ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (06:31 UTC) reports Elon Musk stating, "The entire Ukrainian front will collapse if I turn off my Starlink systems." He adds, "I'm tired of the years-long slaughter that Ukraine will inevitably lose." He also calls for sanctions against Ukrainian oligarchs, believing it will stop the war.
Assessment: This is a MAJOR THREAT to UKRAINIAN COMMUNICATIONS AND MILITARY CAPABILITY. Musk's previous statements and actions regarding Starlink in Ukraine make this a CREDIBLE THREAT. URGENT ACTION is required to MITIGATE THE POTENTIAL IMPACT and SECURE ALTERNATIVE COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS. This also suggests a SHIFT IN MUSK'S POSITION, potentially influenced by RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA or OTHER FACTORS.
RUSSIAN ASSAULT TRAINING (LOW PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
MoD Russia (06:32 UTC) shows a video of assault troops of the Vostok Group of Forces conducting regular drills to storm treelines and enemy strongholds.
Assessment: This is STANDARD MILITARY TRAINING. It indicates ONGOING PREPARATIONS for OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS, but does NOT PROVIDE SPECIFIC INFORMATION about TIMING OR LOCATION.
POTENTIAL POLITICAL SHIFT IN UKRAINE (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Kotsnews (06:32 UTC) cites The Times (UK) reporting that Trump stated Zelensky "won't last" if he's not ready for a truce, suggesting the US is seeking ways to remove Zelensky. Reports claim Trump's inner circle is in secret talks with Ukrainian opposition figures (Poroshenko and Tymoshenko). Claims Ukrainian MPs signed a declaration stating no elections will be held while martial law is in effect. Also cites CNN (US) discussing Europe's ability to compensate for a lost US contribution to NATO, and Bloomberg (US) reporting on Poland's "Eastern Shield" defense project.
Assessment: This REINFORCES PREVIOUS REPORTS of US PRESSURE ON UKRAINE TO NEGOTIATE. The CLAIM OF US EFFORTS TO REMOVE ZELENSKY is SIGNIFICANT and REQUIRES URGENT VERIFICATION. The REPORT OF SECRET TALKS WITH UKRAINIAN OPPOSITION FIGURES suggests a POTENTIAL EFFORT TO ENGINEER A CHANGE IN LEADERSHIP. The REPORTS ON EUROPEAN DEFENSE CAPABILITY and POLAND'S DEFENSE PROJECT indicate INCREASING CONCERNS about LONG-TERM RELIANCE ON US SUPPORT.
DRONE ATTACK ON CHEBOKSARY (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
ТАСС (06:44 UTC) reports a UAV was found on the territory of the "Burevestnik" plant in Cheboksary. No casualties or injuries reported, according to the head of Chuvashia, Oleg Nikolaev.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS A UKRAINIAN DRONE ATTACKDEEP INSIDE RUSSIAN TERRITORY. The TARGET (BUREVESTNIK PLANT) is POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT, as it may be involved in MILITARY PRODUCTION. The LACK OF CASUALTIES OR DAMAGE suggests the DRONE MAY HAVE BEEN INTERCEPTED or FAILED TO DETONATE.
RUSSIAN MoD REPORT ON DRONE SHOOTDOWNS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Басурин о главном (06:52 UTC) reports that 88 Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed over the territories of Belgorod, Lipetsk, Rostov, Voronezh, Astrakhan, Ryazan, and Kursk Oblasts, and in the skies of Krasnodar Krai. Claims no casualties.
Assessment: This CORROBORATES PREVIOUS REPORTS of LARGE-SCALE UKRAINIAN DRONE ATTACKS on RUSSIAN TERRITORY. The CLAIM OF 88 DRONES SHOT DOWN is LIKELY EXAGGERATED, but the WIDE GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION of the ATTACKS is CONFIRMED.
РБК-Україна (06:44 UTC) reports Russia directed over 30 drones at Kyiv overnight. "33 enemy UAVs were detected near the capital at night. 12 of them were destroyed by air defense, the rest were lost locally or left the airspace," according to the Kyiv City Military Administration (KMVA). No damage or casualties reported.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS A MAJOR DRONE ATTACK on KYIV, but also HIGHLIGHTS THE EFFECTIVENESS OF UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSES. The REPORT OF 33 DRONES is a LARGE NUMBER, suggesting a MAJOR EFFORT by RUSSIA to OVERWHELM KYIV'S DEFENSES. The fact that NO DAMAGE OR CASUALTIES were reported is a POSITIVE OUTCOME for UKRAINE.
