Сливочный каприз (10:06 UTC): Reports Russian forces expanded control in BASOVKA by over 1 km, moving south along the eastern bank of the LOKNYA RIVER. Claims the forward Russian position in Basovka's residential area is under Ukrainian fire. Provides geographic coordinates: 51.179695, 35.079609.
Assessment:IF CONFIRMED, this indicates FURTHER RUSSIAN ADVANCES in the KURSK REGION, reinforcing previous reports of incursions. The reported advance along the river suggests a POSSIBLE ATTEMPT to SECURE A FLANK or CREATE A BRIDGEHEAD for FURTHER OPERATIONS.
Сливочный каприз (10:23 UTC): Reports that, following a barrage of attacks, Russian forces have taken up new positions north of NEVSKOE, advancing more than 1 km toward the boundary of DPR and LPR.
Assessment: Indicates that RUSSIAN FORCES have advanced.
DRONE WARFARE, DONETSK REGION (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Народная милиция ДНР (10:00 UTC): VIDEO. Claims Russian UAV operators of the 381st Self-Propelled Artillery Regiment destroyed a Ukrainian L119 howitzer near IVANPOLE.
Assessment:CONFIRMS the use of DRONES to TARGET ARTILLERY, highlighting the CONTINUED IMPORTANCE of COUNTER-BATTERY FIRE. The destruction of an L119, a BRITISH-SUPPLIED HOWITZER, represents a SIGNIFICANT UKRAINIAN LOSS.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (10:07 UTC): VIDEO. Claims to show Russian FPV drone operators hunting Ukrainian equipment.
Assessment: No specific location is mentioned, however this does show the CONTINUED use of FPV DRONES.
MoD Russia (10:28 UTC): VIDEO. Shows assault detachments of the Yug Group of Forces eliminating strongholds of the enemy in the Donetsk direction.
Assessment: Russian forces continue to attack Ukrainian positions.
RUSSIAN ADVANCES, OCHERETYNE DIRECTION (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED):
ASTRA (10:07 UTC): Relatives of the servicemen claim that OCHERETYNE is under RUSSIAN CONTROL.
Два майора (10:03 UTC): VIDEO. Advertisement for the Nabut V.2.C Drone detector, which has a detection range of 700-6200 Mhz, and has reportedly undergone durability tests.
Assessment: Confirms the use of drones on the battlefield.
Alex Parker Returns (10:14 UTC): IMAGE. Claims to show the location where Ukrainian forces attempted a breakthrough into BELGOROD OBLAST in the morning. Claims a combined Ukrainian BTG of infantry, tanks, and artillery support attempted the incursion, but the equipment was destroyed, though the infantry managed to dismount. Claims fighting is ongoing.
Assessment:REINFORCES PREVIOUS REPORTS of UKRAINIAN INCURSIONS into BELGOROD OBLAST. The CLAIM OF A COMBINED ARMS ATTACK suggests a MORE SOPHISTICATED OPERATION than previously reported. URGENT VERIFICATION is NEEDED.
✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 (10:29 UTC): VIDEO. Shows footage from the "Sons of Hors" unit of the 128th Mountain Assault Brigade, claiming to show the destruction of Russian forces near MALI SHCHERBAKY. Claims Russian forces have been attempting to breach Ukrainian defenses in the Piatykhatky-Mali Shcherbaky area since early March, primarily with infantry assaults.
Assessment:CONFIRMSINTENSE FIGHTING in the ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION and HIGHLIGHTS UKRAINIAN RESISTANCE. The CLAIMED USE OF PREDOMINANTLY INFANTRY by RUSSIA suggests POSSIBLE LIMITATIONS in ARMORED VEHICLE AVAILABILITY or a TACTICAL CHOICE to CONSERVE ARMOR.
OTHER DEVELOPMENTS:
Alex Parker Returns (10:18 UTC): Claims that Ukraine denies attempting to break through in BELGOROD OBLAST, calling such reports routine and suggesting they are intended to accuse Ukraine of hindering peace negotiations.
Assessment:HIGHLIGHTS THE ONGOING INFORMATION WAR and MUTUALLY CONTRADICTORY CLAIMS from BOTH SIDES.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
POSSIBLE UKRAINIAN LONG-RANGE STRIKE on MULINO, RUSSIA. URGENT VERIFICATION NEEDED.
CONFIRMED RUSSIAN ADVANCE in the ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION (UNCHANGED).
INTENSE FIGHTING near the BELGOROD BORDER, with a NEW REPORT of a UKRAINIAN COMBINED ARMS INCURSION ATTEMPT.
INTENSE FIGHTING near the KURSK BORDER, with CLAIMED CAPTURE OF A US-SUPPLIED M1 ABRAMS TANK near ZAOLESHENKA, KURSK OBLAST. THIS SUGGESTS A LARGER-SCALE UKRAINIAN INCURSION INTO THE KURSK REGION THAN PREVIOUSLY ASSESSED.
NEW RUSSIAN ADVANCE reported near BASOVKA.
NEW RUSSIAN ADVANCE reported north of NEVSKOE.
HIGH PRIORITY:
RUSSIAN FORCES advance near OCHERETYNE.
CONFIRMED DRONE STRIKE on KYIV SCHOOL, with VIDEO EVIDENCE of WRECKAGE.
CONFIRMED DRONE STRIKES throughout UKRAINE.
CONFIRMED use of drones by both sides.
* INTENSE FIGHTING AND CLAIMED UKRAINIAN COUNTERATTACKS near MALI SHCHERBAKY.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
WIDESPREAD FIGHTING across MULTIPLE FRONTS (UNCHANGED).
UKRAINIAN WITHDRAWAL, in order to save soldiers.
Updated Recommendations
VERIFY THE MULINO STRIKE (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
ADDRESS THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE IN ZAPORIZHZHIA (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
REINFORCE UKRAINIAN DEFENSES in the MALI SHCHERBAKY area, given the REPORTED INTENSITY OF FIGHTING and CLAIMED RUSSIAN ATTEMPTS to BREACH THE DEFENSIVE LINE.
ASSESS THE POSSIBILITY of RUSSIAN FORCES USING PREDOMINANTLY INFANTRY due to EQUIPMENT SHORTAGES or TACTICAL DECISIONS. ADJUST DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES ACCORDINGLY.
ADDRESS THE BELGOROD/KURSK BORDER SITUATION (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
URGENTLY INVESTIGATE the REPORT of a UKRAINIAN COMBINED ARMS INCURSION ATTEMPT in BELGOROD OBLAST. GATHER INTELLIGENCE on the SIZE, COMPOSITION, and OBJECTIVES of the UKRAINIAN FORCE.
ASSESS THE EXTENT OF DAMAGE to RUSSIAN FORCES and EQUIPMENT.
MONITOR RUSSIAN MEDIA and SOCIAL MEDIA for REPORTS of FIGHTING and CASUALTIES.
MAINTAIN MONITORING OF FIGHTING ACROSS MULTIPLE FRONTS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
ADDRESS THE KYIV SCHOOL INCIDENT (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
INVESTIGATE REPORTS OF VIOLENCE AND DAMAGE (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL ESCALATIONS (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to verify reports of advances near BASOVKA and north of NEVSKOE.
IMMEDIATELY RE-EVALUATE UKRAINIAN FORCE DISPOSITIONS and POTENTIAL INTENTIONS in the reported regions.
The situation remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND HIGHLY DYNAMIC. Reports of Russian advances in multiple areas require immediate verification. The claimed Ukrainian long range drone strike is still the highest priority for investigation.
