Military Situation Update: Ukraine - April 4, 2025, 06:57 UTC
(Derived from intelligence reports dated Apr 1 - Apr 4, incorporating Ukrainian General Staff data as of Apr 4 05:00 UTC, UA Air Force data up to Apr 4 06:49 UTC, regional administration reports, and other sources up to Apr 4 06:57 UTC)
I. Overall Strategic Situation & Key Developments
Combat Intensity: Remains HIGH. Ukrainian General Staff (UGS) reported 156 combat engagements over the past 24 hours (as of 05:00 UTC Apr 4).
Primary Russian Offensive Pressure: Concentrated with extremely high intensity on the Pokrovsk axis (57 attacks repelled) and significant intensity on the Toretsk axis (29 attacks repelled). Russian sources report advances near Andriivka and fighting on the outskirts of Oleksiivka (Pokrovsk direction).
Other Active Fronts (Past 24h - UGS unless noted): High levels of combat activity persist on the Lyman (19 attacks), Kursk border (13 clashes), Novopavlivsk (9 attacks), Orikhiv (8 attacks), Kupyansk (5 attacks), Siversk (4 attacks), Kharkiv (4 attacks), and Prydniprovsky (2 attempts) directions. Russian sources report increased intensity near Lobkove, Shcherbaky, and Kamyanske (Orikhiv axis).
Weather Impact: Russian sources continue reporting difficult ground mobility due to rain and mud, though some offensive actions persist.
Russian Strikes (Past 24h - UGS/RU Sources): Russia conducted 1 missile strike, 104 aviation strikes (using 193 KABs), over 5600 shelling attacks (146 MLRS), and employed 2203 kamikaze drones. Massive strikes reported on Kharkiv overnight; impacts also confirmed in Dnipropetrovsk, Kyiv, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts from overnight drone attack.
Specific KAB/Air Strike Locations (UGS): Sumy Oblast (Stepek, Myropilske, Pokrovka, Petrushivka, Velyka Pysarivka, Turya, Prokhody, Krasnopillya, Ryasne, Velyky Prykil, Mykhailivske); Chernihiv Oblast (Mykolaivka); Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovsk, Novopil, Voskresenka); Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Sichneve, Velykomykhailivka, Malynivka, Komyshuvakha).
Ukrainian Air Defense / Strikes (Past 24h):
Overnight Drone Attack (Night Apr 3-4 - UA AF): Russia launched 78 UAVs (Shahed & various imitator types). UA Air Force reports 42 Shahed/other attack UAVs shot down over North, East, Center Ukraine. 22 imitator drones were "locationally lost" without negative consequences. RU MoD claimed 107 Ukrainian UAVs intercepted across 11 regions.
Ground Target Strikes (UGS): Ukrainian forces targeted 9 Russian concentration areas (personnel/equipment), 2 UAV control points, 2 artillery pieces, and 1 command/observation post.
Claimed Target Strike (UA - Shadow Unit, Apr 4): Destruction of a Russian "Tirada-2" Electronic Warfare (EW) station by UA UAVs confirmed via video.
Claimed Drone Strikes (UA - Phoenix Unit/DPSU, Apr 4): Video released claiming drone strikes by State Border Guard Service unit "Phoenix" on the Kramatorsk axis resulted in 17 RU KIA and 11 RU WIA.
II. Major Axes & Operational Updates
Pokrovsk Axis: Remains highest intensity zone (57 RU attacks repelled - UGS). Fighting near Novokalynove, Tarasivka, Yelyzavetivka, Zvirove, Udachne, Preobrazhenka, Sribne, Novoserhiivka, Nadiivka, Uspenivka, Andriivka, and attacks towards Romanivka, Oleksiivka, Vodyane Druhe, Kotlyarivka, Oleksandropil.
RU CLAIM (Rybar, Apr 4): RU forces advanced west of Andriivka (SW of Bakhmut) towards Oleksiivka (approx. 3km advance near Andriivka); fighting ongoing on the outskirts of Oleksiivka.
UA CLAIM (Butusov/46th Airmobile Bde, Apr 4): Video shows destruction of RU assault column (incl. 42 infantry) near Andriivka (likely SW of Bakhmut).
Lyman Axis: High activity (19 RU attacks repelled - UGS). Fighting near Hrekivka, Nove, Katerynivka, and towards Novomykhailivka, Torske, Zelena Dolyna.
RU CLAIM (Rybar/Voenkor Kotenok, Apr 4): RU forces captured strongpoints on Lozova – Veselyi Hai line; slow progress towards Borovska Andriivka. Fighting near Nadiia; RU assault groups occupied positions near Novoliubivka. RU forces ("West" Group) pushed UA forces back from Nevske and Novoliubivka, attempting to link with northern плацдарм near Makiivka. Attacks ongoing West of Balka Zhuravka.
