Cruise missiles, initially reported in Sumy and heading south, have continued their movement into the Poltava region. (CONTINUED THREAT)
Multiple sources confirm the missiles are currently in the north of Poltava region, with a southerly course, and a vector towards the city of Poltava itself. (IMMINENT THREAT to Poltava)
Three cruise missiles were reported to be east of Myrhorod, still heading south. (MULTIPLE MISSILES)
Nikolaevsky Vanyok reports these missiles have been intercepted ("minus"). (POSSIBLE INTERCEPTION, Needs Verification)
Poltava City Under Threat (CONFIRMED):
Ukrainian Air Force and RBK-Ukraina specifically warn residents of Poltava to seek shelter immediately. (CITY TARGETED)
Missiles are approaching from the northwest. (DIRECTION OF ATTACK)
Explosions in Poltava (REPORTED):
Media outlets report hearing sounds of explosions in Poltava. (POSSIBLE STRIKE, Needs Verification)
Drone Activity (ONGOING, Multiple Regions):
Enemy attack UAVs are observed in the northeast of Chernihiv region (southwest course), the south of Sumy region, and the northwest of Kharkiv region (southwest course). (CONTINUED DRONE THREAT)
Nikolaevsky Vanyok reports two drones near Okhtyrka and one west of Konotop (southwest course). (SPECIFIC DRONE LOCATIONS)
TU-95MS Activity (MONITORED):
Nikolaevsky Vanyok reports four TU-95MS aircraft currently in the air in the Volgograd region, heading towards Olenya. Their mission and whether they launched missiles are unknown. They appear to be engaging in "odd behavior". (UNCLEAR INTENTIONS)
Air Raid Alerts and Power Outages (WIDESPREAD):
Air raid alerts are active across almost the entire country. (NATIONAL-SCALE ALERT)
Emergency power outages have been implemented in Ukraine due to the massive missile attack, confirmed by Ukrenergo and RBK-Ukraina. (INFRASTRUCTURE IMPACT)
Sumy region specifically reports emergency power outages after explosions, confirmed by TASS. (REGIONAL OUTAGES)
Operativnyi ZSU states Russia is targeting Ukrainian gas infrastructure.
Gas Infrastructure Attacked (Confirmed):
TSAPLIENKO_UKRAINE FIGHTS and RBK-Ukraina confirms Russian attacks on Ukrainian gas infrastructure overnight.
Extensive Attacks in Zaporizhzhia and Polohy (Confirmed):
Zaporizhzhia Regional Military Administration reports 481 strikes on 11 settlements in the Zaporizhzhia region, with one death and two injured. (HEAVY BOMBARDMENT)
16 airstrikes on Tavriis'ke and Huliaipole.
290 UAV attacks on multiple settlements.
2 MLRS attacks on Novodarivka and Shcherbaky.
173 artillery strikes on various settlements.
26 reports of damage to apartments and private houses.
Ground Situation
No significant changes from the previous reports, except as detailed above in air and missile threats and the attack on Zaporizhzhia.
Other Developments
Russia-US Arms Control Talks (POTENTIAL):
TASS reports Russia's readiness for comprehensive arms control talks with the US, according to the Russian Permanent Mission to the UN. (DIPLOMATIC SIGNAL)
Russian Military Vehicle Upgrades (Confirmed)
Colonelcassad reports, and provides images, of the Russian military modernizing armored vehicles based on experience in the war.
Claims of Large Russian Losses (Claim)
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides statistics of Russian losses.
Czech Republic Extradition Request (REPORTED):
ASTRA reports Russia's Prosecutor General's Office has requested the extradition of journalist Farida Kurbangaleeva from the Czech Republic. (POLITICAL/LEGAL DEVELOPMENT)
Ukrainian Military Situation (Claim)
The head of the EC Directorate-General for Expansion and Neighborhood Policy, Gert Jan Koopman, stated Ukraine needs to begin thinking about softening martial law.
Updated Situation Summary
CRITICAL Air Threat (Poltava Focus): The situation is extremely dangerous, with confirmed cruise missile strikes imminent or ongoing in the Poltava region. While there are reports of some interceptions, the threat remains ACTIVE. Widespread drone activity continues.
ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE TARGETED (Confirmed): Russia is actively targeting Ukrainian energy and gas infrastructure, resulting in widespread emergency power outages. This represents a deliberate strategy to degrade Ukrainian capabilities and harm the civilian population.
INTENSE BOMBARDMENT (Zaporizhzhia): The Zaporizhzhia region has experienced extremely heavy bombardment, with hundreds of strikes reported.
Updated Recommendations (Changes Highlighted)
MAINTAIN EXTREME ALERT for Air Defenses (Poltava and Surrounding Regions, EXTREME PRIORITY):
Prioritize the Poltava region, given the confirmed imminent threat.
Maintain high readiness for additional missile and drone attacks across the country.
Focus on intercepting reported drones in Chernihiv, Sumy, and Kharkiv regions.
ADDRESS POWER OUTAGES (Ukraine-Wide, HIGH PRIORITY):
Implement emergency measures to stabilize the power grid and restore electricity where possible.
Assess damage to gas infrastructure and begin repairs as soon as it is safe.
Gather Intelligence on TU-95MS Activity (HIGH PRIORITY):
Determine the intentions of the TU-95MS aircraft reported near Volgograd. Are they preparing for additional launches?
Monitor their movements and be prepared to issue updated alerts if necessary.
Verify interception claims.
Assess Impacts of Attacks (Zaporizhzhia, HIGH PRIORITY):
Gather detailed information on casualties, infrastructure damage, and humanitarian needs in the Zaporizhzhia region.
All Previous Recommendations REMAIN VALID, with the highest priority on addressing the immediate air threats and the consequences of the energy infrastructure attacks.
