Басурин о главном (12:02 UTC): Reports that Bloomberg claims the White House is seeking a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine before April 20th (Easter). Acknowledges that the Trump administration recognizes this timeline may be delayed due to significant disagreements.
Assessment: This SUGGESTS A POTENTIAL DIPLOMATIC EFFORT to achieve a TEMPORARY CEASEFIRE. The REFERENCE TO EASTER as a TARGET DATE is NOTEWORTHY. VERIFICATION FROM INDEPENDENT SOURCES and OFFICIAL STATEMENTS are NEEDED to CONFIRM THE ACCURACY of the BLOOMBERG REPORT. The ACKNOWLEDGEMENT OF "SIGNIFICANT DISAGREEMENTS" indicates MAJOR OBSTACLES to a CEASEFIRE.
RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS IN SUMY OBLAST (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Colonelcassad (12:02 UTC): Reports continued Russian advances near Basovka and three other locations in the northern regions of Sumy Oblast. Describes the incursions as "tactical" in nature.
Assessment: This REINFORCES PREVIOUS REPORTS of INCREASED RUSSIAN ACTIVITY in the SUMY REGION. While described as "TACTICAL", these ADVANCES could INDICATE A WIDER STRATEGIC INTENTION to STRETCH UKRAINIAN FORCES or CREATE A NEW FRONT. INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION is REQUIRED.
FIGHTING NEAR KURSK BORDER (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Colonelcassad (12:02 UTC): Reports continued Russian pressure near Guevo, Oleshnya, Gornal, and the border checkpoint in the Kursk region. Claims ongoing efforts to recover trophies, eliminate remaining Ukrainian forces, and conduct demining operations.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS CONTINUED FIGHTING near the KURSK BORDER. The REPORTED ACTIVITIES suggest RUSSIAN FORCES are CONSOLIDATING CONTROL over PREVIOUSLY CONTESTED AREAS. The CLAIMS of ELIMINATING REMAINING UKRAINIAN FORCES and DEMINING OPERATIONSREQUIRE VERIFICATION.
FIGHTING NEAR DEMIDOVKA (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Colonelcassad (12:02 UTC): Reports Russian forces pushing Ukrainian forces away from Demidovka on the border of the Kharkiv and Belgorod regions. Claims significant Ukrainian losses in personnel and equipment.
Assessment: This INDICATES CONTINUED FIGHTING in the AREA. The REPORTED UKRAINIAN LOSSESREQUIRE VERIFICATION.
CONFIRMATION OF UKRAINIAN ARTILLERY STRIKE ON ZAPORIZHZHIA POWER SUBSTATION (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCES):
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (12:04 UTC), Дневник Десантника (12:29 UTC), ТАСС (11:51, 11:52): Report that Ukrainian forces carried out a "massive artillery strike" on a power substation in the Pologovsky district of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, leaving 11,000 subscribers without electricity.
Assessment: These reports, while from RUSSIAN-AFFILIATED SOURCES, CONFIRM THE ARTILLERY STRIKE on a POWER SUBSTATION in ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST. The IMPACT ON 11,000 SUBSCRIBERS highlights the SIGNIFICANCE OF THE ATTACK and its DISRUPTION TO CIVILIAN INFRASTRUCTURE. INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION is STILL NEEDED.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (12:08 UTC): Reports RUSSIAN TACTICAL AVIATION LAUNCHES of GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS on KHARKIV OBLAST from the EAST.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS CONTINUED AERIAL THREATS to KHARKIV OBLAST.
FIGHTING ON KUPYANSK DIRECTION (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Дневник Десантника (12:08 UTC): Reports fighting on the southern flank of the Kupyansk direction. Claims Ukrainian counterattacks near Zeleny Gai and attempts to hold positions near Nadiya. Reports Russian offensive operations from Pervomaiskoye (Pershotravneve) targeting a Ukrainian logistics route.
