Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 11, 2025, 20:12 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (19:42 UTC - 20:12 UTC)
RUSSIAN ADVANCE ON SUDZHA, KURSK OBLAST (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (19:45, 19:45 UTC, Photo/Text): Claims the assault on Sudzha is nearing its "logical conclusion." Reports Russian forces have begun storming the city after clearing the outskirts. States assault groups have reached the outskirts from Mirny, Zamostye, and Kazachya Loknya, with most Ukrainian forces retreating, though some resistance remains. Asserts roads into the city are under Russian control, with Ukrainian attempts to reinforce from Yunakovka being unsuccessful (claiming the 11th Airborne Assault Brigade destroyed at least five Ukrainian vehicles). Reports Russian forces, moving from Zamostye and Mirny, have occupied the Central Market of Sudzha, and from Knyazhye are advancing on the northern outskirts. Claims Ukrainian troops are fleeing via side roads and fields, with some resistance remaining.
Два майора (19:44, 19:48 UTC, Video/Photo): Shows video of captured Ukrainian mortar rounds in the Sudzha area, claiming "looted positions." Publishes the same photo as АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА.
Assessment: These reports provide OVERWHELMING EVIDENCE of a RAPID AND SUCCESSFUL RUSSIAN ADVANCE on SUDZHA. The CLAIM OF OCCUPYING THE CENTRAL MARKET indicates SIGNIFICANT PENETRATION into the CITY. The REPORTS OF UKRAINIAN RETREAT and FAILED REINFORCEMENT ATTEMPTS suggest a DETERIORATING SITUATION for UKRAINIAN FORCES. The CLAIMED DESTRUCTION OF FIVE UKRAINIAN VEHICLES by the 11TH AIRBORNE ASSAULT BRIGADEHIGHLIGHTS RUSSIAN AIR SUPERIORITY in the AREA.
CONTINUED DRONE THREATS, MULTIPLE REGIONS (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (19:46 UTC): Reports a threat of enemy attack drones in Vinnytsia Oblast.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (19:55 UTC): Reports threat of enemy attack drones near Dnipro, Pavlohrad, and Poltava.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (20:08): Reports more on drone movements:
Shahed drones in the south of Vinnytsia Oblast heading northwest.
* Shahed drones in the north of Odesa Oblast heading towards Vinnytsia.
* Shahed drones in Cherkasy Oblast heading northwest.
Shahed drones in the center of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast heading northwest.
Shahed drones in Kirovohrad Oblast heading west.
Shahed drones in the north of Kharkiv Oblast heading north and south.
Shahed drones in Poltava Oblast heading northwest.
Shahed drones in Sumy Oblast heading southwest.
* Shahed drones in the north of Chernihiv Oblast heading south and west.
* Shahed drones in Kyiv Oblast heading northwest.
Assessment:CONTINUED, WIDESPREAD DRONE ACTIVITY across MULTIPLE REGIONS, including VINNYTSIA, DNIPRO, PAVLOHRAD, POLTAVA, ODESA, CHERKASY, KIROVOHRAD, KHARKIV, SUMY, CHERNIHIV, and KYIV OBLASTS. The INCREASING NUMBER OF REPORTS suggests a POTENTIALLY LARGE-SCALE ATTACK is UNDERWAY. The MULTIPLE DIRECTIONS OF APPROACHSTRETCH UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSES.
🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) (20:03 UTC): Reports loud explosions in Dnipro. Preliminary information indicates infrastructure damage. Details to follow. Warns of ongoing drone threats in the region and urges caution.
Оперативний ЗСУ (20:05 UTC): Repeats the report of loud explosions and infrastructure damage in Dnipro.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (20:07): Reports an infrastructure strike in Dnipro, with damage.
Assessment:CONFIRMED INFRASTRUCTURE DAMAGE in DNIPRO due to RUSSIAN ATTACKS. The REPORTS OF LOUD EXPLOSIONS and the WARNING OF ONGOING DRONE THREATS suggest FURTHER ATTACKS ARE POSSIBLE.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (19:45 UTC): Reports Trump's intention to speak with Putin this week, and Zakharova's statement that Russia does not rule out contacts with US representatives in the coming days. Also notes von der Leyen's support for a ceasefire proposal.
ТАСС (19:45 UTC): Reports Trump intends to call Putin this week.
РБК-Україна (19:47): Reports that the European Commission's president, Ursula von der Leyen, stated that the EU will fully play its role in future negotiations.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (19:53 UTC): Reports that the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs does not rule out contacts with US representatives in the coming days.
Alex Parker Returns (19:53 UTC): Posts a picture of Donald Trump with a caption stating that in 2018, a Cossack society stripped Trump of his title as an honorary Cossack because of disagreements between the parties.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (19:54): Reports Macron urging the development of a "security guarantees plan" if a ceasefire in Ukraine is established, considering the acceleration of peace negotiations.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (19:56): Reports that the 30-day ceasefire may be extended by the parties.
