Highest Intensity Axes (UGS, Apr 6, 19:00 UTC & Dva Mayora, Apr 7, 03:36 UTC / RVvoenkor, Apr 7, 04:21 UTC):Pokrovsk, Lyman, Toretsk, and Kursk/Sumy border directions remain the most active fronts. Significant activity also reported on Kupyansk and Belgorod border axes. Heavy fighting specifically noted in Lysivka (Pokrovsk Axis).
Throughout Apr 6, Russian forces conducted 1 missile strike (reportedly involving 23 missiles), 63 aviation strikes (deploying 104 KABs), utilized 718 kamikaze drones, and executed over 4200 shelling attacks against Ukrainian positions and populated areas (UGS data for Apr 6).
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Past 24h to Apr 7 morning):274 total RU strikes reported on 11 settlements, including 3 air strikes (Orikhiv, Novoandriivka, Novopavlivka), 140 UAV attacks, 5 MLRS attacks, and 126 artillery strikes.
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Evening Apr 6 - Morning Apr 7): Multiple artillery and kamikaze drone attacks reported on Nikopol District (Nikopol city, Marhanets, Pokrovsk communities).
Ukrainian Advance: Confirmed near Borova (Kharkiv Oblast, west of Svatove) (ISW, Apr 6). RU Claim: Ukrainian forces advanced on the southern outskirts of Kamyanka (Kupyansk Axis) and along forest lines (Dva Mayora, Apr 7).
Russian Advances:
Confirmed/Claimed near Kupyansk (Zakhidne - RU Claim Apr 7; Kamyanka - Previous RU claim Apr 6, now contested by claim of UA advance there), Toretsk (N. Toretsk city; between Krymske & Pivnichne), Pokrovsk (Udachne, N. of Andriivka; Lysivka - RU Claim fighting ongoing Apr 7), Kurakhove (Novopavlivsk Axis), and in Kursk Oblast (Huyevo) / Sumy Oblast (Basivka) (ISW, Apr 6 / Dva Mayora, Apr 7 / RVvoenkor, Apr 7).
Also confirmed/claimed advances on Lyman Axis (W. of Balka Zhuravka/Novoliubovka), Kramatorsk Axis (Chasiv Yar - Zapadnyi microdistrict), Pokrovsk Axis (outskirts of Shevchenko), Novopavlivsk Axis (Rozlyv; advancing from Vesele), and Orikhiv Axis (Mali Shcherbaky, Nesteryanka, Mala Tokmachka) (DeepState/RU sources/ISW/TASS).
RU Claim: Russian forces advanced near Sudzha crossing point (Kursk), near Melovoe towards Oleshnia (Kursk), and reached the church in the center of Huyevo (Kursk) confirming presence (Dva Mayora, Apr 7). RU forces consolidating front SW of Toretsk, from Zelene Pole to recently captured Panteleimonivka (Dva Mayora, Apr 7). RU claim advance in Zakhidne (Kupyansk axis) and on 5.7km front near Oskil bridgeheads (Dva Mayora, Apr 7). RU claim fighting ongoing in Lysivka (Pokrovsk axis), controlling S/E parts, engaging in N part (RVvoenkor, Apr 7).
Assessment of Russian Advance Rate (ISW via RBC-Ukraina, Apr 7): Analysis indicates Russian territorial gains have decreased monthly since November 2024. ISW attributes this slowdown partially to successful localized Ukrainian counterattacks, particularly on the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes, which have regained some previously lost positions. Comparative monthly gains (UK MoD / ISW): Nov '24 (~730 / 627 sq km), Dec '24 (393 / 569 sq km), Jan '25 (326 / 427 sq km), Feb '25 (195 / 203 sq km), Mar '25 (UK MoD: 143 sq km).
Kryvyi Rih Attack Aftermath (Apr 4 Strike - Update Apr 7, 04:30 UTC): Death toll confirmed at 20 KIA (incl. 9 children), 75 WIA total. 33 remain hospitalized (4 children), with 18 patients in severe condition. Weapon confirmed as Iskander-M with cluster munition. International condemnation continues. Days of Mourning declared Apr 7-9 in Kryvyi Rih. UA units (71st Jaeger Bde, 63rd Mech Bde, 25th Airborne Bde, 61st Mech Bde) conducted retaliatory strikes labeled "For Kryvyi Rih".
Kyiv Attack Aftermath (Apr 6 Strike - Update Apr 7, 04:17 UTC): Cleanup operations ongoing in Obolonskyi district, Kyiv, following the Apr 6 missile strike. Emergency services (DSNS) worked through the night clearing debris.
II. Air & Missile Activity Updates
Current Air Threats (Ongoing as of 04:30 UTC Apr 7):
Northeastern Direction / Frontline Oblasts: Threat of aviation weapon employment declared due to activity of Russian tactical aviation (UA AF, Apr 7, 04:19 UTC).
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Threat of aviation weapon employment previously declared (UA AF, Apr 7, 03:22 UTC); status needs confirmation but likely covered by broader frontline threat.
