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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-03-12 23:13:36Z
11 months ago
Previous (2025-03-12 22:43:26Z)

Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 12, 2025, 23:12 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (22:43 UTC - 23:12 UTC)

  1. EXPANDED DRONE ATTACK (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

    • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (22:44 UTC): Provides detailed updates on drone movements:
      • KHARKIV OBLAST: Drones in the north, moving SOUTH.
      • DNIPROPETROVSK OBLAST: Drones in the northwest, moving WEST.
      • SUMY OBLAST: Drones in the north, west, and south, moving WEST/NORTH.
      • CHERNIHIV OBLAST: Drones in the east and center, moving SOUTHWEST.
      • POLTAVA OBLAST: Drones in the south and northwest, moving SOUTHWEST/NORTHWEST.
      • KYIV OBLAST: Drones in the southeast, moving WEST.
      • CHERKASY OBLAST: Drones in the north, moving SOUTHWEST.
  • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (22:51 UTC): KIROVOHRAD OBLAST - THREAT OF DRONE ATTACKS. * Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (22:57 UTC): ODESSA, MYKOLAIV OBLASTS - THREAT OF DRONE ATTACKS FROM THE BLACK SEA. * Николаевский Ванёк (22:59 UTC): Reports TWO NEW DRONES FROM THE SEA heading towards PIVDENNYI/FONTANKA. * Николаевский Ванёк (23:05 UTC): Reports FIVE DRONES FROM THE SEA, heading towards PIVDENNYI in a "snake" formation.
    • Assessment: The DRONE ATTACK IS WIDESPREAD AND MULTI-DIRECTIONAL, targeting MULTIPLE OBLASTS across UKRAINE. The MOVEMENT OF DRONES FROM THE BLACK SEA towards ODESSA and MYKOLAIV indicates a NEW WAVE OF ATTACKS. This represents a MAJOR ESCALATION and a SEVERE THREAT to CIVILIANS and INFRASTRUCTURE. The description of the drone's movement as a "snake formation" needs to be considered.
  1. REPORTED CAPTURE OF UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • Colonelcassad (22:46 UTC): Posts a video claiming to show RECENTLY CAPTURED UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS from the 156TH SEPARATE BATTALION of the 118TH SEPARATE TERRITORIAL DEFENSE BRIGADE (from CHERKASY OBLAST) in the KURSK REGION. The soldiers reportedly claim they DID NOT KNOW WHERE THEY WERE BEING SENT.
    • Assessment: REQUIRES INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION. If confirmed, this SUPPORTS the RUSSIAN NARRATIVE of UKRAINIAN TROOPS being POORLY INFORMED and POSSIBLY DEMORALIZED. It also REINFORCES reports of UKRAINIAN PRESENCE in the KURSK REGION.
  2. RUSSIAN FORCES CLAIM TO BE DOWNING UKRAINIAN DRONES:

  • Воин DV (23:00): Shows multiple photos and claims that the CENTER grouping is downing multiple Ukrainian drones.
  • Assessment: If confirmed, this could indicate a shift in the effectiveness of their defenses.
  1. RUSSIAN CLAIMS ABOUT CEASEFIRE:
  • Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (23:04): Claims Russia wants to install a puppet regime in Ukraine and limit the army to 50,000 people.
  • Assessment: This needs to be taken into account when considering any negotiations.
  1. OTHER:

    • ТАСС (22:56 UTC): Reports on PHONE SCAMS targeting CHILDREN in MOSCOW. (No direct military relevance).
  • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (23:03): Announces that drones are headed towards ODESSA, CHORNOMORSK, and CHORNOMORSKE.
  • Colonelcassad (23:03): Shows a video of a Ukrainian UAV being destroyed by Russian FPV drones.
  • ТАСС (23:05): Reports that veterans should be compensated if they cannot get land.

Updated Situation Summary

  • EXTREME PRIORITY:

    • WIDESPREAD, MULTI-DIRECTIONAL DRONE ATTACK ACROSS UKRAINE, with CONFIRMED THREATS in MULTIPLE OBLASTS, including a NEW WAVE FROM THE BLACK SEA targeting ODESSA and MYKOLAIV.
    • INTENSE SHELLING OF KHERSON reported, posing a SEVERE THREAT TO CIVILIANS.
    • RUSSIAN FORCES CONTINUE TO ADVANCE IN THE KURSK REGION, with claims of CAPTURING UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS.
  • HIGH PRIORITY:

    • RUSSIAN CLAIMS OF ADVANCES near POKROVSK in the DONETSK REGION (requires verification).
    • CONFIRMED DRONE STRIKES IN RUSSIA: Voronezh Oblast, Belgorod Oblast, Ryazan, and Krasnodar Krai.
    • RUSSIAN FORCES CLAIM they are DOWNING UKRAINIAN DRONES.
  • MEDIUM PRIORITY:

    • No changes.

