Multiple intense waves occurred between ~01:57 UTC and ~02:15 UTC, originating from Bryansk Oblast and Voronezh Oblast, Russia.
Ukrainian Air Defence (PPO) confirmed active engagement over Kyiv (KMVA, Operatyvnyi ZSU, Klychko, UA Air Force 02:01 - 02:12 UTC). Multiple explosions reported.
Confirmed Impacts/Aftermath (Kyiv):
Fires reported in Darnytskyi, Obolonskyi, and Solomianskyi districts (KMVA, Klychko 02:16 - 02:47 UTC). A further fire was preliminarily reported in Darnytskyi district (~03:22 UTC). Emergency services operating at multiple sites.
Falling Debris confirmed in two locations in Obolonskyi district (non-residential areas) (Klychko, 02:34 UTC).
Casualties:At least two people injured and hospitalized in Darnytskyi district (Klychko, 02:45, 02:55 UTC). Information being clarified.
Ballistic threat currently appears subsided. Air raid alerts remain active due to the cruise missile situation (though missiles are currently not tracked).
Cruise Missile Attack (CONCLUDING / LULL):
Launched by ~4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers (airborne since earlier).
Missiles entered Ukrainian airspace via Sumy Oblast (Shostka area) ~02:39 UTC (Nikolaevskiy Vanyok).
Trajectory: Initial S/SW course through Chernihiv Oblast -> Poltava Oblast -> E. Kyiv/N. Cherkasy Oblasts -> changed course SW (~03:02 UTC) -> approached/attacked Uman district (Cherkasy Oblast) (~03:04-03:11 UTC) -> Multiple groups proceeded towards Vinnytsia Oblast (03:09 UTC) -> Other groups moved S/SW via Cherkasy/Kirovohrad border -> via W. Kirovohrad into Mykolaiv Oblast (~03:13, 03:16, 03:17 UTC), tracked on border of Mykolaiv/Kirovohrad/Odesa Oblasts moving south (~03:14 UTC).
Current Status: As of ~03:21 UTC, missiles were no longer being actively tracked by available sources, suggesting potential interception, impact, or conclusion of this wave. Air raid alerts remain active across Ukraine.
Guided Air Bombs (KABs):ACTIVE THREAT.
Threat persists for frontline oblasts.
Confirmed KAB strike on a multi-story residential building in Kupyansk (Kharkiv Oblast) (~03:05 UTC). Casualty information pending.
Previous launches reported towards Zaporizhzhia (UA Air Force, 02:49 UTC), Kharkiv Oblast (UA Air Force, 01:02 UTC), and Sumy Oblast (UA Air Force, 00:38 UTC).
Tactical Aviation Threat:ACTIVE THREAT.
Threat of aviation ordnance reported for Kharkiv city/district (UA Air Force, 02:45 UTC).
Warning: Mayor of Konotop (Sumy Oblast) advised residents to prepare water/power supplies due to unspecified threat (RBC-Ukraine, 02:39 UTC).
Combat Intensity: Remains HIGH. Significant impact from ballistic missile attack on Kyiv with ongoing emergency response. Nationwide cruise missile alert persists despite current lull in tracking. UGS previously reported 152 combat engagements (as of Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). Intense ground fighting persists on the Pokrovsk, Lyman, Toretsk, and Kursk directions. ISW confirms significant Russian pressure on Pokrovsk, Toretsk, and in Kursk Oblast.
Russian Offensive Operations (Focus & Claims):
Primary Focus:Pokrovsk axis remains the main effort (65 attacks by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). RU sources claim advances within Udachne, near Kotlyno, Zverevo, NE of Pishchane, control over Shevchenko, and attacks towards Novoserhiivka. ISW reports RU advances near Pokrovsk.
Dnipropetrovsk Direction Claims (RU Sources, Apr 5 late): RU "Center" Group units claim offensive actions towards the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast border: attacking Novoolexandrivka & south; strikes NW of Novoserhiivka; fighting near Kotlyarivka; pushing west from Troitske towards Orikhove; claiming near-full control of Bohdanivka. Requires verification.
Other Active Axes: Significant pressure continues on Lyman, Toretsk (ISW reports RU advances), and Kursk/Sumy border (ISW reports RU advances). Kupyansk axis sees continued fighting and new RU claims of advance (see Section II).
Claimed Successes (RU MoD/TASS, Apr 6, 02:11 UTC): "Zapad" Group claims destruction of >250 UA personnel, 5 Starlink stations, 33 UAV control points, artillery (incl. PzH 2000), and HIMARS rockets near Komarovka, Kondrashovka, Kamenka (likely Kupyansk/Lyman axis). Propaganda element; requires verification.