Sumy & Donetsk Oblasts: Confirmed KAB launches by Russian tactical aviation towards these regions reported earlier (UA AF, Apr 7, 03:29 UTC).
Previous Air Threat Alerts (Resolved):
Threat of KAB launches towards Northern Kharkiv Oblast (UA AF, Apr 7 ~02:30 UTC; RBC-Ukraina, Apr 7, 02:32 UTC) ENDED (UA AF, Apr 7, 02:32 UTC).
Threat of aviation weapon employment declared for Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (21:28 UTC) and northeastern direction/frontline oblasts (21:35 UTC) ended (UA AF, Apr 6, 21:56 UTC).
Tokarivka Druha (Derkachivska community, Kharkiv Oblast) (Apr 7 morning): KAB strike resulted in 1 civilian KIA (48yo male), 2 women WIA (acute stress reaction) (Kharkiv OVA, Apr 7, 04:30 UTC).
Novopavlivka, Synelnykivskyi District (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast) (Apr 6 evening): Airstrike injured 3 civilians (62yo M, 23yo F, 57yo F), all hospitalized in moderate condition. Damage reported to 7 shops, admin building, other buildings, garage (Dnipro OVA, Apr 7, 04:30 UTC).
Orikhiv, Novoandriivka, Novopavlivka (Zaporizhzhia Oblast) (Past 24h): 3 RU air strikes reported (Zaporizhzhia OVA, Apr 7, 04:10 UTC).
Zolochiv Hromada (Kharkiv Oblast) (Apr 6): Third KAB attack confirmed; 4 KABs total Apr 6 (3 open terrain, 1 near Zolochiv town damaging house). 1 civilian injured (stress reaction).
Kupyansk (Kharkiv Oblast) (Apr 6): KAB strike on 9-story residential building caused fire, structural damage, 2 civilians injured.
Overnight UA UAV Activity (RU Claims, Apr 6-7): Russian MoD claims 19 Ukrainian UAVs were intercepted/destroyed overnight: 13 over the Sea of Azov, 4 over Krasnodar Krai, 1 over Bryansk Oblast, and 1 over occupied Crimea (TASS/Dva Mayora, Apr 7, 04:09 / 04:30 UTC). Bryansk governor confirmed 1 UAV downed over Bryansk Oblast (AV BogomaZ, Apr 7, 04:29 UTC).
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Evening Apr 6 - Morning Apr 7): Russian forces used kamikaze drones in attacks on Nikopol District (Dnipro OVA, Apr 7, 04:30 UTC).
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Past 24h):140 Russian UAV attacks (various types) reported against Bilenske, Stepove, Kamyanske, Huliaipole, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Charivne, Novodarivka (Zaporizhzhia OVA, Apr 7, 04:10 UTC).
Donetsk Oblast (RU Claim, Past Week): RU FSB claims EW systems thwarted over 200 Ukrainian air attacks (likely UAVs) in DNR over the past week (TASS, Apr 7, 03:38 UTC).
Gorlivka (DNR) (RU Claim, Apr 6/7): Claimed UA conducted ~10 attacks using artillery (155mm incl. cluster) and UAVs against Gorlivka; civilian wounded (Dva Mayora, Apr 7).
Kramatorsk (Donetsk Oblast): RU "Molniya-2" drone struck a residential area evening Apr 6. No casualties; damage to 6 houses, outbuildings, 1 car.
Overnight Combined Air Assault Analysis (Apr 5-6):
Targeting: Confirmed strikes across multiple oblasts.
Weather Forecast: Significant cold snap across Ukraine expected to impact operations.
III. Ground Combat Operations & Frontline Updates (Based on Apr 6 Evening Reports & Recent Claims up to Apr 7, 04:30 UTC)
Kursk/Sumy Border (Incl. Russian Territory):
Intensity (UGS, Apr 6 / Dva Mayora, Apr 7): High. 29 clashes reported Apr 6 (UGS). RU forces conducted extensive air strikes (17 KABs) and artillery/MLRS attacks. UGS reported repelling 17 RU attacks in Kursk Oblast (past 24h to Apr 6 evening).
RU Attacks Claimed (Dva Mayora, Apr 7): Attacks near Sudzha crossing point, from Melovoe towards Oleshnia, and in Huyevo area (Kursk Oblast). Attacks near Basovka (Sumy Oblast) allegedly using ATVs.
RU Advances Claimed/Confirmed (ISW, Apr 6 / Dva Mayora, Apr 7): Confirmed RU advances in Huyevo (Kursk Oblast) and Basivka (Sumy Oblast) (ISW). RU claim flag raised at church in center of Huyevo (Dva Mayora). RU MoD/Rybar previously claimed Basovka liberated. Fighting near Plekhovo (ISW).
RU War Crimes Allegations & Legal Actions: Russia claims 79 Ukrainian personnel convicted for Kursk incursion (RU Gen. Prosecutor via TASS, Apr 7).
