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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-04-07 06:02:18Z
10 months ago
Previous (2025-04-07 05:32:16Z)

Military Situation Update: Ukraine - April 7, 2025, 06:00 UTC

(Analysis based on information up to 06:00 UTC)


I. Overall Situation & Key Developments (Past 24 hours - primarily Apr 6)

  • Combat Intensity: High. 165 combat clashes reported on April 6 (UGS, Apr 7 08:00 UTC). Most active axes remain Pokrovsk (53 clashes), Kursk Border (35 clashes), and Lyman (22 clashes). Significant activity also on Toretsk (18 clashes) and Novopavlivsk (9 clashes) axes.
  • Russian Strike Activity (Apr 6 - UGS, Apr 7): Extensive strikes persist. UGS reported 1 missile strike (23 missiles claimed), 90 aviation strikes (158 KABs), over 5600 shelling attacks (149 MLRS), and 2112 kamikaze drones targeting Ukrainian positions and populated areas.
    • KAB Targets (Select): Krasnopillia, Turia (Sumy); Berezivka, Kozacha Lopan, Zolochiv, Dvorichanske, Kupyansk (Kharkiv); Berestok, Pokrovsk, Zorya, Hrodivka, Kotlyne, Novopavlivka, Odradne, Komar, Myrne (Donetsk); Huliaipole, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Novoandriivka (Zaporizhzhia).
    • Southern Front (Apr 6 - SDF): Over 250 RU shelling incidents (>1000 munitions); ~320 kamikaze drone strikes; >80 grenade drops from UAVs. 11 KABs and 18 NARs used against civilian/critical infrastructure.
  • Territorial Control Changes & Advance Rates:
    • Ukrainian Position: No major confirmed advances reported. Successful localized counterattacks contribute to slowing RU gains (ISW, Apr 7).
    • Russian Claims/Activity (Apr 6-7):
      • Novopavlivsk/Vremivka (RU Sources - WarGonzo/Rybаr, Apr 7): Claimed advance from Burlatske towards Shevchenko, reaching outskirts. Rybаr details RU operations on the Vremivka axis (bordering Novopavlivsk) throughout March, claiming capture of Dniproenerhiia and Pryvilne (by mid-March), establishment of positions in eastern Vilne Pole (late March), and advances near Vesele towards Fedorivka. Stated objective is push towards Komar and Shevchenko (near Dnipropetrovsk Oblast border). UGS reports repelling 9 RU assaults near Rozlyv, Kostiantynopil, Vesele, Burlatske on Apr 6. Rybаr also confirmed RU control of Uspenivka. Heavy fighting ongoing near Udachne, Nadezhdynka, Bohdanivka.
      • Kursk Oblast (RU Sources - WarGonzo/TASS/Arkhangel Spetsnaza, Apr 7): Claimed advance towards Oleshnia. RU forces reported conducting clearing operations in Huyevo (completion claimed). Active defense by UA forces reported near Oleshnia and on Pleshkovo sector towards Gornal (claimed last UA-held settlement in the area). RU striking UA supply routes; UA using artillery (incl. cluster), MLRS, FPVs.
      • Kupyansk (RU Sources - RVvoenkor, Apr 7): Claimed advance in Zapadne settlement and across a 5.7km front west of the Oskil River. UGS reports repelling 8 RU attacks near Pishchane, Nova Kruhliakivka, Bohuslavka, Zahryzove on Apr 6.
      • Toretsk (RU Sources - Rybаr, Apr 7): Claimed RU 4th OMSBde expanded control N. of Druzhba near Siverskyi Donets-Donbas canal. UGS reports repelling 18 RU attacks near Dachne, Dyliivka, Toretsk, Leonidivka on Apr 6.
    • Russian Advance Rate Assessment (ISW via Operativnyi ZSU/RBC-Ukraina, Apr 7): Analysis suggests a decrease in the rate of Russian territorial gains monthly from Nov '24 (~627 sq km) to Mar '25 (~203 sq km), partly attributed to successful Ukrainian counterattacks (esp. Pokrovsk, Toretsk).
  • Significant Attack Aftermath:
    • Kryvyi Rih (Apr 4 Strike - Update Apr 7): Death toll remains 20 KIA (9 children), 75 WIA. 33 remain hospitalized (4 children), with 18 in severe condition (2 children) (Vilkul/Lysak via RBC-Ukraina). Days of Mourning Apr 7-9.
  • Claimed Ukrainian Strikes Inside Russia/Occupied Territory (Past 24h):
    • UAV Interceptions (RU MoD/RU Sources Claim, Apr 6-7): 19 Ukrainian UAVs intercepted/destroyed overnight: 13 over Sea of Azov, 4 over Krasnodar Krai, 1 over Bryansk Oblast, 1 over occupied Crimea.
    • Krasnodar Krai (Kuban) Rail Damage: UAV reportedly fell on railway tracks after interception, damaging track bed and contact network (TASS/Operativnyi ZSU, Apr 7).
    • Hola Prystan (Kherson Obl., Left Bank): RU claim downing UA 'Baba Yaga' type drone attempting remote mining (Colonelcassad/Voin DV, Apr 7).
  • Claimed Russian Personnel/Equipment Losses (Apr 6 - UGS/SDF):
    • UGS Total: Approx. +1350 RU personnel; 13 tanks, 25 AFVs, 31 artillery systems, 2 MLRS, 28 UAVs, 15 missiles, 70 vehicles, 1 special equipment.
    • SDF (South): 97 personnel; 4 artillery systems, 8 auto/armored vehicles, 2 motorcycles, 3 boats, 13 Starlink antennas, 1 UAV control antenna, 5 comms antennas, 1 generator, 1 ammo depot, 1 supply depot, 54 shelters/bunkers destroyed.
  • Information Operations:
    • RU sources (Shef Hayabusa) highlight discovery of pre-made flags for potential RU-backed "republics" (Odesa, Kherson, Mykolaiv, etc.), suggesting long-term occupation planning.
    • RU sources continue narrative framing/justification for strikes on civilian areas (e.g., Kryvyi Rih).
    • UA sources (Butusov Plus) highlight alleged poor RU tactical medical care through graphic examples.