Updated Recommendations

  1. ADDRESS THE WIDESPREAD DRONE ATTACK (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • MAINTAIN MAXIMUM ALERT STATUS for ALL AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across UKRAINE, with PRIORITY on KYIV, ODESSA, MYKOLAIV, CHERKASY, KIROVOHRAD, DNIPROPETROVSK, KHARKIV, SUMY, CHERNIHIV, and POLTAVA OBLASTS.
    • DEPLOY MOBILE AIR DEFENSE UNITS as needed to INTERCEPT INCOMING DRONES, particularly those approaching from the BLACK SEA.
    • UTILIZE ELECTRONIC WARFARE SYSTEMS to DISRUPT DRONE CONTROL where possible.
    • ISSUE PUBLIC WARNINGS and INSTRUCTIONS to CIVILIANS in THREATENED AREAS, urging them to TAKE SHELTER.
  2. INVESTIGATE REPORTED CAPTURE OF UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • ATTEMPT TO VERIFY the RUSSIAN CLAIM through INDEPENDENT SOURCES, including HUMINT and SIGINT.
    • ASSESS THE MORALE AND LEVEL OF INFORMATION provided to UKRAINIAN TROOPS deployed in the KURSK REGION.
    • CONSIDER THE POTENTIAL FOR DISINFORMATION and PROPAGANDA.
  3. MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES): All other recommendations from previous reports remain in effect, with priorities adjusted as indicated.

  4. VERIFY THE DESTRUCTION OF UKRAINIAN DRONES:

  • Use other intelligence assets to verify.
  • Evaluate the effectiveness of air defenses.
  1. ADDRESS THE CLAIMS REGARDING THE CEASEFIRE:
  • Take the claims into account when negotiating.
  • Evaluate the implications of the demands.

The situation is EXTREMELY CRITICAL AND DYNAMIC. The WIDESPREAD DRONE ATTACK, the INTENSE SHELLING OF KHERSON, and the CONTINUED RUSSIAN ADVANCES pose MAJOR THREATS. The CONFIRMED DRONE STRIKES INSIDE RUSSIA represent an ESCALATION. The REPORTED CAPTURE OF UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS raises CONCERNS about MORALE AND INFORMATION FLOW. IMMEDIATE AND COORDINATED ACTION is ESSENTIAL to PROTECT CIVILIAN LIVES and MAINTAIN UKRAINE'S DEFENSIVE CAPABILITIES.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:

