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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-03-11 20:43:29Z
11 months ago
Previous (2025-03-11 20:13:48Z)

Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 11, 2025, 20:41 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (20:12 UTC - 20:41 UTC)

  1. CONFIRMED DRONE ATTACK ON DNIPRO (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

    • РБК-Україна (20:15 UTC): Confirms a Russian drone attack on Dnipro. Reports from Dnipropetrovsk OVA head, Serhiy Lysak, indicate infrastructure damage.
    • Nikolaevskiy Vanek (20:15 UTC): Reports ongoing "anti-drone" activity in the Dnipro area, with about 10 drones targeted.
    • ASTRA (20:25 UTC): Reports on a UAV hitting infrastructure in Dnipro.
    • Два майора (20:36 UTC): Confirms that Dnipro is under attack.
    • Assessment: This SOLIDIFIES the INITIAL REPORTS of INFRASTRUCTURE DAMAGE in DNIPRO. The CONFIRMATION OF A DRONE ATTACK clarifies the CAUSE of the DAMAGE. CONTINUED ANTI-DRONE ACTIVITY indicates the THREAT IS ONGOING.
  2. UPDATED DRONE MOVEMENTS (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

    • Nikolaevskiy Vanek (20:26 UTC): Provides a breakdown of drone movements:
      • 3 in the south of Vinnytsia Oblast, heading northwest.
      • 1 moving from Mykolaiv Oblast to Vinnytsia Oblast.
      • 3 moving from Cherkasy Oblast to Zhytomyr Oblast.
      • 3 in the south of Kirovohrad Oblast.
      • 5 moving from Kharkiv Oblast to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
      • 1 slightly south of Kharkiv.
      • 2 near Poltava.
      • 8 moving from Sumy Oblast to Chernihiv Oblast.
  • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (20:23): Reports a drone threat in Zhytomyr Oblast. * Assessment: The DETAILED BREAKDOWN of DRONE LOCATIONS indicates a COMPLEX AND WIDESPREAD ATTACK, with MULTIPLE WAVES targeting DIFFERENT REGIONS. The MOVEMENT FROM KHARKIV OBLAST TO DNIPROPETROVSK OBLAST REINFORCES THE ONGOING THREAT TO DNIPRO. The MOVEMENT FROM SUMY OBLAST TO CHERNIHIV OBLAST suggests a POTENTIAL SHIFT IN FOCUS.
  1. RUSSIAN CLAIMS OF STRIKES ON ODESSA AND DNIPRO (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (20:24 UTC): Claims a series of strikes on Ukraine, including a burning infrastructure object in Dnipro and a damaged cargo ship in Odesa.
    • Assessment: The CLAIM OF A BURNING INFRASTRUCTURE OBJECT IN DNIPRO CORROBORATES with UKRAINIAN REPORTS of DAMAGE. The CLAIM OF A DAMAGED CARGO SHIP IN ODESA ALIGNS WITH PREVIOUS REPORTS of a BALLISTIC STRIKE (though TWO SOURCES previously attributed it to BALLISTICS, while this one DOES NOT SPECIFY THE WEAPON).
  2. CONFIRMATION OF ATTACK ON CARGO SHIP, DAMAGE AND CASUALTIES (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

    • STERNENKO (20:21 UTC): Reports a Russian ballistic strike on the cargo ship "MJ Pinar" in Odesa, citing the Administration of Sea Ports of Ukraine (AMPU). Preliminary reports indicate 4 crew members killed and 1 injured.
    • ASTRA (20:39 UTC): Reports a drone attack on Odesa and damage to a cargo ship bound for Algeria. Cites photos from the Administration of Sea Ports of Ukraine, states that, according to preliminary information, 4 crew members were killed and one was injured.
    • Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (20:24): Posts images of the damaged ship.
    • Assessment: MULTIPLE SOURCES CONFIRM the ATTACK on the CARGO SHIP "MJ PINAR", though the TYPE OF WEAPON REMAINS INCONSISTENT (STERNENKO: BALLISTIC; ASTRA: DRONE; RUSSIAN SOURCE: UNSPECIFIED). REPORTS OF CASUALTIES are CONSISTENT. This ATTACK ON A CIVILIAN VESSEL has SIGNIFICANT IMPLICATIONS, potentially constituting a WAR CRIME.
  3. FURTHER RUSSIAN CEASEFIRE STATEMENTS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • Alex Parker Returns (20:22 UTC): Cites Russian Duma Deputy Sobolev stating that Russia will not agree to a temporary ceasefire because it would allow Ukraine to regroup and rearm.
    • ТАСС (20:22 UTC): Quotes Duma Deputy Sheremet stating Russia is interested in a settlement but will not allow itself to be deceived.
    • Assessment: These STATEMENTS REINFORCE the RUSSIAN POSITION that a TEMPORARY CEASEFIRE is UNACCEPTABLE. They SUGGEST DISTRUST of UKRAINIAN INTENTIONS and POTENTIAL MAXIMALIST DEMANDS for a PERMANENT SETTLEMENT on RUSSIAN TERMS.
  4. RUSSIAN MoD CLAIMS (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • MoD Russia (20:22 UTC): Claims Gerasimov inspected units in the Kursk region, and reports the downing of 343 Ukrainian UAVs. Claims the "Sever" group liberated 12 settlements and over 100 square kilometers in the Kursk region.
    • Assessment: The CLAIM OF DOWNING 343 UAVs is EXTREMELY HIGH and LIKELY EXAGGERATED, though it REFLECTS THE INTENSITY OF DRONE WARFARE. The CLAIM OF LIBERATING SETTLEMENTS in the KURSK REGION is CONSISTENT with PREVIOUS REPORTS of a RUSSIAN ADVANCE in that AREA.
  5. WESTERN LEADERS' SUPPORT FOR CEASEFIRE

  • ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (20:41 UTC): British Prime Minister Kir Starmer urged Russia to agree to a ceasefire after US and Ukrainian talks. He called the agreement a breakthrough and a meeting on Saturday will discuss next steps.
  • ТАСС (20:37 UTC): Reports that Macron is supportive of the ceasefire.
  • Assessment: The ceasefire agreement continues to receive Western support.

Updated Situation Summary

  • EXTREME PRIORITY:

    • CONFIRMED RUSSIAN DRONE ATTACK ON DNIPRO, resulting in INFRASTRUCTURE DAMAGE. ANTI-DRONE ACTIVITY CONTINUES.
    • WIDESPREAD DRONE ACTIVITY ACROSS MULTIPLE UKRAINIAN REGIONS, with MULTIPLE WAVES and SHIFTING TARGETS.
    • CONFIRMED ATTACK ON CARGO SHIP "MJ PINAR" IN ODESA, with REPORTS OF CASUALTIES. The TYPE OF WEAPON REMAINS UNCLEAR.
    • RUSSIAN ADVANCE ON SUDZHA, KURSK OBLAST. ALL PREVIOUS ASSESSMENTS AND RECOMMENDATIONS REMAIN IN EFFECT.
  • HIGH PRIORITY:

    • RUSSIAN CLAIMS of STRIKES on ODESSA and DNIPRO.
    • RUSSIAN MoD CLAIMS of DOWNING 343 UAVs and LIBERATING SETTLEMENTS in the KURSK REGION.
    • CONTINUED DIPLOMATIC ACTIVITY surrounding a POTENTIAL CEASEFIRE, with RUSSIAN STATEMENTS indicating DISTRUST and POTENTIAL MAXIMALIST DEMANDS.
  • MEDIUM PRIORITY:

    • UKRAINE MAY RECEIVE MILITARY AID.

Updated Recommendations

  1. ADDRESS THE CONFIRMED DRONE ATTACK ON DNIPRO (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • MAINTAIN MAXIMUM ALERT STATUS for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS in DNIPRO and SURROUNDING AREAS.
    • PRIORITIZE INTERCEPTING DRONES and PROTECTING CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.
    • CONTINUE DAMAGE ASSESSMENT and REPAIR EFFORTS.
    • PROVIDE ASSISTANCE to ANY AFFECTED CIVILIANS.
  2. COUNTER THE WIDESPREAD DRONE THREAT (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

    • MAINTAIN MAXIMUM ALERT STATUS for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across ALL THREATENED REGIONS.
    • PRIORITIZE the PROTECTION OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE, POPULATION CENTERS, and MILITARY ASSETS.
    • DEPLOY MOBILE AIR DEFENSE UNITS to INTERCEPT DRONES along REPORTED FLIGHT PATHS.
    • UTILIZE ELECTRONIC WARFARE SYSTEMS to JAM DRONE SIGNALS.
    • COORDINATE with ALLIED FORCES to SHARE INTELLIGENCE on DRONE ACTIVITY and REQUEST ASSISTANCE, if needed.
  3. ADDRESS THE ATTACK ON THE CARGO SHIP "MJ PINAR" (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • INVESTIGATE THE ATTACK and DETERMINE THE TYPE OF WEAPON USED.
    • DOCUMENT EVIDENCE of POTENTIAL WAR CRIMES.
    • PROVIDE ASSISTANCE to ANY INJURED CREW MEMBERS and FAMILIES OF THE DECEASED.
    • ASSESS THE DAMAGE to the SHIP and ANY POTENTIAL IMPACT ON PORT OPERATIONS.
    • RAISE THE ISSUE with INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS and ALLIED GOVERNMENTS.
  4. VERIFY RUSSIAN MoD CLAIMS (HIGH PRIORITY, INTELLIGENCE GATHERING):

