Multiple intense waves occurred between ~01:57 UTC and ~02:15 UTC, originating from Bryansk Oblast and Voronezh Oblast, Russia.
Ukrainian Air Defence (PPO) confirmed active engagement over Kyiv (KMVA, Operatyvnyi ZSU, Klychko, UA Air Force 02:01 - 02:12 UTC). Multiple explosions reported.
Confirmed Impacts/Aftermath (Kyiv):
Fires reported in Darnytskyi, Obolonskyi, and Solomianskyi districts (KMVA, Klychko 02:16 - 02:47 UTC). Emergency services operating.
Falling Debris confirmed in two locations in Obolonskyi district (non-residential areas) (Klychko, 02:34 UTC).
Casualties:At least two people injured and hospitalized in Darnytskyi district (Klychko, 02:45, 02:55 UTC). Information being clarified.
Ballistic threat currently appears subsided, but vigilance is required. Air raid alerts remain active due to cruise missile threat.
Cruise Missile Attack (ONGOING - ACTIVE THREAT):
Launched by ~4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers (airborne since earlier).
Missiles entered Ukrainian airspace via Sumy Oblast (Shostka area) ~02:39 UTC (Nikolaevskiy Vanyok).
Trajectory: Initial S/SW course through Chernihiv Oblast (UA Air Force, 02:41 UTC), approaching Pryluky (UA Air Force, 02:44 UTC), crossing into Poltava Oblast towards Cherkasy Oblast (Nikolaevskiy Vanyok, 02:46 UTC). Missiles subsequently tracked over eastern Kyiv Oblast and northern Cherkasy Oblast moving SW (UA Air Force, 02:51 UTC), then crossing intersection of Kyiv/Cherkasy Oblasts towards Vinnytsia Oblast (Nikolaevskiy Vanyok, 02:53 UTC). Latest reports indicate missiles over Cherkasy Oblast moving south (UA Air Force, 02:58 UTC), potential threat to Cherkasy and Smila (Nikolaevskiy Vanyok, 02:58 UTC).
Air raid alerts active nationwide (RBC-Ukraine, 02:43 UTC).
Guided Air Bombs (KABs):ACTIVE THREAT.
Threat persists for frontline oblasts.
New launches reported towards Zaporizhzhia (UA Air Force, 02:49 UTC).
Previous launches towards Kharkiv Oblast (UA Air Force, 01:02 UTC) and Sumy Oblast (UA Air Force, 00:38 UTC).
Tactical Aviation Threat:ACTIVE THREAT.
Threat of aviation ordnance reported for Kharkiv city/district (UA Air Force, 02:45 UTC).
Warning: Mayor of Konotop (Sumy Oblast) advises residents to prepare water/power supplies due to unspecified threat (RBC-Ukraine, 02:39 UTC).
Combat Intensity: Remains HIGH. Significant impact from ballistic missile attack on Kyiv. Ongoing nationwide cruise missile alert. UGS previously reported 152 combat engagements (as of Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). The most intense ground fighting persists on the Pokrovsk, Lyman, Toretsk, and Kursk directions. ISW confirms significant Russian pressure on Pokrovsk, Toretsk, and in Kursk Oblast.
Russian Offensive Operations (Focus & Claims):
Primary Focus:Pokrovsk axis remains the main effort (65 attacks by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). RU sources claim advances within Udachne, near Kotlyno, Zverevo, NE of Pishchane, control over Shevchenko, and attacks towards Novoserhiivka. ISW reports RU advances near Pokrovsk.
Dnipropetrovsk Direction Claims (RU Sources, Apr 5 late): RU "Center" Group units claim offensive actions towards the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast border: attacking Novoolexandrivka & south; strikes NW of Novoserhiivka; fighting near Kotlyarivka; pushing west from Troitske towards Orikhove; claiming near-full control of Bohdanivka. Requires verification.
Other Active Axes: Significant pressure continues on Lyman, Toretsk (ISW reports RU advances), and Kursk/Sumy border (ISW reports RU advances).