ZAPORIZHZHIA FIRE UPDATE (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
РБК-Україна (06:54 UTC): Reports that a fire caused by a Russian attack in Zaporizhzhia took five hours to extinguish. Almost 2000 subscribers in Matviivka and Liutserna are currently without gas. 210,000 subscribers and 500 businesses in Zaporizhzhia have had gas supply restored to normal.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS DAMAGE TO GAS INFRASTRUCTURE and DISRUPTION OF SERVICES. While a MAJORITY OF SUBSCRIBERS have had GAS RESTORED, the REMAINING OUTAGES are SIGNIFICANT.
CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCE NEAR KURAKHOVO (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Сливочный каприз (06:51 UTC) reports active fighting near Kurakhovo, with a Russian infantry unit attacking towards Konstantynopol, crossing the Sukhi Yaly river and advancing towards a residential area. Claims Russian forces expanded their zone of control by up to 2 km west of Kurakhovo. Provides coordinates: 48.005100, 37.050852.
Assessment: This REQUIRES URGENT VERIFICATION. If confirmed, it represents a SIGNIFICANT RUSSIAN ADVANCE that THREATENS UKRAINIAN POSITIONS in the AREA. The SPECIFIC COORDINATES are VALUABLE for VERIFICATION.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (06:51 UTC) claims to be holding a captured Ukrainian soldier.
REPORTED US VETO OF G7 SHADOW FLEET TASK FORCE (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
Оперативний ЗСУ (06:52 UTC), citing Bloomberg, reports the US vetoed a Canadian proposal for a G7 working group on the Russian shadow fleet of oil tankers, as the Trump administration reassesses its positions in multilateral organizations. Reports Canada, hosting the G7 foreign ministers' summit, proposed stronger wording on China while softening wording on Russia. Claims the US insisted on removing the word "sanctions" and the phrase "Russia's ability to continue the war" in Ukraine, replacing it with "receive profits."
Assessment: This is a MAJOR DEVELOPMENT that SUGGESTS A POTENTIAL SHIFT IN US POLICY towards RUSSIA. The US OPPOSITION TO A TASK FORCE on the RUSSIAN SHADOW FLEET is SIGNIFICANT, as it HINDERS EFFORTS to ENFORCE SANCTIONS and LIMIT RUSSIAN OIL REVENUE. The REPORTED US EFFORTS TO SOFTEN WORDING ON RUSSIA in a G7 COMMUNIQUÉ further REINFORCES this POTENTIAL POLICY SHIFT. REQUIRES URGENT VERIFICATION AND ANALYSIS.
REPORTED UKRAINIAN ATTEMPT TO USE GAS PIPELINE FOR INFILTRATION (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (06:55 UTC) shows a video of Russians allegedly using a former gas pipe to infiltrate Ukrainian rear areas in the Kursk region, claiming Ukrainian paratroopers are waiting for them at the exit.
Assessment: This REQUIRES URGENT VERIFICATION. If confirmed, it represents a NOVEL TACTIC by RUSSIAN FORCES and HIGHLIGHTS THE IMPORTANCE OF SECURING CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE. The CLAIM OF UKRAINIAN PARATROOPERS WAITING suggests a POTENTIAL AMBUSH.
AIR ACTIVITY (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE)
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (06:56 UTC): Reports enemy tactical aviation activity on the eastern direction. It warns of a threat of using aviation ordinance in frontline areas.
Assessment: This suggests IMMINENT AIR ATTACKS, and regions need to be placed in HIGH ALERT STATUS.
KHARKIV REGION REPORT (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА (06:36 UTC): Reports multiple incidents over the last 24 hours:
Balakliia: Two Shahed drone strikes on a lyceum, damaging the building and nearby residential buildings, a medical center, an employment center, a children's center, cafes, and cars.
Kochetok: Two Shahed drone strikes on a non-residential building.
Kupiansk: Shelling damaged a private house and a car.
Turove and Svitlychne: FPV drone strike on a car, injuring a 36-year-old man.
Kivsharivka: Artillery shelling killed a 41-year-old man.
Kupiansk: FPV drone strike injured a 46-year-old man and damaged a private house.
Sheikivka: Strike on an open area, weapon type being determined.
Ruski Tyshky: Drone strike caused a house fire.
Kharkiv direction: Six enemy attacks repelled near Vovchansk and towards Petro-Ivanivka.