Information Warfare: RU sources justifying Kryvyi Rih strike (Apr 4) by claiming it hit a military meeting, framing civilian casualties as collateral damage (RVvoenkor, 02:54 UTC). Continued dissemination of narratives alleging Ukrainian atrocities (Kursk). Propaganda focusing on EW capabilities (Colonelcassad, 02:03 UTC). TASS claim regarding "Zapad" Group successes (see above). RU sources claim AD success over Rostov Oblast against UAVs (TASS, 02:20 UTC). RU TG channels (Dva Mayora, 03:14 UTC) framing current missile strikes as retaliation for alleged Ukrainian breaches of energy infrastructure agreements.
Ukrainian Defensive Posture: Successfully engaged intense ballistic missile attack on Kyiv, emergency response ongoing. Monitored and engaged incoming cruise missile wave (current status uncertain). Maintaining active defense along frontlines, inflicting losses, and repelling most ground assaults. Operations heavily utilize drone reconnaissance, FPV strikes, counter-battery fire, remote mining, and fortifications. Monitoring ongoing KAB threat (Kupyansk, Sumy/Kharkiv/Zaporizhzhia) and tactical aviation threat (Kharkiv).
Regional / Allied Posture:
Poland: Polish Operational Command confirmed Polish and Allied military aviation are active in Polish airspace (~03:15 UTC) as a response measure to Russian long-range aviation activity conducting strikes, particularly noted towards western Ukraine.
Territorial Changes & Claims (Recent):
UA Advance Reported (ISW via RBC, Apr 6): Near Kupyansk. Requires verification.
RU Advance Reported (ISW via RBC, Apr 6): Near Toretsk, near Pokrovsk, and in Kursk Oblast. Requires verification.
RU Advance Claimed (DeepState, Apr 5): Near Kamianka (Axis unclear), near Novoliubivka (Lyman Axis), and within Toretsk city (Toretsk Axis). Requires verification.
RU Advance Claimed (RU Sources, Apr 5 late - Dnipropetrovsk Dir.): Near Novoolexandrivka, west of Troitske, near Bohdanivka. Requires verification.
RU Advance Claimed (TASS/Marochko, Apr 6, 03:07 UTC): RU forces advancing on Kupyansk axis along a front >35km from the border to west of Petropavlivka. Requires verification.
Significant Events (Recent):
Kyiv Attack (Apr 6): Major ballistic missile attack (~01:57-02:15 UTC). PPO active. Confirmed fires in Darnytskyi (multiple locations), Obolonskyi, Solomianskyi districts. Debris falls in Obolonskyi. At least 2 injured hospitalized in Darnytskyi. Nationwide cruise missile attack followed, missiles currently not tracked (~03:21 UTC).
Kupyansk KAB Strike (Apr 6): Confirmed KAB impact on a multi-story residential building (~03:05 UTC). Casualty information pending.
Kryvyi Rih Attack Aftermath (Apr 4): Confirmed 19 civilians KIA (incl. 9 children), 68 WIA. RU sources now explicitly claim targeting a military meeting at the impact site.
Ukrainian Deep Strikes (Apr 4-5): Confirmed hits on Saransk and Chapayevsk targets in Russia. Large-scale drone attack reported overnight Apr 3-4 targeting multiple Russian regions.
II. Key Frontline Developments (Highlights & Recent Reports/Claims)
Kursk/Sumy Border Area: High intensity (17 engagements by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). Previous KAB launches towards Sumy Oblast. ISW reports RU advances in Kursk Oblast. RU claims 500m advance near Basovka. UA strikes confirmed near Huyevo. Ongoing RU information operations allege UA atrocities. Mayor of Konotop warns of unspecified threat (02:39 UTC).
Kharkiv Axis: Low intensity (1 attack repelled near Kamianka by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). Active threat from tactical aviation ordnance (UA Air Force, 02:45 UTC). Previous KAB launches towards Kharkiv Oblast. RU sources claim Tornado-S (cluster) strike on UA 107th TDF Brigade near Semenivka. RU Claim (TASS, Apr 6, 03:12 UTC): Ukraine deployed newly contracted personnel aged 18-24 to the Lyptsi direction. Requires verification.
Kupyansk Axis: Moderate intensity (6 attacks repelled by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). Confirmed KAB strike on multi-story residential building in Kupyansk city (~03:05 UTC, casualty info pending). RU Claim (TASS/Marochko, Apr 6, 03:07 UTC): RU forces advancing along a front >35km from the border to west of Petropavlivka. ISW previously reported UA advance near Kupyansk. RU MoD (TASS, Apr 6, 02:11 UTC) claims "Zapad" Group inflicted >250 UA casualties and destroyed equipment (incl. Starlink, UAV CPs) near Komarovka, Kondrashovka, Kamenka. Requires verification.