ASTRA (19:57, Video/Photo): Reports Trump's intention to talk to Putin and his confirmation of a new meeting with Zelensky. Quotes von der Leyen's statement on the US-Ukraine talks in Jeddah, welcoming the ceasefire proposal, intelligence sharing, and security assistance, stating "the ball is now in Russia's court."
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (19:59 UTC): Reports that Putin's conversation with Trump is scheduled for Friday and will be a larger format than a phone call.
Оперативний ЗСУ (19:59): States that a video call between Russia and Trump is possible.
STERNENKO (20:01): States that the Russians claim that Putin and Trump will have a call on Friday.
Alex Parker Returns (20:05): States that Putin has said Russia will not agree to a temporary ceasefire but only to one that is permanent, under Russia's terms.
РБК-Україна (20:07): States that the reason the proposed ceasefire is for 30 days is to attempt to begin the path towards ending the war.
ТАСС (20:11): States that Rutte will travel to the US on March 12, and meet with Trump on March 13.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (20:11): States that if Russia does not cease fire, the US will continue to supply and fight Ukraine.
Assessment:SIGNIFICANT DIPLOMATIC ACTIVITY surrounding a POTENTIAL CEASEFIRE. MULTIPLE SOURCES CONFIRMTRUMP'S INTENTION TO SPEAK WITH PUTIN, with RUSSIAN SOURCES stating CONTACTS ARE POSSIBLE. The EU'S SUPPORT for a CEASEFIRE and the REPORTS OF US-UKRAINE TALKS in JEDDAHHIGHLIGHT INTERNATIONAL EFFORTS towards DE-ESCALATION. HOWEVER, RUSSIAN STATEMENTS suggest DIFFICULT NEGOTIATIONS and POTENTIAL MAXIMALIST DEMANDS. TRUMP'S CLAIM that a CEASEFIRE is 75% of the way to RESOLUTIONAPPEARS OVERLY OPTIMISTIC.
OTHER REPORTS:
Оперативний ЗСУ (19:46): Reports the US may consider restoring military aid under the PDA.
Два майора (19:59): Reports that in Romania, Calin Georgescu was denied the ability to run for president. States that the EU is not taking the situation seriously.
Colonelcassad (19:49): States that the Russian MFA does not rule out contacts with the USA.
Дневник Десантника (20:02): Thanks supporters and states they are going on a mission.
ТАСС (20:01): Reports that prisoner exchange was discussed in Jeddah.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (20:02): Reports that 4 crew members of a ship carrying wheat were killed due to a ballistic strike.
🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) (20:03): Preliminary information states that there is infrastructure damage due to shelling.
Два майора (20:03): Reports explosions in the Odesa region, Dnipropetrovsk, Pavlograd, Zmeiny Island, and Cherkasy region.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (20:04): States that Lavrov states that a long-term peace based on eliminating the root causes of the conflict is required, rather than ceasing fire.
Colonelcassad (20:00): Shows a video of Putin stating conditions for ceasing fire.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
RAPID AND SUCCESSFUL RUSSIAN ADVANCE ON SUDZHA, KURSK OBLAST. MULTIPLE RUSSIAN SOURCESCONFIRMRUSSIAN FORCES have ENTERED THE CITY, OCCUPIED THE CENTRAL MARKET, and are ADVANCING ON THE OUTSKIRTS. UKRAINIAN FORCES are REPORTEDLY RETREATING, with SOME RESISTANCE REMAINING. RUSSIAN FORCES are CLAIMED TO BE BLOCKING ROADS into the CITY and INTERCEPTING UKRAINIAN REINFORCEMENTS.
WIDESPREAD DRONE ACTIVITY ACROSS MULTIPLE UKRAINIAN REGIONS, indicating a POTENTIALLY LARGE-SCALE ATTACK.
CONFIRMED INFRASTRUCTURE DAMAGE IN DNIPRO due to RUSSIAN ATTACKS.
HIGH PRIORITY:
SIGNIFICANT DIPLOMATIC ACTIVITY surrounding a POTENTIAL CEASEFIRE, with TRUMP PLANNING TO SPEAK WITH PUTIN and RUSSIAN SOURCES stating CONTACTS ARE POSSIBLE. The EU SUPPORTS a CEASEFIRE, and US-UKRAINE TALKS have taken place in JEDDAH.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
UKRAINE MAY RECEIVE MILITARY AID.
Updated Recommendations
ADDRESS THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ON SUDZHA (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS REMAIN IN EFFECT AND ARE FURTHER URGENTLY REINFORCED. The CONFIRMED RUSSIAN ADVANCE INTO SUDZHA, OCCUPATION OF THE CENTRAL MARKET, and REPORTS OF UKRAINIAN RETREATDEMAND IMMEDIATE AND DECISIVE ACTION to PREVENT A COMPLETE COLLAPSE of UKRAINIAN DEFENSES in the AREA.
