Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 18, 2025, 09:32 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (09:01 UTC - 09:32 UTC)
RUSSIAN ADVANCE IN ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
No new significant updates within this timeframe. The situation remains highly critical as previously assessed.
CLAIMED FIGHTING NEAR BELGOROD BORDER (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
Colonelcassad (09:11 UTC): PHOTO. Claims to show a captured US-supplied M1 ABRAMS TANK near ZAOLESHENKA, KURSK OBLAST. Claims the tank belonged to the 47th Mechanized Brigade and is severely damaged. MULTIPLE PHOTOS.
Assessment:IF AUTHENTIC AND GEOLOCATED, this represents a MAJOR UKRAINIAN LOSS and a SIGNIFICANT PROPAGANDA VICTORY for RUSSIA. It also STRONGLY SUGGESTS a WIDER UKRAINIAN PRESENCE in the KURSK REGION than previously assessed, and FURTHER CONFIRMS RUSSIAN CLAIMS of a UKRAINIAN INCURSION in that area. URGENT VERIFICATION of the LOCATION and AUTHENTICITY of the photos is CRITICAL.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (09:08) Believes that the attack's goal is to draw forces from the Kursk region to aid in the defense of the Belgorod region.
Assessment: The purpose of the attack could potentially be to influence a meeting between Putin and Trump.
KYIV SCHOOL INCIDENT UPDATE (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCES):
Оперативний ЗСУ (09:30 UTC): VIDEO. Shows wreckage of what is claimed to be a downed UAV that impacted a school in KYIV's DESNIANSKYI DISTRICT.
Assessment:CONFIRMS the DRONE STRIKE and provides VISUAL EVIDENCE of the WRECKAGE.
OTHER DEVELOPMENTS:
ТАСС (09:04 UTC): Reports on Russian MoD statements claiming destruction of Ukrainian oil infrastructure facilities.
MoD Russia (09:04 UTC): VIDEO. Shows the use of thermal cameras to identify and target enemy positions, followed by explosions targeting them.
Assessment: Demonstrates the destruction of enemy assets.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (09:05 UTC): Reports activity of Russian tactical aviation in the east, with a threat of airstrikes.
Assessment: An ongoing concern.
Два майора (09:10 UTC): PHOTO. Claims to show the current state of MALAYA LOKNYA, KURSK OBLAST, after its claimed liberation by Russian forces, describing it as a key logistics point for Ukrainian forces.
Assessment:IF AUTHENTIC, this FURTHER SUPPORTS RUSSIAN CLAIMS of ADVANCES in the KURSK REGION.
WarGonzo (09:22 UTC): Claims that the current incursion on Belgorod is an attempt to win time for the defense of the Kursk region.
* Assessment: This would be consistent with previous attempts to win time.
Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (09:20 UTC): VIDEO. Shows a destroyed soldier in a cemetery.
* Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (09:20): Claims that Ukraine is withdrawing forces from some areas in order to save soldiers.
* Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (09:30 UTC): VIDEO. Claims that Russian drones are destroying enemy armor in the Southern Donetsk direction.
* *Assessment:* *HIGHLIGHTS THE ONGOING BRUTALITY OF THE CONFLICT*.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
CONFIRMED RUSSIAN ADVANCE in the ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION (UNCHANGED).
INTENSE FIGHTING near the BELGOROD BORDER, with CLAIMED CAPTURE OF A US-SUPPLIED M1 ABRAMS TANK near ZAOLESHENKA, KURSK OBLAST. THIS SUGGESTS A LARGER-SCALE UKRAINIAN INCURSION INTO THE KURSK REGION THAN PREVIOUSLY ASSESSED.
HIGH PRIORITY:
CONFIRMED DRONE STRIKE on KYIV SCHOOL, with VIDEO EVIDENCE of WRECKAGE.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
WIDESPREAD FIGHTING across MULTIPLE FRONTS (UNCHANGED).
UKRAINIAN FORCESACTIVELY DEFENDING.
