Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: February 17, 2025, 09:09 UTC
Changes and New Information (08:39 UTC - 09:09 UTC)
AIR ALERTS & MISSILE THREATS (MIXED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
Ukrainian Air Force (08:41 UTC) reports emergency power outages are canceled in Kyiv, Kyiv Oblast, and Dnipropetrovsk.
Ukrainian Air Force (08:41 UTC) reports a missile threat for Kharkiv Oblast.
AV БогомаZ (08:43 UTC) reports a missile alert cancellation for Suzemsky and Sevsky districts.
AV БогомаZ (08:59 UTC) reports a NEW missile alert for Suzemsky and Sevsky districts.
Assessment: This indicates a CONTINUING AND FLUCTUATING THREAT of air and missile attacks. The cancellation of emergency power outages is a POSITIVE DEVELOPMENT, but the renewed missile alert for the Kursk region suggests the threat remains HIGH.
CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCE IN KHARKOV OBLAST (CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
ТАСС (09:05 UTC) reports that Russian forces LIBERATED the settlement of Figolivka in Kharkiv Oblast, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD).
Assessment:IF VERIFIED, this would confirm claims by Russian military bloggers last night.
CLAIMED RUSSIAN STRIKE ON UKRAINIAN INFANTRY (CLAIMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (09:08 UTC) shows a video claiming a Russian strike on a Ukrainian "enemy".
Assessment: This confirms Russian operations, requires verification.
FURTHER REPORTED RUSSIAN STRIKES (REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Дневник Десантника (08:57 UTC): Reports minor damage to the CPC oil pumping station.
Дневник Десантника (09:03 UTC): Claims Trump has authorized European countries to purchase US weapons for transfer to Ukraine.
Assessment: This contradicts earlier claims.
OTHER DEVELOPMENTS:
Оперативний ЗСУ (08:41 UTC): Emergency power outages cancelled in Kyiv, Kyiv Region and Dnipropetrovsk Region.
Басурин о главном (08:43 UTC): Reports on the investigation of weapons stored by the Central Bank of Russia.
Новости Москвы (08:44 UTC): Reports that gas stoves older than 14 years are banned in Russia from 2025.
Alex Parker Returns (08:48 UTC): Claims Elon Musk found many social security users that were between 200 and 369 years old.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (08:48 UTC) reports on the head of the Munich Conference expressing frustration with the US position and support for Ukraine.
РБК-Україна (08:49 UTC): Reports the capture of agents related to a terrorist attack near Kamianets-Podilskyi.
ТАСС (08:49 UTC): Claims Visa and Mastercard will return to Russia.
Север.Реалии (08:50 UTC): Reports on a taxi driver that helped protect an elderly woman from fraud.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (08:51 UTC) reports on the terrorist attack near Kamianets-Podilskyi.
Оперативний ЗСУ (08:52 UTC): Reports on the terrorist attack near Kamianets-Podilskyi, along with images.
Colonelcassad (08:52 UTC): Reports on a meeting between US and Russian delegations in Riyadh.
ASTRA (08:55 UTC): Reports damage in the Kharkiv region due to bombs and drones.
ТАСС (08:55 UTC) reports that Lavrov called some statements at the Munich conference aggressive.
MoD Russia (09:02 UTC): Shows images of the fuel services in operation.
Рыбарь (09:03 UTC) discusses the Strategic Dialogue between UK and Kazakhstan.
РБК-Україна (09:03 UTC): Reports on Ukraine's delegation at the Munich Security Conference.
БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (09:03 UTC): Shows a video of a drone operator.
Kotsnews (09:07 UTC): Reports on damaged Ukrainian vehicles.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (09:08 UTC): Shows a video of a strike on a "Russian" location.
Военкор Котенок (09:08 UTC): Reports Russian advances in multiple directions.
Updated Situation Summary
CONTINUED AIR AND MISSILE THREAT (HIGH PRIORITY, ONGOING): Fluctuating air alerts and missile threats indicate a CONTINUING DANGER across multiple regions.
CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCE (HIGH PRIORITY, RUSSIAN SOURCE): The Russian MoD claims the LIBERATION of Figolivka in Kharkiv Oblast. URGENT VERIFICATION REQUIRED.
CONFIRMED RUSSIAN STRIKE (HIGH PRIORITY, MULTIPLE SOURCES): Multiple claims of Russian strikes in different regions, including a video by the АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА.
ALL PREVIOUS KEY DEVELOPMENTS REMAIN RELEVANT.
Updated Recommendations
MAINTAIN HIGH AIR DEFENSE READINESS (EXTREME PRIORITY, ONGOING):
Maintain constant vigilance and rapid response capabilities in response to air raid alerts.
Prioritize protection of critical infrastructure and population centers.
VERIFY CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCE IN KHARKOV OBLAST (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
Deploy reconnaissance assets (drones, satellite imagery, HUMINT) to CONFIRM OR REFUTE the Russian MoD's claim regarding Figolivka.
Assess the implications for Ukrainian defensive positions and strategic objectives if the claim is confirmed.
VERIFY RUSSIAN STRIKES (HIGH PRIORITY): Verify the claims and images of the Russian strikes.
ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS REMAIN IN EFFECT (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
The situation remains HIGHLY DYNAMIC AND DANGEROUS. The CONTINUING AIR AND MISSILE THREATS require CONSTANT VIGILANCE. The claimed Russian advance in Kharkiv Oblast, IF CONFIRMED, represents a SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT requiring IMMEDIATE RESPONSE.