    • DEPLOY INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to VERIFY the CLAIMS of DOWNING 343 UAVs and LIBERATING SETTLEMENTS in the KURSK REGION.
    • ASSESS THE ACCURACY of the CLAIMS and ANY POTENTIAL EXAGGERATIONS.
  5. MONITOR DIPLOMATIC DEVELOPMENTS (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

    • CLOSELY MONITOR ALL OFFICIAL STATEMENTS and MEDIA REPORTS regarding POTENTIAL CEASEFIRE TALKS.
    • ASSESS RUSSIAN DEMANDS and DETERMINE POTENTIAL NEGOTIATING POSITIONS.
  6. ADDRESS THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ON SUDZHA (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS REMAIN IN EFFECT AND ARE FURTHER URGENTLY REINFORCED.
  7. ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR MILITARY AID (MEDIUM PRIORITY):

    • CONTACT US SOURCES to determine the likelihood of Ukraine receiving military aid.

The situation remains EXTREMELY CRITICAL and HIGHLY DYNAMIC. The CONFIRMED DRONE ATTACK ON DNIPRO and the ATTACK ON THE CARGO SHIP IN ODESA represent MAJOR ESCALATIONS. The WIDESPREAD DRONE ACTIVITY continues to pose a SIGNIFICANT THREAT. The RUSSIAN ADVANCE ON SUDZHA remains a MAJOR CONCERN. DIPLOMATIC EFFORTS towards a CEASEFIRE are ONGOING, but RUSSIAN STATEMENTS suggest DIFFICULT NEGOTIATIONS. IMMEDIATE AND DECISIVE ACTION is required to ADDRESS THE CRITICAL SITUATIONS.

[Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs]

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:

