Military Situation Update: Ukraine - April 3, 2025, 10:25 UTC
(Derived from intelligence reports dated Mar 30 - Apr 3, including ISW reporting as of Apr 2, Ukrainian General Staff reports as of Apr 3 08:57 UTC, UA Air Force updates up to Apr 3 10:15 UTC, OTU Kharkiv update as of Apr 3 06:00 UTC, and intelligence/claims received up to Apr 3 10:25 UTC)
I. Overall Strategic Situation & Key Developments
Combat Intensity: Remains HIGH. Ukrainian General Staff (UGS) reported 216 combat engagements over Apr 2 (as of 05:00 UTC Apr 3). Major friction points persist on Pokrovsk, Toretsk, Novopavlivsk, Lyman, Orikhiv, Kramatorsk (Andriivka area), and Kursk border axes. Multiple clashes reported ongoing across several directions.
Russian Offensive Focus:
Primary Axes:
Pokrovsk: Sustained high pressure (UGS Apr 3 05:00 UTC: 80 RU attacks repelled Apr 2). Intense clashes confirmed Apr 2 near Panteleymonivka, Sukha Balka, Shevchenko, Vodyane Druhe, etc. (UGS Morning Rpt). RU pressure/advances confirmed (ISW). Heavy fighting and new Russian assaults reported ongoing (Sternenko, Apr 3).
RU CLAIM (Kotenok, Apr 3): RU forces ("Center" Group) entered outskirts of Kotlyarivka and Troitske. RU armor engaged UA near Oleksiivka, deployed assault troops.
RU CLAIM (Slivochny Kapriz, Apr 3): Active fighting near Kurakhove. RU armor column attacked towards Oleksiivka. UA shelling RU assault elements. RU forces advanced 2.5 km West of Andriivka (S of Kurakhove) along the northern bank of the Vovcha River, establishing new positions (48.012707 36.997774).
RU CLAIM (Mash na Donbasse, Apr 3): Alleges UA stored ammunition in a civilian building hit in Pokrovsk district, citing images of shell casings/crates near damage.
RU CLAIM (Dnevnik Desantnika, Apr 3): RU forces took strongpoint West of Oleksandropil. Combined RU advance claims on this axis total >6 sq km.
RU CLAIM (Kotenok, Apr 3): RU forces advanced, fighting reported in UA strongpoint W of Oleksandropil (near H-20 road) and on outskirts of Valentynivka. RU claim flag raised at Oleksandropil council building. Urban fighting reported near Dzerzhynsk/Toretsk (Rybar).
RU CLAIM (MoD RF, Apr 3): Grad MLRS strike on UA stronghold, Dzerzhinsk direction.
RU CLAIM (Colonelcassad Map, Apr 3): Shows RU advances and expanded zone of control within Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk).
RU CLAIM (Kotenok, Apr 3): RU forces ("Vostok" Group, 5th Tank Bde) broke through UA flank defenses near Fedorivka-Vesele, entered southern outskirts of Fedorivka, fighting ongoing. Claims advance threatens UA flank/rear towards Komar/Bohatyr and potentially Huliaipole line. Claims UA logistics via Oleksiivka under attack. RU forces advanced >1.5 km along Mokri Yaly river, took positions in southern Vesele outskirts (Geolocated: 47.926144, 36.773695). RU forces advancing towards Bohatyr/Komar, Zelene Pole, Novopil, Shevchenko, Voskresenka.
RU CLAIM (Voin DV, Apr 3): Drone strikes by "Vostok" Group units on UA forces, Shakhtarsk direction.
RU CLAIM (Voin DV, Apr 3): RU Drone strike (29th CAA) hit UA position in building on Bohatyr-Kostyantynopil road section.
RU CLAIM (Dva Mayora/Colonelcassad, Apr 3): 2 UA POWs captured from 3rd Assault Brigade ("Azov") near Nadiia. Video released purportedly showing interrogation. RU claims one POW was sent to assault unit after deserting (SOCh); claims UA forces fired on them during surrender attempt.
RU CLAIM (Slivochny Kapriz, Apr 3): Positional fighting. RU forces expanded bridgehead on W bank of Zherebets River by 2.5 km near Novoliubivka. RU forward positions N of Novoliubivka under UA fire. (Geolocated: 49.176735,37.941529).
Kursk border area: (UGS Apr 3 05:00 UTC / morning report: 28 RU attacks repelled in Kursk Oblast Apr 2). Cross-border activity confirmed (ISW). High intensity fighting ongoing (Voenkor Kotenok).