Kursk Border / Sumy Oblast: High activity (13 clashes - UGS). RU conducted 359 arty attacks (4 MLRS), 16 air strikes (28 KABs) in past 24h (UGS).
Presidential Visit (UA DShV, Apr 4): President Zelenskyy visited and awarded soldiers of the 82nd Air Assault Brigade, confirming their participation in operations within Kursk Oblast.
RU CLAIM (WarGonzo/Rybar, Apr 4): RU forces advancing towards Huyevo and Oleshnia, expanding control zone. UA forces established defense south of Huyevo at Hornal Monastery. RU assault groups using ATVs attacking near Basivka (Sumy Oblast).
RU CLAIM (TASS, Apr 4): Ukrainian counter-attack towards Veselovka (Kursk Oblast) repelled; attacking group destroyed.
Current Threat (UA AF, 06:24 UTC Apr 4):KABs launched by RU tactical aviation towards Sumy Oblast.
Novopavlivsk Axis / South Donetsk / Vremivka: Significant activity (9 RU assaults repelled - UGS). Attacks towards Rozlyv and Kostiantynopil. Vesele & Razliv confirmed captured by RU previously.
RU CLAIM (WarGonzo/Rybar, Apr 4): RU forces advancing towards Bohatyr and Komar. Tactical successes near Burlatske. RU "Vostok" Group broke through UA positions, cleared Vesele. Fighting continues towards Fedorivka. Reported advance near Volne Pole and Burlatske. Advance near Bohatyr claimed: 1km deep, 1.5km wide.
RU CLAIM (Voin DV, Apr 4): Video shows RU 14th Spetsnaz Brigade drone destroying UA AGS near Bohatyr.
Orikhiv Axis (Zaporizhzhia): High activity (8 unsuccessful RU attacks - UGS). Fighting near Stepove, Mali Shcherbaky, Kamyanske. Lobkove confirmed captured by RU previously.
RU CLAIM (WarGonzo/Rybar, Apr 4): Combat activity intensified near Kamyanske, Lobkove, and Shcherbaky, with RU forces expanding zone of control. RU forces attempting to push UA forces back across a water barrier near Kamyanske.
Civilian Infrastructure Impact (RU claim): FPV drone strike hit electrical substation in Vasylivskyi district, causing power outage for approx. 9,000 civilians.
Kupyansk Axis: Moderate activity (5 RU attacks repelled - UGS). Attacks near Zahryzove, Petropavlivka, and towards Nova Kruhliakivka.
RU CLAIM (Slyvochnyi Kapriz/Voenkor Kotenok, Apr 4): RU forces occupied new positions on the west bank of Oskil River north of Dvorichna. After capturing Krasne Pershe, RU forces blocked road towards Kamianka and initiated fighting within Kamianka. Fighting also ongoing for Figolivka (south), and in NE Kondrashivka / SE Mala Shapkivka.
Kharkiv Axis: Low activity (4 RU attacks repelled - UGS near Vovchansk and Kamyanka over past 24h). Intense overnight RU drone strikes on Kharkiv city.
Prydniprovsky Direction (Left Bank Kherson): Low activity (2 RU attempts repelled - UGS). Mutual shelling ongoing. RU sources report 2 civilians WIA from UA shelling. Listed settlements under RU fire: Aleshky, Kakhovka, Tavriisk, Hornostaivka, Kairy, Kniaze-Hryhorivka, Korobky, Liubymivka, Nova Maiachka, Stara Zburivka.
UGS reported 13 clashes in Kursk direction over past 24h.
82nd Air Assault Brigade confirmed operating in Kursk Oblast (UA DShV/Presidential Office).
RU CLAIM (WarGonzo/Dnevnik Desantnika/Rybar/TASS, Apr 4): Heavy fighting continues near Dmytrivka and Popovka (Belgorod); UA attempting infiltration, RU repelling attacks with drones/artillery. Fighting also near Demidovka (Belgorod). RU forces advancing near Huyevo, Oleshnia (Kursk). UA counter-attack near Veselovka (Kursk) repelled.
Massive Overnight Drone Attack (Apr 3-4):
UA Air Force Data: Russia launched 78 UAVs (Shahed & imitators); 42 attack UAVs shot down, 22 imitators lost track.
RU MoD Claims: Intercepted 107 Ukrainian UAVs overnight across 11 regions (Kursk-34, Oryol-30, Lipetsk-18, Kaluga-7, Rostov-4, Azov Sea-4, Tambov-3, Moscow region-3, Bryansk-2, Voronezh-1, Tula-1).
Bryansk Oblast:1 civilian KIA, 1 WIA in Belaia Berezka from attack (RU Gov/Rybar). Building/vehicle damage.
Bryansk Oblast (Klimovsky Dist.): RCIED detonated near civilian car between Churovichi and Khoromnoye, driver lightly injured (RU Gov Bogomaz).