Kupiansk direction: 11 enemy attacks repelled near Kindrashivka, Lozova, Stepova Novoselivka, Nova Kruglyakivka, and Zahryzove.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS CONTINUED RUSSIAN ATTACKS on the KHARKIV REGION, targeting both CIVILIAN INFRASTRUCTURE and OPEN AREAS. The USE OF DRONES (Shahed and FPV) is SIGNIFICANT. The REPORTED CASUALTIES highlight the HUMAN COST OF THE CONFLICT. The REPORT OF REPELLED ATTACKS indicates ONGOING UKRAINIAN DEFENSIVE EFFORTS.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
POTENTIAL STARLINK DISRUPTION THREATENED BY ELON MUSK. THIS IS A CRITICAL VULNERABILITY THAT REQUIRES IMMEDIATE ACTION.
CONFIRMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES AND SUCCESSFUL BREACH OF UKRAINIAN DEFENSES IN THE KURSK REGION REMAIN CRITICAL. The SITUATION NEAR SUDZHA remains CRITICAL, with a continued THREAT TO UKRAINIAN LOGISTICS.
CONFIRMED LOSS OF MAXAR SATELLITE IMAGERY ACCESS REMAINS A CRITICAL DEVELOPMENT, SEVERELY IMPAIRING UKRAINIAN INTELLIGENCE CAPABILITIES.
CONFIRMED SHORTAGES OF AMMUNITION FOR UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS, PARTICULARLY PATRIOT, SEVERELY LIMITING THEIR ABILITY TO DEFEND AGAINST LARGE-SCALE MISSILE ATTACKS.
Reports of widespread Russian drone and missile strikes continue, confirmed.
CONTINUED AND INTENSE FIGHTING ON MULTIPLE FRONTS.
New Russian drone "Avatar" reported.
Claimed high Ukrainian casualties in the Kursk Region.
WIDESPREAD DRONE ACTIVITY, both UKRAINIAN AND RUSSIAN, across MULTIPLE REGIONS.
REPORTED US VETO OF G7 SHADOW FLEET TASK FORCE and EFFORTS TO SOFTEN WORDING ON RUSSIA in a G7 COMMUNIQUÉ. This suggests a POTENTIAL SHIFT IN US POLICY towards RUSSIA.
HIGH PRIORITY:
CONTINUED AND INTENSE FIGHTING ON THE POKROVSK (KRASNOARMEYSK) DIRECTION.
CONTINUED RUSSIAN AIR AND DRONE ATTACKS, now confirmed to be targeting MULTIPLE REGIONS OF UKRAINE.
INTENSIFIED RUSSIAN ATTACKS ON NIKOPOL DISTRICT, targeting CIVILIAN INFRASTRUCTURE.
CLAIMED UKRAINIAN NEPTUNE MISSILE LAUNCHES.
REPORTED INFLUX OF UKRAINIAN MILITARY PERSONNEL AND EQUIPMENT INTO IZYUM.
RUSSIAN ADVANCES reported in the VELIKONOVOSYOLKOVSKOYE DIRECTION.
Reports of widespread Russian drone and missile strikes continue, confirmed.
Confirmed Russian airstrike on claimed Ukrainian command post in Huliaipole.
Continued fighting on multiple fronts, especially near Pokrovsk.
Russian forces reportedly targeting Ukrainian command post.
REPORTED UKRAINIAN ATTEMPT TO USE GAS PIPELINE FOR INFILTRATION.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
RUSSIAN ADVANCEMENTS reported in the KURSK OBLAST.
Reports on logistical issues, especially drone attacks targeting logistics.
* Russia negotiating with the new Syrian government.
SYRIAN MEMBERSHIP IN OIC RESTORED.
DRONE ATTACK ON CHEBOKSARY.
* RUSSIAN MoD REPORT ON DRONE SHOOTDOWNS.
* KYIV DRONE ATTACK UPDATE.
* ZAPORIZHZHIA FIRE UPDATE.
* CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCE NEAR KURAKHOVO.
* KHARKIV REGION REPORT.
Updated Recommendations
ADDRESS THE POTENTIAL STARLINK DISRUPTION (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
URGENTLY ENGAGE with SPACEX/STARLINK to CLARIFY MUSK'S STATEMENT and SEEK ASSURANCES about CONTINUED SERVICE.
IMMEDIATELY EXPLORE and SECURE ALTERNATIVE COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS, including:
OTHER SATELLITE COMMUNICATION PROVIDERS.