Assessment: This INDICATES CONTINUED INTENSE FIGHTING in the KUPYANSK DIRECTION. The REPORTS OF UKRAINIAN COUNTERATTACKS and RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS suggest a DYNAMIC BATTLEFIELD SITUATION. The FOCUS ON A LOGISTICS ROUTE highlights the STRATEGIC IMPORTANCE of SUPPLY LINES.
OTHER
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (12:02): A propaganda video showing a future where drones have taken over.
БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (12:03): Shows a body of a dead soldier.
WarGonzo (12:05): A blog post about Turkish politics.
Fighterbomber (12:04): Post on military meteorologists.
Kotsnews (12:10): Shows the battle for Kurilovka.
ТАСС (12:13): Reports that Yemen's Houthis claim a missile attack on Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv.
Оперативний ЗСУ (12:15): Claims to have destroyed 115+ air targets.
* Север.Реалии (12:17): Reports that a Russian man set fire to a locomotive.
* Colonelcassad (12:18): Reports a drone attack near Belgorod.
* АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (12:20): Shows drone strikes.
РБК-Україна (12:21): Reports that Trump claims he can stop Putin.
* Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (12:22 UTC): ENEMY TACTICAL AVIATION active in the NORTHEASTERN DIRECTION. THREAT OF AIR STRIKES for FRONTLINE REGIONS.
* Рыбарь (12:24): A report on Rwanda.
* Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (12:27 UTC): Reports LAUNCHES OF GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS by ENEMY TACTICAL AVIATION on DONETSK and SUMY OBLASTS.
* Воин DV (12:29): Claims to have stopped a Ukrainian rotation.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
CONFIRMED UKRAINIAN ARTILLERY STRIKE ON POWER SUBSTATION in ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST. 11,000 SUBSCRIBERS reportedly WITHOUT POWER. REQUIRES VERIFICATION OF RESPONSIBILITY.
CONTINUED, WIDESPREAD, AND MULTI-DIRECTIONAL DRONE ATTACK ACROSS UKRAINE. NUMEROUS DRONES are ACTIVE, with CONSTANT COURSE CHANGES making INTERCEPTION DIFFICULT. IMMINENT THREATS to BROVARY/BORYSPIL and POKROVSK.
INCREASED THREAT OF AIR STRIKES in NORTHEASTERN UKRAINE due to RUSSIAN TACTICAL AVIATION ACTIVITY.
DELAYED DELIVERY OF AUSTRALIAN ABRAMS TANKS to UKRAINE due to LOGISTICAL ISSUES and US AID SUSPENSION.
HIGH PRIORITY:
CONTINUED INTENSE FIGHTING near DEMIDOVKA, BELGOROD OBLAST.
CLAIMED RUSSIAN DRONE ATTACK on CIVILIANS in KHERSON.
RUSSIAN FORCES reported USING GROUND-BASED KAMIKAZE ROBOTS with ANTI-TANK MINES as EXPLOSIVES in KHARKIV OBLAST.
CONTINUED RUSSIAN ATTACKS on ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST, including KAB STRIKES. DAMAGE TO ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE reported.
AT LEAST ONE DRONE INTERCEPTED over KYIV, with NO SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE reported.
REPORTED DRONE ATTACK on KUPYANSK.
REPORTED UKRAINIAN DEFENSE against RUSSIAN ATTEMPTED ASSAULT in VOLCHANSK DIRECTION.
CONFIRMED CIVILIAN CASUALTIES IN KYIV as a result of the OVERNIGHT DRONE ATTACK, including the DEATH OF A FIVE-YEAR-OLD GIRL AND HER FATHER.
REPORTED RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE in the SUMY REGION.
CONTINUED FIGHTING near the KURSK REGION.
CONTINUED FIGHTING in the KUPYANSK REGION.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
POTENTIAL EASTER CEASEFIRE being discussed.
REPORTED STRANGE ACTIVITY near BRYANSK BORDER, possibly a PSYCHOLOGICAL ATTACK.
INSTALLATION OF "GAS PIPE MONUMENT" in YEKATERINBURG, likely a PROPAGANDA EFFORT.
