Military Situation Update: Ukraine - April 7, 2025, 13:45 UTC

(Analysis based on information received between 13:15 UTC and 13:45 UTC)

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I. Overall Situation & Command Updates

• The Ukrainian General Staff (UGS) reports 77 combat engagements since the beginning of the day (as of 13:00 UTC). Combat intensity remains highest on the Pokrovsk, Lyman, and Toretsk Axes.
• Russian forces continue offensive operations, heavily utilizing Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs), artillery, and ground assaults.
• Ukrainian forces maintain defensive operations, repelling numerous attacks and conducting counter-intelligence activities.

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II. Air & Missile Activity

• Russian KAB Activity:
  • Active KAB launches by Russian tactical aviation reported towards Donetsk Oblast (13:36 UTC). The threat persists for frontline regions.
• Ukrainian Counter-UAV Activity:
  • GUR Claim (Zaporizhzhia/Donetsk): Ukrainian GUR reports downing 8 Russian reconnaissance UAVs (2x Zala, 5x Supercam, 1x Orlan) over Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk Oblasts.

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III. Key Frontline Developments (Based on UGS 13:00 UTC Report & Subsequent Claims)

• Pokrovsk Axis (Highest Intensity):
  • UGS Report: 30 Russian attempts since day start near Kalynove, Oleksandropil, Tarasivka, Yelyzavetivka, Udachne, Uspenivka, Preobrazhenka, Andriivka, and towards Kotlyarivka & Serhiivka. 25 attacks repelled, 5 ongoing.
  • UA Tactical Success Claim: "Flying Skull" unit reports successful drone strikes eliminating 9 Russian personnel.
• Lyman Axis (High Intensity):
  • UGS Report: 13 Russian attacks near Nadiia and towards Novoplatonivka, Novomykhailivka, Hrekivka, Ridkodub, and Nove. 6 engagements ongoing.
• Toretsk Axis (High Intensity):
  • UGS Report: 8 Russian attacks near Dachne, Shcherbynivka, and Toretsk. 1 engagement ongoing.
• Novopavlivsk / South Donetsk Axis:
  • UGS Report: 5 Russian attacks repelled near Kostiantynopil and Skudne. 1 engagement ongoing.
  • Significant Russian Claims (RU Sources - Unverified):
    • Forces allegedly secured 2 strongpoints near Rozlyv (0.9km depth advance claimed).
    • Claim control of a key height near Bohatyr (1km depth, 0.7km width advance claimed).
    • Claimed advances near Preobrazhenka (300m), south of Sribne (200m), north of Burlatske (300m depth).
    • Claimed disruption of Ukrainian rotation near Malynivka (BBM, 2 vehicles, ~10 personnel losses claimed).
    • Claim suppression of a Ukrainian M777 howitzer.
    • Ongoing push south of Fedorivka towards Komar.
    • Increased assaults towards Vilne Pole and Shevchenko.
• Kursk Border / Sumy Oblast:
  • UGS Report (UA Ops): 6 Russian attacks repelled, 3 ongoing engagements. Russian forces conducted 3 airstrikes (3 KABs total) and 162 artillery strikes against Ukrainian positions/settlements since day start.
  • Russian MoD Claims (RU Perspective):
    • Claimed RU "North" Group engaged elements of Ukrainian Mechanized, Tank, 3x Air Assault, and Territorial Defense brigades near Hornal, Huyevo, Oleshnia.
    • Claimed strikes on Ukrainian forces/equipment in multiple Sumy Oblast border settlements.
    • Claimed >150 Ukrainian KIA, destruction of 1 BTR, 2 BBMs, 7 vehicles, 1 mortar, 2 UAV C2 points in the last 24 hours on this direction.
• Kupyansk Axis:
  • UGS Report: 1 Russian assault repelled near Zahryzove.
  • Significant Russian Claim (RU Source - Unverified): Ukrainian forces allegedly withdrew from Shiykivka (Borivskyi district, Kharkiv Oblast); potential Russian entry rumored.
• Kharkiv Axis (Border Area):
  • UGS Report: No Russian offensive actions reported.
  • Russian Analysis (RU Source): Describes Vovchansk as ruins/"grey zone"; claims Russian forces hold positions north of the Volcha river along Lenin/Soborna St. and are attacking in the NE sector towards the river. Fighting ongoing in Tykhe east of Vovchansk.
• Kramatorsk Axis:
  • UGS Report: 1 ongoing Russian attempt near Kurdyumivka. 2 attacks near Chasiv Yar stopped.
• Orikhiv Axis:
  • UGS Report: 3 Russian assaults stopped near Mali Shcherbaky.
• Huliaipole Axis:
  • UGS Report: Russian airstrikes reported on Voskresenka, Zelene Pole, Novopil, Malynivka, Huliaipole.
• Siversk & Prydniprovsky (Kherson) Axes:
  • UGS Report: No Russian offensive actions reported.
  • Russian Claim (RU Source): FPV drone crews actively disrupting Ukrainian reserve movements and attack attempts along the border (likely implies Kursk/Belgorod).

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IV. Other Significant Updates

• Civilian Impact: Shelling of Konstantynivka (Donetsk Oblast) reported, resulting in 1 civilian KIA and 2 WIA (including a 9-year-old child). Damage reported to 8 private houses, 3 administrative buildings, a shop, and power lines.
• Economic Warfare: Ukrainian Prosecutor General's Office reports the nationalization of over 2 billion UAH worth of bauxite and alumina assets belonging to a sanctioned Russian oligarch whose companies allegedly supply the Russian defense industry.
• Force Composition Claim (RU Source - Unverified): Russian sources allege the Ukrainian 47th Mechanized Brigade is actively recruiting and funding travel for Colombian mercenaries.

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V. Information Environment

• Russian sources continue propaganda efforts, including warnings about alleged Ukrainian mining of cemeteries in Kursk Oblast and narratives about Ukrainian force composition and morale.
• Ukrainian sources highlight tactical successes (UAV shootdowns, equipment destruction) and counter Russian narratives (e.g., regarding the Kryvyi Rih strike).