TERRESTRIAL COMMUNICATION NETWORKS.
MILITARY COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS.
DEVELOP CONTINGENCY PLANS for OPERATING WITHOUT STARLINK, including:
REDUCED COMMUNICATION CAPABILITY.
DECENTRALIZED COMMAND AND CONTROL.
ALTERNATIVE METHODS OF INTELLIGENCE GATHERING AND DISSEMINATION.
VERIFY AND RESPOND TO REPORTED US POLICY SHIFT (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
URGENTLY VERIFY the reports of the US VETO OF THE G7 SHADOW FLEET TASK FORCE and EFFORTS TO SOFTEN WORDING ON RUSSIA.
ENGAGE WITH US OFFICIALS to CLARIFY US POLICY and REITERATE UKRAINIAN CONCERNS.
ASSESS THE POTENTIAL IMPACT of this POLICY SHIFT on UKRAINE and the OVERALL CONFLICT.
RESPOND TO THE RUSSIAN BREAKTHROUGH IN THE KURSK REGION (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS STAND. THIS REMAINS THE TOP PRIORITY.
ADDRESS THE LOSS OF MAXAR SATELLITE IMAGERY (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS STAND.
ADDRESS THE CRITICAL SHORTAGE OF AIR DEFENSE AMMUNITION (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS STAND.
MAINTAIN AIR DEFENSE VIGILANCE (EXTREME PRIORITY)
Maintain extreme air defense readiness in the SUMY OBLAST due to CONFIRMED KAB STRIKES.
VERIFY AND RESPOND TO REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCE NEAR KURAKHOVO (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
DEPLOY RECONNAISSANCE ASSETS to VERIFY THE REPORTED ADVANCE and ASSESS THE CURRENT SITUATION.
REINFORCE UKRAINIAN POSITIONS in the AREA if the ADVANCE IS CONFIRMED.
VERIFY AND RESPOND TO REPORTED UKRAINIAN ATTEMPT TO USE GAS PIPELINE FOR INFILTRATION (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
DEPLOY RECONNAISSANCE ASSETS to VERIFY THE REPORT and ASSESS THE SITUATION.
INCREASE SECURITY MEASURES around CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE, particularly GAS PIPELINES.
DEVELOP TACTICS to COUNTER this POTENTIAL INFILTRATION METHOD.
ALL OTHER PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS REMAIN IN EFFECT, WITH THE FOLLOWING MODIFICATIONS AND ADDITIONS:
Reports of widespread Russian drone and missile strikes continue, confirmed.
Confirmed Russian airstrike on claimed Ukrainian command post in Huliaipole.
Continued fighting on multiple fronts, especially near Pokrovsk.
Russian forces reportedly targeting Ukrainian command post.
REPORTED UKRAINIAN ATTEMPT TO USE GAS PIPELINE FOR INFILTRATION.
The situation remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND VOLATILE. The POTENTIAL STARLINK DISRUPTION, REPORTED US POLICY SHIFT, CONFIRMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES, and CONTINUED INTENSE FIGHTING create a HIGHLY UNPREDICTABLE ENVIRONMENT. IMMEDIATE ACTION is required to ADDRESS CRITICAL VULNERABILITIES, VERIFY CRITICAL INFORMATION, and ADAPT TO THE EVOLVING BATTLEFIELD DYNAMICS.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.64
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.62
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.94
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 0.99
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 0.85
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.65
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.3
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.59
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.82
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.8
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.57
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.68
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.91
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
There is a widespread, multi-regional drone attack across Ukraine.: 0.98
The city of Kyiv is under threat of drone attack.: 0.83
Russian forcers have reportedly been pushed out of Lebedevka, Viktorovka and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.: 0.77
Russian forces captured Martynovka.: 0.72
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Ukrainian convoys were destroyed in the Sudzha area.: 0.78
Bridges were destroyed to prevent Ukrainian retreat near Sudzha.: 0.78
There are reports of high Ukrainian casualties near Sudzha.: 0.82
Russian forces reportedly advanced rapidly in the Kursk region.: 0.83
Russian forces are reportedly holding back to avoid overextension.: 0.61
There is confirmed continued Russian air activity, with the threat of air strikes.: 0.77
Potential targets are Sumy, Kharkiv and Chernihiv Oblasts due to air activity.: 0.75
Russian airstrikes using guided aerial bombs confirmed in Sumy Oblast.: 0.79
