РБК-Україна (07:00 UTC) reports Elon Musk stating on X (formerly Twitter): "My Starlink system is the backbone of the Ukrainian army. Their entire front line would collapse if I turned it off. I'm sick of the years of stalemate massacre that Ukraine will inevitably lose."
Colonelcassad (07:29 UTC) states: My Starlink system is the backbone of the Ukrainian army. Their entire front line will collapse if I turn it off.
I'm sick of the many years of carnage in a stalemate that Ukraine will inevitably lose. Anyone who really cares, really thinks and really understands wants this meat grinder to stop. (c) Elon Musk.
Assessment: This REINFORCES PREVIOUS REPORTS of MUSK'S THREAT TO DISABLE STARLINK. The statement EXPLICITLY ACKNOWLEDGES UKRAINE'S DEPENDENCE on STARLINK and REITERATES THE THREAT OF DISRUPTION. Musk's EXPRESSION OF FRUSTRATION with the war and PREDICTION OF UKRAINIAN DEFEAT indicate a SIGNIFICANT SHIFT IN HIS POSITION. THIS IS A CRITICAL THREAT requiring IMMEDIATE ACTION.
UKRAINIAN AIR FORCE REPORT ON DRONE ATTACKS (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (07:02 UTC) reports:
73 enemy Shahed-type UAVs and other types of drones were shot down in Kharkiv, Poltava, Sumy, Chernihiv, Cherkasy, Kyiv, Kirovohrad, Zhytomyr, Khmelnytskyi, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Mykolaiv Oblasts.
37 enemy "decoy drones" were "lost locally" (without negative consequences).
The enemy attacked with 119 Shahed-type UAVs and decoy drones from various directions.
Donetsk, Kharkiv, Poltava, Cherkasy, Sumy, and Zaporizhzhia regions were affected by the enemy attack.
Оперативний ЗСУ (07:03 UTC) repeats the report.
РБК-Україна (07:06 UTC) echoes the report of 73 enemy UAVs shot down by Ukrainian forces, and 37 decoy drones lost.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS A MASSIVE DRONE ATTACK on UKRAINE overnight. The HIGH NUMBER OF DRONES (119) indicates a MAJOR EFFORT by RUSSIA. The REPORT OF 73 DRONES SHOT DOWN demonstrates SIGNIFICANT UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSE ACTIVITY. The USE OF DECOY DRONES is NOTEWORTHY, suggesting an attempt to OVERWHELM or CONFUSE air defenses. MULTIPLE REGIONS were TARGETED, indicating a WIDESPREAD ATTACK.
ASTRA (07:03 UTC) states that a UAV fell for the first time on Chuvashia. It reports the drone fell on a reconstructed oil base.
Военкор Котенок (07:16 UTC) reports, though not officially confirmed, that a Ukrainian drone attempted to attack an enterprise in Cheboksary.
Assessment: These reports CORROBORATE PREVIOUS REPORTS of a DRONE ATTACK on CHEBOKSARY. The CLAIM OF IT BEING THE FIRST ATTACK on CHUVASHIA highlights the EXPANDING RANGE of UKRAINIAN DRONE OPERATIONS. REQUIRES FURTHER VERIFICATION.
CLAIMED FIGHTING FOR DNEPROENERGIYA (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
ТАСС (07:14 UTC) reports that fighting has begun for the village of Dneproenergiya in the south of the DPR.
Assessment: This REQUIRES URGENT VERIFICATION. If confirmed, it indicates a NEW AREA OF ACTIVE COMBAT.
CLAIMED DESTRUCTION OF US MRAP (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Colonelcassad (07:15 UTC) reports the destruction of a US-made International MaxxPro MRAP by FPV drones in the Pokrovsk direction.
Assessment: This is a STANDARD REPORT of EQUIPMENT LOSS. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
STERNENKO (07:23 UTC) and Оперативний ЗСУ (07:10 UTC) report that a UAV attacked an oil depot at the "Burevestnik Combine" in Cheboksary overnight. Local authorities claim the facility is under reconstruction.
Assessment: This CORROBORATES PREVIOUS REPORTS of a DRONE ATTACK in CHEBOKSARY. The TARGET (OIL DEPOT) is SIGNIFICANT.
OTHER:
Рыбарь (07:01 UTC). This is a Russian source and analyst, stating that talks of peace are ongoing, but that heavy fighting continues on the front.
Kotsnews (07:01 UTC): Advert for knives.
ТАСС (07:01 UTC): Reports that international hockey competitions are meaningless without the Russian team.
Север.Реалии (07:05 UTC): News about film awards.
WarGonzo (07:07 UTC): Reports on operations.
Zaporizhzhia Front: Fighting continues at above-average intensity, but no major advances reported. Both sides use long-range weapons.
Donetsk Front: Heavy fighting in multiple directions. Russian forces advance towards Bohatyr and Rozlyv. Ukrainian forces resist fiercely, holding the line but not launching major counterattacks. In Konstantynopol, Russian forces fight for the western outskirts. Fierce battles in the Pokrovsk direction, with Ukrainian forces deploying their most combat-ready units and conducting counterattacks.
Chasov Yar Direction: Russian forces continue assault operations in the western part of the city. No significant changes in the line of contact reported. Both sides actively use long-range weapons.
