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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-03-27 03:01:32Z
11 months ago
Previous (2025-03-27 02:31:43Z)

Military Situation Update: March 27, 2025, 03:01 UTC

I. Air, Missile, and Drone Activity

  • UAV Threat Status (02:04 UTC): The threat of enemy attack UAVs has ended across all Ukrainian oblasts (Ukrainian Air Force, RBC-Ukraine).
  • Massive Shahed UAV Attack Aftermath (Night of Mar 26-27):
    • Kharkiv City & Oblast:
      • Zolochiv (Bohodukhiv Raion): 8 people injured (18yo F, 26yo M, 68yo F hospitalized; 4yo F, 46yo F, 66yo F, 69yo F, 48yo M acute stress). 1 house destroyed, at least 12 damaged. Admin building, local stadium, power lines also hit. Attack occurred Mar 26, 20:40-21:05 UTC (ASTRA, Kharkiv Prosecutor's Office).
      • Kharkiv City: Previous reports indicated up to 15 "Geran-2" (Shahed) strikes targeting Slobidsky and Kyiv districts (Mar 26, 20:40-21:20 UTC). Impacts included warehouse, industrial building, football field, garage, residential building. Total combined casualties from Kharkiv city and Zolochiv reported earlier as 16 injured, including 3 children (National Police). Note discrepancy in total vs Zolochiv figures; requires clarification.
    • Dnipro: Confirmed impacts in residential areas, multiple fires reported previously. Casualty status pending confirmation.
  • Russian Air Activity:
    • Kursk Border Area: Russian MoD released video showing a Ka-52M attack helicopter striking alleged Ukrainian personnel and armored vehicles (TASS, 02:02 UTC). Video depicts preparation, take-off, firing unguided rockets, and deploying countermeasures.
  • Alleged Russian Tactical Shifts (Conflicting Reports):
    • Ukrainian source claim: Russia prioritizing mass drone strikes on residential areas over energy infrastructure (Ongoing Verification Needed).
    • Russian source claim (citing alleged Kyiv intelligence): Russia shifting to massing large numbers of drones (up to 300/day) against specific single areas to overwhelm air defenses (Verification Needed).

II. Ground Combat Intensity and Frontlines

  • Overall Operational Tempo: Russian ground assaults reportedly exceeded 200/day for two consecutive days prior to Mar 27 (DeepState). March intensity assessed as 17% higher than February (as of Mar 26).
  • Primary Russian Focus Areas (DeepState): Kursk Oblast Border, Lyman, Pokrovsk, Vremivka Directions.
  • Specific Frontline Developments:
    • Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk Direction, Donetsk Oblast): Russian sources released video claiming assault troops destroying Ukrainian infantry in the private sector of the city (Colonelcassad, 02:03 UTC).
    • Kursk Oblast Border: Fighting ongoing. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces are suffering "colossal" losses near Oleshnia, Hoholivka, and the Sudzha border crossing (TASS, 02:36 UTC). Intense Russian fire previously reported on Yunakivka-Sudzha supply route. Ukrainian SSO "Faust" previously claimed significant Russian equipment losses to FPV drones. Putin publicly addressed the situation (Mar 25), promising reconstruction and punishment for alleged Ukrainian "atrocities."
    • Zaporizhzhia Direction (Orikhiv): Russian sources previously claimed intense engagements near Lobkove, Stepove, Male Shcherbaky, with claims of near-complete control of Lobkove and occupation of southern Shcherbaky. Local advances claimed near Robotyne and Mala Tokmachka. Claimed destruction of a Ukrainian T-72M1 tank via FPV drone (Mar 26).
    • Pokrovsk Direction: Remained a primary Russian focus with high attack volume reported on Mar 26 (53 attacks). Ukrainian SSO previously claimed capturing 9 Russian soldiers in this area.
    • Recent Reported Changes (DeepState Map, Mar 26, 22:41 UTC):
      • Kotlyne (Kharkiv): UDF repelled RU forces.
      • Katerynivka (Luhansk): RU forces advanced nearby.
      • Terny (Donetsk): RU forces advanced.
      • Dniproenerhiya Area (Likely Enerhodar/ZNPP): RU forces advanced (Requires Clarification).
      • Pischane (Kharkiv): RU forces advanced.

