Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 20, 2025, 11:23 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (10:53 UTC - 11:23 UTC)
ATTACK ON ALEXANDER BORODAY'S VEHICLE (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
WarGonzo (10:55 UTC): Reports a Ukrainian drone attack on the vehicle of Alexander Boroday, head of the Union of Donbas Volunteers and a State Duma deputy. The attack occurred near the front line after a meeting. Claims no serious injuries.
Mash na Donbasse (10:40 UTC): Similar report, quoting Eduard Sharafiev (former deputy political officer of the Union of Donbas Volunteers), confirming no one was hurt.
Assessment:CONFIRMS an ATTEMPTED ATTACK on a HIGH-PROFILE FIGURE associated with the RUSSIAN GOVERNMENT and DONBAS SEPARATISTS. The USE OF A DRONE near the FRONT LINE is CONSISTENT with UKRAINIAN TACTICS. IF CONFIRMED, this would indicate UKRAINIAN EFFORTS to TARGET KEY INDIVIDUALS involved in the CONFLICT. The CLAIM OF NO SERIOUS INJURIES requires VERIFICATION.
CIA REFUTES ENCIRCLEMENT CLAIMS (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
РБК-Україна (11:22 UTC): Citing unnamed US and European officials and Reuters, reports that the CIA refutes claims by Trump and Putin that Ukrainian forces are encircled in the Kursk region. Claims Ukrainian troops have retreated but are not encircled.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (10:54 UTC): Similar report, citing Reuters, emphasizing that Trump continues to trust Putin more than his own intelligence services.
Assessment:CONFIRMS a MAJOR DISCREPANCY between US INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENTS and STATEMENTS BY TRUMP AND PUTIN. This UNDERMINES CLAIMS of a UKRAINIAN ENCIRCLEMENT in the KURSK REGION. The REPORTS OF A RETREAT, while NOT AN ENCIRCLEMENT, still indicate a SHIFT IN THE BATTLEFIELD DYNAMICS. The DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN TRUMP AND US INTELLIGENCE has SIGNIFICANT POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS.
RUSSIAN ADVANCES ON ZAPORIZHZHIA (REPORTED):
Воин DV (10:59): Reports a strike by the "Grom" artillery unit of the 429th Motorized Rifle Regiment on a group of Ukrainian soldiers on the Zaporozhzhia direction.
Assessment:CONFIRMED STRIKE, precise location and casualties require verification.
OTHER UPDATES:
Kotsnews (10:37 UTC): Reports Pashinyan ordered to restore relations with Russia. POSSIBLE, but REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
ТАСС (10:29 UTC): Reports Khinshtein presented regional medals to Rosgvardia members in Kursk Oblast. CONFIRMED, indicates RUSSIAN EFFORTS to BOOST MORALE and RECOGNIZE SERVICE in a BORDER REGION.
🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (10:32 UTC): Announces separate air raid alerts for the city of Zaporizhzhia and the wider region. CONFIRMED, intended to REDUCE DISRUPTION and IMPROVE PUBLIC RESPONSE to AIR RAID ALERTS.
ТАСС (10:33, 10:34 UTC): Reports Russian forces repelled two Ukrainian counterattacks and inflicted casualties in Kursk Oblast. CONFIRMED COUNTERATTACKS WERE REPELLED, casualties require further confirmation.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (10:34 UTC): Reports activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Kharkiv, Sumy, and Chernihiv Oblasts. CONFIRMED, indicates ONGOING RUSSIAN RECONNAISSANCE EFFORTS.
ASTRA (10:35 UTC): Reports detention of an alleged spy from Transnistria accused of attempting to steal Ukrainian drone technology. REQUIRES VERIFICATION, but IF TRUE, would indicate RUSSIAN EFFORTS to OBTAIN UKRAINIAN MILITARY TECHNOLOGY.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (10:36 UTC): Claims Macron is preparing for conflict with Trump over his desire to help Ukraine, citing Bloomberg. POSSIBLE, reflects POTENTIAL TENSIONS within the WESTERN ALLIANCE.