Updated Recommendations
ADDRESS THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE IN ZAPORIZHZHIA (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
ADDRESS THE BELGOROD/KURSK BORDER SITUATION (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
URGENTLY VERIFY the LOCATION and AUTHENTICITY of the CLAIMED CAPTURED M1 ABRAMS TANK.
DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to ASSESS THE SCALE and OBJECTIVES of the UKRAINIAN INCURSION into the KURSK REGION.
IMMEDIATELY RE-EVALUATE UKRAINIAN FORCE DISPOSITIONS and POTENTIAL INTENTIONS in the KURSK REGION.
PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL FURTHER UKRAINIAN INCURSIONS along the ENTIRE BORDER.
**MONITOR for further attempts.
MAINTAIN MONITORING OF FIGHTING ACROSS MULTIPLE FRONTS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
ADDRESS THE KYIV SCHOOL INCIDENT (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
INVESTIGATE REPORTS OF VIOLENCE AND DAMAGE (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL ESCALATIONS (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS.
MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
The situation remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND HIGHLY DYNAMIC. The CLAIMED CAPTURE of a US-SUPPLIED M1 ABRAMS TANK in the KURSK REGION, IF CONFIRMED, represents a MAJOR DEVELOPMENT and SUGGESTS A SIGNIFICANTLY WIDER UKRAINIAN INCURSION than previously understood. URGENT VERIFICATION and RE-ASSESSMENT of the situation in the KURSK REGION are ABSOLUTELY CRITICAL.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 1.0
Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.93
A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.63
Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
The application facilitates improved control and tracking of civilian firearms, potentially impacting military strategies for maintaining public order.: 0.32
The application poses geolocation risks if not adequately secured, which could indirectly affect military security.: 0.24
The application could be used to assess and potentially mobilize armed civilians in support of military operations.: 0.16
The application's permit ordering system enhances bureaucratic efficiency but has minimal direct impact on military operations.: 0.08
Russian forces (Rubicon battle groups) are destroying Ukrainian logistics on the Sudzha-Yunakivka road.: 0.8
Soldiers of the 9th regiment have retrieved the body of their commander, Sergey Chebnev, who died in August: 0.7
800 Russian soldiers used a gas pipeline to infiltrate Ukrainian positions near Sudzha.: 0.89
Russian forces (Sever Group) liberated the settlements of Kositsa, Malaya Loknya, and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye: 0.75
Russia claims to have destroyed more than 340 troops, two tanks, seven infantry fighting vehicles, five armoured personnel carriers, ten armoured fighting vehicles, 13 motor vehicles, three self-propelled artillery systems, eight field artillery guns, one AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery warfare station, an engineering vehicle, as well as six UAV command posts, and an ammunition depot. Two AFU servicemen surrendered.: 0.7
Russian forces liberated Rubanshchina and Zaoleshenka: 1.0
Four drones were intercepted over the Moscow region.: 0.9
Conflicting reports of Ukrainian shelling during the evacuation in the Kursk region: 0.6
Russian forces advanced 1.5km near Kupyansk: 0.4
Four drones were destroyed by air defenses in Obninsk: 0.8
Russian forces liberated Rubanshchina and Zaoleshenka: 1.0
UKRAINIAN FORCES* are BLOCKED in the KURSK REGION: 0.78
Russian forces struck infrastructure supporting the military of Ukraine.: 0.99999999999999
A Ukrainian MiG-29 was shot down.: 0.999999999999
Russian forces used an FPV to strike a M777 howitzer.: 0.88
Hungary is calling for peace in Europe.: 0.7
Hungary does not want Ukraine to be accepted to the EU.: 0.89
Russian forces are making advances towards Zaoleshenka.: 0.8
Another US mercenary was killed: 0.7
Three people were injured in a car accident.: 0.7
