Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 17, 2025, 18:31 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (18:01 UTC - 18:31 UTC)
CONTINUED WIDESPREAD DRONE ATTACK (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (18:07 UTC): Provides updated information on the movement of enemy attack UAVs:
UAVs in the southeast of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, heading north/northwest.
UAVs in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, heading west/northwest.
UAVs on the border of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts, heading west/southwest.
UAVs in Sumy Oblast (south of Sumy), heading southwest.
Assessment: This reinforces the EXTREME THREAT posed by the ONGOING DRONE ATTACK. The MULTIPLE DIRECTIONS of APPROACH suggest attempts to OVERWHELM UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSES.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (18:07 UTC): Warns of a drone threat in Poltava Oblast.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (18:13 UTC): Warns of a drone threat in Kirovohrad Oblast.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (18:22 UTC): New group of drones on southwest of Dnipropetrovsk.
* Assessment: This demonstrates the CONTINUED, EVOLVING THREAT and the SCALE of the ATTACK.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (18:17 UTC): Reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the eastern direction and a threat of the use of air-launched weapons.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (18:18 UTC): A high-speed target was heading towards Kharkiv from the north.
* Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (18:20 UTC): Reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on the border of Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (18:28 UTC): Reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the North-Eastern direction and the threat of guided bombs on Sumy.
* Assessment: This indicates a SIGNIFICANT ESCALATION in the AIR THREAT, with MULTIPLE POTENTIAL ATTACK VECTORS. The USE OF GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS is particularly CONCERNING due to their DESTRUCTIVE POWER.
CLAIMED UKRAINIAN STRIKE ON OIL REFINERY (UPDATE, HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
ASTRA (18:23 UTC): Claims a new Ukrainian long-range missile, "Long Neptune," with a range of over 1000 km, may have been used in a strike on an oil refinery in Tuapse on March 14th. Reports a fire at the refinery covering over 1000 sq m. Quotes Zelensky stating the missile "passed tests" and was "successfully used."
Assessment:Clarifies the POTENTIAL STRIKE was MARCH 14, not MARCH 17. The CLAIM of a NEW LONG-RANGE MISSILE remains SIGNIFICANT and REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
Дневник Десантника (18:28 UTC): Claims Ukrainian forces lost approximately 500 pieces of equipment and weapons in the Kursk border area, including American Abrams tanks, Bradley fighting vehicles, and M-777 howitzers. Claims Ukrainian forces abandoned equipment during a rapid retreat.
Assessment: This is a SIGNIFICANT CLAIM of MAJOR UKRAINIAN LOSSES, intended to portray a ROUT of UKRAINIAN FORCES. INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION is URGENTLY NEEDED. This report, IF TRUE, would represent a MAJOR SETBACK for UKRAINE and a SIGNIFICANT PROPAGANDA VICTORY for RUSSIA. The specificity of the claimed losses (Abrams, Bradleys, M-777s) makes this MORE CONCERNING than general claims.
"Зона СВО" (18:18 UTC): Lists Russian units supposedly involved in driving Ukrainian forces out of the Kursk region: ODSHBR "Veterans," Akhmat special forces, 11th Airborne Assault Brigade, DSHBR "Vostok," 30th Motorized Rifle Regiment, Marines, and 106th Airborne Division.
Николаевский Ванёк (18:19 UTC): Reports six drones from the Black Sea flying towards Pivdennyi.
🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) (18:09 UTC): Reports Ukrainian air defenses destroyed three drones over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
Assessment: This confirms WIDESPREAD DRONE ACTIVITY across UKRAINE, with MULTIPLE INBOUND DRONES from the BLACK SEA and MOVEMENT across SEVERAL REGIONS. This indicates a LARGE-SCALE DRONE ATTACK is UNDERWAY, posing a SIGNIFICANT THREAT to MULTIPLE AREAS.
RUSSIAN CLAIMS OF BRIDGE DESTRUCTION (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Colonelcassad (18:02 UTC): Shows video and images of a destroyed bridge over the Konka River in Kherson Oblast.
Assessment: This report aligns with a previous report.
ALLEGED VIDEO OF UKRAINIAN WITHDRAWAL (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE, LIKELY PROPAGANDA):
"Зона СВО" (18:14 UTC): Claims to show a video of Ukrainian forces retreating from the Kursk region under fire.
Assessment: Video shows an area of conflict.
OTHER REPORTS (MIXED RELIABILITY):
Воин DV (18:02 UTC): Claims Putin stated the Trump administration is doing everything to restore relations between Russia and the US. Claims Yuri Ushakov stated European leaders are calling for peace in Ukraine because they are acting like "lapdogs" to Trump.
Zelenskiy/Official: Claims Russia continues attacks.
УНИАН (18:02): Claims that Italy will not be part of a 'peacekeeping' mission.
Fox News: Claims Macron states Russia must take the 30-day ceasefire.