Belgorod/Kharkiv Border Area (Russian Territory Focus):
RU Claims (Dva Mayora, Apr 7): UA forces building up grouping opposite Krasnoyaruzhsky district (Belgorod). RU forces conducting clearing operations. Identified numerous UA units allegedly present. Ongoing fighting near Demidovka and Popovka (Belgorod). Continued UA shelling claimed against Belgorod settlements.
Kharkiv Axis:
UGS Report (Apr 6, 19:00 UTC): 2 RU attacks repelled near Vovchansk and towards Kamyanka. KAB strikes hit Berezivka, Kozacha Lopan, Zolochiv, Dvorichanske.
New KAB Strike (Apr 7): Strike on Tokarivka Druha (Derkachivska community) caused 1 KIA, 2 WIA (stress).
Kupyansk Axis:
Intensity: High tempo reported (Dva Mayora, Apr 7).
UGS Report (Apr 6, 19:00 UTC): 6 RU attempts; 5 repelled, 1 ongoing near Pishchane, Nova Kruhliakivka, Bohuslavka, Zahryzove.
Territorial Changes Claims:
RU Claim of UA Advance: Ukrainian forces advanced on the southern outskirts of Kamyanka and along forest lines (Dva Mayora, Apr 7).
RU Claim of RU Advance: Russian forces advanced in Zakhidne and on a 5.7 km wide front near Oskil river bridgeheads, taking positions near four terrain features ('urochyshcha') (Dva Mayora, Apr 7). Ongoing RU maneuver group attacks aim to stretch UA forces.
RU Claimed UA Equipment Losses (RU MoD / Voin DV / Colonelcassad, Apr 7): Destruction of M113 APC, T-64BV tank claimed. Zapad Group claims destruction of 21 UA UAVs, C2 points, Starlink stations, RAM X munition, >230 personnel, vehicles, EW, artillery. Requires verification.
Ukrainian Advance Confirmed (ISW, Apr 6): UA advance near Borova (Kharkiv Oblast, W of Svatove).
Significant RU Advances Claimed / UA Situation Assessment (RVvoenkor citing DeepState, Apr 6): RU claim advance W of Balka Zhuravka/Novoliubovka (>3.5 km wide, up to 2 km deep). DeepState assessment cited indicates deteriorating UA situation on Nove-Katerynivka-Nevske line due to resource issues, poor SA, and RU advantages. Assaults towards Novomykhailivka, success near Nevske/Nove, pressure on Katerynivka.
Siversk Axis:
UGS Report (Apr 6): 2 RU assaults repelled near Bilohorivka.
RU Claim (Dva Mayora, Apr 7): Fighting continues south of Bilohorivka; Ukrainian forces conducting counterattacks.
RU Advance Confirmed (DeepState, Apr 6): Enemy advanced near Zapadnyi (Western) microdistrict of Chasiv Yar.
RU Claim (Colonelcassad, Apr 6): Claimed clearing of Western district (microdistrict Kanal).
RU Claimed Actions (Dnevnik Desantnika, Apr 7): RU VDV units (98th Div) used FPV drones to destroy a UA vehicle (331st Para Rgt) and a UA UAV C2 point (215th Recon Btn) in/near Chasiv Yar.
RU Advances Confirmed/Claimed (ISW, Apr 6 / Dva Mayora, Apr 7): Confirmed advance on Enhelsa Street in northern Toretsk city (ISW). RU claim advance in forest lines between Krymske and Pivnichne (Severnoye) (Dva Mayora). RU forces reportedly clearing Ukrainian groups from within Toretsk city (Dva Mayora). RU forces conducting heavy fighting to consolidate front SW of Toretsk, from Zelene Pole to recently captured Panteleimonivka (Dva Mayora).
Ukrainian Counterattacks (ISW Assessment, Apr 7): Successful localized UA counterattacks reported on this axis, contributing to slowing overall RU advance rate.
Pokrovsk Axis:
Intensity (UGS, Apr 6 / Dva Mayora, Apr 7 / RVvoenkor, Apr 7):Highest.42 RU attempts (UGS, Apr 6); 37 repelled, 5 ongoing (UGS, Apr 6 evening). Heavy fighting ongoing near Uspenivka (Dva Mayora, Apr 7) and particularly in Lysivka (RVvoenkor, Apr 7). Extensive KAB strikes.
RU Advances Confirmed/Claimed: Near Udachne and N of Andriivka (ISW, Apr 6); In Lysivka (DeepState, Apr 6; RU claim Apr 7: control S/E parts, fighting in N); Reached outskirts of Shevchenko (TASS/Rogov, Apr 7).
RU Claim (RVvoenkor, Apr 7): Heavy fighting in Lysivka; RU forces ("Otvazhnye" / Group "Center") claim control of southern and eastern parts, engaging in northern part; Ukrainian forces attempting counterattacks.
Ukrainian Counterattacks (ISW Assessment, Apr 7): Successful localized UA counterattacks reported on this axis, contributing to slowing overall RU advance rate.
Novopavlivsk / South Donetsk Axis (incl. Kurakhove Direction):