Moscow Oblast: Damage to houses in Streymilovo (RU source). Flight restrictions at Vnukovo, Domodedovo, Zhukovsky airports.
Other Oblasts: Intercepts claimed by RU MoD.
Claimed RU losses on RU territory: UA units claim destruction of Engineering vehicles near Demidovka (Belgorod, Apr 3 claim).
V. Territorial Control Changes (Summary - Based on reports up to Apr 4, 06:57 UTC)
Ukrainian Advance: Previously reported near Pokrovsk (ISW, Apr 2); Reported near Novoelizavetivka (SW of Pokrovsk, ISW Apr 4); Reported entry into Nadiia (Lyman axis, ISW Apr 4); Claimed advance to western outskirts of Solone (SW of Pokrovsk, RU sources cited by UA source Apr 4).
Pokrovsk: West of Andriivka towards Oleksiivka (Rybar, approx. 3km advance near Andriivka); fighting on outskirts of Oleksiivka (Rybar).
Novopavlivsk/Vremivka: Towards Bohatyr/Komar, near Burlatske (WarGonzo); Towards Fedorivka from Vesele (Rybar). Geolocated advance along Mokri Yaly river. Advance near Volne Pole, Burlatske. Advance near Bohatyr (1km deep, 1.5km wide) (Rybar).
Kursk/Sumy: Advancing towards Huyevo, Oleshnia; expanding control zone (WarGonzo/Rybar). Attacking near Basivka (Rybar).
Orikhiv: Expanded control zone near Lobkove, Shcherbaky (Rybar). Activated front near Kamyanske, pushing UA across water barrier (Rybar).
Lyman: Captured strongpoints on Lozova-Veselyi Hai line; near Novoliubivka (Rybar); Pushed UA from Nevske/Novoliubivka, fighting towards Makiivka (Voenkor Kotenok). Attacks W of Balka Zhuravka (Rybar).
Kupyansk: Occupied positions N of Dvorichna on W bank of Oskil (Slyvochnyi Kapriz); After Krasne Pershe, fighting in Kamianka, fighting for Figolivka, NE Kondrashivka / SE Mala Shapkivka (Voenkor Kotenok).
VI. Civilian Impact & Significant Incidents (Ukraine)
Kharkiv City & Oblast (Night Apr 3/4 Drone Attack & Past 24h - Kharkiv PGO/OVA/DSNS):
Kharkiv City (Novobavarskyi Dist.):4 civilians KIA (charred remains found), 35 WIA (incl. children aged 16, 12, 9) from Shahed strikes on residential buildings. Hits also on admin building. War crimes investigation initiated.
Other settlements (Ruski Tyshky, Shevchenkove, Starovirivka, Kupyansk, Kozacha Lopan, Maliivka) reported damage/casualties from various strikes (UAV, MLRS, KAB) in past 24h.
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Night Apr 3/4 Drone Attack & Recent):
Overnight drone attack resulted in 3 civilians WIA (OVA). Damage to infrastructure, buildings, vehicles.
Dnipro City (Morning Apr 4): Car bombing targeting Yuri Fedko (Head of Left Bank Admin). Official and his wife injured (Police/RBC sources). Investigation ongoing.
Ongoing RU shelling/drones on Nikopol District.
Kryvyi Rih: Day of mourning (Apr 4) for 4 KIA from Apr 2 missile strike.
Kyiv Oblast (Brovary district - Night Apr 3/4 Drone Attack - Mayor/KMVA/OVA):
Falling drone debris caused 2 civilians WIA.
Fires/damage at service station, gas station, admin buildings, auto dealership. Significant vehicle damage reported.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Past 24h):1 civilian WIA reported from overnight drone strike (ASTRA citing OVA). RU sources claim UA FPV strike caused power outage for ~9,000 civilians in Vasylivskyi district. Air Alert active (06:49 UTC).
Occupied Donetsk Oblast (RU Claim): Shelling in Horlivka injured boy (2007 YOB); drone drop injured man (1981 YOB) (Rybar).
Kherson Oblast (RU Claim):2 civilians WIA from UA shelling (Rybar).
VII. Claimed Losses (Past 24 Hours as of Apr 4, 05:00 UTC - UGS unless noted)
Claimed Specific RU Losses: Tirada-2 EW station (UA Shadow Unit); Column with 42 infantry near Andriivka (UA 46th Airmobile Bde); 17 KIA, 11 WIA Kramatorsk axis (UA Phoenix Unit); AGS near Bohatyr (RU Voin DV claim refers to UA AGS).
Claimed Specific UA Losses (RU Sources): AGS near Bohatyr (Voin DV); Group destroyed during counter-attack near Veselovka, Kursk Oblast (TASS); Car bombing of official in Dnipro (Apr 4). Engineering vehicles near Demidovka (Belgorod, Apr 3 claim).
