Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 24, 2025, 04:41 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (04:11 UTC - 04:41 UTC)
CONFIRMED CAUSE OF ROSTOV-ON-DON FIRE (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
ТАСС (04:24 UTC): Reports the cause of the fire at the shopping center in Rostov-on-Don was a SHORT CIRCUIT in a SIGN ON THE FACADE of the BUILDING. The FIRE is EXTINGUISHED.
Assessment: This SIGNIFICANTLY LOWERS the PROBABILITY that the FIRE was DIRECTLY RELATED to the CONFLICT. While the TIMING remains SUSPICIOUS, the OFFICIAL CAUSE is now KNOWN and ATTRIBUTED to an ACCIDENTAL EVENT. This DOES NOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT the POSSIBILITY of SABOTAGE (e.g., someone tampering with the wiring), but it makes it MUCH LESS LIKELY.
REPORTED RUSSIAN AIR DEFENSE ACTIVITY (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
ТАСС (04:14 UTC): Reports Russian air defense forces shot down 28 UKRAINIAN DRONES overnight across MULTIPLE RUSSIAN REGIONS.
12 drones over Bryansk and Rostov Oblasts.
2 drones over Crimea.
1 drone over Krasnodar Krai.
1 drone over the Azov Sea.
Два майора (04:31): Reports the same, claiming to quote from the Russian Ministry of Defense.
Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (04:35 UTC): Reports the same.
AV БогомаZ (04:26 UTC): Reports 12 drones were destroyed in Bryansk.
Assessment: This SUGGESTS A SIGNIFICANT UKRAINIAN DRONE ATTACK targeting MULTIPLE RUSSIAN REGIONS, including OCCUPIED CRIMEA. The CLAIMS OF SUCCESSFUL INTERCEPTION are LIKELY EXAGGERATED to some EXTENT, but the REPORT DOES INDICATE a CONTINUED EFFORT by UKRAINE to STRIKE TARGETS inside RUSSIA and OCCUPIED TERRITORIES.
REPORTED RUSSIAN DRONE STRIKES IN SHAKHTARSK DIRECTION (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE, VIDEO):
Воин DV (04:15 UTC): VIDEO. Claims Russian drone operators from the 14th Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group are continuing to destroy Ukrainian equipment and personnel in the Shakhtarsk direction. The video shows drone strikes on buildings and an open area.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS CONTINUED RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS in the SHAKHTARSK DIRECTION, TARGETING UKRAINIAN POSITIONS with DRONES. The VIDEO suggests DESTRUCTION OF INFRASTRUCTURE (buildings, likely command posts or storage) and DISRUPTION OF DEFENSIVE LINES (open areas). This INCREASES PRESSURE on UKRAINIAN FORCES in this SECTOR.
GENERAL STAFF OF UKRAINE REPORT (MEDIUM PRIORITY, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (04:25 UTC): Reports, as of 06:00, March 24, 2025:
3 Russian warships in the Black Sea, 3 of which are equipped with "Kalibr" cruise missiles, with a total capacity of 12 missiles.
No enemy ships in the Azov Sea.
* 4 enemy ships in the Mediterranean Sea, 3 of which are equipped with "Kalibr" cruise missiles, with a total capacity of 26 missiles.
* In the past 24 hours, in Russia's interest, the Kerch Strait was crossed by 13 vessels, with 11 continuing toward the Bosphorus Strait.
6 vessels have entered the Azov Sea, with one heading to the Bosphorus Strait.
Russia continues to disable the AIS on ships.
Assessment: This reinforces the danger of Kalibr missiles.
OTHER:
ТАСС (04:38 UTC): Provides a video of the fire in Rostov-on-Don.
Assessment: This DOES NOT DIRECTLY IMPACT the immediate military situation.
РБК-Україна (04:32 UTC): Reports on the Ukrainian Navy reporting that there are 3 "Kalibr" carriers in the Black Sea, with a combined salvo of 12 missiles.
Assessment: This reinforces the danger of Kalibr missiles.
Fighterbomber (04:32 UTC): Reports on the 109th episode of "333", which discussed the following topics: the situation on the LBS, the state of negotiations for a truce at the moment, what peacekeepers we should expect and what to do with them, and clickbait from European leaders.
Assessment: This DOES NOT DIRECTLY IMPACT the immediate military situation.
Рыбарь (04:33 UTC): Reports on hot spots in Africa.
Assessment: This DOES NOT DIRECTLY IMPACT the immediate military situation.
Два майора (04:34 UTC): Reports the situation in the Krasnoyaruzhsky district of Belgorod Oblast, stating that the governor says residents cannot return to their homes.
