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Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 17, 2025, 18:01 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (17:31 UTC - 18:01 UTC)
REPORTED FIRE IN KRASNODAR (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
Оперативний ЗСУ (17:32 UTC): Reports a large fire within the city limits of Krasnodar, Russia. Local channels claim the fire is less than a kilometer from residential areas. Some locals express fear.
Assessment: This report, IF ACCURATE, suggests a POTENTIAL ATTACK OR MAJOR ACCIDENT within KRASNODAR CITY. The PROXIMITY TO RESIDENTIAL AREAS is a CONCERN. INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION of the CAUSE AND EXTENT OF THE FIRE is NEEDED. This could be related to the earlier reports of a fire at the Tuapse refinery, or a separate incident.
БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (17:32 UTC): Claims a wounded Russian veteran, Vener Akchurin, was assaulted in Bashkiria. Reports he lost a leg near Bakhmut, returned home, and was then threatened and robbed of his car by an individual of Azerbaijani origin. Claims the veteran was later attacked for reporting the incident to the police.
Assessment: This report, IF TRUE, suggests INTERNAL ISSUES within RUSSIA, including CRIME, ETHNIC TENSIONS, and POTENTIAL DISSATISFACTION AMONG VETERANS. It MAY BE USED FOR PROPAGANDA PURPOSES by UKRAINIAN SOURCES.
REPORTED GERMAN PREPARATIONS FOR WAR (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (17:40 UTC), ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (17:33 UTC): Report that the Bavarian Health Minister, Judith Gerlach, has called for the German healthcare system to be prepared for a "wartime scenario," citing the threat from Russia and the potential withdrawal of the US from security partnerships.
Assessment: This REINFORCES PREVIOUS REPORTS of INCREASED CONCERN in EUROPE about RUSSIAN AGGRESSION. The FOCUS ON HEALTHCARE PREPAREDNESS suggests a SHIFT TOWARDS A MORE DEFENSIVE POSTURE.
CLAIMED RUSSIAN MISSILE STRIKE IN SUMY OBLAST (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
ТАСС (17:46 UTC): Reports that an Iskander missile system struck a concentration of Ukrainian forces in the Losevka area of Sumy Oblast.
Assessment: This REINFORCES PREVIOUS WARNINGS from UKRAINIAN PRESIDENT ZELENSKYY about a POTENTIAL RUSSIAN BUILDUP near SUMY OBLAST. IF TRUE, this INDICATES ACTIVE RUSSIAN OPERATIONS in the AREA. INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION of the STRIKE AND CASUALTIES is NEEDED.
CONTINUED DISCUSSION OF CEASEFIRE AND NEGOTIATIONS (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
ТАСС (17:21 UTC, 17:33 UTC, 17:41 UTC): Reports on EU concerns about US stance, potential discussions of territorial concessions by Ukraine, and preparations for a Trump-Putin phone call. Claims that parties are closer to peace than ever before.
Alex Parker Returns (17:36 UTC): Claims a distance of only "ten yards" to peace in Ukraine.
Оперативний ЗСУ (17:40 UTC): States the White House claims to be close to peace.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (17:45 UTC), РБК-Україна (17:39 UTC): Report Trump is ready to use "levers of pressure" on Russia if the conversation with Putin doesn't meet expectations.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (17:50 UTC): Summarizes recent White House statements, mentioning discussions of territorial concessions and a planned Trump-Putin phone call.
* Assessment: These reports STRONGLY SUGGEST ACTIVE NEGOTIATIONS and POTENTIAL PRESSURE ON UKRAINE to ACCEPT A PEACE DEAL. The REPEATED CLAIMS of CLOSENESS TO PEACE are SIGNIFICANT, but SHOULD BE TREATED WITH CAUTION. The REPORTED WILLINGNESS OF TRUMP to USE PRESSURE ON RUSSIA is a NEW DEVELOPMENT.