RU CLAIM (Dva Mayora, Apr 3): Popovka (Belgorod) reported in "grey zone", RU forces hit attempted UA reinforcement overnight. Demidovka (Belgorod) UA forces maintain presence in southern part, RU artillery/drones striking. Fighting for Huyevo reported ongoing (Rybar).
RU CLAIM (Voenkor Kotenok, Apr 3): Missile strike on UA positions (129th TerO Bde claimed) near Huyevo.
RU CLAIM (Poddybny/Kotsnews, Apr 3): RU 810th Naval Inf Bde FPV strikes N of Gornal.
RU CLAIM (Dnevnik Desantnika/Rybar, Apr 3): UA attempting to fortify near Guyevo/Gornal, using monastery; RU striking UA reserves. RU claim terrain loss here critical for UA Sumy defense.
RU CLAIM (Arkhangel Spetsnaza, Apr 3): RU forces (51st PDP VDV) destroyed UA Bradley BMP in Oleshnia (Sumy Obl.).
RU CLAIM (Colonelcassad/Alex Parker/ZOG 2.0/Kotsnews, Apr 3): Video shows destroyed UA engineering vehicles (tank, possible BREM/IMR) near "dragon's teeth" defenses in Demidovka area (Belgorod border). RU helicopter activity (firing rockets, deploying flares) observed.
RU CLAIM (Kotsnews, Apr 3): RU claims UA bombed Belgorod airfield to counter RU helicopter activity in border area (Alex Parker).
RU ACTIVITY (Kotsnews/Dva Mayora, Apr 3): RU forces (30th MRR, 72nd MRD, "Sever" Group) reportedly evacuated civilians from vicinity of Guyevo (Kursk Oblast) to a safe location.
RU ACTIVITY (MoD Russia, Apr 3): RU 92nd Engineer Regiment conducting demining in Sudzhansky district (Kursk Oblast), clearing UXO left by UA forces.
RU DEFENSE (Alex Parker Returns/RVvoenkor/ASTRA, Apr 3): Confirmed installation of anti-drone nets on multi-story residential buildings in Shebekino and wider Belgorod Oblast.
RU CLAIM (Kotenok, Apr 3): RU forces ("Dnepr" Group) advancing N/NW from Stepove/Lobkove after capturing Lobkove; fighting ongoing near Shcherbaky/Mali Shcherbaky.
RU CLAIM (Slivochny Kapriz, Apr 3 - dated Mar 31): RU forces advanced up to 700m South of Novopokrovka towards Orikhiv. RU forces reportedly under UA fire near Orikhiv-Polohy highway (47.49414, 35.925).
RU CLAIM (Kotsnews, Apr 3): RU training new drone operators, video shows BMP-2 strike, Zaporizhzhia direction.
Kramatorsk/Chasiv Yar: (UGS Apr 3 05:00 UTC: 6 RU assaults repelled Apr 2). Clashes confirmed Apr 2 near Chasiv Yar and towards Novomarkove, Stupochky, Predtechyne (UGS Morning Rpt).
UA CLAIM (UGS/Operativnyi ZSU/Butusov/Tsaplienko, Apr 3): UA forces repelled significant RU assault near Andriivka (Donetsk), RU used ~2 platoons + armor (incl. tanks, BMPs, KamAZ/GAZ trucks, "golf carts"). Claimed heavy RU losses: 12 AFVs hit (7 destroyed), 18 KIA, 7 WIA (UGS); alternate claim 42 KIA, 1 tank, 2 BMPs, 3 "golf carts" destroyed (Butusov/Tsaplienko). Counting ongoing. Video evidence released.
RU ANALYSIS (Rybar, Apr 3): RU forces gradually advancing in urban Chasiv Yar. UA conducted several counterattacks recently (incl. armor with new markings). Possibility of larger UA counteroffensive towards Kostyantynivka noted. Asserts Orekhovo-Vasylivka & Novomarkove (officially claimed liberated by RU Feb/Mar) remain under UA control. Notes UA personnel accumulation in Minkivka. UA retains presence S of Chasiv Yar near Stupochky, Klishchiivka, and Seversky Donets-Donbas canal (area not fully cleared by RU).
RU CLAIM (Dnevnik Desantnika, Apr 3): Ongoing urban fighting. RU forces (incl. VDV) advancing. Claims Line of Battle shifted N of Dniprovsky pond, fighting in Kobzarya/Privokzalna street area. UA holding fortified positions near station industrial zone. Claims RU destroyed major UA strongpoint on Chekhova street. RU forces pressing towards center from Ognuporny plant and attempting to reach railway near pond.