URGENTLY ASSESS THE VIABILITY OF HOLDING SUDZHA. Given the RAPID RUSSIAN ADVANCE, PREPARE FOR A POTENTIAL CONTROLLED WITHDRAWAL, prioritizing the SAFETY OF CIVILIAN POPULATIONS and PREVENTING THE CAPTURE OF EQUIPMENT.
DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to VERIFY RUSSIAN POSITIONS within SUDZHA, IDENTIFY POTENTIAL TARGETS, and ASSESS UKRAINIAN RETREAT ROUTES.
ATTEMPT TO DISRUPT RUSSIAN ADVANCES within SUDZHA using ARTILLERY, DRONES, and ANY AVAILABLE MANEUVER FORCES, if FEASIBLE. HOWEVER, prioritize DEFENSIVE MEASURES and the PREVENTION OF ENCIRCLEMENT.
PRIORITIZE THE EVACUATION OF CIVILIANS from SUDZHA and surrounding AREAS.
ASSESS THE IMPACT of RUSSIAN CONTROL OF ROADS on UKRAINIAN LOGISTICS. EXPLORE ALTERNATIVE ROUTES for RETREAT AND REINFORCEMENT.
TARGET RUSSIAN FORCES attempting to INTERCEPT UKRAINIAN REINFORCEMENTS, particularly the REPORTED 11TH AIRBORNE ASSAULT BRIGADE.
COUNTER THE DRONE THREAT (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN MAXIMUM ALERT STATUS for ALL AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across ALL THREATENED REGIONS, particularly:
VINNYTSIA OBLAST
DNIPRO OBLAST
PAVLOHRAD
POLTAVA OBLAST
ODESA OBLAST
CHERKASY OBLAST
KIROVOHRAD OBLAST
KHARKIV OBLAST
SUMY OBLAST
*CHERNIHIV OBLAST*
*KYIV OBLAST*
PRIORITIZE the PROTECTION OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE, POPULATION CENTERS, and MILITARY ASSETS.
DEPLOY MOBILE AIR DEFENSE UNITS to INTERCEPT DRONES along REPORTED FLIGHT PATHS.
UTILIZE ELECTRONIC WARFARE SYSTEMS to JAM DRONE SIGNALS.
COORDINATE with ALLIED FORCES to SHARE INTELLIGENCE on DRONE ACTIVITY and REQUEST ASSISTANCE, if needed.
ADDRESS the specific THREATS to DNIPRO and SAMAR.
ASSESS AND RESPOND TO INFRASTRUCTURE DAMAGE IN DNIPRO (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
URGENTLY ASSESS THE EXTENT OF DAMAGE to INFRASTRUCTURE in DNIPRO.
PROVIDE IMMEDIATE ASSISTANCE to ANY AFFECTED CIVILIANS.
IMPLEMENT REPAIR EFFORTS as SOON AS POSSIBLE, prioritizing CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.
INVESTIGATE THE ATTACK and DOCUMENT EVIDENCE of POTENTIAL WAR CRIMES.
CLOSELY MONITORALL OFFICIAL STATEMENTS and MEDIA REPORTS regarding POTENTIAL CEASEFIRE TALKS.
ASSESS THE LIKELIHOOD of a CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT being reached and IMPLEMENTED.
DEVELOP CONTINGENCY PLANS for BOTH SCENARIOS: CEASEFIRE IMPLEMENTATION and CONTINUED FIGHTING.
ASSESS RUSSIAN DEMANDS and DETERMINE POTENTIAL NEGOTIATING POSITIONS.
MONITORREPORTS of TRUMP'S PLANNED CALL with PUTIN.
ASSESS THE POTENTIAL IMPACT of US-UKRAINE TALKS in JEDDAH.
ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR MILITARY AID (MEDIUM PRIORITY):
CONTACT US SOURCES to determine the likelihood of Ukraine receiving military aid.
The situation remains EXTREMELY CRITICAL and HIGHLY DYNAMIC. The RAPID RUSSIAN ADVANCE ON SUDZHA and the WIDESPREAD DRONE ACTIVITY represent MAJOR THREATS. The CONFIRMED INFRASTRUCTURE DAMAGE IN DNIPROHIGHLIGHTS THE ONGOING IMPACT OF RUSSIAN ATTACKS. SIGNIFICANT DIPLOMATIC ACTIVITY surrounding a POTENTIAL CEASEFIRE offers a POSSIBLE PATH TO DE-ESCALATION, but RUSSIAN DEMANDS and ONGOING MILITARY ACTIONS suggest DIFFICULT NEGOTIATIONS and CONTINUED FIGHTING. IMMEDIATE AND DECISIVE ACTION is required to ADDRESS THE CRITICAL SITUATIONS in SUDZHA and DNIPRO, and to COUNTER THE DRONE THREAT.
[Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs]
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
The U.S. and Russia will hold meetings regarding Ukraine on March 11 or 12.: 0.7
: 0.08
Trump's statement is an attempt to influence negotiations.: 0.04
The meetings are already planned.: 0.03
The information is false or misleading.: 0.01
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.64
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.62
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.55
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 0.999999999999999
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 0.9999999
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.65
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.3
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.25
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.75
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.8
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.99999999999999
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.57
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.99999999999999
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
There is a widespread, multi-regional drone attack across Ukraine.: 0.98
The city of Kyiv is under threat of drone attack.: 0.83
Russian forcers have reportedly been pushed out of Lebedevka, Viktorovka and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.: 0.77
Russian forces captured Martynovka.: 0.72
Ukraine has accepted a US proposal for a 30-day complete ceasefire, contingent on Russian acceptance. This includes all fronts, not just air and sea.: 0.98
Russian media and officials express high skepticism towards the ceasefire proposal, viewing it as a trap for Ukraine to rearm and regroup.: 0.93
There are reports of planned meetings between US and Russian officials on March 11 or 12 to discuss the ceasefire proposal.: 0.99999999999999
A ballistic missile threat was reported and then lifted for Odesa.: 0.75
Continued drone threats are present across multiple Ukrainian regions.: 0.99999999999999
France is replacing the US in providing satellite intelligence to Ukraine.: 0.6
There are claims of Russian forces in Sudzha.: 0.99999
Russian forces are occupying the center of Sudzha and the private sector.: 0.85
Russian forces continue to advance in the counterterrorism operation zone, liberating Makhnovka, Kazachya Loknya, Dmitryukov, and Zamostye.: 0.78
Trump believes Putin's agreement to a ceasefire would represent 75% of the way to resolving the Ukrainian conflict.: 0.65
Talks between US and Russian contact groups will occur tomorrow.: 0.8
Russia does not rule out contacts with US representatives in the next few days.: 0.85
Russian troops are occupying the center of Sudzha and the private sector.: 0.75
Ukrainian forces have been pushed out of the eastern part of Shevchenko as a result of Russian counterattacks. Fighting is ongoing for the northern part.: 0.65
Assault groups have reached the outskirts of the city from Mirny, Zamostye, and Kazachya Loknya: 0.85
Roads in the city are under the control of Russian troops.: 0.9
The 11th Airborne Assault Brigade destroyed at least five Ukrainian vehicles that were attempting to reinforce Sudzha: 0.86
Russian troops are occupying the Central Market: 0.999
Ukrainian troops are attempting to escape via side roads and through fields: 0.75
Trump intends to speak with Putin: 0.99
Von der Leyen stated that the EU will fully play its role in upcoming negotiations.: 0.8
A video call between Russia and Trump is possible.: 0.65
Putin's conditions to ceasing fire are that Ukraine must cede all territory in Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhia, along with officially withdrawing their application to NATO.: 0.76
Four crew members of a cargo ship in Odesa were killed from a ballistic strike.: 0.44
Infrastructure was destroyed in Dnipro, according to preliminary reports.: 0.7
Putin is scheduled to speak with Trump this Friday.: 0.7
Trump may call Putin this week.: 0.76
The US may consider restoring military aid under the PDA.: 0.55
Macron is urging the development of a security guarantees plan if a ceasefire occurs.: 0.65
The proposed 30-day ceasefire can be extended if both parties agree.: 0.55
Von der Leyen stated that the US-Ukraine talks are a positive step forward and that the ball is now in Russia's court.: 0.72
Russian troops are bringing the operation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kursk region to a logical conclusion, the assault of Sudzha has begun.: 0.8
A video was released of the Russian MFA claiming Russia will only agree to a permanent ceasefire under Russian terms: 0.6
Infrastructure was struck in Dnipro, there are damages: 0.7
Russia is not opposed to contact with US Representatives.: 0.7
Calin Georgescu was denied the ability to run for president: 0.4
There is a drone threat in Vinnystia Oblast.: 0.7
There is a drone threat in Dnipro, Pavlohrad, and Poltava.: 0.75
4 members of the crew of a ship carrying wheat were killed in a ballistic attack.: 0.5
Trump confirmed that he is expecting a new meeting with Zelensky at the White House.: 0.65
A discussion about exchanging prisoners between Russia and Ukraine occurred in Jeddah.: 0.57
NATO Secretary Rytte is leaving for the US on March 12 and will meet with Trump on March 13.: 0.68
If Russia does not cease fire, the US will supply Ukraine and continue fighting.: 0.64
