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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-03-27 02:31:43Z
11 months ago
Previous (2025-03-27 02:01:34Z)

Military Situation Update: March 27, 2025, 02:31 UTC

I. Air, Missile, and Drone Activity

  • UAV Threat Status (02:04 UTC): The threat of enemy attack UAVs has ended across all Ukrainian oblasts (Ukrainian Air Force, RBC-Ukraine).
  • Massive Shahed UAV Attack Aftermath (Night of Mar 26-27):
    • Kharkiv City & Oblast:
      • Zolochiv (Bohodukhiv Raion): 8 people injured (18yo F, 26yo M, 68yo F hospitalized; 4yo F, 46yo F, 66yo F, 69yo F, 48yo M acute stress). 1 house destroyed, at least 12 damaged. Admin building, local stadium, power lines also hit. Attack occurred Mar 26, 20:40-21:05 UTC (ASTRA, Kharkiv Prosecutor's Office).
      • Kharkiv City: Previous reports indicated up to 15 "Geran-2" (Shahed) strikes targeting Slobidsky and Kyiv districts (Mar 26, 20:40-21:20 UTC). Impacts included warehouse, industrial building, football field, garage, residential building. Total combined casualties from Kharkiv city and Zolochiv reported earlier as 16 injured, including 3 children (National Police). Note discrepancy in total vs Zolochiv figures; requires clarification.
    • Dnipro: Confirmed impacts in residential areas, multiple fires reported previously. Casualty status pending confirmation.
  • Russian Air Activity:
    • Kursk Border Area: Russian MoD released video showing a Ka-52M attack helicopter striking alleged Ukrainian personnel and armored vehicles (TASS, 02:02 UTC). Video depicts preparation, take-off, firing unguided rockets, and deploying countermeasures.
  • Alleged Russian Tactical Shifts (Conflicting Reports):
    • Ukrainian source claim: Russia prioritizing mass drone strikes on residential areas over energy infrastructure (Ongoing Verification Needed).
    • Russian source claim (citing alleged Kyiv intelligence): Russia shifting to massing large numbers of drones (up to 300/day) against specific single areas to overwhelm air defenses (Verification Needed).

II. Ground Combat Intensity and Frontlines

  • Overall Operational Tempo: Russian ground assaults reportedly exceeded 200/day for two consecutive days prior to Mar 27 (DeepState). March intensity assessed as 17% higher than February (as of Mar 26).
  • Primary Russian Focus Areas (DeepState): Kursk Oblast Border, Lyman, Pokrovsk, Vremivka Directions.
  • Specific Frontline Developments:
    • Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk Direction, Donetsk Oblast): Russian sources released video claiming assault troops destroying Ukrainian infantry in the private sector of the city (Colonelcassad, 02:03 UTC).
    • Kursk Oblast Border: Fighting ongoing. Ukrainian SSO "Faust" previously claimed significant Russian equipment losses to FPV drones. Putin publicly addressed the situation (Mar 25), promising reconstruction and punishment for alleged Ukrainian "atrocities." Intense Russian fire reported on Yunakivka-Sudzha supply route.
    • Zaporizhzhia Direction (Orikhiv): Russian sources previously claimed intense engagements near Lobkove, Stepove, Male Shcherbaky, with claims of near-complete control of Lobkove and occupation of southern Shcherbaky. Local advances claimed near Robotyne and Mala Tokmachka. Claimed destruction of a Ukrainian T-72M1 tank via FPV drone (Mar 26).
    • Pokrovsk Direction: Remained a primary Russian focus with high attack volume reported on Mar 26 (53 attacks). Ukrainian SSO previously claimed capturing 9 Russian soldiers in this area.
    • Recent Reported Changes (DeepState Map, Mar 26, 22:41 UTC):
      • Kotlyne (Kharkiv): UDF repelled RU forces.
      • Katerynivka (Luhansk): RU forces advanced nearby.
      • Terny (Donetsk): RU forces advanced.
      • Dniproenerhiya Area (Likely Enerhodar/ZNPP): RU forces advanced (Requires Clarification).
      • Pischane (Kharkiv): RU forces advanced.

III. Russian Military Activities & Logistics

  • Sanctions Evasion Allegation: Russian explosives makers allegedly procure chemicals via fertilizer companies (Operatyvnyi ZSU / BBG).
  • Training: Footage showed RU 68th Army Corps (Donetsk) and 102nd Regt (150th Guards Div) training.
  • Drone/EW Focus: Continued Russian discussion on drones and EW systems (e.g., "Slavyanka").
  • Makeshift Equipment: Previous reports noted use of improvised vehicles ("Vannaped" motorcycle sidecar).

IV. Ukrainian Activities / Claims

  • Strike Confirmation (Recap): Successful strike confirmed on Russian Command Post (9th MRR/18th MRD) near Viktorivka-Uspenivka (Kursk Oblast, RU), Battalion Commander eliminated.
  • Drone Successes (Claims Recap - Mar 26):
    • 3rd Assault Brigade: Claimed destruction of 2 tanks, 1 Tigr, 5 Ural, 2 Kamaz, 1 UAZ, 1 motorcycle.
    • SSO "Faust": Claimed numerous vehicle/equipment destructions in Kursk Oblast via FPVs.
    • 40th Coastal Defence Brigade: Claimed drone strikes prevented RU river crossing (Kherson).
    • 113th TD Brigade: Claimed involvement in destroying 5 MT-LBs (Kharkiv).
  • Mobilization: Russian sources allege TCC (mobilization) officers in Odesa are targeting delivery couriers using fake orders as ambushes (Colonelcassad, 02:24 UTC). Potential Russian information operation aimed at discrediting Ukrainian mobilization efforts.

V. International / Diplomatic / Logistics

  • Ukrainian Stance on European Troops: A statement attributed to Ihor Zhovkva (Deputy Head of OPU) suggests Ukraine seeks substantial numbers ("not 5 or 10 thousand") of "combat-ready" European troops prepared for diverse scenarios (including missile/drone attacks), rather than unarmed peacekeepers positioned far from the front (Reported via Russian source RVvoenkor, 01:34 UTC, requires verification of original context).
  • US Airlift: A US Air Force C-17 was reported landing at Rzeszow, Poland (logistics hub) from Kuwait on Mar 26, potentially resuming direct military airlift after a period of using commercial carriers.
  • US-Russia Relations: New Russian ambassador to US scheduled to present credentials; seeks visa facilitation, direct flights, diplomat normalization, return of properties (TASS).
  • Black Sea/Energy Infrastructure Agreement (Context from Mar 25): Previous reports indicated a US-mediated agreement on safe Black Sea navigation and avoiding energy infrastructure strikes. Ukrainian sources added a claim that Russian Navy movement outside the eastern Black Sea would be considered an infringement. Current status and adherence unclear from latest reports.

VI. Information Operations & Allegations

  • Russian Narratives (Kursk Border): Continued efforts to portray alleged Ukrainian atrocities (Sudzha hospital damage video, claims of manipulated videos), re-erection of Orthodox cross, exploitation of alleged POW (claiming "mobilized" used on front, "elites" held back).
  • Russian Narratives (Other): Highlighting Russian Orthodox Church aid in Donetsk; disseminating video of alleged cultural friction over music; circulating alleged Ukrainian documents criticizing "Novator" vehicle deficiencies (framed as corruption, potential info op).
  • Ukrainian Narrative (Energy Strikes): Presidential Advisor Podolyak previously stated Ukraine reserves the right to conduct "symmetrical responses" against Russian infrastructure if attacks continue.
Previous (2025-03-27 02:01:34Z)

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