Claimed Successes (RU MoD/TASS, Apr 6, 02:11 UTC): "Zapad" Group claims destruction of >250 UA personnel, 5 Starlink stations, 33 UAV control points, artillery (incl. PzH 2000), and HIMARS rockets near Komarovka, Kondrashovka, Kamenka (likely Kupyansk/Lyman axis). Propaganda element; requires verification.
Information Warfare: Continued dissemination of narratives alleging Ukrainian atrocities (Kursk). Propaganda focusing on EW capabilities (Colonelcassad, 02:03 UTC). TASS claim regarding "Zapad" Group successes (see above). RU sources claim AD success over Rostov Oblast against UAVs (TASS, 02:20 UTC). RU sources (RVvoenkor, 02:54 UTC) justifying Kryvyi Rih strike (Apr 4) by claiming it hit a military meeting at the "Magellan" restaurant, disputing use of cluster munitions and framing civilian casualties as unfortunate collateral damage due to proximity to military personnel.
Ukrainian Defensive Posture: Successfully engaged intense ballistic missile attack on Kyiv, assessment ongoing. Actively monitoring and preparing for incoming cruise missile wave. Maintaining active defense along frontlines, inflicting losses, and repelling most ground assaults. Operations heavily utilize drone reconnaissance, FPV strikes, counter-battery fire, remote mining, and fortifications. Monitoring ongoing KAB threat (Sumy/Kharkiv/Zaporizhzhia) and tactical aviation threat (Kharkiv).
Territorial Changes & Claims (Recent):
UA Advance Reported (ISW via RBC, Apr 6): Near Kupyansk. Requires verification.
RU Advance Reported (ISW via RBC, Apr 6): Near Toretsk, near Pokrovsk, and in Kursk Oblast. Requires verification.
RU Advance Claimed (DeepState, Apr 5): Near Kamianka (Axis unclear), near Novoliubivka (Lyman Axis), and within Toretsk city (Toretsk Axis). Requires verification.
RU Advance Claimed (RU Sources, Apr 5 late - Dnipropetrovsk Dir.): Near Novoolexandrivka, west of Troitske, near Bohdanivka. Requires verification.
Significant Events (Past 24-72 hours):
Kyiv Attack (Apr 6): Major ballistic missile attack occurred (~01:57-02:15 UTC). PPO active. Confirmed fires in Darnytskyi, Obolonskyi, Solomianskyi districts. Debris falls in Obolonskyi. At least 2 injured hospitalized in Darnytskyi. Nationwide cruise missile alert now active.
Kryvyi Rih Attack Aftermath (Apr 4): Confirmed 19 civilians KIA (incl. 9 children), 68 WIA. RU sources now explicitly claim targeting a military meeting at the impact site.
Ukrainian Deep Strikes (Apr 4-5): Confirmed hits on Saransk and Chapayevsk targets in Russia. Large-scale drone attack reported overnight Apr 3-4 targeting multiple Russian regions.
II. Key Frontline Developments (Highlights & Recent Reports/Claims)
Kursk/Sumy Border Area: High intensity (17 engagements by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). Previous KAB launches towards Sumy Oblast. ISW reports RU advances in Kursk Oblast. RU claims 500m advance near Basovka. UA strikes confirmed near Huyevo. Ongoing RU information operations allege UA atrocities. Mayor of Konotop warns of unspecified threat (02:39 UTC).
Kharkiv Axis: Low intensity (1 attack repelled near Kamianka by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). Active threat from tactical aviation ordnance (UA Air Force, 02:45 UTC). Previous KAB launches towards Kharkiv Oblast. RU sources claim Tornado-S (cluster) strike on UA 107th TDF Brigade near Semenivka.
Kupyansk Axis: Moderate intensity (6 attacks repelled by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). ISW reports UA advance near Kupyansk. RU MoD (TASS, Apr 6, 02:11 UTC) claims "Zapad" Group inflicted >250 UA casualties and destroyed equipment (incl. Starlink, UAV CPs) near Komarovka, Kondrashovka, Kamenka. Requires verification.
