Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Старше Эдды (16:19 UTC): Claims a Russian "Lancet" loitering munition destroyed a Ukrainian "Bogdana" self-propelled howitzer (SPH) in the "forests of Slobozhanshchyna." Provides VIDEO EVIDENCE.
Assessment: This CLAIM, if CONFIRMED, represents a SIGNIFICANT LOSS for UKRAINE. The "Bogdana" is a RELATIVELY RARE and VALUABLE piece of ARTILLERY, capable of firing 155mm NATO-STANDARD AMMUNITION at LONG RANGES. Its DESTRUCTION would REDUCE UKRAINIAN LONG-RANGE FIREPOWER. The "Lancet" is a RUSSIAN LOITERING MUNITION, known for its PRECISION STRIKE CAPABILITY. The VIDEO EVIDENCE should be ANALYZED to CONFIRM the IDENTIFICATION of the TARGET and the LOCATION of the STRIKE. The term "forests of Slobozhanshchyna" is a general term, covering large parts of the Kharkiv, Sumy, and Donetsk regions.
REPORTED ETHNIC CLEANSING IN SYRIA (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (16:19 UTC): Citing CNN, reports on alleged ethnic cleansing of Alawites by "new Syrian authorities" in Sanobar. Claims mass graves have been discovered and that Germany has announced a new aid package for the "terrorist regime."
Assessment: This report ORIGINATES from a PRO-RUSSIAN SOURCE and is LIKELY INTENDED to DISCREDIT the SYRIAN OPPOSITION and UNDERMINE SUPPORT for them. The CLAIM OF GERMAN SUPPORT for a "terrorist regime" is HIGHLY DUBIOUS. The CNN REPORT should be SOUGHT OUT and ANALYZED INDEPENDENTLY to VERIFY the CLAIMS.
CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES IN ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST (EXTREME PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 (16:27 UTC): Reports Russian attempts to break through the line between P'yatkhatky and Mali Shcherbaky since early March. Claims Russian forces (108th Air Assault Regiment) have had success in the south of Mali Shcherbaky and are consolidating positions. Reports ongoing battles in P'yatkhatky and Russian attempts to gain a foothold on the road near Stepove.
Assessment: This report INDICATES SIGNIFICANT RUSSIAN PRESSURE on the ZAPORIZHZHIA FRONT. The CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES near MALI SHCHERBAKY and PYATKHATKY, if CONFIRMED, would represent a SERIOUS THREAT to UKRAINIAN DEFENSES in the AREA. The MENTION OF THE 108TH AIR ASSAULT REGIMENT suggests RUSSIAN EFFORTS to DEPLOY FRESH TROOPS to the FRONT. The REPORT also HIGHLIGHTS PROBLEMS with UKRAINIAN INTER-UNIT COORDINATION. The reference to the 128th Mountain Assault Brigade as the most experienced in the area suggests reliance on this unit.
REPEATED STRIKES IN CHERNIHIV (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
Олексій Білошицький (16:26 UTC): Reports patrol police arriving at the scene of shelling in Chernihiv.
Assessment: This REPORT shows ONGOING danger, and a potential for INCREASING CASUALTIES.
UKRAINIAN GENERAL STAFF MEETING (LOW PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (16:29 UTC): Reports a meeting between President Zelensky, Defense Minister Umerov, and the new Chief of the General Staff, Hnatov. The focus was on the front-line situation, cooperation with partners on security guarantees, and strengthening the army. Specific tasks were assigned, including forming a team for partner interaction, accelerating the formation of a corps system, and auditing the needs of combat brigades.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS HIGH-LEVEL DISCUSSIONS on MILITARY STRATEGY and RESOURCE ALLOCATION. The FOCUS ON PARTNER INTERACTION and SECURITY GUARANTEES highlights UKRAINE'S RELIANCE on INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT. The MENTION OF A CORPS SYSTEM suggests EFFORTS to REORGANIZE UKRAINIAN FORCES for MORE EFFECTIVE OPERATIONS. The AUDIT OF BRIGADE NEEDS indicates ATTENTION to LOGISTICAL SUPPORT and COMBAT READINESS.
OTHER DEVELOPMENTS:
ТАСС (16:21 UTC): Reports that the Moscow City Court will begin hearings on March 24 in the case of former Deputy Defense Minister Ivanov and his former subordinate Filatov, accused of embezzlement.