Lyman Axis: High intensity (20 attacks by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). RU claims expanding bridgehead near Makiivka/Ivanivka, fighting near Nove, Katerynivka, Kolodezi, attacks towards Torske. DeepState reports RU advance near Novoliubivka. Potential area for claimed "Zapad" Group activity (TASS, Apr 6).
Toretsk Axis: High intensity (18 assaults by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). ISW reports RU advance near Toretsk. DeepState previously reported RU advance within Toretsk city. RU claims control over Rozivka/Aleksandropol.
Pokrovsk Axis:Highest Intensity (65 attempts by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). ISW reports RU advance near Pokrovsk. RU claims (Apr 5 late - Dnipropetrovsk Direction): Offensive towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast border; attacks on Novoolexandrivka & south; strikes NW of Novoserhiivka; heavy fighting near Kotlyarivka; advance W of Troitske towards Orikhove; near control of Bohdanivka. Previous RU claims on Udachne, Zverevo, Pishchane, Shevchenko, Solone persist.
Orikhiv Axis (Zaporizhzhia): Moderate intensity (4 attacks repelled by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). Previous KAB launches reported towards Zaporizhzhia (02:49 UTC). RU claims repelled UA counter-attack near Lobkove; offensive near Kamyanske.
Prydniprovsky Axis (Kherson - Left Bank): Low intensity (2 unsuccessful Russian attempts repelled by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC).
III. Air, Missile & Drone Activity (Updated)
Active Threats (as of 03:30 UTC, Apr 6):
Cruise Missile Threat:LULL / POTENTIALLY CONCLUDING. Missiles launched by ~4 Tu-95MS bombers were tracked across multiple Oblasts (Sumy -> Chernihiv -> Poltava -> Kyiv -> Cherkasy -> Vinnytsia/Kirovohrad -> Mykolaiv/Odesa). Uman district (Cherkasy) was under direct attack (~03:04-03:11 UTC). As of ~03:21 UTC, missiles no longer actively tracked. Nationwide air alert remains active.
Ballistic Missile Threat:SUBSIDED (Aftermath Ongoing). Previous intense multi-wave attack on Kyiv (~01:57-02:15 UTC) from Bryansk/Voronezh Oblasts. PPO engaged. Confirmed impacts (multiple fires/debris) in Darnytskyi (additional fire reported ~03:22 UTC), Obolonskyi, Solomianskyi districts. At least 2 injured hospitalized.
Guided Air Bombs (KABs):ACTIVE THREAT. Confirmed impact on residential building in Kupyansk (~03:05 UTC). Previous launches towards Zaporizhzhia (02:49 UTC). Persistent threat for frontline areas (previous launches towards Kharkiv/Sumy).
Kyiv City:Major Ballistic Missile Attack Aftermath. Air Defence heavily engaged (~02:01-02:12 UTC). Confirmed fires in Darnytskyi (multiple sites), Obolonskyi, Solomianskyi districts.Confirmed debris fall (non-residential) in Obolonskyi.At least 2 injured hospitalized from Darnytskyi district. (KMVA, Klychko, 02:16 - 03:22 UTC).
Kupyansk (Kharkiv Oblast):KAB strike impact on multi-story residential building (~03:05 UTC). Damage assessment and casualty search ongoing.
Uman District (Cherkasy Oblast): Area was under direct cruise missile attack (~03:04-03:11 UTC). Reports of potential interceptions (Nikolaevskiy Vanyok, 03:00 UTC). Impact details currently unknown.
Previous Shahed Attack (Concluded): Air Defence engaged Shahed drones overnight.
Russian Air Defence Claims: RU sources claim successful UAV interceptions over Rostov Oblast (TASS, 02:20 UTC).
Ukrainian Air Defence: Engaged intense multi-wave ballistic missile attack over Kyiv. Engaged incoming cruise missile wave (current status suggests interceptions/lull). Monitoring ongoing KAB threats (Kupyansk, Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv, Sumy) and tactical aviation threat (Kharkiv).
Allied Air Activity:Polish and Allied military aircraft active over Poland in response to RU long-range aviation strikes on Ukraine (~03:15 UTC).
Ukrainian Strike Activity: Confirmed MiG-29 strike (AASM Hammer) near Huyevo, Russia (Apr 5). Confirmed deep drone strikes on Saransk and Chapayevsk targets in Russia (Apr 4-5). Active tactical drone operations along the front.
IV. Naval Situation (Black Sea / Azov Sea / Mediterranean)
(No significant changes reported since Apr 4 assessment)
Black Sea: No Russian warships reported present (as of Apr 4, 03:00 UTC).
Azov Sea: No Russian warships reported present (as of Apr 4, 03:00 UTC).