Басурин о главном (17:40 UTC): Claims that most Abrams tanks supplied to Ukraine have been destroyed or captured. Reports that Australia plans to supply up to 250 Abrams tanks to Ukraine by the end of 2025.
Assessment: This is LIKELY RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA intended to DEMONSTRATE RUSSIAN MILITARY SUCCESS and DISCOURAGE FURTHER WESTERN MILITARY AID. The CLAIMS OF "MOST" ABRAMS TANKS DESTROYED are LIKELY EXAGGERATED. INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION is NEEDED.
Воин DV (17:59 UTC): Claims that the Ukrainian Presidential Advisor on sanctions, Vladislav Vlasyuk, has said that the country is ready to weaken sanctions against Russia in the framework of achieving a peace agreement.
Zelenskiy / Official (17:40 UTC), 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (17:50 UTC): Reports a phone call between President Zelensky and President Milei of Argentina. Notes support for a 30-day ceasefire proposal, discussions of strengthening bilateral relations, and an expression of gratitude for support.
Assesment: This shows UKRAINIAN DIPLOMATIC OUTREACH.
ALLEGED SUPPRESSION OF DISSENT IN RUSSIA (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
ASTRA (17:42 UTC): Reports the arrest of a Kursk activist for meeting with residents of border villages.
Assesment: This HIGHLIGHTS POTENTIAL SUPPRESSION.
DRONE THREAT IN SUMY AND KHARKIV (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (17:53): Alert regarding the threat of enemy drones in the Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts.
Assesment: This indicates A HEIGHTENED RISK OF ATTACK.
INCREASED ENEMY ACTIVITY IN THE ZAPORIZHIA REGION (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
Дневник Десантника (17:34): Reports Russian artillery strikes on enemy targets.
Colonelcassad (17:56): Claims the liberation of Stepove and the beginning of battles on the line from Shcherbaki to Mali Shcherbaki.
Assessment: This indicates INTENSIFIED FIGHTING.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
CONTINUED RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS in the AVDIIVKA DIRECTION, with CLAIMED ADVANCES.
CONTINUED REPORTS AND INDICATIONS OF US-RUSSIA NEGOTIATIONS and POTENTIAL PRESSURE ON UKRAINE to ACCEPT A PEACE DEAL. REPORTED WILLINGNESS OF TRUMP to USE PRESSURE ON RUSSIA if TALKS FAIL.
HIGH PRIORITY:
DRONE THREAT in SUMY and KHARKIV OBLASTS.
CLAIMED RUSSIAN MISSILE STRIKE in SUMY OBLAST.
POTENTIAL UKRAINIAN WITHDRAWAL FROM THE KURSK REGION.
REPORTED FIRE in KRASNODAR, RUSSIA.
INCREASED FIGHTING in the ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
REPORTED GERMAN PREPARATIONS FOR WAR.
LOW PRIORITY:
All other low-priority reports, including claims of destroying Abrams tanks, reports of internal Russian issues, and diplomatic outreach.
Updated Recommendations
RESPOND TO THE DRONE THREAT (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
MAINTAIN AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS on HIGH ALERT in SUMY and KHARKIV OBLASTS.
ISSUE WARNINGS to CIVILIANS.
TRACK AND ENGAGE ENEMY DRONES as APPROPRIATE.
VERIFY AND ADDRESS RUSSIAN ADVANCES AND CLAIMS (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
DEPLOY INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to VERIFY the CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCE near AVDIIVKA.
ASSESS THE IMPACT on UKRAINIAN DEFENSIVE POSITIONS.
REINFORCE UKRAINIAN FORCES if POSSIBLE.
PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL COUNTEROFFENSIVES to RECAPTURE LOST TERRITORY.
VERIFY REPORTS of UKRAINIAN WITHDRAWAL from the KURSK REGION.
VERIFY the CLAIMED RUSSIAN MISSILE STRIKE in SUMY OBLAST.