Военкор Котенок (16:23 UTC): Claims Trump has threatened the Houthis again, linking them to Iran. Mentions potential US strikes on Iranian ships suspected of supplying weapons to Yemen.
Colonelcassad (16:24 UTC): Discusses the replacement of the Ukrainian Chief of the General Staff, suggesting it may indicate a desire to avoid peace negotiations.
Оперативний ЗСУ (16:26 UTC): Claims that the Lithuanian prosecutor's office and Polish Prime Minister Tusk have confirmed that Russian special services organized arson attacks on shopping centers in Vilnius and Warsaw in May 2024.
🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) (16:29 UTC): Reports almost a dozen attacks on the Nikopol district during the day, including artillery and FPV drone strikes. Damage to a private house, an unused building, and car boxes is reported.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (16:03 UTC): Displays a video of a Russian soldier in a foxhole, showcasing a drone strike, indicating a focus on the area.
МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ I Новости I Срочники (16:03 UTC): Shows videos and photos of wounded soldiers claiming mistreatment in Russia.
Alex Parker Returns (16:03 UTC): Presents a photo message on the alleged increase of cannabis price on the black market.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES in the ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION, particularly near MALI SHCHERBAKY and PYATKHATKY. URGENT VERIFICATION REQUIRED.
CONFIRMED RUSSIAN CAPTURE OF STEPOVE (ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST). MAJOR RUSSIAN ADVANCE. URGENT ASSESSMENT OF UKRAINIAN DEFENSIVE POSITIONS needed.
POTENTIAL FOR NEW RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS towards OREKHOV, NOVOANDRIIVKA, MALA TOKMACHKA, or even HULIAIPOLE.
REPORTED DRONE ATTACK ON RUSSIAN SUBSTATION. VERIFICATION NEEDED.
HIGH PRIORITY:
CLAIMED DESTRUCTION of a UKRAINIAN "BOGDANA" SELF-PROPELLED HOWITZER. VIDEO EVIDENCE EXISTS. URGENT VERIFICATION REQUIRED.
US WITHDRAWAL FROM INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL COURT INITIATIVE regarding UKRAINE. This SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENSINTERNATIONAL ACCOUNTABILITY EFFORTS.
CONTINUED RUSSIAN AIRSTRIKES, particularly in DONETSK OBLAST.
ONGOING DRONE THREAT in ZAPORIZHZHIA and SUMY OBLASTS, potentially involving RECONNAISSANCE DRONES.
REPEATED STRIKES in CHERNIHIV.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
REPORTED ETHNIC CLEANSING in SYRIA. REQUIRES INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION.
POTENTIAL COUNTER-INFORMATION OPERATION by UKRAINE to DISCREDIT RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA regarding ALLEGED ATROCITIES.
CLAIMED DESTRUCTION OF RUSSIAN BUGGIES in KURSK REGION. VIDEO EVIDENCE EXISTS.
CONTINUED GERMAN MILITARY AID TO UKRAINE.
CLAIMED CASUALTIES FROM DRONE ATTACK in BELGOROD OBLAST. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
REPORTED FRIENDLY FIRE INCIDENT involving UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSE. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
CLAIMED RUSSIAN ATROCITIES IN SELIDOVO. URGENT INVESTIGATION REQUIRED.
CLAIMED DESTRUCTION OF UKRAINIAN EQUIPMENT in VARIOUS LOCATIONS. VIDEO EVIDENCE EXISTS.
LOW PRIORITY:
UKRAINIAN GENERAL STAFF MEETING focused on STRATEGY, RESOURCE ALLOCATION, and PARTNER INTERACTION.
HUNGARY'S POTENTIAL VETO ON UKRAINE FUNDING (requires verification).
* PESKOV'S COMMENTS ON PUTIN-TRUMP CALL.
* UKRAINIAN REBUTTAL OF CLAIMS OF EASING OF SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA.
Updated Recommendations
VERIFY AND RESPOND TO CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES IN ZAPORIZHZHIA (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to CONFIRM the REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCES near MALI SHCHERBAKY and PYATKHATKY.
ASSESS THE STATUS of UKRAINIAN DEFENSIVE POSITIONS in the AREA.
REINFORCE UKRAINIAN FORCES in the REGION if POSSIBLE.
PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL COUNTEROFFENSIVES to RECAPTURE LOST TERRITORY.
ADDRESS REPORTED ISSUES with INTER-UNIT COORDINATION among UKRAINIAN FORCES.