Lyman Axis: High intensity (20 attacks by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). RU claims expanding bridgehead near Makiivka/Ivanivka, fighting near Nove, Katerynivka, Kolodezi, attacks towards Torske. DeepState reports RU advance near Novoliubivka. Potential area for claimed "Zapad" Group activity (TASS, Apr 6).
Toretsk Axis: High intensity (18 assaults by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). ISW reports RU advance near Toretsk. DeepState previously reported RU advance within Toretsk city. RU claims control over Rozivka/Aleksandropol.
Pokrovsk Axis:Highest Intensity (65 attempts by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). ISW reports RU advance near Pokrovsk. RU claims (Apr 5 late - Dnipropetrovsk Direction): Offensive towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast border; attacks on Novoolexandrivka & south; strikes NW of Novoserhiivka; heavy fighting near Kotlyarivka; advance W of Troitske towards Orikhove; near control of Bohdanivka. Previous RU claims on Udachne, Zverevo, Pishchane, Shevchenko, Solone persist.
Orikhiv Axis (Zaporizhzhia): Moderate intensity (4 attacks repelled by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC). Active KAB threat (UA Air Force, 02:49 UTC). RU claims repelled UA counter-attack near Lobkove; offensive near Kamyanske.
Prydniprovsky Axis (Kherson - Left Bank): Low intensity (2 unsuccessful Russian attempts repelled by Apr 5, 19:00 UTC).
III. Air, Missile & Drone Activity (Updated)
Active Threats (as of 03:00 UTC, Apr 6):
Cruise Missile Threat:HIGH/ACTIVE (ONGOING ATTACK). Launched by ~4 Tu-95MS bombers. Missiles entered via Sumy Oblast (~02:39 UTC), currently tracked over Cherkasy Oblast heading south (~02:58 UTC). Trajectory has included Chernihiv, Poltava, Kyiv Oblasts. Nationwide air alert active. Potential threat to Cherkasy, Smila, and southern regions.
Ballistic Missile Threat:SUBSIDED (Aftermath Ongoing). Previous intense multi-wave attack on Kyiv (~01:57-02:15 UTC) from Bryansk/Voronezh Oblasts. PPO engaged. Confirmed impacts (fires/debris) in Darnytskyi, Obolonskyi, Solomianskyi districts. At least 2 injured hospitalized.
Guided Air Bombs (KABs):ACTIVE THREAT. New launches towards Zaporizhzhia reported (02:49 UTC). Persistent threat for frontline areas (previous launches towards Kharkiv/Sumy).
Kyiv City:Major Ballistic Missile Attack Aftermath. Air Defence heavily engaged (~02:01-02:12 UTC). Confirmed fires in Darnytskyi, Obolonskyi, Solomianskyi districts.Confirmed debris fall (non-residential) in Obolonskyi.At least 2 injured hospitalized from Darnytskyi district. (KMVA, Klychko, 02:16 - 02:55 UTC).
Previous Shahed Attack (Concluded): Air Defence engaged Shahed drones overnight.
Russian Air Defence Claims: RU sources claim successful UAV interceptions over Rostov Oblast (TASS, 02:20 UTC).
Ukrainian Air Defence: Engaged intense multi-wave ballistic missile attack over Kyiv. Currently monitoring and preparing to engage incoming cruise missile wave. Monitoring ongoing KAB threats (Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv, Sumy) and tactical aviation threat (Kharkiv).
Ukrainian Strike Activity: Confirmed MiG-29 strike (AASM Hammer) near Huyevo, Russia (Apr 5). Confirmed deep drone strikes on Saransk and Chapayevsk targets in Russia (Apr 4-5). Active tactical drone operations along the front.
IV. Naval Situation (Black Sea / Azov Sea / Mediterranean)
(No significant changes reported since Apr 3/4 assessment)
Black Sea: No Russian warships reported present (as of Apr 4, 03:00 UTC).
Azov Sea: No Russian warships reported present (as of Apr 4, 03:00 UTC).
