.
RU Claim (Rybar): Repelled 4 UA infiltration attempts near Demidovka/Popovka (Belgorod). Repelled UA infiltration attempt near Goptarovka (Kursk Obl border) - group destroyed by drone drops.
V. Logistics, Capabilities & Losses
Ukrainian Capabilities & Successes:
Air Defense: Confirmed destruction of 3 Shahed UAVs (Navy/GSh) and 2 RU UAVs over Dnipropetrovsk (PvK East) overnight. SDF South claims 27 Shaheds downed (Past 24h).
Ground Forces: Successfully repelled numerous attacks across multiple axes, notably stopping 61 RU assaults on the Pokrovsk axis and 25 on the Lyman axis (Past 24h, GSh). Successfully repelled 14 RU attacks on Novopavlivsk axis and 1 RU attack on Orikhiv axis (SDF South).
Strikes: Hit 10 RU concentration areas, 2 CPs, 6 Arty Systems (Past 24h, GSh). SDF South claims destruction of 54 RU Shelters, 2 Ammo Depots, 1 Fuel Storage, 1 OP, 1 SP.
Arms Supply:NEW (Le Monde via Tsaplienko): 90% of CAESAR SPH barrels produced by KNDS are supplied to Ukraine, indicating significant ongoing artillery support.
Logistics Needs: Fundraising appeal for field cots for frontline units (109 Bde, 143 Bde, 1 OShB) highlights need for basic soldier welfare items (RBC-Ukraina, 06:06).
Ukrainian Losses:
Civilian Casualties (Past 24h):
Odesa: 3 injured (Shahed attack).
Kharkiv Oblast: 2 killed (54F, 26M in Petropavlivka - KAB), 1 killed (24M in Ivashky - FPV), 2 injured (48F in Horokhovatka - KAB; 58F in Kupyansk - drone drop).
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: 2 wounded (66M, 63F in Nikopol - shelling), 1 severely injured (62F in Nikopol - mine).
DNR (RU Claim): 1 civilian killed, 1 injured in Horlivka (alleged UA UAV/mine).
Infrastructure Damage (Past 24h): Extensive damage to homes, power lines, gas pipes, outbuildings, vehicles, educational institution, industrial site (RU claim) in Odesa, Nikopol district, and multiple locations in Kharkiv Oblast (see Section I). Highway traffic disruption near Andriivka (Kramatorsk axis) due to drone attacks.
Military Equipment: RU claim destruction of 1x M-113, 1x car near Bohatyr (Rybar). RU claim destruction of 10 UA UAVs via FPV (Colonelcassad).
Russian Losses (Claimed by UA GSh, Past 24h):
Personnel:1130 KIA/WIA. (Note: GSh adjusted cumulative totals for personnel, AFVs, Arty, MLRS based on updated intelligence).
NEW (Butusov Plus): Claimed liquidation of RU propagandist/combatant "Leshiy" (author of "Zapiski Leshego" TG channel), previously MIA since Feb 2025.
Russian Capabilities & Issues:
High Volume Strikes: Continued heavy use of KABs (253 past 24h), Kamikaze Drones (2651 past 24h), Artillery (5832 shellings past 24h) reported by UA GSh. SDF South confirms ~25% increase in RU arty/drone use post-ceasefire and high volume of UAV strikes (>600 kamikaze, 330 drops past 24h).
Targeting: Mass drone strike on Odesa (RU claim targeted industrial zone). Widespread strikes on civilian areas/infrastructure in Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts.
Logistics Needs: Ongoing fundraising appeal for RU 106th VDV (Kursk) and Unit 31135 (Kupyansk) for items like Starlink, drone detectors, power stations, batteries, tools, basic supplies (Colonelcassad). NEW (Dnevnik Desantnika, 06:01): Urgent appeal for funds (370k RUB) for night vision Mavic drone for VDV units on Zaporizhzhia front, indicating need for improved night reconnaissance capability.
Volyn/Polissia Directions: No signs of Russian offensive group formation detected (UA GSh).
VI. Political & Information Operations Context
Potential Peace Plan / Negotiations Speculation (NYP/WSJ/Fighterbomber/RVvoenkor/Operativnyi ZSU/Tsaplienko): Persistent reports and speculation (originating from US/RU sources) about potential peace deal terms being discussed or proposed:
US recognition of Crimea as Russian.
Ukraine concedes ~20% territory "de-facto" (not officially recognized), agrees not to retake militarily.
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO.
Deployment of "third force" peacekeepers (NATO & non-NATO members) post-ceasefire.
Trump Statement: Fmr. President Trump asked about potential US demand for Ukraine to recognize Crimea as Russian, stated he would provide information within 3 days (Tsaplienko). NYP report claims Trump plans to unveil peace plan in 3 days involving de-facto recognition of 20% territory, truce, EU peacekeepers, possible Crimea recognition.
Note: These reports remain unconfirmed speculation from media/blogger sources.
Russian Information Operations:
Ceasefire Narratives: Continue accusing Ukraine of violations during RU-declared pause. RU official Miroshnik claimed >140 UA strikes on RU energy facilities since moratorium began (TASS). Video narrative blaming UA for attacking civilian evacuation from Kostyantynopil during ceasefire (Voin DV).
Frontline Narratives: Disseminating claimed successes (e.g., Rybar's Lyman analysis, Hornal Monastery liberation claim, Bohatyr PVD strike video). Highlighting alleged UA losses/failed attacks. Claiming tactical successes on Toretsk flanks, near Hornal, advancing in Sumy border area (WarGonzo).
Morale/Propaganda: Fundraising appeals (Colonelcassad, Dnevnik Desantnika). Propaganda videos featuring personnel (Colonelcassad - logistics NCO). Putin quotes emphasizing veterans as the country's "elite" (Dnevnik Desantnika). Video alleging forced mobilization by UA in Vuhledar (Basurin). Video challenging UA 225th Regt (Butusov Plus).
Ukrainian Information Operations:
Reports highlighting civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from RU strikes (Odesa, Kharkiv, Nikopol).
Fundraising appeals for essential equipment (RBC-Ukraina).
Reports claiming destruction of RU assets and personnel, including propagandists (Butusov Plus).
Countering RU narratives (e.g., Butusov Plus response to Kadyrovite challenge).
Recruitment messaging (DShV 95th Bde video).
Internal Russian Developments: Investigation into alleged fraud related to defense fortifications in Kursk continues (Previous TASS report). Temporary disruptions to foreign messengers reported overnight by Roskomnadzor, now resolved (TASS).
Assessment incorporates data up to approximately Tue Apr 22 06:10 UTC, including the UA GSh 08:00 Kyiv report and subsequent updates from official sources and open-source channels. Information derived requires standard verification protocols, particularly for conflicting claims or those solely from one belligerent.