DRONE WARNINGS across Russia.
CONTINUED UKRAINIAN RESISTANCE in OCCUPIED TERRITORIES.
INCREASED RUSSIAN RECRUITMENT INCENTIVES.
LOW PRIORITY:None.
Updated Recommendations
INVESTIGATE RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE ZAPORIZHZHIA POWER SUBSTATION ATTACK (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
DEPLOY INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to DETERMINE THE RESPONSIBILITY for the ARTILLERY STRIKE on the POWER SUBSTATION in ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST.
PRIORITIZE IMAGERY INTELLIGENCE and SIGNAL INTELLIGENCE to ANALYZE THE TRAJECTORY of the ARTILLERY SHELLS.
SEEK REPORTS FROM UKRAINIAN SOURCES to DETERMINE IF THE ATTACK WAS AUTHORIZED or a RESULT OF ERROR OR MISCALCULATION.
ASSESS THE EXTENT OF THE DAMAGE and the IMPACT ON POWER SUPPLY to CIVILIANS and MILITARY FACILITIES.
PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL ESCALATION if the ATTACK is CONFIRMED as a DELIBERATE UKRAINIAN STRIKE on CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.
ADDRESS THE CONTINUED THREATS IN THE KHARKIV REGION (HIGH PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):
MAINTAIN HIGH ALERT STATUS for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS in the KHARKIV REGION, particularly near KUPYANSK and VOLCHANSK.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR for DRONE ACTIVITY, including RECONNAISSANCE DRONES that may INDICATE TARGETING FOR FUTURE ATTACKS.
REINFORCE DEFENSIVE POSITIONS near VOLCHANSK and OTHER AREAS where RUSSIAN FORCES are ATTEMPTING TO ADVANCE.
PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL AIR STRIKES from RUSSIAN TACTICAL AVIATION in the NORTHEAST.
MONITOR AND RESPOND TO FIGHTING ACROSS MULTIPLE FRONTS (HIGH PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):
MAINTAIN CLOSE SURVEILLANCE of FIGHTING in the ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION, the KURSK REGION, and the POTENTIAL NEW FRONT in the SUMY REGION.
ASSESS THE INTENSITY OF COMBAT, IDENTIFY KEY OBJECTIVES, and EVALUATE THE RISK OF FURTHER ESCALATION.
ADJUST DEFENSIVE POSITIONS and RESOURCE ALLOCATIONS as NEEDED.
VERIFY REPORTS of FIGHTING NEAR DEMIDOVKA.
**MONITOR THE SITUATION in the KUPYANSK DIRECTION closely, paying PARTICULAR ATTENTION to RUSSIAN ATTEMPTS to DISRUPT UKRAINIAN LOGISTICS.
MAINTAIN EXTREME VIGILANCE AGAINST DRONE ATTACKS (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
MAINTAIN MAXIMUM ALERT STATUS for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across ALL AFFECTED REGIONS, especially KYIV, KYIV OBLAST (including BROVARY/BORYSPIL), RIVNE OBLAST, ZHYTOMYR OBLAST, POLTAVA OBLAST, CHERNIHIV OBLAST, SUMY OBLAST, CHERKASY OBLAST, KROPYVNYTSKYI, KRYVYI RIH, DNIPROPETROVSK OBLAST, and POKROVSK.
PRIORITIZE INTERCEPTING DRONES targeting CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE and POPULATION CENTERS.
CONTINUOUSLY MONITOR DRONE MOVEMENT and ADJUST AIR DEFENSE DEPLOYMENTS accordingly, given the CONSTANT COURSE CHANGES.
CONTINUE ISSUING WARNINGS to CIVILIANS to REMAIN IN SHELTERS.
ADDRESS THE THREAT OF AIR STRIKES (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
ISSUE AIR RAID ALERTS for ALL AREAS at RISK from RUSSIAN TACTICAL AVIATION in the NORTHEAST, DONETSK, and SUMY.
DEPLOY AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS to PROTECT CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE and POPULATION CENTERS.
