Military Situation Update: March 26, 2025, 22:31 UTC

I. Air, Missile, and Drone Activity (Updates)

• Massive Shahed UAV Attack (ONGOING):
  • Dnipro: Confirmed Shahed impacts in residential areas, resulting in multiple fires affecting cars and infrastructure. Casualties being ascertained. (Updates previous report confirming active attack).
  • Kharkiv City: DSNS confirms 4 fire locations from the drone attack, including damage to civilian infrastructure and residential sector. The largest fire (2500 sqm) occurred in a production building. Preliminarily 9 injured reported by DSNS/Tsaplienko.
  • Zolochiv (Kharkiv Oblast): Attack occurred between 20:40-21:05 UTC. 1 house destroyed, 12+ damaged, admin building, stadium, power lines hit. 8 injured/affected confirmed (3 hospitalized, 5 acute stress).
  • Updated UAV Movements/Threats (Ukrainian Air Force / Vanek, ~22:25 UTC):
    • Khmelnytskyi: UAVs moving from Zhytomyr Oblast, course towards Starokostiantyniv.
    • Vinnytsia: UAVs entering from Kirovohrad and Mykolaiv Oblasts.
    • Kirovohrad: UAVs present near Kropyvnytskyi.
    • Mykolaiv: UAV over Snihurivka. UAV reported in Pervomaiskyi district.
    • Poltava: Threat warning for Kremenchuk, Zolotonosha. UAV reported in Kremenchuk district.
    • Cherkasy: UAVs north of Cherkasy. Threat warning for Zolotonosha.
    • Sumy: UAV remains near Konotop.
• Alleged Russian Tactical Shift (Ukrainian Source - Hayabusa): Claim that Russia has shifted Shahed tactics from energy infrastructure to systematic nightly mass drone strikes targeting residential areas in various cities (Kharkiv, Odesa, Kryvyi Rih, Kropyvnytskyi, Zaporizhzhia cited as examples). Requires verification and analysis of targeting patterns.

II. Ground Combat Intensity and Frontlines

• Overall Operational Tempo (Ukrainian Source - DeepState):
  • Russian ground assault actions exceeded 200 per day for the last two consecutive days.
  • Russian assault activity intensity in March 2025 is reported as 17% higher than in February 2025 (based on data up to March 26).
• Primary Russian Focus Areas (DeepState): Highest activity concentration remains on:
  • Kursk Oblast Border Area
  • Lyman Direction
  • Pokrovsk Direction
  • Vremivka Direction (Corresponds largely with UGS report on Novopavlivsk/Huliaipole axes).

III. Russian Military Activities & Logistics

• Sanctions Evasion (Ukrainian Source - Operatyvnyi ZSU / BBG): Report alleges Russian explosives manufacturers are utilizing fertilizer production companies (not under sanctions) to procure necessary chemical components for explosives production.
• Training Activity: Footage shows Russian 68th Army Corps personnel conducting tactical live-fire training (including urban assault drills) in occupied Donetsk Oblast. Additional propaganda footage shows training and interviews with soldiers from the 102nd Regiment (150th Guards Division), discussing assault tactics and methods for identifying opposing forces among civilians.
• Drone/EW Focus (Russian Source - Colonelcassad): Continued dissemination of information regarding drone types (fixed-wing like Orlan/Geran-2, Lancet; rotary; multi-rotor/FPV) and the importance of Electronic Warfare (EW), highlighting the Russian "Slavyanka" EW complex.

IV. Ukrainian Strike Confirmation (Recap from UGS)

• Successful strike confirmed on Russian Command Post (9th MRR/18th MRD) near Viktorivka-Uspenivka (Kursk Oblast, RU territory), eliminating a Battalion Commander.

V. International/Support Developments (Recap/No Change)

• EU Aid Plan Obstruction (Reported - Politico via Russian Source): France, Italy, Spain potentially hindering EU defense spending increase plan (including joint borrowing for Ukraine arms procurement) due to national debt concerns. No new information.