Assessment: This DOES NOT DIRECTLY IMPACT the immediate military situation.
Басурин о главном (04:39 UTC): Commemorates Заур Таймуразович Джибилов, who died in 2012.
Assessment: This DOES NOT DIRECTLY IMPACT the immediate military situation.
ASTRA (04:34 UTC): Reports the Russian Ministry of Defense claimed to destroy 28 drones overnight.
Assessment: This DOES NOT DIRECTLY IMPACT the immediate military situation.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
FIRE AT SHOPPING CENTER IN ROSTOV-ON-DONOFFICIALLY ATTRIBUTED to a SHORT CIRCUIT. FIRE EXTINGUISHED. SIGNIFICANTLY LOWERS (but does NOT ELIMINATE) the PROBABILITY of DIRECT CONFLICT INVOLVEMENT.
HIGH PRIORITY:
RUSSIAN DRONE STRIKESCONFIRMED in SHAKHTARSK DIRECTION.
* REPORTED RUSSIAN AIR DEFENSE ACTIVITY, claiming the INTERCEPTION of 28 UKRAINIAN DRONES across MULTIPLE RUSSIAN REGIONS and OCCUPIED CRIMEA. INDICATES A CONTINUED UKRAINIAN EFFORT to STRIKE TARGETS inside RUSSIA and OCCUPIED TERRITORIES.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
General Staff of Ukraine reports.
CONFIRMED USE OF GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS in DONETSK OBLAST.
Updated Recommendations
MONITOR THE AFTERMATH OF THE ROSTOV-ON-DON FIRE (MEDIUM PRIORITY, MONITORING):
CONTINUE TO MONITOR the SITUATION in ROSTOV-ON-DON, even though the FIRE is EXTINGUISHED and the CAUSE is ATTRIBUTED to a SHORT CIRCUIT.
REMAIN VIGILANT for any SIGNS OF UNREST or FURTHER INCIDENTS.
MONITOR RUSSIAN MEDIA for any ATTEMPTS to EXPLOIT THE INCIDENT for PROPAGANDA PURPOSES or BLAME UKRAINE despite the OFFICIAL FINDINGS.
MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES). (No change from previous recommendations, except as noted above).
The situation remains TENSE BUT STABLE. The CONFIRMED CAUSE of the ROSTOV-ON-DON FIREREDUCES the IMMEDIATE RISK of ESCALATION, but the REPORTED UKRAINIAN DRONE ATTACKS and CONTINUED RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS indicate ONGOING CONFLICT.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs
Accidental fire due to technical malfunction or electrical fault.: 0.7
Deliberate arson aimed at the building adjacent to the shopping center.: 0.032
Careless handling of fire or flammable materials.: 0.024
Collateral damage from unrelated incident (e.g., explosion, nearby fire spreading).: 0.008
Russian authorities are attempting to suppress nationalist movements and ideologies.: 0.56
The blocking of the VKontakte group is part of a broader effort to control online information and dissent.: 0.16
The legal action against the VKontakte group is related to the activities or legacy of Maxim Martsinkevich.: 0.08
Ukrainian forces conducted a drone attack on Rostov Oblast.: 0.65
Russian forces are exaggerating the drone attack to gain support for the war effort.: 0.128
A non-state actor conducted the drone attack.: 0.064
The drone attack was a false flag operation by Russian forces.: 0.064
No casualties were observed due to the attack.: 0.894
Seven Ukrainian servicemen surrendered: 0.64.