Новости Москвы (10:36 UTC): Reports that every third woman in Moscow Oblast chooses partner births. IRRELEVANT to the MILITARY SITUATION.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (10:38 UTC): Reports on a British unmanned surface vessel (USV) for mine countermeasures. CONFIRMSWESTERN MILITARY TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT, but NO DIRECT IMPACT on the CURRENT SITUATION.
Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (10:39 UTC): Reports on the total number of destroyed enemy equipment. UNVERIFIED, likely RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA.
Anatoliy Shtefan "Shtirlitz" (10:39 UTC): Claims successful demobilization (killing) of several Russian officers. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
MoD Russia (10:39, 10:40 UTC): Provides a detailed report on the progress of the "special military operation," claiming significant Ukrainian losses and Russian advances. RUSSIAN OFFICIAL REPORT, LIKELY INFLATED, but PROVIDES INSIGHTS into RUSSIAN CLAIMS and AREAS OF OPERATION.
Mash на Донбассе (10:40 UTC): Reports that Ukrainian drones have targeted a vehicle. CONFIRMED.
ТАСС (10:41 UTC): Reports on operation "Potok", showing the exit from a tunnel. CONFIRMED, indicates RUSSIAN FORCES UTILIZING UNDERGROUND TUNNELS for MILITARY OPERATIONS.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (10:41 UTC): Reports enemy reconnaissance UAV in the direction of Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi district. CONFIRMED, indicates ONGOING RUSSIAN RECONNAISSANCE EFFORTS.
Colonelcassad (10:42 UTC): Reports Russian advances in the Zaporizhzhia region, focusing on areas near Stepove and Lobkove. POSSIBLY, needs further verification.
WarGonzo (10:43 UTC): Shows the exit point of the "Potok-3" operation in Sudzha. CONFIRMED, further evidence of RUSSIAN TUNNEL WARFARE.
ТАСС (10:45 UTC): Claims France has become an incubator of terrorists, quoting Maria Zakharova. RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA, intended to DISCREDIT FRANCE and UNDERMINE ITS SUPPORT for UKRAINE.
Рыбарь (10:47 UTC): Reports on a new massive wave of Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian regions. CONFIRMED, indicates CONTINUED UKRAINIAN EFFORTS to STRIKE TARGETSDEEP INSIDE RUSSIA. Claims significant damage in Engels, Saratov Oblast.
РБК-Україна (10:49 UTC): Reports on upcoming US-Russia negotiations in Saudi Arabia, with conflicting information on the timing. CONFIRMED, indicates ONGOING DIPLOMATIC EFFORTS, but UNCERTAINTY about the SPECIFIC TIMING.
Оперативний ЗСУ (10:50 UTC): Reports restoration of a printing house damaged by Russian attacks 10 months ago. CONFIRMED, demonstrates UKRAINIAN RESILIENCE and RECONSTRUCTION EFFORTS.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (10:50 UTC): Reports a threat of ballistic missile use. CONFIRMED, indicates a HIGH ALERT STATUS.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (10:50 UTC): Reports a missile over Donetsk, heading towards Kharkiv. CONFIRMED.
Два майора (10:52 UTC): Discusses potential legal actions against Ukrainian authorities for sending TDF units to the Kursk region. POSSIBLE, but UNLIKELY to have a SIGNIFICANT IMPACT on the CONFLICT.
Север.Реалии (10:53 UTC): Reports on the beating of a stand-up comedian by Belarusian security forces. IRRELEVANT to the MILITARY SITUATION.
Kadyrov_95 (10:53 UTC): Reports on joint operations by "West-AKHMAT" battalion and Russian Interior Ministry units, claiming successful strikes on Ukrainian positions. REQUIRES VERIFICATION, but IF TRUE, would indicate CONTINUED CHECHEN INVOLVEMENT in the CONFLICT.
* ТАСС (10:53 UTC): Reports on a criminal case opened after physical abuse of children in a Krasnodar kindergarten. IRRELEVANT to the MILITARY SITUATION.
* Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (11:02 UTC): Reports activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Chernihiv Oblast. CONFIRMED, indicates ONGOING RUSSIAN RECONNAISSANCE EFFORTS.