Kursk Region: Russian forces are in the final stage of liberating Sudzha. They attack from multiple directions, pressuring Ukrainian defenses. Ukrainian forces retreat closer to Sudzha, trying to withdraw their most combat-ready units. Tactical successes for Russian forces in Mala Loknya. The Russian flag is raised over Cherkasskoye Porechnoye. Fierce battles in Martynovka. In Sudzha itself, Russian forces defeated a Ukrainian convoy.
БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (07:07 UTC): Reports that Russian forces are using gas-pipelines to sneak into Ukrainian areas, but are intercepted and destroyed.
Военкор Котенок (07:08 UTC) and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (07:08 UTC): Report that 88 drones were shot down.
Рыбарь (07:12 UTC): Speculation on whether the gas pipeline attack was real or not.
Сили оборони Півдня України (07:12 UTC): Lists Ukrainian losses and achievements for the area.
🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (07:12 UTC): Details the damage done by the attacks.
Военкор Котенок (07:13 UTC): Criticizes Elon Musk on his announcement.
Офіс Генерального прокурора (07:16 UTC): Reports on the strike on civilian infrastructure.
Военкор Котенок (07:16 UTC): Reports on a possible strike in Cheboksary.
Рыбарь (07:17 UTC): Discusses the information war and gas pipeline attacks.
ASTRA (07:18 UTC): Confirms 73 drones shot down, 37 lost, and several regions affected.
Басурин о главном (07:24 UTC): Report on the battles, claiming high casualties.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
ELON MUSK'S EXPLICIT THREAT TO DISABLE STARLINK REMAINS THE TOP PRIORITY. THIS IS A CRITICAL VULNERABILITY THAT MUST BE ADDRESSED IMMEDIATELY.
HIGH PRIORITY:
**MASSIVE RUSSIAN DRONE ATTACK CONFIRMED, with 73 DRONES REPORTEDLY SHOT DOWN and 37 DECOY DRONES LOST. MULTIPLE REGIONS TARGETED.
**CONTINUED INTENSE FIGHTING on MULTIPLE FRONTS, particularly in the KURSK, DONETSK, and CHASOV YAR directions.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
Reports of widespread drone strikes targeting Russian territory.
Claimed attacks on spirit factory.
Claimed Russian control of Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.
Updated Recommendations
ADDRESS ELON MUSK'S STARLINK THREAT (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS STAND. THIS IS THE TOP PRIORITY.
ASSESS AND RESPOND TO THE MASSIVE DRONE ATTACK (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
CONTINUE MONITORING for FURTHER DRONE ACTIVITY.
ASSESS THE EFFECTIVENESS of AIR DEFENSES in RESPONDING TO THE ATTACK.
IDENTIFY ANY GAPS in AIR DEFENSE COVERAGE and ADDRESS THEM.
INVESTIGATE THE USE OF DECOY DRONES by RUSSIA and DEVELOP COUNTERMEASURES.
VERIFY AND RESPOND TO REPORTS OF FIGHTING FOR DNEPROENERGIYA (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
DEPLOY RECONNAISSANCE ASSETS to VERIFY THE REPORT.
ASSESS THE STRATEGIC SIGNIFICANCE of the LOCATION.
VERIFY AND RESPOND TO REPORTED DRONE ATTACKS ON RUSSIAN TERRITORY (MEDIUM PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
VERIFY THE REPORTS of DRONE ATTACKS on CHEBOKSARY and BUTURLINOVKA.
ASSESS THE DAMAGE and IMPACT on INFRASTRUCTURE.
ALL OTHER PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS REMAIN IN EFFECT.
The situation remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND VOLATILE. ELON MUSK'S EXPLICIT THREAT TO DISABLE STARLINK is a CRITICAL VULNERABILITY that MUST BE ADDRESSED IMMEDIATELY. The MASSIVE RUSSIAN DRONE ATTACK and CONTINUED INTENSE FIGHTING on MULTIPLE FRONTS underscore the HIGH LEVEL OF THREAT. IMMEDIATE ACTION is required to MITIGATE CRITICAL VULNERABILITIES, VERIFY CRITICAL INFORMATION, and ADAPT TO THE EVOLVING BATTLEFIELD DYNAMICS.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.64
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.62
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.94
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 0.99
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 0.85
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.65
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.3
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.59
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.82
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.8
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.57
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.68
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.91
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
There is a widespread, multi-regional drone attack across Ukraine.: 0.98
The city of Kyiv is under threat of drone attack.: 0.83
Russian forcers have reportedly been pushed out of Lebedevka, Viktorovka and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.: 0.77
Russian forces captured Martynovka.: 0.72
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Ukrainian convoys were destroyed in the Sudzha area.: 0.78
Bridges were destroyed to prevent Ukrainian retreat near Sudzha.: 0.78
There are reports of high Ukrainian casualties near Sudzha.: 0.82
Russian forces reportedly advanced rapidly in the Kursk region.: 0.83
Russian forces are reportedly holding back to avoid overextension.: 0.61
There is confirmed continued Russian air activity, with the threat of air strikes.: 0.77
Potential targets are Sumy, Kharkiv and Chernihiv Oblasts due to air activity.: 0.75
Russian airstrikes using guided aerial bombs confirmed in Sumy Oblast.: 0.79