Ukrainian forces have suffered significant equipment losses due to effective enemy attacks.: 0.48
The 'Kozak' armored vehicle is vulnerable to mines and/or anti-tank weapons.: 0.22
Medical evacuation capabilities have been compromised.: 0.12
Tactical errors in route planning or deployment contributed to the vehicle losses.: 0.08
Ukrainian forces are adapting tactics based on observed equipment vulnerabilities and high-risk areas.: 0.08
The threat of enemy drone strikes on the regions has been lifted.: 0.76
The message is disinformation to lower defenses.: 0.024
The threat has been shifted to a different area or type of attack.: 0.016
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the east.: 0.88
There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions in the east.: 0.864
Guided aerial bombs were launched towards Kharkiv region from the east.: 0.9
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.8
There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions in the north-east.: 0.75
Kherson and Mykolaiv regions are under threat of enemy drone strikes.: 0.95
Guided aerial bombs were launched towards Sumy region.: 0.85
A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
The building was damaged due to shelling or explosive attack.: 0.48
The damage impacts civilian infrastructure and may displace populations.: 0.16
The presence of responders indicates a need for medical care and assistance.: 0.12
The location and nature of the damage may reveal enemy targeting strategies.: 0.04
Air raid alert in Kyiv is over.: 0.76
There may be a lull in military activity in Kyiv.: 0.2
There may be a lull in military activity in Kyiv: 0.024
The alert system might have malfunctioned.: 0.016
The video depicts the aftermath of a military strike on a built-up area.: 0.56
Emergency services are responding to a humanitarian crisis caused by the strike.: 0.16
The damage suggests the use of heavy artillery or aerial bombardment.: 0.08
Enemy drone attack in Rostov region caused a fatality.: 0.64
Saratov and Engels were struck in the most massive attack of all time: 0.97
132 Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed.: 0.21
Russian forces shot down a Ukrainian UAV.: 0.6
Russia conducted 5 airstrikes on Yasna Polyana, Blakytne, and Novoivanivka.: 0.8
334 drones of various types attacked Zaporizhzhia, Kamyanske, Bilenke, Malokaterynivka, Huliaipole, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Charivne, and Novodarivka.: 0.8
12 MLRS attacks were launched on Komyshuvakha, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, and Novodarivka.: 0.8
168 artillery strikes were launched on the territory of Kamyanske, Huliaipole, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Charivne, and Novodarivka.: 0.8
Damage to cars, apartments, private houses, commercial structures, and infrastructure facilities was reported.: 0.8
Two men were injured in an attack on Zaporizhzhia.: 0.8
Ukrainian UAVs attacked the Engels airfield, hitting warehouses.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.86
Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.82
A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.63
Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
The application facilitates improved control and tracking of civilian firearms, potentially impacting military strategies for maintaining public order.: 0.32
The application poses geolocation risks if not adequately secured, which could indirectly affect military security.: 0.24
The application could be used to assess and potentially mobilize armed civilians in support of military operations.: 0.16
The application's permit ordering system enhances bureaucratic efficiency but has minimal direct impact on military operations.: 0.08
Russian forces (Rubicon battle groups) are destroying Ukrainian logistics on the Sudzha-Yunakivka road.: 0.8
Soldiers of the 9th regiment have retrieved the body of their commander, Sergey Chebnev, who died in August: 0.7
800 Russian soldiers used a gas pipeline to infiltrate Ukrainian positions near Sudzha.: 0.89
Russian forces (Sever Group) liberated the settlements of Kositsa, Malaya Loknya, and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye: 0.75
Russia claims to have destroyed more than 340 troops, two tanks, seven infantry fighting vehicles, five armoured personnel carriers, ten armoured fighting vehicles, 13 motor vehicles, three self-propelled artillery systems, eight field artillery guns, one AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery warfare station, an engineering vehicle, as well as six UAV command posts, and an ammunition depot. Two AFU servicemen surrendered.: 0.7
UKRAINIAN SPECIAL FORCES OPERATIONS IN KHARKIV REGION: 0.67
Ukrainian forces counterattacked in Shevchenko: 0.55
Russia is attempting to destroy Ukrainian UAV control centers in the Zaporizhzhia region.: 0.55
Russian forces claim Malaya Loknya is completely under their control.: 0.98
Reports of captured Ukrainian soldiers in the area of CHERKASSKOE PORECHNOE.: 0.99999999999999
4 attacks were made near VOVCHANSK.: 0.9
The enemy is attempting to advance in BILOHORIVKA, FEDORIVKA and VERKHNOKAMYANSKE.: 0.9
89 enemy casualties were sustained (42 deaths) near VOVCHANSK.: 0.9
Russian forces liberated LEBEDEVKA.: 0.9
Russian infantry attack with sapper-assault group undermined a Ukrainian position in the center of LEBEDEVKA.: 0.9
There was a Russian advance of over 600 meters in an easterly direction in LEBEDEVKA.: 0.8
Russian airstrikes took place in MALA VOVCHA.: 0.9
Clashes took place in the following areas: LOZOVA, PETROPAVLIVKA, *: 0.92
Russian forces are making tactical advances near Novolyubovka.: 0.49
Britain wants US drones to monitor the demarcation zone in Ukraine.: 0.75
Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland declared their withdrawal from the Ottawa Convention.: 0.87
Military personnel will be able to receive higher education.: 0.86
Russians were using blue tape, like the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in the Kursk region: 0.52
Vostok group is actively engaged in evacuating civilians from conflict zones.: 0.8998
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
Kyiv is under attack by drones.: 0.8416
Explosions in Kyiv were caused by something other than a drone attack (e.g., air defense activity, other military activity).: 0.0512
The report is inaccurate or exaggerated.: 0.0064
Vostok group is actively engaged in evacuating civilians from conflict zones.: 0.8998
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or
