Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (11:38 UTC, 11:48 UTC, 11:51 UTC, 11:52 UTC): Reported a high-speed target in southern Kharkiv Oblast moving northwest, then a high-speed target from Donetsk Oblast towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, then again in southern Kharkiv Oblast moving northwest, and finally a missile from Kharkiv Oblast continuing towards Poltava Oblast.
РБК-Україна (11:39 UTC, 11:50 UTC, 11:52 UTC, 11:53 UTC): Mirrored the Air Force reports, confirming the high-speed target movement in Kharkiv, Donetsk, and towards Poltava Oblast.
Assessment: This confirms multiple high-speed targets (likely missiles or rockets) traversing Ukrainian airspace. The trajectory suggests a coordinated attack targeting multiple regions, possibly aiming for infrastructure or military targets in Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, and Poltava Oblasts. This is a significant escalation.
Russian Drone Strike Near Chasiv Yar (REPORTED, Kadyrov Source):
Kadyrov_95 (11:39 UTC): Claims that the commander of the 78th Motorized Rifle Regiment "Sever-Akhmat" visited positions near Chasiv Yar. The report claims that Ukrainian forces attempted to strike the commander's vehicle with a drone, but it was intercepted by modified EW systems.
Assessment: While the claim of a drone attack on a commander's vehicle is difficult to verify, the report confirms the presence of Russian forces (specifically, the "Sever-Akhmat" regiment) near Chasiv Yar. This reinforces previous reports of fighting in this area. The claim of EW success should be treated with caution, given the propaganda nature of the source.
Военкор Котенок (11:43 UTC): Reports that Ukrainian forces are using a new method to camouflage TM-62 anti-tank mines. The mines are reportedly being covered with expanding foam and painted to match the color of the winter ground, making them harder to detect. The report claims these mines are being dropped by drones, including "Baba Yaga" type drones.
Assessment: If confirmed, this represents a significant tactical development. It indicates an increased threat from remotely-delivered mines and a challenge for mine detection efforts. Verification is crucial.
Ukrainian Drone Strikes (CONFIRMED):
ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 (12:05 UTC): Reports that the "Achilles" unit of the 429th OP BpS conducted night operations in Kharkiv Oblast, claiming the destruction of a tank, damage to another tank, destruction of a 2S19 Msta-S self-propelled howitzer, five trucks, a "bukhanka" van, and the killing of 8 Russian soldiers and the wounding of 12 more.
Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (12:06 UTC): Reports that Ukrainian attacks are pointless.
Assessment: This confirms continued Ukrainian drone warfare, with a focus on night operations and targeting Russian armor and logistics. The claimed successes, while likely exaggerated, indicate ongoing efforts to disrupt Russian operations in the Kharkiv region.
ТАСС (12:03 UTC): Reports that a Russian FPV drone of the "West" group destroyed a Ukrainian infantry fighting vehicle in the Donetsk People's Republic (DPR).
Assessment: This confirms the ongoing use of FPV drones by Russian forces, highlighting the continued threat of drone warfare across the front lines.
Donetsk "Swans" (IRRELEVANT):
Mash на Донбассе (11:39 UTC): Reported that swans in Donetsk are trolling people by appearing helpless.
Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими (12:00 UTC): Reported a meeting took place regarding prisoners of war from the 74th reconnaissance batallion, where families are concerned about the prolonged detention, inadequate medical conditions, and lack of medical care.
Assessment: Ongoing concern for prisoners of war.
Russian Soldier Surrenders to Ukrainian Drone (REPORTED):
БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (11:53 UTC): Reports of a Russian soldier from the 101st Regiment, 132nd Brigade, who surrendered by pre-arrangement and was guided by a Ukrainian drone.
Assessment: The report, if true, highlights both potential issues with Russian troop morale and a novel method of facilitating surrenders.
Russian Drone Van Strike (REPORTED):
Народная милиция ДНР (11:59 UTC): Reports that a Russian soldier from the 150th Motorized Rifle Division, 8th Guards Combined Arms Army, destroyed a Ukrainian position in Dachne by throwing a mine into a dugout.
Assessment: Minor tactical development, but further confirmation of fighting in the Dachne area.
Рыбарь (11:34 UTC): Reported on Russian concerns that Western pressure is affecting former Soviet republics, with Russia struggling to keep them in the region.
Assessment: No immediate change, but highlights long-term geopolitical concerns.
Russian and US Foreign Policy (INFORMATION):
Оперативний ЗСУ (11:34 UTC): Reports that Russia and the USA have certain foreign policy contacts.
Assessment: No change.
Kellog to Present Trump with Plans (INFORMATION):
ТАСС (11:34 UTC): Reports that Keith Kellogg is preparing to present Trump with plans to resolve the conflict in Ukraine.