Siversk: (UGS Apr 3 05:00 UTC: 5 RU attacks repelled Apr 2). Clashes confirmed Apr 2 near Bilohorivka, Verkhnokamyanske (UGS Morning Rpt). RU ANALYSIS (Rybar, Apr 3): Suggests potential for UA attacks on Siversk direction due to force accumulation in Slavyansk/Kramatorsk/Druzhkivka area.
Kharkiv: (UGS Apr 3 05:00 UTC: 2 RU attacks repelled Apr 2). OTU Kharkiv (Apr 3): 2 RU attacks repelled near Vovchansk and towards Kamyanka Apr 2.
UA CLAIM (Butusov, Apr 3): RU Lt. V. Balgrabsky (7th MRR) surrendered with remnants of company (5 total from battalion) near Kharkiv to UA 13th NGU "Khartia", citing hunger/command issues.
UA ACTIVITY (Tsaplienko, Apr 3): UA 3rd Assault Bde ("Primus" unit, 1st Assault Bn) conducting drone strikes (munition drops) on RU trenches/positions in Kharkiv Oblast.
Prydniprovsky: (UGS Apr 3 05:00 UTC / morning report: 5 RU attempts repelled on Left Bank Apr 2).
RU CLAIM (Mash, Apr 3): RU "Dnepr" Group artillery (D-30) destroyed UA UAV control point on Right Bank.
Ukrainian Success Confirmed: Repelled major RU assault near Andriivka (Kramatorsk axis), inflicting heavy losses (UGS, Butusov).
Russian Advances Claimed/Confirmed:
Near Toretsk (incl. geolocated capture of Oleksandropil; RU CLAIM: Fighting W of Oleksandropil, strongpoint captured; Fighting outskirts of Valentynivka; RU CLAIM: Expanded zone of control in Dzerzhynsk/Toretsk - Colonelcassad Map).
Near Pokrovsk (ISW); RU CLAIM: Cleared Panteleymonivka. Entered outskirts of Kotlyarivka and Troitske. Advanced 2.5 km W of Andriivka (S of Kurakhove) along Vovcha River towards Oleksiivka. Advance near Preobrazhenka (Colonelcassad Map).
Near Velyka Novosilka / Novopavlivsk: Confirmed capture of Vesele; Advance >1.5km along Mokri Yaly river and southern outskirts of Vesele (Geolocated); RU CLAIM: Entered southern outskirts of Fedorivka, fighting ongoing.
SE of Bohdanivka (Andriivka direction - geolocated).
Lobkove (Zaporizhzhia): Confirmed capture by RU forces; RU CLAIM: Advancing N/NW from Stepove/Lobkove. RU CLAIM (Dated Mar 31): Advanced 700m S of Novopokrovka towards Orikhiv.
Lyman: Expanded bridgehead on W bank of Zherebets River by 2.5 km near Novoliubivka. (RU CLAIM, Slivochny Kapriz).
UA CLAIM (DeepState, Apr 3): RU forces advanced in Piatykhatky and Andriivka.
Chasiv Yar: RU claim advances N of Dniprovsky pond (Kobzarya/Privokzalna streets); Strongpoint destroyed on Chekhova street (Dnevnik Desantnika). Fortified area occupied in southern Chasiv Yar (Previous RU Claim). RU ANALYSIS (Rybar): Gradual RU advances in urban areas.
RU CLAIM: Advances towards Kamyanske (Zaporizhzhia).
RU CLAIM (Belgorod Border): Popovka now in grey zone; UA presence confirmed in S. Demidovka.
Air & Missile Activity:
NEW UA AF Alert (Apr 3 10:15 UTC): Enemy recon drone active in Chernihiv Oblast, potential targeting guide, possible AD engagement.
RU KAB Launches (UA AF, Apr 3 09:05 UTC): Repeat launches towards Donetsk Oblast.
Missile Threat (UA AF, Apr 3 09:34 UTC): Missile threat warning issued for Kharkiv Oblast.
UA Recon Drone Activity Noted (UA AF, Apr 3 08:52 UTC): Ongoing enemy recon drone activity noted in Sumy Oblast, potential targeting guides.
Previous (Apr 2): UA AF intercepted 2x RU Kh-59/69 missiles (Zaporizhzhia). Lull in Shahed attacks noted overnight Mar 31-Apr 1.
Ukrainian Strikes on Russian Territory/Occupied Areas (RU Claims):
RU CLAIM (MoD RF/TASS/Kotenok/Colonelcassad/RVvoenkor, Apr 3): Over past 24h, UA conducted 4 strikes on energy infrastructure:
Luhansk (occupied): Gas distribution station "Svatove" hit by UAV (00:43 UTC Apr 2), causing fire, disrupting gas supply to >11,000 consumers.