VERIFY AND ASSESS THE CLAIMED DESTRUCTION OF THE "BOGDANA" SPH (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
ANALYZE THE VIDEO EVIDENCE to CONFIRM the IDENTIFICATION of the TARGET as a "Bogdana" SPH.
DETERMINE THE LOCATION of the STRIKE using GEOSPATIAL ANALYSIS.
ASSESS THE IMPACT of the LOSS of this ARTILLERY SYSTEM on UKRAINIAN CAPABILITIES.
CONSIDER MEASURES to INCREASE PROTECTION of HIGH-VALUE ASSETS from LOITERING MUNITION ATTACKS.
INVESTIGATE REPORTED ETHNIC CLEANSING IN SYRIA (MEDIUM PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
SEEK OUT AND ANALYZE the CNN REPORT cited by the RUSSIAN SOURCE.
GATHER INFORMATION from OTHER SOURCES to VERIFY the CLAIMS.
ASSESS THE POTENTIAL IMPACT of this SITUATION on REGIONAL STABILITY.
MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
The situation remains CRITICAL AND HIGHLY DYNAMIC. The REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCES in ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST, if CONFIRMED, represent a MAJOR SETBACK for UKRAINE. The POTENTIAL LOSS of a "Bogdana" SPH is also SIGNIFICANT. RAPID INTELLIGENCE GATHERING, EFFECTIVE RESOURCE ALLOCATION, and CLOSE COORDINATION WITH ALLIES are ESSENTIAL.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
Ukrainian public sentiment regarding the war is waning, potentially impacting their military's ability to sustain efforts.: 0.32
The Meduza report is part of an information warfare campaign designed to undermine Ukrainian morale.: 0.2
: 0.2
The Meduza report is accurate and reflects a genuine decline in the willingness of Ukrainians to fight.: 0.16
Declining public support will force Ukraine to alter its strategic decisions regarding resource allocation and mobilization.: 0.08
The report indicates long-term societal erosion in Ukraine due to the ongoing war.: 0.04
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 1.0
Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
The new Canadian Prime Minister
Qatar supports initiatives to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, according to the Qatari Ministry of Foreign Affairs.: 0.9
The Ukrainian General Staff has confirmed the loss of Sudzha, now under Russian control.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russian Drone operators struck a temporary deployment point in Razliv.: 0.899999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Enemy tactical aviation activity in the north, with threat of airborne weapons.: 0.8
Hull Daily Mail claimed 70,000 Ukrainian soldiers have been killed in the Kursk direction.: 0.1
A Leopard tank was destroyed by Russian drone operators in the south-donetsk direction.: 0.7
A MaxxPro armored vehicle was destroyed by Russian drone operators in the south-donetsk direction.: 0.7
A Russian "Vandal" drone destroyed a Ukrainian "wooden" armored vehicle.: 0.6
Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk region.: 0.4
The Russian Air Force used a FAB-3000 bomb to destroy a Ukrainian fortified position in the Kursk direction.: 0.8
A Russian infantry attack towards Veseloe.: 0.65
Russian advances on the Burlatskoe-Skudnoe line, extending control by up to 2.5 km.: 0.8
In the Kharkiv Direction, units of the "North" group of troops inflicted damage on formations of the assault battalion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the border detachment of the Ukrainian Border Guard Service in the areas of the settlements of Perovskoe and Kazachya Lopan in the Kharkiv region.: 0.7
The Ukrainian Armed Forces lost up to 70 servicemen, six vehicles, four artillery pieces, and an electronic warfare station in the Kharkiv Direction.: 0.6
Units of the "South" group of troops have occupied more advantageous lines and positions.: 0.6
The Ukrainian Armed Forces lost up to 305 servicemen, a tank, an armored fighting vehicle, four vehicles, seven field artillery pieces, including four Western-made, and a Croatian-made RAK-SA-12 multiple rocket launcher system. A material warehouse was destroyed.: 0.5
Units of the "Center" group of troops continued to advance deep into the enemy's defense.: 0.6
The enemy lost up to 450 servicemen, five armored fighting vehicles, eight pickup trucks, five artillery pieces, and an electronic warfare station in the Center Direction.: 0.5
Units of the "East" group of troops have improved their position along the front line.: 0.5
The Ukrainian Armed Forces losses amounted to over 150 servicemen, two armored fighting vehicles, five vehicles, and three field artillery pieces in the East Direction.: 0.4