РБК-Україна (11:47 UTC): Reports the same.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (12:00 UTC): Reports the same.
Оперативний ЗСУ (12:03 UTC): Reports the same.
Assessment: No change, but significant diplomatic development.
Azerbaijan (INFORMATION):
ТАСС (11:37 UTC): Reports that the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Azerbaijan banned the entry of State Duma deputy Nikolai Valuev.
Assessment: No change.
Training (INFORMATION):
✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 (11:53 UTC): Reports updates to the basic military training program.
Assessment: No immediate change, but shows ongoing efforts to improve training.
Pope Meeting (INFORMATION):
ТАСС (11:56 UTC): Reports that the Pope received Nikas Safronov at a private audience.
Assessment: No change.
Disinformation (INFORMATION):
Alex Parker Returns (11:44 UTC): Disinformation.
Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (12:04 UTC): Disinformation.
Assessment: No change.
Updated Situation Summary
Multiple High-Speed Target Attacks (EXTREME PRIORITY): The most significant development is the confirmed presence of multiple high-speed targets traversing Ukrainian airspace, impacting Kharkiv, Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, and Poltava Oblasts. This indicates a likely coordinated missile/rocket attack, requiring immediate response.
Intense Fighting Continues (CONFIRMED/REPORTED): Fighting continues in various locations, including near Zelenivka (Donetsk Oblast), Chasiv Yar, and in Kharkiv Oblast. Russian and Ukrainian forces continue to engage in drone warfare.
New Russian Tactic: Camouflaged Mines (REPORTED): Requires urgent verification, but could significantly increase the threat from remotely-delivered mines.
Ukrainian Drone Warfare Intensifying (CONFIRMED): Confirmed Ukrainian drone strikes in Kharkiv Oblast demonstrate continued efforts to disrupt Russian operations, particularly at night.
Continued Air and Missile Threats (EXTREME PRIORITY): Remains unchanged.
EU Threat to Seize Russian Tankers (CONFIRMED): Remains the most significant strategic development, with a high potential for escalation.
Potential Increase in Ukrainian Air Power (REPORTED): Remains unchanged.
Continued Russian Air Strikes (CONFIRMED): Remains unchanged.
Air Raid Alerts (ENDED & RE-ISSUED): Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia has been lifted and re-issued, then lifted again, and now re-issued.
Kursk Region Situation Remains Unclear (UNCLEAR): No significant updates; conflicting reports persist.
Continued Drone Warfare (CONFIRMED): Remains unchanged.
Restoration of bus route (CONFIRMED): Restoration in Donetsk.
New Russian Tactic: Anti-Drone Road Netting (REPORTED): Requires verification, but could significantly impact Ukrainian FPV drone operations.
Continued Counter-Intelligence Operations (CONFIRMED): The SBU arrest of an alleged Russian agent in Sloviansk highlights ongoing efforts to combat espionage.
Humanitarian Efforts (CONFIRMED): Dnipropetrovsk Oblast continues financial support for families of civilians killed in the war.
Russian Military Bases in Syria (REPORTED): The Kremlin is reportedly losing military bases in Syria.
Updated Recommendations
RESPOND TO MULTIPLE HIGH-SPEED TARGET ATTACKS (EXTREME PRIORITY):
Activate all available air defense systems in Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, and Poltava Oblasts to intercept incoming missiles/rockets.
Issue immediate air raid alerts to warn civilians in affected areas.
Gather intelligence on the origin and type of projectiles used.
Deploy all available intelligence assets to confirm the reported crash of the R-27 missile in Belgorod Oblast.
Investigate the cause of the incident (technical malfunction, pilot error, etc.).
Assess the potential implications for Russian military safety procedures and the risk to civilians.
ASSESS IMPACT OF ANTI-DRONE ROAD NETTING (HIGH PRIORITY):
Verify the reported use of anti-drone netting near Bakhmut and Chasiv Yar.
Determine the effectiveness of this tactic against Ukrainian FPV drones.
Develop countermeasures if necessary.
MONITOR SITUATION NEAR ZELENIVKA (HIGH PRIORITY):
Gather intelligence to confirm Russian claims of "partial success" in the area.
Assess the potential threat to the road between Ulakly and Dachne.
Prepare for potential reinforcement or counter-offensive operations if necessary.
All previous recommendations remain in effect, with priorities adjusted as indicated.
The situation has escalated significantly with the confirmed multiple high-speed target attacks across Ukraine. This requires immediate and decisive action to protect civilian populations and critical infrastructure. The reported use of camouflaged mines by Russian forces, if confirmed, presents a new and serious threat that must be addressed urgently. All other areas of concern remain relevant and require continued monitoring and response.