III. Russian Military Activities & Logistics

  • Sanctions Evasion Allegation: Russian explosives makers allegedly procure chemicals via fertilizer companies (Operatyvnyi ZSU / BBG).
  • Training: Footage showed RU 68th Army Corps (Donetsk) and 102nd Regt (150th Guards Div) training.
  • Drone/EW Focus: Continued Russian discussion on drones and EW systems (e.g., "Slavyanka").
  • Makeshift Equipment: Previous reports noted use of improvised vehicles ("Vannaped" motorcycle sidecar).

IV. Ukrainian Activities / Claims

  • Strike Confirmation (Recap): Successful strike confirmed on Russian Command Post (9th MRR/18th MRD) near Viktorivka-Uspenivka (Kursk Oblast, RU), Battalion Commander eliminated.
  • Drone Successes (Claims Recap - Mar 26):
    • 3rd Assault Brigade: Claimed destruction of 2 tanks, 1 Tigr, 5 Ural, 2 Kamaz, 1 UAZ, 1 motorcycle.
    • SSO "Faust": Claimed numerous vehicle/equipment destructions in Kursk Oblast via FPVs.
    • 40th Coastal Defence Brigade: Claimed drone strikes prevented RU river crossing (Kherson).
    • 113th TD Brigade: Claimed involvement in destroying 5 MT-LBs (Kharkiv).
  • Mobilization: Russian sources allege TCC (mobilization) officers in Odesa are targeting delivery couriers using fake orders as ambushes (Colonelcassad, 02:24 UTC). Potential Russian information operation aimed at discrediting Ukrainian mobilization efforts.

V. International / Diplomatic / Logistics

  • Ukrainian Stance on European Troops: A statement attributed to Ihor Zhovkva (Deputy Head of OPU) suggests Ukraine seeks substantial numbers ("not 5 or 10 thousand") of "combat-ready" European troops prepared for diverse scenarios (including missile/drone attacks), rather than unarmed peacekeepers positioned far from the front (Reported via Russian source RVvoenkor, 01:34 UTC, requires verification of original context).
  • US Airlift: A US Air Force C-17 was reported landing at Rzeszow, Poland (logistics hub) from Kuwait on Mar 26, potentially resuming direct military airlift after a period of using commercial carriers.
  • US-Russia Relations: New Russian ambassador to US scheduled to present credentials; seeks visa facilitation, direct flights, diplomat normalization, return of properties (TASS).
  • Black Sea/Energy Infrastructure Agreement (Context from Mar 25): Previous reports indicated a US-mediated agreement on safe Black Sea navigation and avoiding energy infrastructure strikes. Ukrainian sources added a claim that Russian Navy movement outside the eastern Black Sea would be considered an infringement. Current status and adherence unclear from latest reports.

VI. Information Operations & Allegations

  • Russian Narratives (Kursk Border): Continued efforts to portray alleged Ukrainian atrocities (Sudzha hospital damage video, claims of manipulated videos), re-erection of Orthodox cross, exploitation of alleged POW (claiming "mobilized" used on front, "elites" held back), claims of inflicting "colossal" Ukrainian losses.
  • Russian Narratives (Other): Highlighting Russian Orthodox Church aid in Donetsk; disseminating video of alleged cultural friction over music; circulating alleged Ukrainian documents criticizing "Novator" vehicle deficiencies (framed as corruption, potential info op).
  • Ukrainian Narrative (Energy Strikes): Presidential Advisor Podolyak previously stated Ukraine reserves the right to conduct "symmetrical responses" against Russian infrastructure if attacks continue.
Previous (2025-03-27 02:31:43Z)

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