  • The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.77
  • Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.62
  • The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
  • The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
  • The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
  • The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
  • Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.55
  • Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
  • Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
  • Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
  • Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.65
  • Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
  • 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
  • Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
  • Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.3
  • Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.25
  • Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
  • Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
  • Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.75
  • There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.8
  • Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
  • Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
  • Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
  • Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
  • The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
  • Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
  • There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.99999999999999
  • Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
  • There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
  • There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
  • Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
  • There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
  • Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
  • Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
  • Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.57
  • There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.99999999999999
  • Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
  • A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
  • A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
  • A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
  • Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
  • Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
  • Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
  • There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
  • Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
  • There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
  • Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
  • There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
  • A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
  • Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
  • Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
  • Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
  • Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
  • Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
  • Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
  • The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
  • The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
  • The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
  • Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
  • A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
  • The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
  • US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
  • The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
  • The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
  • Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
  • The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
  • The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
  • The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
  • Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
  • Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
  • The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
  • Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
  • Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
  • Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
  • On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
  • Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
  • Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
  • Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
  • Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
  • The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
  • One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
  • Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
  • 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
  • Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
  • Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
  • Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
  • Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
  • Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
  • Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
  • There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
  • There is a widespread, multi-regional drone attack across Ukraine.: 0.98
  • The city of Kyiv is under threat of drone attack.: 0.83
  • Russian forcers have reportedly been pushed out of Lebedevka, Viktorovka and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.: 0.77
  • Russian forces captured Martynovka.: 0.72
  • Ukraine has accepted a US proposal for a 30-day complete ceasefire, contingent on Russian acceptance. This includes all fronts, not just air and sea.: 0.98
  • Russian media and officials express high skepticism towards the ceasefire proposal, viewing it as a trap for Ukraine to rearm and regroup.: 0.93
  • There are reports of planned meetings between US and Russian officials on March 11 or 12 to discuss the ceasefire proposal.: 0.99999999999999
  • A ballistic missile threat was reported and then lifted for Odesa.: 0.75