РИА Новости (18:02 UTC): Claims Marco Rubio stated the EU supports new sanctions against Russia, but the US does not want to impose them now, hoping to engage both sides in a peace process. Claims Rubio stated Ukrainian security issues can only be addressed after a ceasefire agreement.
Colonelcassad (18:15 UTC): Claims destruction of Ukrainian vehicles and ammunition with an anti-tank mine near Gogolevka in the Kursk region.
Дневник Десантника (18:28 UTC): Summary of operations for March 15. Claims Russian advances in various locations, including Vasukovka, Shevchenko, Uspenovka, Stepovoye, and near Malyye Shcherbaki. Claims Russian forces liberated Rubanshchina and Zaoleshenka in the Kursk region. Claims a New Zealand mercenary fighting for Ukraine was killed.
Оперативний ЗСУ (18:26 UTC): Reports US avoided shutdown.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
MASSIVE, MULTI-DIRECTIONAL DRONE ATTACK CONTINUES ACROSS UKRAINE.MULTIPLE WAVES and TARGETS. KYIV, KHARKIV, POLTAVA, KIROVOHRAD and CHERNIHIV are under IMMEDIATE THREAT. DRONE MOVEMENTS CONFIRMED ACROSS A WIDE AREA.
INCREASED THREAT OF MISSILE AND GUIDED AERIAL BOMB ATTACKS from MULTIPLE DIRECTIONS, particularly SUMY and KHARKIV OBLASTS.
CLAIMS OF MAJOR UKRAINIAN LOSSES in KURSK REGION, including ABRAMS TANKS, BRADLEY FIGHTING VEHICLES, and M-777 HOWITZERS. URGENT VERIFICATION NEEDED.
POTENTIAL UKRAINIAN LONG-RANGE MISSILE STRIKE on OIL REFINERY in TUAPSE on March 14, possibly using a NEW "LONG NEPTUNE" MISSILE. CRITICAL TO VERIFY.
HIGH PRIORITY:
CONTINUED FIGHTING and REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCES in the KURSK REGION.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
REPORTS OF BRIDGE DESTRUCTION over the KONKA RIVER in KHERSON OBLAST.
CLAIMS OF UKRAINIAN WITHDRAWAL FROM KURSK REGION UNDER FIRE. LIKELY PROPAGANDA.
Updated Recommendations
COUNTER THE ONGOING DRONE ATTACK (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
MAINTAIN MAXIMUM ALERT STATUS for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across ALL AFFECTED REGIONS, with PARTICULAR FOCUS ON KYIV, KHARKIV, POLTAVA, KIROVOHRAD AND CHERNIHIV.
PRIORITIZE INTERCEPTING DRONES targeting CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE and POPULATION CENTERS.
DEPLOY COUNTER-DRONE MEASURES as AVAILABLE.
ISSUE/MAINTAIN WARNINGS to CIVILIANS in AFFECTED AREAS, especially KYIV and other MAJOR CITIES, to SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.
PRIORITIZE THE PROTECTION OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.
MONITOR DRONE MOVEMENTS and ADJUST DEFENSES accordingly, using ALL AVAILABLE TRACKING DATA.
COORDINATE AIR DEFENSE EFFORTS between DIFFERENT REGIONS to OPTIMIZE COVERAGE.
PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL MISSILE AND GUIDED BOMB ATTACKS, especially in SUMY and KHARKIV OBLASTS.
VERIFY CLAIMS OF MAJOR UKRAINIAN LOSSES (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
URGENTLY GATHER INTELLIGENCE to CONFIRM OR REFUTE the REPORTED LOSSES of ABRAMS TANKS, BRADLEY FIGHTING VEHICLES, and M-777 HOWITZERS.
Use ALL AVAILABLE SOURCES, including HUMAN INTELLIGENCE, SIGNAL INTELLIGENCE, IMAGERY INTELLIGENCE, and OPEN-SOURCE INTELLIGENCE (OSINT).
PRIORITIZEIMAGERY INTELLIGENCE to VISUALLY CONFIRM the PRESENCE OF DESTROYED OR ABANDONED EQUIPMENT.
IF CONFIRMED, ASSESS THE IMPACT on UKRAINIAN COMBAT CAPABILITY and ADJUST STRATEGY ACCORDINGLY.
MONITOR the REPORTED VIDEO of UKRAINIAN WITHDRAWAL, but TREAT IT WITH EXTREME CAUTION as it is LIKELY PROPAGANDA.
MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
The situation remains EXTREMELY CRITICAL AND DYNAMIC. The MASSIVE, ONGOING DRONE ATTACK and INCREASED THREAT OF MISSILE/GUIDED BOMB ATTACKS across UKRAINE is the MOST IMMEDIATE CONCERN. KYIV and KHARKIV are under PARTICULARLY HIGH THREAT. The CLAIMS OF MAJOR UKRAINIAN LOSSES in the KURSK REGION and the POTENTIAL UKRAINIAN LONG-RANGE MISSILE STRIKE on the OIL REFINERY in TUAPSEON MARCH 14 are POTENTIALLY GAME-CHANGING DEVELOPMENTS that REQUIRE URGENT VERIFICATION. RAPID ACTION, EFFECTIVE INTELLIGENCE GATHERING, and CLOSE COORDINATION are ESSENTIAL.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.899999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 1.0
Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
The new Canadian Prime Minister
Qatar supports initiatives to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, according to the Qatari Ministry of Foreign Affairs.: 0.9
The Ukrainian General Staff has confirmed the loss of Sudzha, now under Russian control.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russian Drone operators struck a temporary deployment point in Razliv.: 0.899999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Enemy tactical aviation activity in the north, with threat of airborne weapons.: 0.8
Hull Daily Mail claimed 70,000 Ukrainian soldiers have been killed in the Kursk direction.: 0.1
A Leopard tank was destroyed by Russian drone operators in the south-donetsk direction.: 0.7
A MaxxPro armored vehicle was destroyed by Russian drone operators in the south-donetsk direction.: 0.7
A Russian "Vandal" drone destroyed a Ukrainian "wooden" armored vehicle.: 0.6
Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk region.: 0.4
The Russian Air Force used a FAB-3000 bomb to destroy a Ukrainian fortified position in the Kursk direction.: 0.8
A Russian infantry attack towards Veseloe.: 0.65
Russian advances on the Burlatskoe-Skudnoe line, extending control by up to 2.5 km.: 0.8
In the Kharkiv Direction, units of the "North" group of troops inflicted damage on formations of the assault battalion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the border detachment of the Ukrainian Border Guard Service in the areas of the settlements of Perovskoe and Kazachya Lopan in the Kharkiv region.: 0.7
The Ukrainian Armed Forces lost up to 70 servicemen, six vehicles, four artillery pieces, and an electronic warfare station in the Kharkiv Direction.: 0.6
Units of the "South" group of troops have occupied more advantageous lines and positions.: 0.6
The Ukrainian Armed Forces lost up to 305 servicemen, a tank, an armored fighting vehicle, four vehicles, seven field artillery pieces, including four Western-made, and a Croatian-made RAK-SA-12 multiple rocket launcher system. A material warehouse was destroyed.: 0.5
Units of the "Center" group of troops continued to advance deep into the enemy's defense.: 0.6
The enemy lost up to 450 servicemen, five armored fighting vehicles, eight pickup trucks, five artillery pieces, and an electronic warfare station in the Center Direction.: 0.5
Units of the "East" group of troops have improved their position along the front line.: 0.5
The Ukrainian Armed Forces losses amounted to over 150 servicemen, two armored fighting vehicles, five vehicles, and three field artillery pieces in the East Direction.: 0.4
Units of the "Dnipro" group of troops inflicted damage on the manpower and equipment of two mechanized, mountain assault brigades of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Up to 90 servicemen, five vehicles, two field artillery pieces, and three electronic warfare stations were destroyed.: 0.5
Air defense systems shot down four US-made JDAM guided bombs and 141 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles.: 0.6
Since the beginning of the special military operation, 658 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 46917 unmanned aerial vehicles, 601 anti-aircraft missile systems, 22297 tanks and other armored fighting vehicles, 1529 multiple launch rocket systems, 22620 field artillery and mortars, and 32940 special military vehicles have been destroyed.: 0.4
Enemy tactical aviation activity in the southern direction.: 0.85
Threat of the use of aviation weapons for frontline areas.: 0.8
Launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Sumy region.: 0.8
Ukrainian forces successfully repelled 36 attacks in the Pokrovsk area.: 0.8
From March 10-16, 2025, Ukrainian air defenses destroyed over 850 aerial targets.: 0.8
1 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missile was destroyed: 0.7
515 Shahed attack drones were destroyed.: 0.8
170 reconnaissance drones were destroyed.: 0.8
172 other types of drones were destroyed.: 0.7
The Ukrainian Air Force conducted over 160 sorties during the week.: 0.8
Russian forces are evacuating civilians from recently liberated Sudzha and Kazachya Loknya.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
About 40 civilians were evacuated from Sudzha, including bedridden patients: 0.7
371 people, including 14 children, have been evacuated from liberated settlements in the Kursk region since March 12.: 0.6
A phone call between Putin and Trump is expected next week.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Whitkoff's meeting with Putin in Moscow lasted 3-4 hours and was "positive".: 0.7
Putin "accepts Trump's philosophy" regarding the end of the war.: 0.7
The distance between US and Russian positions on Ukraine has narrowed.: 0.55
Trump expects the war in Ukraine to end within weeks.: 0.1
Britain intends to deploy over 10,000 troops to Ukraine as part of a "coalition of the willing".: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Britain has secured support from "significantly more" countries than previously.: 0.65
Launches of guided aerial bombs (KAB) towards Kharkiv Oblast