II. Air & Missile Activity Updates (as of 06:00 UTC Apr 7)

  • Recent Air Threats:
    • Ballistic Missile Threat (05:05 - 05:30 UTC): Air raid alert active in Kyiv and multiple central/northern Oblasts due to threat of ballistic missile use (indicated source: Kursk region, Russia). Alert concluded by 05:30 UTC (KMVA, UA AF, RBC-Ukraina, Tsaplienko).
  • Guided Aerial Bomb (KAB) Strikes & Impacts (Apr 6-7):
    • Tokarivka Druha (Kharkiv Oblast) (Apr 7 AM): KAB strike resulted in 1 civilian KIA (48yo M), 2 women WIA (acute stress reaction) (Kharkiv OVA / RBC-Ukraina, Apr 7).
    • Southern Front (Apr 6): KABs hit Huliaipole, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Novoandriivka (SDF).
    • Kharkiv Oblast (Apr 6 - Syniehubov): KAB strikes reported near Berezivka, Ivashky, Zolochiv, Klynove-Novoselivka, Kalynove, Sosnivka, Udy. FPV drone strikes in Ivashky damaged homes, power lines. KAB strike in Zolochiv damaged house, injured 1 civilian (68yo F).
    • Kupyansk (Kharkiv Obl.) (Apr 6): KAB strike on 9th floor of residential building (2 WIA). Subsequent shelling damaged private homes, outbuildings.
    • Novopavlivka (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast) (Apr 6 PM): Airstrike injured 3 civilians.
  • UAV Activity (Past 24h):
    • Russian UAV Use: 2112 kamikaze drones used across Ukraine (UGS). Southern Front: ~320 kamikaze drone strikes, >80 grenade drops from UAVs. FPV drones targeted Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts (SDF). Artillery/Kamikaze drones used in Nikopol District (Dnipro Obl.) overnight Apr 6-7 (Vilkul). FPV drones hit Ivashky (Kharkiv Obl.).
    • RU Claimed UA UAV Interceptions (Overnight Apr 6-7): 19 UAVs intercepted (13 Azov, 4 Krasnodar, 1 Bryansk, 1 Crimea) (RU MoD).