  • Continued drone threats are present across multiple Ukrainian regions.: 0.99999999999999
  • France is replacing the US in providing satellite intelligence to Ukraine.: 0.6
  • There are claims of Russian forces in Sudzha.: 0.99999
  • Russian forces are occupying the center of Sudzha and the private sector.: 0.85
  • Russian forces continue to advance in the counterterrorism operation zone, liberating Makhnovka, Kazachya Loknya, Dmitryukov, and Zamostye.: 0.78
  • Trump believes Putin's agreement to a ceasefire would represent 75% of the way to resolving the Ukrainian conflict.: 0.65
  • Talks between US and Russian contact groups will occur tomorrow.: 0.8
  • Russia does not rule out contacts with US representatives in the next few days.: 0.85
  • Russian troops are occupying the center of Sudzha and the private sector.: 0.75
  • Ukrainian forces have been pushed out of the eastern part of Shevchenko as a result of Russian counterattacks. Fighting is ongoing for the northern part.: 0.65
  • Assault groups have reached the outskirts of the city from Mirny, Zamostye, and Kazachya Loknya: 0.85
  • Roads in the city are under the control of Russian troops.: 0.9
  • The 11th Airborne Assault Brigade destroyed at least five Ukrainian vehicles that were attempting to reinforce Sudzha: 0.86
  • Russian troops are occupying the Central Market: 0.999
  • Ukrainian troops are attempting to escape via side roads and through fields: 0.75
  • Trump intends to speak with Putin: 0.99
  • Von der Leyen stated that the EU will fully play its role in upcoming negotiations.: 0.8
  • A video call between Russia and Trump is possible.: 0.65
  • Putin's conditions to ceasing fire are that Ukraine must cede all territory in Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhia, along with officially withdrawing their application to NATO.: 0.76
  • Four crew members of a cargo ship in Odesa were killed from a ballistic strike.: 0.44
  • Infrastructure was destroyed in Dnipro, according to preliminary reports.: 0.7
  • Putin is scheduled to speak with Trump this Friday.: 0.7
  • Trump may call Putin this week.: 0.76
  • The US may consider restoring military aid under the PDA.: 0.55
  • Macron is urging the development of a security guarantees plan if a ceasefire occurs.: 0.65
  • The proposed 30-day ceasefire can be extended if both parties agree.: 0.55
  • Von der Leyen stated that the US-Ukraine talks are a positive step forward and that the ball is now in Russia's court.: 0.72
  • Russian troops are bringing the operation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kursk region to a logical conclusion, the assault of Sudzha has begun.: 0.8
  • A video was released of the Russian MFA claiming Russia will only agree to a permanent ceasefire under Russian terms: 0.6
  • Infrastructure was struck in Dnipro, there are damages: 0.7
  • Russia is not opposed to contact with US Representatives.: 0.7
  • Calin Georgescu was denied the ability to run for president: 0.4
  • There is a drone threat in Vinnystia Oblast.: 0.7
  • There is a drone threat in Dnipro, Pavlohrad, and Poltava.: 0.75
  • 4 members of the crew of a ship carrying wheat were killed in a ballistic attack.: 0.5
  • Trump confirmed that he is expecting a new meeting with Zelensky at the White House.: 0.65
  • A discussion about exchanging prisoners between Russia and Ukraine occurred in Jeddah.: 0.57
  • NATO Secretary Rytte is leaving for the US on March 12 and will meet with Trump on March 13.: 0.68
  • If Russia does not cease fire, the US will supply Ukraine and continue fighting.: 0.64
  • A Russian drone attack hit an infrastructure object in Dnipro.: 0.72
  • Anti-drone work is ongoing around Dnipro.: 0.56
  • A fundraising campaign is underway for a Russian special forces unit operating in the Sudzha direction, requesting donations for Mavic 3T drones.: 0.52
  • The unit involved is the RHBZ (Radiation, Chemical, and Biological Defense) special forces.: 0.52
  • A monument to soldiers of the Great Patriotic War in Cossack Loknya was desecrated by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.: 0.68
  • A drone attack hit a dry cargo ship traveling the Odessa — Algeria route: 0.6
  • 4 crew members were killed, and 1 was injured: 0.66
  • Russia will not agree to a temporary ceasefire because this will allow Ukraine to regroup and rearm.: 0.68
  • Trump is pushing for a complete ceasefire.: 0.3
  • Russia wants a complete and permanent ceasefire, not a temporary one.: 0.56
  • Gerasimov inspected the Kursk Group of Forces.: 0.5
  • 343 Ukrainian UAVs were downed by Russian air defenses.: 0.4
  • The Sever Group of Forces have liberated 12 settlements and more than 100 square kilometers of Kursk region.: 0.5
  • The Yug Group of Forces liberated Gorkogo (Donetsk People's Republic).: 0.45
  • A series of strikes were carried out in Ukraine.: 0.6
  • An infrastructure object is burning in Dnipropetrovsk.: 0.58
  • A dry cargo ship was damaged in Odessa under the flag of Barbados.: 0.6
  • After strikes in Odessa, there were Iskander strikes in Dnipropetrovsk.: 0.5
  • Drones are expected to arrive in Dnipro soon.: 0.52
  • A mineral deal will be signed when the American side considers it convenient: 0.4
  • Macron is supportive of the 30-day ceasefire.: 0.7
  • There is a drone threat to Zhytomyr Oblast.: 0.75
  • There are reports of a multi-regional drone attack in progress.: 0.9
  • British Prime Minister Kir Starmer urged Russia to agree to a ceasefire: 0.7
  • RUSSIAN FORCES APPEAR TO HAVE CAPTURED SUDZHA**, with MULTIPLE REPORTS and VIDEO EVIDENCE of FLAG RAISINGS. The YUNAKIVKA-SUDZHA ROAD is reportedly under INTENSE RUSSIAN FIRE CONTROL, SEVERELY DISRUPTING UKRAINIAN LOGISTICS and REINFORCEMENT CAPABILITIES. REPORTS suggest a DISORGANIZED UKRAINIAN WITHDRAWAL, with ELITE UNITS potentially PRIORITIZED for EXTRACTION. : 1.0
  • US National Security Advisor WALTZ had a phone call with his RUSSIAN COUNTERPART.: 0.68
  • US Special Envoy WHITCOFF will travel to MOSCOW this week.: 0.56
  • SHOYGU and WALTZ had a phone conversation, discussing, among other things, a ceasefire in Ukraine.: 0.45