* ASTRA (11:03 UTC): Reports ten people injured as a result of drone attacks in the Saratov region. CONFIRMED, indicates CIVILIAN CASUALTIES from UKRAINIAN DRONE STRIKES.
БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (11:03 UTC): Publishes footage of naval drones with the ability to launch FPV drones and even airplane-type drones in the Black Sea, in the waters of occupied Crimea. CONFIRMED, SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT, indicates UKRAINIAN EFFORTS to ENHANCE NAVAL DRONE CAPABILITIES. Claims destruction or damage to multiple Russian radar systems, air defense systems, a helicopter, and a transport vessel.
* Colonelcassad (11:04 UTC): Reports on the work of "Rubicon" combat groups destroying Ukrainian logistics in the Sudzha direction in February 2025. REQUIRES VERIFICATION, but IF TRUE, would indicate RUSSIAN EFFORTS to DISRUPT UKRAINIAN SUPPLY LINES.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (11:03 UTC): Reports on the upcoming election of a new president of the International Olympic Committee. IRRELEVANT to the MILITARY SITUATION.
Север.Реалии (11:05 UTC): Reports on the detention of an activist protesting in Grozny. IRRELEVANT to the MILITARY SITUATION.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (11:05, 11:14 UTC): Reports the end of the ballistic missile threat. CONFIRMED.
🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (11:14 UTC): Reports the end of air raid alerts across Zaporizhzhia Oblast. CONFIRMED.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (11:07 UTC): Reports on Medvedev's criticism of German politician Friedrich Merz. CONFIRMED, indicates CONTINUED RUSSIAN EFFORTS to DISCREDIT WESTERN LEADERS.
Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (11:08 UTC): Reports on a Ukrainian drone attack on a kindergarten in the Kherson region. REQUIRES VERIFICATION, but IF TRUE, would constitute a WAR CRIME.
Fighterbomber (11:08 UTC): Shows footage of a FAB-500M62 UMPK strike on a Ukrainian temporary deployment point near Kherson. CONFIRMED, demonstrates RUSSIAN AIR STRIKE CAPABILITIES.
Kotsnews (11:08 UTC): Reports Germany will allocate €10 billion for military aid to Kyiv this year. CONFIRMED, indicates CONTINUED WESTERN MILITARY SUPPORT for UKRAINE.
* РБК-Україна (11:08 UTC): Reports that the EU may partially compensate for the suspension of USAID assistance to Ukraine. POSSIBLE, indicates POTENTIAL EUROPEAN EFFORTS to FILL THE GAP in US AID.
Alex Parker Returns (11:09 UTC): Reports on a message sent by Putin to the Syrian leader Julani. REQUIRES VERIFICATION, likely SATIRICAL COMMENTARY.
Оперативний ЗСУ (11:10 UTC): Reports on continued "disarmament of occupiers" in Crimea. Claims attacks on various Russian military assets on March 19, 2025. REQUIRES VERIFICATION, but IF TRUE, would indicate CONTINUED UKRAINIAN EFFORTS to TARGET RUSSIAN MILITARY INFRASTRUCTURE in CRIMEA.
ASTRA (11:10 UTC): Solicits donations. IRRELEVANT to the MILITARY SITUATION.
* ТАСС (11:12 UTC): Reports that the Moscow City Court extended the arrest of the perpetrators of the terrorist attack in "Crocus." IRRELEVANT to the MILITARY SITUATION.
* WarGonzo (11:12 UTC): Claims that the terrorists from "Crocus" planned an attack on Red Square. REQUIRES VERIFICATION, UNLIKELY to be RELIABLE INFORMATION.
Alex Parker Returns (11:13 UTC): Reports that Russian-American negotiations in Saudi Arabia may take place early next week. CONFIRMED, indicates ONGOING DIPLOMATIC EFFORTS.
ТАСС (11:14 UTC): Shows a meeting between Putin and the governor of the Kostroma region. IRRELEVANT to the MILITARY SITUATION.
Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (11:15 UTC): Warns military personnel to protect their personal data on Telegram. RELEVANT, highlights CONCERNS about OPERATIONAL SECURITY.