Units of the "Dnipro" group of troops inflicted damage on the manpower and equipment of two mechanized, mountain assault brigades of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Up to 90 servicemen, five vehicles, two field artillery pieces, and three electronic warfare stations were destroyed.: 0.5
Air defense systems shot down four US-made JDAM guided bombs and 141 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles.: 0.6
Since the beginning of the special military operation, 658 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 46917 unmanned aerial vehicles, 601 anti-aircraft missile systems, 22297 tanks and other armored fighting vehicles, 1529 multiple launch rocket systems, 22620 field artillery and mortars, and 32940 special military vehicles have been destroyed.: 0.4
Enemy tactical aviation activity in the southern direction.: 0.85
Threat of the use of aviation weapons for frontline areas.: 0.8
Launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Sumy region.: 0.8
Ukrainian forces successfully repelled 36 attacks in the Pokrovsk area.: 0.8
From March 10-16, 2025, Ukrainian air defenses destroyed over 850 aerial targets.: 0.8
1 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missile was destroyed: 0.7
515 Shahed attack drones were destroyed.: 0.8
170 reconnaissance drones were destroyed.: 0.8
172 other types of drones were destroyed.: 0.7
The Ukrainian Air Force conducted over 160 sorties during the week.: 0.8
Russian forces are evacuating civilians from recently liberated Sudzha and Kazachya Loknya.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999
Response from 2025-03-16 10:32:46 (6h-3d old):
Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 16, 2025, 10:31 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (10:02 UTC - 10:31 UTC)
RUSSIAN MINISTRY OF DEFENSE (MoD) REPORT ON KURSK REGION (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
MoD Russia (10:02 UTC): Claims continued operations to "neutralize AFU formations" in Kursk region. Reports fire damage inflicted on various Ukrainian units near Gogolevka, Gornal, Guyevo, and Oleshnya. Lists extensive claimed Ukrainian losses (personnel, equipment, etc.) since the "beginning of hostilities in Kursk direction."
Assessment: This REINFORCES PREVIOUS CLAIMS of a MAJOR RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE in the KURSK REGION. The EXTENSIVE LIST OF CLAIMED UKRAINIAN LOSSES is likely HIGHLY INFLATED for PROPAGANDA PURPOSES, but the REPORT OF CONTINUED OPERATIONS suggests ONGOING FIGHTING. The SPECIFIC MENTION OF MULTIPLE LOCATIONS indicates a BROAD FRONT OF OPERATIONS. The term "neutralize" is EUPHEMISTIC for KILLING OR CAPTURING Ukrainian forces.
REPORTED UKRAINIAN CASUALTIES IN VORONOK (EXTREME PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
AV BogomaZ(10:02): Reports a drone attack in Voronok, in the Starodubsky municipal district, resulting in the death of a tractor driver. Claims the drone was used by "Ukrainian terrorists."
Assessment: This REPORTREQUIRES INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION. IF TRUE, this represents a SIGNIFICANT LOSS OF CIVILIAN LIFE and DAMAGE TO AGRICULTURAL INFRASTRUCTURE. The claim of a "terrorist attack" is RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA, aimed at DEMONIZING UKRAINE.
REPORTED ATTACK ON UKRAINIAN MILITARY PERSONNEL IN LVIV (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
РБК-Україна (10:03 UTC): Reports an incident in Lviv where a man attacked a military service member of the Territorial Center of Recruitment (TCC) and attempted to flee. The incident occurred during mobilization efforts.
Assessment: This INDICATES POTENTIAL RESISTANCE to MOBILIZATION EFFORTS in UKRAINE. While NOT DIRECTLY RELATED to FRONTLINE COMBAT, it HIGHLIGHTS CHALLENGES in REPLENISHING UKRAINIAN FORCES.
RUSSIAN STRIKES TARGET UKRAINIAN MILITARY AIRFIELDS AND DRONE PRODUCTION (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
ТАСС (10:22 UTC): Citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, reports strikes on Ukrainian military airfields, drone production facilities, and drone storage locations.
Assessment: This REPORTREQUIRES INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION. IF TRUE, this represents a SIGNIFICANT EFFORT by RUSSIA to DEGRADE UKRAINIAN AIR POWER and DRONE CAPABILITIES. Targeting AIRFIELDS and DRONE PRODUCTION/STORAGE is a *HIGH-PRIORITY