  • Russia wants to "replace Zelensky, establish a puppet regime," and make Ukraine a "large Austria" with a constitutional guarantee of neutrality.: 0.6
  • Ukraine's agreement to a 30-day ceasefire has put Russia in a difficult position diplomatically.: 0.6
  • Russia's goal is to deceive the Trump administration and gain control over Ukraine.: 0.5
  • Russia wants to demilitarize Ukraine, while European partners want to arm Ukraine.: 0.68
  • Trump stated he does not want to pressure Russia to force it into a truce with Ukraine.: 0.7
  • Trump mentioned he COULD IMPOSE ADDITIONAL SANCTIONS on Russia, but DOES NOT WANT TO DO SO because he WANTS PEACE. : 0.7
  • Ukrainian strikes on four settlements in Belgorod Oblast, Russia, with damage to vehicles and buildings.: 0.6
  • There is a drone threat in SUMY OBLAST.
  • POLAND SUPPORTS TURKEY'S EU MEMBERSHIP (POLITICAL, LOW PRIORITY): 0.5
  • REPORTED RUSSIAN ARTILLERY REPELS UKRAINIAN ATTEMPT TO ENTER DZERZHINSK (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE): 0.9
  • RUSSIAN AIRSTRIKES REPORTEDLY TARGETING UKRAINIAN INFRASTRUCTURE (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE): 0.99999999
  • GUIDED AERIAL BOMB (KAB) USED ON ZAPORIZHZHIA AND DONETSK (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE): 0.99
  • FIRE AT INDUSTRIAL OBJECT IN SHOLOKHOVSKY DISTRICT, ROSTOV OBLAST (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE): 0.7
  • RUSSIAN CLAIMS OF UKRAINIAN MANEUVERS NEAR SUDZHA ARE "LIES" (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCES): 0.65
  • REPORTED CHECHEN DRONE STRIKES IN SUMY OBLAST (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE): 0.65
  • RUSSIAN OFFICIALS REJECT TEMPORARY CEASEFIRE PROPOSALS (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE): 0.8
  • US SPECIAL ENVOY TO VISIT MOSCOW (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE): 0.95
  • VLADIMIR PUTIN COMMENTS ON THE KURSK SITUATION (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCES): 0.84
  • AIRPORT RESTRICTIONS IN VOLGOGRAD (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE): 0.95
  • Drone strike on infrastructure confirmed in the Voronezh Oblast: 1.0
  • A FAB-1500 GUIDED BOMB STRIKE on a CONCENTRATION OF UKRAINIAN FORCES.: 0.999999
  • BALLISTIC MISSILE THREAT to SUMY: 0.8
  • MULTIPLE HIGH-SPEED TARGETS approaching SUMY from the KURSK REGION.: 0.9
  • 24 SETTLEMENTS and 259 SQUARE KILOMETERS of KURSK REGION have been "LIBERATED".: 0.65
  • MORE THAN 86% of the area "PREVIOUSLY OCCUPIED BY THE ENEMY" has been liberated.: 0.6
  • UKRAINIAN FORCES LOST MORE THAN 67,000 SERVICEMEN: 0.2
  • RUSSIAN ASSAULT DETACHMENTS used a GAS TRANSPORT SYSTEM PIPE to TRAVEL 15 KILOMETERS and "GO DEEP INSIDE THE TERRITORY" under UKRAINIAN CONTROL: 0.7
  • KYIV AIR RAID ALERT: 0.9
  • Russian forces have liberated Kazachya Loknya, Pervy Knyazhy, Vtoroy Knyazhy, Zamostye, and Mirny: 0.67
  • Russian servicemen liberated Novomarkovo and Dneproenergiya (Donetsk People's Republic).: 0.62
  • New groups of drones have been deployed in Kharkiv.: 0.8
  • A powerful explosion occurred in Kyiv, with speculation that it was caused by a meteorite.: 0.6
  • Russian electronic warfare system "Shatro" was abandoned by Ukrainian forces.: 0.85
  • Gas infrastructure in Voronezh was attacked.: 0.9999
  • There is a fire in the Kalininskaya gas pumping station.: 0.9
  • The Kyiv oblast and city are under a drone attack: 0.9999999999999
  • Russian forcers captured Novoelizavetovka, Donetsk, near Krasnoarmeysk.: 0.65
  • Kherson is under a massive shelling attack by Russian forces: 0.8
  • There is a fire at an infrastructure object in Voronezh due to a drone strike.: 0.999999
  • Russian media claims an energy object in Voronezh was struck by a drone.: 0.5
  • There are reports of fires in the Krasnodar region due to a drone attack.: 0.9
  • 3 new groups of drones are in the Zaporizhzhia region: 0.75
  • 1 drone is near Krivyi Rih: 0.6
  • 4 drones are traveling towards/through Pereyaslav: 0.7
  • 4 drones are traveling from the Poltava region to the Kyiv region: 0.7
  • 1 drone is southwest of Poltava: 0.6
  • 2 new groups of drones are near Okhtyrka: 0.6
  • 6 drones are traveling towards/through Nizhyn: 0.7
  • 1 drone is traveling from the Chernihiv region to the Kyiv region: 0.7
  • 1 drone is traveling towards/through Shostka: 0.6
  • Drones in the north of the Kharkiv region are headed south: 0.6
  • Drones are in the North-West of the Dnipropetrovsk region, headed West: 0.7
  • Drones are in the North, West, and South of Sumy Oblast, and are headed West/North: 0.7
  • Drones are in the East and Center of the Chernihiv region, and are headed South-West: 0.7
  • Drones are in the South and North-West of the Poltava region and are headed Southwest/North-West: 0.7
  • Drones are in the South-East of the Kyiv region, headed West: 0.6
  • Drones are in the North of the Cherkasy region, headed South-West: 0.7
  • Kirovohrad Oblast is under a drone threat.: 0.7
  • Odesa, Mykolaiv regions are under a drone threat from the Black Sea.: 0.7
  • Two new drones have been seen from the sea, headed towards Pivdennyi/Fontanka: 0.6
  • The Center Grouping of Forces are shooting down Ukrainian drones: 0.85
  • 5 drones have been reported to arrive from the sea, headed towards Pivdennyi: 0.6
  • Enemy strike UAVs are to be used in the Cherkasy region.: 0.7
  • Russia wants to replace Zelensky and make Ukraine a puppet regime.: 0.7
  • Russia will only stop the attacks after they have reached an agreement that is beneficial to them: 0.7
  • Russia's end goal is to get Kiev to agree to neutrality, limit the army to 50,000 soldiers, and install a puppet regime.: 0.75
  • Special operation participants should be eligible for monetary compensation if local authorities are unable to provide them with suitable free land.: 0.5
  • Odesa, Chornomorsk, and Chornomorskoe have an incoming drone threat from the sea.: 0.7
  • An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian command post in Belya Gora: 0.7
Previous (2025-03-12 22:43:26Z)

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