The 50-year-old driver resisted arrest.: 0.8
The car crash in Belgrade may be related to the war.: 0.1
Ukrainian forces successfully destroyed a group of three Russian soldiers using drones.: 0.9
Eleven years have passed since the occupation of Crimea.: 0.6
Crimea has become a transit zone instead of a tourist region.: 0.7
There is a lack of rule of law in Crimea.: 0.6
Over half a million Russians have relocated to Crimea.: 0.6
Ukrainian commanders have ordered their troops to kill everyone in the Kursk region.: 0.8
Russian forces (810th Marine Brigade) captured Ukrainian soldiers in Kurilovka near Sudzha.: 0.8
The captured Ukrainian soldiers were retreating.: 0.8
Many Ukrainian soldiers were wounded during the retreat.: 0.7
The Ukrainian forces were ordered to stay on their positions and watch.: 0.8
The Ukrainian forces needed a radio and 21 boxes of 20 bullets each.: 0.9999999999999
Russian forces used a complex strike to destroy two Ukrainian assault groups, vehicles, and communication assets.: 0.8
Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian cargo vehicle.: 0.9
Russian forces destroyed three Ukrainian assault groups and vehicles equipped with EW systems.: 0.8
Russian drones destroyed an artillery piece and several Ukrainian vehicles.: 0.8
275 civilians were evacuated from Kursk area.: 0.8
Most of the evacuated civilians were elders.: 0.8
Volunteers are providing humanitarian aid to remaining civilians.: 0.7
Downtown Sudzha has been heavily damaged.: 0.8
A Ukrainian missile strike destroyed the Sudzha local history museum, killing one and injuring two.: 0.9
Russian forces are clearing Zaoleshenka and Goncharovka.: 0.6
Engineering units of the Russian Armed Forces have begun demining the liberated areas of the Kursk region.: 0.7
Entry to 122 settlements in the Kursk region is temporarily closed.: 0.8
Ukrainian forces left weapons and equipment during their retreat from Sudzha.: 0.8
Some Ukrainian soldiers are trying to hide by pretending to be civilians.: 0.8
A "Drone-Con" competition is being organized.: 0.8
The US is likely to cut funding to "Radio Liberty" and "Voice of America".: 0.7
Russian forces (Sever Grouping) defeated two Ukrainian mechanized brigades near Volchansk and Liptsy.: 0.99999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces lost 45 soldiers, four vehicles, an artillery piece, and an electronic reconnaissance station.: 0.8
The Russian "West" grouping improved its tactical position.: 0.99999999999999
Ukrainian losses in the "West" grouping's area include over 255 soldiers, four armored vehicles (including a US Bradley and an Austrian Pinzgauer Vector), two pickups, four artillery pieces, and three ammunition depots.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
RUSSIAN FORCES APPEAR TO HAVE CAPTURED SUDZHA**, with *MULTIPLE
A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
The fire at the refinery was caused by a: 0.6
Russian forces are making tactical advances towards Zaoleshenka.: 0.85
A US mercenary was killed near Kupyansk.: 0.7
Intense fighting continues near Grafovka-Prileśe, with a focus on a Ukrainian incursion attempt.: 0.9
Russian forces captured Stepovoye.: 1.0
Russian forces are making advances towards Lobkove and Maly Shcherbaky.: 0.9
Russian forces claim to have partial control of Maly Shcherbaky and are approaching Orikhiv from two sides.: 0.8
Ukrainian forces are actively defending across multiple fronts.: 0.7
A school in Kyiv's Desnianskyi district was impacted by drone debris, with students confirmed safe in shelters.: 0.9
A fire was reported in Kyiv's Darnitsky district.: 0.8
Ukrainian forces attempted to breach the Belgorod border with tanks and infantry, resulting in losses, with video evidence of burning equipment.: 0.9
Fighting occurred near Grafovka-Prileśe in the Belgorod region, near the border with Kursk Oblast, around 7 AM.: 0.8
Ukrainian engineering vehicles were used to clear a border section before the attack.: 0.7
Three Ukrainian tanks, several BMPs, and ATVs were destroyed in the fighting.: 0.6
Video evidence is consistent with Russian claims of the Ukrainian