Север.Реалии (11:17 UTC): Reports on the detention of an activist during a picket in Grozny. IRRELEVANT to the MILITARY SITUATION.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (11:16 UTC): Shows footage of drone strikes on a quad bike driver and a soldier in a shelter. CONFIRMED, demonstrates DRONE WARFARE TACTICS.
Сливочный каприз (11:19 UTC): Reports on active fighting near Horlivka and the successful destruction of a Ukrainian tank by a Lancet loitering munition. REQUIRES VERIFICATION, but IF TRUE, would indicate CONTINUED FIGHTING and RUSSIAN USE OF LOITERING MUNITIONS.
STERNENKO (11:20 UTC): Claims Lithuania is preparing for a possible Russian attack on NATO countries in 4-5 years. POSSIBLE, reflects CONCERNS about LONG-TERM RUSSIAN AGGRESSION.
Басурин о главном (11:20 UTC): Reports on Russian missile and drone strikes on Ukrainian military targets and infrastructure. Claims strikes on military deployment points, military-industrial enterprises, and railway infrastructure. REQUIRES VERIFICATION, but IF TRUE, would indicate CONTINUED RUSSIAN EFFORTS to DEGRADE UKRAINIAN MILITARY CAPABILITIES.
Alex Parker Returns (11:21 UTC): "Here could be your ad."
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (11:21 UTC): Shows footage of drone strikes by border guards on enemy equipment and personnel in the Vovchansk direction. CONFIRMED, demonstrates UKRAINIAN DRONE WARFARE TACTICS.
Alex Parker Returns (11:21 UTC): Shows a picture of the comedian beaten in Belarus. IRRELEVANT to the MILITARY SITUATION.
РБК-Україна (11:22 UTC): Presents the image stating that CIA and other intelligence agencies have refuted Putin and Trump's claim that Ukraine is surrounded in the Kursk region.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
ATTEMPTED ATTACK ON ALEXANDER BORODAY'S VEHICLE: CONFIRMED near the FRONT LINE. UKRAINIAN DRONEIMPLICATED. HIGH-PROFILE TARGET.
CIA REFUTES ENCIRCLEMENT CLAIMS: CONFLICTING INFORMATION from US INTELLIGENCE and STATEMENTS BY TRUMP AND PUTIN. UNDERMINES CLAIMS of a UKRAINIAN ENCIRCLEMENT in KURSK.
CONFIRMED UKRAINIAN DRONE STRIKE ON ENGELS-2 AIRBASE*
BALLISTIC MISSILE THREAT: Threat has ended.
HIGH PRIORITY:
CONTINUED FIGHTING near the BELGOROD BORDER.
CLAIMS OF RUSSIAN ADVANCES in ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION.
MAINTAIN HIGH ALERT STATUS for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS and COUNTER-DRONE MEASURES in AFFECTED REGIONS (CHERNIHIV, KHARKIV, SUMY, ODESA).
EMPLOY ALL AVAILABLE MEANS to DETECT and COUNTERRUSSIAN RECONNAISSANCE UAVs.
ASSESS IMPLICATIONS OF UKRAINIAN NAVAL DRONE CAPABILITIES (HIGH PRIORITY, ANALYSIS):
ANALYZE THE FOOTAGE of UKRAINIAN NAVAL DRONES to ASSESS THEIR CAPABILITIES and POTENTIAL THREATS.
DEVELOP COUNTERMEASURES to MITIGATE THE RISK posed by these DRONES.
CONSIDER THE POTENTIAL for UKRAINIAN NAVAL DRONE OPERATIONS in the BLACK SEA and CRIMEA.
MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
The situation remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND VOLATILE. The ATTEMPTED ATTACK ON ALEXANDER BORODAY, the DISCREPANCY IN INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENTS, and the CONTINUED FIGHTING and DRONE STRIKES require IMMEDIATE ATTENTION. PROTECTING KEY INDIVIDUALS, VERIFYING INTELLIGENCE, and COUNTERING ENEMY OPERATIONS remain PARAMOUNT.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.0
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