VERIFY reports of INTENSIFIED FIGHTING in the ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION.
GATHER INTELLIGENCE on any US-RUSSIA TALKS or COMMUNICATIONS.
SEEK CLARIFICATION from US AND UKRAINIAN OFFICIALS on the STATUS OF NEGOTIATIONS and any POTENTIAL AGREEMENTS.
ASSESS THE POTENTIAL IMPACT on UKRAINIAN INTERESTS and DEVELOP CONTINGENCY PLANS.
ASSESS the IMPLICATIONS of TRUMP'S REPORTED WILLINGNESS to USE PRESSURE ON RUSSIA.
INVESTIGATE THE REPORTED FIRE IN KRASNODAR (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
GATHER INTELLIGENCE to DETERMINE THE CAUSE AND EXTENT OF THE FIRE.
ASSESS ANY POTENTIAL DAMAGE to INFRASTRUCTURE OR MILITARY ASSETS.
ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS REMAIN IN EFFECT (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
The situation remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND HIGHLY DYNAMIC. The POTENTIAL FOR A US-BROKERED PEACE DEAL, coupled with CONTINUED RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS and the DRONE THREAT, creates a HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AND VOLATILE ENVIRONMENT. VERIFICATION of ALL CLAIMS, particularly regarding TERRITORIAL CHANGES, NEGOTIATIONS, and REPORTED INCIDENTS, is ESSENTIAL.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
The video depicts Ukrainian military operations against Russian forces.: 0.48
: 0.2
The unit requires financial assistance due to resource constraints.: 0.16
The strikes shown in the video resulted in significant infrastructure damage.: 0.08
The video is being used for propaganda purposes to garner support.: 0.08
Ukrainian public sentiment regarding the war is waning, potentially impacting their military's ability to sustain efforts.: 0.32
The Meduza report is part of an information warfare campaign designed to undermine Ukrainian morale.: 0.2
: 0.2
The Meduza report is accurate and reflects a genuine decline in the willingness of Ukrainians to fight.: 0.16
Declining public support will force Ukraine to alter its strategic decisions regarding resource allocation and mobilization.: 0.08
The report indicates long-term societal erosion in Ukraine due to the ongoing war.: 0.04
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 1.0
Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
The new Canadian Prime Minister
Qatar supports initiatives to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, according to the Qatari Ministry of Foreign Affairs.: 0.9
The Ukrainian General Staff has confirmed the loss of Sudzha, now under Russian control.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russian Drone operators struck a temporary deployment point in Razliv.: 0.899999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Enemy tactical aviation activity in the north, with threat of airborne weapons.: 0.8
Hull Daily Mail claimed 70,000 Ukrainian soldiers have been killed in the Kursk direction.: 0.1
A Leopard tank was destroyed by Russian drone operators in the south-donetsk direction.: 0.7
A MaxxPro armored vehicle was destroyed by Russian drone operators in the south-donetsk direction.: 0.7
A Russian "Vandal" drone destroyed a Ukrainian "wooden" armored vehicle.: 0.6
Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk region.: 0.4
The Russian Air Force used a FAB-3000 bomb to destroy a Ukrainian fortified position in the Kursk direction.: 0.8
A Russian infantry attack towards Veseloe.: 0.65
Russian advances on the Burlatskoe-Skudnoe line, extending control by up to 2.5 km.: 0.8
In the Kharkiv Direction, units of the "North" group of troops inflicted damage on formations of the assault battalion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the border detachment of the Ukrainian Border Guard Service in the areas of the settlements of Perovskoe and Kazachya Lopan in the Kharkiv region.: 0.7
The Ukrainian Armed Forces lost up to 70 servicemen, six vehicles, four artillery pieces, and an electronic warfare station in the Kharkiv Direction.: 0.6
Units of the "South" group of troops have occupied more advantageous lines and positions.: 0.6
The Ukrainian Armed Forces lost up to 305 servicemen, a tank, an armored fighting vehicle, four vehicles, seven field artillery pieces, including four Western-made, and a Croatian-made RAK-SA-12 multiple rocket launcher system. A material warehouse was destroyed.: 0.5