III. Ground Combat Operations & Frontline Updates (Select Axes - Based on UGS 08:00 UTC & other sources)

  • Kursk/Sumy Border (Incl. Russian Territory):
    • Intensity: High (35 RU attacks repelled Apr 6 - UGS). RU conducted 212 artillery strikes (13 MLRS) and 16 air strikes (27 KABs).
    • RU Activity/Claims: Attacks repelled by UA forces. RU claims continued push towards Oleshnia, clearing operations completed in Huyevo, active defense by UA near Oleshnia and towards Gornal. RU striking UA supply routes (RU Sources - WarGonzo/TASS/Rybаr/Arkhangel Spetsnaza).
  • Kharkiv Axis:
    • 2 clashes reported near Vovchansk and towards Kamianka (UGS). Extensive RU shelling/strikes reported across the oblast (Syniehubov).
  • Kupyansk Axis:
    • 8 RU attacks repelled near Pishchane, Nova Kruhliakivka, Bohuslavka, Zahryzove (UGS). RU sources claim advance in Zapadne and west of Oskil river (RVvoenkor).
  • Lyman Axis:
    • Intensity: High (22 RU attacks Apr 6 - UGS).
    • RU Activity: Attempts to advance near Novoiehorivka, Nove, Kolodiazi, Yampolivka, Nadiia and towards Novomykhailivka, Novoserhiivka, Torske, Ridkodub.
  • Siversk Axis:
    • 2 RU attacks repelled near Bilohorivka (UGS).
  • Kramatorsk Axis:
    • No active RU offensive actions reported by UGS for Apr 6.
  • Toretsk Axis:
    • Intensity: High (18 RU attacks Apr 6 - UGS).
    • RU Activity: Attacks in areas of Dachne, Dyliivka, Toretsk, Leonidivka. RU sources (Rybаr) claim advances N. of Druzhba near canal.
  • Pokrovsk Axis:
    • Intensity: Highest (53 RU attacks repelled Apr 6 - UGS).
    • RU Activity: Attacks repelled near Sukha Balka, Kalynove, Udachne, Sribne, Yelyzavetivka, Lysivka, Kotlyarivka, Preobrazhenka, Andriivka, Bohdanivka, Vodiane Druhe, Kotlyne, Uspenivka.
  • Novopavlivsk / South Donetsk / Vremivka Axis:
    • Intensity: Significant (9 RU assaults repelled Apr 6 - UGS near Rozlyv, Kostiantynopil, Vesele, Burlatske).
    • RU Activity/Claims: RU sources (WarGonzo/Rybаr) claim advance towards Shevchenko from Burlatske, confirm control of Uspenivka, detail March advances (Dniproenerhiia, Pryvilne, east Vilne Pole) with objective towards Komar/Shevchenko. Heavy fighting reported near Udachne, Nadezhdynka, Bohdanivka.
  • Huliaipole Axis:
    • 3 RU attacks repelled near Pryvilne and Vilne Pole (UGS/SDF). Huliaipole hit by airstrike (SDF). Rybаr reports RU consolidation in eastern Vilne Pole (late March).
  • Orikhiv Axis (Zaporizhzhia):
    • 4 RU attacks repelled near Shcherbaky, Mali Shcherbaky, Kamyanske (UGS/SDF). KAB strikes on Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Novoandriivka (SDF). RU sources (WarGonzo) claim continued pressure near Kamyanske. RU strikes reported near Novodanylivka (Dva Mayora).
  • Prydniprovsky Axis (Kherson - Left Bank):
    • 1 RU attack repelled (UGS/SDF). Heavy RU shelling/drone activity continues. 1 civilian KIA, 5 WIA reported in Kherson Oblast from shelling (SDF). RU claim downing UA 'Baba Yaga' drone near Hola Prystan.

IV. Naval Situation (as of 06:00 UTC Apr 7 - UA Navy)

  • Black Sea: No Russian warships present.
  • Azov Sea: No Russian warships present.
  • Mediterranean Sea: 3 Russian warships present, including 3 Kalibr cruise missile carriers (total salvo potential up to 26 missiles).
  • Kerch Strait Traffic (Past 24h): Low activity reported. AIS usage remains inconsistent by RU vessels.

Previous (2025-04-07 05:32:16Z)

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