Kursk Oblast: Energy facility hit by UAV (02:11 UTC Apr 2), power line "Seimskaya-Klyukva No.1" disabled, >1,200 consumers lost power.
Belgorod Oblast: Substation "Maksimovka" (110 kV) hit by artillery (12:06 UTC Apr 2), transformer damaged, >1,700 consumers lost power in Shebekinsky district.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (occupied): Substation "Vasylivka" (35 kV) hit by UAV (18:00 UTC Apr 2), oil circuit breaker fire, ~9,000 consumers lost power in Vasylivka city/district.
RU MoD frames attacks as evidence of Kyiv's "incapacity" to adhere to agreements.
II. Ukrainian Defensive Posture & Operations
Active defense maintained, repelling numerous assaults across multiple axes, including intense pressure on Pokrovsk (80 attacks), Toretsk (28), Kursk border (28), Lyman (21) on Apr 2.
Confirmed Major Success (Kramatorsk Axis): UA forces repelled significant RU assault near Andriivka (Donetsk), involving ~2 RU platoons + armor. Claimed RU losses: 12 AFVs hit (7 destroyed), 18 KIA, 7 WIA (UGS video report, Apr 3); alternately 42 KIA, 1 tank, 2 BMPs, 3 "golf carts" destroyed (Butusov/Tsaplienko). Counting ongoing. Video evidence released.
UA Drone Strikes & Successes:
(Pokrovsk/Kurakhove): UA "Zliuky Bobry" drone unit claims destroying RU personnel (Sternenko, Apr 3).
UA 414th OPUBAS ("Ptakhy Madyara") drone strike video on individual RU soldier released (Butusov, Apr 3).
Video released (Apr 3, 421st Sep Bn) showing destruction of RU equipment.
Video released (Apr 3, 59th Bde) showing drone attack on individual RU soldier (Pokrovsk direction).
Shadow unit released video (Apr 3) of nighttime heavy bomber drone strikes on RU shelters/trenches.
UA 63rd Mech Bde video (Apr 3) shows destruction of RU tank.
(Kharkiv): UA 3rd Assault Bde ("Primus" unit) drone strikes on RU trenches/positions (Tsaplienko, Apr 3).
UA Drone Capability Assessment: RU sources report UA deployment of new German/UA co-developed HF-1 kamikaze drones (150km range, 4.8kg payload, up to 4000 planned). First use claimed by RU in Sumy Oblast (Poddybny).
UA Drone Needs: Fundraising appeal active for 1st OShB "Da Vinci" and 427th UAV Regt "RAROG" operating on Donetsk direction (Butusov).
Counter-Intelligence: Deputy Director of educational institution in Sumy Oblast detained, suspected of providing RU forces with info on UA troop locations/movements near Kursk border (OGP/SBU).
UA POW Capture (Kharkiv): 13th NGU Brigade "Khartia" captured RU Lt. V. Balgrabsky (7th MRR) and remnants of his company (Butusov).
Information Warfare: UA sources warn of new RU disinformation campaign alleging UA use of chemical weapons in Kursk Oblast, possibly to create a pretext for RU chemical use (Tsaplienko).
UA Naval Development: Minehunters "Cherkasy" and "Chernihiv" completed NATO Level 1 evaluation, confirming interoperability (UA Navy).
UA CLAIM (Kharkiv Zone Losses Inflicted - Past 24h - OTU Kharkiv, Apr 3 06:00 UTC): 102 RU personnel (43 KIA), 73 units OVT (8 vehicles, 1 ATGM, 6 spec. equip, 1 EW, 57 UAVs). Destroyed: 74 shelters, 2 ammo depots, 1 fuel storage.
UA CLAIM (Southern Axis Losses Inflicted - Past 24h - Southern Def Forces, Apr 3):158 RU personnel, 9 artillery systems, 1 ATGM, 1 "Murom-M" system, 7 EW systems, 35 vehicles/armor, 12 motorcycles, 5 boats, 3 ATVs, 2 Starlink antennas, 5 UAV control antennas, 10 comms antennas, 2 generators, 1 Orlan UAV, 2 Supercam UAVs, 2 field depots, 1 fuel storage. Destroyed: 67 shelters/dugouts, 1 observation post, 1 C2 post.
Personnel Recognition: Sgt Serhiy (92nd OShBr ATGM Platoon Cdr) awarded Order "For Courage" II degree. Cdr of DShV Recon Bn Grenade Launcher Platoon Sr. Soldier Andriy Marchuk awarded "Silver Cross" for actions near Pokrovsk (May-Jul 24) and Kursk (Jan 25 - claimed vs DPRK troops).