Units of the "Center" group of troops continued to advance deep into the enemy's defense.: 0.6
The enemy lost up to 450 servicemen, five armored fighting vehicles, eight pickup trucks, five artillery pieces, and an electronic warfare station in the Center Direction.: 0.5
Units of the "East" group of troops have improved their position along the front line.: 0.5
The Ukrainian Armed Forces losses amounted to over 150 servicemen, two armored fighting vehicles, five vehicles, and three field artillery pieces in the East Direction.: 0.4
Units of the "Dnipro" group of troops inflicted damage on the manpower and equipment of two mechanized, mountain assault brigades of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Up to 90 servicemen, five vehicles, two field artillery pieces, and three electronic warfare stations were destroyed.: 0.5
Air defense systems shot down four US-made JDAM guided bombs and 141 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles.: 0.6
Since the beginning of the special military operation, 658 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 46917 unmanned aerial vehicles, 601 anti-aircraft missile systems, 22297 tanks and other armored fighting vehicles, 1529 multiple launch rocket systems, 22620 field artillery and mortars, and 32940 special military vehicles have been destroyed.: 0.4
Enemy tactical aviation activity in the southern direction.: 0.85
Threat of the use of aviation weapons for frontline areas.: 0.8
Launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Sumy region.: 0.8
Ukrainian forces successfully repelled 36 attacks in the Pokrovsk area.: 0.8
From March 10-16, 2025, Ukrainian air defenses destroyed over 850 aerial targets.: 0.8
1 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missile was destroyed: 0.7
515 Shahed attack drones were destroyed.: 0.8
170 reconnaissance drones were destroyed.: 0.8
172 other types of drones were destroyed.: 0.7
The Ukrainian Air Force conducted over 160 sorties during the week.: 0.8
Russian forces are evacuating civilians from recently liberated Sudzha and Kazachya Loknya.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
About 40 civilians were evacuated from Sudzha, including bedridden patients: 0.7
371 people, including 14 children, have been evacuated from liberated settlements in the Kursk region since March 12.: 0.6
A phone call between Putin and Trump is expected next week.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Whitkoff's meeting with Putin in Moscow lasted 3-4 hours and was "positive".: 0.7
Putin "accepts Trump's philosophy" regarding the end of the war.: 0.7
The distance between US and Russian positions on Ukraine has narrowed.: 0.55
Trump expects the war in Ukraine to end within weeks.: 0.1
Britain intends to deploy over 10,000 troops to Ukraine as part of a "coalition of the willing".: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Britain has secured support from "significantly more" countries than previously.: 0.65
Launches of guided aerial bombs (KAB) towards Kharkiv Oblast.: 0.78
Russian forces advanced 1km deep and 500m wide near Razliv.: 0.75
Russian forces captured two strongholds and a dominant height near Shevchenko, advancing 500m deep and 2km wide.: 0.65
5 reinforcement groups, 3 rotation attempts, and 3 engineering groups were destroyed.: 0.5
MaxxPro armored vehicle, 5 other vehicles, and up to 25 Ukrainian personnel were destroyed.: 0.5
Russian forces are establishing positions near Basivka on the border of Sumy Oblast.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The President of Finland believes it is virtually impossible to reach a ceasefire with Russia.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999
Russian forces made advances near Hryhorivka and Orikhovo-Vasylivka.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces captured aerial footage near Basivka.: 0.8
An "Angara-1.2" light-class rocket launched military satellites into orbit.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999
US Negotiating teams will meet with Ukrainian and Russian counterparts.: 0.9
Ukrainian tactical and army aviation have increased activity near the front lines.: 0.68
Ukraine has come to terms with freezing the current front line.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999
