Nightwatch logo
'Nightwatch' text with white and gray letters
Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-02-08 23:08:25Z
1 year ago
Previous (2025-02-08 22:38:19Z)

Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: February 8, 2025, 23:08 UTC

Major Updates (February 8, 2025, 22:33 - 23:08 UTC)

  1. Extensive Ukrainian Drone Activity (Confirmed, Widespread):

    • Nikolaevskiy Vanyok: Provides a detailed list of drone movements across numerous regions of Ukraine:
      • 1 drone west of Pervomaisk, heading towards Odesa Oblast.
      • 3 drones passing Yelanets, heading west.
      • 4 drones from Cherkasy Oblast entering Kyiv Oblast.
      • 1 drone circling south of Kremenchuk.
      • 1 drone circling near Pokrovsk.
      • 3 drones in Kharkiv Oblast, heading towards Izyum district.
      • 2 drones in northern Poltava Oblast, heading west.
      • 3 drones heading towards/through Zhytomyr.
      • 1 drone passed Zhytomyr towards Zvyagel.
      • 6 drones north of Kyiv, heading west.
      • 3 drones passing near Vasylkiv, heading west.
      • 1 drone flew into Belarus from Kyiv Oblast.
      • 4 drones west of Nizhyn, heading southwest.
      • 1 drone north of Chernihiv, heading west.
      • 9 drones in eastern Chernihiv Oblast, heading south.
      • 1 drone circling near Sumy.
      • 1 drone passed Shostka towards Konotop.
      • 1 drone west of Poltava, heading southeast.
      • 1 drone passing near Kherson towards Bilozerka.
    • RBK-Ukraina: Confirms air defense activity in Kyiv Oblast due to enemy drones.
    • This is a massive escalation in drone activity across nearly all of Ukraine. The sheer number and widespread dispersal of drones suggest a coordinated and large-scale attack, likely aiming to overwhelm air defenses and strike multiple targets simultaneously. The report of a drone entering Belarus is highly unusual and requires immediate investigation.
  2. Russian Advances (Confirmed, Zaporizhzhia, Zelenivka, Andriivka):

    • DeepState: Reports Russian advances near Zaporizhzhia, Zelenivka, and in Andriivka. The map has been updated. This confirms continued Russian offensive operations and territorial gains in these areas. The specific locations require further analysis to assess their strategic significance.
  3. Velyka Novosilka - Novyi Komar Fighting (Confirmed, FPV Drone Strike):

    • Slivochnyy Kapriz: Reports active fighting near Velyka Novosilka and Novyi Komar. Provides photo and video evidence of a successful Russian FPV drone strike on a Ukrainian "Kozak-7" armored vehicle in the northern part of Novyi Komar, close to the contact line. This confirms ongoing clashes in this area and the continued effectiveness of Russian FPV drones in targeting Ukrainian equipment. The geolocated strike (47.88714, 36.83577) provides valuable tactical information.
  4. US Political Developments (Geopolitical, Low Immediate Relevance):

    • TASS: Reports that Trump plans to restrict Blinken and Sullivan's access to classified information, according to The New York Post. This is primarily a US domestic political issue and has no immediate impact on the military situation in Ukraine, although it could have long-term implications for US foreign policy.
  5. Sarkozy's Electronic Bracelet (Geopolitical, No Relevance):

    • RBK-Ukraina: Reports that former French President Nicolas Sarkozy has been ordered to wear an electronic bracelet as part of his sentence in a corruption case. This is a French domestic legal matter and has no relevance to the military situation in Ukraine.
  6. Russophobia discussion (Propaganda)

  • Colonelcassad: Reports of a video discussing russophobia through a biased Russian perspective.

Updated Situation Summary

The massive and widespread Ukrainian drone attack across nearly the entire country is the most critical development. The sheer number of drones and their dispersal indicate a major offensive effort, potentially aiming to overwhelm defenses. Russian advances are confirmed in several areas, particularly around Zaporizhzhia. The successful FPV drone strike near Velyka Novosilka highlights the ongoing tactical intensity of the conflict. The single drone entering Belarus represents a potential escalation/mistake, and needs immediate clarification to avoid broadening the conflict zone.

Updated Recommendations (Changes Highlighted)

  • Urgent: Nationwide Air Defense Alert (Extreme Priority): All available air defense systems must be activated and prioritized to counter the widespread drone threat. Focus on protecting critical infrastructure, population centers, and military assets.
  • Investigate Belarus Drone Incursion (Extreme Priority): Determine the origin and intent of the drone that entered Belarus. Establish communication with Belarusian authorities to clarify the situation and prevent any misinterpretation or escalation. This could be a navigation error, a deliberate provocation, or a sign of a new front opening.
  • Reinforce Defenses in Zaporizhzhia, Zelenivka, and Andriivka (High Priority): Deploy additional forces and resources to these areas to counter Russian advances. Analyze the strategic implications of these advances and develop counter-offensive plans if feasible.
  • Maintain the previous recommendations concerning Volgograd
  • Maintain humanitarian aid in the areas where it's been recommended.
  • Maintain air defense in the areas that have been mentioned.
  • Analyze Drone Trajectories and Targets (High Priority): Track the flight paths of the drones to identify potential targets and patterns. This will help anticipate future attacks and optimize air defense deployments.
  • Maintain all previous recommendations that apply to the areas that are being mentioned.
Previous (2025-02-08 22:38:19Z)

We only use optional analytics cookies if you allow them. Necessary cookies stay on for sign-in and site security.

Learn more in our Privacy Policy.