ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (09:33 UTC): PHOTO. Claims Ukrainian UAVs struck the 333rd Combat Training Center in MULINO, NIZHNY NOVGOROD OBLAST, RUSSIA. Claims the strike hit the main pavilion's corner, where interactive shooting ranges and armored vehicle simulators are located.
Assessment:IF CONFIRMED, this represents a SIGNIFICANT UKRAINIAN LONG-RANGE STRIKE CAPABILITY, hitting a MAJOR RUSSIAN MILITARY TRAINING FACILITYDEEP WITHIN RUSSIAN TERRITORY. This would DEMONSTRATE UKRAINE'S ABILITY to PROJECT POWER far BEYOND THE FRONT LINES and TARGET CRITICAL MILITARY INFRASTRUCTURE. URGENT VERIFICATION is CRITICAL.
Старше Эдды (09:34 UTC): Claims Ukrainian forces attacked in the KRASNOYARUZHSKY DISTRICT, BELGOROD OBLAST, RUSSIA, to coincide with the planned Putin-Trump phone call. Claims Russian forces repelled the attack.
WarGonzo (09:22 UTC): Claims that the current incursion on Belgorod is an attempt to win time for the defense of the Kursk region.
Assessment: This REINFORCES PREVIOUS REPORTS of UKRAINIAN INCURSIONS into BELGOROD OBLAST. The TIMING, linked to the PUTIN-TRUMP CALL, suggests a POSSIBLE ATTEMPT by UKRAINE to INFLUENCE NEGOTIATIONS or DEMONSTRATE CONTINUED MILITARY CAPABILITY. FURTHER VERIFICATION is NEEDED.
БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (09:35 UTC): Reports drone strike near a howitzer, claiming multiple pieces of equipment were targeted, along with a location where operators are concentrated.
Assessment: Needs verification.
CLAIMED DAMAGE TO CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCES):
MoD Russia (09:04 UTC): VIDEO. Shows the use of thermal cameras to identify and target enemy positions, followed by explosions targeting them.
Assessment: Demonstrates the destruction of enemy assets.
ТАСС (09:04 UTC): Reports on Russian MoD statements claiming destruction of Ukrainian oil infrastructure facilities.
OTHER DEVELOPMENTS:
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (09:05 UTC): Reports activity of Russian tactical aviation in the east, with a threat of airstrikes.
Assessment: An ongoing concern.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (09:24 UTC): Reports that guided bombs were used on Donetsk.
Assessment: Confirmed.
Два майора (09:10 UTC): PHOTO. Claims to show the current state of MALAYA LOKNYA, KURSK OBLAST, after its claimed liberation by Russian forces, describing it as a key logistics point for Ukrainian forces.
Assessment:IF AUTHENTIC, this FURTHER SUPPORTS RUSSIAN CLAIMS of ADVANCES in the KURSK REGION.
Colonelcassad (09:11 UTC): PHOTO. Claims to show a captured US-supplied M1 ABRAMS TANK near ZAOLESHENKA, KURSK OBLAST. Claims the tank belonged to the 47th Mechanized Brigade and is severely damaged. MULTIPLE PHOTOS.
Assessment:IF AUTHENTIC AND GEOLOCATED, this represents a MAJOR UKRAINIAN LOSS and a SIGNIFICANT PROPAGANDA VICTORY for RUSSIA. It also STRONGLY SUGGESTS a WIDER UKRAINIAN PRESENCE in the KURSK REGION than previously assessed, and FURTHER CONFIRMS RUSSIAN CLAIMS of a UKRAINIAN INCURSION in that area. URGENT VERIFICATION of the LOCATION and AUTHENTICITY of the photos is CRITICAL.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (09:08) Believes that the attack's goal is to draw forces from the Kursk region to aid in the defense of the Belgorod region.
Assessment: The purpose of the attack could potentially be to influence a meeting between Putin and Trump.
Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (09:20 UTC): VIDEO. Shows a destroyed soldier in a cemetery.
Assessment:HIGHLIGHTS THE ONGOING BRUTALITY OF THE CONFLICT.
Два майора (09:19 UTC): Reports on a Ukrainian prisoner.
Assessment: Likely propaganda.
Басурин о главном (09:22 UTC): Reports on a showman who supposedly betrayed his country.
Assessment: Likely propaganda.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
POSSIBLE UKRAINIAN LONG-RANGE STRIKE on MULINO, RUSSIA. URGENT VERIFICATION NEEDED.
CONFIRMED RUSSIAN ADVANCE in the ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION (UNCHANGED).
INTENSE FIGHTING near the BELGOROD BORDER, with CLAIMED CAPTURE OF A US-SUPPLIED M1 ABRAMS TANK near ZAOLESHENKA, KURSK OBLAST. THIS SUGGESTS A LARGER-SCALE UKRAINIAN INCURSION INTO THE KURSK REGION THAN PREVIOUSLY ASSESSED.
HIGH PRIORITY:
CONFIRMED DRONE STRIKE on KYIV SCHOOL, with VIDEO EVIDENCE of WRECKAGE.
CONFIRMED DRONE STRIKES throughout UKRAINE.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
WIDESPREAD FIGHTING across MULTIPLE FRONTS (UNCHANGED).
UKRAINIAN WITHDRAWAL, in order to save soldiers.
Updated Recommendations
VERIFY THE MULINO STRIKE (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE ASSETS (satellite imagery, human intelligence, signals intelligence) to CONFIRM or REFUTE the CLAIMED STRIKE on the 333RD COMBAT TRAINING CENTER in MULINO.
ASSESS THE EXTENT OF DAMAGE, IF CONFIRMED.
DETERMINE THE TYPE OF WEAPON USED (UAV type, missile type, etc.).
INVESTIGATE THE LAUNCH ORIGIN of the UAV/MISSILE.
ADDRESS THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE IN ZAPORIZHZHIA (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
ADDRESS THE BELGOROD/KURSK BORDER SITUATION (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
URGENTLY VERIFY the LOCATION and AUTHENTICITY of the CLAIMED CAPTURED M1 ABRAMS TANK.
DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to ASSESS THE SCALE and OBJECTIVES of the UKRAINIAN INCURSION into the KURSK REGION.
IMMEDIATELY RE-EVALUATE UKRAINIAN FORCE DISPOSITIONS and POTENTIAL INTENTIONS in the KURSK REGION.
PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL FURTHER UKRAINIAN INCURSIONS along the ENTIRE BORDER.
**MONITOR for further attempts.
MAINTAIN MONITORING OF FIGHTING ACROSS MULTIPLE FRONTS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
ADDRESS THE KYIV SCHOOL INCIDENT (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
INVESTIGATE REPORTS OF VIOLENCE AND DAMAGE (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL ESCALATIONS (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
The situation remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND HIGHLY DYNAMIC. The CLAIMED UKRAINIAN STRIKE on MULINO, IF CONFIRMED, represents a MAJOR ESCALATION and DEMONSTRATES A SIGNIFICANT UKRAINIAN LONG-RANGE STRIKE CAPABILITY. URGENT VERIFICATION is ABSOLUTELY CRITICAL. The CLAIMED CAPTURE of a US-SUPPLIED M1 ABRAMS TANK in the KURSK REGION, IF CONFIRMED, represents a MAJOR DEVELOPMENT and SUGGESTS A SIGNIFICANTLY WIDER UKRAINIAN INCURSION than previously understood. URGENT VERIFICATION and RE-ASSESSMENT of the situation in the KURSK REGION are ABSOLUTELY CRITICAL.