WARN CIVILIANS to TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.
EXPEDITE TANK DELIVERY (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
EXPLORE ALL OPTIONS to OVERCOME LOGISTICAL HURDLES preventing the DELIVERY OF AUSTRALIAN ABRAMS TANKS.
COORDINATE WITH POLISH AUTHORITIES and CONSIDER PRIVATE CONTRACTORS as ALTERNATIVE SOLUTIONS.
EMPHASIZE THE URGENCY of the SITUATION to ALL STAKEHOLDERS.
INVESTIGATE CLAIMS OF RUSSIAN STRIKES (HIGH PRIORITY):
SEEK CONFIRMATION from INDEPENDENT SOURCES and OFFICIAL STATEMENTS regarding the REPORTED CEASEFIRE PROPOSAL.
ANALYZE ANY POTENTIAL TERMS AND CONDITIONS of a CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT.
ASSESS THE LIKELIHOOD OF SUCCESS given the REPORTED "SIGNIFICANT DISAGREEMENTS" between the PARTIES.
CONTINUE ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS.
The situation remains EXTREMELY CRITICAL due to the combination of the CONTINUED, WIDESPREAD, AND MULTI-DIRECTIONAL DRONE ATTACK, the INCREASED THREAT OF AIR STRIKES, the DELAY IN TANK DELIVERY, and ONGOING FIGHTING on MULTIPLE FRONTS. The CONFIRMED ARTILLERY STRIKE on the ZAPORIZHZHIA POWER SUBSTATION represents a SIGNIFICANT ESCALATION, and DETERMINING RESPONSIBILITY is PARAMOUNT. The POTENTIAL FOR A CEASEFIRE should be MONITORED, but the ONGOING FIGHTING and THREATS require IMMEDIATE AND CONTINUOUS ATTENTION. RAPID RESPONSE, ACCURATE INTELLIGENCE, and CONSTANT VIGILANCE are ABSOLUTELY ESSENTIAL.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs
Two people were killed and 13 were injured in the Zaporizhzhia attack.: 0.9504
The Zaporizhzhia attack resulted in 367 strikes on 13 settlements, using various weapons, including aviation strikes, UAVs, MLRS, and artillery.: 0.7897599999999999
: 0.13824
Damage reports include 74 instances of destruction to residential properties, vehicles, and infrastructure.: 0.02989
Russian forces liberated Sribne in the DPR.: 1.0
Czech President Petr Pavel expressed readiness to send Czech troops as part of a peacekeeping mission to Ukraine.: 0.8
Russian "Inokhodets" and "Forpost" drones destroyed Ukrainian military equipment being evacuated from Kursk Oblast to Ugroedy, Sumy Oblast.: 1.0
Ukrainian 47th OMBR's "Strike Drone Company" may have been moved from Avdiivka to Kursk, and are possibly now in Belgorod.: 0.6
A civilian car was attacked by a Ukrainian drone on the Morozovsk-Tsimlyansk highway, Rostov Oblast, resulting in the death of the driver.: 0.8
There is a ballistic missile threat in areas with air raid alerts.: 0.42
A Ukrainian counter-offensive near Dzerzhinsk was a "catastrophe," with Ukrainian forces being defeated and surrendering.: 0.1
Ukrainian forces in the Kharkiv Operational Zone have destroyed 89 enemies (34 irreversibly) and 149 pieces of equipment, and repelled enemy attacks near Volchansk.: 0.4
The British Prime Minister supports Trump's ideas.: 0.2
US mercenaries are calling for help and surrender in the Kursk region, suggesting a potential encirclement and involvement of elite units.: 0.3
Advances near Nelyubovka, Gogolevka, Sribnoye, and entry into Vladimirovka in the Sumy region.: 0.16
A destroyed Ukrainian M113 APC is seen, and calls for Ukrainian soldiers to surrender are made.: 0.12
A "trusting and constructive" phone call occurred between Putin and Trump, with discussions of a potential meeting requiring complex negotiations.: 0.08
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.0
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 1.0
Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