  • The U.S. and Russia will hold meetings regarding Ukraine on March 11 or 12.: 0.7
  • : 0.08
  • Trump's statement is an attempt to influence negotiations.: 0.04
  • The meetings are already planned.: 0.03
  • The information is false or misleading.: 0.01
  • The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.64
  • Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.62
  • The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
  • The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
  • The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
  • The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
  • Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.55
  • Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 0.999999999999999
  • Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 0.9999999
  • Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
  • Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.65
  • Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
  • 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
  • Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
  • Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.3
  • Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.25
  • Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
  • Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
  • Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.75
  • There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.8
  • Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
  • Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
  • Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
  • Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
  • The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
  • Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
  • There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.99999999999999
  • Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
  • There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
  • There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
  • Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
  • There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
  • Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
  • Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
  • Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.57
  • There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.99999999999999
  • Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
  • A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
  • A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
  • A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
  • Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
  • Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
  • Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
  • There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
  • Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
  • There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
  • Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
  • There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
  • A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
  • Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
  • Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
  • Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
  • Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
  • Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
  • Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
  • The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
  • The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
  • The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
  • Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
  • A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
  • The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
  • US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
  • The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
  • The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
  • Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
  • The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
  • The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
  • The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
  • Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
  • Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
  • The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
  • Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
  • Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
  • Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
  • On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
  • Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
  • Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
  • Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
  • Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
  • The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
  • One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
  • Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
  • 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
  • Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
  • Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
  • Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
  • Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
  • Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
  • Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
  • There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
  • There is a widespread, multi-regional drone attack across Ukraine.: 0.98
  • The city of Kyiv is under threat of drone attack.: 0.83
  • Russian forcers have reportedly been pushed out of Lebedevka, Viktorovka and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.: 0.77
  • Russian forces captured Martynovka.: 0.72
  • Ukraine has accepted a US proposal for a 30-day complete ceasefire, contingent on Russian acceptance. This includes all fronts, not just air and sea.: 0.98
  • Russian media and officials express high skepticism towards the ceasefire proposal, viewing it as a trap for Ukraine to rearm and regroup.: 0.93
  • There are reports of planned meetings between US and Russian officials on March 11 or 12 to discuss the ceasefire proposal.: 0.99999999999999
  • A ballistic missile threat was reported and then lifted for Odesa.: 0.75
  • Continued drone threats are present across multiple Ukrainian regions.: 0.99999999999999
  • France is replacing the US in providing satellite intelligence to Ukraine.: 0.6
  • There are claims of Russian forces in Sudzha.: 0.99999
  • Russian forces are occupying the center of Sudzha and the private sector.: 0.85
  • Russian forces continue to advance in the counterterrorism operation zone, liberating Makhnovka, Kazachya Loknya, Dmitryukov, and Zamostye.: 0.78
  • Trump believes Putin's agreement to a ceasefire would represent 75% of the way to resolving the Ukrainian conflict.: 0.65
  • Talks between US and Russian contact groups will occur tomorrow.: 0.8
  • Russia does not rule out contacts with US representatives in the next few days.: 0.85
  • Russian troops are occupying the center of Sudzha and the private sector.: 0.75
  • Ukrainian forces have been pushed out of the eastern part of Shevchenko as a result of Russian counterattacks. Fighting is ongoing for the northern part.: 0.65
  • Assault groups have reached the outskirts of the city from Mirny, Zamostye, and Kazachya Loknya: 0.85
  • Roads in the city are under the control of Russian troops.: 0.9
  • The 11th Airborne Assault Brigade destroyed at least five Ukrainian vehicles that were attempting to reinforce Sudzha: 0.86
  • Russian troops are occupying the Central Market: 0.999
  • Ukrainian troops are attempting to escape via side roads and through fields: 0.75
  • Trump intends to speak with Putin: 0.99
  • Von der Leyen stated that the EU will fully play its role in upcoming negotiations.: 0.8
  • A video call between Russia and Trump is possible.: 0.65
  • Putin's conditions to ceasing fire are that Ukraine must cede all territory in Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhia, along with officially withdrawing their application to NATO.: 0.76
  • Four crew members of a cargo ship in Odesa were killed from a ballistic strike.: 0.44
  • Infrastructure was destroyed in Dnipro, according to preliminary reports.: 0.7
  • Putin is scheduled to speak with Trump this Friday.: 0.7
  • Trump may call Putin this week.: 0.76
  • The US may consider restoring military aid under the PDA.: 0.55
  • Macron is urging the development of a security guarantees plan if a ceasefire occurs.: 0.65
  • The proposed 30-day ceasefire can be extended if both parties agree.: 0.55
  • Von der Leyen stated that the US-Ukraine talks are a positive step forward and that the ball is now in Russia's court.: 0.72
  • Russian troops are bringing the operation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kursk region to a logical conclusion, the assault of Sudzha has begun.: 0.8
  • A video was released of the Russian MFA claiming Russia will only agree to a permanent ceasefire under Russian terms: 0.6
  • Infrastructure was struck in Dnipro, there are damages: 0.7
  • Russia is not opposed to contact with US Representatives.: 0.7
  • Calin Georgescu was denied the ability to run for president: 0.4
  • There is a drone threat in Vinnystia Oblast.: 0.7
  • There is a drone threat in Dnipro, Pavlohrad, and Poltava.: 0.75
  • 4 members of the crew of a ship carrying wheat were killed in a ballistic attack.: 0.5
  • Trump confirmed that he is expecting a new meeting with Zelensky at the White House.: 0.65
  • A discussion about exchanging prisoners between Russia and Ukraine occurred in Jeddah.: 0.57
  • NATO Secretary Rytte is leaving for the US on March 12 and will meet with Trump on March 13.: 0.68
  • If Russia does not cease fire, the US will supply Ukraine and continue fighting.: 0.64
  • A Russian drone attack hit an infrastructure object in Dnipro.: 0.72
  • Anti-drone work is ongoing around Dnipro.: 0.56
  • A fundraising campaign is underway for a Russian special forces unit operating in the Sudzha direction, requesting donations for Mavic 3T drones.: 0.52
  • The unit involved is the RHBZ (Radiation, Chemical, and Biological Defense) special forces.: 0.52
  • A monument to soldiers of the Great Patriotic War in Cossack Loknya was desecrated by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.: 0.68
  • A drone attack hit a dry cargo ship traveling the Odessa — Algeria route: 0.6
  • 4 crew members were killed, and 1 was injured: 0.66
  • Russia will not agree to a temporary ceasefire because this will allow Ukraine to regroup and rearm.: 0.68
  • Trump is pushing for a complete ceasefire.: 0.3
  • Russia wants a complete and permanent ceasefire, not a temporary one.: 0.56
  • Gerasimov inspected the Kursk Group of Forces.: 0.5
  • 343 Ukrainian UAVs were downed by Russian air defenses.: 0.4
  • The Sever Group of Forces have liberated 12 settlements and more than 100 square kilometers of Kursk region.: 0.5
  • The Yug Group of Forces liberated Gorkogo (Donetsk People's Republic).: 0.45
  • A series of strikes were carried out in Ukraine.: 0.6
  • An infrastructure object is burning in Dnipropetrovsk.: 0.58
  • A dry cargo ship was damaged in Odessa under the flag of Barbados.: 0.6
  • After strikes in Odessa, there were Iskander strikes in Dnipropetrovsk.: 0.5
  • Drones are expected to arrive in Dnipro soon.: 0.52
  • A mineral deal will be signed when the American side considers it convenient: 0.4
  • Macron is supportive of the 30-day ceasefire.: 0.7
  • There is a drone threat to Zhytomyr Oblast.: 0.75
  • There are reports of a multi-regional drone attack in progress.: 0.9
  • British Prime Minister Kir Starmer urged Russia to agree to a ceasefire: 0.7
Previous (2025-03-11 20:13:48Z)

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